Columbia Sportswear Co.
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Friday, October 29, 2021 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow -45.00 0.13% 35,568 S&P 500 -22.25 0.49% 4,565 Nasdaq -139.50 0.88% 15,625 After trading to all-time highs Thursday for the S&P 500, Dow Jones, and Nasdaq Composite (and a 2% gain for the Russell 2000 as well) on strong earnings as well as positive developments on the spending bill in Washington, futures are pulling back. Shares of tech and retail giants Apple (AAPL) and Amazon (AMZN) are lower by 3% and 4% respectively after AAPL’s iPhone and overall revs miss for the quarter and AMZN drops on a Q3 revs miss, lower op income and lower guidance, sending Nasdaq Futures lower by about 1%. Investor sentiment is also starting to turn cautious amid the steady stream of corporate warnings on inflationary pressures and supply chain woes. Big day of inflation data with the personal spending and income for Sept and PCE inflation data expected at 8:30 AM. The 10-year Treasury yield is up around 1.61%, recovering off mid-week lows around the mid 1.5% level. Bitcoin prices are lower holding around the $60K level while oil futures are on track to snap their 8-week winning streak. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index rises 0.25% to 28,890, the Shanghai Index gains 0.8% to 3,547, and the Hang Seng Index falls =0.7% to 25,377. In Europe, the German DAX is lower -1.2% to 15,500, while the FTSE 100 down -0.5% at 7,210. Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index gained 44.74 points, or 0.98%, to 4,596.42 The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 239.79 points, or 0.68%, to 35,730.48 The Nasdaq Composite surged 212.28 points, or 1.39%, to 15,448.12 The Russell 2000 Index advanced 45.49 points, or 2.02% to 2,297.98 Events Calendar for Today 8:30 AM ET Personal Income for September…est. (-0.2%) 8:30 AM ET Personal Spending for September…prior +0.4% 8:30 AM ET PCE Price Index MoM for September 8:30 AM ET PCE Price Index YoY for September 8:30 AM ET Core PCE Price Index MoM for September…est. +0.2% 8:30 AM ET Core PCE Price Index YoY for September…est. +3.7% 9:45 AM ET Chicago PMI for October…est. 63.5 (prior 64.7) 10:00 AM ET University of Michigan Confidence, Oct-F…est. 71.4 1:00 PM EST Baker Hughes Weekly rig count data Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: ABBV, AON, B, BAH, CERN, CHD, CHTR, CL, COWN, CVX, DCOM, HUN, IRMD, LHX, PIPR, POR, PSX, PSXP, RUTH, WY, XOM Macro Up/Down Last Nymex 0.34 83.15 Brent 0.37 84.69 Gold -2.95 1,795.95 EUR/USD -0.0029 1.1652 JPY/USD 0.19 113.76 10-Year Note +0.041 1.61% Sector News Breakdown Consumer com (AMZN) shares fall -3%; 3Q EPS $6.12 vs est. $8.92 on sales $110.8B vs est. $111.6B, AWS net sales $16.11B; guides 4Q sales $130-140B vs est. $142B; sees q4 operating income is expected to be between $0 and $3.0 bln, compared with $6.9 bln in q4 2020; in q4, expect to incur several bln dollars of additional costs in consumer business as we manage through labor supply shortages Starbucks (SBUX) Q4 EPS $1.00 vs. est. $0.99; Q4 revs rose 31% to $8.1B vs. est. $8.21B; commits to $20 bln of share repurchases and dividends over next three years; qtrly active Starbucks rewards membership in U.S. approaches 25 mln, up 28% YoY; qtrly comp store sales of 17% globally; qtrly international comp store sales grew 3%; qtrly comp store sales of 22% in U.S.; comp store sales decreased 7% in China Columbia Sportswear (COLM) 3Q EPS $1.52 vs est. $1.33 on revs $804.7Mm vs est. $862Mm; qtrly inventory -7%; guides FY net sales +21.5-23% vs prior +25-26.5% and est. +26.5%, sees FY EPS $4.55-4.80 vs est. $4.65; says believe can achieve mid-teens or better net sales growth in 2022 vs est. +10% Decker’s Outdoors (DECK) 2Q EPS $3.66 vs est. $4.00 on sales $721.9Mm vs est. $765.9Mm, comps +1%; sees FY EPS $14.15-15.15 vs est. $15.15; Gross margin was 50.9% compared to 51.2% for the same period last year; Decker’s also said: UGG(R) brand net sales for the second quarter increased 8.0% to $448.4 million compared to $415.1 million for the same period last year. HOKA(R) brand net sales for the second quarter increased 47.0% to $210.4 million compared to $143.1 million for the same period last year. Teva(R) brand net sales for the second quarter increased 4.0% to $28.8 million compared to $27.7 million for the same period last year. Frontdoor (FTDR) 3Q EPS $0.89 vs est. $0.68 on revs $471Mm vs est. $476.5Mm; guides 4Q revs $330-340Mm vs est. $347.7Mm, sees FY revs $1.59-1.6B vs est. $1.62B Mohawk Industries (MHK) Q3 adj EPS $3.95 vs. est. $3.81; Q3 revs $2.817B vs. est. $2.9B; guides Q4 EPS $2.80-$2.90 vs. est. $3.23 Skecher’s (SKX) Q3 EPS $0.66 vs. est. $0.73; Q3 