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**mark_dow:** Liesman is right. Economies and markets are asymmetric and path dependent, and speed scares ppl. Ripping the band aid off means speed, and would trigger investment & consumption reactions that would lead to a deeper downturn than otherwise wld be the case. https://twitter.com/mark_dow/status/1541819785586978823
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KC & The Sunshine Band - I'm Your Boogie Man
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@Sini #Trading Nuggets
**S & P 500 Pre Market Heatmap** Emini S&P Futures are down around .25% as traders take profit. However, the nuisance of OTFU on the daily chart remains intact. Given the amplitude of yesterday's move, that concept will continue to favor long positions. I'll be looking to buy this dip with the full knowledge that this is nothing more than a Bear Market rally. In fact, the price of $SPX is already entered a band of resistance between 4065-4125. Attached is the premarket heatmap to help begin your morning equity analysis. GL
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**@DanielleMorrill:** @howardlindzon The Disorderly June would be a great band name https://twitter.com/DanielleMorrill/status/1525824849075228675
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Universal Music Group Files 4 Trademarks for Its Bored Ape Band Leader https://www.coindesk.com/business/2022/04/05/universal-music-group-files-4-trademarks-for-its-bored-ape-band-leader/?utm_medium=referral&utm_source=rss&utm_campaign=headlines
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**@valuewalk:** These Are The Ten Biggest Cryptocurrencies Used For Oracles https://t.co/WWkdzZLGrD #API3 #BAND https://twitter.com/valuewalk/status/1509179652778070017
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@JDtheEntity #P I V O T B O S S
Im sorry Frank I'm lost. I cant find the max reversal band signals
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remember band snowcow, they got it at 1b val while they're guiding 550m rev next year and turning profitable
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eBay sklz LMND band, murder
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that volatility derived band that the option series should move in
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It's just a band you wear and it sends data to your phone....your iPhone, lol. Seems like it would be a good fit for Apple unless Apple wants to develop its own high performance features.
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if they band together
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I get a kick out of all the Santa Claus rally references I hear from various writers and reporters. Almost all of them mean “markets rallying, leading up to Christmas”. I’ll call that the Santa Claus rally with a small “r”. The Santa Claus Rally I want to review with you today is the one with a capital “R”. The Santa Claus Rally was first described by the father and son team, Hirsch and Hirsch, in their long-running Stock Trader’s Almanac. And it’s a quite positive indicator, as we’ll see. It’s good to get some additional positive items in front of us. Whatever spiritual tradition you follow, the Christmas holidays can be stressful as expectations run high to get things done, either for you or your family’s celebrations or just to get stuff done by the end of the year. Practically everyone has traditions, but as our relationships with families and friends mature over the years, so do these traditions. I mentioned in my Trading Tip last week that my family is making a trip to see my dad, who turns 88 this weekend. For his birthday, we are taking him to an escape room in the local university town. An escape room is an activity where a team of people are locked in a room and have to decipher clues and solve a series of puzzles and riddles to find the key or combination to the door. This is a new tradition of ours, born out of the necessity to find something that seven adults can enjoy together in the winter. And all three generations of us chip in to help play the live-action game. When we get home next week, we will enjoy a Christmas Eve service at church where my wife leads the praise band and I’ll tag along to drum for her crew. We’ll then head home for our favorite obscure holiday movie. And we each open one package on Christmas Eve. Our adult children have significant others with extended families, so we never know from year to year who’ll be home when over the Christmas holiday. But we know we’ll enjoy time with them whenever it occurs. Every year now is a new experience. And the same might be said for the Santa Claus Rally. We may get a different experience this year. The historically positive Santa Claus Indicator starts on the shortened Christmas Eve (12/24) trading day. However, with Christmas Day and New Year’s Day falling on Saturdays this year, the Santa Claus Rally period will start on Monday (12/27) and last through Tuesday (1/4/22). And in an unusual occurrence, there will be no New Year’s holiday observed at the NYSE for 2022 (…pursuant to NYSE Rule 7.2, NYSE American Rule 7.2E, NYSE Arca Rules 7.2-O and 7.2-E, NYSE Chicago Rule 7.2, and NYSE National Rule 7.2). Through the years, the indicator has given rise to a Wall Street aphorism: “If Santa Claus should fail to call, Bears may come to Broad & Wall” Santa Claus Rally Statistics The Santa Claus indicator is pretty simple. It looks at market performance over a seven-day trading period—the last five trading days of the current trading year and the first two trading days of the New Year. What we find are some compelling stats. Since 1969, this seven-day period has returned positive results in 39 out of 52 years for a 75% win rate and an average gain of 1.4%. Looking back another 20 years shows that the seasonal move holds up with a similar percentage of wins and gains. Santa Claus Rally Fundamentals As with any seasonal tendency, I want to know the fundamentals behind the data. In this case, we have two supporting cases for this short-term seasonal—strong investor psychology and a very tangible institutional money reality as well. On the psychology side, investors and traders are certainly influenced by the mood of the season. Whether you celebrate Christmas or not, it is undeniably the U.S.’s most permeating holiday with a well-promoted theme of joy and good cheer. It is followed up one week later by New Year’s Eve/Day—a near-universal celebration in the western world. Spirits are high, and optimism is the dominating mood of both holidays. On the institutional side, there is a well-known phenomenon of last-minute trading to make portfolio returns look better with techniques that fall under the broad term of “window dressing”. This can range from fairly benign practices like adding hot stocks to the portfolio (so that it looks like the manager was in them all along) to more controversial practices such as bidding up stocks that are already in the portfolio. Here’s some interesting research on the subject reported by Jason Zweig: “A Wall Street Journal analysis of daily trading in roughly 10,000 stocks since 2004 found that on the final trading day of each quarter, there was a sharp increase in the number of stocks that beat the market by at least five percentage points, then trailed it by three points or more the next trading day.” While that particular practice takes place mostly in thinly traded stocks, the general yearning for stronger results at the end of the quarter and especially at the end of the year certainly adds to the consistency of the Santa Claus Rally. There is also the simple reality that institutions and funds have new money coming into them during the first couple of days of the quarter and of the New Year. Money from automatically funded accounts (pensions) and other systematic contributions must be put to work. This well-known money flow effect causes the first two days of the month and quarter to be better performers on average than any other two-day period. So putting the fundamentals and the statistics together, the Santa Claus Rally does seem to have validity and should be taken into consideration as an input (but not the only input!) for your investing and trading decisions. Whatever your spiritual tradition, I pray that all the hope, love and joy of this season are with you and your families! And may you have a happy and prosperous New Year! Great Trading, D. R.
