Credit Acceptance Corp.
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Monday, November 1, 2021 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow 159.00 0.45% 35,863 S&P 500 20.25 0.44% 4,617 Nasdaq 65.50 0.41% 15,904 Another day, another record for U.S. averages with the S&P, Dow and Nasdaq looking to add to October gains and kick off the new trading month off strong. Materials and some consumer products are getting a boost after the U.S. and European Union reached a trade truce on steel and aluminum tariffs over the weekend. The two sides were working hard to reach a deal before Dec. 1, when the European retaliatory tariffs were set to double; the 25% tariffs will apply to EU exports beyond 3.3 million tons, Bloomberg reported. The EU agreed to drop retaliatory tariffs on U.S. motorcycles, jeans and bourbon whiskey per Bloomberg (shares of names like HOG looking higher). Earnings optimism also continues to offset concern over a near-term move on tapering from the Federal Reserve that could add to signals of slowing growth in the supply chain-snarled economy, ahead of the FOMC meeting later this week. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index rose 2.6% or over 750 points to 29,647, the Shanghai Index slipped a few points to 3,544 and the Hang Seng Index dropped -0.88% or over 200 points to 25,154. In Europe, the German DAX is up about 135 points to 15,825, while the FTSE 100 gains +0.5% to 7,275. After posting the worst monthly returns since March 2020 in September, it was a rip fest in October as the S&P 500 500 gains 6.9%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average climbs 5.8%, the Nasdaq Composite adds 7.3% and the Russell 2000 jumps 4.2%. The S&P 500, Dow register 4-straight weeks of gains for the first time since mid-April, Nasdaq notches first 4-week advance since June. As for last week, the S&P 500 gains 1.33%, the Dow rose 0.4% and Nasdaq added 2.71%. overall Friday, the U.S. stock market set another round of record highs as Wall Street looked past disappointing results from major companies Apple and Amazon to wrap up its best month of the year. Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index gained 8.96 points, or 0.19%, to 4,605.38 The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 89.06 points, or 0.25%, to 35,819.56 The Nasdaq Composite climbed 50.29 points, or 0.33%, to 15,498.39 The Russell 2000 Index slipped -0.79 points, or 0.03% to 2,297.19 Events Calendar for Today 10:00 AM ET Construction Spending for September 10:00 AM ET ISM Manufacturing PMI for October Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: AMG, BEN, CNA, ENBL, IVAC, JELD, L, OIS, ON, PCG, SXC, TKR Earnings After the Close: ADC, ADTN, ADUS, ANET, APEN, BNL, BRKR, BRX, BWXT, CACC, CAR, CHGG, CLX, CRUS, CSWC, CURO, EPRT, EVER, FANG, GXO, HLIT, HOLX, IPI, KFRC, KMT, LEG, LXU, MCK, MOS, NBIX, NSP, O, OTTR, PLOW, PSA, RHP, RIG, RMBS, SBAC, SKT, SOI, SPG, TA, TTI, UAN, UNVR, VNO, VNOM, VRNS, WMB, ZI Macro Up/Down Last Nymex 0.50 84.07 Brent 0.83 84.55 Gold 4.40 1,790.30 EUR/USD -0.0009 1.1570 JPY/USD 0.18 114.17 10-Year Note +0.023 1.579% World News China’s official manufacturing purchasing managers’ index fell to 49.2, the National Bureau of Statistics said Sunday, the second month it was below the key 50-mark that is between expansion and contraction The U.K. and France have agreed to de-escalate their spat over Brexit and fishing rights following a meeting between French President Emmanuel Macron and British Prime Minister Boris Johnson on the sidelines of the Group of 20 summit of leaders in Rome Sector News Breakdown Consumer Barron’s took a deep dive into the roads automakers and their suppliers are taking to build a better battery. Raw materials have gotten an upgrade to shorten the supply chain and boost performance. Tesla ($TSLA) has switched to nickel as a substitute for scarcer cobalt, while General Motors ($GM) has sought out alternatives to graphite since its mostly mined in China, Barron’s said. Companies that benefit from revamped supply chains will be the best investment, Albemarle ($ALB), for instance, supplies about one-third of the world’s lithium. Battery capacity will need to jump fourfold by the next few years, according to Barron’s NVR Corp. ($NVR) mentioned