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Tuesday, September 14, 2021 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow 39.00 0.11% 34,793 S&P 500 4.25 0.11% 4,464 Nasdaq 4.50 0.03% 15,434 U.S futures are looking flattish to slightly higher ahead of key inflation data later this morning, as the August Consumer Price Index (CPI) is expected to show a MoM increase of +0.4% and YoY rise 5.3% (which would mark a 4th straight month above 5%). The data could set the tone for the rest of the day as the 10-year Treasury yield is up 1.5 bps to 1.339% ahead of the data, while the dollar index is down slightly around 92.60. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index rose 222 points to 30,670, the Shanghai Index dropped -52 points (1.42%) to settle at 3,662 and the Hang Seng Index declined -311 points (1.21%) to 25,502. In Europe, the German DAX is up about 15 points to 15,720, while the FTSE 100 is down about -20 points to 7,050. On Monday, the S&P snapped its longest losing streak since February (5-days) while the blue-chip Dow Jones Industrial produced its best daily gain since early August as investors bought energy and financial assets to start the week. The Dow closed up by about 262 points, or 0.8%, to 34,870, halting a five-session skid and notching its best point and percentage advance since Aug. 5. The S&P 500 index climbed 10 points, or 0.2%, to around 4,469, also ending a five-session slide. The Nasdaq Composite Index slipped 0.1% at around 15,106, extending its string of declines to four straight sessions, representing the longest such skid since a five-session slump ended July 19. Of note later today, investors await AAPL’s first fall event at 1PM ET / 10AM PT, with expectations for a new iPhone, and updates on other products. Events Calendar for Today 6:00 AM ET NFIB Small Business Optimism for Aug 7:45 AM ET ICSC Weekly Retail Sales 8:30 AM ET Consumer Price Index (CPI) MoM for Aug…est. +0.4% 8:30 AM ET Consumer Price Index (CPI) YoY for Aug…est. +5.3% 8:30 AM ET CPI Core: Ex: Food & Energy MoM for Aug…est. +0.4% 8:30 AM ET CPI Core: Ex: Food & Energy YoY for Aug…est. +4.2% 8:55 AM ET Johnson/Redbook Weekly Sales 4:30 PM ET API Weekly Inventory Data Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: A LOT, CNM, FCEL, PETM Earnings After the Close: ASPU, EWCZ, IBEX, SKIL Other Key Events: Apple (AAPL) announces product launch event today China Retail Sales and Industrial Output for Aug Barclay’s Financial Services Conference (virtual) 2021, 9/13-9/15 BMO Capital 2021 Real Estate Conference (virtual), 9/13-9/14 Citigroup 2021 Global Technology Conference (virtual), 9/13-9/15 Cowen 2nd Annual Health, Wellness & Beauty Summit (virtual), 9/13-9/14 Credit Suisse 34th Annual Basic Materials Conference (virtual), 9/13-9/14 Deutsche Bank 11th Annual Aircraft, Finance & Leasing Conference, 9/13-9/14, in NY JPMorgan Gaming, Lodging, Restaurant & Leisure Management Forum, 9/13-9/14 Piper Global Technology Conference (virtual), 9/13-9/14 Piper 2021 D.C. Bank Field Trip, 9/13-9/15 Baird Global Healthcare Conference 2021 (virtual), 9/14-9/15 Barclay’s Financial Services Conference (virtual) 2021, 9/13-9/15 HC Wainwright 23rd Annual Global Investment Conference (virtual), 9/13-9/15 Jefferies Software Conference (virtual), 9/14-9/15 Lake Street 5th Annual Best Ideas Growth Conference (virtual), 9/14-9/15 Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index gained 10.15 points, or 0.23%, to 4,468.73 The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 261.91 points, or 0.76%, to 34,869.63 The Nasdaq Composite slipped -9.91 points, or 0.07%, to 15,105.58 The Russell 2000 Index advanced 13.24 points, or 0.59% to 2,240.78 Macro Up/Down Last Nymex 0.56 71.01 Brent 0.61 74.13 Gold -7.10 1,786.65 EUR/USD -0.0004 1.1807 JPY/USD 0.10 110.09 10-Year Note +0.015 1.338% World News UK July Employment Change higher at 183k vs 178k consensus while UK July Unemployment Rate in-line at 4.6% Japan July Industrial O/P in line fell -1.5% m/m and 13.3% y/y; Japan July Capacity Utilization -3.4% vs 6.2% previous Sector News Breakdown Consumer Herbalife Nutrition ($HLF) cuts Q3 EPS and sales view; cuts FY21 revenue view to 4.5%-8.5% from 8.5%-12.5% and EPS to $4.55-$4.95 from $4.70-$5.10 (est. $4.99) saying they recently observed lower than expected levels of activity amongst its independent distributors that has led to a decrease in expected third quarter and full year net sales AMZN ($AMZN) has increased its average starting wage in the United States to more than $18 an hour, a ~6% hike, and plans to hire another 125,000 warehouse and transportation workers, according to Reuters Figs ($FIGS) files to sell 8.83M shares of Class A common stock for holders Volt information Sciences ($VOLT) 3Q adj EPS $0.05 vs est. $0.04 on revs $217.5Mm vs est. $213Mm Energy, Industrials, Materials The Pentagon has awarded Lockheed Martin Corp ($LMT) annualized