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Thursday, August 5, 2021 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow 55.00 0.16% 34,745 S&P 500 9.25 0.22% 4,404 Nasdaq 33.50 0.22% 15,107 U.S. futures are looking up modestly, rising roughly about 0.2% across the board into one of the heaviest days of corporate earnings of the season, as major averages continue to hold not far off record highs. The S&P 500 index has held the pivotal 4,400 level for over a week now, as overall major averages have moved sideways for two or three weeks now, bolstered by rising on better economic data, earnings results, and an accommodative Fed, which has offset rising Delta variant concerns and fears of further global restrictions to contain the rise in cases and tighter government restrictions in China. Oil prices edge higher after sliding sharply the last 3-days on demand concerns. Bitcoin prices are down about 4% holding just above the $38,000 level while Ethereum slips nearly 4% to 2,600 in the crypto sector. Ahead of tomorrow’s nonfarm payrolls report, investors will get two more labor market data points with the Challenger jobs report at 7:30 and the weekly jobless claims. Euro Stoxx 50 rises 0.5% around best levels for the week. Wednesday’s after-hours big-name earnings were disappointing for the most part, which could weigh on sentiment. Major averages ended the session mixed on Wednesday, following conflicting signals on the economy that showed a hot services sector, but a labor market that continues to struggle to find workers. The Institute for Supply Management survey on Wednesday jumped to a record high of 64.1 in July, but the ADP Employment Report showed private payrolls only rose by 330,000 last month, well shy of the 695,000 estimate ahead of tomorrow’s payrolls. The Dow Jones saw the biggest fall, dragged lower by a decline of more than 6% in Amgen in the wake of its quarterly results, accounting for about 103 points to the downside while energy was the weakest sector on the day, suffering its biggest daily percentage drop since July 19. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index gained 144 points to 27,728, the Shanghai Index dipped -10 points to 3,466 and the Hang Seng Index declined -221 points (0.84%) to settle at 26,204. In Europe, markets are little changed as the German DAX is up a few points at the 15,700 level, while the FTSE 100 is down a couple of points at 7.120. Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index slipped -20.49 points, or 0.46%, to 4,402.66 The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell -323.73 points, or 0.92%, to 34,792.67 The Nasdaq Composite edged higher 19.24 points, or 0.13%, to 14,780.53 The Russell 2000 Index declined -27.26 points, or 1.23% to 2,196.32 Events Calendar for Today 7:30 AM ET Challenger Job Layoffs for July 8:30 AM ET Weekly Jobless Claims 8:30 AM EST Continuing Claims 10:30 AM ET Weekly EIA Natural Gas Inventory Data Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: ABMD, ADNT, AES, AHCO, AKBA, AMRS, ARWR, AVEO, BBGI, BCRX, BDX, BERY, BKI, BLDR, BLL, BV, CAH, CARS, CCOI, CHH, CI, CNP, COMM, CRAI, DDOG, DIN, DLX, DUK, ECOM, EPAM, EPC, EVRG, FOUR, GCP, GNL, GOGO, GOLF, GTN, HBI, HBIO, HII, HL, IDCC, INSM, IRM, IRWD, ITI, K, KPTI, LAMR, LAUR, LNG, LXP, MMS, MPLN, MRNA, MUR, MYE, NINE, NS, NTLA, PCTY, PBH, PBPB, PEI, PENN, PH, PNW, PPL, PRTY, PWR, PZZA, RC, RDUS, REGN, ROLL, SEAS, SSYS, TEN, THS, TRGP, UFS, USPH, VG, VIAC, VST, W, WD, WOW, WRK, XEC, XERS, XTNT, XXII, YETI, ZIXI, ZTS