American Express Co.
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**GUERRA IN UCRAINA** American Express sospende l'operatività in Russia e Bielorussia. $ AXP Mastercard: la rete Mastercard non supporterà più le carte emesse da banche russe. $ MA Qualsiasi Mastercard emessa al di fuori del paese non funzionerà nei commercianti russi o presso gli sportelli automatici. Casa Bianca: Biden ha accolto favorevolmente la mossa di Visa e Mastercard di interrompere il servizio in Russia. Casa Bianca: Biden ha dichiarato di "lavorare duramente con il Congresso per garantire denaro aggiuntivo per l'Ucraina". Sberbank, il più grande prestatore della Russia, ha dichiarato che la Visa e la MasterCard che emette continueranno a funzionare nel paese - TASS. $MA $V ICYMI: Il tentativo di evacuazione di Mariupol fallisce di nuovo dopo che la Russia "rompe il cessate il fuoco" riprendendo i bombardamenti - ITV. Funzionario della presidenza francese: Putin ha detto a Macron di aver accettato di negoziare con l'AIEA, l'Ucraina e la Russia per garantire la sicurezza delle centrali nucleari ucraine. AIEA: l'Ucraina ha informato che la gestione della centrale nucleare di Zaporizhzhya è attualmente agli ordini del comandante delle forze russe che la scorsa settimana ha preso il controllo del sito. Le forze russe presso la struttura hanno disattivato diverse reti mobili e Internet, rendendo impossibile raccogliere informazioni affidabili dal sito attraverso i metodi usuali. L'autorità di regolamentazione ucraina ha dichiarato di avere problemi a connettersi con il personale di Chernobyl, cosa possibile solo tramite e-mail. Il regolatore ucraino ha riferito che le comunicazioni con tutte le istituzioni di Mariupol che utilizzano sorgenti di radiazioni di categoria 1-3 sono andate perse.
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**@Stephanie_Link:** An interview worth listening to on @SquawkCNBC with CEO of $DAL on business travel recovery: Now at 60% of 2019 levels - SMB at 75% vs 50% larger cos. Recovery in this segment worth a watch for 2022 - $AXP https://twitter.com/Stephanie_Link/status/1471490785258336258
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Yo estoy en AXP hoy, buena alerta
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U.S. stock futures looking mixed on the final day of trading for the week, but a much better picture then what it looked like initially overnight following the first night of disappointing earnings overnight as shares of tech companies Intel (INTC) and Snap (SNAP) led the declines. Asia’s subdued risk sentiment gets a surprise boost following a report of Evergrande $83.5M interest payment on an overdue dollar bond. European stocks also rose on Friday after China Evergrande paid a bond coupon before this weekend’s deadline helping boost those markets and lift sentiment. The Nikkei Index rose nearly 100-points to 28,804, the Shanghai Index slipped -0.3% to 3,582, and the Hang Seng Index climbed 109 points to 26,126. In Europe, the German DAX is up over 100 points to 15,585, while the FTSE 100 gains 0.5% to 7,225. The Dow eased from a record high hit on Wednesday, while the Nasdaq paced market gains and the S&P 500 hit a fresh intraday record high thought breadth was somewhat mixed as six of the 11 major S&P 500 sectors finished lower, with energy stocks falling the most. While the majority of earnings thus far to start quarterly earnings (about 20% in for the S&P 500), the potential impact of supply chain disruptions and labor shortages on profits is starting to take center stage this earnings season. IBM tumbled 8.2% after it missed market estimates for quarterly revenue, while Tesla (TSLA helped lift the Nasdaq. The story of the day was Digital World Acquisition Corp (DWAC), the special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) that will merge with former President Trump’s social media company, shooting up 356% on Thursday, closing at $45.50 a share. Applications for U.S. state unemployment benefits unexpectedly declined to 290,000 last week to pre-pandemic levels, raising expectations the Fed may look to raise rates sooner in 2022 to cool inflation. The CBOE volatility index closed Thursday at 15.01, lowest close since Feb. 19, 2020. Market Closing Prices Yesterday · The S&P 500 Index gained 13.59 points, or 0.30%, to 4,549.78 · The Dow Jones Industrial Average slid -6.26 points, or 0.02%, to 35,603.08 · The Nasdaq Composite surged 94.02 points, or 0.62%, to 15,215.70 · The Russell 2000 Index advanced 6.42 points, or 0.28% to 2,296.18 Events Calendar for Today · 9:45 AM ET Markit