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Tuesday, July 20, 2021 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow 182.00 0.53% 34,582 S&P 500 16.25 0.38% 4,331 Nasdaq 8.50 0.06% 14,731 U.S. stocks continue to recover from an early-week selloff prompted by fears surrounding the rapidly-spreading Delta variant as major averages rose about 1.6% on Tuesday, with investors again taking any market pullback as an opportunity to jump back into equities. A handful of Dow components expected to report earnings this morning with Johnson & Johnson, Coca-Cola and Verizon coming up. In Washington, a $1.2T bipartisan infrastructure bill will face an initial procedural floor vote in U.S. Senate today, which aims to upgrade roads and bridges, water systems and expand broadband Internet. European equities are in the green, extending opening gains to trade near best levels for the week as travel the strongest sector followed by retail and banking names. Crude futures drift higher as September WTI rises over 1% to trade back on a $68-handle and Brent trades back above $70. Netflix ($NFLX) shares little changed after mixed earnings results overnight. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index climbed 159 points to 27,548, the Shanghai Index gained 25 points to 3,562 and the Hang Seng Index slipped -34 points to 27,224. In Europe, the German DAX is up over 130 points to 15,350, while the FTSE 100 gains over 100 points (1.58%) to move just below the 7,000 level. Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index gained 64.57 points, or 1.52%, to 4,323.06 The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 549.95 points, or 1.62%, to 34,511.99 The Nasdaq Composite surged 223.89 points, or 1.57%, to 14,498.88 The Russell 2000 Index advanced 63.62 points, or 2.99% to 2,194.30 Events Calendar for Today 7:00 AM ET MBA Mortgage Applications Data 10:30 AM ET Weekly DOE Inventory Data Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: $AFI, $ANTM, $BHLB, $BKR, $BOKF, $CMA, $FCFS, $HOG, $IPG, $JNJ, $KNX, $KO, $LAD, $LVS, $MKTX, $MTB, $NDAQ, $NTRS, $STX, $TZOO, $USAP, $VZ, $WRLD Earnings After the Close: $BANR, $BXS, $CCI, $CNS, $CSX, $CVLG, $DFS, $EFX, $EGBN, $FR, $GGG, $GL, $GSBC, $INBK, $KALU, $KMI, $LOB, $LSTR, $MC, $NTGR, $NVEC, $OMF, $PLXS, $REXR, $RGP, $RLI, $SLG, $SLM, $STC, $STL, $TBK, $TCBI, $THC, $TSC, $TXN, $UFPI, UMPQ, $VMI, $WASH, $WHR Macro Up/Down Last Nymex 0.85 68.05 Brent 0.90 70.25 Gold -6.30 1,804.00 EUR/USD -0.0007 1.1774 JPY/USD 0.25 110.10 10-Year Note +0.036 1.245% Sector News Breakdown Consumer Chipotle Mexican Grill ($CMG) shares rise 4%; 2Q adj EPS $7.46 vs. est. $6.52 on revs $1.9B vs. est. $1.88B, digital sales +10.5% (48.5% of total sales), qtrly comps +31.2%, qtrly restaurant level op mgn 24.5%; guides 3Q comps sales +low-mid-double-digits, sees 3Q at or slightly above +200 new restaurants Lands’ End ($LE) raises Q2 revs to $380M-$385M, up from prior view $345M-$355M; raises Q2 adj Ebitda to $36M-$38M from prior view $20M-$23M and ups EPS view to $0.39-$0.43 from prior $0.05-$0.12 (est. $0.07); also raises year revs, income and Ebitda views Sleep Number ($SNBR) shares fall -9% on miss; 2Q EPS $0.88 vs. est. $1.16 on net sales $484.3Mm missing the est. $511Mm; guides FY EPS at least $7.25 vs est. $6.79 (assumes 25% tax rt for remainder of the year) Harley Davidson ($HOG) 2Q adj EPS $1.41 vs est. $1.17 on revs $1.53B vs est. $1.41B, qtrly motorcycle shipments 56,700 vs 28,400 yr-ago; qtrly worldwide motorcycle retail sales 65,300 vs 52,700 yr-ago; guides FY motorcycle segment revs +30-35%, sees FY financial svcs segment op inc +75-85% Lithia Motors ($LAD) Q2 adj EPS $11.12 vs. est. $5.85; Q2 revs $6.01B vs. est. $4.99B; qtrly new vehicle retail sales increased 130.0% and qtrly used vehicle retail sales increased 95.7% Tesla ($TSLA) plans to open its network of superchargers to other electric vehicles later this year, CEO Elon Musk said on Twitter; the co’s fast charging network, with over 25,000 superchargers globally, has given it a competitive edge VICI Properties ($VICI) entered