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Wednesday, September 22, 2021 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow 220.00 0.65% 34,018 S&P 500 26.25 0.61% 4,369 Nasdaq 57.50 0.38% 15,081 Stocks looking to bounce, with U.S. futures sharply higher after last night as reports indicated that troubled Chinese property developer Evergrandeβs main unit Hengda Real Estate Group co says will make coupon payment for onshore bond due Sept. 23rd. That buys Evergrande some time, although debt restructuring is still likely. Also, the House passed a bill Tuesday that would temporarily fund the government and suspend the debt limit. The legislation could fail in the Senate, as Minority Leader Mitch McConnell says Republicans will vote against raising the debt ceiling. The government would shut down on Oct. 1 and the U.S. would be unable to pay its bills sometime in October if Congress does not pass legislation addressing both issues. Bond markets unphased by the news with the 10-year stuck around 1.33%. Meanwhile, the FOMC began its 2-day meeting yesterday and announces its policy decision and releases its economic projections today at 14 2:00 PM ET and Chairman Powell follows with the press conference at 2:30 ET. In corporate news, shares of transportation giant Fed-Ex (FDX) slides over 5% after cutting its profit outlook on higher costs and stalled growth in shipments, while Adobe ($ADBE) slips after 3Q update disappointed the high expectations of investors. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index reopened, falling -200 points to 29,639, the Shanghai Index rises 14 points to 3,629 and the Hang Seng Index gains 122 points to 24,221. In Europe, the German DAX is up 110 points to 15,450, while the FTSE 100 rises over 80 points to 7,070. Bitcoin prices recover, above $42,000 after briefly dropping below $40K last night. Markets have been put on edge this week by trouble in the Chinese property market, especially the precarious situation of its largest builder of homes, Evergrande. The company is a massive issuer of debt both inside China and offshore to international investors. Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index slipped -3.58 points, or 0.08%, to 4,354.15 The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost -47.93 points, or 0.14%, to 33,922.54 The Nasdaq Composite gained 32.49 points, or 0.22%, to 14,746.40 The Russell 2000 Index advanced 3.98 points, or 0.18% to 2,186.18 Economic Calendar: 7:00 AM ET MBA Mortgage Applications Data 10:00 AM ET Existing Home Sales MoM for August 10:30 AM ET Weekly DOE Inventory Data 2:00 PM ET FOMC Rate Decision (no change to rate or asset taper expected) Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: $GIS Earnings After the Close: $FUL, $KBH, $SCS Other Key Events: Credit Suisse 2021 Consumer Retail Conference (virtual), 9/21-9/22 Credit Suisse 7th Annual Oil & Gas Non-Bus Tour (virtual), 9/21-9/23 DA Davidson Diversified Industrials & Services Conference (virtual), 9/22-9/23 Goldman Sachs 30th Annual Communacopia Conference (virtual), 9/21-9/23 JPMorgan 12th Annual U.S. All Stars Conference (virtual), 9/21-9/23 Oppenheimer Fall Healthcare Life Sciences & MedTech Summit (virtual), 9/20-9/23 Roth Capital 8th Annual Solar Symposium (virtual), 9/20-9/23 Sidoti Fall Small Cap Conference (virtual), 9/22-9/23 Stephenβs 11th Annual Bank Forum, in Little Rock, AR, 9/20-9/22 Wells Fargo 4th Annual Consumer Conference (virtual), 9/22-9/23 Macro Up/Down Last Nymex 1.18 71.67 Brent 1.09 75.45 Gold -3.20 1,775.00 EUR/USD 0.0005 1.1728 JPY/USD 0.32 109.53 10-Year Note +0.009 1.333% Sector News Breakdown Consumer StitchFix ($SFIX) 4Q EPS $0.19 vs est. ($0.13) on revs $571.2Mm vs est. $547.9Mm, qtrly active clients 4.2Mm +18%; guides 1Q net revs $560-575Mm vs est. $588Mm; sees FY22 net revs at least +15% yr/yr vs est. +18% Freshworks ($FRSH)5M share IPO priced at $36.00 Hyatt Hotels ($H) announced a public offering of 7M shares of common stock Shares