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DAOs will be the future of online communities in five years https://cointelegraph.com/news/daos-will-be-the-future-of-online-communities-in-five-years
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By Marc Jones LONDON (Reuters) - World stocks slipped on Thursday as the upbeat mood that carried the Dow Jones and bitcoin to records a day earlier fizzled out, while a pause in the oil rally stalled rising global bond yields. Other major action saw Turkey's lira backflip to new lows after the country's central bank slashed interest rates again and default-threatened China Evergrande's shares plunged 11.5% after a $2.6 billion stake sale fell through. Other risk and commodity-sensitive currencies such as the Australian and New Zealand dollars and South African rand also hit the skids, giving the safe-haven Japanese yen a rare lift after it had fallen to a four-year low versus the dollar. [/FRX] "There is little bit of risk aversion," said Societe Generale (OTC:SCGLY)'s Kit Juckes, who pointed to the higher yen and the fact that both European stocks and Wall Street S&P 500 futures were both in the red. On the lira's woes, veteran emerging market watcher Tim Ash at BlueBay said the message Turkey's central bank head had delivered with the rate cut was, "I listen to Erdogan and no one else. Screw you guys!" Commodities also eased, with Brent crude futures down 1.2% after touching a three-year top and Chinese coal futures extending a sharp pullback after Beijing had signalled it would intervene to cool prices. "The U.S. stock market has gone up for six days in a row, bitcoin's made a record and the U.S. bond market is calm. On the surface it looks benign," said Andrew Ticehurst, a rates strategist at Nomura in Sydney. "But below the surface, we are uncomfortable about a number of things," he added, chiefly the slowdown in China's economy seen in data earlier this week and concerns about potential fallout from Evergrande's troubles. Evergrande will default on $19 billion of international market bonds if it doesn't make an already overdue coupon payment by Monday. It would the biggest ever Chinese default and one of the world's largest too. Lehman Brothers' collapse added up to $35 billion. Late on Wednesday, Evergrande confirmed it had abandoned plans to sell a $2.6 billion stake in its property services unit. Its shares ended down 11.5% in Hong Kong. Rival developer Kaisa, which was the first Chinese firm to default in 2015, was seeing its bonds hammered again too as worries mount about its fate. It wasn't all bad news though. Financial news provider REDD reported that Evergrande had secured an extension on one of its lower-profile bonds. Shares in some other Chinese developers also drew support after a number of top Chinese officials had given reassurances that the troubles would not be allowed to spin out of control. [.SS] " onerror="this.style.display='none'" class="msg-img" /> TALKING TURKEY Turkey's lira dropped 2% against the dollar and was by far the worst performer in FX markets as the central bank cut interest rates down to 16% from 18%.The policy rate had been cut by a percentage point last month, with the lira already on a run of record lows, after another major ousting of policymakers underlined worries about the bank's independence from the government. "We have seen strong outflows from debt in the last three weeks, probably due to uncertainty with the currency and increased risk perception," IIF economist Jonathan Fortun told Reuters. " onerror="this.style.display='none'" class="msg-img" /> Wall Street futures were down 0.3% after a blizzard of earnings had helped the Dow Jones touch an all-time high on Wednesday, with the S&P 500 finishing within touching distance of a record too. The VIX volatility index, sometimes referred to as Wall Street's "fear gauge", also ticked up having dropped to a two-month low the previous day. But a soft finish on the Nasdaq had flowed through to tech-stock selling in Tokyo which fell 1.9% and in Hong Kong, where the Hang Seng fell 0.5%. In the government bond markets that drive global borrowing costs, longer-dated U.S. Treasury yields were just starting to stir again steadied after rising with inflation and growth expectations on Wednesday. After a groggy start, the benchmark 10-year U.S. yield was nudged the previous day's five-month high of 1.6730% again, while Germany's 10-year yield, the benchmark for Europe, was fractionally higher at a still negative -0.10%. "The strong focus on the volatile (bond) curve environment in the euro area looks set to stay, at least until next week's ECB Governing Council meeting," UniCredit analysts told clients. Investors have figured that surging energy prices and tightening job markets will pressure top central banks such as the U.S. Fed and ECB to either raise interest rates or at least rein in the stimulus. Fed funds futures have priced a 25 basis point U.S. rate hike in the third quarter of 2022 while eurodollar markets expect higher rates as soon as the second quarter. Graphic: Global asset performance http://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/#section/assets " onerror="this.style.display='none'" class="msg-img" /> Graphic: World FX rates http://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/
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Thursday, October 21, 2021 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow -101.00 0.28% 35,376 S&P 500 -10.25 0.24% 4,517 Nasdaq -22.50 0.15% 15,355 U.S. futures are down slightly overnight, as the S&P 500 index comes into the day with a 6-day win streak, as the earnings barrage continues today, with shares of TSLA and IBM slipping after quarterly results last night while media giant AT&T (T) rises early following its results. For the moment, China Evergrande debt contagion fears, inflation, Fed tapering, rising commodity prices are having no effect on global stock markets with the CBOE Volatility index (VIX) settling around its lowest levels in about 2-months. As for yesterday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average touched an all-time fresh intraday high while the S&P 500 flirted with its all-time intraday record highs (rising a 6th straight day) after strong earnings results and forecasts from healthcare companies and as banks advanced amid rising Treasury yields. The 10-Year Treasury yield spiked to 1.6730% early, a fresh five-month high sending the S&P 500 Bank Index higher for a fifth-straight day, for its fourth-straight record close. Technology underperformed as the Nasdaq Composite closed slightly lower as inflation fears crept into the market late day following comments from Federal Reserve President Quarles. In Asian markets overnight, The Nikkei Index fell -546 points (1.87%) to settle at 28,708, the Shanghai Index inched higher 7-points to 3,594 and the Hang Seng Index declined -118 points to 26,017. In Europe, the German DAX is down just a few points holding above 15,500, while the FTSE 100 slips -0.3% to just under 7,200. Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index gained 16.56 points, or 0.37%, to 4,536.19 The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 152.03 points, or 0.43%, to 35,609.34 The Nasdaq Composite dropped -7.41 points, or 0.05%, to 15,121.68 The Russell 2000 Index advanced 13.85 points, or 0.61% to 2,289.77 Events Calendar for Today 8:30 AM ET Weekly Jobless Claims…est. 300K 8:30 AM EST Continuing Claims…est. 2.55M 8:30 AM ET Philly Fed Index for October…est. 25.0 10:00 AM ET Existing Home Sales MoM for September…est. 6.09M 10:00 AM ET Leading Index MoM for September…est. +0.4% 10:30 AM ET Weekly EIA Natural Gas Inventory Data Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: AAL, ALK, ALLY, AMTB, AN, BANC, BHLB, BKU, BX, CROX, DHX, DHR, DOW, EEFT, EWBC, FAF, FCX, GATX, GPC, GTLS, HOMB, HRI, IIIN, IPG, IQV, KEY, LNN, MMC, POOL, SASR, SCHN, T, TPH, TRN, TSCO, UNP, VLO, WBS Earnings After the Close: ASB, NJRI, BOOM, CE, CMG, CSL, CSTR, FFBC, GBCI, INTC, MAT, NUE, OZK, PBCT, PINE, PSMT, SAM, SNAP, SIVB, TRST, USX, VICR, WAL, WHR, WRB, WSFS Other Key Events: The European Society of Gene and Cell Therapy (ESGCT) Congress 2021 is taking place virtually this year from October 19-22 Macro Up/Down Last Nymex -0.53 82.89 Brent -0.95 84.87 Gold 1.90 1,788.70 EUR/USD -0.0012 1.1639 JPY/USD -0.27 113.99 10-Year Note +0.013 1.645% Sector News Breakdown Consumer Tesla Inc. ($TSLA) 3Q adj EPS $1.86 vs est. $1.59 on revs $13.76B vs est. $13.63B, auto gr margin 30.5% vs 27.7% year ago, says expect op margin will continue to grow; qtly bitcoin-related impairment of $51Mm; continue to target first model Y production builds in Berlin and Austin before end of year; says challenges including semi shortages, port congestion, rolling blackouts impacting ability to keep factories running full speed; Las Vegas ($LVS) Q3 revs $857M below the $1.34B estimate; on a GAAP basis, qtrly total net revenues for SCL increased to $611 mln, compared to $167 mln in q3 of 2020; Q3 adj EPS loss (-$0.45) vs. est. loss (-$0.20) Unilever ($UL) rises on higher-than-expected Q3 sales growth; reports higher-than-expected underlying sales growth for Q3 beating analysts’ expectations; reiterates full-year profit margin forecast, defying some analysts’ fears of a cut; warns inflation is likely to accelerate next year Portillo’s ($PTLO)27M share IPO priced at $20.00 Energy Kinder Morgan ($KMI) Q3 adj EPS $0.22 vs. est. $0.24; Q3 revs $3.82B vs. est. $3.26B; backs FY21 adjusted EBITDA view $7.9B, expects to generate net income attributable to KMI of $1.7 billion and declare dividends of $1.08 per share, a 3% increase TechnipFMC ($FTI) shares fall -6%; 3Q adj EPS ($0.06) vs est. $0.02 on revs $1.58B vs est. $1.7B, qtrly total inbound orders were $1.37B, qtr-end backlog $7.0B; guides FY subsea revs $5.2-5.5B, sees FY surface tech revs $1.05-1.25B, sees FY CAPEX approx $250Mm HighPeak Energy ($HPK)2M share Secondary priced at $10.00 Helix Energy ($HLX) narrows FY21 revenue view to $600M-$645M from $600M-$670M; narrows FY21 adjusted EBITDA view to $85M-$100M from $75M-$100M and boosts FY free cash flow view to $80M-$120M from $45M-$90M; lowers cap-ex view Valero (VLO) Q3 adj EPS $1.22 vs. est. $0.92; Q3 revs $29.52B vs. est. $23.97B Financials Discover Financial ($DFS) Q3 EPS $3.54 vs. est. $3.53; Q3 revs $2.78B vs. est. $2.91B; Total loans ended the quarter at $89.5 billion, up 1% year-over-year, and up 2% sequentially. Credit card loans ended the quarter at $70.3 billion, up 1% year-over-year. Personal loans decreased $321 million, or 4%, and private student loans increased $168 million, or 2%, year-over-year. Banner Corp. ($BANR) 3Q EPS $1.44 vs est. $1.15 on revs $155.5Mm vs est. $122.6Mm Cohen & Steers ($CNS) 3Q adj EPS $1.06 vs est. $0.97 on revs $154.2Mm vs est. $148.3Mm Equifax ($EFX) 3Q adj EPS $1.85 vs est. $1.72 on revs $1.2B vs est. $1.18B; guides 4Q revs $1.23-1.25B vs est. $1.2B and adj EPS $1.72-1.82 vs est. $1.80; sees FY revs $4.9-4.92B vs est. $4.83B and adj EPS $7.52-7.62 vs est. $7.47 First Industrial Realty ($FR) 3Q FFO/share $0.51 vs est. $0.49; raises FY FFO/share guide by $0.02 at midpoint to $1.95 vs est. $1.94 OneMain Holdings ($OMF) 3Q adj EPS $2.37 vs est. $2.30; C&I managed receivables $19.1B, C&I net charge-off ratio 3.52%, repurchased 2.4Mm shares for $141Mm in qtr; proposes minimum qtrly div/share of $0.70; Sterling Bancorp. ($STL) 3Q adj EPS $0.52 vs est. $0.51; NII $213.8Mm vs est. $219.3Mm; proposes 3Q dividend of $0.07 SL Green Realty ($SLG) Q3 FFO $1.78 vs. est. $1.58; Q3 revs $142.7M vs. est. $160.97M; revising its earnings guidance ranges; said same-store cash NOI, including our share of same-store cash NOI from unconsolidated joint ventures, increased by 5.7% for Q3; narrows FY21 FFO view to $6.45-$6.65 from $6.30-$6.70 SLM Corp. ($SLM) 3Q core EPS $0.24 vs est. $0.20; private education loan originations +10% to $2.1B; declares 4Q dividend of $0.11/share vs $0.03/share in 3Q21; qtrly NII $358Mm vs est. $343.6Mm; qtrly education loan provisions for credit losses $138Mm; sees FY net charge-offs $195M to $205M, saw $215M to $225M Texas Capital ($TCBI) Q3 EPS $0.76 vs. est. $1.10; Q3 net interest income of $194.1M declines from $197.0M in Q2 and $207.6M YoY due to a decline in loan fees, partially offset by a decrease in average interest-bearing deposits; non-interest income also fell 30% from Q2 and 65% from Q3 2020, driven by Q2 sale of its mortgage servicing rights portfolio and other non-interest income. Triumph Bancorp ($TBK) Q3 EPS $0.94 vs est. $1.08; Q3 net charge-offs .08%; Q3 CET1 capital ratio 9.45%; Q3 tangible book value per share $19.73; net interest margin was 6.69%. Yield on loans and the average cost of our total deposits were 7.92% and 0.16%, respectively Umpqua Holdings Corporation ($UMPQ) Q3 EPS $0.49 vs. est. $0.44; Net income of $108.1 million, or $0.49 per common share; non-PPP loan balances increased $479.7 million or 2.3%; Deposit balances increased $754.8 million or 2.9%; provision for credit losses recapture of $18.9 million as modeled economic conditions improve Healthcare S. regulators on Wednesday signed off on extending COVID-19 boosters to Americans who got the Moderna (MRNA) or Johnson & Johnson ($JNJ) vaccine and said anyone eligible for an extra dose can get a brand different from the one they received initially. Tenet Healthcare ($THC) Q3 adj EPS $1.99 vs. est. $0.99; Q3 revs $4.89B vs. est. $4.81B; qtrly same-hospital net patient service revenue per adjusted admission up 6.2% versus q3 2020; sees 2021 adj EPS now $6.15-$6.38 (from prior $5.23-$5.73) and adj Ebitda $3.275B-$3.325B (from prior $3.15B-$3.25B) Regeneron ($REGN) and Sanofi ($SNY) said the FDA has approved Dupixent, or dupilumab, as an add-on maintenance treatment of patients aged 6 to 11 years with moderate-to-severe asthma characterized by an eosinophilic phenotype or with oral corticosteroid-dependent asthma Ventyx Biosciences ($VTYX)47M share IPO priced at $16.00 Investment adviser Darwin Global Management became the third shareholder of Acceleron Pharmaceuticals ($XLRN) to publicly oppose the company’s pending acquisition by Merck ($MRK). In a letter, Darwin said it believes Merck’s $11 billion offer price, or $180 per share, is too low. Acceleron is actually worth between $22 billion and $28 billion, according to the firm, or $353 to $451 per share Industrials & Materials CSX Corp. ($CSX) 3Q EPS $0.43 vs est. $0.39 on revs $3.29B vs est. $3.11B; 24% surge in revenue just outpaced a 23% increase in expenses. Activist investor Elliott Management Corp. has a big stake in Canadian National Railway Co. ($CNI), the WSJ reported citing people familiar with the matter said, adding to pressure on the railroad after its CEO resigned following a failed bid for rival Kansas City Southern. Covenant Logistics ($CVLG) 3Q adj EPS $1.02 vs est. $1.02 on revs $274.6Mm vs est. $259.9Mm Dow Inc. ($DOW) Q3 EPS $2.75 vs. est. $2.56; Q3 revs $14.84B vs. est. $14.25 Graco ($GGG) 3Q adj EPS $0.57 vs est. $0.63 on revs $486.7Mm vs est. $490.5Mm; says continue to target mid-high-teen organic sales growth on constant currency basis for FY21 vs est. +19% Kaiser Aluminum ($KALU) Q3 adj EPS $0.57 vs. est. $1.33; Q3 sales $751M misses the $773.2M est.; anticipates cost issues and supply chain disruptions will continue during quarter Landstar ($LSTR) Q3 EPS $2.58 vs. est. $2.49; Q3 revs $1.734B vs. est. $1.66B; Q3 truckload transportation revenue hauled via van equipment inQ3 was up 59% YoY to $918.1M; truckload transportation revenue hauled via unsided/platform equipment in Q3 was up 44% to $423.0M; sees Q4 EPS $2.55-$2.65 vs. est. $2.43 PPG Industries ($PPG) 3Q adj EPS $1.69 vs est. $1.58 on sales about $4.4B vs est. $4.24B; guides FY adj EPS $6.67-6.73 vs est. $7.03; says plan to execute share repurchases in 4Q and continue to evaluate potential bolt-on acquisitions; say increased supply disruptions negatively impacted sales and manufacturing costs Rush Enterprises ($RUSHA) Q3 EPS $1.20 vs. est. $0.96; Q3 revs $1.27B below est. $1.34B; said supply chain issues continue to impact new truck and aftermarket sales Valmont Industries ($VMI) 3Q adj EPS $2.57 vs est. $2.47 on revs $868.8Mm vs est. $862.3Mm; guides FY adj EPS $10.60-11.10 vs est. $10.78; sees FY22 sales +7-12% vs est. +6.2%, sees EPS +13-15% vs est. +13.5%
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By Hideyuki Sano TOKYO (Reuters) - Asian shares advanced on Wednesday and U.S. long-dated bond yields edged up to a five-month high on rising optimism about the global economy and corporate earnings, while the yen slipped to a four-year low on the dollar. European stocks are expected to trade steady to slightly lower. Euro Stoxx futures were down 0.2% and Britain's FTSE futures was almost flat. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan arose 0.65%, led by 1.3% gains in Hong Kong, while Japan's Nikkei was almost flat and so were mainland Chinese shares, weighed down by more weak data on the property sector. "Earlier this month, stagflation was the buzzword on Wall Street. But now excessive pessimism is receding, especially after strong U.S. retail sales data on Friday," said Norihiro Fujito, chief investment strategist at Mitsubishi UFJ (NYSE:MUFG) Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) Securities. In New York, the benchmark S&P 500 index gained 0.74% to finish just 0.4% below its early September record close while the CBOE market volatility index fell 0.6 point after earlier hitting 15.57, its lowest level since mid-August. "Tech shares and other high-growth shares that would have been sold on rising bond yields are rallying, which clearly shows that there is now strong optimism on upcoming earnings," Fujito said. Earning reports will be in full swings in many countries over coming weeks. Dutch chip-making machine maker ASML Holdings and Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) are among those that will release results later on Wednesday. The positive mood saw U.S. bond yields rising further, with the 10-year U.S. Treasuries yield climbing to as high as 1.673%, a level last seen in May, at one point. It last stood at 1.650%. Shorter yields dipped, however, with the two-year yield slipping to 0.395% from Monday's peak of 0.448% as traders took profits for now from bets that the U.S. Federal Reserve will turn hawkish at its upcoming policy meeting in early November. Investors expect the Fed to announce tapering of its bond buying and money markets futures are pricing in one rate hike later next year. "The Fed is likely to become more hawkish, probably tweaking its language on its assessment that inflation will be transient. While the Fed will maintain tapering is not linked to a future rate hike, the market will likely try to price in rate hikes and flatten the yield curve," said Naokazu Koshimizu, senior strategist at Nomura Securities. In the currency market, rising U.S. yields helped to boost the U.S. dollar to a four-year high against the yen of 114.695. In addition to U.S. yields, the yen was dented by expectations of a wider trade deficit in Japan due to rising oil prices and on views the Bank of Japan will stick to loose monetary policy even as other central banks move to tighten their policies. The Chinese yuan held firm, trading at 6.3760 per dollar in the offshore trade, near Tuesday's 4-1/2-month high of 6.3685. The currency was helped by improving sentiment after China's central bank said spillover effects from China Evergrande Group's debt woes were controllable. Risk-sensitive currencies held firm, with the euro ticking up 0.1% to $1.1643. In cryptocurrencies, bitcoin stood at $63,699, near its all-time peak of $64,895 as the first U.S. bitcoin futures-based exchange-traded fund began trading on Tuesday. Oil prices eased slightly in Asia but held near multi-year peaks as an energy supply crunch persisted across the globe. U.S. crude futures traded at $82.59 per barrel, down 0.45% on the day but near Monday's peak of $83.18, its highest level since 2014. North Sea Brent was off 0.4% at $84.71.[O/R] China's coal futures slumped 8% in early Wednesday trade, a day after they fell 8% to their downward limit in night trading, as the state planner said it was looking at ways to intervene and bring record high prices of the fuel back down to a "reasonable range".