contracts for 2021 and option years 2022 and 2023, worth up to $6.6 billion to support operations and sustainment of the global F-35 fleet, its F-35 Joint Program Office said Exelon ($EXC) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Mizuho and raise tgt to $53 from $47.50 Matrix Service Company ($MTRX) 4Q adj EPS ($0.40) vs est. ($0.03) on revs $174.9Mm vs est. $177.2Mm, backlog as of June 30 was $462.6Mm; says award activity in the first quarter of fiscal 2022 has accelerated and we are expecting increasing awards and improving backlog as we move through the fiscal year MP Materials ($MP) announces offering of 4M shares of common stock for holders Financials Intuit ($INTU) said it would buy email marketing company Mailchimp for about $12 billion in a cash-and-stock deal (confirmed a late day WSJ report that INTU was in works to acquire the company) AllianceBernstein L.P. ($AB) said preliminary assets under management increased to $761 billion during August 2021 from $748 billion at the end of July. Market appreciation and firmwide net inflows drove the 2% increase. In the month of August, net inflows to Retail and Institutions were partially offset by modest net outflows from Private Wealth. Discover Financial Services ($DFS) said credit card delinquency rate 0.92% at August end vs 0.93% at July end and credit card charge-off rate 1.14% at August end vs 1.09% at July end Invesco Ltd. ($IVZ) preliminary month-end assets under management ($AUM) of $1,562.7 billion, an increase of 2.2% versus previous month-end. Total net inflows were $13.6 billion. The firm achieved net long-term inflows of $8.4 billion this month. Manning & Napier, Inc. ($MN), reported preliminary assets under management as of August 31, 2021 of $22.7 billion, compared with $22.5 billion at July 31, 2021, and $22.3 billion at June 30, 2021. Opendoor Technologies ($OPEN) announces offering of 28M shares of common stock for holders Victory Capital Holdings, Inc. ($VCTR) reported assets under management ($AUM) of $164.9 billion as of August 31, 2021. Life Storage ($LSI)5M share $306M Spot Secondary offering priced at implied $122.40 Healthcare Incyte ($INCY) announces ruxolitinib cream data accepted for presentation at the 2021 European academy of dermatology and venereology (EADV) virtual congress KalVista Pharmaceuticals (KALV) announces the lifting of FDA clinical hold for phase 2 trial of KVD824 MaxCyte, Inc. ($MXCT) 2Q EPS ($0.05) vs est. ($0.07) on revs $7.1Mm vs est. $5.7Mm; guides FY revs about $30Mm vs est. $28.2Mm Akerna ($KERN) will acquire business management software system 365 Cannabis in a $17M deal; Akerna will pay $4M in cash and $13M in stock, with a potential earn-out of $8M. The transaction is expected to close in Q4. Avantor ($AVTR)83M share Secondary priced at $42.00 Technology, Media & Telecom Oracle ($ORCL) Q1 adj EPS $1.03 vs. est. $0.97; Q1 revs $9.73B vs. est. $9.77B; Q1 Cloud Services and License Support Revenue $7.37B, Q1 Cloud License And On-Premise License Revenue $813M; Q1 Hardware Revenue $763M and Q1 Services Revenue $781M; Q1 GAAP operating income was up 7% to $3.4 billion, and GAAP operating margin was 35%; Non-GAAP operating income was up 4% to $4.3 billion; sees Q2 EPS $1.09-$1.13 vs. est. $1.08 and sees Q2 revs up 3%-5% SeaChange Int’l ($SEAC) 2Q adj EPS loss ($0.03) vs est. ($0.09) on revs $6.5Mm vs est. $5Mm IAC/InterActiveCorp (IAC) said August revenue for ANGI up 21%, DotDash up 29%, search up 67%; said August rev for emerging and other up 33% Vimeo Inc. ($VMEO) August total rev up 33%, August average revenue per user up 15% Semiconductor equipment makers Advanced Energy ($AEIS), Applied Materials ($AMAT) and Lam Research ($LRCX) all downgraded to Neutral from Positive at Susquehanna, while the firm upgraded KLA Corp. ($KLAC) to Positive from Neutral at Susquehanna Sportradar ($SRAD) 19M share IPO priced at $27.00

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BEARISH Tickers $AAPL, $BXP, $TT, $EFA, $HSY, $LH, $EBAY, $CERN, $DFS, $NXPI, $SQM, $EZU, $KHC

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Thursday, July 22, 2021 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow 83.00 0.24% 34,772 S&P 500 8.25 0.20% 4,359 Nasdaq 20.50 0.14% 14,848 Stock futures pointing higher, looking to make it a third straight day in a row of gains as optimism about earnings and the economic recovery outweighed Wall Street’s concerns about rising inflation and surging coronavirus cases. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury rose early Thursday to 1.287% after touching lows below 1.13% earlier this week. President Joe Biden, at a town hall in Cincinnati hosted by CNN, said Wednesday night “there will be near-term inflation” as the economy recovers but said he has been advised by his economic team that current price increases won’t last as demand returns to normal levels. Stocks advanced Wednesday as strong corporate earnings and renewed optimism about the U.S. economic recovery stoked investor risk appetite. All three major U.S. stock indexes appeared set to build on the previous session’s gains, which delivered the S&P 500’s best day since March, while the Russell 2000 SmallCap outperformed for a second day after trading in correction territory on Monday (defined as 10% down off record highs). With Wednesday’s advance, all three are within 1% of their all-time closing highs. Economically sensitive SmallCaps, semiconductors and financials outperformed the broader market as investors prep for another busy day of earnings. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index rose 159 points to 27,548, the Shanghai Index gained 12 points to 3,574 and the Hang Seng Index jumped nearly 500 points (1.83%) to settle at 27,723. In Europe, the German DAX is jumps 125 points to 15,550, while the FTSE 100 rises about 15 points to move above the 7,000 level. Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index gained 35.63 points, or 0.82%, to 4,358.69 The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 286.01 points, or 0.83%, to 34,798.00 The Nasdaq Composite jumped 133.08 points, or 0.92%, to 14,631.95 The Russell 2000 Index advanced 39.74 points, or 1.81% to 2,234.04 Events Calendar for Today 8:30 AM ET Weekly Jobless Claims 8:30 AM EST Continuing Claims 10:00 AM ET Existing Home Sales MoM for June 10:00 AM ET Leading Index MoM for June 10:30 AM ET Weekly EIA Natural Gas Inventory Data 11:00 AM ET Kansas City Fed Manufacturing for July Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: $AAL, $ABT, $AEP, $ALK, $AUB, $BANC, $BCO, $BIIB, $BKU, $BX, $CADE, $CLF, $CROX, $CSBR, $DGX, $DHI, $DHR, $DOW, $EWBC, $FAF, $FCX, $FITB, $GPC, $GTLS, $HRI, $HZO, $IIIN, $LUV, $MMC, $NEM, $NUE, $POOL, $RS, $SAFE, $SON, $T, $TPH, $TRN, $UNP, $VLY, $WBS, $WSO Earnings After the Close: $ABCB, $ASB, $BOOM, CBSH, $CE, $COF, $CSL, $CSTR, $GGBC, $INTC, $MMLP, $MSBI, $OZK, $RBNC, $SAM, $SBCF, $SIVB, $SNA, $SNAP, $TACO, $TWTR, $USX, $VRSN, $WRB, $WSFS Macro Up/Down Last Nymex 0.63 70.93 Brent 0.62 72.85 Gold -7.50 1,796.10 EUR/USD -0.0007 1.1787 JPY/USD -0.01 110.28 10-Year Note +0.013 1.295% World News The U.S. Treasury Department is projected to exhaust its borrowing authority in October or November, the Congressional Budget Office said on Wednesday, as a fight between Democrats and Republicans over raising the nation’s debt ceiling erupted in Congress. A failure to work out differences over whether government spending cuts should accompany an increase in the statutory debt limit, currently set at $28.5 trillion, could lead to a federal government shutdown – as has happened three times in the past decade – or even a debt default. Sector News Breakdown Consumer Las Vegas Sands ($LVS) 2Q EPS loss ($0.25) vs est. ($0.17), adj property EBITDA $244Mm, revs $1.17B vs est. $1.41B, net revs from Macao $855Mm Whirlpool ($WHR) Q2 adj EPS $6.64 vs. est. $5.93; Q2 revs $5.32B vs. est. $5.05B; raises FY21 adjusted EPS view to $26.00 from $22.50-$23.50 (est. $23.73); boosts FY21 net sales growth to ~16% from ~13%; sees FY21 cash provided by operating activities of $1.95B Stanley Black & Decker ($SWK) raises quarterly dividend 13% to 79c from 70c per share R. Horton ($DHI) Q3 EPS $3.06 vs. est. $2.81; Q3 revs $7.3B vs. est. $7.19B; Q3 net sales decreased 17% to 17,952 homes and increased 2% in value to $6.4 billion compared to 21,519 homes and $6.3 billion in the same quarter of the prior year; sees FY21 consolidated revenue $27.6B-$28.1B vs. est. $27.4B China is weighing an unprecedented penalty for Didi Global (DIDI) following its IPO last month, people familiar with the matter tell Bloomberg Energy Kinder Morgan ($KMI) Q2 adj EPS $0.23 vs. est. $0.19; Q2 revs $3.15B vs. est. $2.88B; expects to meet or exceed the top end of the range provided last quarter for DCF and Adjusted EBITDA; anticipates generating 2021 DCF of $5.4 billion and Adjusted EBITDA of $7.9 billion. TechnipFMC ($FTI) Q2 adj EPS ($0.06) vs est. ($0.01) on revs $1.669B vs est. $1.6B, qtr-end backlog $7.3B, qtrly inbound orders $1.56B; guides FY subsea revs $5.2-5.5B, guides surface tech revs $1.05-1.25B vs total revs est. $6.452 Precision Drilling (PDS) Q2 EPS loss (C$5.71) vs. (C$3.56) a year ago; Q2 revs C$201M vs. C$189.76M a year ago Chart Industries ($GTLS) Q2 adj EPS 80c vs. est. 79c; Q2 revs $322.0M vs. est. $317.45M; raises FY21 adjusted EPS view to $3.80-$4.25 from $3.65-$4.15 (est. $3.91); raises FY21 revenue guidance to $1.38B-$1.43B from $1.36B-$1.41B Financials Cohen & Steers ($CNS) Q2 adj EPS 94c vs. est. 86c; Q2 revs $144.27M vs. est. $131.17M; ending AUM of $96.2B, vs. $87.04B at previous quarter end – increase was driven by net inflows of $2.6B and market appreciation of $7.4B, partially offset by distributions of $769M Discover Financial ($DFS) 2Q EPS $5.55 vs est. $3.97, qtrly payment services volume $78.4B +22%, total loans ended qtr at $87.7B -1%, credit card loans ended qtr at $68.9B -2%, total net charge-off rt 2.12%; increases qtrly common stock dividend from $0.44-0.50/shr, approves share repurchase up to $2.4B Equifax ($EFX) 2Q adj EPS $1.98 vs est. $1.71 on revs $1.235B vs est. $1.16B; guides 3Q adj EPS $1.62-1.72 vs est. $1.65, raises FY adj EPS guide to $7.25-7.45 vs est. $7.05, sees FY revs $4.76-4.8B vs est. $4.675B Globe Life ($GL) 2Q EPS $1.92 vs est. $1.82; guides FY EPS $7.34-7.54 vs est. $7.29; says for FY at mid-point of guidance, estimate covid life claims between $53-55Mm Moelis ($MC) Q2 adj EPS $1.19 vs. est. $0.80; Q2 revs $360.9M vs. est. $273.8M; raises quarterly dividend by 9% to $0.60 and approves $100M share buyback OneMain Financial ($OMF) 2Q adj EPS $2.66 vs est. $2.19, NII $708Mm vs est. $769.1Mm; C&I managed receivables $18.3B, net charge-off ratio 4.41%, repurchased $35Mm in 2Q SEI Investments ($SEIC) 2Q EPS $0.93 vs est. $0.92 on revs $475.7Mm vs est. $464.7Mm SL Green Realty ($SLG) 2Q FFO/shr $1.60 vs est. $1.62, qtrly consolidated revs $218.1Mm vs est. $189.6Mm, op income $88.7Mm; same-store cash NOI including share of same-store NOI from unconsolidated JVs -3.7% yr/yr SLM Corp. ($SLM) Q2 core EPS $0.45 vs. est. $0.35; raises FY21 GAAP EPS view to $3.15-$3.25 from $2.95-$3.15; affirms FY21 private education loan origination y/y growth view of 6%-7% and lowers portfolio net charge-off view to $215M-$225M from $260M-$280M Texas Capital ($TCBI) 2Q EPS $1.31 vs est. $1.21; net interest income was $197.0 mln for q2 of 2021, compared to $200.1 mln for q1 of 2021 Triumph Bancorp. ($TBK) 2Q adj EPS $1.17 vs est. $1.02, NII $90.3Mm vs est. $89.2Mm, net int margin 6.47% Umpqua Holdings ($UMPQ) Q2 EPS $0.53 vs. est. $0.44; Q2 loan loss provision ($23M) vs. $87.08M a year ago; Q2 net charge-offs ($13.6M) vs. ($16.16M) a year ago; tangible book value per share was $12.49 at quarter end from $12.10 at previous quarter end; board approves to repurchase up to $400M of stock Ryan Specialty Group ($RYAN) 57M share IPO priced at $23.50 Travelers ($TRV) downgraded to Underperform from Buy at Bank America Healthcare Pfizer Inc. ($PFE) said the FDA has notified the company that it will not meet the Prescription Drug User Fee Act (PDUFA) goal dates for the New Drug Application for abrocitinib for the treatment of adults and adolescents with moderate to severe atopic dermatitis and the supplemental New Drug Application for XELJANZ/XELJANZ XR (tofacitinib) for the treatment of adults with active ankylosing spondylitis ICON Plc ($ICLR) Q2 adj EPS $2.12 vs. est. $2.09; Q2 revs $871.2M vs. est. $855.9M; sees FY21 EPS $9.10-$9.50 vs. est. $8.71; Record net business wins in the quarter of $1,106 million, an increase of 21.6% year on year; a net book to bill of 1.27; record closing backlog of $10.2 billion, an increase of 12.7% year on year Tenet Healthcare ($THC) Q2 EPS $1.59 vs. est. $1.07; Q2 revs $4.95B vs. est. $4.79B; Q2 Same-facility system-wide ambulatory surgical cases were up 68.2% from last year; year adj EBITDA Outlook range now $3.15B-$3.25B, up from prior view of $3.0B-$3.2B, which excludes the projected gain on the sale of the Miami-area hospitals; year adjusted diluted EPS $5.23-$5.73 up from $4.12-$5.46 prior – shares fell as Q3 guidance falls below consensus Absci ($ABSI)5M share IPO priced at $16.00 Natera ($NTRA)5M share Secondary priced at $113.00 Danaher ($DHR) Q2 adj EPS $2.46 vs. est. $2.05; Q2 revs $7.22B vs. est. $6.72B; for q3 2021, anticipates that non-GAAP core revenue growth will be in mid- to high-teens percent range; for full year 2021, now anticipates that non-GAAP core revenue growth rate including Cytiva will be about 20% Industrials & Materials CSX Corp. ($CSX) Q2 EPS $0.52 vs. est. $0.37; Q2 revs $2.99B vs. est. $2.93B; Q2 2021 operating ratio was 43.4% compared to 63.3% in prior year period; maintains full year revenue outlook and still sees year cap-ex $1.7B-$1.8B; Q2 expenses fall by 9% year-over-year to $1.30B Graco ($GGG) Q2 EPS $0.63 vs. est. $0.60; Q2 revs $507.2M vs. est. $475.94M; says initiating an outlook for full-year 2021 of mid-to-high teen sales growth on an organic, constant currency basis Dow Inc. ($DOW) Q2 EPS $2.72 vs. est. $2.30; Q2 revs $13.89B vs. est. $13.02B; qtrly packaging & specialty plastics segment net sales were $7.1 bln, up 78% versus year-ago period; industrial intermediates & infrastructure segment net sales were $4.2 bln, up 74% versus year-ago period; qtrly performance materials & coatings segment net sales were $2.5 bln, up 33% over year-ago BHP ($BHP) announced the signing of a nickel supply agreement with Tesla ($TSLA). Kaiser Aluminum ($KALU) Q2 adj EPS $1.00 vs. est. $1.44; Q2 revs $741M vs. est. $519.18M; qtrly shipments 337 mln lbs vs 119 mln lbs; said automotive business is temporarily dampened as ongoing shortages of semiconductor chips affects N. American light vehicle