in Entain ($GMVHY) rise after the owner of bookmakers Bwin, Coral and Ladbrokes said it was considering an improved 2800p takeover bid from U.S. rival DraftKings, having rejected an earlier 2500p offer from the latter. Energy, Industrials & Materials FedEx ($FDX) 1Q adj EPS $4.37 vs est. $4.91 on revs $22B vs est. $21.9B, adj op margin 6.8% vs est. 8.5%; guides FY adj EPS $19.75-21.00 vs est. $$21.10; sees CAPEX $7.2B The American Petroleum Institute ($API) showed a draw of 6.11M barrels of oil for the week ending September 17; showed a draw of 432K barrels, distillate inventories show a draw of 2.72M barrels and Cushing inventories show a draw of 1.75M barrels k.a. Brands Holding ($AKA) 10M share IPO priced at $11.00 Core & Main ($CNM) announced its addition to the Russell 1000 index BHPβs Cerro Colorado copper mine in Chile is granted another 90 days to obtain environmental approval for its operational continuity plan, the countryβs First Environmental Court says, agreeing to suspend a ban on pumping water from an aquifer during the period Financials LPL Financial ($LPLA) reported total advisory and brokerage assets at end of Aug about $1.16 trillion, up 2.4% vs end of July 2021 Armada Hoffler Properties ($AHH) was started at a Buy with a $15 price target at Stifel who says it is attractively priced when accounting for its moderate growth and average leverage JPMorgan Chase (JPM) raised its quarterly dividend to $1.00 from $0.90, payable October 31 to shareholders of record on October 6 Coinbase ($COIN) intends to publicly roll out a proposal for a regulatory framework to federal officials in the coming days, CoinDesk reported last night. The report follows news from last week when Coinbase said it was cancelling plans for its βLendβ platform after the Securities and Exchange Commission threatened to sue the company over the product VersaBank ($VBNK)5M share IPO priced at $10.00 Healthcare The U.S. House of Representatives approved a bill enabling banks to do business with cannabis companies without fear of penalty, Bloomberg reports. The so-called SAFE Banking Act would be a boon for marijuana companies (watch shares of $TLRY, $CGC, $GTBIF, $CURLF, $TCNNF) Biogen ($BIIB) launch of Aduhelm having slower than projected sales has led the company to consider cost-cutting measures including layoffs, stat news reports, citing an unidentified person familiar with the matter. Just over 100 patients infused w/ Aduhelm as of sept. 11: STAT News bluebird bio ($BLUE) submitted a Biologics License Application (BLA) to the FDA for betibeglogene autotemcel (beti-cel) gene therapy for patients with Ξ²-thalassemia who require regular red blood cell transfusions Incyte ($INCY) said the FDA approved its coβs Opzelura cream for treating eczema with boxed warnings, flagging risks of serious infections, increased risk of heart attack, stroke, or cardiac death. The drug belongs to a class of treatments known as JAK inhibitors, which have been under the FDAβs scrutiny over safety risks Amwell ($AMWL) announced the appointment of Robert Shepardson to the position of CFO and Head of M&A. Shepardson will join the company as CFO on October 31st and will work together during a transition period through the end of 2021 with current CFO Keith W. Anderson Johnson & Johnson ($JNJ) said that a large, global study showed its Covid-19 vaccine is more effective when given as a two-dose regimen, and that other data indicate the efficacy of the vaccine does not wane. β STAT News Rhythm Pharmaceuticals ($RYTM) said that Britainβs Medicines & Healthcare Products Regulatory Agency has granted marketing authorization to Imcivree (setmelanotide) for the treatment of obesity and the control of hunger associated with genetically confirmed loss-of-function biallelic pro-opiomelanocortin (POMC) Technology, Media & Telecom Adobe ($ADBE) 3Q adj EPS $3.11 vs est. $3.01 on revs $3.94B vs est. $3.89B, qtrly digital media annualized recurring revs $11.67B; guides 4Q adj EPS $3.18 vs est. $3.08 Coherent ($COHR) was downgraded to Neutral with a $273 price target from Positive at Susquehanna J2 Global board ($JCOM) announced that its board approved its previously announced separation into two independent publicly traded companies β J2 Global, Inc., which will be known as Ziff Davis, Inc. after the separation Liberty Global ($LBTYA) is selling its Poland operations to iliad S.A.