Earnings After the Close: AAOI, AEE, AEL, AIG, AINV, ALRM, ALTR, AMBC, APLE, APPN, ARNA, ASTG, AVLR, AXON, BAND, BECN, BGS, BHF, BIGC, BKD, BL, BRBR, BRKS, BYND, CARG, CDXS, CGNX, CHRS, CHUY, CLNE, CNXN, COLD, CSOD, CVNA, CWK, DBX, DHX, DIOD, EB, ECOR, EGLE, ENTA, ENV, ERII, EXEL, EXPE, FEYE, FLDM, FLS, FND, FOXF, FSR, FTSI, G, GDYN, GEOS, GH, GKOS, GPRO, GRPN, GSBD, HASI, HCAT, HCI, HEAR, HTA, IFF, ILMN, IHRT, IOVA, IRTC, ITT, JCOM, KALA, KAMN, LGF.A, LNT, LOCO, LTHM, MAIN, MDRX, MNST, MP, MSI, MTW, MTZ, NET, NKTR, NVAX, NWSA, NYMT, OLED, OUT, PBYI, PK, PODD, POST, PRA, QDEL, RAMP, RDFN, REZI, RMD, RUN, SFM, SGMO, SHAK, SPCE, SQ, SYNA, TDC, TGH, TMDX, TMST, TRUE, TRUP, TTOO, VLDR, VMEO, VOYA, VV, WSC, Y, YELP, ZEUS, ZG, ZNGA Macro Up/Down Last Nymex 0.37 68.52 Brent 0.26 70.64 Gold 0.40 1,811.75 EUR/USD 0.0005 1.1842 JPY/USD 0.03 109.51 10-Year Note -0.004 1.19% Sector News Breakdown Consumer Boot Barn ($BOOT) Q1 EPS $1.35 vs est. $0.88 in revs $306.3M vs est. $288.9M; same-store sales +78.9% vs 1Q20, +52.3% vs 1Q19; opened 3 new stores in the quarter Costco ($COST) reported total comparable sales for July of +13.8%; July U.S. comparable sales excluding fuel, currencies +8.5% L.F. Beauty ($ELF) 1Q EPS $0.15 vs est. $0.15 on sales $97Mm vs est. $79.3Mm; guides FY adj EPS $0.65-0.68 vs est. $0.67, sees FY sales $356-364Mm vs est. $350.5Mm Etsy Inc. ($ETSY) shares tumble -13% on guidance; 2Q EPS $0.68 vs est. $0.63 on revs $528.9Mm vs est. $524.7Mm, qtrly consolidated GMS $3.0B +13%; guides 3Q revs $500-525Mm vs est. $524.7Mm, sees 3Q GMS $2.9-3.0B Frontdoor Inc. ($FTDR) Q2 EPS $0.76 vs est. $0.63 on revs $462M vs est. $466M, sees Q3 revenue $470M-$480M, lowered FY revenue outlook to $1.6B-$1.62B (est. $1.64B) from $1.63B-$1.65B Jack in the Box ($JACK) Q3 EPS $1.79 vs est. $1.49 on revs $269.5M vs est. $258.5M, same-store sales +10.2%, systemwide sales +10.6%, company-operated same-store sales +9.0%, sees FY21 capex $40M-$45M, FY22 capex $65M-$75M Leslie’s ($LESL) Q3 adj EPS $0.64 vs. est. $0.55; Q3 revs $596.54M vs. est. $570.37M; Q3 comparable sales growth of 23.9%; raises FY21 adjusted EPS view 80c-85c from 75c-80c (est. 77c) and boosts FY21 revs to $1.31B-$1.33B from $1.28B-$1.3B (est. $1.3B); Adjusted EBITDA of $179.3 million compared to $119.8 million in the prior year quarter, an increase of 49.7% MGM Resorts ($MGM) 2Q adj EPS ($0.13) vs est. ($0.30) on net revs $2.3B vs est. $2.28B, MGM China net revs $311Mm, LV Strip net revs $1.0B, regional net revs $856Mm Rent-A-Center ($RCII) 2Q adj EPS $1.63 vs est. $1.35 on revs $1.2B vs est. $1.14B, qtrly comps +16.6% led by e-comm; guides FY revs $4.55-4.67B vs est. $4.56B, sees Rent-A-Center segment revs $2.02-2.06B, sees FY adj EPS $5.90-6.40 vs est. $5.66; announces $250Mm repurchase auth Uber ($UBER) Q2 EPS $0.58 on revs $3.93B vs. est. $3.74B; Q2 gross bookings grew 114% yoy to $21.9 billion, or 104% on a constant currency basis, with Mobility Gross Bookings of $8.6 billion and Delivery Gross Bookings of $12.9 billion; Q2 Adj EBITDA Loss $509M vs. est. loss $324.5M; sees Q3 Adj EBITDA loss below $100M vs. est. loss $95.4M Wynn Resorts (WYNN) 2Q adj EPS ($1.12) vs est. ($1.61) on revs $990.1Mm vs est. $932.5Mm, Wynn Macau revs $184Mm, LV ops revs $355.1Mm ADT Inc. ($ADT) adj EPS ($0.07) vs est. $0.25 on revs $1.304B vs est. $1.28B; Gross recurring monthly revenue (RMR) additions grew 28%; end of period RMR of $352 million increased by 4%; solid