production Landstar ($LSTR) Q2 EPS $2.40 vs. est. $2.32; Q2 revs $1.57B vs. est. $1.46B; actual revenue per load on loads hauled via truck in 2021 q2 compared to 2021 q1 increased 7.5%; sees Q3 EPS $2.20-$2.30 and revs $1.55B-$1.6B UFP Industries ($UFPI) 2Q EPS $2.78 vs est. $1.81 on sales $2.7B vs est. $2.26B, expects all segments to benefit from more stable pricing in 2022 Valmont Industries ($VMI) Q2 adj EPS $3.06 vs. est. $2.50; Q2 revs $894.6M vs. est. $814.85M; sees FY21 adj EPS $10.40-$11.10 above consensus $9.89 and raises FY21 revenue growth view to 16%-19% from 9%-14%; expect meaningful sequential margin improvement in second half of 2021 as pricing becomes more aligned with steel cost inflation XL Fleet Corp ($XL) announced a battery and power electronics development and supply agreement and an investment in eNow, Inc., a provider of solar and battery power systems that enable fully-electric Transport Refrigeration Units for Class 8 commercial trailers

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Tuesday, July 20, 2021 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow 182.00 0.53% 34,582 S&P 500 16.25 0.38% 4,331 Nasdaq 8.50 0.06% 14,731 U.S. stocks continue to recover from an early-week selloff prompted by fears surrounding the rapidly-spreading Delta variant as major averages rose about 1.6% on Tuesday, with investors again taking any market pullback as an opportunity to jump back into equities. A handful of Dow components expected to report earnings this morning with Johnson & Johnson, Coca-Cola and Verizon coming up. In Washington, a $1.2T bipartisan infrastructure bill will face an initial procedural floor vote in U.S. Senate today, which aims to upgrade roads and bridges, water systems and expand broadband Internet. European equities are in the green, extending opening gains to trade near best levels for the week as travel the strongest sector followed by retail and banking names. Crude futures drift higher as September WTI rises over 1% to trade back on a $68-handle and Brent trades back above $70. Netflix ($NFLX) shares little changed after mixed earnings results overnight. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index climbed 159 points to 27,548, the Shanghai Index gained 25 points to 3,562 and the Hang Seng Index slipped -34 points to 27,224. In Europe, the German DAX is up over 130 points to 15,350, while the FTSE 100 gains over 100 points (1.58%) to move just below the 7,000 level. Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index gained 64.57 points, or 1.52%, to 4,323.06 The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 549.95 points, or 1.62%, to 34,511.99 The Nasdaq Composite surged 223.89 points, or 1.57%, to 14,498.88 The Russell 2000 Index advanced 63.62 points, or 2.99% to 2,194.30 Events Calendar for Today 7:00 AM ET MBA Mortgage Applications Data 10:30 AM ET Weekly DOE Inventory Data Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: $AFI, $ANTM, $BHLB, $BKR, $BOKF, $CMA, $FCFS, $HOG, $IPG, $JNJ, $KNX, $KO, $LAD, $LVS, $MKTX, $MTB, $NDAQ, $NTRS, $STX, $TZOO, $USAP, $VZ, $WRLD Earnings After the Close: $BANR, $BXS, $CCI, $CNS, $CSX, $CVLG, $DFS, $EFX, $EGBN, $FR, $GGG, $GL, $GSBC, $INBK, $KALU, $KMI, $LOB, $LSTR, $MC, $NTGR, $NVEC, $OMF, $PLXS, $REXR, $RGP, $RLI, $SLG, $SLM, $STC, $STL, $TBK, $TCBI, $THC, $TSC, $TXN, $UFPI, UMPQ, $VMI, $WASH, $WHR Macro Up/Down Last Nymex 0.85 68.05 Brent 0.90 70.25 Gold -6.30 1,804.00 EUR/USD -0.0007 1.1774 JPY/USD 0.25 110.10 10-Year Note +0.036 1.245% Sector News Breakdown Consumer Chipotle Mexican Grill ($CMG) shares rise 4%; 2Q adj EPS $7.46 vs. est. $6.52 on revs $1.9B vs. est. $1.88B, digital sales +10.5% (48.5% of total sales), qtrly comps +31.2%, qtrly restaurant level op mgn 24.5%; guides 3Q comps sales +low-mid-double-digits, sees 3Q at or slightly above +200 new restaurants Lands’ End ($LE) raises Q2 revs to $380M-$385M, up from prior view $345M-$355M; raises Q2 adj Ebitda to $36M-$38M from prior view $20M-$23M and ups EPS view to $0.39-$0.43 from prior $0.05-$0.12 (est. $0.07); also raises year revs, income and Ebitda views Sleep Number ($SNBR) shares fall -9% on miss; 2Q EPS $0.88 vs. est. $1.16 on net sales $484.3Mm missing the est. $511Mm; guides FY EPS at least $7.25 vs est. $6.79 (assumes 25% tax rt for remainder of the year) Harley Davidson ($HOG) 2Q adj EPS $1.41 vs est. $1.17 on revs $1.53B vs est. $1.41B, qtrly motorcycle shipments 56,700 vs 28,400 yr-ago; qtrly worldwide motorcycle retail sales 65,300 vs 52,700 yr-ago; guides FY motorcycle segment revs +30-35%, sees FY financial svcs segment op inc +75-85% Lithia Motors ($LAD) Q2 adj EPS $11.12 vs. est. $5.85; Q2 revs $6.01B vs. est. $4.99B; qtrly new vehicle retail sales increased 130.0% and qtrly used vehicle retail sales increased 95.7% Tesla ($TSLA) plans to open its network of superchargers to other electric vehicles later this year, CEO Elon Musk said on Twitter; the