sales rose 19.2% to $1.55B vs. est. $1.63B; guides Q4 EPS $0.28-$0.33 vs. est. $0.34 and year EPS view cut to $2.45-$2.50 from $2.55-$2.65; cuts FY21 revenue view to $6.15B-$6.2B from $6.15B-$6.25B; Direct-to-Consumer sales grew 44.1% and wholesale sales grew 10.5% SkyWest (SKYW) 3Q adj EPS $1.45 vs est. $0.70 on revs $745Mm vs est. $687.7Mm; says experienced a severe outage in October resulting in about 1,700 flight cancelations and expect may impact 4Q results from $15-20Mm pre-tax; Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) Q3 EPS $0.75 vs est. $0.81 on revenue $869.9M vs est. $869.4M; comp sales +30.2% vs 3Q20, +22.3% vs 2019, partially offset by higher food/beverage costs with commodity inflation 13.9% driven by higher beef prices; sees positive comp sales in FY22, commodity cost inflation in high-teens in 1H22 Energy Chevron (CVX) Q3 adj EPS $2.96 vs. est. $2.21; Q3 revs $43B vs. est. $40.52B; posted net income of $6.11B vs. a loss of $207M a year ago; said Q3 average sales price per barrel of crude oil and natural gas liquids was $58, vs $31 a year earlier Dril-Quip (DRQ) 3Q EPS ($0.31) vs est. ($0.14) on revs $83Mm vs est. $85.6Mm, sees 4Q bookings at high end of $40-60Mm range (unchanged from prior view) First Energy (FE) Q3 adj EPS $0.82 vs. est. $0.79; Q3 revs $3.1B in-line with ests; raises FY21 adj EPS view to $2.55-$2.65 from $2.40-$2.60 (est. $2.54) SM Energy (SM) Q3 EPS $0.69 vs. est. $0.13; Q3 revs $760.24M vs. est. $510.61M; Q3 Production was 14.3 MMBoe (155.8 MBoe/d) and was 56% oil; the Company is increasing guidance for 2021 production volumes to 49.5-50.0 MMBoe (135.6-137.0 MBoe/d) Financials Hartford Financial (HIG) Q3 core EPS $1.26 vs. est. $0.86; Net income ROE for the trailing 12-month period ended Sept. 30, 2021 was 12.3% and core earnings ROE* for the same period was 12.5%; the Commercial Lines combined ratio was 101.2 in third quarter 2021 with an underlying combined ratio* of 87.2, a 6.5-point improvement YoY LPL Financial (LPLA) Q3 EPS $1.77 vs est. $1.75 on revenue $2.02B vs est. $2.05B; total advisory and brokerage assets $1.13 trillion (+40% YoY), organic net new assets $27B (+10% annualized) in the qtr, $110B over past 12-months (+14% annualized) Riley Financial (RILY) announced a $4 dividend, composed of a $3 special one-time payout and a doubling of its regular quarterly dividend to $1 Healthcare 4D Molecular (FDMT)75M share Secondary priced at $25.00 AirSculpt Technologies (AIRS) 7M share IPO priced at $11.00 Aura Biosciences (AURA) 5M share IPO priced at $14.00 Entrada Therapeutics (TRDA)075M share IPO priced at $20.00 Sonendo (SONX)8M share IPO priced at $12.00 Valneva (VALN)5M share Secondary priced at $39.42 Acadia Healthcare (ACHC) Q3 adj EPS in-line at $0.72; Q3 revs $587.6M vs. est. $590.9M; Q3 same facility revenue increased 7.9% YoY, including an increase in revenue per patient day of 5.6% and an increase in patient days of 2.2%; same facility adjusted EBITDA margin was 29.0%; narrowed 2021 revenue to $2.295B-$2.315B vs. est. $2.31B CareDX (CDNA) Q3 adj EPS 7c vs est. 1c on revenue $75.6M vs est. $74M; raised FY21 revenue forecast to $290M-$293M from $280M-$290M DaVita Inc. (DVA) 3Q EPS $2.36 vs est. $2.25 on revs $2.94B, says US dialysis treatments averaged 94,509/day; guides FY adj EPS $8.80-9.15 vs est. $9.19 Dexcom (DXCM) Q3 EPS $0.71 vs. est. $0.63; Q3 revs $650.2M vs. est. $617.82; Based on the strong third quarter results, Dexcom is increasing its guidance for fiscal year 2021 revenue, Non-GAAP gross profit margin, Non-GAAP operating margin, and Adjusted EBITDA margin Gilead Sciences (GILD) 3Q adj EPS $2.65 vs est. $1.75 on revs $7.4B vs est. $6.3B; guides FY total product sales $26-26.3B vs est. $25.14B (sees $21.5B ex Veklury); guides FY adj EPS $7.90-8.10 vs est. $7.19 Nextgen health (NXGN) 2Q adj EPS $0.29 vs est. $0.23 on revs $149.3Mm vs est. $143.4Mm; guides FY revs $584-590Mm vs est. $582.4Mm, sees FY adj EPS $0.90-0.96 vs est. $0.93; says may repurchase up to $60Mm of its outstanding shares through March 2023 PTC Therapeutics (PTCT) Q3 EPS loss ($1.89) vs. est. loss ($1.40); Q3 revs $139M vs. est. $126.44M; raises FY21 rev view for DMD franchise to $400M-$420M from $370M-$390M and narrows R&D and SG&A expenses to $815M-$835M from $825M-$855M. ResMed (RMD) 1Q EPS $1.39 vs est. $1.36 on revs $904Mm vs est. $860.9Mm Seagen (SGEN) Q3 EPS ($1.61) vs est. $(0.58) on revenue $424.1M vs est. $383.1M, total net product sales $366.5M (+37% YoY) Stryker (SYK) Q3 adj EPS $2.20 vs. est. $2.28; Q3 revs $4.16B vs. est. $4.23B; Q3 organic net sales increased 4.5%; raises FY21 adjusted EPS view to $9.08-$9.15 from $8.80-$9.20 (est. $9.30); said now expect 2021 organic net sales growth to be in the range of 