βs Polish mobile subsidiary Play for PLN7B ($1.8B) subject to customary debt and working capital adjustments. Marin Software ($MRIN) said it entered into a Revenue Share Agreement with Google LLC ($GOOGL) for the Company to develop its enterprise tech platform and software products. The Agreement is effective as of October 1, 2021. Toast ($TOST)74M share IPO priced at $40.00 Warner Music Group ($WMG) announced a sale of 2.34M shares of common stock by affiliates of access industries and the company will not receive any proceeds from the offering Ambarella ($AMBA) upgraded to Overweight from Sector Weight at KeyBanc
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Tuesday, September 21, 2021 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow 306.00 0.90% 34,145 S&P 500 35.25 0.81% 4,383 Nasdaq 109.25 0.73% 15,118 Markets are rallying after yesterdayβs massive selloff that saw the Nasdaq and Russell 2000 hit their lowest levels in a month, S&P touch a 2-month low, and the Dow crater to its lowest levels since June. Today is also the first day of the Federal Reserveβs two-day September meeting that will have investors looking for hints on when the central bank will begin tapering its bond purchases. Oil prices are also rebounding after news that the production in the Gulf of Mexico will remain impacted for the rest of the year, and Royal Dutch Shell (RDS.A) said its West Delta 143 platform will not resume operations until the first quarter of 2022. Across the pond in Europe, Universal Music Group has surged more than 35% in its debut on the Euronext Amsterdam stock exchange. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index and Shanghai Index are closed for the second straight day, while the Hang Seng Index is up 106.5 points. In Europe, the German DAX is down 96 points while the FTSE 100 is rebounding 90 points. Market Closing Prices Yesterday Β· The S&P 500 Index plunged -75.35 points, or 1.78%, to 4,357.64 Β· The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost -614.08 points, or 1.78%, to 33,970.80 Β· The Nasdaq Composite tumbled -330.07 points, or 2.19%, to 14,713.90 Β· The Russell 2000 Index declined -54.67 points, or 2.44% to 2,182.20 Economic Calendar: Β· 7:45 AM ET ICSC Weekly Retail Sales Β· 8:30 AM ET Current Account for Q2 Β· 8:30 AM ET Housing Starts MoM for Aug Β· 8:30 AM ET Building Permits MoM for Aug Β· 8:55 AM ET Johnson/Redbook Weekly Sales Β· 4:30 PM ET API Weekly Inventory Data Earnings Calendar: Β· Earnings Before the Open: APOG, AZO, CBRL Β· Earnings After the Close: ADBE, FDX, INNV, ISR, SFIX Other Key Events: Β· Credit Suisse 2021 Consumer Retail Conference (virtual), 9/21-9/22 Β· Credit Suisse 7th Annual Oil & Gas Non-Bus Tour (virtual), 9/21-9/23 Β· European Society for Medical Oncology (ESMO) 2021 Virtual Congress, 9/16-9/21 Β· Goldman Sachs 30th Annual Communacopia Conference (virtual), 9/21-9/23 Β· JPMorgan 12th Annual U.S. All Stars Conference (virtual), 9/21-9/23 Β· Oppenheimer Fall Healthcare Life Sciences & MedTech Summit (virtual), 9/20-9/23 Β· Roth Capital 8th Annual Solar Symposium (virtual), 9/20-9/23 Β· Stephenβs 11th Annual Bank Forum, in Little Rock, AR, 9/20-9/22 World News Β· Justin Trudeau will remain Canadaβs Prime Minister after winning a snap election he had called last month, though his Liberal Party was unable to capture a parliamentary majority, winning 156 of the 338 seats. Sector News Breakdown Consumer Β· KAR Auction Services ($KAR) withdrew its FY21 financial outlook due to the continued disruption caused by the chip shortage and lack of visibility into used