positively in Barron’s noting the stock has been flat in recent months and KeyBanc’s analyst said he saw diminished earnings momentum but still kept a $5,450 price target on the stock, an 11% premium over Friday’s close, and for the first time this year, a company insider recently made an open-market buy Bally’s Corporation ($BALY) submitted a proposal to Chicago to develop and operate the $1.6 billion Bally’s Chicago, an entertainment destination resort. Li Auto ($LI) has delivered 7,649 Li ONEs, up 107.2% year over year; as of October 31, 2021, the year-to-date and cumulative deliveries of Li ONEs reached 62,919 and 96,516 respectively. Nio ($NIO) said it delivered 3,667 vehicles in October 2021, representing a decrease of 27.5% year-over-year. XPeng ($XPEV) said monthly deliveries in October 2021 of 10,138 Smart EVs, representing an increase of 233% Y/Y and a 2.6% decline over last month Wynn Resorts ($WYNN), Melco Gaming (MLCO): Macau’s gaming bureau reported October gross revenue from games of fortune in the region decreased 40% year-over-year to 4.365B patacas. Stanley Black & Decker ($SWK) downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at Bank America Energy, Industrials and Materials The U.S. and the European Union have announced a deal at the G20 summit in Rome to ease U.S. tariffs on steel and aluminum totaling more than $10B of E.U. exports each year, removing one of the most significant trade disputes from the Trump administration’s levies imposed in 2018 Deere ($DE) said it reached a tentative agreement with the United Auto Workers (UAW) two weeks after more than 10K workers at 14 plants went on strike. The deal, reached after 90% of union members rejected the first tentative agreement, “contains enhanced economic gains and continues to provide the highest quality healthcare benefits in the industry,” the UAW said. China’s Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd and its unit GFL International Co Ltd have signed a contract to supply battery-grade lithium products to U.S. electric vehicle (EV) maker Tesla Inc ($TSLA) Financials Barclays PLC ($BCS) CEO Jess Staley was asked to step down Monday following an investigation by U.K. regulators into his relationship with convicted sex offender and financier Jeffrey Epstein. Britain’s Financial Conduct Authority said Staley, 64, told regulators and the bank that his relationship with Epstein ended in 2015. CNA Financial ($CNA) Q3 core EPS 87c vs. est. 60c; posted record underlying combined ratio of 91.1%, double-digit gross written premium growth across all of our P&C business segments and excellent new business growth of 24% Healthcare Moderna ($MRNA) announced that the FDA informed it on Friday that the agency required additional time to review the company’s Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) request for COVID-19 vaccine for use in those aged 12 – 17 years. Regulators told Moderna that the analysis may not be completed until January Novavax ($NVAX) files for covid-19 vaccine authorization with health Canada and completes submission for rolling review to European medicines agency Tilray ($TLRY) downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at Cantor Fitzgerald and cut tgt to $11.80 from $18.00 LianBio ($LIAN)3M share IPO priced at $16.00 Technology, Media & Telecom Madison Square Garden Sports ($MSGS) MSG Entertainment $(MSGE) and AMC Networks ($AMCX) are at inexpensive prices according to Barron’s. Online sports gambling, due to start in New York in the next few months, looks like a big plus for both MSG Sports and MSG Entertainment because of advertising, fan engagement, and a potential sports book in Madison Square Garden Pearson Plc ($PSO) may see increased pressure from Europe’s largest activist pressure as the company works to convince holders about a turnaround under CEO Andy Bird, according to a Telegraph report. Activist Cevian Capital now owns 8.5% of Pearson and is the company’s second largest investor, the Telegraph reported. https://bit.ly/3muoDGw Cinemark Holdings Inc. ($CNK) and IMAX Corp. (IMAX) time to shine said Barron’s noting IMAX had its best October on record thanks to “Dune” and other films. Meanwhile, “Cinemark’s 3Q results should show further signs of improvement as the business steadily builds momentum,” writes MKM analyst Eric Handler. AMC Entertainment ($AMC) claimed that the domestic industry box office for October 2021 is estimated to come in considerably higher than that of any previous month since February of 2020. TripAdvisor ($TRIP) downgraded to Underweight from Overweight at Barclays and cut tgt to $30 from $49