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Monday, October 18, 2021 U.S. equity futures are looking lower after posting strong gains last week, with oil prices extending their near-term rally into a ninth consecutive week, as concerns over surging inflation pressures and the weakest China growth rate in more than a year tamed optimism linked to a strong start to the third quarter earnings season. Chinese Q3 GDP missed, rising +0.2% q/q vs 0.5% consensus, and was +4.9% y/y vs 5.2% consensus amid a rolling power crisis, supply chain disruptions and a crackdown on the tech sector. In the U.S., the earnings flood begins this week with 72 names in the S&P 500 expected to report quarterly results this week. In corporate news today, Apple (AAPL) is holding its second major launch event of the Fall where it is expected to unveil the first redesign of its MacBook Pro laptop in at least five years (starts at 1:00 PM ET). In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index dipped -43 points to 29,025, the Shanghai Index slipped a few points to settle at 3,568, and the Hang Seng Index rose 78 points to 25,409. In Europe, the German DAX is lower by -0.6% or nearly 100-points to drop below 15,500, while the FTSE 100 dips -0.3% to hold above the 7,200 level. U.S. stocks look to build on last week’s gains where large-cap tech names propelled the advance Friday, with shares of Amazon.com (AMZN) and Tesla (TSLA) each rising more than 3% on no specific news, while the SmallCap Russell 2000 underperformed, falling -0.35% as investors bailed on value stocks for growth stocks. Strong quarterly earnings from Dow component Goldman Sachs (GS) also boosted financials as investors prepare for a flood of reports next week. Shares of cryptocurrency and blockchain-related firms gained last week as bitcoin topped $60,000 for the first time since April, with expectations growing that U.S. regulators would allow a futures-based ETF. Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index jumped 33.11 points, or 0.75%, to 4,471.37 The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 382.20 points, or 1.09%, to 35,294.76 The Nasdaq Composite climbed 73.91 points, or 0.50%, to 14,897.34 The Russell 2000 Index declined -8.52 points, or 0.37% to 2,265.65 Events Calendar for Today 9:15 AM ET Industrial Production MoM for September…est. +0.2% 9:15 AM ET Capacity Utilization for September…est. 76.5% 10:00 AM ET NAHB Housing Market Index for October…est. 76 4:00 PM ET Net Long-term TIC Flows for August Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: ACI, GNTY, STT Earnings After the Close: CFB, ELS, FBK, FNB, HXL, PACW, SFBS, STLD, ZION Other Key Events: Apple (AAPL) announces October 18th event (New MacBooks, a Mac Mini, and AirPods are anticipated) Macro Up/Down Last Nymex 1.43 83.71 Brent 1.11 85.97 Gold -6.70 1,763.50 EUR/USD -0.0012 1.1586 JPY/USD 0.15 114.37 10-Year Note +0.042 1.618% World News China’s industrial output rose +3.1% in September from a year earlier, missing expectations of up +4.5%, and slowing from 5.3% in August, official data showed. Retail sales grew +4.4% in September on-year, compared with a forecast 3.3% increase and a 2.5% rise in August. Fixed asset investment increased +7.3% in the first nine months from the same period a year earlier, missing expectations for a +7.9% rise Chinese Q3 GDP missed, rising +0.2% q/q vs 0.5% consensus; +4.9% y/y vs 5.2% consensus; Chinese Q3 GDP YTD missed +9.8% y/y vs 10.1% consensus; Chinese Sep Unemployment Rate lower: 4.9% vs 5.1% consensus Sector News Breakdown Consumer Lennar ($LEN) said its board increased share repurchase authorization by up to the lesser of $1 billion in purchase price, or 25 million in shares, of the outstanding Class A or Class B common stock Zillow Group ($ZG) is taking a break from buying U.S. homes after the online real estate giant’s pivot into tech-powered house-flipping hit a snag, Bloomberg reported saying after buying more than 3,800 homes in Q2, it will stop pursuing new home purchases as it works through a backlog of properties already in its pipeline Energy, Industrials and Materials S. crude oil futures closed at fresh seven-year highs last week at $82.28 for WTI crude and $8.86 for Brent as a natural gas supply crunch in Europe and optimism about demand in the U.S. continued to propel the recent rally. For the week, WTI rose 3.7% and Brent added 3%, the eighth straight weekly gain for both. Occidental Petroleum ($OXY) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Truist Steel Dynamics ($STLD) downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Morgan Stanley and firm also downgraded S. Steel (X) to Underweight from Equal Weight Virgin Galactic ($SPCE) downgraded to Sell from Neutral at UBS with $15 tgt Healthcare Biogen Inc’s ($BIIB) said a late-stage experimental treatment for an inherited form of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) failed to reach its main goal, but secondary measures and biomarkers showed favorable trends. Tofersen is designed to suppress the production of SOD1, a protein that can accumulate to toxic levels in ALS patients with mutations in a specific gene. Revance ($RVNC) shares fell over -30% late Friday after the FDA declined to approve its frown line injection treatment, citing issues with the company’s manufacturing facility; o other concerns were raised by the agency Avadel ($AVDL) shares slide over -20% after saying the U.S. FDA notified the co that the agency is still reviewing the marketing application of its sleep disorder drug, FT218, and the decision will likely not be taken this month (prior review was expected by Oct. 15) Omeros Corporation ($OMER) said they received a Complete Response Letter (CRL) from the U.S. FDA regarding its Biologics License Application ($BLA) for narsoplimab in the treatment of hematopoietic stem cell transplant-associated thrombotic microangiopathy ($HSCT-TMA). PTC Therapeutics ($PTCT) downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at Bank America with a $38 price target Oyster Point Pharma ($OYST) announced that the FDA has approved Tyrvaya Nasal Spray 0.03 mg for the treatment of the signs and symptoms of dry eye disease MeiraGTx ($MGTX) mentioned positively in Barron’s saying shares could more than double as the company will present its gene-regulating “switches” at next week’s conference of the European Society of Gene and Cell Therapy, and to Wall Street investors in mid-December. Notes shares have fallen from a 2019 peak of $30 to a recent $14, leaving its market cap below $600 million The plan to roll out Merck & Co’s ($MRK) promising antiviral pill to treat COVID-19 risks repeating the inequities of vaccine distribution, potentially leaving the nations with the greatest need once again at the back of the line, international health groups say – Reuters Technology, Media & Telecom Dell Inc. ($DELL) with a positive mention in Barron’s saying the company is about to become much more attractive to investors as it prepares to spin off its valuable stake in software maker VMware (VMW) in early November, arguing that Dell will emerge with a solid balance sheet and simpler structure. Netflix ($NFLX) estimates that its latest megahit, “Squid Game,” will create almost $900 million in value for the company, and only cost about $21M to make. Netflix estimates that 89% of people who started the show watched at least 75 minutes – more than one episode – and 66% of viewers, or 87 million people, have finished the series in the first 23 days Disney ($DIS) downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Barclays and cut tgt to $175 from $210 Members of a congressional committee questioned whether Amazon (AMZN) executives misled them during an investigation of the company’s business practices and if they may have lied under oath – WSJ reports Upstart ($UPST) downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at Bank America saying the LT thesis intact, but near-term upside priced in
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I'm listening to Five Finger Death Punch! Bullish
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By Chen Aizhu, Jessica Jaganathan and Scott DiSavino SINGAPORE/NEW YORK (Reuters) - Major Chinese energy companies are in advanced talks with U.S. exporters to secure long-term liquefied natural gas (LNG)supplies, as soaring gas prices and domestic power shortages heighten concerns about the country's fuel security, several sources said. At least five Chinese firms, including state major Sinopec (NYSE:SHI) Corp and China National Offshore Oil Company (CNOOC (NYSE:CEO)) and local government-backed energy distributors like Zhejiang Energy, are in discussions with U.S. exporters, mainly Cheniere Energy (NYSE:LNG) and Venture Global, the sources told Reuters. The discussions could lead to deals worth tens of billions of dollars that would mark a surge in China's LNG imports from the United States. At the height of Sino-U.S. trade war in 2019, gas trade briefly came to a standstill. Talks with U.S. suppliers began early this year but speeded up in recent months amid one of the biggest power-generating, heating fuel crunch in decades. Natural gas prices in Asia have jumped more than fivefold this year, sparking fears of power shortages in the winter. "Companies faced a supply gap (for winter) and surging prices. Talks really picked up since August when spot prices touched $15/mmbtu", said a Beijing-based senior industry source briefed on the talks. Another Beijing-based source said: "After experiencing the recent massive market volatility, some buyers were regretting that they didn't sign enough long-term supplies." Sources expected fresh deals to be announced over the coming few months, after privately controlled ENN Natural Gas Co,, headed by the ex-LNG chief of China's largest buyer, CNOOC, announced a 13-year deal with Cheniere on Monday. It was the first major U.S.-China LNG deal since 2018. The new purchases will also cement China's position as the world's top LNG buyer, taking over from Japan this year. "As state-owned enterprises, companies are all under pressure to keep security of supply and the recent price trend has deeply changed the image of long-term supplies in the mind of leadership," said the first Beijing-based trader. "People may have taken the spot (market) as the key in the past, but are now realizing that long-term cargoes are the backbone." CHEAPER U.S. GAS The sources declined to be named as the negotiations are private. Sinopec declined comment. CNOOC and Zhejiang Energy did not immediately respond to requests for comment. Venture Global declined comment. Cheniere did not immediately respond to a request for comment. "We expect more deals to be signed before year-end. It's primarily driven by the global energy crunch and prices we're seeing now... U.S. supplies now stand out as attractive," said a third Beijing source briefed on the talks. U.S. cargoes used to be expensive versus oil-linked supplies from Qatar and Australia for example, but are cheaper now. A deal at $2.50 + 115% of Henry Hub futures, similar to ENN's deal according to traders, would be roughly about $9-$10 per million British thermal units (mmBtu) on a delivered basis into Northeast Asia. This includes an average shipping cost of $2 per mmBtu for the U.S.-China route. Jason Feer, global head of business intelligence with consultancy Poten & Partners said Chinese companies are heavily exposed to Brent-related pricing for LNG and the U.S. purchases give some diversity to the pricing. Asian spot gas prices are now at a near record at over $30 per mmBtu. Long-term LNG deals linked to oil prices work out to about $10-11 per mmBtu, though both calculations vary according to liquefaction costs, premiums and assumption of forward oil and gas prices. Chinese buyers are scouting for both near-term shipments to cover demand this winter and long-term imports as demand for gas, seen by Beijing a key bridge fuel before reaching its 2060 carbon-neutral goal, is set for steady growth through 2035. It's hard to estimate a total volume of the deals being discussed, sources said, but Sinopec alone could be eyeing 4 million tonnes annually as the company is most exposed to the spot market versus domestic rivals PetroChina and CNOOC, said a third source. Traders said Sinopec is in final talks with 3 to 4 companies to buy 1 million tonnes a year for 10 years, starting from 2023, and is looking for U.S. volumes as part of the requirement. Delays in LNG export projects in Canada, in which PetroChina owns a stake, and Mozambique, where both PetroChina and CNOOC have invested, also made U.S. supplies attractive, sources added. North American LNG exporters have been adding to capacity because of demand in major Asian economies. Cheniere, the largest exporter out of the United States, said in late September it expects to announce "a number of other transactions" that will support their going forward with the Corpus Stage 3 expansion next year. Venture Global is building or developing over 50 million tonnes per annum (MTPA) of LNG production capacity in Louisiana, including the 10-MTPA Calcasieu, which is expected to cost around $4.5 billion and start producing LNG in test mode in late 2021. However, some buyers remained cautious. "There is a lot of hype in the market and nobody knows for sure how long this supply crunch would last. For companies that do not have fresh demand in the next year or two, it's better to wait," said a separate Chinese importer.