customer retention with attrition at 13.3% Driven Brands ($DRVN) 12M share Secondary priced at $29.50 European Wax Center ($EWCZ)6M share IPO priced at $17.00 Weber ($WEBR) 18M (which was cut down from 46.8M) share IPO priced at $14.00 Energy APA Inc. ($APA) Q2 adj EPS $0.70 vs. est. $0.57’ Q2 revs $1.75B vs. est. $1.46B; qtrly adjusted production, which excludes Egypt noncontrolling interest and tax barrels, was 342,000 boe per day; at current strip prices, we expect to generate approximately $1.7B of free cash flow this year Earthstone Energy ($ESTE) files for offering of up to 6.2 mln shares of class a common stock by selling stockholders Marathon Oil ($MRO) Q2 EPS $0.22 vs. est. $0.15; Q2 revs $1.14B vs. est. $1.09B; Q2 oil-equivalent production of 348,000 net boed; raising 2021 full year oil-equivalent production guidance by 5,000 net boed; Q2 oil production of 170,000 net bopd; raised quarterly base dividend by 25% to 5c; raising the midpoint of its 2021 full year U.S. oil-equivalent production guidance by 5,000 net boed Warrior Met Coal ($HCC) 2Q adj EPS $0.25 vs est. ($0.18) on revs $227.4Mm vs est. $128.3Mm; not providing FY guide at this time Whiting Petroleum ($WLL) Q2 adj EPS $3.01 vs. est. $1.97; Q2 revs $352M vs. est. $244.27M; said generated net cash provided by operating activities of $183M and $111M in adjusted free cash flow during the quarter and over $200 million through six months; raises FY21 production view to 88-92 MBOE per day from 82-88 Financials Allstate Corp. ($ALL) Q2 adj EPS $3.79 vs. est. $3.04; Q2 revs $12.65B vs. est. $10.51B; announces new $5B repurchase program; 2Q Book Value Per Shr $86.33; Q2 Catastrophe Loss $952M; Q2 Property-Liability Premiums Earned $10.01B; 2Q Property-Liability Premiums Written $10.32B;2Q Property-Liability Combined Ratio 95.7 Fleetcor ($FLT) Q2 EPS $2.30 vs est. $2.94, adj EPS $3.15, on revs $667.4M vs est. $637.3M; its board increased its share repurchase authorization by$1B; sees Q3 adj EPS $3.35-$3.55 vs est. $3.36, and raised outlook for FY adj EPS to $12.80-$13 (est. $12.61) from $12.32-$12.88 and FY revs to $2.74B-$2.79B (est. $2.68B) from $2.6B-$2.7B Lemonade ($LMND) Q2 EPS loss (-$0.90) vs. est. loss (-$0.89); Q2 revs $28.2M vs. est. $26.8M; customer count increased by 48% to 1,206,172 yoy; premium per customer, defined as in force premium divided by customers, was $246 at the end of the second quarter, up 29% yoy; raises FY21 revenue view to $123M-$125M from $117M-$120M (est. $118.94M); narrows FY21 adjusted EBITDA view to ($173M)-($169M) from ($173M)-($163M) Lincoln National ($LNC) Q2 adj operating EPS $3.17 vs. est. $2.35; Q2 revs $4.85B vs. est. $4.72B; Reports book value per share, including AOCI, of $115.00, up 7%; BVPS, excluding AOCI, of $75.45, up 9% MetLife ($MET) announces new $3B share repurchase authorization; Q2 adj EPS $2.37 vs. est. $1.57; Q2 revs $18.52M vs. est. $15.77B; qtrly premiums, fees & other revenues $11.22 bln vs $10.49 bln; qtrly net investment income $5.28 bln vs $4.09 bln; book value of $75.86 per share at qtr-end, down 4% from $78.65 per share at June 30, 2020 RE/MAX Holdings ($RMAX) 2Q adj EPS $0.63 vs est. $1.31 on revs $77.2Mm vs est. $76.4Mm; guides 3Q revs $86.5-91.5Mm vs est. $79.1Mm; sees FY revs $321-336Mm vs est. $308.7Mm Western Union (WU) Q2 adj EPS $0.48 vs. est. $0.47; Q2 revs $1.3B vs. est. $1.26B; reaffirms FY21 adj EPS view $2.00-$2.10 vs. est. $2.06; reaffirms FY21 revenue growth view mid-to-high single digits; Consumer-to-Consumer (C2C) transactions increased 15% in the quarter, while revenues increased 15% on a reported basis, or 12% constant currency. Robinhood ($HOOD) filed with the SEC a prospectus related to the offer and sale from time to time of up to 97,876,033 shares of Class A common stock of Robinhood Markets, Inc. by certain selling stockholders