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6 dicembre 1988. Muore Roy Kelton Orbison grande compositore e cantante rock L'artista, che era nato a Vernon, in Texas, il 23 aprile 1936, era autore di celebri canzoni come "Only the Lonely", "You Got It", "Oh, Pretty Woman", "It's Over". Assai noto negli Anni Sessanta, Orbison suonò in varie tournée coi Beatles in Europa nel 1963, con i Beach Boys negli Stati Uniti nel 1964 e con i Rolling Stones in Australia nel 1965. Tra i suoi amici, John Lennon e George Harrison (che poi lo volle nella sua band dei Traveling Wilburys). L'artista tornò a essere amato negli Anni Ottanta, dopo un periodo in cui non aveva più incontrato i gusti del pubblico, grazie alle colonne sonore di film celebri, in cui erano inserite le sue canzoni. "Oh Pretty Woman" fu infatti utilizzata per "Pretty Woman", di Garry Marshall, con Richard Gere e Julia Roberts, e "In Dreams" per "Velluto Blu" di David Lynch.
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#sand noch immer außer Rand und Band, das 6$ Ziel von @lueley in greifbarer Nähe. Wo seht ihr einen nächsten sinnvollen TP? Bei mir liegt z.B. die 2.81er Fib-Marke bei 5,8$. Oder seht ihr eher genau die psychologisch 6 als sinnvolles TP-Ziel?
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U.S. futures are edging higher, looking to add to the gains from Thursday, but major averages remain on track to snap their 5-week winning streak after a sharp pullback Wednesday off all-time highs due to rising inflation fears renewed concerns the economy is going to quick too fast and the Fed may need to “pump the brakes” sooner than later with interest rate hikes (fed fund futures now pointing to a June ’22 star). The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq ended higher on Thursday, boosted by chipmakers after high inflation numbers dampened investor sentiment and put the brakes on a streak of record closing highs. U.S. Treasury bond yields remain calm after reopening (closed yesterday for Veteran’s Day), with the 10-year yield still under 1.6%. European stocks were steady with U.S. futures, while Asian shares rose at the end of a volatile week. Meanwhile, U.S. officials have warned European Union counterparts that Russia may be weighing a potential invasion of Ukraine, according to multiple people familiar with the matter. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index rose 1.1% to 29,609, the Shanghai Index gained +0.18% to 3,539, and the Hang Seng Index gained about 0.32% to settle at 25,327. In Europe, the German DAX is up about +0.2% to 16,110, while the FTSE 100 is down roughly-0.4% at 7,350. Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index gained 2.56 points, or 0.06%, to 4,649.27 The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell -158.71 points, or 0.44%, to 35,921.23 The Nasdaq Composite jumped 81.58 points, or 0.52%, to 15,704.28 The Russell 2000 Index advanced 19.56 points, or 0.82% to 2,409.14 Events Calendar for Today 10:00 AM ET University of Michigan Confidence, Nov-P 10:00 AM ET JOLTs Job Openings for September 1:00 PM EST Baker Hughes Weekly rig count data Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: BKKT, EMAN, HYZN, MOTS, MRAM, NXTD, PLXP, ROLL, SOHO, SPB, TH, VIVO Other Key Events: American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases Meeting, 11/12-11/15 ($virtual) American Academy of Ophthalmology 2021 Conference, 11/12-11/15, New Orleans Baird 51st Annual Global Industrial Conference, 11/9-11/12 ($virtual) Jefferies 2nd Annual Global Interactive Entertainment Conference, 11/11-11/12 ($virtual) Morgan Stanley Global Chemicals, Agriculture & Packaging Conference, 11/10-11/12 ($virtual) REITWorld 2021 Annual Conference, 11/9-11/12 ($virtual) Society for Immunotherapy of Cancer, 11/10-11/14, in Washington D.C. World News The U.S. has warned that Russian forces are amassing near the Ukrainian border. The U.S. has sounded the alarm, warned EU allies that Moscow may be planning to invade Ukraine, though Russia said the military deployments are on its territory and denies any aggressive intentions Eurozone Sept Industrial Production beat: -0.2% m/m vs -0.5% consensus, 5.2% y/y vs 4.1% consensus German Oct Wholesale Prices higher: 1.6% m/m vs 0.8% previous, 15.2% y/y vs 13.2% previous **Sector News Breakdown** **Consumer** Blink Charging ($BLNK) 3Q EPS ($0.36) vs est. ($0.29) on revs $6.4Mm vs est. $4.7Mm, says 3,016 charging stations contracted or sold in 3Q +351% YoY Lordstown Motors ($RIDE) Q3 EPS ($0.54) vs est. ($0.59); now expect commercial production and deliveries of its Endurance pickup truck will begin in Q3 of 2022 Volkswagen AG ($VWAGY) reports October global sales slumped 33.5% to 600,900 vehicles; YTD global sales up 2% to 7.55M vehicles; China sales slipped 37.2% to 236,500 vehicles for the month. **Energy, Industrials and Materials** Astra Space, Inc., ($ASTR) Q3 EPS ($6c) vs est. ($16c), adj EBITDA ($32.9M) vs est. ($33.5M); preparing to perform a test launch for the SpaceForce in coming week or so, subject to readiness of launch conditions; sees Q4 adj EBITDA ($44M)-($40M) vs est. ($33.7M) Ballard Power Systems ($BLDP) agrees to buy 100% of Arcola Energy, a UK-based systems engineering company specializing in hydrogen fuel cell powertrain and vehicle systems integration for total upfront and earn-out cash and share consideration of up to $40M Sundial Growers ($SNDL) rises after the Canadian cannabis producer announced a $100m share buyback alongside quarterly results **Healthcare** Johnson & Johnson ($JNJ) plans to split into two companies, according to the WSJ. The company’s consumer division, which includes Band-Aid and Tylenol, will be separated from the pharmaceutical and medical-devices businesses under the plan, according to the report. J&J will shed its consumer division in 18 to 24 months Biogen Inc’s ($BIIB) said late-stage studies found that its Alzheimer’s drug Aduhelm significantly lowered blood levels of an abnormal form of the protein tau. Tau forms toxic tangles of nerve fibers