Manufacturing PMI-Flash · 9:45 AM ET Markit Services PMI-Flash · 9:45 AM ET Markit Composite PMI-Flash · 1:00 PM EST Baker Hughes Weekly rig count data Earnings Calendar: · Earnings Before the Open: AIMC, AXP, CLFY, CLF, FHB, GNTX, HCA, HON, RF, ROP, SLB, SMPL, STX, VFC World News · The eurozone composite PMI dropped from 56.2 to 54.3 in October, posting its lowest reading in six months; Eurozone Oct Mfg PMI (flash) beat: 58.5 vs 57.0 consensus; EZ Oct Services PMI (flash) missed at 54.7 vs 55.5 consensus · UK Sep Retail Sales missed: -0.2% m/m vs 0.5% cons; -1.3% y/y vs -0.4% consensus; UK Sep Retail Sales ex-autos missed: -0.6% m/m vs 0.5% cons; -2.6% y/y vs -1.7% consensus · German Oct Manufacturing PMI (flash) beat: 58.2 vs 56.5 consensus; German Oct Services PMI (flash) missed: 52.4 vs 55.0 consensus · Bank of England chief economist Pill says that inflation could exceed 5% but likely to fall in 2H of next year, BoE would have a “live” decision on whether to raise interest rates at its November meeting. · GfK consumer confidence dropped 4 points to minus 17 in October as higher inflation and climbing Covid rates weighed on sentiment Sector News Breakdown Consumer · Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. ($CMG) Q3 EPS $7.02 vs. est. $6.32; Q3 revs rise 21.9% to $2.0B vs. est. $1.94B; qtrly comparable restaurant sales increased 15.1%; qtrly digital sales grew 8.6% year over year to $840.4M; Restaurant level operating margin was 23.5% 1, an increase of 400 bps · Boston Beer ($SAM) Q EPS ($4.76) vs est. $4.02 on revs $561.6Mm vs est. $531.5Mm; guides FY depletions and shipments +18-22%, sees national price increase 2-3%, gr margin 40-42%, advertising promo & selling exp increase $80-100Mm · BJ Restaurants ($BJRI) 3Q EPS ($0.09) vs est. $0.11 on revs $282.2Mm vs est. $292.8Mm, comps +41.8% (-0.5% vs 2019); saw rapid food cost inflation hit 3Q restaurant op margins; expects sales to benefit as staffing levels improve; · Mattel Inc. ($MAT) Q3 adj EPS $0.84 vs. est. $0.72; Q3 sales $1.76B vs. est. $1.68B; raises FY21 revenue growth view to up about 15% from 12%-14% and boosts FY21 adj EBITDA view to $900M-$925M from $875M-$900M; qtrly net sales in the N.A. segment increased 12% as reported and gross billings increased 12% as reported; worldwide gross billings for barbie of $555.2 mln, up 4% and for hot wheels of $329.9 mln, up 5% · PriceSmart ($PSMT) 4Q EPS $0.63 vs est. $0.74 on revs $909.6Mm vs est. $879.8Mm; comparable net merchandise sales +10.3% · Whirlpool ($WHR) 3Q adj EPS $6.68 vs est. $6.12 on net sales $5.5B vs est. $5.74B; guides FY net sales +13% vs est. +15.5%, sees FY adj EPS about $26.25 vs est. $26.35 · Robert Half ($RHI) 3Q EPS $1.53 vs est. $1.40 on revs $1.713B vs est. $1.637B; sees Q4 EPS $1.37-$1.47 vs. est. $1.30; sees Q4 revenue $1.655B-$1.735B vs. est. $1.65B · Walmart ($WMT) is offering bitcoin through 200 of its CoinStar kiosks in a tie-up with crypto atm firm CoinMe- CoinDesk reported last night Energy · DMC Global ($BOOM) shares fell -10%; 3Q EPS $0.02 vs est. $0.10 on sales $67.2Mm vs est. $71.5Mm; guides 4Q sales $46-50Mm below est. $73.6Mm · Altus Midstream Company ($ALTM) said it will combine with privately-owned BCP Raptor Holdco LP in an all-stock transaction. BCP is the parent company of EagleClaw Midstream, which includes EagleClaw Midstream Ventures, the Caprock Midstream and Pinnacle Midstream businesses, and a 26.7% interest in the Permian Highway Pipeline. · Southern Co.’s ($SO) Georgia Power adds another three months to the timetable for the Vogtle 3 and 4 nuclear expansion projects; company now projects a Unit 3 in-service date in Q3 2022 and a Unit 4 in-service date in Q2 2023 Financials · Associated Banc-Corp. ($ASB) Q3 EPS $0.56 vs est. $0.44, tangible book value per share $17.58, recovery of credit losses $24M vs est. recovery of $1.68M · Bank Ozk ($OZK) Q3 EPS $1.00 vs. est. $0.97; Q3 total interest income $262.7M versus 268.3M same quarter 2020 · Independent Bank ($INDB) Q3 EPS $1.21 vs. est. $1.02; Total assets of $14.5 billion at September 30, 2021 increased by $339.1 million, or 2.4%, from the prior quarter, and by $1.4 billion, or 10.3%, as compared to the year ago period · SVB Financial ($SIVB) Q3 EPS $6.24 vs. est. $5.04; qtrly net interest income (fully taxable equivalent basis) of $859 million · Western Alliance ($WAL) Q3 EPS $2.28 vs. est. $2.22; Q3 revs $548.5M vs. est. $535.86M; produced highest ever quarterly organic loan growth of $4.8 billion, with deposits also up $3.4 billion (32% annualized), driving a 14.3% increase in PPNR1 during the quarter to $317.1 million · WR Berkley ($WRB) 3Q EPS $1.40 vs est. $0.99 on revs $2.42B vs est. $2.3B; qtrly net premiums written +23.7% Healthcare · Accuray Inc. ($ARAY) preliminary Q1 revs $107.4M vs est. $88.5M, raised FY revenue view to $420M-$427M from $410M-$420M, above est. $415.8M · Metacrine ($MTCR) shares fall -50%; to halt future development of FXR program in NASH; reports interim results for met642 phase 2a trial in patients with NASH and announces a strategic re-prioritization of its clinical development programs; shares downgraded to Hold from Buy at Jefferies, Canaccord and HC Wainwright · Minerva Surgical ($UTRS) 6.25M share IPO priced at $12.00 · Xilio Therapeutics ($XLO) 7.35M share IPO priced at $16.00 · Iveric bio ($ISEE) 9M share Spot Secondary priced at $16.75 · Rite Aid ($RAD) has filed for a mixed securities shelf offering. Industrials & Materials · Honeywell ($HON) Q3 adj EPS $2.02 vs. est. $1.99; Q3 revs $8.47B vs. est. $8.65B; qtrly organic sales grew 8%, led by 38% growth in aerospace commercial aftermarket, 21% growth in safety and productivity solutions; 14% growth in advanced materials within performance materials and technologies; cuts FY21 revenue view to $34.2B-$34.6B from $34.6B-$35.2B (est. $35.1B) and narrows FY21 EPS view to $8.00-$8.10 from $7.95-$8.10 · Carlisle Companies ($CSL) 3Q adj EPS $2.99 vs est. $2.75 on revs $1.3B vs est. $1.27B · Celanese ($CE) Q3 adj EPS $4.82 vs. est. $4.75; Q3 revs $2.3B vs. est. $2.13B; raises full-year outlook; sees Q4 EPS about $4.00 vs. est. $3.97; reported record net sales of $2.3B for the quarter with sequential pricing and volume increases of 3% and 1%, respectively · Lynas Rare Earths ($LYSCF) said Q1 production and sales revenues fell QoQ, citing disruptions from a rise in COVID-19 cases in the area around its Malaysia processing plant; Q1 total rare earths production fell 16% Q/Q to 3,166 metric tons, Q1 revenues fell to A$121.6M from $A$185.9M · Olin Corp. ($OLN) Q3 EPS $2.38 vs. est. $2.02; Q3 revs $2.34B vs. est. $2.36B; qtrly adjusted Ebitda achieved despite production interruptions from hurricanes, raw material cost volatility, & supply-chain disruptions; for FY21, is targeting debt reduction of approximately $1.1 bln using cash generated from operations · U.S. Xpress Enterprises, Inc ($USX) 3Q adj EPS $0.07 vs est. $0.14 on revs $491.1Mm vs est. $479.6Mm · Vicor Corporation ($VICR) 3Q EPS $0.29 vs est. $0.44 on revs $84.9Mm vs est. $98.2Mm; gross margin 50.4% vs est. 52.5%; book/bill 2.0 with backlog $296Mm at qtr end Technology, Media & Telecom · Intel Corp. ($INTC) falls -7%; 3Q EPS $1.71 vs est. $1.11 on revs $19.2B vs est. $18.24B (CCG revs 9.7B -2%, DCG revs $6.5B +10%), gr margin 56% vs est. 54.9%; guides FY adj EPS $5.28 vs est. $4.79; sees 2021 cap-ex spending $18B-$19B; questions about falling gross margins dominated the c/c as the company said it expects to turn back to growth in a few years, and execs kept defending their forecast, comfortable with margins above 50% · Cambium Networks ($CMBM) lowers guidance; sees Q3 revs about $75M, down from prior view of $88-$92M which primarily reflects greater than anticipated global supply constraints impacting shipments of products which we expect to continue into the first half of calendar 2022; said Q3 net income is expected to be below the low-end of the previous GAAP and non-GAAP ranges · Snap Inc. ($SNAP) tumbles -20% overnight on lower guidance; Q3 adj EPS $0.17 vs est. $0.08 on revenue $1.07B vs est. $1.1B, DAUs 306M (+23% YoY); sees Q4 DAUs 316-318M, revenue $1.165B-$1.205B below est. $1.36B, saying it missed the lower end of guidance due to changes to advertising tracking on Apple’s iOS that did not scale as expected, making it more difficult for ad partners to measure and manage campaigns, and macroeconomic factors impacting advertising partners with global supply headwinds expected to impact ad demand Q4 in particular; (shares of FB, ROKU, ETSY, TWTR among names that fell in reaction to SNAP) · Western Digital’s ($WDC) discussions to merge with Japan’s Kioxia in a deal worth over $20B have stalled, the Wall Street Journal reported, citing people familiar with the matter. The companies were seeking to finalize a stock deal that would have established a memory-chip giant worth about $40B
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$AXP revealed Amex Flex for its 63K+ employees: - Onsite workers will be back in the office 4-5 days a week - Hybrid workers will be in the office 1-3 days a week - Fully virtual workers will not be required to be back in the office Digitization will accelerate in life & work.