7% to 8% from 2019 Industrials & Materials Eastman Chemical (EMN) 3Q adj EPS $2.46 vs est. $2.46 on revs $2.72B vs est. $2.6B; guides FY EPS $8.80-9.00 vs est. $9.09, sees FY FCF about $1.1B; says implementing price increases across specialty product lines to offset higher costs, expect to be caught up in early 2022 Ecolab (ECL) to acquire Purolite, a leading global provider of fast-growing, high value separation and purification solutions to life sciences and critical industrial markets; Ecolab to pay approximately $3.7 billion in cash Fortive (FTV) Q3 adj EPS $0.66 vs. est. $0.65; Q3 revs $1.3B vs. est. $1.32B; raises FY21 adj EPS view to $2.70-$2.75 from $2.65-$2.75 (est. $2.72); said Delivered significant margin improvement, strong adjusted operating margin expansion and robust cash flow growth Hub Group (HUBG) Q3 EPS $1.28 vs est. $1.10 on in-line revs $1.08B; raises FY21 EPS $3.90-$4 from $3.50-$3.70 vs est. $3.66, still sees rev growth in the high-teens Huntington Ingalls (HII) 2Q adj EPS $1.71 vs est. $1.17 on revs $537Mm vs est. $375.6Mm L3Harris Technologies (LHX) raises FY21 adjusted EPS view to $12.85-$13.00 from $12.80-$13.00 and lowers FY21 revenue view to approximately $17.9B from $18.1B-$18.5B Mercer Int’l (MERC) 3Q EPS $1.04 vs est. $0.83 on revs $469.7Mm vs est. $452.9Mm Polymetal International PLC (POLY) 2Q adj EPS $0.77 vs est. $0.56 on revs $419Mm vs est. $428.4Mm; guides FY adj EPS $2.30-2.70 vs est. $3.10, sees FY revs $1.675-1.725B vs est. $1.8B Republic Service (RSG) 3Q adj EPS $1.11 vs est. $1.05 on revs $2.93B vs est. $2.84B; guides FY adj EPS $4.10-4.13 from prior $4.00-$4.05 and vs est. $4.05 Terex Corp. (TEX) 3Q EPS $0.67 vs est. $0.72 on sales $993.8Mm vs est. $1.0B; guides FY sales $3.85B vs est. $3.86B, sees FY EPS $2.75-2.85 vs est. $2.82 Werner Enterprise (WERN) Q3 EPS $0.94 vs. est. $0.95; Q3 revs $702.9M vs. est. $700.8M S. Steel (X) announces a $300 million stock repurchase program and increases its quarterly dividend to $0.05 per share; Q3 adjusted EPS $5.36 tops consensus $4.85; Q3 revs $5.96B vs. est. $5.79B
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Thursday, October 28, 2021 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow 54.00 0.15% 35,443 S&P 500 11.25 0.26% 4,556 Nasdaq 74.50 0.47% 15.662 U.S. futures are looking at a rebound after a late day swoon erased record gains for stocks, as markets again await another earnings barrage, with yesterday and today the two busiest days of the quarter. Drama out of Washington D.C. also adding to the volatility as investors remain hopeful on a spending bill. As for Wednesday, a midday all-time high for the Nasdaq 100 was marred by a late day sell-off in U.S. stocks, as the S&P 500 and Dow each retreated from records set just the previous day, led by weakness in energy stocks as oil prices tumbled from 7-year highs and long-dated Treasury yields also slumped, with the 30-year falling as much as 10bps below 2%. Corporate earnings have generally been better-than-expected, but constant reminders about rising costs, supply-chain issues, and labor shortages on conference calls brings into question the strength of markets going forward. Couple that with expectations for the Fed to begin its asset tapering plans in November and chances of interest rate hikes in mid-2022 to help prevent inflation getting further out of hand remains a market concern. Shares of Dow components McDonald’s, Coca-Cola and Microsoft rallied behind strong earnings. In fact, the Nasdaq outperformed behind large cap winners (TSLA, GOOGL MSFT, AMZN), though breadth was decisively negative and SmallCaps plunged with the Russell 200 falling nearly 2%. President Biden’s infrastructure and social-spending plans still remain “up-in-the-air” which also adds uncertainty. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index fell about 1% to 28,820, the Shanghai Index slipped -1.23% to 3.518 and the Hang Seng Index dipped about -0.25% to 25,555. In Europe, the German DAX is down -0.15% at 15,680, while the FTSE 100 is also down roughly -0.2% at 7,240. Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index dropped -23.11 points, or 0.51%, to 4,551.68 The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell -266.19 points, or 0.74%, to 35,490.69 The Nasdaq Composite little changed, or 0.00%, to 15,235.84 The Russell 2000 Index declined -43.58 points, or 1.90% to 2,252.49 Events Calendar for Today 8:30 AM ET Weekly Jobless Claims…est. 290K 8:30 AM EST Continuing Claims…est. 2.415M 8:30 AM ET Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for Q3-A…est. 2.7% (down from prior) 8:30 AM ET GDP Consumer Spending for Q3-A…prior month 12.0% 8:30 AM ET GDP Price Deflator for Q3…est. 5.5% 8:30 AM ET Core-PCE Prices Advance for Q3…est. 4.5% 10:00 AM ET Pending Home Sales MoM for September…est. 0% 10:30 AM ET Weekly EIA Natural Gas Inventory Data 11:00 AM ET Kansas City Fed Manufacturing for October 1:00 PM ET U.S. to sell $62 bln 7-year notes Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: AB, ABMD, ADS, AEP, AGCO, ALNY, AMT, AOS, ATI, BAX, BC, BSIG, BTU, CARR, CAR, CBRE, CBZ, CFR, CG, CMCO, CMCSA, CMS, CNX, COLB, CONE, COOP, COR, CWT, DBD, EME, EXP, FCN, GPI, GVA, HBAN, HSY, IBP, ICE, ITW, KBR, KDP, KEX, LECO, LH, LKQ, MA, MCO, MDD, MO, MRK, NEM, NLSN, NOC, OSK, OSIS, OSTK, PBF, RGEN, RLGY, RS, SAH, SAIA, SNDR, SWI, SWK, TAP, TFX, TPX, TREE, TW, TXT, VC, VLY, WEX, WST, XEL, YUM Earnings After the Close: AAPL, ABCB, ACHC, AGL, AMZN, ASPN, ATEN, ATR, AVT, AX, BIO, BY, CDNA, CHE, COHU, COLM, CPT, CUZ, CWST, DECK, DVA, DXCM, EB, EMN, FISI, FTDR, FTV, GILD, HIG, HUBG, LOPE, LPLA, LTC, NGRC, MHK, MMSI, MPWR, MSTR, NATI, NXGN, PEB, POWI, PSB, PTCT, QUMU, RMD, RSG, SBCF, SBUX, SGEN, SKX, SKYW, SM, SPNE, SSNC, SYK, TEX, TXRH, VCRA, VRSN, WDC, WRAP, WRE, X, ZEN Macro Up/Down Last Nymex -1.61 81.05 Brent -1.37 83.21 Gold -2.10 1,801.20 EUR/USD -0.0006 1.1598 JPY/USD -0.23 113.57 10-Year Note +0.012 1.541% Sector News Breakdown Consumer eBay Inc. (EBAY) 3Q adj EPS $0.90 vs est. $0.89 on revs $2.5B vs est. $2.46B; guides 4Q adj EPS $0.72-0.76 vs est. $1.00, sees 4Q revs $2.57-2.62B vs est. $2.65B; raising estimated FY share buyback from $5.0B to $7.0B Ford Motor (F) announces resumption of stock dividend in 4q; 3Q adj EPS $0.51 vs est. $0.27 on revs $35.7B vs est. $32.5B; expects cash flow over current planning period to be more than sufficient to fund growth, announces resumption of regular stock dividend in 4Q; no changes to FY adj FCF guide of $4.0-5.0B Boot Barn (BOOT) Q2 EPS $1.25 vs est. $0.93 on revenue $312.7M (+67.1% vs 2Q19) vs est. $291M, same-store sales +61.7% YoY, +53.6% vs 2019; sees new unit growth 10% in FY22; named Jim Watkins as CFO with current CFO Greg Hackman continuing as VP and COO Churchill Downs (CHDN) 3Q EPS $1.57 vs est. $1.47 on revs $393Mm vs est. $406.8Mm Fresh Del Monte Produce Inc. (FDP) said it is raising prices on bananas, pineapples and fresh-cut fruit in response to unprecedented market conditions and inflationary pressures being felt across all industries iRobot (IRBT) Q3 EPS $1.67 vs. est. $0.70; Q3 revs $440.7M vs. est. $417.04M; cuts FY21 non-GAAP EPS view to $1.15-$1.74 from $2.25-$3.15 (est. $2.70) and lowers FY21 revenue view to $1.56B-$1.59B from $1.55B-$1.62B (est. $1.58B) Noodles (NDLS) Q3 adj EPS 12c vs est. 9c on in-line revenue $125.1M with digital sales 52% of total revs; system-wide comp sales +16.3% vs est. +14.3%, avg unit volume $1.38M, +16% YoY; now sees 7-9 new restaurants in 2021, down from prior outlook for 10-15; anticipates system-wide unit growth of at least 8% next year O’Reilly Auto (ORLY) Q3 EPS $8.07 vs. est. $7.18; Q3 sales $3.48B vs. est. $3.3B; gross profit margin 52.3% vs. 52.4% y/y; raises year rev outlook to $12.9B-$13.2B from prior $12.3B-$12.6B (est. $12.73B) Sleep Number (SNBR) 3Q EPS $2.22 vs est. $1.44 on revs $640Mm vs est. $587.1Mm; sees FY EPS $7.25 vs est. $7.15; Spirit Airlines (SAVE) Q3 adj EPS ($0.69) was a narrower loss than est. ($1.02) on in-line revs $922.6M; load factor 77.6%, capacity +3.5% vs 3Q19; is slowing the pace to push back to full fleet utilization, expects to produce 53B-55B available seat miles in 2022 VICI Properties (VICI) 3Q adj FFO/shr $0.45 on revs $375.7Mm; guides FY adj FFO/shr $1.7901.80 vs est. $1.84 Wyndham Hotels (WH) 3Q EPS $1.09 vs est. $0.91 on net revs $463Mm vs est. $463Mm; guides FY RevPAR growth about 43%, sees fee-related and other revs $1.21-1.23B; guides FY adj EPS $2.93-3.03 vs est. $2.69 Yum China (YUMC) Q3 adj EPS $0.22 vs. est. $0.31; Q3 revs $2.55B vs. est. $2.51B; qtrly total system sales increased 1% year over year, with increases of 1% at both KFC and Pizza Hut, excluding f/x; increasing gross new stores target to over 1,700 in 2021; expect that covid-19, especially the delta variant outbreaks, will continue to affect consumer behavior and impact our same-store sales recovery. Solo Brands, Inc. (DTC) prices 12.9M share IPO at $17.00 per share Scientific Games Corp (SGMS) announces sale of lottery business to Brookfield business partners for $6.05 billion; deal consisting of $5.825 bln in cash & an earn-out of up to $225 mln based on achievement of certain ebitda targets in 2022 & 2023 Energy, Industrials & Materials Allison Transmission (ALSN) 3Q EPS $0.89 vs est. $0.90 on revs $567Mm vs est. $584Mm; guides FY sales $2.325-2.4B vs est. $2.36B Flowserve Corp. (FLS) 3Q adj EPS $0.29 vs est. $0.40 on revs $866.1Mm vs est. $899Mm; guides FY revs down 