associated with the mind-wasting disease and is a target of experimental Alzheimer’s drug AstraZeneca ($AZN) Q3 core Ebit of $2.28 billion was 14% below consensus, reflecting a lower gross margin while sales were 1% below consensus, with many key growth drivers shy of expectations Co-Diagnostics ($CODX) Q3 EPS $0.38 vs. est. $0.21; Q3 revs $30.1M vs. est. $24.32M; guides FY21 EPS $1.07-$1.16 vs. est. $0.98; sees FY21 revenue $96.0M-$100.0M vs. est. $95.21M. **Technology, Media & Telecom** Luminar Technologies Inc. ($LAZR) 3Q adj EPS ($0.10) vs est. ($0.10) on revs $8Mm vs est. $8.9Mm; Cash, Cash Equivalents and Marketable Securities were $544.9M as of September 30, 2021, putting the company on track to meet its goal of ending the year with more cash than starting cash of $485.7M Phunware ($PHUN) 3Q EPS $0.01 vs est. ($0.04) on revs $2.2Mm vs est. $2.3Mm; says raised more than $65Mm and now holds approx 129 Bitcoin, committed to growing and digital currency holdings in future; says expect to add decentralized finance (defi) to corporate treasury activities
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‘Willing to break the mold’: Bored Apes form Gorillaz-style band for Universal https://cointelegraph.com/news/willing-to-break-the-mold-bored-apes-form-gorillaz-style-band-for-universal
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**OK, it's starting to get weird!** For Universal’s NFT Band, Music Is Second to Brand Identity- Kingship is a little like Gorillaz, but without the musicians. On Thursday, Universal Music Group (UMG) announced it had signed Kingship – not a musician, but a collection of four anthropomorphic non-fungible tokens (NFT). Billed as a “metaverse group,” Kingship is a partnership between UMG and the NFT investor Jimmy McNelis, who owns the four tokens in question. Conceptually, it’s a little like Gorillaz, the “virtual band” created by electronic musician Damon Albarn in the late 1990s. Each image comes along with its own fabricated backstory. https://www.coindesk.com/business/2021/11/11/for-universals-nft-band-music-is-second-to-brand-identity/
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For Universal’s NFT Band, Music Is Second to Brand Identity https://www.coindesk.com/business/2021/11/11/for-universals-nft-band-music-is-second-to-brand-identity/
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bei mir sind nur ltc nachkäufe heute morgen ins auf einstand gesetzte SL gelaufen... hab nach gekauft. irgendwie fast immer bei allem ob gold Aktien oder cryptos dass wenn das 4h Bollinger Band stark unter oder Überschritten wird gibts immer heftige Gegenbewegung. da Kauf ich dann immer gerne
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Healthcare Alkermes ($ALKS) announced that it received notices of partial termination in respect of two license agreements with Janssen Pharmaceutica N.V., a subsidiary of Johnson & Johnson Acadia Pharmaceuticals Inc ($ACAD) 3Q EPS ($0.09) vs est. ($0.26) on sales $131.6Mm vs est. $127.8Mm, says narrows FY Nuplazid sales guide to $480-500Mm Castle Biosciences ($CSTL) 3Q EPS ($0.47) vs est. ($0.41) on revs $23.5Mm vs est. $23Mm; says on track to achieve FY total revs guide of $89-93Mm vs est. $91.9Mm Clover Health ($CLOV) Q3 revs $427.2M vs est. $413.1M, adj EBITDA ($102.3M) vs est. ($99.5M); sees FY revs $1.42B-$1.47B vs est. $1.44B Curaleaf holdings ($CURLF) Q3 revenue $317M vs est. $328.3M, adj EBITDA $71M vs est. $92.1M; remains on track to generate revenue within lower end of $1.2B-$1.3B annual guidance range; said the acquisition of Tryke Companies reported earlier today bolsters its position in NV, AZ, UT and will be immediately accretive to margins and cash flow Fluidigm Corp ($FLDM) 3Q EPS ($0.18) vs est. ($0.22) on revs $28.5Mm vs est. $30Mm; says undertaking review of various options including with regard to strategic alternatives Invitae Corporation ($NVTA) Q3 adj EPS ($0.81) vs est. ($0.71) on revenue $114.4M vs est. $126.5M driven by billable volume 296k (+89% YoY); now sees FY revenue $450M-$475M, from $475M-$500M and below est. $484.5M Mirati Therapeutics, Inc. ($MRTX) 3Q EPS ($1.55) vs est. ($2.89) on revs $71.8Mm Nevro Corp. ($NVRO) Q3 EPS loss ($1.44) vs. est. loss (-$0.87); Q3 rev $93.2M vs. est. $91.59M; sees Q4 revs $94M-$98M Oak Street Health, Inc. ($OSH) Q3 EPS loss (-$0.49) vs. est. loss (-$0.42); Q3 revs $388.7M vs. est. $356.7M; The Company cared for approximately 100,500 risk-based patients, representing 76% of its total patients; adjusted EBITDA was $(64.3M), compared to $(22.8M) YoY SI-BONE ($SIBN) Q3 EPS ($0.48) vs est. ($0.42) on revenue $22.3M vs est. $22.5M, lowered FY21 revenue view to $89M-$90M from $92M-$94M (vs est. $92.7M) as uncertainty surrounding Covid-19’s impact on elective procedures and healthcare infrastructure remains Shockwave Medical ($SWAV) Q3 EPS $0.05 vs. est. loss (-$0.06); Q3 revs $65.2M vs. est. $61.2M; sees FY21 revenue $227M-$228M vs. est. $223.43M, which represents 235% to 236% growth YoY SmileDirectClub, Inc. ($SDC) shares fall -23%; 3Q EPS ($0.23) vs est. ($0.13) on revs $138Mm vs est. $$181Mm; guides FY revs $630-650Mm vs est. $757Mm Tactile Systems ($TCMD) shares fell -12%; 3Q EPS ($0.17) vs est. $0.12 on revs $52.5Mm vs est. $57.4Mm; sees FY revs +9-10% or $203.5M-$206M from $216.3M-$224.5M, below est. +18.7% Merck ($MRK) said the U.S. government will buy 1.4 million additional courses of their COVID-19 pill, molnupiravir, for about $1 bln and that the U.S. has now committed to purchase a total of about 3.1 million courses of molnupiravir for about $2.2 billion Haemonetics ($HAE) Q2 adj EPS $0.60 vs. est. $0.61; Q2 revs $239.9M vs. est. $241.4M; lowers FY22 adj EPS view to $2.40-$2.65 from $2.60-$3.00 and narrows its FY22 revenue view to up 13%-17% from up 13%-18% Technology, Media & Telecom Bandwidth Inc. ($BAND) Q3 adj EPS $0.25 vs. est. $0.08; Q3 revs $130.6M vs. est. $125.3M; guides Q4 EPS loss (15c-11c) vs. est. loss (-$0.01); sees Q4 revs $115.7M-$120.7M vs. est. $125.5M 3D Systems ($DDD) 3Q adj EPS $0.08 vs est. $0.05 on