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AXP in the red wallet
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these look good > @dros said: sweepers continuing to add in AXP Dec $170 Cs
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sweepers continuing to add in AXP Dec $170 Cs
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Friday, July 23, 2021 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow 169.00 0.49% 34,878 S&P 500 21.25 0.49% 4,381 Nasdaq 71.50 0.48% 15,000 Stocks looking to build on weekly gains, boosted overnight from strong results in the social media sector as both Twitter ($TWTR) and Snap ($SNAP) top expectations in what has been a generally strong week for quarterly earnings. After yesterday’s semiconductor weakness behind TXN guidance, Dow component Intel ($INTC) issues a beat and raise for the year last night, though conservative guidance for Q3 weighs on shares early. Major indexes rose for a third straight session on Thursday as investors looked past mixed weaker data showing a rise in first-time claims for unemployment benefits last week. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index rose 159 points to 27,548, the Shanghai Index fell -24 points to 3,550, and the Hang Seng Index drops over 400 points (1.45%) to settle at 27,321. In Europe, the German DAX is up over 150 points (about 1%) to 15,665, while the FTSE 100 gains over 50 to 7,025. While enthusiastic about the economic recovery, investors remained nervous about the spread of the delta variant of COVID-19 which had weighed on sentiment last week. Markets also prepare for the busiest week of quarterly earnings coming up with results from Apple, Alphabet, and Facebook among them,. Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index gained 8.79 points, or 0.20%, to 4,367.48 The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 25.35 points, or 0.07%, to 34,823.35 The Nasdaq Composite gained 52.64 points, or 0.36%, to 14,684.60 The Russell 2000 Index declined -34.57 points, or 1.55% to 2,199.48 Events Calendar for Today 9:45 AM ET Markit Composite Flash PMI 9:45 AM ET Markit Manufacturing PMI for July 9:45 AM ET Markit Services Flash PMI 1:00 PM EST Baker Hughes Weekly rig count data Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: $ACBI, $AIMC, $AXP, $CIVB, $FHN, $GNTX, $HON, $KMB, $NEE, $NEP, $RF, $ROP, $SBSI, $SLB, $SXT Macro Up/Down Last Nymex -0.09 71.82 Brent -0.11 73.68 Gold -7.45 1,799.50 EUR/USD -0.0008 1.1763 JPY/USD 0.31 110.45 10-Year Note +0.026 1.293% World News Eurozone July Markit Mfg. PMI (flash) beat: 62.6 vs 62.5 consensus Eurozone July Markit Services PMI (flash) beat: 60.4 vs 59.5 consensus UK June Retail Sales Inc Auto Fuel YoY, actual 9.7%, est. 9.5%, prior 24.6% UK June Retail Sales Inc Auto Fuel MoM, actual 0.5%, est. -0.1%, prior -1.4%, revised -1.3% German July Markit/BME Germany Composite P, actual 62.5, est. 60.7, prior 60.1 German July Markit Germany Services PMI, actual 62.2, est. 59.5, prior 57.5 UK Markit/CIPS UK Services PMI, actual 57.8, est. 62.0, prior 62.4 UK July Markit UK PMI Manufacturing SA, actual 60.4, est. 62.3, prior 63.9 Sector News Breakdown Consumer Magna International Inc. ($MGA) to acquire Veoneer, Inc. ($VNE) for $ 31.25 per share in cash, representing a total value of $ 3.8 billion, and an enterprise value of $ 3.3 billion, inclusive of Veoneer’s cash, net of debt and other debt-like items as of March 31, 2021 Chinese education names getting crushed down over 40%: New oriental (EDU), TAL Education (TAL), and Gaotu Techedu ($GOTU) getting crushed on Bloomberg report that China is considering asking companies that offering tutoring on the school curriculum to go non-profit, according to people familiar with the matter. In rules currently being mulled, the platforms will likely no longer be allowed to raise capital or go public, the people said Boston Beer ($SAM) shares fall -15%; Q2 EPS $4.75 vs. est. $6.69; Q2 revs $602.8M vs. est. $657.6M; sees year EPS $18.00-$22.00 vs. est. $24.66; in 2021 and going forward, company has chosen not to report covid-19 related direct costs separately Del Taco ($TACO) Q2 adj EPS $0.16 vs. est. $0.11; Q2 revs $125M vs. est. $122.79M; Q2 system-wide comp store sales up 17.8%; Q2 company-operated comp sales up 18.3% and Q2 franchise comp sales up 17.2%; expects system-wide new unit growth to achieve 5% in 2023 led by franchising Skecher’s ($SKX) 2Q EPS $0.88 vs est. $0.52 on revs $1.66B vs es.t $1.49B; guides 3Q EPS $0.70-0.75 vs est. $0.63, sees 3Q revs $1.6-1.65B vs est. $1.52B; guides FY EPS $2.55-2.65 vs est. $2.13, sees FY revs $6.15-6.25B vs est. $5.93B Lamb Weston Holdings ($LW) announces $415 million capital investment in new French fry processing line in American falls, Idaho; declares quarterly dividend Robert Half ($RHI) 2Q EPS $1.33 vs est. $1.05 on revs $1.58B vs est. $1.48B Scholastic ($SCHL) 4Q adj EPS $0.90 on revs $401.4Mm; expects significant growth in FY22 revs yr/yr com ($GAMB) 5.25M share IPO priced at $8.00 Xponential Fitness ($XPOF) 10M share IPO priced at $12.00 Energy DMC Global (BOOM) 2Q EPS $0.10 vs est. $0.13 on sales $65.4Mm vs est. $69.5Mm; guides 3Q sales $46-48Mm vs est. $73.3Mm First Energy (FE) 2Q adj EPS $0.59 vs est. $0.57 on revs $2.6B vs est. $2.65B; guides 3Q adj EPS $0.70-0.80 vs est. $0.82; guides FY adj EPS $2.40-2.60 vs est. $2.50 Financials Capital One ($COF) Q2 adj EPS $7.71 vs. est. $4.61; Q2 revs $7.4B vs. est. $7.09B; NII $5.74B vs est. $5.58B, NIM 5.89% -10bps sequentially, common equity tier 1 capital ratio 14.5%, provision decreased $337Mm to ($1.2B) vs 1Q Bank OZK ($OZK) Q2 EPS $1.16 vs. est. $0.92; return on average assets 2.24% vs. 0.78% y/y; return on average equity 13.7% vs. 4.92% y/y; net interest income $240.7 million, +11% y/y; efficiency ratio 38.4% vs. 42.1% y/y Independent Bank ($INDB) Q2 EPS $1.17 