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nice trap last five minutes
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THORSwap relaunches cross-chain trading on four of five networks https://cointelegraph.com/news/thorswap-relaunches-cross-chain-trading-on-four-of-five-networks
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Long-term Bitcoin bulls hodl strong despite five-month price high https://cointelegraph.com/news/long-term-bitcoin-bulls-hodl-strong-despite-five-month-price-high
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BitMEX CEO predicts Bitcoin will be legal tender in five countries by 2022 https://cointelegraph.com/news/bitmex-ceo-predicts-bitcoin-will-be-legal-tender-in-five-countries-by-2022
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Monday, October 11, 2021 U.S. stock futures are edging lower ahead of the Columbus Day holiday, with oil prices extending last week gains and moving to fresh 7-year highs ahead of key inflation data later this week and the upcoming earnings season, which starts Friday with the big banks ($JPM, $Citi). Over the weekend, Goldman Sachs cuts its 2021 economic growth forecast by 10 basis points, to 5.6%, while lowering its 2022 estimate by 40 basis point to 4% citing a “longer lasting virus drag on virus-sensitive consumer services” and the impact of an extended shortage in global semiconductors. The bond market is closed today in observance of the Columbus Day holiday after the 10-year yield closed at 1.612% on Friday, the highest level of the week. Oil prices extending gains, as WTI crude rises over $2.20 or 2.8% above $81.50. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index rose 449 points (1.6%%) to 28,498, the Shanghai Index was little changed at 3,591, and the Hang Seng Index jumped nearly 2% or 487 points to settle at 25,325. In Europe, the German DAX is down about -50 points to 15,150, while the FTSE 100 is up about 0.25% at 7,110. Q quiet day expected ahead with no economic data and bond markets closed. Market Closing Prices Yesterday · The S&P 500 Index dropped -8.42 points, or 0.19%, to 4,391.34 · The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell -8.69 points, or 0.03%, to 34,746.25 The Nasdaq Composite slid -74.48 points, or 0.51%, to 14,579.54 · The Russell 2000 Index declined -17.00 points, or 0.76% to 2,233.09 Events Calendar for Today · No Major Economic Data Earnings Calendar: · Earnings Before the Open: AZZ, ENZ, FAST · Earnings After the Close: PNFP, SGH Other Key Events: · American Society of Retina Specialists Annual Scientific Meeting, in San Antonio, TX 10/8-10/12 World News · Goldman Sachs cuts its forecast for U.S economic growth over the weekend, citing a “longer lasting virus drag on virus-sensitive consumer services” and the impact of an extended shortage in global semiconductors. Goldman trimmed its 2021 growth forecast by 10 basis points, to 5.6%, while lowering its 2022 estimate by 40 basis point to 4%, adding that consumer spending is likely to be held back by pandemic uncertainty and a softer-than-expected fiscal response from the Biden administration. · Taiwan will keep bolstering its defenses to ensure nobody can force them to accept the path China has laid down that offers neither freedom nor democracy, President Tsai Ing-wen said on Sunday – Reuters Sector News Breakdown Consumer · Southwest Airlines ($LUV) cancelled 808 flights yesterday and has cancelled another 1,006 today, according to data from Flightaware.com. The company blamed the disruption on air traffic control issues and weather, although other major airlines are not delaying or cancelling flights at an elevated rate. There was speculation that some Southwest employees have called in sick in a form of protest over the mandatory vaccination rules in place, which have been unconfirmed · Hasbro ($HAS) said CEO Brian Goldner will take a medical leave of absence, effective immediately, slightly more than a year after disclosing that he was undergoing continued medical care following treatment for cancer in 2014. Energy, Industrials and Materials · Honeywell ($HON) raised its business outlook for jet deliveries on Sunday as travel restrictions ease as they now see 7,400 new business jet deliveries worth $238 bln over the next 10 years, up 1% from the same 10-year forecast a year ago. Business jet operators surveyed by Honeywell reported a sharp increase in their used jet purchase plans, 12% above last year’s report · Emerson Electric ($EMR) plans to merge two of its software businesses with Aspen Technology (AZPN) in a roughly $11B deal that values Aspen at around $160 a share, as shareholders would receive $87 and 0.42 share of the combined company for each share they currently own – WSJ https://on.wsj.com/3FxyVx7 · Cleveland-Cliffs ($CLF) agrees to acquire Ferrous Processing and Trading, one of the largest processors and distributors of prime ferrous scrap in the U.S., in a deal with an enterprise value of ~$775M. · Tutor Perini’s ($TPC) joint-venture signed a contract valued at ~$178 million by the U.S. Department of the Interior, Bureau of Reclamation, for the Friant-Kern Canal Middle Reach Capacity Correction Phase I project in central California, southeast of Visalia. Financials · Prudential ($PRU) mentioned positively in Barron’s saying for many years, Prudential Financial’s stock had a nice yield, but it didn’t offer much capital appreciation. The pandemic didn’t help, as the shares lost about 12% last year, dividends included, versus an 18% return for the S&P 500 index. But the market has changed its view, partly owing to an uptick in rates. On top of that, Prudential, whose businesses include life insurance, variable annuities, and asset management, is getting some credit for more-consistent earnings in recent years. Healthcare · Supernus Pharmaceuticals, Inc. ($SUPN) to acquire Adamas Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (ADMS) through a tender offer for $8.10 per share in cash (or an aggregate of approximately $400 million), payable at closing plus two non-tradable contingent value rights (CVR) collectively worth up to $1.00 per share in cash (or an aggregate of approximately $50 million), for a total consideration of $9.10 per share in cash (or an aggregate of approximately $450 million). · AstraZeneca ($AZN) Phase 3 trial met its primary end point; trial showed a reduced risk of death & severe C-19 by 67% in a trial where 90% of participants were from high-risk categories; only long acting antibody combination that can both prevent & treat C-19 · Merck ($MRK) submitted an Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) application to the U.S. FDA for molnupiravir, an investigational oral antiviral medicine, for the treatment of mild-to-moderate COVID-19 who are at risk for progressing to severe COVID-19 and/or hospitalization · Regenxbio ($RGNX) announces initial data from the ongoing Phase II ALTITUDE trial of RGX-314 for the treatment of diabetic retinopathy (DR) without center-involved diabetic macular edema (CI-DME) using in-office suprachoroidal delivery. · BeiGene ($BGNE) announced that BRUKINSA has been approved in Australia for the treatment of adult patients with mantle cell lymphoma who have received at least one prior therapy Technology, Media & Telecom · Apple ($AAPL) asked a federal appeals court on Friday to throw out a legal decision that would require the tech giant to tweak its strict App Store rules and force it to allow app developers to inform customers of ways to pay for subscriptions and services outside the App Store – NYT · Gray Television ($GTN) a positive mention in Barron’s saying at about $23.50 a share, it has a price/earnings ratio of five based on 2022 estimates. It looks like an inexpensive way to bet on broadcast as Gray’s strength in local news helps it make a killing in political ads · Toshiba Corp ($6502.T) said it would announce the results of a strategic review of its business along with its quarterly earnings results and a new mid-term business plan on Nov. 12. A spokesperson said the results of Toshiba’s strategic review would be part of the new business plan. The company had previously said the review would be announced this month. · U.S.-listed Chinese tech stocks Alibaba ($BABA), JD.com ($JD) and Baidu ($BIDU) among market leaders early; BABA shares up over 5% after Reuters noted the Daily Journal Corp, chaired by Berkshire Hathaway Vice Chairman Charlie Munger, boosted its holdings in BABA by 83% during Q3, according to public disclosures. Also helping sentiment in China listed stocks, China’s antitrust regulator also fines delivery giant Meituan 3.4 bln yuan ($527.4 mln), a smaller than expected figure, for abusing its dominant market position · Comcast ($CMCSA) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Raymond James
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BTC price hits $57K five-month high — 5 things to watch in BTC this week https://cointelegraph.com/news/btc-price-hits-57k-five-month-high-5-things-to-watch-in-btc-this-week
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FIVE looks like a loser I'm going to hold in case a turn around, still not recommended as I priced this as a potential 100% loss at entry
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FIVE 10/08 197.50 call .55 (crap shoot play, as this is a OTM where momentum is needed for the IV, not recommeded unless you are willing to take a 100% loss on this)
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@marketjay FIVE had some 🔥 flow yesterday. I like that play.
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@everyone U.S. equity futures extend yesterday’s rally amid apparent progress on the debt-ceiling impasse in Washington, while in Europe, natural gas prices and power fell after Russia offered to ease Europe’s energy crisis as U.S. stocks are looking at a stronger open. Yesterday, the S&P 500 erased a -1.3% loss in its biggest reversal since February to settle modestly higher as investors grew more optimistic that congressional Democrats and Republicans could reach a deal to avert a government debt default with October 18th, the date Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen has estimated the government will run out of money and not be able to service its existing debts, if the ceiling remains in place. China markets and U.S. listed Chinese stocks (BABA, BIDU, JD) are rising as President Biden and his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping agreed to hold a virtual summit by the end of the year. Late yesterday, top U.S. Senate Republican Mitch McConnell said his party would support an extension of the federal debt ceiling into December. The offer could provide an off-ramp to a months-long standoff between President Joe Biden’s Democrats and McConnell’s Republicans, who had been expected on Wednesday to block a third attempt by Senate Democrats to raise the $28.4 trillion debt ceiling. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index rose 149 points to 27,678, the Shanghai Index remained closed for its Golden Week holiday, and the Hang Seng Index surged 735 points, or over 3% to settle at 24,701. The picture remains bright in Europe as well with the German DAX up 175 points to 15,150 and the FTSE 100 rising 67 points or nearly 1% to 7,060. The monthly nonfarm payroll report also in focus tomorrow. Market Closing Prices Yesterday · The S&P 500 Index gained 6.51 points, or 0.15%, to 4,363.55 · The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 90.49 points, or 0.26%, to 34,416.99 · The Nasdaq Composite dropped -64.79 points, or 0.44%, to 14,501.91 · The Russell 2000 Index declined -26.67 points, or 1.19% to 2,214.96 Events Calendar for Today · 7:30 AM ET Challenger Layoffs for Sept · 8:30 AM ET Weekly Jobless Claims · 8:30 AM EST Continuing Claims · 10:30 AM ET Weekly EIA Natural Gas Inventory Data · 3:00 AM ET Consumer Credit for Aug Earnings Calendar: · Earnings Before the Open: CAG, HELE, LW · Earnings After the Close: ACCD Other Key Events: · China’s Caixin Services PMI for Sept · Piper Global Chemicals M&A Conference (virtual), 10/7 · International Conference on Molecular Targets & Cancer Therapeutics (virtual), 10/7-10/10 Consumer · Costco ($COST) reported net sales of $19.50 billion for the retail month of September, the five weeks ended October 3, 2021, an increase of 15.8% from $16.84 billion last year; Total Company Comparable Sales rose 14.3%, Sept E-Commerce Sales rose 10.6%, Sept total co. Comparable Sales ex-impacts of gas prices, foreign exchange rose 9.4% and Sept E-Commerce sales ex-impacts of gas prices, foreign exchange rose 9.6% · Levi Strauss ($LEVI) Q3 EPS $0.48 vs. est. $0.37; Q3 revs up 41% YoY to $1.5B vs. est. $1.48B; authorizes $200M share buyback; qtrly gross margin was 57.6% of net revenues, up from 54.3%; said qtrly DTC net revenues increased 34% due to increased revenues from our company-operated stores; sees 4q net rev growth 20-21% YoY · Resources Connection ($RGP) Q1 EPS $0.43 vs. est. $0.25; Q1 revs $183.1M vs. est. $175.7M; sees Q2 revs $186M-$190M vs. est. $176.9M · Carnival Cruise Line ($CCL) announced plans for more ship restarts for January and February, as it works towards the return of its full fleet sailing from U.S. homeports in the spring of 2022 · Life Time Group ($LTH) 39M share IPO priced at $18.00 Energy, Industrials and Materials · Crude futures extend Wednesday’s slump. WTI drops as much as 3.2% before recovering near $75.80. Brent follows similar price action, settling just shy of the $80 mark. · Emerson Electric Co ($EMR) is in talks to merge its software assets with industrial software company Aspen Technology Inc (AZPN), Bloomberg News reported on Wednesday, citing people with knowledge of the matter. https://bloom.bg/3AlySkj · U.S. Silica Holdings, Inc. ($SLCA) said to explore strategic alternatives for industrial & specialty products (ISP) segment · Rocket Lab USA ($RKLB) announced that it has been selected to launch NASA’s Advanced Composite Solar Sail System on the Electron launch vehicle. Financials · Chubb ltd ($CB) files mixed securities shelf · Credit Acceptance ($CACC) increased the size of its revolving secured line of credit facility from $340M to $385M · Realogy ($RLGY) forms strategic joint venture with Centerbridge Partners to accelerate growth of title insurance underwriter; Centerbridge to purchase controlling interest of Realogy’s title insurance underwriter for $210M in cash · RLI Corp. ($RLI) announced an estimated range of pretax catastrophe losses of $30M-$35M, net of reinsurance, in Q3 Healthcare · Denali Therapeutic ($DNLI) announced positive Phase 1 clinical results and regulatory progress for two investigational small molecule therapeutics in development for the treatment of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis, ALS, at the 2021 Annual Northeast ALS · SeaSpine Holdings Corp. ($SPNE) announced the successful completion of the first cases in both the United States and Australia for the 7D Percutaneous Spine Module · Moderna ($MRNA) announced it will build a mRNA facility in Africa with the goal of producing up to 500M doses of vaccines each year at the 50-microgram dose level; the company anticipates investing up to $500M in this new facility · Osmotica Pharmaceuticals ($OSMT) 14M share Spot Secondary priced at $2.50 · Theseus Pharmaceuticals ($THRX) 10M share IPO priced at $16.00 Technology, Media & Telecom · IAC/InterActiveCorp. ($IAC) has reached a roughly $2.7 billion deal to buy magazine publisher Meredith Corp. (MDP), with holders to receive $42.18 per share in an all-cash deal. As a result of the deal, Meredith will become part of DotDash, IAC’s digital-publishing division. · Dutch antitrust authority finds Apple ($AAPL) in-app payment system anti-competitive – Reuters reports citing sources; Dutch authority has ordered apple to change app store practices; Apple has appealed to Dutch court to block publication of regulatory decision · Alibaba ($BABA), Baidu ($BIDU), NetEase ($NTES), Didi Global ($DIDI) among U.S.-listed Chinese stocks rising as concerns around U.S/China trade relations and Evergrande’s debt crisis appeared to ease. Fund giant Fidelity is putting money back into Chinese stocks and thinks the recent “indiscriminate” selling caused by the debt crisis at property giant Evergrande is presenting opportunities in the country’s beaten up bond markets. Reuters reported. “There are companies that have seen good haircuts on their debt that are not justified,” Fidelity’s global Chief Investment Officer Andrew McCaffery said during a roundtable, adding that some other parts of Asia had also been impacted. · Twitter, Inc. ($TWTR) to sell MoPub to AppLovin Corp. (APP), a leading marketing software company, for $1.05 billion in cash. The transaction will enable Twitter to accelerate the development of owned and operated revenue products and drive growth · Citrix Systems Inc ($CTXS) said David j. Henshall steps down as president, chief executive officer and member of board of directors and Bob Calderoni appointed interim president and chief executive officer; sees Q3 revenue at midpoint to high end of guidance range of $765M-$775M vs. est. $778M
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Intraday Target # 4 FIVE (FIVE BELOW) FIVE received an upgrade this morning from Morgan Stanley raising their price target on FIVE to $230 saying they see 30% upside in this stock is huge. FIVE has now re-entered a previous range, looking for the opportunity for a day trade near the open for the opportunity for a day trade of the opening range break. PT $190, momentum and volatility may come in allowing this blow past $190, do not randomly buy
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By Alun John HONG KONG (Reuters) - Asian shares dropped on Wednesday and U.S. benchmark yields rose to a three-and-a-half month top as investors stayed jittery about inflation with oil prices reaching new multi-year highs. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan fell 0.3%, while Japan's Nikkei lost 0.69%. Futures also pointed to a lower open in Europe with the pan-region Euro Stoxx 50 futures off 0.72% in early trade and FTSE futures down 0.6%. U.S. stock futures, the S&P 500 e-minis shed 0.4%. U.S. crude rose 0.24% to $79.11 a barrel, its highest level since 2014. Brent crude gained 0.3% to $82.80 per barrel, having hit a three-year high in the previous session, driven by concerns about energy supply and a decision on Monday by the OPEC+ group of producers to stick to a planned output increase rather than raising it further. [O/R] "OPEC’s outlook suggests further reductions in global oil stockpiles. That’s a problem given that oil inventories are already low," wrote analysts at CBA in a note. These worries have also weighed on equity markets, with investors concerned that higher energy prices could force central banks to raise rates more quickly to react to rising inflation. "Oil needs to come off a bit," said Dave Wang, a portfolio manager at Nuvest Capital in Singapore. "A further spike in oil will force everyone to reassess inflation assumptions." Korea fell 0.99%, Australia 0.8%, and Hong Kong 0.3%. New Zealand's central bank raised interest rates by 25 basis points. Although widely expected, the move still pushed the New Zealand dollar about 0.1% higher, before falling 0.45%, and also seemed to affect wider equity markets. Investors' inflation worries also drove a sell-off in longer-dated U.S. Treasuries. Benchmark 10-year yields rose 4.5 basis points to 1.573% during the Asia session, having climbed nearly 11 bps in three days. They were last at 1.5694%. Yields on 20-year and 30-year Treasuries also jumped five bps or more to their highest since June. [US/] Chinese markets remained closed for a public holiday, and shares of cash-strapped Chinese developer China Evergrande were suspended having stopped trading on Monday pending an announcement of a significant transaction. In currency markets, the dollar gained slightly against a basket of other major currencies, supported by the rising yields, and was heading back towards a year high hit last month. The euro stayed near its 14-month low struck last week. Spot gold shed 0.48% to $1751.4 an ounce, with the non-interest bearing asset hurt by higher yields. [GOL/]
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Hey buddy Chris....i will try to responde a good translate letter or msg about me and my soon recovery...I trvalled to USA Orlando the last week of UAgt arriving to Venezuela again Seot01. What happened? No body know what happen this last five days with my MS progression....Why i am stooped trading this 2 days? Because My son yesterday watch me in front of my PC at 4 a.m the same NY time here...WHen i was writting early i had 3 attacks...at 9 a.m 6 attacks and was on bed......Never in my life in 18 year trading never traded through by phone for lot of countries throubles....Just now...my son give me my laptop because market close and avoid in this condition son mistake...Tomorrow early i can send you a calpture of my act in etrade with risk exposure open before my travel on Augt..to resume after labor day...The point is. Transparency is the base of all activity... i am here with you....you know my english is bad....this morning early i wrote some words about in this kind of market what is my opinion with all my loss in 2 crisis in 18 years so...2007 and 2020 Pandemy...Tomorrow early before mkt i will try to stay more time in PC because i need to recovery too 5 weeks without trading plus travell....
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By Shadia Nasralla LONDON (Reuters) -Brent crude oil futures hit a three-year high on Tuesday while U.S. benchmark crude reached close to 2014 peaks after the OPEC+ group of producers stuck to its planned output increase rather than pumping even more crude. OPEC+ agreed in July to boost output by 400,000 barrels per day (bpd) each month until at least April 2022 to phase out 5.8 million bpd of existing production cuts. Brent crude was up $1.17, or 1.4%, at $82.43 a barrel by 1345 GMT, having risen 2.5% on Monday. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil rose $1.10, or 1.4%, to $78.72 after gaining 2.3% in the previous session. Oil prices have already surged more than 50% this year, adding to inflationary pressures that crude-consuming nations such as the United States and India are concerned will derail recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic. The OPEC+ Joint Technical Committee (JTC) said late last month that it expected a 1.1 million bpd supply deficit this year, which could turn into a 1.4 million bpd surplus next year. Despite the pressure to ramp up output, OPEC+ was concerned that a fourth global wave of COVID-19 infections could hit the demand recovery, a source told Reuters a little before the vote. "The (price) move looks a bit outsized given the ministers just reaffirmed the decision announced in July, but it shows how tight the market is, reinforcing our view of asymmetric price action with risks skewed to the upside at these inventory levels," Barclays (LON:BARC) said in a note. Meanwhile U.S. crude oil and distillate inventories are likely to have fallen last week, a preliminary Reuters poll showed. [EIA/S] Five analysts surveyed by Reuters estimated on average that crude inventories declined by about 300,000 barrels in the week to Oct. 1.