co’s fast charging network, with over 25,000 superchargers globally, has given it a competitive edge VICI Properties ($VICI) entered into a strategic arrangement with Great Wolf Resorts whereby VICI Properties may provide certain financing for the construction and development of Great Wolf Lodge resorts throughout the United States United Airlines ($UAL) Q2 op revs $5.47B vs. est. $5.35B; 2Q adj EPS ($3.91) vs est. ($3.91), capacity -46%, 3Q est. capacity -26%; sees 3Q TRASM positive vs 3Q19; expects 4Q adj pre-tax income to be positive; Q2 operating expenses down 42%, down 32% excluding special charges, compared to q2 2019 Energy The American Petroleum Institute ($API) reports that crude inventories rose 806,000 barrels last week, gasoline inventories rose 3.31M barrels and distillate stockpiles fell -1.225M barrels Avangrid ($AGR) Q2 adj EPS 35c vs. est. 41c; Q2 revs $1.48B vs. est. $1.52B; cuts FY21 adjusted EPS view to $2.04-2.22 from $2.25-$2.45 (est. $2.36) Halliburton ($HAL) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman Sachs Financials CME Group ($CME) raises crude oil future Nymex (cl) maintenance margins to $5,450/contract from $5,300 for sept. 2021 Fulton Financial ($FULT) Q2 EPS $0.38 vs. est. $0.33; Q2 net interest income (NII) $162M vs. $152.7M last year; Q2 net interest margin 2.73% vs. 2.81% last year Hope Bancorp ($HOPE) 2Q EPS $0.43 vs est. $0.38, NII $126.6Mm vs est. $127.1Mm Interactive Brokers (IBKR) Q2 adj EPS $0.82 vs. est. $0.83; Q2 revs $754M vs. est. $681.28M; Net interest income increased $78 million, or 40%, from the year-ago quarter; Commission revenue increased $31 million, or 11%, from the year-ago quarter Preferred Bank ($PFBC) 2Q EPS $1.44 vs est. $1.46, NII $43.4Mm vs est. $46.6Mm National Storage ($NSA)8M share Spot Secondary priced at $51.25 Signature Bank ($SBNY)5M share Spot Secondary priced at $235.50 Shift4 Payments ($FOUR) announces offering of 1.79M shares of Class A common stock United Community Bank ($UCBI) Q2 EPS $0.78 vs. est. $0.67; Q2 return on assets (ROA) was 1.46% and its return on common equity was 14.1% for the quarter. On an operating basis, United’s ROA was 1.48% and its return on tangible common equity was 17.8%. On a pre-tax, pre-provision basis, operating return on assets was 1.67% for the quarter. Healthcare Johnson & Johnson ($JNJ) Q2 adj EPS $2.48 vs. est. $2.27; Q2 revs $23.31B vs. est. $22.19B; company increasing 2021 full-year guidance for sales and eps; sees 2021 adjusted operational sales change vs. prior year 12.5%-13.5%; raises FY21 adjusted EPS view to $9.50-$9.60 from $9.30-$9.45 (est. $9.52) and raises FY21 revenue view to $93.8B-$94.6B from $90.6B-$91.6B Anthem ($ANTM) Q2 adj EPS $7.03 vs. est. $6.33; Q2 revs $33.3B vs. est. $33.21B; raises FY21 adjusted EPS view to greater than $25.50 vs. est. $25.23 and above prior view for greater than $25.10; its benefit expense ratio – the percentage of premiums paid for medical services – worsened to 86.8% from 77.9% a year earlier Cytokinetics ($CYTK) 10M share Secondary priced at $27.50 Intuitive Surgical ($ISRG) Q2 adj EPS $3.92 vs. est. $3.07; Q2 revs $1.46B vs. est. $1.26B; shipped 328 da Vinci Surgical Systems, an increase of 84% compared with 178 in Q2 of 2020; grew its da Vinci Surgical System installed base to 6,335 systems as of June 30, an increase of 10% compared with 5,764 as of the end of Q2 of 2020; raises FY21 procedure growth view to 27%-30% from 22%-26% and sees FY21 gross profit margin 70.5%-71.5% of revenue Natera ($NTRA) files to sell $350M of common stock SmileDirectClub, Inc. ($SDC) announced that an en banc panel of the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Eleventh Circuit sided with the company, rejecting the Georgia Board of Dentistry’s attempt to shield itself from antitrust liability through an interlocutory appeal. Celyad Oncology ($CYAD) highlights new preclinical allogeneic armored CAR T candidate developed from its shRNA platform; the submission of IND application for CYAD-203, a new first-in-class shRNA-based allogeneic, IL-18-armored CAR T candidate, expected in mid-2022 Industrials & Materials AAR Corp. ($AIR) Q4 adj EPS $0.47 vs. est. $0.48; Q4 sales $437.6M vs. est. $422.6M; Q4 adj Ebitda $34.3M up +60% y/y Canadian National ($CNI) Q2 adj EPS C$1.49 (in-line with est.) vs. C$1.28 YoY; Q2 revenue C$3.6B versus C$3.21B last year; reaffirms 2021 outlook; still targeting double-digit adjusted eps growth for 2021 and still sees high single-digit volume growth in for 2021; quarterly carloads 1.47 mln vs 1.29 mln Forestar Group ($FOR) 3Q EPS $0.32 vs est. $0.40 on revs $312.9Mm vs est. $307.6Mm; says housing conditions remain favorable across the country, now expect to deliver between 15,500-16,000 lots in FY Rexnord Corp. ($RXN) 2Q adj EPS $0.58 vs est. $0.50 on sales $568Mm vs est. $543.9Mm; expects 3Q sales in WM platform to increase high-teens % YoY Rush Enterprise ($RUSHA) 2Q