into a strategic arrangement with Great Wolf Resorts whereby VICI Properties may provide certain financing for the construction and development of Great Wolf Lodge resorts throughout the United States United Airlines ($UAL) Q2 op revs $5.47B vs. est. $5.35B; 2Q adj EPS ($3.91) vs est. ($3.91), capacity -46%, 3Q est. capacity -26%; sees 3Q TRASM positive vs 3Q19; expects 4Q adj pre-tax income to be positive; Q2 operating expenses down 42%, down 32% excluding special charges, compared to q2 2019 Energy The American Petroleum Institute ($API) reports that crude inventories rose 806,000 barrels last week, gasoline inventories rose 3.31M barrels and distillate stockpiles fell -1.225M barrels Avangrid ($AGR) Q2 adj EPS 35c vs. est. 41c; Q2 revs $1.48B vs. est. $1.52B; cuts FY21 adjusted EPS view to $2.04-2.22 from $2.25-$2.45 (est. $2.36) Halliburton ($HAL) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman Sachs Financials CME Group ($CME) raises crude oil future Nymex (cl) maintenance margins to $5,450/contract from $5,300 for sept. 2021 Fulton Financial ($FULT) Q2 EPS $0.38 vs. est. $0.33; Q2 net interest income (NII) $162M vs. $152.7M last year; Q2 net interest margin 2.73% vs. 2.81% last year Hope Bancorp ($HOPE) 2Q EPS $0.43 vs est. $0.38, NII $126.6Mm vs est. $127.1Mm Interactive Brokers (IBKR) Q2 adj EPS $0.82 vs. est. $0.83; Q2 revs $754M vs. est. $681.28M; Net interest income increased $78 million, or 40%, from the year-ago quarter; Commission revenue increased $31 million, or 11%, from the year-ago quarter Preferred Bank ($PFBC) 2Q EPS $1.44 vs est. $1.46, NII $43.4Mm vs est. $46.6Mm National Storage ($NSA)8M share Spot Secondary priced at $51.25 Signature Bank ($SBNY)5M share Spot Secondary priced at $235.50 Shift4 Payments ($FOUR) announces offering of 1.79M shares of Class A common stock United Community Bank ($UCBI) Q2 EPS $0.78 vs. est. $0.67; Q2 return on assets (ROA) was 1.46% and its return on common equity was 14.1% for the quarter. On an operating basis, United’s ROA was 1.48% and its return on tangible common equity was 17.8%. On a pre-tax, pre-provision basis, operating return on assets was 1.67% for the quarter. Healthcare Johnson & Johnson ($JNJ) Q2 adj EPS $2.48 vs. est. $2.27; Q2 revs $23.31B vs. est. $22.19B; company increasing 2021 full-year guidance for sales and eps; sees 2021 adjusted operational sales change vs. prior year 12.5%-13.5%; raises FY21 adjusted EPS view to $9.50-$9.60 from $9.30-$9.45 (est. $9.52) and raises FY21 revenue view to $93.8B-$94.6B from $90.6B-$91.6B Anthem ($ANTM) Q2 adj EPS $7.03 vs. est. $6.33; Q2 revs $33.3B vs. est. $33.21B; raises FY21 adjusted EPS view to greater than $25.50 vs. est. $25.23 and above prior view for greater than $25.10; its benefit expense ratio – the percentage of premiums paid for medical services – worsened to 86.8% from 77.9% a year earlier Cytokinetics ($CYTK) 10M share Secondary priced at $27.50 Intuitive Surgical ($ISRG) Q2 adj EPS $3.92 vs. est. $3.07; Q2 revs $1.46B vs. est. $1.26B; shipped 328 da Vinci Surgical Systems, an increase of 84% compared with 178 in Q2 of 2020; grew its da Vinci Surgical System installed base to 6,335 systems as of June 30, an increase of 10% compared with 5,764 as of the end of Q2 of 2020; raises FY21 procedure growth view to 27%-30% from 22%-26% and sees FY21 gross profit margin 70.5%-71.5% of revenue Natera ($NTRA) files to sell $350M of common stock SmileDirectClub, Inc. ($SDC) announced that an en banc panel of the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Eleventh Circuit sided with the company, rejecting the Georgia Board of Dentistry’s attempt to shield itself from antitrust liability through an interlocutory appeal. Celyad Oncology ($CYAD) highlights new preclinical allogeneic armored CAR T candidate developed from its shRNA platform; the submission of IND application for CYAD-203, a new first-in-class shRNA-based allogeneic, IL-18-armored CAR T candidate, expected in mid-2022 Industrials & Materials AAR Corp. ($AIR) Q4 adj EPS $0.47 vs. est. $0.48; Q4 sales $437.6M vs. est. $422.6M; Q4 