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facebook is five 9s of reliability
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Friday, October 1, 2021 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow -153.00 0.46% 33,843 S&P 500 -17.00 0.44% 4,307 Nasdaq -55.25 0.38% 14448, U.S. equity futures extended declines Friday, following the worst month for tech stocks since the peak of the pandemic, as investors enter the final quarter of the year focused on inflation, energy markets and the Federal Reserve. S&P 500 drops 4.8% in September, its first monthly loss since January and biggest one-month drop since start of pandemic and lowest closing price since July 19th. Overall, for the month, the S&P fell 4.8%, the Dow fell 4.3% and the Nasdaq fell 5.3%. For the quarter (Q3), the S&P 500 rose 0.2%, the Dow fell 1.9% and the Nasdaq fell 0.4% following the precipitous September decline. Late last night, U.S. House Democratic leaders have delayed a planned vote on a $1 trillion bipartisan infrastructure bill that had been set for Thursday, bowing to party progressives who had demanded action on a larger social policy bill first. However, on a positive note, the U.S. government shutdown appears to be averted for now as Congress voted to continue funding the government through Dec. 3, backing the earlier bill out of the Senate and President Biden signed the measure before funding was to run out at midnight. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index declined -681 points (2.31%) to 28,771, the Shanghai Index was closed and the Hang Seng Index was also closed. In Europe, the German DAX is down about -115 points to 15,150, while the FTSE 100 falls 1% or -70 points to 7,015. Crypto currencies surging for a second straight day as Bitcoin rises over 7% to $46,600, while Ethereum rises over 6.5% at $3,175 in another spike across the board. Positive vaccine news overnight as Merck ($MRK) announced positive COVID-19 vaccine trial news. Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index dropped -51.92 points, or 1,19%, to 4,307.54 The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell -546.80 points, or 1.59%, to 33,843.92 The Nasdaq Composite slumped -63.86 1.42 points, or 0.44%, to 14,448.58 The Russell 2000 Index declined -20.94 points, or 0.94% to 2,204.37 Events Calendar for Today 8:30 AM ET Personal Income MoM for Aug…est. +0.3% 8:30 AM ET Personal Spending MoM for Aug 8:30 AM ET PCE Price Index MoM for Aug 8:30 AM ET PCE Price Index YoY for Aug 8:30 AM ET Core PCE Price Index MoM for Aug…est. +0.2% 8:30 AM ET Core PCE Price Index YoY for Aug…est. +3.6% 9:45 AM ET Markit Manufacturing PMI for Sept-F 10:00 AM ET Construction Spending MoM for Aug…est. +0.3% 10:00 AM ET ISM Manufacturing Index for September…est. 59.6 10:00 AM ET University of Michigan Confidence, Sept-Final…est. 71.0 1:00 PM EST Baker Hughes Weekly rig count data Macro Up/Down Last Nymex -0.63 74.40 Brent -0.43 77.88 Gold -2.60 1,755.90 EUR/USD 0.0001 1.1582 JPY/USD -0.16 111.11 10-Year Note -0.036 1.491% World News S. House Democratic leaders have delayed a planned vote on a $1 trillion bipartisan infrastructure bill that had been set for Thursday, bowing to party progressives who had demanded action on a larger social policy bill first. House Majority Leader Steny Hoyer said in a statement the House is expected to finish work on the infrastructure bill on Friday. The Bank of Japan’s tankan survey released Friday shows signs that the recovery in the manufacturing sector will be hampered by supply shortages as the index measuring large manufacturers’ stocks of finished goods dropped to +3 in the September survey from +6 three months earlier. That marked the tightest level since 1989. Sector News Breakdown Consumer Lordstown Motors ($RIDE) said it plans to sell its auto factory in Ohio to contract assembler Foxconn Technology Group for a purchase price of $230 million. Additionally, Foxconn plans to invest $50 million into the Ohio-based startup through a purchase of common stock. Helbiz ($HLBZ) rises after the transportation and media co announces CEO Salvatore Palella purchased units of PIPE (private investment in public equity) offering; On Aug 9, Palella bought 200,000 units of PIPE offering, consisting of 200,000 shares of Class A common and warrants to buy additional 200,000 shares at $11.50 per share Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) is said to plan up to $4B stock buyback Coty ($COTY) agrees to sell partial stake in Wella to KKR at a 50% valuation premium versus initial Wella sale in exchange for approximately half of the preferred Coty shares owned by KKR. Coty will continue to own 30.6% of Wella, with a $1.38b implied value for the retained stake Li Auto ($LI) delivered 7,094 Li ONEs in September 2021, up 102.5% Y/Y but fell 24.8% M/M from August’s shipments of 9,433 units; Q3 2021 deliveries rose 190% Y/Y and 42.9% Q/Q to 25,116 vehicles, exceeding recently revised guidance of ~24,500 units Nio ($NIO) delivered 10,628 vehicles in September 2021, an all-time high monthly record representing growth of 125.7% Y/Y and 80.7% M/M from August’s deliveries of 5,880 units; company shipped 24,439 vehicles Q3 2021, representing an increase of 100.2% Y/Y, exceeding the revised guidance of ~22,500 to 23,500 vehicles. Tesla ($TSLA) missed its deadline to deliver the Model X in Q3 2021, but a handful of units of the new electric SUVs were spotted in Fremont factory, Electrek reported. It gives some hope that deliveries might start soon https://bit.ly/2Y8L4ba XPeng ($XPEV) recorded its highest-ever monthly deliveries in September 2021 of 10,412 Smart EVs, representing an increase of 199% Y/Y and a 44% increase over last month; also achieved a quarterly record of 25,666 deliveries in Q3 2021, up 48% Q/Q and 199% over prior year Energy, Industrials and Materials ExxonMobil ($XOM) says gas prices to boost 3q earnings by about $700M; says oil prices to boost 3q earnings by about $400M; says downstream margins to boost earnings by $600M SunPower Corp. ($SPWR) will replace Cimarex Energy Co. ($XEC) in the S&P MidCap 400 index before trading begins on Oct. 5, according to S&P Dow Jones Indices. S&P 500 constituent Cabot Oil & Gas Corp. is acquiring Cimarex Energy in a deal that is expected to close on Oct. 1. PDC Energy Inc ($PDCE) said anticipated total production near bottom of previous range of 190,000 to 195,000 boe per day for full-year 2021; sees FY 2021 oil production of 60,000 to 63,000 barrels per day, below previous range of 64,000 to 66,000 barrels per day JPMorgan upgraded shares of Southwest Airlines ($LUV) to Overweight from Neutral and Spirit airlines ($SAVE) downgraded at JPMorgan while adjusting other price tgts in the space Financials Jefferies Financial ($JEF) Q3 EPS $1.50 vs. est. $0.99; Q3 revs $1.65B vs. est. $1.74B Healthcare Merck ($MRK) and Ridgeback Biotherapeutics announce results from their oral antiviral medicine molnupiravir (MK-4482, EIDD-2801) from Phase 3 MOVe-OUT trial in patients with mild-to-moderate COVID-19. STAT News notes that in the Merck study, a five-day course of the oral medicine was administered within five days of patients’ symptom onset; half of those patients had at least one risk factor associated with poor disease outcomes (shares of rival COVID-19 vaccine makers PFE, BNTX, MRNA falling on the news) Exscientia ($EXAI) has priced its upsized U.S. IPO of 13.85M ADSs (from ~13.1M ADSs), representing 13.85M ordinary shares at $22.00/ADS, for total gross proceeds of ~$304.7M. Bicycle Therapeutics ($BCYC) to present bt5528 interim phase i data at AACR-NCI-EORTC virtual international conference on molecular targets and cancer therapeutics Haemonetics ($HAE) said the FDA has approved a same-day discharge indication for its VASCADE MVP vascular closure system used in atrial fibrillation ablation. Rockwell Medical ($RMTI) files $200M mixed securities shelf Technology, Media & Telecom Five9 ($FIVN) announced that its $14.7B merger agreement with Zoom Video (ZM) has been terminated by mutual agreement. The agreement did not receive the requisite number of votes from Five9 shareholders to approve the merger with Zoom. Under the deal terms announced in July, Five9 shareholders would have received 0.5533 Zoom share for every Five9 share. Walt Disney ($DIS) and Scarlett Johansson have resolved their legal battle over her salary in the movie “Black Widow,” ending a two-month fight between the two parties AMC Entertainment ($AMC) said it exercised option to repurchase $35M of 15% cash / 17% payment-in-kind ($PIK) Toggle First Lien Secured Notes due 2026 Alibaba ($BABA) downgraded to Outperform from Strong Buy at Raymond James with a price target of $240, down from $300 saying while they remain positive on Alibaba long-term and believes valuation remains attractive, feels the recovery in shares could take longer given the recent slowing of ecommerce growth combined with continued regulatory actions across China
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UK Markets Closed higher yesterday, supported by gains in banking and healthcare sector stocks. AstraZeneca advanced 4.2%, after the pharmaceutical company announced that its newly acquired Alexion division would acquire the remaining stake in Caelum Biosciences in a deal worth around $500 million. Next rose 3.9%, as the fashion retailer lifted its full year outlook, citing upbeat results in the first half of the year. Anglo American added 1.6%, after a top broker upgraded its rating on the stock to ‘Outperform’ from ‘Sector Perform’. Auction Technology Group edged up 0.5%, after the online auction platform announced that it has secured all antitrust and regulatory clearances for its acquisition of LiveAuctioneers. On the other hand, SSP Group dropped 5.4%, after the company announced that its sales in the latest week were below the pre-pandemic level and forecasted a slow recovery in sales during 2022. The FTSE 100 gained 1.1%, to close at 7,108.2, while the FTSE 250 rose 0.1%, to end at 23,151.0. . European Markets Also closed higher yesterday, amid gains in technology and healthcare sector stocks. ASM International advanced 3.9%, after the company forecasted its order intake in the third quarter to surpass its previous estimate. GEA Group rose 2.1%, after the food industry system supplier introduced its “Mission 26” strategy for the next five years. On the other hand, Air France-KLM dropped 3.5%. The airline operator reported that it is beginning to witness some recovery in business travel on domestic routes, but premium travel remained far below pre-pandemic levels. ASML Holding fell 2.6%, even though the chip equipment maker raised its revenue outlook. The FTSEurofirst 300 index gained 0.7%, to close at 1,760.3. Among other European markets, the German DAX Xetra 30 rose 0.8%, to close at 15,365.3, while the French CAC-40 advanced 0.8%, to settle at 6,560.8. . US Markets Followed Europe closeing mostly higher yesterday, helped by gains in defensive sector stocks. Dollar Tree surged 16.5%, after the discount retailer increased its buyback authorisation by $1.05 billion to $2.5 billion. Lucid Group climbed 7.1%, after the company announced plans to deliver its first electric luxury sedans in late October. AutoNation advanced 5.3%, following a rating upgrade on the stock to ‘Equal Weight’ from ‘Underweight’. Eli Lilly rose 4.0%, after a top broker upgraded its rating on the stock to ‘Buy’ from ‘Neutral’. Netflix added 2.6%, after the company announced the acquisition of videogame maker, Night School Studio. On the other hand, Micron Technology fell 2.0%, after the semiconductor company issued a dismal outlook for the first quarter of 2022.. The S&P 500 gained 0.2%, to settle at 4,359.5. The DJIA rose 0.3% to settle at 34,390.7, while the NASDAQ dropped 0.2%, to close at 14,512.4. . Asian Markets Were trading lower this morning. In Japan, Toyota Motor and Toho Zinc have dropped 3.0% and 4.9%, respectively. Meanwhile, Marui Group and Fast Retailing have advanced 1.4% and 3.0%, respectively. In Hong Kong, Tencent Holdings and Xiaomi have fallen 2.0% and 3.2%, respectively. Meanwhile, Alibaba Health Information Technology and Country Garden Services Holdings have risen 1.1% and 3.3%, respectively. In South Korea, Dayou Plus and INFAC have climbed 17.0% and 20.6%, respectively. Meanwhile, BK Tops and SKC have declined 8.7% and 12.1%, respectively. The Nikkei 225 index is trading 0.4% lower at 29,439.4. The Hang Seng index is trading 1.0% down at 24,416.7, while the Kospi index is trading 0.3% higher at 3,070.9
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By Alun John HONG KONG (Reuters) - Asian shares lost ground on Wednesday, and were set for their worst quarter since the coronavirus pandemic hit, as worries about economic growth in China combined with fears of a global slowdown and a strong dollar to push equities markets lower. The dollar touched an 18-month high against the yen in Asian hours and stayed steady at over a 10 month high versus other major peers after overnight gains, boosted by a recent run up in U.S. Treasury yields, which had also helped spook U.S. equity markets. Doubts are re-emerging over the global recovery at a time when the U.S. Federal Reserve is set to taper stimulus and the administration of U.S. President Joe Biden is stuck in contentious debt ceiling negotiations that could lead to a government shutdown. At the same time, China is grappling with a power crunch that has impacted economic output there. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan fell 0.84% and was heading for a 9.4% decline for the third quarter, its worst quarterly performance since the first three months of 2020, when markets globally were roiled by the initial spread of COVID-19. There were declines in benchmarks in South Korea, down 1.3%, Australia off 1.2%, and in Chinese blue chips which shed 0.6%%, though Hong Kong bucked the trend rising 0.5%. Japan's Nikkei shed 2.12% following declines in the U.S overnight as the country's ruling party votes for a new leader who will almost certainly become the next prime minister ahead of a general election due in weeks. Futures suggested a risk friendlier mood could return later with U.S. stock futures, the S&P 500 e-minis, up 0.51%, pan-region Euro Stoxx 50 futures 0.36% higher and FTSE futures trading just above flat. One factor sapping the mood in Asia was China's worsening power crunch, which pushed investors out of Chinese stocks vulnerable to factory shutdowns including chemicals and steelmaking, even as the country's all-powerful economic planning agency attempted to reassure residents and businesses. The energy troubles follows turmoil in China's property sector as investors closely watch the fate of indebted developer Evergrande, and regulatory changes in education and technology, with some observers suggesting authorities wanted to get the changes in while economic growth was reasonably strong. "I think the window will close in the next one or two months as GDP may surprise on the downside ... and there may be employment problems," said Alan Wang, Portfolio Manager, Greater China Equities, at Principal Global Investors. "When the government sees those numbers they may start to change their behaviour, or maybe extend some deadlines" Evergrande shares rose 10.8% after it said it plans to sell a 9.99 billion yuan ($1.5 billion) stake it owns in Shengjing Bank, but investors are still waiting to see whether the cash-strapped developer will make an interest payment due Wednesday on a dollar bond. ROTATE TO VALUE Overnight, all three major U.S. stock indexes slid nearly 2% or more, with interest rate sensitive tech and tech-adjacent stocks worst hit by the surging bond yields, as investors began to shift to value names. (N) Benchmark 10-year rates have gained 25 basis points in five sessions but inched down in Asian hours to 1.5392%, having hit their highest since mid-June the day before "We think (10-year Treasury yields) are likely to around 1.5% to 1.75%, so they obviously still have room to go," said Daniel Lam, senior cross-asset strategist at Standard Chartered (OTC:SCBFF). Lam said the rise in yields was driven by the fact the United States was almost definitely going to start tapering its massive asset purchases by the end of this year. Oil prices dropped having touched a near three-year high the day before. Brent crude fell 1.8% to $77.67 per barrel U.S. crude dipped 1.75% to $73.97 a barrel. [O/R] Gold edged higher with the spot price at $1,739.5 an ounce, up 0.4% from the seven-week low hit the day before as higher yields hurt demand for the non-interest bearing asset.
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By Elizabeth Howcroft LONDON (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar climbed to its highest in more than five weeks, while other major G10 currencies dropped, as higher U.S. Treasury yields made the dollar more attractive to investors. U.S. Treasury yields have surged since the end of last week, after the Federal Reserve said it will likely begin reducing its monthly bond purchases as soon as November and hinted that interest rate hikes may follow. At 1132 GMT, the U.S. dollar index was up 0.2% at 93.6, having earlier hit 93.67, its highest since Aug. 20. "It’s squarely down to the yield performance in the U.S. bond market," said Neil Jones, head of FX sales at Mizuho. "Ten-year Treasuries have crossed that psychological border, 1.5%. Amongst major economies around the world, it's tough to get 1.5% return on a currency and now the dollar interest rates are pushing in that direction so it makes (the dollar) more attractive." Risk aversion exacerbated the currency market moves, Jones said, with equity markets down. The Australian dollar, which is seen as a liquid proxy for risk appetite, was down 0.5% at $0.72525. The euro was down 0.1% versus the dollar at $1.1686. "Amidst the many cross-currents in FX markets right now - energy, Evergrande, US debt ceiling, Delta - one theme that seems to be gaining traction is that the market lies on the cusp of re-assessing the path for the Fed tightening cycle," ING strategists wrote in a note to clients. "A big move higher in the short-end is the key reason why we are bullish on the dollar, particularly from 2Q next year, but we will closely monitor and re-assess whether that move needs to come earlier - largely a function of timing the take-off in short-end rates." The Japanese yen dropped to its lowest in nearly three months against the dollar, down 0.3% on the day at 11.385 as of 1140 GMT. The yen is the G10 currency most correlated with U.S. two-year and 10-year Treasury yields, MUFG currency analyst Lee Hardman said in a note to clients. "Upward pressure on U.S. yields should continue to provide a lift for USD/JPY in the near-term," he said, though he added the yen is "deeply undervalued," which could limit the extent of the weakness. ING strategists said the yen's weakness was also due to Japan's role as a large energy importer. Oil prices climbed for a sixth day on Tuesday and prices of liquefied natural gas (LNG) and coal also rose. Minutes from the Bank of Japan's July meeting showed that some central bank policymakers warned of the risk of a delay in the country's economic recovery. The British pound was down 0.7% at $1.361. The currency jumped last week after a hawkish tone by the Bank of England, but analysts struck a cautious note on the currency as Britain struggled with supply chain chaos. The offshore yuan was steady at 6.4606. China's central bank said it would protect consumers exposed to the housing market on Monday and injected more cash into the banking system as the Shenzhen government began investigating the wealth management unit of ailing developer Evergrande. Power shortages in China have stopped production at many factories. Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) estimated that as much as 44% of China's industrial activity has been hit.