revs $156.1Mm vs est. $144.8Mm; guides FY adj gr mgn 41-43% vs est. 42.7% Five9 Inc. ($FIVN) 3Q adj EPS $0.28 vs est. $0.23 on revs $154.3Mm vs est. $146.8Mm; guides 4Q revs $164.5-165.5mm vs est. $157.8Mm, sees 4Q adj EPS $0.36-0.37 vs est. $0.34; sees FY revs $$600.5-601.5Mm vs est. $585.2Mm and adj EPS $1.09-1.10 vs est. $1.02 Instructure Holdings, Inc. ($INST) 3Q EPS ($0.10) vs est. $0.14 on revs $107.2Mm vs est. $101.1Mm; sees 4Q revs $106.9-107.9Mm vs est. $104.1Mm; guides FY revs $401.7-402.7Mm vs est. $397.4Mm, sees FY adj EBITDA $143.6-144.6Mm vs est. $130Mm Luminar Technologies, Inc. ($LAZR) shares rise 50%; said at the NVIDIA GTC conference that its lidar solution has been selected to be part of the sensor suite in the NVIDIA DRIVE Hyperion autonomous vehicle reference platform. This AI vehicle computing platform accelerates development of autonomous consumer vehicles with planned production starting in 2024. New Relic ($NEWR) Q2 adj EPS loss (10c) vs. est. loss (13c); Q2 revs $196M vss. Est. $182.21M; cuts FY22 adj EPS loss view to (60c)-(54c) from (52c)-(49c) while boosts FY22 revenue view to $778M-$782M from $730M-$735M (est. $736.8M) National CineMedia ($NCMI) Q3 EPS loss (19c) vs. est. loss (13c); Q3 revs $31.7M vs. est. $41.24M; Q3 adjusted OIBDA improved to negative $8.2 million for the third quarter of 2021 from negative $11.2 million for the third quarter of 2020 Roblox ($RBLX) shares rise 29%; Q3 EPS (13c) vs est. (14c) on bookings $637.8M vs est. $636.5M, revenue $509.5M, avg DAUs 47.3M vs est. 46.6M, hours engaged 11.2B (+28% YoY), avg booking per DAU $13.49 Sanmina ($SANM) Q4 adj EPS $0.95 vs. est. $0.99; Q4 revs $1.64B vs. est. $1.7B; sees Q1 adj EPS 90c-$1.00 vs. est. $1.01; sees Q1 revs $1.6B-$1.7B below consensus $1.76B Square Space ($SQSP) Q3 EPS 4c vs est. 14c on revenue $201M vs est. $205.2M; sees Q4 revenue $203M-$206M vs est. $205.2M, raised annual revenue forecast to $780M-$783M from $772M-$780M (est. $778.4M) and unlevered FCF to $117M-$122M from $102M-$116M TripAdvisor ($TRIP) 3Q adj EPS $0.16 vs est. $0.24 on revs $303Mm vs est. $304.4Mm; avg monthly unique users on branded websites rose to about 76% of 2019 comparable period; says CEO will step down during 2022 Vuzix Corporation ($VUZI) Q3 EPS loss (-$0.13), in-line with ests; Q3 revs $3.02M vs. est. $3.79M; General and Administrative expense for the three months ended September 30, 2021 was $3.1 million versus $1.6 million for the comparable 2020 period Xperi Holding Corporation ($XPER) 3Q adj EPS $0.53 vs est. $0.34 on res $219.4Mm vs est. $215.4Mm; guides FY revs $870-890Mm vs est. $882.2Mm Zynga ($ZNGA) 4Q EPS ($0.04) vs est. $0.07 on revs $704.7Mm vs est. $666Mm, qtrly bookings $668Mm +6%, average mobile DAUs 38Mm +21%, qtrly avg mobile MAUs 183Mm +120%; sees FY revs $2.78B vs est. $2.81B, sees FY bookings $2.814B
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Monday, November 8, 2021 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow 72.00 0.20% 36,287 S&P 500 4.25 0.09% 4,694 Nasdaq 9.00 0.06% 16,360 U.S. futures are looking to open at new record highs (again) after Washington passed a smaller form of its highway, broadband and other infrastructure improvement spending deal this weekend, as the $1 trillion infrastructure bill passed through Congress on Friday. A very important week of economic data coming up with monthly CPI, PPI inflation data mid-week. Crypto assets rising to records ahead of the inflation reports as Bitcoin up 8% nearing $66K, Ethereum record highs up over 6% above $4,700, Litecoin tops $200, up over 5.75% as crypto assets surging again. Tech futures underperform following weakness in Tesla (TSLA) after its CEO Elon Musk on Saturday asked his 62.5 million followers on Twitter in a poll if he should sell 10% of his Tesla stock. The world’s richest person had previously said he could face a “massive” tax bill this year as he has to exercise a large number of stock options coming due next year. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index fell -100 points to 29,507, the Shanghai Index rose 0.2% to just under 3,500, and the Hang Seng Index declined 100 points to 24,763. In Europe, the German DAX is down about -0.1% at 16,035, while the FTSE 100 is flat holding just above 7,300. Last week the S&P 500, Nasdaq and Dow notched their fifth straight weekly advances (longest streak for the S&P since Aug 2020); for the week, the S&P 500 rose 2%, the Dow added 1.42%, the Nasdaq gained 3.05% and the Russell 200o over 6%. The Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) notched its 10th winning session in a row on Friday while the S&P 500 scored another record high on Friday and booked a week of solid gains following a strong U.S. jobs report and positive data for Pfizer’s experimental pill against COVID-19, which helped boost travel and other economic reopen sectors. The news kept the run going for equities after investors earlier in the week digested the Federal Reserve’s decision to start reducing its monthly bond purchases put in place to support the economy. Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index gained 17.47 points, or 0.37%, to 4,697.53 The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 203.72 points, or 0.56%, to 36,327.95 The Nasdaq Composite climbed 31.28 points, or 0.20%, to 15,971.59 The Russell 2000 Index advanced 34.65 points, or 1.44% to 2,437.08 Events Calendar for Today No major U.S. economic data Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: ATRO, AXSM, BKI, COTY, DS, EDIT, EHTH, GATO, GTES, HLIO, KOS, LINC, NERV, NSSC, RDNT, RDUS, RETA, THS, TTD, USFD, VAC, VUZI, WOW, ZIXI Earnings After the Close: ACAD, AEIS, AEL, AMBC, AMC, AMPH, AMRS, APEI, APPF, APTS, ASUR, ATER, AVEO, BAND, BRP, CARA, CBT, CHRS, CLRS, CLOV, CSSE, CSTL, CXW, DDD, DOOR, ENV, FIVN, FLDM, FRPT, FSK, FTK, GOSS, HIL, IEA, IFF, IIN, INST, IPAR, JKHY, KERN, LMND, LOTZ, MRC, MRTX, MWA, NCMI, NEWR, NNI, NVRO, NVTA, OCIUL, OUST, PRA, PRI, PRIM, PYPL, RBLX, REAL, SANM, SCOR, SDC, SNCR, SPCE, SWSP, SWAV, SWX, TCMD, TREX, TRIP, TWO, XNCR, ZIOP, ZNGA