2-4% vs est. -2.3%, sees FY EPS $1.45-1.65 (was $1.40-1.45) vs est. $1.58, sees CAPEX $70-80Mm vs prior $65Mm Kraton (KRA) Q3 adj EPS $0.98 vs. est. $0.79; Q3 revs $526.9M vs. est. $459.1M; Polymer segment operating income of $43.8 million, compared to an operating loss of $5.1 million YoY; Chemical segment operating income of $35.7M, compared to an operating loss of $401.7M YoY Sunnova Energy (NOVA) Q3 EPS ($0.25) vs est. ($0.13) on revenue $68.9M vs est. $67.4M; reaffirmed FY21 view for adj EBITDA $80M-$85M, customer additions 55k-58k; set FY22 guidance for adj EBITDA $117M-$137M, customer additions 83k-87k Tronox Holdings (TROX) Q3 adj EPS $0.72 vs. est. $0.64; Q3 revs rose 29% to $870M vs. est. $905.3M United Rentals (URI) 3Q adj EPS $6.58 vs est. $6.80 on revs $2.6B vs est. $2.58B; guides FY revs $9.6-9.75B vs est. $9.6B, sees FY adj EBITDA $4.325-4.4B vs est. 4.3B Financials Aflac (AFL) Q3 adj EPS $1.53 vs. est. $1.32; Q3 revs $5.2B vs. est. $5.34B; in yen terms, Aflac Japan’s net premium income was ¥323.1 bln for quarter, or 4.0% lower than a year ago AvalonBay (AVB) Q3 core FFO $2.06 vs est. 1.97, EPS $0.56 vs est. $0.77, same-store sales +1.2%; sees Q4 core FFO $2.19-$2.29 vs est. $2.11, raised FY core FFO view to $8.18-$8.28 from $7.92-$8.12 CyrusOne Inc. (CONE) 3Q adj FFO/shr $1.02 vs est. $0.99 on revs $304.1Mm vs est. $290.4Mm; guides FY revs $1.18-1.2B vs est. $1.17B Invitation Homes (INVH) Q3 core FFO 38c/shr vs est. 36c, EPS 12c vs est. 10c, revenue $510M vs est. $497.8M; same-store NOI +11.9% YoY on same-store revs +7.9%; raised FY21 core EPS view to $1.49 at midpoint from $1.44, adj FFO ro $1.28 at midpoint from $1.24 Lending Club (LC) Q3 EPS $0.26 vs est. $0.03 on revenue $246.2M vs est. $221.2M; sees Q4 revs $240M-$250M vs est. $235.7M, loan originations $2.8-$3B; raised FY view for revenue to $796M-$806M from $750M-$780M Raymond James (RJF) Q4 EPS $2.06 vs. est. $1.71; Q4 revs $2.7B vs. est. $2.54B; quarter-end records for client assets under administration of $1.18 trillion, financial assets under management of $191.9B, and net loans at Raymond James Bank of $25B The SEC asked at least one asset manager not to proceed with plans for a leveraged bitcoin exchange-traded fund, according to a person familiar with the matter. The SEC indicated it wants to limit new bitcoin-related products to those that provide unleveraged exposure to bitcoin futures contracts, such as the ProShares Bitcoin Strategy exchange-traded fund, which was launched last week, the person said. https://on.wsj.com/3GvG2qg Healthcare Align Technology (ALGN) 3Q adj EPS $2.87 vs est. $2.60 on revs $1.02B vs est. $978Mm; guides FY revs $3.9-3.95B vs est. $3.94B; says clinical study validates benefits of the Itero Element 5D imaging system Alnylam (ALNY) reports positive topline 18-month results from Helios-a phase 3 study of Vutrisiran in patients with HATTR amyloidosis with polyneuropathy BioMarin (BMRN) Q3 GAAP EPS loss (-$0.20) vs. est. loss (-$0.25); Q3 revs $408.7M vs. est. $435.32M; Lower Kuvan product revenues primarily due to generic competition due to the loss of exclusivity in the U.S.; Lower Aldurazyme product revenues due to timing of product fulfillment to Genzyme Edwards LifeSciences (EW) Q3 EPS $0.54 vs. est. $0.53; Q3 revs $1.3B vs. est. $1.32B; sees FY21 adjusted EPS at high end of $2.07-$2.27 (est. $2.26) and reaffirms FY21 revenue view $5.2B-$5.4B (est. $5.32B); TAVR sales grew 15%; underlying 14%; U.S. TAVR sales grew 12%; OUS approximately 20% Encompass Health (EHC) Q3 adj EPS $1.03 vs. est. $1.06; Q3 revs $1.28B vs. est. $1.31B; cuts FY21 adj EPS view to $4.23-$4.38 from $4.32-$4.47 and lowers FY21 revenue view to $5.08B-$5.13B from $5.1B-$5.25B (est. $5.18B) Molina Healthcare (MOH) Q3 adj EPS $2.83 vs. est. $2.79; Q3 revs $7.04B vs. est. $6.79B; backs FY21 EPS view of no less than $13.25 vs. est. $13.38 and backs FY21 revenue view of no less than $27.5B vs. est. $26.97B; consolidated MCR for Q3 was 88.9%, compared to 85.9% in the third quarter of 2020 Teladoc (TDOC) Q3 EPS loss (-$0.53) vs. est. loss (-$0.65); Q3 revs $521.66M vs. est. $516.6M; Q3 visits topped 3.9M, 37% higher than Q3 2020; sees Q4 EPS loss (73c)-(53c) vs. est. loss (69c); sees Q4 revs $536M-$546M vs. est. $539.74M; sees Q4 total visits 3.9M-4.1M