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Five worthy reads: Decentralized identity—bringing data back to its owners https://securityboulevard.com/2021/09/five-worthy-reads-decentralized-identity-bringing-data-back-to-its-owners/amp/
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Five minutes to start RRRRadio RRRRenato, standy by
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now I'm at five
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I down to my final five
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By Tom Arnold and Anushka Trivedi (Reuters) - World shares skidded and the dollar firmed on Monday as investors fretted about the spillover risk to the global economy from property group China Evergrande's troubles, while eyeing a week packed with global central bank meetings. In a sign of the risk aversion rippling through markets, China sovereign credit default swaps jumped to a near one-year high, while the cost of insuring against European corporate bond defaults leapt to the highest since late May. European stocks slumped 2.3%, on course for their worst session since December, with energy and mining stocks tumbling as the dollar's jump to near four-week highs crushed commodity prices. (EU) Holidays in Japan, China and South Korea meant trading was thin in Asia, while politics added extra uncertainty with elections in Canada and Germany bookending the week. Shares in China Evergrande plummeted 10.2% after earlier losing as much as 19% to more than 11-year lows. The company's listed units also fell, as investors worried about the real estate developer's ability to repay a small portion of its $305 billion debt due this Thursday. Evergrande's troubles added to growing unease about the health of China's economy after Beijing's recent crackdown on tech firms. The Hang Seng index shed 3.3%. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan slid 1.7% to its lowest since Aug. 24, with Australia stocks suffering their worst session in nearly seven months, slumping 2.1%. The MSCI All Country World Index fell 0.6%, close to a one-month low and down further from record highs hit earlier this month. "The imminent demise of China's leading property company raises questions about risks of contagion and possible spillover effects to the economy and the global recovery," TS Lombard's Larry Brainard and Jon Harrison wrote in a strategy note. Beijing will move aggressively to "ringfence" the Evergrande crisis and ensure growth remains on track in 2022, they wrote. China sovereign credit default swaps (CDS) jumped nine basis points (bps) from Friday's close to 45 bps, the highest since early October, IHS Markit data showed, while the CDS of other emerging market giants, including Brazil and Turkey, also rose to multi-month highs. For a graphic on China CDS: https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/ Surging gas prices, and the potential feed through to inflation, provided another headache for traders. Higher global wholesale power and gas prices have prompted concerns of high winter energy bills and shortages, having already forced some energy supplies out of business in Britain. Dow Jones futures were down 1.6% and S&P 500 futures declined 1.4%, after all three Wall Street indexes marked weekly losses on Friday following days of turbulence. (N) The Fed is still expected to lay the groundwork for a tapering at its policy meeting on Tuesday and Wednesday, though the consensus is for an actual announcement to be delayed until the November or December meetings. Yields on 10-year Treasuries fell 6 bps to 1.31%, eyeing their biggest daily drop in five-weeks and the curve flattened ahead of the meeting. The two-year yield, which rises with traders' expectations of higher Fed fund rates, touched its highest since Aug. 27, before easing back. [US/] "A flatter yield curve suggests some fears the Fed may overdo the eventual hiking cycle," said Tapas Strickland, a director of economics at NAB. He noted only 2-3 FOMC members would need to shift their "dot plot" forecasts for a hike in 2022 to make it the median, given seven of 18 had already tipped a move next year. Germany's 10-year yield, the benchmark for the euro zone, was down more than 5 bps to -0.33%, set for its biggest daily fall since July and retreating from the 10-week high touched on Friday after a report suggested the European Central Bank (ECB) expects to hit its inflation target by 2025. In comments seen as setting the scene for a further slide in the pace of bond buying, ECB board member Isabel Schnabel said the volume of the ECB's bond purchases was becoming "less important" as the economic outlook improves. Investors were also keeping an eye on a dozen other central bank meetings spanning Japan, Indonesia, the Philippines, Taiwan, Britain, Switzerland, Sweden, Norway, Brazil, South Africa, Turkey and Hungary. The Norges Bank is expected to become the first G10 central bank to lift rates on Thursday. Lofty U.S. yields and general risk aversion in the markets sent the dollar to a four-week high against a basket of other currencies. The U.S. dollar index was last at 93.386 [FRX/] The dollar was range bound versus the yen at 109.52, while the euro was at its lowest since Aug. 27 at $1.1706 due to uncertainty ahead of Germany's election. The offshore Chinese yuan skidded to three-week lows, falling to 6.4698 yuan per dollar, its lowest since Aug. 31. Canada goes to the polls on Monday with the race too close to call. The stronger dollar kept oil under pressure, with crude also taking a hit from energy companies in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico resuming production after back-to-back hurricanes in the region shut output. [O/R] Brent fell 1.7% to $74.06 a barrel, while U.S. crude lost 2% to $70.5. Gold prices hit a more than five-week low, before recovering to trade up 0.2% at $1,757 an ounce. [GOL/]
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@everyone Monday, September 20, 2021 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow -529.00 1.54% 33,933 S&P 500 -56.75 1.28% 4,365 Nasdaq -154.00 1.00% 15,172 U.S. indices are trading down over 1% in pre-market trading and touching their lowest levels in almost 2 months this morning as large Chinese real estate developer Evergrande’s debt crisis is weighing on Asian markets and several macroeconomic factors are making investors wary. The Federal Reserve’s two-day September meeting begins tomorrow where they may lay out plans to begin tapering bond purchases and its quarterly dot plot will provide a forecast on when the central bankers expect to hike interest rates from their current levels of 0-0.25%. Additionally, the federal government is currently facing the threat of running out of money October 1 unless Congress raises the debt ceiling, and Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen wrote an op-ed in the Wall Street Journal over the weekend imploring Congress to raise it as the Treasury will exhaust its cash reserves and borrowing capacity sometime next month if no action is taken. Today’s move lower comes after the S&P closed below its 50-day moving average for the 1st time since June 18th on Friday with materials and technology companies struggling. Late Friday, an FDA panel decided not to recommend a booster for the Pfizer vaccine for people 16 years and older by a vote of 16-3 saying there was not enough data to determine the step-up effectiveness of the third shot. However, the panel unanimously approved a narrower vote of authorizing booster dose of Pfizer/BioNTech covid-19 vaccine at least 6 months after full vaccination for people 65 and older and those at high risk for severe disease (a narrower approval than markets were hoping for). The University of Michigan’s preliminary sentiment index edged up in August, but buying conditions for household durables, homes and motor vehicles all fell to the lowest in decades due to complaints about high prices. The dollar rose while precious metals mostly fell, as gold posted a second straight weekly drop ahead of the FOMC meeting later this week. A potential hike in corporate taxes could eat into earnings also weigh on markets, with leading Democrats seeking to raise the top tax rate on corporations to 26.5% from the current 21%. In Asian markets, the Hang Seng Index is plunging 821 points while Tokyo and Shanghai markets are closed for holiday. In Europe, the German DAX is down 367 points and the FTSE 100 is lower by 118 points. Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index dropped -40.76 points, or 0.91%, to 4,432.99 The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell -166.44 points, or 0.48%, to 34,584.88 The Nasdaq Composite sunk -137.96 points, or 0.91%, to 15,043.97 The Russell 2000 Index advanced 3.96 points, or 0.18% to 2,236.87 Events Calendar for Today 10:00 AM ET NAHB Housing Market Index for Sept Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: none Earnings After the Close: $LEN Other Key Events: European Society for Medical Oncology (ESMO) 2021 Virtual Congress, 9/16-9/21 Oppenheimer Fall Healthcare Life Sciences & MedTech Summit (virtual), 9/20-9/23 Roth Capital 8th Annual Solar Symposium (virtual), 9/20-9/23 Stephen’s 11th Annual Bank Forum, in Little Rock, AR, 9/20-9/22 Macro Up/Down Last Nymex -1.49 70.33 Brent -1.29 74.05 Gold 8.10 1,759.50 EUR/USD -0.0012 1.1713 JPY/USD -0.42 109.53 10-Year Note -0.039 1.331% World News Chinese real estate developer Evergrande is facing a default on $150M in bond payments this week and officials have refused to commit any rescue cash to the country’s 2nd largest developer who currently has more than $310B in debt. Sector News Breakdown Consumer Barron’s noted the sell-off in Wynn Resorts ($WYNN) and Las Vegas Sands ($LVS) the past couple of days amid jitters that the Macau government will impose more onerous concession, or licensing, agreements when they expire next year could be setting up a buying opportunity for investors who are patient and have a bankroll to withstand the unlucky streak S. auto safety investigators have opened a new probe into 30 million vehicles built by nearly two dozen automakers with potentially defective Takata air bag inflators – Reuters Three investigators with the National Transportation Safety Board are traveling next week to Coral Gables, Florida to investigate a fatal accident in which a Tesla ($TSLA) Model 3 left the roadway and collided with a tree. NTSB officials say the investigation will focus on the operation of the vehicle and the post-crash fire that consumed the car Energy, Industrials and Materials Boeing ($BA) has been awarded a $1.62B indefinite-delivery/indefinite-quantity contract for missile guidance repair. BHP Group ($BHP), Rio Tinto ($RIO), Anglo American ($NGLOY), Glencore ($GLNCY), and Vale ($VALE) are in the best shape ever, Barron’s reported for mining companies. Their shares, however, trade cheaply amid worries that the good times in industrial commodities are ending. For investors willing to accept some risk, the Big Five miners offer a rich opportunity Financials A senior U.S. trade official privately criticized India’s July decision to ban Mastercard Inc ($MA) from issuing new cards, calling it a “draconian” move that caused “panic”, according to U.S. government emails seen by Reuters. Healthcare Astellas Pharma ($ALPMY) and Pfizer ($PFE) announced ahead of the European Society for Medical Oncology Congress 2021 that XTANDI improved overall survival in the ARCHES study in men with metastatic hormone-sensitive prostate cancer. Exelixis ($EXEL) announced that the U.S. FDA approved CABOMETYX for the treatment of adult and pediatric patients 12 years of age and older with locally advanced or metastatic differentiated thyroid cancer that has progressed following prior vascular endothelial growth factor receptor-targeted therapy and who are radioactive iodine-refractory or ineligible White House medical adviser Anthony Fauci said on Sunday that data needed to determine the advisability of booster shots of the Moderna Inc (MRNA) and Johnson & Johnson ($JNJ) COVID-19 vaccines is just weeks away Quidel ($QDEL) has been awarded a maximum $710.57M indefinite-delivery/indefinite-quantity contract for over-the-counter antigen test kits AstraZeneca ($AZN) reported updated Phase 3 trial results for Imfinzi that showed the drug combined with chemotherapy tripled patient survival at 3-year in extensive-stage small cell lung cancer Technology, Media & Telecom Brooks Automation ($BRKS) agreed to sell its semiconductor solutions group business to Thomas H. Lee Partners for $3B in cash and will no longer pursue a separation into 2 independent and publicly traded companies
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Wednesday, September 15, 2021 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow 20.00 0.06% 34,484 S&P 500 6.25 0.14% 4,441 Nasdaq 34.50 0.22% 15,414 S&P futures are higher as major averages look to rebound from selling pressure yesterday that saw all 11 sectors close in the red, with basic materials and industrials being the largest losers, followed not far behind by financials which dropped on cautious trading commentary from various banks at a sell-side conference and a drop in Treasury yields as CPI inflation data for August was tamer than expected. Healthcare and technology were among the sectors that faced the least downside pressure. Megacaps were mixed at the close as Apple ($AAPL) continues to fade even after it unveiled the much-awaited iPhone 13, managing to settle just above its 50-day moving average. U.S. listed China stocks tumble again overnight, led by declines in the casino/gaming sector on stricter restrictions. Overnight, Microsoft ($MSFT) board approves new share buyback of up to $60B in shares; raises quarterly dividend 11% to 62c per share. Overseas, China economic data disappointed across the board as monthly retail sales came in well below views, along with misses in industrial production and as China’s new home prices grew at their slowest pace in eight months. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index fell -158 points to 30,511, the Shanghai Index dipped -6 points to 3,656, and the Hang Seng Index declined -469 points to 25,033. In Europe, the German DAX is down about -15 points to 15,705, while the FTSE 100 is up a few points at 7,040. Busy morning of economic data with manufacturing, import prices and industrial production on the calendar. Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index dropped -25.68 points, or 0.57%, to 4,443.05 The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell -292.06 points, or 0.84%, to 34,577.57 The Nasdaq Composite slumped -67.82 points, or 0.45%, to 15,037.76 The Russell 2000 Index declined -30.80 points, or 1.37% to 2,209.98 Events Calendar for Today 7:00 AM ET MBA Mortgage Applications Data 8:30 AM ET Empire Manufacturing for September…est. 18.0 8:30 AM ET Import Prices MoM for Aug…est. +0.3% 8:30 AM ET Export Prices MoM for Aug…est. +0.4% 9:15 AM ET Industrial Production MoM for Aug…est. 0.4% 9:15 AM ET Capacity Utilization for Aug…est. 76.4% 10:30 AM ET Weekly DOE Inventory Data Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: WEBR Earnings After the Close: none Other Key Events: Barclay’s Financial Services Conference (virtual) 2021, 9/13-9/15 Citigroup 2021 Global Technology Conference (virtual), 9/13-9/15 Piper 2021 D.C. Bank Field Trip, 9/13-9/15 Baird Global Healthcare Conference 2021 (virtual), 9/14-9/15 Barclay’s Financial Services Conference (virtual) 2021, 9/13-9/15 HC Wainwright 23rd Annual Global Investment Conference (virtual), 9/13-9/15 Jefferies Software Conference (virtual), 9/14-9/15 Lake Street 5th Annual Best Ideas Growth Conference (virtual), 9/14-9/15 Macro Up/Down Last Nymex 1.09 71.52 Brent 1.04 74.63 Gold -2.80 1,801.70 EUR/USD 0.0023 1.1826 JPY/USD -0.35 109.34 10-Year Note +0.00 1.279% World News China’s retail sales grew a disappointing5% in August from a year ago, well below the forecast for 7% growth, as the country dealt with the worst outbreak of Covid-19 since its initial spread in early 2020. Industrial production growth was also slightly below expectations, up 5.3% in August versus predictions of 5.8% growth China’s new home prices grew at their slowest pace in eight months in August, official data showed on Wednesday. Average new home prices in China’s 70 major cities grew 0.2% month-on-month in August after increasing 0.3% in July. Compared with a year earlier, China’s new home prices grew 4.2% in August, down from a 4.6% increase in July. North Korea launched two short-range ballistic missiles off its east coast on Wednesday, South Korean and Japanese officials said, as Pyongyang returns to weapons tests after saying that its patience for talking had worn thin. UK Aug CPI higher at +0.7% m/m vs 0.5% consensus, 3.2% y/y vs 2.9% consensus; UK Aug CPI Core higher at +0.7% m/m vs 0.4% cons, 3.1% y/y vs 2.9% consensus – U.K. inflation surge prompts bets for sharper rate increases Sector News Breakdown Consumer Yum China ($YUMC) said its adjusted operating profit would take a 50% to 60% hit in Q3 as the spread of the Delta variant in China led to restaurant closures and “sharply reduced sales”; says same-store sales in August declined by mid-teens percentage Y/Y, or close to an approximately 20% decline compared to August 2019 S. casinos with operations in Macau looking sharply lower for a second straight day as Macau government proposes to revise the city’s gaming law, tightening direct supervision of casinos in the world’s largest gambling hub. Reuters noted Macau’s secretary for economy and finance said there were still some deficiencies in industry supervision. P. Morgan downgraded Macau gaming names Galaxy Entertainment (GXYEF), MGM China (MCHVF) SJM Holdings (SJMHY), Melco (MLCO), Wynn Macau (WYNMF) and Sands China (SCHYY) from overweight to neutral or underweight due to heightened scrutiny on capital management and daily operations ahead of license renewals Academy Sports (ASO)645M share Secondary priced at $44.75 Leslie’s ($LESL)8M share Secondary priced at $22.00 DavidsTea ($DTEA) tumbled 25% after the tea retailer said its ecommerce and wholesale sales fell by nearly one-third in its fiscal second quarter European Wax Center ($EWCZ) guides FY21 revs $173-178Mm vs est. $178.2Mm, sees FY system-wide sales $788-793Mm; sees FY adj net income $26.5-28.5Mm Dutch Bros ($BROS) 21M share IPO priced at $23.00 On Holding ($ONON)1M share IPO priced at $24.00 Energy, Industrials and Materials Workhorse Group ($WKHS) shares fell after hours Tuesday as the co voluntarily dismissed its legal challenge against a U.S. Postal Service ($USPS) move to award a multibillion-dollar contract to Oshkosh Defense (OSK) for making postal delivery vehicles, Reuters reported The American Petroleum Institute ($API) showed a draw of 5.44M barrels of oil for the week ending September 10, while gasoline inventories showed a draw of 2.76M barrels, distillate inventories show a draw of 2.89M barrels and Cushing inventories show a draw of 1.36M barrels The first all-civilian mission to orbit Earth is set to take off tonight, within a five-hour launch window that opens at 8:02 p.m. ET. SpaceX will power the expedition, known as Inspiration4, using one of its Dragon capsules atop a reusable Falcon 9 rocket JinkoSolar ($JKS) Q2 EPS $0.22 vs. et. Loss (-$0.16); Q2 revs $1.23B vs. est. $1.22B; Q2 shipments were 5,203 MW; said total Q3 revenue is expected to be in range of $1.24B-$1.37B vs. est. $1.6B; for FY 2021, estimates total shipments (including solar modules, cells and wafers) to be in range of 25 GW-30GW FTC Solar ($FTCI) announced that Tony Etnyre will step down as CEO and board member; board has appointed Sean Hunkler as his successor effective Sep.24. Raytheon Technologies (RTX) has agreed to acquire advanced space electronics supplier SEAKR Engineering Financials BRP Group ($BRP) 8M share Secondary priced at $30.50 Capital One ($COF) reports August net charge-offs 1.54% vs. 1.45% last month and reports August 30-plus day delinquencies 1.79% vs. 1.71% last month Synchrony ($SYF) reported August charge-off rate 2.59% vs. 2.24% last month and also reports August 30-plus day delinquencies 1.33% vs. 1.37% last month The Federal Housing Finance Agency and the U.S. Department of Treasury suspend certain parts of the 2021 Preferred Stock Purchase Agreement with Fannie Mae (FNMA) and Freddie Mac (FMCC). “This suspension will provide FHFA time to review the extent to which these requirements are redundant or inconsistent with existing FHFA standards, policies, and directives that mandate sustainable lending standards,” said Acting Director Sandra L. Thompson CPI Card Group ($PMTS) files to sell 6.56M shares of common stock for holders Healthcare Dice Molecules Holdings ($DICE) 12M share IPO priced at $17.00 Procept BioRobotics ($PRCT)56M share IPO price $25.00 Tyra Biosciences ($TYRA)8M share IPO priced at $16.00 Pfizer ($PFE) is seeking FDA approval for use of its COVID-19 vaccine in children aged six months to five years, the Financial Times reports. The company is aiming to gain such approval in November Avalo Therapeutics ($AVTX)5M share Spot Secondary priced at $2.20 Sage Therapeutics ($SAGE) announced that the U.S. FDA has granted Fast Track Designation to SAGE-718 for development as a potential treatment for Huntington’s disease. Fast Track is a process designed to facilitate the development and review of new treatments for serious conditions with unmet medical need such as HD Theravance Biopharma ($TBPH) shares down over 30% after announcing its hypotension treatment did not meet main goal, halts non-respiratory disease related programs; also announces cost reduction program to focus on commercializing respiratory therapeutics to maximize shareholder value; will reduce the headcount by ~75%, which will result in annualized operating expense savings of ~$165M in 2022; Unicycive Therapeutics ($UNCY) will be added as a member of the Russell Microcap Index as part of the 2021 Russell indexes reconstitution after the market opens on September 20, 2021 Technology, Media & Telecom Microsoft ($MSFT) board approves new share buyback of up to $60B in shares; raises quarterly dividend 11% to 62c per share Skillsoft ($SKIL) raises FY22 revenue view to $670M-$690M from $645M-$675M and boosts FY22 bookings view to $690M-$710M from $660M-$690M; reaffirms FY22 adjusted EBITDA view $155M-$175M Live Nation (LYV)23M share Spot Secondary priced at $86.90 CS Disco (LAW)5M share Secondary priced at $53.00 Aspen Group (ASPU) 1Q EPS ($0.03) vs est. ($0.05) on revs $19.4Mm vs est. $19.2Mm Bentley Systems, Incorporated ($BSY) announced that its Seequent business unit has acquired Canadian software company Minalytix, the developer of MX Deposit. Sonim Technologies ($SONM) said it plans to effect a one-for-ten reverse split of its issued and outstanding common stock, effective Sep.15.