Other Key Events: Credit Suisse 30th Annual Healthcare Conference, 11/8-11/11 (virtual) JPMorgan Global Consumer, Retail & Luxury Conference, 11/8-11/21 (virtual) EEI Financial Conference, 11/7-11/9 (virtual) REITWorld 2021 Annual Conference, 11/9-11/12 (virtual) Macro Up/Down Last Nymex 1.22 82.49 Brent 1.09 83.83 Gold -0.50 1,818.50 EUR/USD -0.0002 1.1564 JPY/USD 0.05 113.46 10-Year Note +0.032 1.485% World News China’s export growth moderated slightly to 27.1% yoy in October, above the 22.8% consensus expectation, implying a sequential gain of 2.6% in October (a modest slowdown from +3.0% in September) despite electricity constraints in October. At the same time, imports rose 20.6% yoy in October, missing expectations of a 26.2% surge, but fell 3.2% sequentially in October (vs. -0.7% in September). As a result of the far bigger growth in exports over imports, the monthly trade surplus rose further to a record high of $84.5bn in October, supporting the appreciation of the Chinese yuan in October, even as China’s economy has slowed down sharply in recent months. China’s trade surplus with the United States was $40.75 billion in October based on customs data showed on Sunday, down from $42 billion in September. For the first ten months of the year, the surplus was $320.67 billion – Reuters Highway, broadband and other infrastructure improvement spending deal this weekend, as the $1 trillion infrastructure bill passed through Congress on Friday and among parts of the deal, allows for $7.5 billion spending for building out a network of electric vehicle chargers and another $7.5 billion for low or zero-emission buses and ferries. Sector News Breakdown Consumer Tesla Inc ($TSLA) CEO Elon Musk on Saturday asked his 62.5 million followers on Twitter in a poll if he should sell 10% of his Tesla stock. The world’s richest person had previously said he could face a “massive” tax bill this year as he has to exercise a large number of stock options coming due next year. “Note, I do not take a cash salary or bonus from anywhere. I only have stock, thus the only way for me to pay taxes personally is to sell stock,” Musk said on Twitter on Saturday. Rivian Automotive ($RIVN) raises IPO price range to $72.00-$74.00 from $57.00-$62.00. Separately, Barron’s noted Rivian Automotive (RIVN) is set to go public this coming week at a market value that could exceed that of Honda Motor (HMC) despite having sold just a handful of vehicles, with a market cap around $64 billion Haverty’s (HVT) announces special cash dividend, quarterly cash dividend, and additional authorization under stock repurchase program Peloton ($PTON) has halted hiring across all departments effective immediately, CNBC reported late Friday, a day after it slashed its full-year outlook amid slowing momentum for its fitness products Coty ($COTY) agrees to sell additional partial stake in Wella to KKR in exchange for about 56% of Preferred Coty shares owned by KKR Marriott Vacations ($VAC) Q3 adjusted EPS $1.60 vs. est. $1.42; Q3 revs $1.05B vs est. $1.07B; said occupancies at our resorts this quarter were very strong despite the Delta variant and contract sales were within 3% of 2019 levels, driving 25% sequential growth in Adjusted EBITDA Energy China’s crude oil imports plunged in October to the lowest since September 2018, as large state-owned refiners withheld purchases because of rising prices while independent refiners were restrained by limited quotas to import. The world’s biggest crude oil importer brought in 37.8 million tonnes last month, data from the General Administration of Customs showed on Sunday, equivalent to 8.9 million barrels per day (bpd). – Reuters FirstEnergy ($FE) agrees to sell a 19.9% stake in its three regulated transmission businesses to Brookfield Asset Management (BAM) for $2.4B Financials Berkshire Hathaway Inc ($BRK/A) said that global supply chain disruptions kept a lid on its ability to generate profit; Q3 operating profit rose 18% but missed analyst forecasts amid goods shortages that crimped consumer spending; net income, meanwhile, fell 66%, reflecting lower gains from stock holdings such as Apple Inc and Bank of America Corp. Alleghany ($Y) mentioned positively in Barron’s saying shares should not be overlooked noting under CEO Weston Hicks, Alleghany has used a similar strategy to create an attractive, smaller-scale version of Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway ($BRK.A) R. Berkley ($WRB) announced that its Board of Directors has declared a special cash dividend on its common stock of $1.00 per share to be paid on December 22 to stockholders of record at the close of business on December 7 Healthcare Cannabis stocks rose late Friday after Marijuana Moment reported a fresh Republican-led attempt to legalize marijuana. The States Reform Act led by Rep. Nancy Mace (R-SC) is still in the preliminary stage, and a final version is expected to be filed later this month. As U.S. health authorities expand use of the leading Covid-19 vaccines, researchers investigating heart-related risks linked to the shots are exploring several emerging theories, including one centered on the spike protein made in response to vaccination. Researchers aren’t certain why the messenger RNA vaccines, one from Pfizer Inc. ($PFE) and partner BioNTech SE ($BNTX) and the other from Moderna Inc., are likely causing the inflammatory heart conditions myocarditis and pericarditis in a small number of cases. – WSJ https://on.wsj.com/3mQqCVY Alcon ($ALC) has acquired Ivantis, developer and manufacturer of the novel Hydrus Microstent, a minimally-invasive glaucoma surgery (MIGS) device designed to lower intraocular pressure for open-angle glaucoma patients in connection with cataract surgery for $475M in upfront consideration Genetron Holdings ($GTH) has formed a strategic partnership with oncology laboratory solution provider NeoGenomics (NEO) to drive global oncology drug research and development. Industrials & Materials Boeing ($BA) directors agreed to a $237.5 million