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Tuesday, October 5, 2021 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow 130.00 0.38% 34,000 S&P 500 12.00 0.27% 4,303 Nasdaq 43.50 0.30% 14,506 U.S, futures are trying to bounce after another brutal Monday on Wall Street that saw broad based weakness with the Nasdaq Composite hitting its lowest levels since late June, falling for the 6th time in the last 7-trading sessions and as the S&P 500 dropped over 1.2%, now more than 5% off its all-time highs, led by another decline in tech stocks. Bespoke noted that the NY FANG+ index closed below its 200-DMA today for the first time in 378 trading days and is now down more than 9% from its Sept. 7 record close. Many of the same concerns remain Tuesday, with a global energy crunch lifting oil prices to the highest in seven years, inflation momentum accelerating amid supply chain disruptions and soaring input costs, and the specter of a U.S. default as lawmakers continue to haggle over the extension of the country’s $28.4 trillion debt ceiling. The U.S. 10-Year Treasury yield ended a three-day losing streak on Monday as growth stocks plunged and concerns about a potential U.S. government debt default offered another reason for caution. The Dow, &P 500, and Nasdaq Composite ended the day down around 4%-7% from their recent closing highs. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index fell -622 points to 27,822, the Shanghai Index remained closed for Golden Week holiday, and the Hang Seng Index gained 57 points to settle at 24,104. In Europe, the German DAX is up around60-points to 15,100, while the FTSE 100 gains around 50-points to 7,050. Crypto currencies adding to recent gains as Bitcoin tops the $50,000 level and Ethereum rises over 2% topping $3,450. Gold prices are near overnight lows as December gold futures fall -0.6% at $1,758 an ounce as the dollar edges higher and risk sentiment rising overnight. Events Calendar for Today 7:45 AM ET ICSC Weekly Retail Sales 8:30 AM ET International Trade for Aug…est. (-$70.5B) 8:55 AM ET Johnson/Redbook Weekly Sales 9:45 AM ET Markit Composite PMI-F 9:45 AM ET Markit Services PMI-F 10:00 AM ET ISM Non-Manufacturing Index for Sept…est. 60.0 4:30 PM ET API Weekly Inventory Data Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: PEP Earnings After the Close: SAR Other Key Events: Cowen 24th Annual Therapeutics Conference, 10/5-10/6, in Boston, MA Deutsche Bank Annual Leveraged Finance Conference (virtual), 10/4-10/6 Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index tumbled -56.58 points, or 1.30%, to 4,300.46 The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell -323.54 points, or 0.94%, to 34,002.92 The Nasdaq Composite plunged -311.21 points, or 2.14%, to 14,255.48 The Russell 2000 Index declined -24.16 points, or 1.08% to 2,217.47 Macro Up/Down Last Nymex 0.39 77.99 Brent 0.48 81.74 Gold -11.40 1,758.00 EUR/USD -0.0025 1.1597 JPY/USD 0.31 111.18 10-Year Note +0.017 1.496% World News President Joe Biden said on Monday the federal government could breach its $28.4 trillion debt limit in a historic default unless Republicans join Democrats in voting to raise it in the two next weeks. Senate Republicans, led by Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, have twice in recent weeks blocked action to raise the debt ceiling, saying they do want action but will not help by voting for the move The Australia Central Bank (RBA) Rate Decision kept rats unchanged at 0.1%, and QE unchanged at purchase rate of A$4b a week until at least mid Feb ’22, central scenario is conditions for rate rise won’t be met before 2024, RBA says it is committed to maintaining highly supportive monetary conditions European PMI data: Spain Sep Services PMI: 56.9 vs 58.0 consensus; Italy Sep Services PMI: 55.5 vs 56.5 consensus; France Sep Services PMI: 56.2 vs 56.0 consensus; Germany Sep Services PMI: 56.2 vs 56.0 consensus; Eurozone Sep Services PMI: 56.4 vs 56.3 consensus Japan Sept CPI higher as rises +0.3% y/y vs. decline of -0.4% consensus; Japan Sept CPI ex-fresh food lower rises +0.1% y/y vs 0.2% consensus; Japan Sep Services PMI higher at 47.8 vs 42.9 previous Sector News Breakdown Consumer PepsiCo ($PEP) Q3 core EPS $1.79 vs. est. $1.73; Q3 revs $20.19B vs. est. $19.39M; sees FY21 core EPS of at least $6.20 vs. est. $6.24; says now expects to deliver approximately 8% organic revenue growth for FY21 vs. prior view of 6% and at least 11% core constant currency EPS growth vs. prior view of 11% and at least 12% core; completed share buyback, doesn’t expect more buybacks this year Lordstown Motors $RIDE downgraded to Underweight from Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley and cut tgt to $2 from $8 Columbia Sportswear ($COLM) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Bank America and lower tgt to $108 from $137 Volvo (VLVLY) reports sales declined 30.2% Y/Y to 47,223 units in September; sales in Europe fell 41.5% and down 9% in the United States. Lululemon Athletica ($LULU) approved $500M boost in buyback program Duckhorn Portfolio ($NAPA) 4Q adj EPS $0.08 vs est. $0.01 on sales $70.9Mm vs est. $59.6Mm; guides FY22 adj EPS $0.54-0.57 vs est. $0.50, sees FY22 net sales $353-360Mm vs est. $350.2Mm Everi Holdings ($EVRI) tightens full year 2021 net income and adjusted Ebitda guidance to top of the previously provided range; now expects 2021 full year net income will be $90M-$95M & adj. Ebitda will be $337M-$342M Group 1 Automotive ($GPI) announces acquisition of two dealerships in Texas – the two stores are expected to generate approximately $150M in annualized revenues Scientific Games ($SGMS) said it landed major contracts from the Pennsylvania Lottery, announcing a ten-year base contract from the PA lottery will cover instant games and Scientific Games Enhanced Partnership for lottery instant game services Energy, Industrials and Materials Coal stocks jumped again on Monday as Arch Resources ($ARCH), CONSOL Energy ($CEIX) and BTU Energy ($BTU) topped multi-year high as coal from the central Appalachia region rose $2.20 to $73.25/ton last week, according to U.S. government data, up 35% YTD Renewable Energy ($REGI) extended, increased line of credit to maximum of $250 mln October prelim Class 8 from ACT truck orders was 27,400 units, compares to 36,900 in August and 25,480 in July (shares of CMI, PCAR and ALSN leveraged to monthly Class 8 data) Patterson-UTI Energy ($PTEN) reports an average of 83 drilling rigs operating for the month of September, 2021 Celanese (C$E) will raise prices of all acetate tow product grades sold globally by $ 0.40/kg Financials Horace Mann ($HMN) estimates third-quarter 2021 catastrophe losses in range of $35-$40 million, partially offsetting continued strong business performance Healthcare Johnson & Johnson ($JNJ) announces submission of emergency use authorization amendment to the FDA to support booster of its single-shot covid-19 vaccine; submission includes data showing a booster increased protection to 94% against moderate to severe/critical covid-19 in the U.S.; substantial increase in immune response when booster was given at six months AstraZeneca ($AZN) said it has submitted a request to the us food and drug administration for emergency use approval of azd7442, which is intended as prophylaxis for symptomatic covid-19. Elanco ($ELAN) reaffirms expectation 2025 innovation rev. $600M-$700M Syndax Pharmaceuticals ($SNDX) said Daphne Karydas has notified the company of her intention to resign as Chief Financial Officer (CFO), treasurer, principal financial officer effective October 22, 2021, in order to pursue another opportunity. Pfizer Inc ($PFE)/BioNTech SE ($BNTX) vaccine effectiveness in preventing infection by the coronavirus dropped to 47% from 88% six months after the second dose, according to data published on Monday that U.S. health agencies considered when deciding on the need for booster shots. The data, which was published in the Lancet medical journal, had been previously released in August ahead of peer review. The analysis showed that the vaccine’s effectiveness in preventing hospitalization and death remained high at 90% for at least six months. Xenon Pharmaceuticals ($XENE) files mixed securities shelf Technology, Media & Telecom Facebook ($FB) and its Instagram, Messenger and WhatsApp reconnected late on Monday afternoon after a nearly six-hour outage that prevented the company’s 3.5 billion users from accessing its social media and messaging services. Facebook apologized but did not immediately explain what caused the failure. Comtech Telecommunications Corp ($CMTL) 4Q adj EPS $0.23 vs est. $0.24 on net sales $145.8Mm vs est. $149.7Mm; guides FY22 adj EBITDA $70-76Mm vs est. $80.5Mm, sees FY22 net sales $580-600Mm vs est. $600.2Mm; says on a consolidated basis, 1H22 financial performance expected to be significantly lower than 1H21
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By Marc Jones LONDON (Reuters) - International investors that have been piling into China in recent years are now bracing for one of its great falls as the troubles of over-indebted property giant China Evergrande come to a head. The developer's woes have been snowballing since May. Dwindling resources set against 2 trillion yuan ($305 billion) of liabilities have wiped nearly 80% off its stock and bond prices and an $80 million bond coupon payment now looms next week. What happens then is unclear. Bankers have said it will most likely miss the payment and go into a kind of suspended animation where authorities step in and sell some of its assets, but it could easily get messy. "We will have to see what happens," said Sid Dahiya, head of EM corporate bonds at abrdn, formerly Aberdeen Standard, in London, which holds a small sliver of the bonds. "They are probably working on a deal in the background, but we don't have any clarity and we don't really have any