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@everyone U.S. equity futures extend yesterday’s rally amid apparent progress on the debt-ceiling impasse in Washington, while in Europe, natural gas prices and power fell after Russia offered to ease Europe’s energy crisis as U.S. stocks are looking at a stronger open. Yesterday, the S&P 500 erased a -1.3% loss in its biggest reversal since February to settle modestly higher as investors grew more optimistic that congressional Democrats and Republicans could reach a deal to avert a government debt default with October 18th, the date Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen has estimated the government will run out of money and not be able to service its existing debts, if the ceiling remains in place. China markets and U.S. listed Chinese stocks (BABA, BIDU, JD) are rising as President Biden and his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping agreed to hold a virtual summit by the end of the year. Late yesterday, top U.S. Senate Republican Mitch McConnell said his party would support an extension of the federal debt ceiling into December. The offer could provide an off-ramp to a months-long standoff between President Joe Biden’s Democrats and McConnell’s Republicans, who had been expected on Wednesday to block a third attempt by Senate Democrats to raise the $28.4 trillion debt ceiling. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index rose 149 points to 27,678, the Shanghai Index remained closed for its Golden Week holiday, and the Hang Seng Index surged 735 points, or over 3% to settle at 24,701. The picture remains bright in Europe as well with the German DAX up 175 points to 15,150 and the FTSE 100 rising 67 points or nearly 1% to 7,060. The monthly nonfarm payroll report also in focus tomorrow. Market Closing Prices Yesterday · The S&P 500 Index gained 6.51 points, or 0.15%, to 4,363.55 · The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 90.49 points, or 0.26%, to 34,416.99 · The Nasdaq Composite dropped -64.79 points, or 0.44%, to 14,501.91 · The Russell 2000 Index declined -26.67 points, or 1.19% to 2,214.96 Events Calendar for Today · 7:30 AM ET Challenger Layoffs for Sept · 8:30 AM ET Weekly Jobless Claims · 8:30 AM EST Continuing Claims · 10:30 AM ET Weekly EIA Natural Gas Inventory Data · 3:00 AM ET Consumer Credit for Aug Earnings Calendar: · Earnings Before the Open: CAG, HELE, LW · Earnings After the Close: ACCD Other Key Events: · China’s Caixin Services PMI for Sept · Piper Global Chemicals M&A Conference (virtual), 10/7 · International Conference on Molecular Targets & Cancer Therapeutics (virtual), 10/7-10/10 Consumer · Costco ($COST) reported net sales of $19.50 billion for the retail month of September, the five weeks ended October 3, 2021, an increase of 15.8% from $16.84 billion last year; Total Company Comparable Sales rose 14.3%, Sept E-Commerce Sales rose 10.6%, Sept total co. Comparable Sales ex-impacts of gas prices, foreign exchange rose 9.4% and Sept E-Commerce sales ex-impacts of gas prices, foreign exchange rose 9.6% · Levi Strauss ($LEVI) Q3 EPS $0.48 vs. est. $0.37; Q3 revs up 41% YoY to $1.5B vs. est. $1.48B; authorizes $200M share buyback; qtrly gross margin was 57.6% of net revenues, up from 54.3%; said qtrly DTC net revenues increased 34% due to increased revenues from our company-operated stores; sees 4q net rev growth 20-21% YoY · Resources Connection ($RGP) Q1 EPS $0.43 vs. est. $0.25; Q1 revs $183.1M vs. est. $175.7M; sees Q2 revs $186M-$190M vs. est. $176.9M · Carnival Cruise Line ($CCL) announced plans for more ship restarts for January and February, as it works towards the return of its full fleet sailing from U.S. homeports in the spring of 2022 · Life Time Group ($LTH) 39M share IPO priced at $18.00 Energy, Industrials and Materials · Crude futures extend Wednesday’s slump. WTI drops as much as 3.2% before recovering near $75.80. Brent follows similar price action, settling