settlement of claims that they turned a blind eye to safety issues related to 737 Max jetliners whose crashes have cost the company more than $20 billion, according to court documents Blade Air Mobility ($BLDE) is bringing ride-sharing to helicopters-just don’t call it the Uber ($UBER) of the sky. The stock can take off without that comparison, Barron’s reported. Blade Air Mobility is a less risky way to invest in the eVTOL future, though certainly not risk-free BHP is close to a deal to sell its controlling interest in two Australian coal mines to Stanmore Resources Ltd. ($STMRF) for ~$1.25B, the Wall Street Journal reports. Technology, Media & Telecom New Oriental Education & Technology ($EDU), Gaotu Techedu ($GOTU), and Tal Education ($TAL) shares all rising over 20% after the WSJ reported that China plans to issue more than a dozen licenses that would allow companies to offer after-school tutoring. The report said Gaotu Techedu (GOTU) and Yuanfudao, a unit of Tencent ($TCEHY), have held talks about resuming tutoring to students in the ninth grade and below https://on.mktw.net/3EVcxg5 Trinseo ($TSE) has begun work to explore the divestiture of its Styrenics businesses and plans to launch a formal sales process in Q1 of 2022. The scope of this potential divestiture is expected to include the Feedstocks and Polystyrene reporting segments as well as the company’s 50% ownership of Americas Styrenics AU Optronics ($AUOTY) reports October revenue of NT$30.38B (+18.1% Y/Y, -9.9% M/M); the total panel area shipment reached around 2.08 million square meters in October 2021, down by 4.3% month-over-month. ChipMOS ($IMOS) reports October revenue of $82.3M (-2.3% M/M; +10.7% Y/Y).
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Based on the award-winning novels by Isaac Asimov, “Foundation” chronicles a band of exiles on their monumental journey to save humanity and rebuild civilization amid the fall of the Galactic Empire.
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A Maine lobster had gotten free in the Wuhan lab and clawed his way into a contaminated chamber. The lobster was then eaten by the staff. The staff became infected and began spreading the virus in China. CCP then started putting infected people on planes and distributing them around the globe. Certainly could have happened that way. Whoever took the damn rubber band off the claws is at fault.
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Tuesday, October 19, 2021 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow 125.00 0.34% 35,254 S&P 500 2o.25 0.45% 4,497 Nasdaq 52.50 0.34% 15,343 U.S. stock markets are looking to open higher, extending the winning streak for the S&P 500 to 5-days ahead of a busy morning of quarterly earnings, including vaccine maker and Dow component Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) and Procter & Gamble (PG). A modest pullback in 10-year Treasury note yields, which traded at 1.584% overnight, and a weaker U.S. dollar are also providing early support Tuesday. Oil prices look to extend gains, with WTI crude and Brent pushing higher. In Asian markets overnight, The Nikkei Index jumped 190 points to 29,215, the Shanghai Index rose 25 points to 3,593, and the Hang Seng Index climbed 377 points (1.49%) to 25, 787. In Europe, the German DAX is up a few points to trade just under 15,500, while the FTSE 100 also edges higher above the 7,200 level. U.S. stocks finished higher on Monday as investors prepare for strong earnings this week with 72 of the S&P 500 expected to report this week while overlooking worries over inflation, supply-chain issues and energy supply as oil prices closed higher again. Data Sunday night showed growth in China slowed to 4.9% for 3Q, hurt by a crackdown on tech, and real estate as well as power-shortage and supply-chain problems. Heavy weight tech stocks helped paced gains again on Monday ahead of key earnings from Netflix tonight and Tesla, Intel later this week. Small cap stocks, banks and energy were among underperformers as the Dow Jones Industrial Average finished Monday lower. Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index gained 15.09 points, or 0.34%, to 4,486.46 The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell -36.15 points, or 0.10%, to 35,258.61 The Nasdaq Composite spiked 124.47 points, or 0.84%, to 15,021.81 The Russell 2000 Index advanced 2.19 points, or 0.10% to 2,267.84 Events Calendar for Today 7:45 AM ET ICSC Weekly Retail Sales 8:30 AM ET Housing Starts MoM for September 8:30 AM ET Building Permits MoM for September 8:55 AM ET Johnson/Redbook Weekly Sales 4:30 PM ET API Weekly Inventory Data Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: BK, CBSH, DOV, FITB, FMBI, HAL, IRDM, JNJ, KSU, MAN, MRTN, ONB, PG, PM, SBNY, SI, SNV, SYF, TRV Earnings After the Close: EQBK, FULT, IBKR, ISRG, LRN, NFLX, OMC, PZN, SMBK, UAL, UCBI, WDFC, WTFC Other Key Events: Google ($GOOGL) announced a virtual event for October 19th at 1PM ET / 10AM PT, officially introducing the Pixel 6 and Pixel 6 Pro The European Society of Gene and Cell Therapy (ESGCT) Congress 2021 is taking place virtually this year from October 19-22 Needham Virtual Global Access Inaugural Needham Biotech Private Company Virtual 1×1 Forum, 10/19-10/20 Macro Up/Down Last Nymex 0.99 83.43 Brent 0.53 84.86 Gold 14.10 1,781.70 EUR/USD 0.0055 1.1663 JPY/USD -0.21 114.09 10-Year Note +0.008 1.592% World News Senate Democrats on Tuesday will unveil a scaled-back version of a Biden administration proposal to crack down on wealthy tax cheats after conservative groups and the bank industry raised major privacy concerns, three people with knowledge of the coming announcement said, the Washington Post reported. Initially, the Department of Treasury and Senate Democrats had proposed requiring financial institutions to provide the Internal Revenue Service with additional information on bank accounts with more than $600 in annual deposits or withdrawals RBA Minutes of Oct Meeting: Reiterates they won’t hike rates until CPI is stably in 2-3% target