adj Ebitda $34.3M up +60% y/y Canadian National ($CNI) Q2 adj EPS C$1.49 (in-line with est.) vs. C$1.28 YoY; Q2 revenue C$3.6B versus C$3.21B last year; reaffirms 2021 outlook; still targeting double-digit adjusted eps growth for 2021 and still sees high single-digit volume growth in for 2021; quarterly carloads 1.47 mln vs 1.29 mln Forestar Group ($FOR) 3Q EPS $0.32 vs est. $0.40 on revs $312.9Mm vs est. $307.6Mm; says housing conditions remain favorable across the country, now expect to deliver between 15,500-16,000 lots in FY Rexnord Corp. ($RXN) 2Q adj EPS $0.58 vs est. $0.50 on sales $568Mm vs est. $543.9Mm; expects 3Q sales in WM platform to increase high-teens % YoY Rush Enterprise ($RUSHA) 2Q EPS $1.00 vs. est. $0.82 on revs $1.316B vs. est. $1.31B Technology, Media & Telecom Netflix ($NFLX) 3Q EPS $2.97 vs. est. $3.16 on revs $7.34B vs. est. $7.32B, streaming net adds 1.54Mm w/ about 2/3 of global paid net adds from APAC; guides 3Q streaming net adds 3.5Mm 9vs. est. at 5.5Mm), sees 3Q revs $7.48B vs. est. $7.48B; says continue to target 20% operating margin for FY Avnet ($AVT) guides Q4 EPS $1.01-$1.05 vs. est. $0.79; said strong quarter-over-quarter sales growth in EMEA, Asia and Farnell, and continued operating improvement in the Americas, all contributed to better-than-expected results Qualtrics ($XM) Q2 EPS $0.04 vs. est. loss (2c); Q2 revs $249.3M vs. est. $241.63M; sees Q3 revs $257M-$259M vs. est. $246.6M; Q2 2021 Subscription Revenue of $204.5M, up 48% YoY; next 12 months remaining performance obligations of $754.8M, up 61% YoY ASML Holdings ($ASML) raises its 2021 sales outlook and announces a new share buyback, as orders for its equipment soared amid a global computer chip shortage; announces 9 bln euro ($10.60 bln) share buyback; said demand remained strong as major chipmakers raced to expand production capacity SAP AG ($SAP) Q2 revenue was 6.67 billion euros, up 1% from the year earlier quarter, or 3% higher adjusted for currency, and about in line with the Wall Street analyst consensus forecast at 6.69 billion euros; posted cloud revenue of 2.276 billion euros, up 11%, or 17% in constant currency, missing the Street consensus at 2.31 billion euros CS Disco ($LAW) 7M share IPO priced at $32.00 Paycor ($PYCR)5M share IPO priced at $23.00 VTEX ($VTEX) 19M share IPO priced at $19.00

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@DarkPoolAlgo #Dark Pool Charts
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SCAN RESULTS - BULLISH BOTTOMS $DISCA, $CHGG, $STNE, $ATVI, $PSX, $AZEK, $ETSY, $FTCH, $POSH, $UAA, $SNAP, $PFGC, $BMRN, $CAT, $BIGC, $AVLR, $RSX, $BKR, $COUP, $STNE, $LI, $LESL, $BMBL, $PTON, $IOVA, $RUBY TOPS $ATVI, $FTCH, $FVRR, $IFT, $SBH, $SONY, $YUM, $CVS, $NVST, $CAT, $SYK, $TDC, $TWLO, $RSX, $AMZN, $ALXN BEARISH $BK, $ELS, $KMX, $MCK, $NIO, $WFC, $NVDA, $TLT, $VALE, $INFY

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@DarkPoolAlgo #Dark Pool Charts
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$JKS, $BKR look healthy

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/*============================================= = Wednesday, June 9, 2021 = =============================================*/ Futures Up/Down % Last Dow -25.00 0.07% 34,561 S&P 500 2.25 0.05% 4,228 Nasdaq 28.50 0.20% 13,839 U.S. stock futures are mixed with Dow futures slipping, S&P futures flat and Nasdaq futures looking higher as Treasury yields fall to their lowest levels in weeks (1.50% for the 10-year) ahead of key inflation data later this week. Stock averages flirted with record highs on Tuesday, as the S&P neared but could not hold its early gains (ended Tuesday at 4,227, just off its closing high on May 7 of 4,232) while the Russell 2000 neared its all-time best close as investors appear wary ahead of inflation data due on Thursday in the form of consumer prices (CPI). Consumer discretionary and energy were the best performing major S&P 500 sectors on the day, while utilities were the weakest group. A lack of clear market catalysts kept institutional investors on the sidelines, while retail traders fueled the ongoing meme stocks rally with more volatility from the likes of AMC, GME, BBBY, WKHS, BB, with new names such as CLOV and WEN added to the fray. Fear remains non-existent in the market as the CBOE volatility index (VIX) touched its lowest level in over a year. It appears for the time being the “meme stocks” are taking over from crypto as the place to be as Bitcoin prices slid. Oil prices inch higher with WTI crude above $70 per barrel for the first time since October 2018 and Bitcoin rebounds. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index fell -102 points to 28,860, the Shanghai Index rose 11 points to 3,591 and the Hang Seng Index dipped -38 points to 28,742. In Europe, the German DAX is down about -80 points to 15,555, while the FTSE 100 slides about -40 points to 7,050. China data showed May PPI +9.0% y/y vs +8.5% poll, +6.8% in April, May CPI +1.3% y/y vs +1.6% poll, +0.9% in April (CPI highest in eight months). Chinese stocks edge higher despite the fastest factory inflation since 2008 as benign CPI suggests only limited pass-through to consumers Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index inched higher 0.74 points, or 0.02%, to 4,227.26 The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell -30.42 points, or 0.09%, to 34,599.82 The Nasdaq Composite gained 43.19 points, or 0.31%, to 13,924.91 The Russell 2000 Index advanced 24.58 points, or 1.06% to 2,343.76 Events Calendar for Today 7:00 AM ET MBA Mortgage Applications Data 10:00 AM EST Wholesale Inventories for April 10:30 AM ET Weekly DOE Inventory Data Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: BF/B, $CPB, $DAKT, $LOVE, $UNFI, $VRA Earnings After the Close: $ENZ, $GEF, $GME, $KLXE, $LAKE, $OXM, $RH, $TCL, $VRNT Other Key Events: Baird Global Consumer, Technology & Services Conference 2021 (virtual), 6/8-6/10 Deutsche Bank Global Consumer Conference (virtual), 6/7-6/10 Goldman Sachs Healthcare Conference (virtual), 6/8-6/10 Goldman Sachs 25th Annual European Financials Conference (virtual), 6/8-6/10 Jefferies Healthcare Virtual Conference, 6/8-6/10 Oppenheimer Virtual Software & Semiconductor Bus Tour, 6/7-6/11 Piper Global Exchange & FinTech Conference (virtual), 6/9-6/10 REITWeek 2021 Investor Virtual Conference, 6/8-6/10 UBS Global Industrials and Transportation Conference, 6/8-6/9 Macro Up/Down Last Nymex 0.11 70.16 Brent 0.12 72.34 Gold -2.60 1,890.25 EUR/USD 0.0019 1.2192 JPY/USD -0.06 109.44 10-Year Note -0.019 1.509% World News China’s factory gate prices rose at their fastest annual pace in over 12 years in May as the producer price index (PPI) increased 9.0% from a year earlier (est. 8.5%), the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) said driven by significant price increases in crude oil, iron ore and non-ferrous metals. On a monthly basis, the PPI rose 1.6%, up from a 0.9 uptick in April. China’s consumer price index (CPI) rose 1.3% in May in annual terms, the biggest increase in eight months. That was still slower than analysts’ forecast for a 1.6% increase, after a 0.9% gain in April. S. Senate passed a wide ranging $250b Bill designed to counter China & compete with China Bipartisan group meeting, Republican Senators came out of the meeting saying that they made a lot of progress, there is work to be done to reach an agreement, Manchin says a positive meeting, moving in the right direction. Sector News Breakdown Consumer Casey General ($CASY) Q4 EPS $1.12 vs. est. 88c; Q4 revs $2.38B vs. est. $2.22B Calavo Growers ($CVGW) Q2 adj EPS $0.43 vs. est. $0.44; Q2 revs $276.82M vs. est. $267.07M; sees Q3 revs $280M-$300M vs. est. $295.8M; sees Q3 adjusted EBITDA $11M-$15M; Q2 Fresh segment revenue decreased 5%, due primarily to 9% growth in avocado volume, offset by a 10% decrease in avocado prices and 31% lower tomato revenue Limoneira ($LMNR) Q2 adj EPS 10c vs. est. 6c; Q2 revs $45.1M in-line with ests; believes it is prudent to not provide lemon guidance at this time until covid-19 vaccine is widely distributed; continues to believe avocado revenue in fiscal 2021 will be strong