$BLL no f*cks given

Wednesday, May 26, 2021 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow 77.00 0.22% 34,346 S&P 500 11.25 0.28% 4,197 Nasdaq 40.50 0.30% 13,697 U.S. stocks are looking slightly higher, coming off a day where stocks slipped following disappointing economic data that showed declining consumer confidence amid higher inflation fears and weaker housing news. Gold prices extend gains, topping the $1.900 an ounce level as Treasury yields continue to slide with the 10-year down at 1.56%. The reopen trade names such as airlines, cruise lines, restaurants and retailers have led markets higher the last few days along with a bounce in technology stocks, while early 2021 winners such as industrials, materials and energy have pared gains. Federal Reserve official’s day-after-day keep telling markets that rising inflation will prove to be largely transitory, which has helped push the dollar and Treasury yields lower. Crypto assets wild ride continues, with prices of Bitcoin and the likes finding solid footing this morning (Bitcoin above 40K). In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index rose 88 points to 28,642, the Shanghai Index rose 12 points to 3,593, and the Hang Seng Index jumped 255 points to 29,166. In Europe, the German DAX is down a few points to 15,455, while the FTSE 100 slipped about -10 points to 7,015. Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index slipped -8.92 points, or 0.21%, to 4,188.13 The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell -81.52 points, or 0.24%, to 34,312.46 The Nasdaq Composite dipped -4.00 points, or 0.03%, to 13,657.17 The Russell 2000 Index declined -21.59 points, or 0.97% to 2,205.75 Events Calendar for Today 7:00 AM ET MBA Mortgage Applications Data 10:30 AM ET Weekly DOE Inventory Data Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: ANF, BBW, CMCO, DKS, PLAB, REX Earnings After the Close: AEO, APPS, CHNG, CVCO, DBI, ELF, HEI, MOD, NVDA, NXGN, OKTA, OOMA, PSTG, QADB, QMCO, SNOW, UHAL, WDAY, WSM, ZUO Other Key Events: Goldman Sachs TechNet Conference Asia Pacific 2021 (virtual), 5/24-5/28 JPMorgan Global technology, Media & Communications Conference (virtual), 5/24-5/26 UBS Global Healthcare Conference (virtual), 5/24-5/26 Microsoft Build Conference (virtual), 5/25-5/27 New Relic Future Stack Conference (virtual), 5/25-5/27 Truist Securities 22nd Annual Financial Services Conference (virtual), 5/25-5/26 UBS Global Oil & Gas Conference (virtual), 5/25-5/27 Wolfe Research Transport & Industrials Conference (virtual), 5/25-5/27 Macro Up/Down Last Nymex -0.12 65.95 Brent 0.07 68.72 Gold 8.45 1,907.70 EUR/USD -0.0014 1.2236 JPY/USD 0.12 108.90 10-Year Note +0.002 1.567% World News Iran has banned the energy-intensive mining of cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin for nearly 4 months, President Hassan Rouhani said on Wednesday, as the country faces major power blackouts in many cities. Bank of Japan board member Hitoshi Suzuki said on Wednesday it was premature to consider an exit strategy for the central bank’s purchases of exchange-traded funds (ETF). However, he also said it was “undesirable” for