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Tuesday, September 14, 2021 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow 39.00 0.11% 34,793 S&P 500 4.25 0.11% 4,464 Nasdaq 4.50 0.03% 15,434 U.S futures are looking flattish to slightly higher ahead of key inflation data later this morning, as the August Consumer Price Index (CPI) is expected to show a MoM increase of +0.4% and YoY rise 5.3% (which would mark a 4th straight month above 5%). The data could set the tone for the rest of the day as the 10-year Treasury yield is up 1.5 bps to 1.339% ahead of the data, while the dollar index is down slightly around 92.60. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index rose 222 points to 30,670, the Shanghai Index dropped -52 points (1.42%) to settle at 3,662 and the Hang Seng Index declined -311 points (1.21%) to 25,502. In Europe, the German DAX is up about 15 points to 15,720, while the FTSE 100 is down about -20 points to 7,050. On Monday, the S&P snapped its longest losing streak since February (5-days) while the blue-chip Dow Jones Industrial produced its best daily gain since early August as investors bought energy and financial assets to start the week. The Dow closed up by about 262 points, or 0.8%, to 34,870, halting a five-session skid and notching its best point and percentage advance since Aug. 5. The S&P 500 index climbed 10 points, or 0.2%, to around 4,469, also ending a five-session slide. The Nasdaq Composite Index slipped 0.1% at around 15,106, extending its string of declines to four straight sessions, representing the longest such skid since a five-session slump ended July 19. Of note later today, investors await AAPL’s first fall event at 1PM ET / 10AM PT, with expectations for a new iPhone, and updates on other products. Events Calendar for Today 6:00 AM ET NFIB Small Business Optimism for Aug 7:45 AM ET ICSC Weekly Retail Sales 8:30 AM ET Consumer Price Index (CPI) MoM for Aug…est. +0.4% 8:30 AM ET Consumer Price Index (CPI) YoY for Aug…est. +5.3% 8:30 AM ET CPI Core: Ex: Food & Energy MoM for Aug…est. +0.4% 8:30 AM ET CPI Core: Ex: Food & Energy YoY for Aug…est. +4.2% 8:55 AM ET Johnson/Redbook Weekly Sales 4:30 PM ET API Weekly Inventory Data Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: A LOT, CNM, FCEL, PETM Earnings After the Close: ASPU, EWCZ, IBEX, SKIL Other Key Events: Apple (AAPL) announces product launch event today China Retail Sales and Industrial Output for Aug Barclay’s Financial Services Conference (virtual) 2021, 9/13-9/15 BMO Capital 2021 Real Estate Conference (virtual), 9/13-9/14 Citigroup 2021 Global Technology Conference (virtual), 9/13-9/15 Cowen 2nd Annual Health, Wellness & Beauty Summit (virtual), 9/13-9/14 Credit Suisse 34th Annual Basic Materials Conference (virtual), 9/13-9/14 Deutsche Bank 11th Annual Aircraft, Finance & Leasing Conference, 9/13-9/14, in NY JPMorgan Gaming, Lodging, Restaurant & Leisure Management Forum, 9/13-9/14 Piper Global Technology Conference (virtual), 9/13-9/14 Piper 2021 D.C. Bank Field Trip, 9/13-9/15 Baird Global Healthcare Conference 2021 (virtual), 9/14-9/15 Barclay’s Financial Services Conference (virtual) 2021, 9/13-9/15 HC Wainwright 23rd Annual Global Investment Conference (virtual), 9/13-9/15 Jefferies Software Conference (virtual), 9/14-9/15 Lake Street 5th Annual Best Ideas Growth Conference (virtual), 9/14-9/15 Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index gained 10.15 points, or 0.23%, to 4,468.73 The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 261.91 points, or 0.76%, to 34,869.63 The Nasdaq Composite slipped -9.91 points, or 0.07%, to 15,105.58 The Russell 2000 Index advanced 13.24 points, or 0.59% to 2,240.78 Macro Up/Down Last Nymex 0.56 71.01 Brent 0.61 74.13 Gold -7.10 1,786.65 EUR/USD -0.0004 1.1807 JPY/USD 0.10 110.09 10-Year Note +0.015 1.338% World News UK July Employment Change higher at 183k vs 178k consensus while UK July Unemployment Rate in-line at 4.6% Japan July Industrial O/P in line fell -1.5% m/m and 13.3% y/y; Japan July Capacity Utilization -3.4% vs 6.2% previous Sector News Breakdown Consumer Herbalife Nutrition ($HLF) cuts Q3 EPS and sales view; cuts FY21 revenue view to 4.5%-8.5% from 8.5%-12.5% and EPS to $4.55-$4.95 from $4.70-$5.10 (est. $4.99) saying they recently observed lower than expected levels of activity amongst its independent distributors that has led to a decrease in expected third quarter and full year net sales AMZN ($AMZN) has increased its average starting wage in the United States to more than $18 an hour, a ~6% hike, and plans to hire another 125,000 warehouse and transportation workers, according to Reuters Figs ($FIGS) files to sell 8.83M shares of Class A common stock for holders Volt information Sciences ($VOLT) 3Q adj EPS $0.05 vs est. $0.04 on revs $217.5Mm vs est. $213Mm Energy, Industrials, Materials The Pentagon has awarded Lockheed Martin Corp ($LMT) annualized contracts for 2021 and option years 2022 and 2023, worth up to $6.6 billion to support operations and sustainment of the global F-35 fleet, its F-35 Joint Program Office said Exelon ($EXC) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Mizuho and raise tgt to $53 from $47.50 Matrix Service Company ($MTRX) 4Q adj EPS ($0.40) vs est. ($0.03) on revs $174.9Mm vs est. $177.2Mm, backlog as of June 30 was $462.6Mm; says award activity in the first quarter of fiscal 2022 has accelerated and we are expecting increasing awards and improving backlog as we move through the fiscal year MP Materials ($MP) announces offering of 4M shares of common stock for holders Financials Intuit ($INTU) said it would buy email marketing company Mailchimp for about $12 billion in a cash-and-stock deal (confirmed a late day WSJ report that INTU was in works to acquire the company) AllianceBernstein L.P. ($AB) said preliminary assets under management increased to $761 billion during August 2021 from $748 billion at the end of July. Market appreciation and firmwide net inflows drove the 2% increase. In the month of August, net inflows to Retail and Institutions were partially offset by modest net outflows from Private Wealth. Discover Financial Services ($DFS) said credit card delinquency rate 0.92% at August end vs 0.93% at July end and credit card charge-off rate 1.14% at August end vs 1.09% at July end Invesco Ltd. ($IVZ) preliminary month-end assets under management ($AUM) of $1,562.7 billion, an increase of 2.2% versus previous month-end. Total net inflows were $13.6 billion. The firm achieved net long-term inflows of $8.4 billion this month. Manning & Napier, Inc. ($MN), reported preliminary assets under management as of August 31, 2021 of $22.7 billion, compared with $22.5 billion at July 31, 2021, and $22.3 billion at June 30, 2021. Opendoor Technologies ($OPEN) announces offering of 28M shares of common stock for holders Victory Capital Holdings, Inc. ($VCTR) reported assets under management ($AUM) of $164.9 billion as of August 31, 2021. Life Storage ($LSI)5M share $306M Spot Secondary offering priced at implied $122.40 Healthcare Incyte ($INCY) announces ruxolitinib cream data accepted for presentation at the 2021 European academy of dermatology and venereology (EADV) virtual congress KalVista Pharmaceuticals (KALV) announces the lifting of FDA clinical hold for phase 2 trial of KVD824 MaxCyte, Inc. ($MXCT) 2Q EPS ($0.05) vs est. ($0.07) on revs $7.1Mm vs est. $5.7Mm; guides FY revs about $30Mm vs est. $28.2Mm Akerna ($KERN) will acquire business management software system 365 Cannabis in a $17M deal; Akerna will pay $4M in cash and $13M in stock, with a potential earn-out of $8M. The transaction is expected to close in Q4. Avantor ($AVTR)83M share Secondary priced at $42.00 Technology, Media & Telecom Oracle ($ORCL) Q1 adj EPS $1.03 vs. est. $0.97; Q1 revs $9.73B vs. est. $9.77B; Q1 Cloud Services and License Support Revenue $7.37B, Q1 Cloud License And On-Premise License Revenue $813M; Q1 Hardware Revenue $763M and Q1 Services Revenue $781M; Q1 GAAP operating income was up 7% to $3.4 billion, and GAAP operating margin was 35%; Non-GAAP operating income was up 4% to $4.3 billion; sees Q2 EPS $1.09-$1.13 vs. est. $1.08 and sees Q2 revs up 3%-5% SeaChange Int’l ($SEAC) 2Q adj EPS loss ($0.03) vs est. ($0.09) on revs $6.5Mm vs est. $5Mm IAC/InterActiveCorp (IAC) said August revenue for ANGI up 21%, DotDash up 29%, search up 67%; said August rev for emerging and other up 33% Vimeo Inc. ($VMEO) August total rev up 33%, August average revenue per user up 15% Semiconductor equipment makers Advanced Energy ($AEIS), Applied Materials ($AMAT) and Lam Research ($LRCX) all downgraded to Neutral from Positive at Susquehanna, while the firm upgraded KLA Corp. ($KLAC) to Positive from Neutral at Susquehanna Sportradar ($SRAD) 19M share IPO priced at $27.00
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Monday, September 13, 2021 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow 233.00 0.68% 34,724 S&P 500 27.25 0.61% 4,476 Nasdaq 80.50 0.52% 15,514 Stock futures are looking sharply higher, with the S&P trying to snap its longest losing streak since February (5-days currently) ahead of key economic data this week (CPI and retail sales). Stocks are recovering despite a handful of negative headlines this weekend including a WSJ article that House Dems are considering a 26.5% corporate tax rate from 21.5% with a 3% surtax on individual incomes over $3m, & increasing higher rate capital gains tax to 28.8% from 23.8%. Also this weekend, Sen. Joe Manchin said this weekend he would not vote for the $3.5 trillion budget bill, adding that there’s “no way” to meet the September 27 deadline. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index gained 65 points to 30,447, the Shanghai Index rose 12 points to 3,715 and the Hang Seng Index dropped -392 points (1.5%) to settle at 25,813. In Europe, the German DAX is surging over 175 points (1.1%) to 15,785, while the FTSE 100 is up over 50 points to 7,075. Stocks slipped all last week as the S&P fell 1.7%, the Dow lost 2.15%, the Nasdaq shed 1.61% as the S&P 500 extended its losing streak to 5-days, the longest since the middle of February. The S&P 500 has rallied over 38% without a 5%+ pullback over the last 309 calendar days. With the European Central Bank offering only a partial tapering of its bond purchases last week, while boosting growth forecasts, investors are now looking at an autumn glide path for stocks based on a similar move by the Federal Reserve later this month. Markets will closely watch the CPI inflation reading after another rise in producer prices (PPI) late last week. Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index dropped -34.70 points, or 0.77%, to 4,458.58 The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell -271.66 points, or 0.78%, to 34,607.72 The Nasdaq Composite dropped -132.76 points, or 0.87%, to 15,115.49 The Russell 2000 Index declined -21.58 points, or 0.96% to 2,227.55 Events Calendar for Today 2:00 PM ET Federal Budget for August Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: NSSC, SEAC Earnings After the Close: AVO, CSBR, EPM, ICMB, MTRX, ORCL, RFIL, VOLT Other Key Events: Barclay’s Financial Services Conference (virtual) 2021, 9/13-9/15 BMO Capital 2021 Real Estate Conference (virtual), 9/13-9/14 Citigroup 2021 Global Technology Conference (virtual), 9/13-9/15 Cowen 2nd Annual Health, Wellness & Beauty Summit (virtual), 9/13-9/14 Credit Suisse 34th Annual Basic Materials Conference (virtual), 9/13-9/14 Deutsche Bank 11th Annual Aircraft, Finance & Leasing Conference, 9/13-9/14, in NY JPMorgan Gaming, Lodging, Restaurant & Leisure Management Forum, 9/13-9/14 Piper Global Technology Conference (virtual), 9/13-9/14 Piper 2021 D.C. Bank Field Trip, 9/13-9/15 Wells Fargo 10th Annual Lease REIT Forum (virtual), 9/13 Macro Up/Down Last Nymex 0.96 70.68 Brent 0.86 73.78 Gold +0.90 1,788.50 EUR/USD -0.0033 1.1781 JPY/USD 0.18 110.12 10-Year Note -0.005 1.336% World News House Democrats expect to propose raising the corporate tax rate to 26.5% from 21% and imposing a 3-percentage-point surtax on individual income above $5 million, according to two House Democratic aides familiar with the plans, the WSJ reported. The tax increases would be part of the House Ways and Means Committee’s plans to pay for the party’s priorities in a fast-moving budget bill. Those items include an expanded child tax credit, a national paid-leave program and renewable-energy tax breaks. Joe Manchin said this weekend he would not vote for the $3.5 trillion budget bill, adding that there’s “no way” to meet the September 27 deadline set by House Speaker Nancy Pelosi. Manchin’s comments come as lawmakers work to approve the measure which would invest in climate policy and expand social programs North Korea carried out successful tests of a new long-range cruise missile over the weekend, state media said on Monday Sector News Breakdown Consumer Homebuilders R. Horton ($DHI) and Meritage $(MTH) still look like relative bargains according to Barron’s saying when it comes to builders, book value may no longer be the only metric to look at. DHI, MDC and MTH look historically cheap based on current price/earnings, noting Wall Street analysts see double-digit gains ahead Boston Beer ($SAM) shares tumbled this week after warning of decelerating had seltzer category, with Barron’s saying with the stock now worth less than half what it was at its peak, it might be time to take a look at shares. The stock now looks to have support near $500, around its June 2020 lows. If that level holds, buying the stock in the low $500s could turn out to be a smart bet Toyota Motor Corp ($TM) and Honda Motor Co ($HMC) on Saturday sharply criticized a proposal by Democrats in the U.S. House of Representatives to give union-made electric vehicles in the United States an additional $4,500 tax incentive. Leslie’s ($LESL) files to sell 13M shares of common stock for holders MGM Resorts ($MGM) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Bernstein Nike ($NKE) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at BTIG Stanley Black & Decker ($SWK) announced that it has entered into a definitive agreement to acquire Excel Industries for $375 million in cash. Energy, Industrials and Materials Virgin Galactic ($SPCE) said this weekend that the flight window for Unity 23 will be pushed back to mid-October at the earliest after a third-party supplier flagged a potential manufacturing defect in a component of the flight control actuation system. It is not yet known if the defect is present in any of Virgin’s vehicles or any repair work will be needed. Kansas City Southern (KSU) said on Sunday it planned to accept Canadian Pacific Railway’s ($CP) $27.2 billion cash-and-stock acquisition offer as superior to its $29.6 billion deal to sell itself to Canadian National Railway ($CNI), according to Reuters. Canadian National now has until the end of Friday to submit a better offer or lose its deal with Kansas City Southern. Rocket Lab USA ($RKLB) mentioned cautiously in Barron’s saying after a strong run for shares, it’s time to think about taking some profits. Recent positive news has sent shares skyrocketing, leaving even the most bullish investors wondering that to do next Atlas Air Worldwide ($AAWW) subsidiary, Atlas Air completes five-year joint collective bargaining agreement for its Atlas Air and Southern Air pilots. Trane Technologies ($TT) signed an agreement to acquire Farrar Scientific, a leader in ultra-low temperature control for biopharmaceutical and other life science applications for $250M US Well Services ($USWS) said it received written notice from the Nasdaq on Sept 7 indicating it had failed to comply with the minimum closing bid price requirement rule and will therefore be de-listed Louisiana declared a state of emergency ahead of Tropical Storm Nicholas Financials Beijing wants to break up Alipay, the hugely popular payments app owned by Jack Ma’s Ant Group, and create a separate app for the company’s highly profitable loans business, the Financial Times reported on Sunday. The plan will also see Ant turn over the user data that underpins its lending decisions to a new credit scoring joint-venture, which will be partly state-owned, the newspaper reported TransUnion ($TRU) said it has agreed to buy information-services company Neustar Inc. for $3.1 billion in cash, a move that sets the consumer-credit reporting giant to diversify beyond its core business and put data to new uses. The Chicago-based company Monday said it is buying Neustar from a private investment group led by Golden Gate Capital https://on.mktw.net/3tBRVou SVB Financial Group ($SIVB) mentioned positively in Barron’s saying the bank stands out in the stodgy