EPS $1.00 vs. est. $0.82 on revs $1.316B vs. est. $1.31B Technology, Media & Telecom Netflix ($NFLX) 3Q EPS $2.97 vs. est. $3.16 on revs $7.34B vs. est. $7.32B, streaming net adds 1.54Mm w/ about 2/3 of global paid net adds from APAC; guides 3Q streaming net adds 3.5Mm 9vs. est. at 5.5Mm), sees 3Q revs $7.48B vs. est. $7.48B; says continue to target 20% operating margin for FY Avnet ($AVT) guides Q4 EPS $1.01-$1.05 vs. est. $0.79; said strong quarter-over-quarter sales growth in EMEA, Asia and Farnell, and continued operating improvement in the Americas, all contributed to better-than-expected results Qualtrics ($XM) Q2 EPS $0.04 vs. est. loss (2c); Q2 revs $249.3M vs. est. $241.63M; sees Q3 revs $257M-$259M vs. est. $246.6M; Q2 2021 Subscription Revenue of $204.5M, up 48% YoY; next 12 months remaining performance obligations of $754.8M, up 61% YoY ASML Holdings ($ASML) raises its 2021 sales outlook and announces a new share buyback, as orders for its equipment soared amid a global computer chip shortage; announces 9 bln euro ($10.60 bln) share buyback; said demand remained strong as major chipmakers raced to expand production capacity SAP AG ($SAP) Q2 revenue was 6.67 billion euros, up 1% from the year earlier quarter, or 3% higher adjusted for currency, and about in line with the Wall Street analyst consensus forecast at 6.69 billion euros; posted cloud revenue of 2.276 billion euros, up 11%, or 17% in constant currency, missing the Street consensus at 2.31 billion euros CS Disco ($LAW) 7M share IPO priced at $32.00 Paycor ($PYCR)5M share IPO priced at $23.00 VTEX ($VTEX) 19M share IPO priced at $19.00

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/*============================================= = Tuesday, June 15, 2021 = =============================================*/ Futures Up/Down % Last Dow -3.00 0.01% 34,272 S&P 500 2.25 0.05% 4,248 Nasdaq 10.50 0.07% 14,127 Another day, another record for the S&P 500, with futures looking to a slightly higher open ahead of a key round of economic data (monthly retail sales at 8:30 AM along with the producer prices index (PPI) inflation reading, which follows the “hotter” CPI report last week) while investors await results of the two-day FOMC meeting tomorrow afternoon. The central bank will make an announcement on interest rates Wednesday, followed by a news conference from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell. Stocks in the U.S. were slightly higher Monday in a listless, tight trading range all day prior to a surge in the final minutes of trading that took most major averages higher, allowing the S&P 500 and Nasdaq to close at record highs led by gains in large cap tech. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index rose 279 points to 29,441, the Shanghai Index fell -33 points to 3,556, and the Hang Seng Index dropped 203 points to 28,638. In Europe, the German DAX is higher by around 70 points to 15,740, while the FTSE 100 is up about 20 points to 7,165. It should be a relatively quiet day again with all eyes on tomorrows FOMC meeting. Events Calendar for Today 7:45 AM ET ICSC Weekly Retail Sales 8:30 AM EST Producer Price Index (PPI) MoM for May…est. 0.6% 8:30 AM EST Producer Price Index (PPI) YoY for May…est. 6.3% 8:30 AM EST PPI Ex: Food & Energy (core) MoM for May…est. 0.5% 8:30 AM EST PPI Ex: Food & Energy (core) YoY for May…est. 4.8% 8:30 AM EST Advance Retail Sales MoM for May…est. (-0.7%) 8:30 AM EST Retail Sales Less Autos MoM for May…est. 0.2% 8:55 AM ET Johnson/Redbook Weekly Sales 9:15 AM EST Industrial Production MoM for May…est. 0.6% 9:15 AM EST Capacity Utilization for May…est. 75.1% 10:00 AM EST Business Inventories MoM for April…est. (-0.1%) 10:00 AM EST NAHB Housing Market Index for June…est. 83 4:00 AM EST Net Long-term TIC Flows for April 4:30 PM ET API Weekly Inventory Data Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: $KPLT Earnings After the Close: $ATEX, $HNST, $HRB, $LZB, $ORCL, $STEP, $VOLT Other Key Events: Citigroup European Healthcare Conference (virtual), 6/14-6/16 European Hematology Association (EHA) Virtual Meeting, 6/9-6/17 FBN Securities Valley tech Tour (virtual), 6/14-6/15 Northland Customer Engagement SaaS Conference (virtual), 6/15-6/16 Oppenheimer 21st Annual Consumer Growth and E-Commerce Conference (virtual), 6/15-6/16 China Retail Sales for May Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index gained 7.71 points, or 0.18%, to 4,255.15 The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell -85.85 points, or 0.25%, to 34,393.75 The Nasdaq Composite jumped 104.72 points, or 0.74%, to 14,174.14 The Russell 2000 Index declined -9.66 points, or 0.41% to 2,326.15 Macro Up/Down Last Nymex 0.46 71.34 Brent 0.47 73.33 Gold -1.45 1,864.75 EUR/USD 0.0005 1.2125 JPY/USD -0.03 110.04 10-Year Note -0.014 1.487% World News Germany May CPI: m/m 0.5% in line; y/y 2.5% in line; HICP m/m 0.3% in line; y/y 2.4% in line France