band, central estimate is that economy will return to growth in Dec Qtr of this year & to pre Delta path in H2 2022, Delta interrupted Australian economic recovery, less accommodative policy would all else equal , see lower housing prices/credit growth but would also result in fewer jobs & lower wages Sector News Breakdown Consumer Tupperware Brands Corporation ($TUP) announces the entry into a definitive agreement for the sale of its House of Fuller beauty business in Mexico Energy, Industrials and Materials Halliburton ($HAL) Q3 adj EPS $0.28 vs. est. $0.28 on revs $3.86B vs. est. $3.9B Hexcel Corp. ($HXL) Q3 adj EPS $0.13 vs. est. $0.08; Q3 sales rise 16% YoY to $333.8M vs. est. $348.7M; commercial aerospace sales rise 30% YoY to $167.2M, space & defense sales up 1.5% YoY to $110.4M and industrial sales rise 14% YoY to $56.2M Steel Dynamics ($STLD) Q3 adj EPS $4.96 vs. est. $4.57; Q3 revs $5.1B vs. est. $4.98B; believe shipments could be in range of 2.0 mln tons to 2.2 mln tons in 2022; Record steel and steel fabrication operating income of $1.4 billion and $89 million, respectively; record cash flow from operations of $631 million and record adjusted EBITDA of $1.4 billion TechnipFMC ($FTI) and Talos Energy ($TALO) announced that they have entered into a long-term strategic alliance to develop and deliver technical and commercial solutions to Carbon Capture and Storage projects along the United States Gulf Coast AgEagle Aerial Systems ($UAVS) entered into a definitive agreement to buy Sensefly from Parrot at a valuation of $23M in cash and stock Financials Crypto stocks ($COIN, $MARA, $RIOT, $MSTR) in the spotlight as Bitcoin continued its climb toward all-time highs (last above $62K), bolstered by optimism over the launch of the first Bitcoin futures exchange-traded fund in the U.S. on Tuesday Silvergate Capital ($SI) Q3 EPS $0.88 vs. est. $0.71; did not record a provision for loan losses for the Q3, Q2 or Q3 of FY20 as a result of management’s assessment of the level of the allowance for loan losses, and the amount and mix of the loan portfolio, among other factors; book value per common share was $33.10, compared to $32.84 at June 30, and $15.18 at September 30, 2020 Bank of New York ($BK) Q3 EPS $1.04 vs. est. $0.99; Q3 revs $4.0B vs. est. $3.95B; qtrly total noninterest expense of $2.9 billion, increased 9%; at qtr end, aum of $2.3 trillion, increased 13%; qtrly total fee and other revenue of $3.39 bln vs $3.14 bln; qtrly asset servicing fees $1.22 bln vs $1.17 bln Commerce Bancshares ($CBSH) q3 eps $1.05 vs. Est. $0.99, q3 revenue $351.54m vs. Est. $349.85m Fifth Third ($FITB) Q3 EPS $0.97 vs. est. $0.91; raises dividend by 11%; Q3 NII $1.19B vs. $1.17B Synovus ($SNV) Q3 adj EPS $1.20 vs. est. $1.08; Q3 net charge-off ratio declined 6 bps from prior quarter to 0.22%; the non-performing loan and asset ratios each fell 1 bp to 0.41% and 0.45%, respectively; and criticized and classified loans declined 22% Credit Suisse ($CS) is in discussions with the U.S. government to settle a criminal investigation regarding the bank’s role in a $42B Mozambique bond scandal – Bloomberg Berkshire Hills Bancorp, Inc. ($BHLB) has entered into a partnership with Upstart (UPST), a leading artificial intelligence (AI) lending platform designed to improve access to affordable credit while reducing the risk and costs of lending. Equity LifeStyle Property ($ELS) 3Q adj FFO/share $0.65 vs. est. $0.62 on revs $332.9Mm vs est. $171.1Mm EverQuote ($EVER) guides 3Q revs $106.5-107.5Mm vs est. $110.2Mm; sees 3Q net loss $6.0-5.5Mm vs est. net loss $4.7Mm; plans to implement approx 10% structure reduction in non-marketing op exp FB Financial ($FBK) 3Q adj EPS $0.89 vs est. $0.81, NII on tax-equivalent basis $89.2Mm vs est. $88.5Mm PacWest Bancorp ($PACW) 3Q EPS $1.17 vs est. $1.03; NII $279.8Mm vs est. $278.4Mm ServisFirst Bancshares, Inc. ($SFBS) Q3 EPS $0.96, in-line with estimates; Total loans grew $163.1 million, or 8% annualized, during the quarter, while loans, excluding the impact of Paycheck Protection Program (“PPP”) loan forgiveness, grew $370.4 million, or 18% annualized; Book value per share increased to $20.56, a 17% increase year-over-year Zions Bancorp ($ZION) Q3 EPS $1.45 vs. est. $1.33; loan growth excluding PPP loans, was 5.6% on an annualized basis; reported continued strong deposit growth at an annualized pace of 9.3%; announced $46 million reversal of loss reserves into income (compared to positive +$55 mln); qtrly net interest income remained stable at $555 million Healthcare Johnson & Johnson ($JNJ) Q3 adj EPS $2.60 vs. est. $2.35; Q3 revs $23.34B vs. est. $23.72B; maintained its 2021 sales forecast for its COVID-19 vaccine at $2.5 billion and reported $502 million in sales of the single-dose shot in Q3; raises FY21 adjusted EPS view to $9.65-$9.70 from $9.50-$9.60 and boosts FY21 revenue view to $94.1B-$94.6B from $93.8B-$94.6B (est. $94.3B) Sage Therapeutics ($SAGE) and Biogen ($BIIB) announce plans to submit a new drug application (NDA) for Zuranolone to the U.S. FDA in the second half of 2022 with rolling submission expected to start in early 2022 Following the pre-NDA meeting, the companies confirmed the current efficacy and safety databases are expected to be adequate for filing with confirmed pathways for MDD and PPD. The planned initial submission package will be for the treatment of MDD with an anticipated PPD filing thereafter The FDA intends to allow Americans to get a different COVID-19 vaccine as a booster from the one that originally had, The New York Times’ reported, which could reduce the appeal of Johnson & Johnson ($JNJ) vaccine and provide flexibility to doctors and other vaccinators The U.S. FDA has approved Reddy’s Laboratories’ ($RDY) generic version of Bristol-Myers Squibb’s ($BMY) multiple myeloma treatment Revlimid (lenalidomide) capsules. Calithera Biosciences ($CALA) is acquiring two clinical-stage compounds from Takeda Pharmaceutical (TAK) to bolster its precision oncology pipeline in a cash and stock deal; Calithera will pay $10M upfront