world of banking because of its unusual role as a leading lender to innovative tech start-ups. While some banks have struggled to grow their loan book over the past year, SVB had 8% QoQ growth in loan balances, reflecting strong activity in the tech and healthcare sectors KeyCorp (KEY) sold its $3.2B indirect retail auto loan portfolio to a vehicle managed by a subsidiary of Waterfall Asset Management, and will use capital generated by the sale to buy back some of its stock. Healthcare Dynavax ($DVAX) shares slide -16%; as the British government ends a COVID-19 vaccine supply deal with French vaccine maker Valneva SE, alleging a breach of obligations that Valneva denies. Valneva is developing its COVID-19 vaccine, VLA2001, combined with DVAX’s adjuvant or vaccine booster, CpG 1018 AbbVie ($ABBV) and REGENXBIO ($RGNX) form a strategic partnership combining eye care and gene therapy expertise- Companies will develop and commercialize RGX-314, an investigational gene therapy for wet age-related macular degeneration, diabetic retinopathy and other chronic retinal diseases- REGENXBIO to receive $370 million upfront payment Leap Therapeutics ($LPTX) said it will be presenting initial data from the first-line cohort of the DisTinGuish study, a Phase 2a clinical trial evaluating Leap’s anti-Dickkopf-1, or DKK1, antibody, DKN-01, in combination with tislelizumab, BeiGene’s anti-PD-1 antibody, and chemotherapy, in patients with gastric or gastroesophageal junction cancer, at the European Society for Medical Oncology, or ESMO, Congress, being held virtually on September 16-21 MiMedx Group (MDXG) shares fall -19% as reports Top-line Data from Two Late-Stage Musculoskeletal Trials. Top-line results from an interim analysis of the Phase 2B trial for KOA did not meet primary endpoints. Top-line results from Phase 3 Plantar Fasciitis trial did not meet its primary endpoints. Israel is considering a fourth round of coronavirus vaccines, Bloomberg News reported, citing an interview a health ministry official. mostly uses the vaccine made by Pfizer ($PFE) and BioNTech ($BNTX), but also uses Moderna ($MRNA) Hepion Pharmaceuticals ($HEPH) schedules conference call to review data from phase 2a ‘AMBITION’ clinical trial of CRV431 in NASH; it expects to release additional data from its Phase 2a ‘AMBITION’ NASH clinical trial before the market opens on Monday, September 13, 2021. Technology, Media & Telecom Cisco ($CSCO mentioned in Barron’s noting the company is meeting with analysts on Wednesday for the first time in four year and the session could make or break the shares. The networking giant’s sales suffered last year as companies cut information technology spending early in the pandemic. But the trend has reversed in Cisco’s favor ViacomCBS Inc ($VIAC) is revamping the operations of its Paramount Pictures movie and television production unit under a broader management shake-up, the Wall Street Journal reported on Sunday, citing people familiar with the matter. The realignment will see Paramount Television expected to focus primarily on making content for its sister cable and streaming networks Canon ($CAJ) announced that it has reached an agreement with Redlen Technologies to conclude a share transfer agreement, making Redlen a wholly owned subsidiary of Canon
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By Carolyn Cohn LONDON/HONG KONG (Reuters) - World stocks edged away from the previous session's record highs and European stocks dropped on Wednesday on uncertainty over the pace of economic recovery, while the dollar hit one-week highs as investors reduced exposure to riskier assets. U.S. S&P futures eased 0.1% after the S&P 500 fell 0.34% on Tuesday. Accommodative central bank policies and optimism about reopening economies have pushed equities to record highs but concerns are growing about the impact of rising coronavirus infections due to the Delta variant. Markets are also still assessing data from last week which showed the U.S. economy created the fewest jobs in seven months in August, and wondering how the U.S. central bank will respond. The Fed should move forward with a plan to taper its massive asset purchase programme despite the slowdown in job growth, St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank President James Bullard said in an interview with the Financial Times on Wednesday. "Everything is tapering, tapering, tapering. We are looking at every single central bank - when is the next one?" said Eddie Cheng, head of international multi-asset portfolio management at Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC) Asset Management, though he added: "The Delta variant impact is still running like a wild card". MSCI's world equity index fell 0.17% after seven consecutive days of gains. European stocks hit their lowest in nearly three weeks and were down 0.69%. Britain's FTSE 100 struck two-week lows and were down 0.56%. "What is likely ahead of us is a continued but temporary deceleration of economic activity of one to three months which likely started in August," said Sebastien Galy, senior macro strategist at Nordea Asset Management. Fed officials John Williams and Robert Kaplan speak later on Wednesday. In Europe, markets are focused on whether the European Central Bank will this week begin to scale back its bond purchase programme. The dollar hit a one-week high against the single currency and was trading at $1.1819. It also reached a one-week peak against an index of currencies, recovering from recent five-week lows. It was trading at 92.67 on the index, up 0.15%. Yields on 10-year Treasury notes fell to 1.3529% compared to a U.S. close of 1.371% on Tuesday, retreating from this week's eight-week highs. Germany's 10-year Bund yield also hit eight-week highs before edging lower to -0.331%. "Fears that central banks might start to taper their asset purchases seems to have knocked away a little confidence, particularly given tomorrow’s ECB decision where many expect we’ll begin to see the start of that process, not least with inflation there running at its highest levels in almost a decade," Deutsche Bank (DE:DBKGn) analysts said in a note. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan fell 0.45%, having risen in each of the past eight sessions. Chinese blue chips dropped 0.41%, weighed down by recent soft data in the world's second-biggest economy. But Japan's Nikkei jumped 0.89% to a five-month high, helped by revised gross domestic product growth figures beating expectations. Bitcoin paused for breath after plunging 17% on Monday to a low of around $43,000 before recovering. It was last at $46,532, down 0.71%. U.S. crude oil jumped 1.38% to $69.30 a barrel and Brent crude rose 1.14% to $72.50 per barrel, with prices supported by a slow restart to production in the Gulf of Mexico after Hurricane Ida hit the region. Gold gained 0.17% to $1796.90 per ounce in line with the risk-averse mood and just below the psychologically key $1,800 level which it fell through in the previous session.
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By Alun John HONG KONG (Reuters) -Asian shares snapped eight successive sessions of gains on Wednesday, as fresh worries about slowing global growth prompted investors to reduce their exposure to riskier assets in a boost to safe-havens such as the U.S. dollar. In early European trades, FTSE futures were down 0.36%, pan-region Euro Stoxx 50 futures dropped 0.09%, but U.S. stock futures, the S&P 500 e-minis, gained 0.10%. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan fell 0.50% having stretched its gains in the past eight sessions. Bucking the regional trend, Japan's Nikkei gained 0.79% to a five-month high helped by revised gross domestic product growth figures beating expectations. [L4N2Q90R4] But overall sentiment in Asia mirrored weakness on Wall Street overnight. Australia slipped 0.35%, Hong Kong shed 0.24% and Chinese blue chips dropped 0.58%, also weighed down by recent soft data in the world's second-biggest economy. Medium-term prospects also continue to weigh on shares in Asia. The MSCI regional benchmark is still well off all-time highs, unlike equity markets in the U.S. and Europe. "The Asia Pacific region – following a zero-tolerance (coronavirus) pandemic policy and reliant on exports for growth - could underperform as global demand for goods softens and social distancing restrictions in many APAC cities are reimposed," said David Chao, Global Market Strategist, Asia Pacific (ex-Japan) at Invesco "This, coupled with the region's much lower vaccination rate, could lead to a continued cycle of lockdown and releases." Overnight the MSCI world equity index retreated from a record high after seven consecutive days of gains. U.S. shares had slipped, said analysts at ANZ in a note, on concerns that the U.S. economy may be starting to slow following the weaker-than-expected jobs data, while in Europe markets are focused on whether the European Central Bank will begin to scale back its bond purchase programme. The dollar was fairly steady in Asian trading, holding onto its overnight gains against a basket of its peers having risen from near a five week-low alongside benchmark U.S. treasury yields. Yields on 10-year Treasury notes were last at 1.3749% compared to a U.S. close of 1.371% on Tuesday, down from an eight-week high of 1.385% earlier in the day. Higher yields had hurt non-interest-bearing gold overnight, but the spot price gained 0.16% on Wednesday to $1796.89 per ounce in line with the risk-averse mood, edging back towards $1800 having fallen below the level in the previous session. [GOL/] Bitcoin paused for breath after plunging 17% on Monday to a low of around $43,000 before recovering. It was last at $46,300, down a more modest 1.24%. U.S. crude oil meanwhile ticked up 0.5% to $68.59 a barrel as Brent crude gained 0.31% to $71.94 per barrel, with prices supported by a slow production restart in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico after Hurricane Ida hit the region. [O/R]
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**4) BGFV )BIG FIVE SPORTING GOODS)** BGFV, is a similar case to BBIG as it is heavily shorted. This is a low float with over 37% of its float is in short interest. Keep in mind we cannot physically see all short seller's entries, but you can identify points in the price action where clearly price action would move above any short position holdings. Case in point, ATH/ near ATH is an example. Price level identified where short seller's P&L's would be affected is the $35 level where BGFV previous high's prior to 06/04/21 was near the $29 level, as the spike occurred due to BGFV having blowout earnings in back to back quarters' Fridays trading session saw the $35 level tested in aggressive nature with price was defended with large volume on the push down. Will be monitoring the break above $35 for a swing/ day trade for the opportunity for a squeeze. PT : $70 (High risk, high reward as their are multiple strategies that institutions can implement to minimize losses)
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By Julia Payne LONDON (Reuters) - Oil prices fell on Monday, extending losses after the world's top exporter Saudi Arabia cut crude contract prices for Asia over the weekend, reflecting well-supplied global markets and concerns over the demand outlook. Brent crude futures for November fell 28 cents, or 0.39%, to $72.33 per barrel by 1229 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude for October was at $69.04 a barrel, down 25 cents, or 0.36%. Both contracts were down more than $1 in earlier trade. State oil group Saudi Aramco (SE:2222) notified customers in a statement on Sunday that it will cut October official selling prices (OSPs) for all crude grades sold to Asia, its biggest buying region, by at least $1 a barrel. The price cuts were larger than expected, based on a Reuters poll of Asian refiners. "The cut in Saudi OSPs to Asia provided a brief downside pressure this morning, which the market is recovering from," Tamas Varga at PVM Oil Associates said. "The monthly EIA report (U.S. government data) due out Wednesday will be eagerly watched and in case demand estimates for the balance of this year and for 2022 remain solid the market could easily edge towards the high seen in July." Global oil supplies are increasing as the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and their allies, a grouping known as OPEC+, is raising output by 400,000 barrels per day each month between August and December. "Given that OPEC+ is continuing its plan to raise production monthly, despite weak data from China and the U.S. raising slowdown fears, and Saudi Arabia looking for market share in the region, oil is likely to remain under pressure," said Jeffrey Halley, a senior market analyst for Asia Pacific at brokerage OANDA. The decline in crude futures added to falls on Friday after a weaker than expected U.S. jobs report indicated a patchy economic recovery that could mean slower fuel demand during a resurgent pandemic. Losses were capped by concerns that U.S. supply would remain limited in the wake of Hurricane Ida. The U.S. government is releasing crude from strategic petroleum reserves as production in the U.S. Gulf Coast struggled to recover. Some 1.7 million barrels of oil and 1.99 billion cubic feet of natural gas output remained offline, government data released on Friday showed, while power shortages are preventing some refineries from resuming operations. The hurricane also led U.S. energy firms last week to cut the number of oil and natural gas rigs operating for the first time in five weeks, data from Baker Hughes showed on Friday. The oil rig count fell the most since June 2020.
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By Wayne Cole SYDNEY (Reuters) - Asian shares reached six-week peaks on Monday as the chance of low rates for longer in the United States combined with talk of more stimulus in Japan and China, while oil slid as the Saudis cut prices for Asian customers. A holiday in the United States made for thin conditions but MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan still added 0.4% to the highest since late July. Japan's Nikkei gained 1.8% to a five-month top, extending a rally on hopes a new prime minister there would bring added fiscal spending. Chinese blue chips rose 1.7% amid speculation Beijing would also be adding stimulus through fiscal and monetary policy. Nasdaq futures inched up 0.1%, while S&P 500 futures held steady. EUROSTOXX 50 futures and FTSE futures were little moved. Investors were still assessing the fallout from the September payrolls report, which showed a much smaller increase in jobs than expected, but also a pick up in wages. The latter was enough to nudge longer-dated Treasury yields higher and steepen the yield curve, even as markets speculated the Federal Reserve might start tapering later. "Employment decelerated sharply in August, with little indication of a pickup in labour supply," said Barclays (LON:BARC) economist Jonathan Millar. "This puts the Fed in a quandary as it balances risks of a sharp demand slowdown against those of tight supply and inflation." "We still expect the Fed to signal tapering in September, but now expect it to begin in December not November. QE will likely end by the middle of 2022." The rise in U.S. 10-year yields to 1.32% limited some of the pressure on the dollar from the poor payrolls print, though its index still touched a one-month low before steadying at 92.128. The dollar remained sidelined on the yen at 109.76, while the euro stood at $1.1881 after hitting a five-week top of $1.1908 on Friday. The European Central Bank holds its policy meeting this week and a number of policy hawks have been calling for a step back in their huge asset buying programme, though President Christine Lagarde has sounded more dovish. "We expect the ECB to announce a reduced pace of Q4 PEPP (pandemic emergency purchase programme) at its September meeting on the back of easier financial conditions," said analysts at TD Securities. "All other policy levers are likely to be left on hold, with inflation forecasts revised sharply up this year and next. Communication risks are high, and Lagarde will want to avoid sounding overly hawkish, instead emphasising 'persistence'." The prospect of a later start to Fed tapering was positive for non-yielding gold, which stood at $1,827 an ounce, having reached its highest since mid-June at $1,833.80. Oil slid after Saudi Arabia slashed prices of all crude grades to Asian customers, while leaving prices to northwestern Europe and the United States steady. [O/R] Brent fell 84 cents to $71.77 a barrel, while U.S. crude lost 78 cents to $68.51.