May CPI: m/m 0.3% in line; y/y 1.4% in line; HICP m/m 0.3% vs 0.4% cons; y/y 1.8% in line Italy May CPI: m/m 0.0 in line; y/y 1.3% in line; HICP m/m -0.1% vs 0.0% cons; y/y 1.2% vs 1.3% consensus Sector News Breakdown Consumer Kohl’s ($KSS) said it sees FY sales +mid-high teens vs 2020, below the consensus of up +20.85% Vroom, Inc. ($VRM) announces proposed convertible senior notes offering/to offer $500 mln of convertible senior notes due 2026 Spirit Airlines ($SAVE) estimates its load factor for Q2 will be about 84.0%, total operating expenses, excluding special items, for q2 2021 are tracking towards better end of co’s initial guidance; now expects its Ebitda margin, excluding special items, for q2 of 2021 to be modestly positive; expects that air travel demand will continue to gradually recover in 2021 H&M shares slipped after Q2 sales were lower than expected, hurt by China and European restrictions; Q2 sales were up 62% year on year to SEK 46.51 bln ($5.59 bln), but still down 19% – when compared with two years earlier Ford ($F) says production of 2021 Ford Bronco is underway at the Michigan assembly plant Energy, Industrials and Materials FedEx Corp ($FDX) increased quarterly cash dividend by $0.10 per share, or 15% Mosaic ($MOS) announced its May 2021 sales revenue and volumes May Potash sales volumes in thousands of tons 891 versus 810 in May of last year Fastenal ($FAST) downgraded to Underweight from Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley Financials Discover Financial Services ($DFS) credit card delinquency rate 1.01% at may end vs 1.12% at April end; credit card charge-off rate 1.78% at may end vs 1.54% at April end Capital One Financial ($COF) May domestic credit card net charge-offs rate 2.33 % vs 2.40% in April; delinquencies rate for auto 3.14% at May end vs 2.74% at April end Blucora $(BCOR) raises Q2 non-GAAP EPS view to $1.12-$1.21 from $0.94-$1.11 and ups revenue view to $250.0-$254.5M from $238M-$249M (vs. est. $243.4M) MicroStrategy ($MSTR) has filed a registration statement with the SEC for the potential offering of its class A common shares Principal Financial ($PFG) downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at Piper Sandler Arbor Realty ($ABR) 6M share Spot Secondary priced at $18.65 Alexandria Real Estate ($ARE) 7M share Spot Secondary priced at $184.00 Ellington Residential ($EARN)25M share Spot Secondary priced at $13.20 Rowe Price ($TROW) declares special cash dividend of $3.00 per share Healthcare Biogen ($BIIB) announces topline results from phase 3 gene therapy study in Choroideremia; says phase 3-star study did not meet primary or key secondary endpoints Sage Therapeutics ($SAGE) and Biogen ($BIIB) announce positive pivotal phase 3 results for zuranolone, an investigational two-week, once-daily therapeutic being evaluated for major depressive disorder; rapid onset of treatment effect was seen in hamd-17 results at days 3, 8, and 12 AstraZeneca ($AZN) announces that its antibody cocktail, AZD7442, didn’t achieve a statistically significant reduction in the risk of symptomatic COVID-19 after exposure to the virus, failing to meet primary endpoint of the STORM CHASER trial Ampio Pharmaceuticals ($AMPE) receives approval to expand enrollment of its ap-019 phase ii study to India; phase ii study will utilize inhaled Ampion to treat those suffering from respiratory distress due to covid-19 NanoString Technologies (NSTG) and the Parker Institute for Cancer Immunotherapy ($PICI) are collaborating on an expansive molecular characterization project for cellular therapies Novavax ($NVAX) announces positive results from first study of influenza vaccine and covid-19 vaccine candidate administered simultaneously and that study demonstrated no early safety concerns C4 Therapeutics ($CCCC) files to sell 4.25M shares of common stock Rapt Therapeutics ($RAPT) offers to sell $125M in common stock Technology, Media & Telecom PING Identity Holding ($PING) files prospectus related to offering of 32.7 mln shares of common stock by selling stockholders Vimeo ($VMEO) says May avg. revenue per user up 18% and May total revenue up 42% Applied Materials ($AMAT) files debt securities shelf

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$WHR $LVS $DFS earning amc

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Notable gainers among liquid option names this morning include $EQT (+7.5%), $DFS (+7.4%), $T (+6.5%), $SNA (+5.9%), and $ZION (+5.7%),

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Elsewhere, events and exhibitions operator Informa says it will take a £425m hit from the outbreak of the virus. DFS Furniture also warned of a hit to footfall as shoppers stay home. Air France KLM said it will cancel 3,600 flights in March. There is going to be lasting damage done to the airline sector – consolidation in European short haul will accelerate.

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