cash and $35M in Calithera Series A preferred stock. Entasis Therapeutics ($ETTX) announces positive topline results for sulbactam-durlobactam (SUL-DUR) from Phase 3 ATTACK trial; SUL-DUR first to achieve statistical non-inferiority in 28-day all-cause mortality in carbapenem-resistant Acinetobacter ($CRAB) patients; Statistically significant difference in clinical cure at Test of Cure vs. colistin; targeting NDA submission in mid-2022 Paratek Pharmaceuticals ($PRTK) announces enrollment of first patient in phase 2b study evaluating Nuzyra® (omadacycline) for nontuberculous mycobacterial pulmonary disease caused by mycobacterium abscesses complex Technology, Media & Telecom Micron ($MU): Commodity DRAM prices likely to fall 15-20% in 1Q22. Following peak shipments in the second and third quarters, the memory sector has entered a period of correction in the fourth quarter of 2021 that may last for 1-2 quarters, and commodity DRAM prices, in particular, will face higher downward pressure – Digitimes.com https://bit.ly/3G2l5D5
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Band Protocol https://www.coindesk.com/price/band-protocol/
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On Nomura’s estimates, the vol control de-allocation summed to -$95 billion in S&P futures over the past month. “Over the last month, volatility increased and there was a meaningful de-risking of systematic and discretionary managers,” JPMorgan’s Marko Kolanovic said last week, noting that leverage in systematic strategies fell from ~75th to ~45th%ile, while hedge fund betas dropped to average historical levels. A gauge of positioning from Deutsche Bank tells a similar story. “Our consolidated measure of equity positioning has fallen over the last few weeks from the top of its band to neutral,” the bank said, in a note dated October 8.
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on my 2sd that was the low band of vwap
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let's all start a band
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or band of brothers...anyone seen that series?
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its a hip hop / indie band
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wedding band shopping
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Durch's Band grün, sogar China.
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@celdom #LCMS Traders Club
when i click on download bowling band by Jin, MACD, MACD 2021, TPSL they all download
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@jkchtrades #Dark Pool Charts
its entering bolinger band squeeze on thehourly
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@thoebbel #Top Dog Trading
pton rubber band would have worked timing it right
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@NicholasP #Top Dog Trading
Question on PTON, would this be a decent candiate for a rubber band trade setup or is there too much risk on the daily chart? are we looking for a 1:1 risk/reward ratio on these setups?
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“In standard ‘tail wags the dog”’ fashion, two monster options-derived / vol-sensitive flows simply overwhelmed all macroeconomic and geopolitical narratives on the day,” McElligott said, reiterating that dealers are “choking on prolific long ATM Gamma into Op-Ex,” creating a kind of automatic stabilizer, “crushing the daily distribution of outcomes into a narrow band.” This has been going on for a month (figure below), which in turn means realized vol has collapsed.
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@JoshW #Top Dog Trading
I think this is similar to how the DPO MOBO bands indicator works in TOS....I believe they're just Bollinger bands with a deviation less than 2 > @Stungo said: I can do a video but it's really simple. When the bar on your time frame closes above the 1 STD you enter a trade in which ever direction the trade goes. I thought about utilizing the Top Dog BB sqz scan and set the std to 1 instead of 2 to get an earlier entry. If you set a stop at the other BB band, that sets up a 4 to 1 ratio however my stop is tighter, if we close below or above the 15 EMA then I exit and my loss is less. When these take off, the wins are massive and the Risk reward ratio is very good
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@Stungo #Top Dog Trading
I can do a video but it's really simple. When the bar on your time frame closes above the 1 STD you enter a trade in which ever direction the trade goes. I thought about utilizing the Top Dog BB sqz scan and set the std to 1 instead of 2 to get an earlier entry. If you set a stop at the other BB band, that sets up a 4 to 1 ratio however my stop is tighter, if we close below or above the 15 EMA then I exit and my loss is less. When these take off, the wins are massive and the Risk reward ratio is very good
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band is just one spread so not too worried about it
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got a few ITM credit put spreads. which of the three do you think will be otm by Friday next week: band 120/115p z 105/100p or Amazon 3320/3315p
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This chart shows how the equity put/call ratio has moved to a lower band in the last 14 months. We are at the top of that band now, you can see last 4-5 times we reached the top of that band we were in pullbacks ..... and generally when we top out we are near lows.... so maybe we consolidating to push higher here?
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Bandwidth is a leading enterprise cloud communications company. Companies like Cisco, Google, Microsoft, RingCentral, Uber, and Zoom use Bandwidth's APIs to easily embed voice, messaging and emergency services into software and applications. Bandwidth is the first and only CPaaS provider offering a robust selection of communications APIs built around their own IP voice network.
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