vehicle volumes in its marketplaces; the company sees Q3 adj EBITDA $95M-$100M and expects approximately 2/6M vehicles sold in 2021 Β· AutoZone ($AZO) Q4 EPS $35.72 vs est. $29.81 on revenue $4.9B vs est. $4.57B, same-store sales +4.3% Energy Β· ConocoPhillips ($COP) is nearing a deal to purchase Shellβs (RDS.A) assets in the Permian Basin for close to $9.5B Β· Orbital Energy Group ($OEG) won a contract to construct 1,910 miles of rural broadband network in Virginia for undisclosed terms Β· Occidental Petroleum ($OXY) said it reduced debt by about $1.3B in August and September Industrials and Materials Β· Alcoa ($AA) announced plans to restart 268,000 metric tons per year of aluminum capacity at the Alumar smelt in Sao Luis, Brazil, which has been fully curtailed since 2015; company sees Q4 restart expenses between 5c-7c per share Β· FedEx ($FDX) announced an increase to shipping rates starting January 3, 2022. FedEx Express, Ground, and Home Delivery shipping rates will each increase by an average of 5.9% Β· Herc Holdings ($HRI) announced new strategic initiatives and capital allocation plan, and raised its 2021 adj EBTIDA guidance to $870M-$890M from $840M-$870M, sees FY22 adj EBITDA $1.05B-$1.15B, set 2021-2024 organic CAGR growth goals of 12-15% in rental revenue and 17-20% in adj EBITDA, and announced a dividend of 50c/share Β· Axalta Coating Systems ($AXTA) cut its Q3 guidance, now seeing sales down ~$40M from levels assumed in its prior guidance and adj EBITDA to $130M-$140M from its prior midpoint of $138M as sales volumes continue to be impacted by supply chain disruptions, which they see continuing into 2022, and impacting global production by 11M units from its prior view of a 7M impact Β· Lennar ($LEN) Q3 adj EPS $3.27 vs est. $3.26 on revenue $6.94B vs est. $7.25B, net new orders 16,277 vs est. 16,248, gross margin on home sales in-line 27.3%, and backlog 25,819 vs est. 24,946; guides Q4 new orders to 15,200-15,400 and sees Q4 deliveries about 18,000, though expects unprecedented supply chain challenges to continue into the foreseeable future Financials Β· Piper Sandler ($PIPR), Jefferies (JEF) were rated as new Buys at Goldman Β· U.S. Bancorp ($USB) agreed to purchase the personal banking arm of Japanβs Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group (MUFG) in a deal worth $8B, including $5.5B in cash and 44M USB shares (2.9% stake). Healthcare Β· SmilDirectClub ($SDC) announced plans to launch its products in France in the beginning of 4Q21 and will introduce premium clear aligners, a telehealth platform, and whitening system at its first smileshop in Paris Β· Viridian Therapeutics ($VRDN) announced a proposed underwritten public offering of common and preferred stock to use the proceeds to advance development of ots VRDN-001 and VRDN-002 programs Β· Conformis ($CFMS) cut its Q3 product revenue, now seeing $13.7M-$14.3M from $15.5M-$16.5M, and says experienced higher levels of deferred and rescheduled knee and hip procedures as a result of Delta variant Covid surge Β· Johnson & Johnson ($JNJ) said its Covid booster shot is 94% effective when given two months after first dose and increases antibody levels 4-6x higher than only one shot. Technology, Media & Telecom Β· Sportradar ($SRAD) announced Michael Jordan will assume a role as a special advisor and increase his investment in the company Β· $UBER said it is tracking towards adj EBITDA breakeven in Q3, seeing it in the range ($25M)-$25M vs its prior forecast of a loss exceeding ($100M), while narrowing its quarterly bookings forecast to $22.8B-$23.2B from $22B-$24B, and further said it expects to deliver sequential EBITDA improvement in Q4 with an outlook between $0-$100M Β· Disney ($DIS) was named as a new Buy with a $225 price target at Daiwa
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$ROKU sounds good, $HD I am watching, $FDX as well and $UPS I am unsure of. I will look at those in am.
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