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Thursday, October 21, 2021 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow -101.00 0.28% 35,376 S&P 500 -10.25 0.24% 4,517 Nasdaq -22.50 0.15% 15,355 U.S. futures are down slightly overnight, as the S&P 500 index comes into the day with a 6-day win streak, as the earnings barrage continues today, with shares of TSLA and IBM slipping after quarterly results last night while media giant AT&T (T) rises early following its results. For the moment, China Evergrande debt contagion fears, inflation, Fed tapering, rising commodity prices are having no effect on global stock markets with the CBOE Volatility index (VIX) settling around its lowest levels in about 2-months. As for yesterday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average touched an all-time fresh intraday high while the S&P 500 flirted with its all-time intraday record highs (rising a 6th straight day) after strong earnings results and forecasts from healthcare companies and as banks advanced amid rising Treasury yields. The 10-Year Treasury yield spiked to 1.6730% early, a fresh five-month high sending the S&P 500 Bank Index higher for a fifth-straight day, for its fourth-straight record close. Technology underperformed as the Nasdaq Composite closed slightly lower as inflation fears crept into the market late day following comments from Federal Reserve President Quarles. In Asian markets overnight, The Nikkei Index fell -546 points (1.87%) to settle at 28,708, the Shanghai Index inched higher 7-points to 3,594 and the Hang Seng Index declined -118 points to 26,017. In Europe, the German DAX is down just a few points holding above 15,500, while the FTSE 100 slips -0.3% to just under 7,200. Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index gained 16.56 points, or 0.37%, to 4,536.19 The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 152.03 points, or 0.43%, to 35,609.34 The Nasdaq Composite dropped -7.41 points, or 0.05%, to 15,121.68 The Russell 2000 Index advanced 13.85 points, or 0.61% to 2,289.77 Events Calendar for Today 8:30 AM ET Weekly Jobless Claims…est. 300K 8:30 AM EST Continuing Claims…est. 2.55M 8:30 AM ET Philly Fed Index for October…est. 25.0 10:00 AM ET Existing Home Sales MoM for September…est. 6.09M 10:00 AM ET Leading Index MoM for September…est. +0.4% 10:30 AM ET Weekly EIA Natural Gas Inventory Data Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: AAL, ALK, ALLY, AMTB, AN, BANC, BHLB, BKU, BX, CROX, DHX, DHR, DOW, EEFT, EWBC, FAF, FCX, GATX, GPC, GTLS, HOMB, HRI, IIIN, IPG, IQV, KEY, LNN, MMC, POOL, SASR, SCHN, T, TPH, TRN, TSCO, UNP, VLO, WBS Earnings After the Close: ASB, NJRI, BOOM, CE, CMG, CSL, CSTR, FFBC, GBCI, INTC, MAT, NUE, OZK, PBCT, PINE, PSMT, SAM, SNAP, SIVB, TRST, USX, VICR, WAL, WHR, WRB, WSFS Other Key Events: The European Society of Gene and Cell Therapy (ESGCT) Congress 2021 is taking place virtually this year from October 19-22 Macro Up/Down Last Nymex -0.53 82.89 Brent -0.95 84.87 Gold 1.90 1,788.70 EUR/USD -0.0012 1.1639 JPY/USD -0.27 113.99 10-Year Note +0.013 1.645% Sector News Breakdown Consumer Tesla Inc. ($TSLA) 3Q adj EPS $1.86 vs est. $1.59 on revs $13.76B vs est. $13.63B, auto gr margin 30.5% vs 27.7% year ago, says expect op margin will continue to grow; qtly bitcoin-related impairment of $51Mm; continue to target first model Y production builds in Berlin and Austin before end of year; says challenges including semi shortages, port congestion, rolling blackouts impacting ability to keep factories running full speed; Las Vegas ($LVS) Q3 revs $857M below the $1.34B estimate; on a GAAP basis, qtrly total net revenues for SCL increased to $611 