just shy of the $80 mark. · Emerson Electric Co ($EMR) is in talks to merge its software assets with industrial software company Aspen Technology Inc (AZPN), Bloomberg News reported on Wednesday, citing people with knowledge of the matter. https://bloom.bg/3AlySkj · U.S. Silica Holdings, Inc. ($SLCA) said to explore strategic alternatives for industrial & specialty products (ISP) segment · Rocket Lab USA ($RKLB) announced that it has been selected to launch NASA’s Advanced Composite Solar Sail System on the Electron launch vehicle. Financials · Chubb ltd ($CB) files mixed securities shelf · Credit Acceptance ($CACC) increased the size of its revolving secured line of credit facility from $340M to $385M · Realogy ($RLGY) forms strategic joint venture with Centerbridge Partners to accelerate growth of title insurance underwriter; Centerbridge to purchase controlling interest of Realogy’s title insurance underwriter for $210M in cash · RLI Corp. ($RLI) announced an estimated range of pretax catastrophe losses of $30M-$35M, net of reinsurance, in Q3 Healthcare · Denali Therapeutic ($DNLI) announced positive Phase 1 clinical results and regulatory progress for two investigational small molecule therapeutics in development for the treatment of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis, ALS, at the 2021 Annual Northeast ALS · SeaSpine Holdings Corp. ($SPNE) announced the successful completion of the first cases in both the United States and Australia for the 7D Percutaneous Spine Module · Moderna ($MRNA) announced it will build a mRNA facility in Africa with the goal of producing up to 500M doses of vaccines each year at the 50-microgram dose level; the company anticipates investing up to $500M in this new facility · Osmotica Pharmaceuticals ($OSMT) 14M share Spot Secondary priced at $2.50 · Theseus Pharmaceuticals ($THRX) 10M share IPO priced at $16.00 Technology, Media & Telecom · IAC/InterActiveCorp. ($IAC) has reached a roughly $2.7 billion deal to buy magazine publisher Meredith Corp. (MDP), with holders to receive $42.18 per share in an all-cash deal. As a result of the deal, Meredith will become part of DotDash, IAC’s digital-publishing division. · Dutch antitrust authority finds Apple ($AAPL) in-app payment system anti-competitive – Reuters reports citing sources; Dutch authority has ordered apple to change app store practices; Apple has appealed to Dutch court to block publication of regulatory decision · Alibaba ($BABA), Baidu ($BIDU), NetEase ($NTES), Didi Global ($DIDI) among U.S.-listed Chinese stocks rising as concerns around U.S/China trade relations and Evergrande’s debt crisis appeared to ease. Fund giant Fidelity is putting money back into Chinese stocks and thinks the recent “indiscriminate” selling caused by the debt crisis at property giant Evergrande is presenting opportunities in the country’s beaten up bond markets. Reuters reported. “There are companies that have seen good haircuts on their debt that are not justified,” Fidelity’s global Chief Investment Officer Andrew McCaffery said during a roundtable, adding that some other parts of Asia had also been impacted. · Twitter, Inc. ($TWTR) to sell MoPub to AppLovin Corp. (APP), a leading marketing software company, for $1.05 billion in cash. The transaction will enable Twitter to accelerate the development of owned and operated revenue products and drive growth · Citrix Systems Inc ($CTXS) said David j. Henshall steps down as president, chief executive officer and member of board of directors and Bob Calderoni appointed interim president and chief executive officer; sees Q3 revenue at midpoint to high end of guidance range of $765M-$775M vs. est. $778M
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Since 1972, Credit Acceptance has offered financing programs that enable automobile dealers to sell vehicles to consumers, regardless of their credit history. Its financing programs are offered through a nationwide network of automobile dealers who benefit from sales of vehicles to consumers who otherwise could not obtain financing; from repeat and referral sales generated by these same customers; and from sales to customers responding to advertisements for its financing programs, but who actually end up qualifying for traditional financing.