the BOJ’s ETF holdings to keep increasing New Zealand’s central bank held interest rates on Wednesday but hinted at a hike as early as September next year Sector News Breakdown Consumer Nordstrom (JWN) Q1 EPS loss ($1.05) vs. est. loss ($0.57); company remains on pace to achieve annual sales, earnings and cash flow goals; Q1 sales rose 44% YoY to $2.92B vs. est. $2.9B; Q1 digital sales increased 28% YoY and represented 46% of total; reaffirmed revenue expectations for fiscal 2021; says balancing inventory levels with sales while managing receipt flows to mitigate potential supply chain disruptions Red Robin (RRGB) Q1 adj EPS loss (30c) vs. est. loss ($1.16); Q1 revs $318.7M vs. est. $310.4M; Q1 comp sales rose 10% over the same period in 2020, and decreased 12.8% compared to the same period in 2019; at the end of Q1, 55% of Company-owned restaurants had positive comparable restaurant revenue compared to 2019; says all company-owned units have re-opened with varying levels of capacity GSX Techedu (GOTU) posts Q1 loss of 5.20 yuan per share, compared to a profit of 0.76 yuan a year earlier; operating expenses triple from last year on increased marketing expenses and staff compensation Skyline Champion (SKY) 4Q adj EPS $0.61 vs. est. $0.38 on revs $447.6Mm vs. est. $384.4Mm Toll Brothers (TOL) 2Q EPS $1.01 vs. est. $0.80, home sales revs $1.84B, backlog $8.69B at qtr end; guides 3Q deliveries 2,675 units, sees FY deliveries 10,200-10,400 units; Q2 contracted homes were 3,487, up 85% from last year; Q2 backlog value was $8.69B, up 58% from last year; homes in backlog were 10,104, up 57% from last year Urban Outfitters (URBN) 1Q EPS $0.54 vs. est. $0.17 on sales $927Mm vs. est. $900Mm, retail comps +10% (+44% at free people, +9% at urban, +1% at Anthro), total inventory +17%; says cancelled or delayed many orders during the qtr to reduce inventory levels; Gross margin rose 130 bps during the quarter to 32.4% of sales; sees Q2 revenue up low teens percentage range Energy, Industrials and Materials The American Petroleum Institute (API) reported a weekly draw of 439K barrels of oil; showed a draw of 1.98M barrels, distillate inventories show a draw of 5.13M barrels and Cushing inventories show a draw of 1.15M barrels. Crown Holdings (CCK), Ardagh Group (ARD), and Ball Corp. (BLL) all downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at BMO Capital following news that Can-Pack is building a second U.S. beverage can plant in Indiana; says Can-Pack’s “aggressive” expansion into the U.S., as well as a smaller entrance by Envases Universales raises fresh questions and suggests that heady expansion plans by the incumbents could be challenged Columbus McKinnon (CMCO) Q4 adj EPS 50c vs. est. 51c; Q4 revs $186.2M vs. est. $182.4M; sees Q1 revs $212M-$217M vs. est. $203.76M Heico (HEI) Q2 EPS $0.51 vs. est. $0.48; Q2 sales $466.7M vs. est. $443.1M; says cannot provide fiscal 2021 net sales and earnings guidance at this time; consolidated operating margin was 20.0% in the first six months of fiscal 2021, as compared to 22.5% in the first six months of fiscal 2020 ReneSola (SOL) Q1 EPS 1c vs. est. loss (2c); Q1 revs $22.8M vs. est. $19.04M; sees 2Q revs $19-22Mm and gr margin 36-39% vs. est. $23.2Mm and 31.5%; guides FY revs $90-100Mm vs. est. $98.5Mm, sees FY gr mgn over 25% vs. est. 27.8% July corn prices dropped over 5% on Tuesday to $6.20 3/4 per bushel and has now fallen 15% since May 7, when the contract maxed at $7.35 1/4 per bushel. Prices