due to market factors and positive initial crop indicators Target Corp. ($TGT) raises its quarterly dividend by 32% to $0.90 Energy, Industrials and Materials The American Petroleum Institute ($API) showed crude oil stockpiles fell -2.1m bbl vs -3.5m expected: Cushing -420k: Gasoline +2.4m: Distillates +3.75m Air Products ($APD) and Baker Hughes (BKR) announced a strategic global collaboration to develop next generation hydrogen compression aimed at lowering the cost of production and accelerating the adoption of hydrogen as a zero-carbon fuel Ahead of its investor and analyst conference today, UPS (UPS) announced 2023 financial targets with FY23 consolidated revenue ranging from approximately $98 billion to approximately $102 billion vs. $99.92B consensus SPX Corporation ($SPXC) signs an agreement to sell 100% of the issued and outstanding stock of its wholly-owned subsidiary, SPX Transformer Solutions, to GE-Prolec Transformers, for $645 million in cash; lowers FY21 adjusted EPS view to $2.17-$2.37 from $3.06-$3.26 and lowers FY21 revenue view to $1.25B from $1.70B (est. $1.69B) ABM Industries ($ABM) Q2 adj EPS $0.82 vs. est. $0.71; Q2 revs $1.5B vs. est. $1.48B; raises year EPS view to $3.30-$3.50 from prior $3.00-$3.25 (est. $3.18); maintaining its guidance for FY 2021 Gaap income from continuing operations Boeing ($BA) seeks increase in $3.9bn Air Force One fixed-price contract; Manufacturer’s supplier problems could delay new jets for White House by a year – Financial Times reported Sherwin-Williams ($SHW) raises Q2 sales guidance and full year 2021 sales and diluted net income per share guidance; raises FY 2021 consolidated net sales guidance to be up a high-single to low-double-digit percentage over full year 2020; raises FY21 EPS view to $9.15-$9.45 from $8.80-$9.07 (est. $9.32) Global Ship Lease ($GSL) agrees to purchase 12 container ships from Borealis Finance LLC for an aggregate purchase price of $233.9M; GSL’s fleet will comprise 62 container ships with a total capacity of 322,770 TEU Vale ($VALE) said it will prepay an outstanding ~$2.5B balance related to project financing for the Nacala logistics corridor that serves the Moatize coal mine in Mozambique. Financials Cohen & Steers ($CNS) reports preliminary AUM $94.2B as of May 31; an increase of $1.4B from assets under management at April 30. The increase was due to net inflows of $760M and market appreciation of $815M, partially offset by distributions of $201M Amazon ($AMZN) is considering replacing JPMorgan (JPM) in its co-brand card deal, Bloomberg reported saying American Express (AXP) and Synchrony Financial (SYF) are being considered as an alternative UP Fintech ($TIGR)5M share Secondary priced at $24.50 Healthcare Karyopharm Therapeutics ($KPTI) announces key management changes to its commercial organization LYRA Therapeutics ($LYRA) announces positive outcome of end-of-phase 2 meeting with the FDA for lyr-210 for the treatment of chronic rhinosinusitis Option Care Health ($OPCH) 15M share Spot Secondary priced at $20.00 Technology, Media & Telecom Comtech ($CMTL) Q3 sales $139.4M vs. est. $140.7M; Q3 adj EPS 26c vs. est. loss of (1c); still sees FY adj Ebitda $74M-$76M vs. est. $74.5M; lowers FY net sales $580M-$590M from prior $610.0M-$620.0M (est. $616.4M) Pegasystems ($PEGA) expands share repurchase program to $60M UiPath ($PATH) Q1 EPS loss ($1.11) vs. (33c) last year; Q1 revs $186.2M vs. $113.1M last year Ondas Holding ($INDS)4M share Spot Secondary priced at $7.00

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@tkgromit #Emporos Research
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Man, it's mornings like this that I just have to scratch my head. I picked up $LPI a couple of days ago. Oil stocks have been on a rally and oil is holding strong. LPI had earnings yesterday and beat the estimates. Today, they are down, in contrast to most of the other upstream stocks I'm watching (COP, XOM, TOT, DVN, APA), and even down contra the oilfield service companies (SLB, HAL and BKR).

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