vs. est. $1.08; Q2 revs $118.32M vs. est. $117.92M; total assets of $14.2B at June 30 increased by $420.3M, or 3.1%, from the prior quarter, and by $1.2B, or 9.0%, as compared to the year ago period; Q2 total loans at June 30 decreased by $307.7M, or 3.3%, when compared to the prior quarter RenaissanceRe ($RNR) 2Q adj EPS $5.64 vs est. $4.74 on revs $1.48B vs est. $1.28B, says net claims and claim expenses incurred associated with the covid pandemic were not significant in 2Q SVB Financial ($SIVB) Q2 GAAP EPS of $9.09 vs. est. $6.50; Q2 revs up 69% YoY to $1.49B (+69.0% Y/Y) beats by $350M; Q2 average loans of $49.8 billion, an increase of $3.5 billion; period-end loans of $50.8 billion, an increase of $3.1 billion; average total client funds increased $45.9 billion to $308.1 billion, which includes an increase in average on-balance sheet deposits of $23.2 billion R. Berkley ($WRB) Q2 EPS $1.27 vs. est. $0.94; Q2 revenue $2.30B vs. est. $2.16B; Q2 net premiums written $2.21B vs. $1.74M last year and consolidated combined ratio of 89.7% vs. 98.7% last year Future FinTech ($FTFT) files $200M mixed securities shelf S. Century Bank ($USCB) 4M share IPO priced at $10.00 Healthcare Caribou Biosciences (CRBU) 19M share IPO priced at $16.00 Cytek Biosciences (CTKB)7M share IPO priced at $17.00 Sophia Genetics (SOPH) 13M share IPO priced at $18.00 Industrials & Materials Honeywell ($HON) Q2 EPS $2.02 vs. est. $1.94; Q2 revs $8.81B vs. est. $8.63B; raises FY21 adj EPS view to $7.95-$8.10 from $7.75-$8.00 (est. $8.01) and boosts FY21 revenue view to $34.6B-$35.2B from $34B-$34.8B (est. $34.93B) Carlisle Corp. ($CSL) Q2 adj EPS $2.16 vs. est. $2.12; Q2 revs $1.2B vs. est. $1.15B; now sees full year sales to be up mid-teens Celanese ($CE) 2Q EPS $4.81 vs est. $4.44 on revs $2.2B vs est. $1.96B; guides 3Q adj EPS $4.50-4.75 vs est. $3.39; guides FY adj EPS $16.50-17.00 vs est. $13.98 S. Xpress Enterprises ($USX) Q2 adj EPS $0.08 vs. est. $0.16; Q2 revs $475M vs. est. $463.69M; continues to expect strong freight demand for balance of 2021; says expects total fleet size to begin growing in q3 Vicor ($VICR) reports Q2 EPS 43c vs. est. 33c; Q2 revs $95.4M vs. est. $93.98M Technology, Media & Telecom Intel Corp. ($INTC) 2Q adj EPS $1.28 vs est. $1.05 on revs $18.5B vs est. $17.8B; guides 3Q adj revs $18.2B vs est. $18.1B and adj EPS about $1.10 vs est. $1.08; guides FY adj revs $73.5B vs est. $72.8B, sees FY adj EPS $4.80 vs est. $4.62, sees FY adj gr mgn about 56.5% Twitter ($TWTR) Q2 EPS $0.20 vs. est. $0.07; Q2 revs $1.19B vs. est. $1.07B; Q2 Advertising revenue totaled $1.05 billion, an increase of 87% yoy, or 85% on a constant currency basis; Q2 cost per engagement (CPE) increased 42% yoy; reached 206 million average monetizable DUA in 2q, up 11%; Q2 international revenue $537m; had 11% year-over-year growth in monetizable daily active usage Snap inc. ($SNAP) 2Q adj EPS $0.10 vs est. ($0.01) on revs $982Mm vs est. $845.5Mm, DAU +23% to 293Mm; guides 3Q revs $1.07-1.085B vs est. $1.0B, sees 3Q adj EBITDA $100-120Mm vs est. $116.7Mm, says currently estimate DAU grow about 21% yr/yr to reach about 301Mm in 3Q, continues to invest heavily in video advertising, says the expected iOS platform policy changes did not materialize in 2Q to disrupt ad demand Verisign ($VRSN) Q2 EPS $1.31 vs. est. $1.32; Q2 revs $329M vs. est. $327.95M; ended 2q with cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities of $1.12B; ended Q2 with 170.6 million .com and .net domain name registrations in the domain name base, a 5.2% increase from the end of the second quarter of 2020, and a net increase of 2.59 million during the second quarter of 2021 Clearfield ($CLFD) 3Q EPS $0.44 on sales $38.7Mm; guides FY sales $150-160Mm above est. $122.9Mm Outbrain ($OB) 8M share IPO priced at $20.00
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Tuesday, July 6, 2021 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow -9.00 0.03% 34,668 S&P 500 -2.00 0.05% 4,340 Nasdaq 1.50 0.01% 14,715 U.S. stocks are pulling back off record highs last week, trading flattish after major U.S. averages were closed for the July 4 holiday weekend, following record highs in the wake of the U.S. jobs report. Nonfarm-payrolls for June showed a strong gain of 850K on Friday, but there appeared to be enough concerns to keep the Fed from tapering its bond purchases for the time being. Oil prices hitting fresh multi-year highs after the OPEC+ meeting being postponed means no oil production increase agreement as the UAE position is unchanged and the OPEC+ JMMC co-chairs need more time discuss the UAE’s position. WTI crude futures surge above $76.50 to highest since October 2018. Stocks posted strong gains again last week as the Nasdaq led, posting a weekly gain of 1.9%, followed by the S&P up 1.6% and the Dow trailing, but still up 1%. Rates fell following payrolls, with the 10-year Treasury yield off 5 basis points to 1.43%. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index rose 45 points to 28,643, the Shanghai Index slipped -4 points to 3,530, and the Hang Seng Index dipped -70 points to 28,072. In Europe, the German DAX is down around 50 points to 15,610, while the FTSE 100 dips a few points to 7,160. Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index gained 32.40 points, or 0.75%, to 4,352.34 The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 152.85 points, or 0.44%, to 34,786.35 The Nasdaq Composite climbed 116.93 points, or 0.81%, to 14,639.30 The Russell 2000 Index declined -23.60 points, or 1.01% to 2,305.76 Events Calendar for Today 7:45 AM ET ICSC Weekly Retail Sales 8:55 AM ET Johnson/Redbook Weekly Sales 9:45 AM ET Markit Composite Final June-F… 9:45 AM ET Markit Services PMI June-F… 10:00 AM ET ISM Non-Manufacturing Index for June…est. 63.5 Macro Up/Down Last Nymex 1.27 76.43 Brent 0.22 77.38 Gold 15.65 1,807.45 EUR/USD -0.0022 1.1842 JPY/USD -0.21 110.76 10-Year Note -0.01 1.422% World News A measure of euro zone inflation expectations — the five-year, five-year inflation forward rose to 1.606%, its highest since May 19. A survey on Monday showed business activity in the euro zone expanding at the fastest rate in 15 years in June, as the easing of more coronavirus restrictions helped the bloc’s dominant service industry. Eurozone July Investor Index missed:8 vs 30.0 consensus; June Services PMI beat (final) 58.3 vs 58.0 consensus; German June Services PMI beat: 58.1 vs 57.5 consensus Eurozone May Retail Sales: 4.6% m/m vs 4.4% consensus; 9.0% y/y vs 8.2% consensus German July ZEW Economic Sentiment miss: 63.3 vs 75.2 consensus; German July ZEW Current Conditions beat: 21.9 vs 5.0 consensus; German May Industrial Orders missed: -3.7% m/m vs 1.0% consensus 54.3% y/y vs 59.4% consensus Germany eased restrictions on travelers from Britain, Portugal, Russia, India, and Nepal placing them in “high-incidence areas” category. They can avoid quarantine if they can prove that they are fully vaccinated or have recovered from COVID-19 Sector News Breakdown Consumer Didi ($DIDI) shares plunge over 20%; just days after Didi ($DIDI) raised nearly $5B from investors in its U.S. IPO, China’s Cyberspace Administration has ordered the company’s app removed from app stores, noting serious issues with Didi’s usage of customers’ personal information. Those who already have the app will be able to continue to use the service, but new downloads on phones from the likes of Apple, Huawei, and Xiaomi are nixed from Sunday on. Porsche ($POAHY) is a holding company that consists mainly of its controlling interest in Volkswagen ($VWAGY) and, in turn, is one of the latter’s many divisions, along with VW and Audi and owns superluxury names including Bentley, Lamborghini and Bugatti, Barron’s said. Ferrari ($RACE) has surged ahead of Porsche in the stock market, according to Barron’s but says that could soon change Tyson Foods ($TSN) is recalling ~8.5M lbs. of frozen, fully cooked chicken products as a precaution due to potential listeria contamination, the U.S. Department of Agriculture’s Food Safety and Inspection Service says. PlayAGS ($AGS) files to sell 8.21M shares of common stock for holders Energy, Industrials and Materials Crude oil prices advanced a sixth straight week on Friday while the dispute among OPEC+ ministers over plans to further ease production curbs dragged on at the alliance’s full meeting today. Negotiations resumed on Monday after last week ended without a deal, with the United Arab Emirates still blocking a proposal to increase supply. Energy edged lower last week, -0.8%, after leading the S&P sector standings with a 6.6% jump last week. Brent crude oil rises above $77/bbl for the first time since 2018 after OPEC+ fails to reach a production deal, further squeezing an already tight oil market and raising concerns over inflation. With the United Arab Emirates continuing to block an agreement, today’s planned OPEC+ meeting has been called off with no new suggested date for the next gathering, which in effect leaves the group’s current production limits in place Patterson-UTI Energy ($PTEN) agrees to acquire Pioneer Energy Services for ~$295M in cash and stock, which includes the retirement of all of Pioneer’s debt; says it will issue as many as 26.3M common shares and pay $30M of cash. Seaspan Corporation, a wholly owned subsidiary of Atlas ($ATCO) has received delivery of two high-quality 15,000 TEU scrubber-fitted containerships Ingersoll-Rand ($IR) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman Sachs Virgin Galactic ($SPCE) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at UBS General Dynamics ($GD) mentioned positively in Barron’s saying the stock looks set to rise, noting commercial air travel gets all the attention-but investors should start paying attention to private jets. While commercial air travel is slowly returning to life, May business-jet departures, at 275,000, were just 1% below their October 2019 high of 278,000 Financials NCR ($NCR), which produces cash registers and ATMs, may be one of the best ways to play a post-Covid rebound in the consumer economy, according to Barron’s. Revenue fell in 2020 as customers halted upgrades, but a recovery is already here. CEO Michael Hayford said investors are missing the company’s potential as its stock trades at a discount to peers. American Express ($AXP) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman Sachs and raise tgt to $225 from $185 Principal Financial ($PFG) upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Credit Suisse Santander Consumer ($SC) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at BMO Capital Healthcare The CDC is investigating the death of a 13-year-old boy who died just three days after receiving the second dose of Pfizer’s ($PFE) COVID-19 vaccine, The Detroit News reported over the weekend. His death was reported to the CDC’s Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System ($VAERS) Puma Biotechnology ($PBYI) files $50M mixed securities shelf Zosano Pharma ($ZSAN) files $150M mixed securities shelf Technology, Media & Telecom Facebook ($FB), Google ($GOOGL) and Twitter ($TWTR) have privately warned the Hong Kong government that they could stop offering their services in the city if authorities proceed with planned changes to data-protection laws, the WSJ reported this weekend. New amendments from Hong Kong’s Constitutional and Mainland Affairs Bureau would make the co’s liable for doxing, or the malicious sharing of individuals’ information online so that they can be harassed RADA Electronic Industries ($RADA) said it has received $32M worth of new orders in Q2 2021, an increase of 33.3% Q/Q from $24M in Q1 2021, with majority of deliveries expected in H2 2021.