were pressured after the Department of Agriculture reported that U.S. farmers had planted 90% of their corn crops, above the five-year average of 80%. Financials Intuit Corp. (INTU) 3Q adj EPS $6.07 vs. est. $6.47 on revs $4.2B vs. est. $4.4B; guides 4Q adj EPS $1.55-1.60 vs. est. $0.34; guides FY revs $9.362-9.4B vs. est. $9.06B Bank of Montreal (BMO) reported a rise in Q2 profit amid higher revenue; bet income was C$1.3 billion in the quarter, compared with C$689 million a year ago; revenue rose to C$6.08 billion from C$5.26 billion; net efficiency ratio rose to 69.3% in the quarter, up from 64.4%, while return on equity rose to 10.2% from 5.5%. Dynamics Special Purpose Corp (DYNS) 20M share IPO priced at $10.00 Flywire (FLYW)44M share IPO priced at $24.00 Healthcare Agilent (A) Q2 adj EPS 97c vs. est. 83c; Q2 revs $1.525B vs. est. $1.4B; sees Q3 adj EPS 97c-99c above est. 91c; sees Q3 revs $1.51B-$1.54B, also above est. $1.42B; raises FY21 adj EPS view to $4.09-$4.14 from $3.80-$3.90 (est. $3.90); boosts FY21 revs view to $6.15B-$6.21B (est. $5.94B) Nabriva Therapeutics (NBRV) surges the co and Chinese partner Sinovant Sciences said Lefamulin met the main goal in treating Chinese adults with community acquired bacterial pneumonia in a late-stage study Travere Therapeutics (TVTX) provides a regulatory update for its Sparsentan program in focal segmental glomerulosclerosis (FSGS); said based upon the feedback from the U.S. FDA, the company said it no longer expects to submit for accelerated approval for FSGS in the U.S. during the second half of 2021. Larimar Therapeutics (LRMR) plunges over 40% after saying the FDA has placed a clinical hold on the CTI-1601 clinical program and that the company will not be closing a previously announced private placement financing Technology, Media & Telecom Zscaler (ZS) 3Q adj EPS $0.15 vs. est. $0.07 on revs $176.4Mm vs. est. $163.7Mm; guides 4Q adj EPS $0.08-0.09 vs. est. $0.10, sees 4Q revs $185-187Mm vs. est. $173.9Mm; Q3 Calculated billings grows 71% YoY to $225.0M and deferred revenue grows 65% YoY to $495.4M DoubleVerify Holdings (DV) Q1 EPS 4c on revs $67.6M; sees Q2 revs $72M-$74M (est. $69.5M) and FY21 revs $322M-$326M (est. $315.1M) LiveRamp Holdings (RAMP) 4Q adj EPS $0.04 vs. est. $0.02 on revs $119.18Mm vs. est. $116.14Mm; guides 1Q revs $112Mm vs. est. $112.9Mm; sees FY22 revs of up to $509Mm vs. est. $507.7Mm Elastic (ESTC) announced an expanded strategic partnership with Microsoft (MSFT) Apple (AAPL) is expected to outpace Samsung (SSNLF) as the largest buyer of AMOLED displays for smartphones in 2021, as new iPhones for the year are likely to adopt flexible AMOLED screens, pushing up the penetration of such displays in iPhone devices to around 80% – Digitimes Ambarella (AMBA), Lumentum (LITE) and ON Semiconductor (ON) announced two new joint reference designs that accelerate AIoT device deployment across verticals, building on the companies’ previous joint solution for contactless access systems Photronics (PLAB) Q2 EPS 17c (in-line w ests) and Q2 revs $159.8M vs. est. $158.27M; sees Q3 EPS 19c-25c vs. est. 21c; sees Q3 revs $162M-$172M vs. est. $168.1M Globant (GLOB)2M share Secondary priced at $214.00

BILL BLL BILI

$BLL Selected to Integrate and Test "Sailcraft" for NASA Solar Propulsion Technology Demonstration (Ball Corp)

$bll 110 call flow

8/6 BMO EPS Winners: $BMY, $PWR, $PH, $BLL, $WLK, $TRGP, $NSIT, $CQP, $ZTS, $KELYA, $THS, $SRCL, $MMS, $AAWW, $PZZA, $TAST, $PBH, $YETI