mln, compared to $167 mln in q3 of 2020; Q3 adj EPS loss (-$0.45) vs. est. loss (-$0.20) Unilever ($UL) rises on higher-than-expected Q3 sales growth; reports higher-than-expected underlying sales growth for Q3 beating analysts’ expectations; reiterates full-year profit margin forecast, defying some analysts’ fears of a cut; warns inflation is likely to accelerate next year Portillo’s ($PTLO)27M share IPO priced at $20.00 Energy Kinder Morgan ($KMI) Q3 adj EPS $0.22 vs. est. $0.24; Q3 revs $3.82B vs. est. $3.26B; backs FY21 adjusted EBITDA view $7.9B, expects to generate net income attributable to KMI of $1.7 billion and declare dividends of $1.08 per share, a 3% increase TechnipFMC ($FTI) shares fall -6%; 3Q adj EPS ($0.06) vs est. $0.02 on revs $1.58B vs est. $1.7B, qtrly total inbound orders were $1.37B, qtr-end backlog $7.0B; guides FY subsea revs $5.2-5.5B, sees FY surface tech revs $1.05-1.25B, sees FY CAPEX approx $250Mm HighPeak Energy ($HPK)2M share Secondary priced at $10.00 Helix Energy ($HLX) narrows FY21 revenue view to $600M-$645M from $600M-$670M; narrows FY21 adjusted EBITDA view to $85M-$100M from $75M-$100M and boosts FY free cash flow view to $80M-$120M from $45M-$90M; lowers cap-ex view Valero (VLO) Q3 adj EPS $1.22 vs. est. $0.92; Q3 revs $29.52B vs. est. $23.97B Financials Discover Financial ($DFS) Q3 EPS $3.54 vs. est. $3.53; Q3 revs $2.78B vs. est. $2.91B; Total loans ended the quarter at $89.5 billion, up 1% year-over-year, and up 2% sequentially. Credit card loans ended the quarter at $70.3 billion, up 1% year-over-year. Personal loans decreased $321 million, or 4%, and private student loans increased $168 million, or 2%, year-over-year. Banner Corp. ($BANR) 3Q EPS $1.44 vs est. $1.15 on revs $155.5Mm vs est. $122.6Mm Cohen & Steers ($CNS) 3Q adj EPS $1.06 vs est. $0.97 on revs $154.2Mm vs est. $148.3Mm Equifax ($EFX) 3Q adj EPS $1.85 vs est. $1.72 on revs $1.2B vs est. $1.18B; guides 4Q revs $1.23-1.25B vs est. $1.2B and adj EPS $1.72-1.82 vs est. $1.80; sees FY revs $4.9-4.92B vs est. $4.83B and adj EPS $7.52-7.62 vs est. $7.47 First Industrial Realty ($FR) 3Q FFO/share $0.51 vs est. $0.49; raises FY FFO/share guide by $0.02 at midpoint to $1.95 vs est. $1.94 OneMain Holdings ($OMF) 3Q adj EPS $2.37 vs est. $2.30; C&I managed receivables $19.1B, C&I net charge-off ratio 3.52%, repurchased 2.4Mm shares for $141Mm in qtr; proposes minimum qtrly div/share of $0.70; Sterling Bancorp. ($STL) 3Q adj EPS $0.52 vs est. $0.51; NII $213.8Mm vs est. $219.3Mm; proposes 3Q dividend of $0.07 SL Green Realty ($SLG) Q3 FFO $1.78 vs. est. $1.58; Q3 revs $142.7M vs. est. $160.97M; revising its earnings guidance ranges; said same-store cash NOI, including our share of same-store cash NOI from unconsolidated joint ventures, increased by 5.7% for Q3; narrows FY21 FFO view to $6.45-$6.65 from $6.30-$6.70 SLM Corp. ($SLM) 3Q core EPS $0.24 vs est. $0.20; private education loan originations +10% to $2.1B; declares 4Q dividend of $0.11/share vs $0.03/share in 3Q21; qtrly NII $358Mm vs est. $343.6Mm; qtrly education loan provisions for credit losses $138Mm; sees FY net charge-offs $195M to $205M, saw $215M to $225M Texas Capital ($TCBI) Q3 EPS $0.76 vs. est. $1.10; Q3 net interest income of $194.1M declines from $197.0M in Q2 and $207.6M YoY due to a decline in loan fees, partially offset by a decrease in average interest-bearing deposits; non-interest income also fell 30% from Q2 and 65% from Q3 2020, driven by Q2 sale of its mortgage servicing rights portfolio and other non-interest income. Triumph Bancorp ($TBK) Q3 EPS $0.94 vs est. $1.08; Q3 net charge-offs .08%; Q3 CET1 capital ratio 9.45%; Q3 tangible book value per share $19.73; net