precedents, so it is uncharted water." Evergrande warned just over two weeks ago that it risked defaulting on its debt if it failed to raise cash. Since then it has said that no progress has been made with those efforts. Analysts say the bigger picture is that if Evergrande - which has more than 1,300 real estate projects in over 280 cities - does topple, it will firmly dispel the idea that some Chinese firms are too big to fail. It would probably still apply to big state-linked firms of course, but it comes too after Beijing's clampdowns on big tech firms like Alibaba (NYSE:BABA) and Tencent wiped nearly a trillion dollars off its markets earlier in year. Contagion from Evergrande has largely been confined to China's other highly-indebted "high-yield" firms which have also slumped, but Hong Kong's heavyweight Hang Seng also hit a 10-month low on Thursday showing there is some spread. There are big name global funds involved too. EMAXX data shows that Amundi, Europe's largest asset manager, was the largest overall holder of Evergrande's international bonds although it is likely to have sold at least some before things turned really ugly. The Paris-headquartered firm had just under $93 million of a $625 million bond due for repayment in June 2025 the EMAXX data shows. UBS Asset Management was the number two holder in that issue with $85 million as well as one of the bigger overall holders. Amundi's Co-Head of EM Corporate & EM High Yield, Colm d’Rosario described the fundamental picture for many Chinese firms as intact "For now, however, we await the commencement of a restructuring process (of Evergrande) to gather more information." "It remains to be seen the scale of loss that investors will face." ) " onerror="this.style.display='none'" class="msg-img" /> UNWIND Back in April Evergrande's bonds were trading around 90 cents on the dollar, now they are closer to 25 cents. "It was always priced as a risky high-yield investment but what prices are telling you today is that there was some surprise that the government would let it go fully," said the head of emerging market debt at U.S. fund Aegon (NYSE:AEG) Asset Management Jeff Grills. He added it has been a text book example where investors had been lured in by the 10% plus interest rate the bonds had provided. According to the letter Evergrande sent to the Chinese government late last year, its liabilities involve more than 128 banks and over 120 other types of institutions. A group of Evergrande bondholders has selected investment bank Moelis (NYSE:MC) & Co and law firm Kirkland & Ellis as advisers on a potential restructuring of a tranche of bonds, two sources close to the matter said. Other funds also exposed to the bonds include the world's biggest asset manager BlackRock (NYSE:BLK), as well dozens more such as Fidelity, Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) asset management and PIMCO. Major U.S. financial firms including BlackRock and Goldman, and the likes of Blackstone (NYSE:BX), are due to meet with officials from China's central bank and its banking and securities regulators later on Thursday. ) " onerror="this.style.display='none'" class="msg-img" /> Debt analysts hope though the damage might not be too widespread. The holdings are tiny compared to those big investment firms' overall size. Also only $6.75 billion of near $20 billion of Evergrande debt are included on JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM)'s CEMBI index which big emerging market corporate debt buyers use as a kind of shopping list. Others are still wary though of the wider signal it sends. "This is part of a self-reinforcing dynamic in which rising insolvency risk sets off financial distress costs, which in turn increase insolvency risk," Michael Pettis, a nonresident senior fellow at the Carnegie–Tsinghua Center for Global Policy, said on twitter. "Until regulators step in and credibly address insolvency risk across the board, conditions are likely only to deteriorate." Some veteran emerging market crisis watchers also think the troubles still have further to run. "This unwind hasn't even really started," said Hans Humes at EM debt-focused hedge fund Greylock Capital.
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Columbia Sportswear Company has assembled a portfolio of brands for active lives, making it a leader in the global active lifestyle apparel, footwear, accessories, and equipment industry. Founded in 1938 in Portland, Oregon, the company's brands are today sold in approximately 90 countries. In addition to the Columbia® brand, Columbia Sportswear Company also owns the Mountain Hardwear®, SOREL®, and prAna® brands.
CEO: Timothy Boyle
HQ: 14375 NW Science Park Dr Portland, 97229-5418 Oregon