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/*============================================= = Wednesday, June 9, 2021 = =============================================*/ Futures Up/Down % Last Dow -25.00 0.07% 34,561 S&P 500 2.25 0.05% 4,228 Nasdaq 28.50 0.20% 13,839 U.S. stock futures are mixed with Dow futures slipping, S&P futures flat and Nasdaq futures looking higher as Treasury yields fall to their lowest levels in weeks (1.50% for the 10-year) ahead of key inflation data later this week. Stock averages flirted with record highs on Tuesday, as the S&P neared but could not hold its early gains (ended Tuesday at 4,227, just off its closing high on May 7 of 4,232) while the Russell 2000 neared its all-time best close as investors appear wary ahead of inflation data due on Thursday in the form of consumer prices (CPI). Consumer discretionary and energy were the best performing major S&P 500 sectors on the day, while utilities were the weakest group. A lack of clear market catalysts kept institutional investors on the sidelines, while retail traders fueled the ongoing meme stocks rally with more volatility from the likes of AMC, GME, BBBY, WKHS, BB, with new names such as CLOV and WEN added to the fray. Fear remains non-existent in the market as the CBOE volatility index (VIX) touched its lowest level in over a year. It appears for the time being the “meme stocks” are taking over from crypto as the place to be as Bitcoin prices slid. Oil prices inch higher with WTI crude above $70 per barrel for the first time since October 2018 and Bitcoin rebounds. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index fell -102 points to 28,860, the Shanghai Index rose 11 points to 3,591 and the Hang Seng Index dipped -38 points to 28,742. In Europe, the German DAX is down about -80 points to 15,555, while the FTSE 100 slides about -40 points to 7,050. China data showed May PPI +9.0% y/y vs +8.5% poll, +6.8% in April, May CPI +1.3% y/y vs +1.6% poll, +0.9% in April (CPI highest in eight months). Chinese stocks edge higher despite the fastest factory inflation since 2008 as benign CPI suggests only limited pass-through to consumers Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index inched higher 0.74 points, or 0.02%, to 4,227.26 The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell -30.42 points, or 0.09%, to 34,599.82 The Nasdaq Composite gained 43.19 points, or 0.31%, to 13,924.91 The Russell 2000 Index advanced 24.58 points, or 1.06% to 2,343.76 Events Calendar for Today 7:00 AM ET MBA Mortgage Applications Data 10:00 AM EST Wholesale Inventories for April 10:30 AM ET Weekly DOE Inventory Data Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: BF/B, $CPB, $DAKT, $LOVE, $UNFI, $VRA Earnings After the Close: $ENZ, $GEF, $GME, $KLXE, $LAKE, $OXM, $RH, $TCL, $VRNT Other Key Events: Baird Global Consumer, Technology & Services Conference 2021 (virtual), 6/8-6/10 Deutsche Bank Global Consumer Conference (virtual), 6/7-6/10 Goldman Sachs Healthcare Conference (virtual), 6/8-6/10 Goldman Sachs 25th Annual European Financials Conference (virtual), 6/8-6/10 Jefferies Healthcare Virtual Conference, 6/8-6/10 Oppenheimer Virtual Software & Semiconductor Bus Tour, 6/7-6/11 Piper Global Exchange & FinTech Conference (virtual), 6/9-6/10 REITWeek 2021 Investor Virtual Conference, 6/8-6/10 UBS Global Industrials and Transportation Conference, 6/8-6/9 Macro Up/Down Last Nymex 0.11 70.16 Brent 0.12 72.34 Gold -2.60 1,890.25 EUR/USD 0.0019 1.2192 JPY/USD -0.06 109.44 10-Year Note -0.019 1.509% World News China’s factory gate prices rose at their fastest annual pace in over 12 years in May as the producer price index (PPI) increased 9.0% from a year earlier (est. 8.5%), the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) said driven by significant price increases in crude oil, iron ore and non-ferrous metals. On a monthly basis, the PPI rose 1.6%, up from a 0.9 uptick in April. China’s consumer price index (CPI) rose 1.3% in May in annual terms, the biggest increase in eight months. That was still slower than analysts’ forecast for a 1.6% increase, after a 0.9% gain in April. S. Senate passed a wide ranging $250b Bill designed to counter China & compete with China Bipartisan group meeting, Republican Senators came out of the meeting saying that they made a lot of progress, there is work to be done to reach an agreement, Manchin says a positive meeting, moving in the right direction. Sector News Breakdown Consumer Casey General ($CASY) Q4 EPS $1.12 vs. est. 88c; Q4 revs $2.38B vs. est. $2.22B Calavo Growers ($CVGW) Q2 adj EPS $0.43 vs. est. $0.44; Q2 revs $276.82M vs. est. $267.07M; sees Q3 revs $280M-$300M vs. est. $295.8M; sees Q3 adjusted EBITDA $11M-$15M; Q2 Fresh segment revenue decreased 5%, due primarily to 9% growth in avocado volume, offset by a 10% decrease in avocado prices and 31% lower tomato revenue Limoneira ($LMNR) Q2 adj EPS 10c vs. est. 6c; Q2 revs $45.1M in-line with ests; believes it is prudent to not provide lemon guidance at this time until covid-19 vaccine is widely distributed; continues to believe avocado revenue in fiscal 2021 will be strong due to market factors and positive initial crop indicators Target Corp. ($TGT) raises its quarterly dividend by 32% to $0.90 Energy, Industrials and Materials The American Petroleum Institute ($API) showed crude oil stockpiles fell -2.1m bbl vs -3.5m expected: Cushing -420k: Gasoline +2.4m: Distillates +3.75m Air Products ($APD) and Baker Hughes (BKR) announced a strategic global collaboration