interest margin was 6.69%. Yield on loans and the average cost of our total deposits were 7.92% and 0.16%, respectively Umpqua Holdings Corporation ($UMPQ) Q3 EPS $0.49 vs. est. $0.44; Net income of $108.1 million, or $0.49 per common share; non-PPP loan balances increased $479.7 million or 2.3%; Deposit balances increased $754.8 million or 2.9%; provision for credit losses recapture of $18.9 million as modeled economic conditions improve Healthcare S. regulators on Wednesday signed off on extending COVID-19 boosters to Americans who got the Moderna (MRNA) or Johnson & Johnson ($JNJ) vaccine and said anyone eligible for an extra dose can get a brand different from the one they received initially. Tenet Healthcare ($THC) Q3 adj EPS $1.99 vs. est. $0.99; Q3 revs $4.89B vs. est. $4.81B; qtrly same-hospital net patient service revenue per adjusted admission up 6.2% versus q3 2020; sees 2021 adj EPS now $6.15-$6.38 (from prior $5.23-$5.73) and adj Ebitda $3.275B-$3.325B (from prior $3.15B-$3.25B) Regeneron ($REGN) and Sanofi ($SNY) said the FDA has approved Dupixent, or dupilumab, as an add-on maintenance treatment of patients aged 6 to 11 years with moderate-to-severe asthma characterized by an eosinophilic phenotype or with oral corticosteroid-dependent asthma Ventyx Biosciences ($VTYX)47M share IPO priced at $16.00 Investment adviser Darwin Global Management became the third shareholder of Acceleron Pharmaceuticals ($XLRN) to publicly oppose the company’s pending acquisition by Merck ($MRK). In a letter, Darwin said it believes Merck’s $11 billion offer price, or $180 per share, is too low. Acceleron is actually worth between $22 billion and $28 billion, according to the firm, or $353 to $451 per share Industrials & Materials CSX Corp. ($CSX) 3Q EPS $0.43 vs est. $0.39 on revs $3.29B vs est. $3.11B; 24% surge in revenue just outpaced a 23% increase in expenses. Activist investor Elliott Management Corp. has a big stake in Canadian National Railway Co. ($CNI), the WSJ reported citing people familiar with the matter said, adding to pressure on the railroad after its CEO resigned following a failed bid for rival Kansas City Southern. Covenant Logistics ($CVLG) 3Q adj EPS $1.02 vs est. $1.02 on revs $274.6Mm vs est. $259.9Mm Dow Inc. ($DOW) Q3 EPS $2.75 vs. est. $2.56; Q3 revs $14.84B vs. est. $14.25 Graco ($GGG) 3Q adj EPS $0.57 vs est. $0.63 on revs $486.7Mm vs est. $490.5Mm; says continue to target mid-high-teen organic sales growth on constant currency basis for FY21 vs est. +19% Kaiser Aluminum ($KALU) Q3 adj EPS $0.57 vs. est. $1.33; Q3 sales $751M misses the $773.2M est.; anticipates cost issues and supply chain disruptions will continue during quarter Landstar ($LSTR) Q3 EPS $2.58 vs. est. $2.49; Q3 revs $1.734B vs. est. $1.66B; Q3 truckload transportation revenue hauled via van equipment inQ3 was up 59% YoY to $918.1M; truckload transportation revenue hauled via unsided/platform equipment in Q3 was up 44% to $423.0M; sees Q4 EPS $2.55-$2.65 vs. est. $2.43 PPG Industries ($PPG) 3Q adj EPS $1.69 vs est. $1.58 on sales about $4.4B vs est. $4.24B; guides FY adj EPS $6.67-6.73 vs est. $7.03; says plan to execute share repurchases in 4Q and continue to evaluate potential bolt-on acquisitions; say increased supply disruptions negatively impacted sales and manufacturing costs Rush Enterprises ($RUSHA) Q3 EPS $1.20 vs. est. $0.96; Q3 revs $1.27B below est. $1.34B; said supply chain issues continue to impact new truck and aftermarket sales Valmont Industries ($VMI) 3Q adj EPS $2.57 vs est. $2.47 on revs $868.8Mm vs est. $862.3Mm; guides FY adj EPS $10.60-11.10 vs est. $10.78; sees FY22 sales +7-12% vs est. +6.2%, sees EPS +13-15% vs est. +13.5%