to develop next generation hydrogen compression aimed at lowering the cost of production and accelerating the adoption of hydrogen as a zero-carbon fuel Ahead of its investor and analyst conference today, UPS (UPS) announced 2023 financial targets with FY23 consolidated revenue ranging from approximately $98 billion to approximately $102 billion vs. $99.92B consensus SPX Corporation ($SPXC) signs an agreement to sell 100% of the issued and outstanding stock of its wholly-owned subsidiary, SPX Transformer Solutions, to GE-Prolec Transformers, for $645 million in cash; lowers FY21 adjusted EPS view to $2.17-$2.37 from $3.06-$3.26 and lowers FY21 revenue view to $1.25B from $1.70B (est. $1.69B) ABM Industries ($ABM) Q2 adj EPS $0.82 vs. est. $0.71; Q2 revs $1.5B vs. est. $1.48B; raises year EPS view to $3.30-$3.50 from prior $3.00-$3.25 (est. $3.18); maintaining its guidance for FY 2021 Gaap income from continuing operations Boeing ($BA) seeks increase in $3.9bn Air Force One fixed-price contract; Manufacturer’s supplier problems could delay new jets for White House by a year – Financial Times reported Sherwin-Williams ($SHW) raises Q2 sales guidance and full year 2021 sales and diluted net income per share guidance; raises FY 2021 consolidated net sales guidance to be up a high-single to low-double-digit percentage over full year 2020; raises FY21 EPS view to $9.15-$9.45 from $8.80-$9.07 (est. $9.32) Global Ship Lease ($GSL) agrees to purchase 12 container ships from Borealis Finance LLC for an aggregate purchase price of $233.9M; GSL’s fleet will comprise 62 container ships with a total capacity of 322,770 TEU Vale ($VALE) said it will prepay an outstanding ~$2.5B balance related to project financing for the Nacala logistics corridor that serves the Moatize coal mine in Mozambique. Financials Cohen & Steers ($CNS) reports preliminary AUM $94.2B as of May 31; an increase of $1.4B from assets under management at April 30. The increase was due to net inflows of $760M and market appreciation of $815M, partially offset by distributions of $201M Amazon ($AMZN) is considering replacing JPMorgan (JPM) in its co-brand card deal, Bloomberg reported saying American Express (AXP) and Synchrony Financial (SYF) are being considered as an alternative UP Fintech ($TIGR)5M share Secondary priced at $24.50 Healthcare Karyopharm Therapeutics ($KPTI) announces key management changes to its commercial organization LYRA Therapeutics ($LYRA) announces positive outcome of end-of-phase 2 meeting with the FDA for lyr-210 for the treatment of chronic rhinosinusitis Option Care Health ($OPCH) 15M share Spot Secondary priced at $20.00 Technology, Media & Telecom Comtech ($CMTL) Q3 sales $139.4M vs. est. $140.7M; Q3 adj EPS 26c vs. est. loss of (1c); still sees FY adj Ebitda $74M-$76M vs. est. $74.5M; lowers FY net sales $580M-$590M from prior $610.0M-$620.0M (est. $616.4M) Pegasystems ($PEGA) expands share repurchase program to $60M UiPath ($PATH) Q1 EPS loss ($1.11) vs. (33c) last year; Q1 revs $186.2M vs. $113.1M last year Ondas Holding ($INDS)4M share Spot Secondary priced at $7.00
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@TradeTorio #TRADEPRO Academy
Alright so what we have seen over the past week has been really interesting, we got a massive sell off which killed a lot of names but it didn't harm others. The overall $SPY/SPX dropped pulling growth down further with it and the tech sector was destroyed, Nasdaq cried that's for sure. The tech breadth was at 7 which was a huge buy sign, and when I took a look at which tech names got beat up it wasn't really the big ones, they still held value well and if anything have amazing potential to the upside ($MSFT, FB etc). So what is going on? I mentioned its cyclical, right now growth is dead and value reigns supreme. If you want to know how to get rich in the market or make the right decisions its being able to switch from value and growth when the cycle is upon. Right now value is elite and is reigning supreme, the worst thing you can do is sell your garbage growth and switch to value, value is still going up and has a lot more room, from what it looks like but its also overextended and getting towards its last stride. There is a difference between garbage growth and good growth, you need conviction in your plays. So I liked this dip for a lot of "value x growth names" ones with conviction. A lot of value didn't manage to dip much but really good tech did and we mention names we were hunting. I think there is a lot of potential in large tech names that we all know, FB & $MSFT specifically, also $AAPL. we did well to pick up $SPY calls but longer term calls on these 3 tech names could pay well. I liked commons on them as well. Other names you should watch carefully are SQ, PYPL, PTON, AXP, FCX, DIS, BA, SE, PINS, $TWTR, ETSY, APPS & XOM ( I still like reopening and oil for the year as we are far from the potential) These are more or less growth names that have been battered and have a lot of potential, all of which are on the excel sheet pinned, if you want to know what we're in its in the list. There are ways to get into your conviction plays as well, if its beat up growth we need to flip the structure and that happens a few ways. I'll go into detail of what I want to see in another post just after this one. There are a lot of value names out there that you can add to your portfolio but I need to see more of a pullback at this point, so they're not that high of interest.
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