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UK Markets Finished mixed yesterday, as gains in energy sector stocks were offset by losses in property sector stocks. CMC Markets tumbled 27.4%, after the online trading platform cut its earnings outlook for the full year. Auction Technology Group declined 10.2%, following news that TA Associates and ECI Partners sold around 12.6 million shares in the company through a placing. Barratt Developments dropped 4.5%, even though the company reported a jump in its annual profit. On the flip side, Energean climbed 7.3%, after the gas explorer announced that its interim losses narrowed, after reporting better than expected production. Melrose Industries advanced 7.2%, after the engineering firm swung to a profit in the first half of 2021. Homeserve added 3.3%, after a top broker upgraded its rating on the stock to ‘Overweight’ from ‘Equal Weight’. Wizz Air Holdings rose 1.8%, after the airline operator reported a rise in passengers in August. The FTSE 100 advanced 0.2%, to close at 7,163.9, while the FTSE 250 fell 0.1%, to end at 24,226.3. . European Markets Finished higher yesterday, amid strong corporate quarterly earnings reports and optimism over economic recovery. Swedish Orphan Biovitrum surged 25.8%, following news that US venture capital firm, Advent International and Aurora Investment offered to acquire the drugmaker for $8.0 billion. Lagardere rose 1.9%. The media company announced that it would sell a part of stake of its subsidiary company, Lagardere Travel Retail Asia to e-commerce company, JD.com. On the other hand, Alstom fell 3.4%. The speed-train maker announced that it would supply 35 additional Citadis tramways to Lyon’s Public Transport Authority, SYTRAL. The FTSEurofirst 300 index added 0.3%, to close at 1,827.5. Among other European markets, the German DAX Xetra 30 rose 0.1%, to close at 15,840.6, while the French CAC-40 advanced 0.1%, to settle at 6,763.1. . US Markets Closed higher yesterday, after the US weekly jobless claims declined more than expected. ChargePoint Holdings climbed 8.2%, after the company reported an increase in its revenue in the third quarter and lifted its annual revenue guidance. Signet Jewelers advanced 5.7%, after the company reported better than expected revenue and earnings in the second quarter and raised its annual outlook. Hill-Rom Holdings rose 4.7%, after the medical equipment maker agreed to be acquired by medical products maker, Baxter International for a cash consideration of $10.5 billion. On the other hand, Five Below declined 13.0%, after the company reported lower than expected revenue in the second quarter. C3.ai dropped 10.2%, after the software company reported wider than expected loss in the first quarter. The S&P 500 added 0.3% to settle at 4,537.0. The DJIA rose 0.4% to settle at 35,443.8, while the NASDAQ advanced 0.1%, to close at 15,331.2. . Asian Markets Were trading mostly higher this morning. In Japan, Terumo and IHI have advanced 2.8% and 3.2%, respectively. Meanwhile, Toyobo and JTEKT have dropped 0.4% and 1.2%, respectively. In Hong Kong, Tencent Holdings and BYD have fallen 1.2% and 2.1%, respectively. Meanwhile, CSPC Pharmaceutical and CNOOC have risen 1.7% and 2.5%, respectively. In South Korea, TCC Steel and Dual have climbed 7.6% and 13.7%, respectively. Meanwhile, Duksung and Seoyon have declined 5.6% and 6.5%, respectively. The Nikkei 225 index is trading 0.9% higher at 28,787.4. The Hang Seng index is trading 0.5% down at 25,961.8, while the Kospi index is trading 0.7% higher at 3,196.6. . Commodity Gold futures contract is trading 0.32% or $5.80 higher at $1815.20 per ounce, amid weakness in the US Dollar. Yesterday, the contract declined 0.24% or $4.40, to settle at $1809.40 per ounce, . Brent crude oil one month futures contract is trading 0.1% or $0.07 higher at $73.10 per barrel, ahead of the weekly US oil rig count data by Baker Hughes, scheduled to be released later today. Yesterday, the contract climbed 2.01% or $1.44, to settle at $73.03 per barrel, amid optimism over crude demand recovery. . Currency GBP is trading marginally higher against the USD at $1.3833, ahead of UK’s services PMI for August, due in a few hours. Yesterday, the GBP strengthened 0.46% versus the USD, to close at $1.3833. . EUR is trading marginally higher against the USD at $1.1878, ahead of the Euro-zone’s services PMI for August and retail sales data for July, along with Germany’s services PMI for August, due in a few hours. Additionally, investors await the US nonfarm payrolls, average hourly earnings, unemployment rate and the services PMI, all for August, scheduled to release later today. Yesterday, the EUR strengthened 0.3% versus the USD, to close at $1.1875. On the data front, Euro-zone’s producer price index (PPI) advanced more than market forecast in July. In other economic news, the US initial jobless claims declined to its lowest level since March 2020 in the week ended 27 August 2021. Further, the US factory orders climbed more than expected in July, while the nation’s trade deficit narrowed in the same month. . Bitcoin BTC is trading 1.01% lower against the USD at $49060.05. Yesterday, BTC advanced 2.67% against the USD to close at $49562.10. In a key development, blockchain-based music streaming platform, Audius announced the launch of full Salona NFT integration to allow its users to start featuring digital collectibles from the Solana library. In another development, US based blockchain startup, Simba Chain announced that it has secured $25.0 million through a series A funding round to expand its business and to tap new opportunities like nonfungible tokens. . Economic News . Euro-zone PPI advanced more than expected in July In the Euro-zone, the PPI jumped 12.10% on YoY basis in July, compared to an advance of 10.20% in the previous month. Markets were expecting the PPI to climb 11.00%. . US factory orders climbed more than expected in July In the US, factory orders advanced 0.40% on a MoM basis in July, compared to a rise of 1.50% in the prior month. Markets were expecting factory orders to record a rise of 0.30%. . US initial jobless claims dropped more than market forecast in the week ended 27 August 2021 In the US, the number of initial jobless claims fell to a level of 340.00 K in the week ended 27 August 2021, compared to a revised level of 354.00 K in the prior week. Markets were expecting the initial jobless claims to fall to a level of 345.00 K. . US goods trade deficit narrowed in July In the US, trade deficit narrowed to $70.05 billion in July, compared to a revised deficit of $73.23 billion in the previous month. Market expectations were for the nation to record a deficit of $71.00 billion. . Chinese Markit services PMI index dropped in August In China, the Markit services PMI index registered a drop to 46.70 in August, compared to a reading of 54.90 in the previous month.
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Thursday, September 2, 2021 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow 45.00 0.13% 35,335 S&P 500 6.25 0.14% 4,527 Nasdaq 29.50 0.19% 15,638 Stock index futures are indicating a higher open with rates edging down (10-year drops back below 1.3%) as investors await another set of numbers on the labor market in the form of weekly jobless claims, ahead of Friday’s payrolls report (which followed a weaker private payroll report from ADP yesterday). A brutal night across the Northeast saw tornado watches and flash flood warnings for parts of the Tri-State Area as remnants of Hurricane Ida brought in heavy winds and drenching rains that turned major highways into rivers and even showed water rushing through Newark Liberty International Airport, canceling all flights there. The tail-end of hurricane Ida dumped a “record breaking” amount of rain over New York and New Jersey putting both areas into states of emergency. Hurricane Ida, which devastated Louisiana this week, could mobilize lawmakers to pass the bipartisan $1T infrastructure bill, which is making its way through Congress. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index rose 92 points to 28,543, he Shanghai Index climbed 29 points to 2,597, and the Hang Seng Index advanced 62 points to settle at 26,090. In Europe, markets are quiet as the German DAX is flat at 15,825, while the FTSE 100 is down a few points to 7,145. Bitcoin prices moved back above the $50K level overnight, last trading up 3.3% around $49,900 in a rebound for crypto; Ethereum prices up modestly after outperformance Wednesday, last around $3,750. Crude is rising after OPEC+ ministers’ unity reinforced market stability Events Calendar for Today 7:30 AM ET Challenger Layoffs for Aug 8:30 AM ET Weekly Jobless Claims…est. 345K 8:30 AM EST Continuing Claims…est. 2.775M 8:30 AM ET International Trade for July…est. (-$71.0B) 8:30 AM ET Nonfarm Productivity, Q2…est. 2.4% 8:30 AM ET Unit Labor Costs for Q2…est. 0.9% 10:00 AM ET Factory Orders MoM for July…est. 0.3% 10:00 AM ET Durable Goods Orders MoM for July 10:30 AM ET Weekly EIA Natural Gas Inventory Data Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: AEO, BNED, BRC, CIEN, DCI, DLTH, GCO, GIII, GMS, JRL, JW/A, KIRK, LE, MCFT, MEI, SCWX, SIG, TTC Earnings After the Close: AVGO, COO, CTHR, CTLP, DOCU, GWRE, HPE, JOAN, LAW, MDB, MDLA, MEIP, NX, OOMA, OXM, PD, SAIC, TLYS, YEXT Other Key Events: Barclay’s Media & Telecom Forum (virtual), 9/1-9/2 Stephens Auto investor Field Trip, 9/1-9/2 Caixin Services PMI for Aug Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index gained 1.41 points, or 0.03%, to 4,524.09 The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell -48.20 points, or 0.14%, to 35,312.53 The Nasdaq Composite climbed 50.15 points, or 0.33%, to 15,309.38 The Russell 2000 Index advanced 13.28 points, or 0.58% to 2,287.06 Macro Up/Down Last Nymex 0.36 68.95 Brent 0.38 71.97 Gold 1.50 1,815.40 EUR/USD 0.0015 1.1854 JPY/USD 0.00 110.01 10-Year Note -0.013 1.289% Sector News Breakdown Consumer Chewy ($CHWY) shares fell -10%; 2Q adj EBITDA $23.3Mm vs est. 34.4Mm on sales $2.16B vs est. $2.2B; sees FY net sales $8.9B-$9.0B vs. est. $9.0B Costco ($COST) reported total comparable sales for Aug. that beat the average analyst estimate; Aug. total comparable sales +14.2%, estimate +12.5%; Aug. U.S. comparable sales excluding fuel, currencies +10.1%, estimate +7.10% Five Below ($FIVE) shares fell -9%; 2Q EPS $1.15 vs est. $1.11 on sales $646.6Mm vs est. $648.3Mm; guides 3Q net sales $550-565Mm on +MSD comps vs est. $551Mm, sees EPS $0.23-0.30 vs est. $0.27 Hormel Foods ($HRL) shares fall -4%; Q3 adj EPS $0.39, in-line with estimates; Q3 revs $2.86B vs. est. $2.73B; Q2 volume of 1.2B pounds, up 1%; organic volume down 2%; operating margin 7.2%; cuts FY21 EPS view to $1.65-$1.69 from $1.70-$1.82, while raises FY21 revenue view to $11B-$11.2B from $10.2B-$10.8B Chinese regulators summoned 11 ride-hailing firms including DIDI Global ($DIDI) to discuss concerns related to the sector; China’s transport ministry highlighted the hiring of unqualified drivers and use of promotions that disrupt fair market order during the meeting Sportsman’s Warehouse ($SPWH) Q2 adj EPS $0.44 vs. est. $0.48; Q2 sales $361.8M vs. est. $345.6M; said Q2 same store sales decreased 9.9% compared to the same period last year; For the first half of fiscal year 2021, same store sales increased 3.4% compared to the same period last year; Adjusted EBITDA was $35.2M compared to $53.6M in the comparable prior year period; not providing guidance Smith & Wesson Brands ($SWBI) Q1 adj EPS $1.57 vs. est. $1.29; Q1 revs $274.6M vs. est. $278.59M; record gross margin of 47.3% vs. 40.2% last year ChargePoint Holdings ($CHPT) rises 12%; 2Q EPS ($0.29) vs est. ($0.13) on revs $56.1Mm vs est. $49.1Mm, says activated ports exceed 118,000 with over 5,400 in Europe and over 3,700 DC fast charge ports; guides 3Q revs $60-65Mm vs est. $54.7Mm, sees FY revs $225-235Mm up from $195M-$205M vs est. $206.6Mm DraftKings ($DKNG) announced the launch of DraftKings Online Sportsbook in Wyoming, marking the thirteenth state in which its mobile sportsbook is available Tesla ($TSLA) now aims for Full Self-Driving Beta public release ~September 25th, Electrek reports https://electrek.co/2021/09/01/tesla-full-self-driving-beta-public-release-4-weeks/ Energy, Industrials and Materials Greif ($GEF) Q3 adj EPS $1.93 vs. est. $1.54; Q3 revs $1.49B vs. est. $1.39B; sees FY21 EPS $5.10-$5.30 vs. est. $4.63; sees FY21 adjusted free cash flow $335M-$365M Ingersoll Rand Inc. ($IR) authorized a new share repurchase program of $750 mln Exelon ($EXC) tells Illinois lawmakers and Gov. J.B. Pritzker to finalize an energy policy deal by September 13 or face the permanent closure of one of the state’s six nuclear power plants. Energy Transfer ($ET) signed a 15-year power purchase agreement to buy 120 MW of electricity from SoftBank’s ($SFTBY) Eiffel Solar project in northeast Texas; financial terms are not disclosed. General Electric ($GE) was awarded a not-to-exceed $1.65B firm-fixed-price, indefinite-delivery, performance-based logistics requirements contract for the repair, upgrade or replacement, inventory management, and required supply response times of 17 F414 engine components in support of the F/A-18 aircraft Virgin Galactic ($SPCE) slips after the U.S. Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) said on Wednesday it is investigating descent deviation of July 11 flight of SPCE rocket plane that carried British billionaire Richard Branson. FAA spokesman told Reuters vehicle “deviated from its Air Traffic Control clearance as it returned to Spaceport America. The FAA investigation is ongoing.” Donaldson ($DCI) Q4 EPS $0.66 in-line with estimates; Q4 revs $773.1M vs. est. $770.69M; sees FY22 EPS $2.50-$2.66 vs. est. $2.68; sees FY22 sales growth of 5%-10% (est. $3.12B) OPEC+ and its allies agreed yesterday to stick to their existing plan for gradual monthly oil-production increases after a video conference. Ministers ratified the 400,000 barrel-a-day supply hike scheduled for October after one of the quickest meetings in recent memory. Financials CIBC to become exclusive credit card issuer for Costco Mastercard’s in Canada and acquire existing Costco Canadian credit card portfolio Over the last six months SPACs have lost $75 billion. A group of 137 SPACs that closed mergers by mid-February have lost 25% of their combined value. At one point last month, the pullback topped $100 billion – WSJ Healthcare FDA AdComm to discuss Pfizer ($PFE) and BioNTech SE ($BNTX) application for COVID-19 Booster on September 17th Assembly Biosciences, Inc. ($ASMB) shares fall -20%, as the clinical-stage biotechnology company developing innovative therapeutics targeting hepatitis B virus ($HBV), today announced its decision to discontinue development of ABI-H2158 (2158) following the observation of elevated ALT levels consistent with drug-induced hepatotoxicity in an ongoing Phase 2 trial. Cannabis space: The newly inaugurated governor of New York says she wants to “jumpstart” the implementation of marijuana legalization—and she took a major step on Wednesday by making two key regulatory appointments for the state’s cannabis market that have now been confirmed in a Senate committee during a special session (watch shares of $TLRY, $CURLF, $GTBIF, $CRON) https://bit.ly/3jzhR0D Phreesia ($PHR) 2Q EPS ($0.48) vs est. ($0.10) on revs $51Mm vs est. $47.2Mm, says avg number of provider clients was 1,987 in qtr vs 1,668 prior year +19%; guides FY revs $195-198Mm vs est. $193.4Mm, continue to expect overall cash outflow to increase in FY22 vs FY21 NeoGenomics Inc ($NEO) files prospectus related to resale or other disposition of 4.4 mln shares by selling stockholders Ascendis Pharma ($ASND)5M share Secondary priced at $160.00 Technology, Media & Telecom Asana ($ASAN) Q2 adj EPS loss (-$0.23) vs. est. loss (-$0.26); Q2 revs $89.5M vs. est. $82.24M; sees Q3 adj EPS loss (27c)-(26c) vs. est. loss (-$0.28); sees Q3 revs $93M-$94M vs. est. $86.72M; raises FY22 revenue view to $357M-$359M from $336M-$340M (est. $338.81M); Revenues from customers spending $5,000 or more on an annualized basis grew 97% YoY; customers spending $50,000 or more on an annualized basis increased to 598, up 111% YoY ai ($AI) shares fell -10%; Q1 EPS loss (-$0.37) vs. est. loss (-$0.28); Q1 revs $52.4M vs. est. $51.16M; said Q1 included YoY increases of 29% in revenue and 31% in gross profit; sees Q2 revenue $56M-$58M vs. est. $56.12M; sees FY22 revenue $243M-$247M vs. est. $245.4M; Q1 Subscription revenue was $46.1M, up from $35.7M one year ago, an increase of 29% Yoy eGain ($EGAN) 4Q adj EPS $0.08 vs est. $0.03 on revs $20.2Mm vs est. $19.9Mm; guides 1Q adj EPS $0.02-0.05 vs est. $0.03, sees 1Q revs $20.9-21.3Mm vs est. $20.6Mm; guides FY revs $88.2-89.8Mm vs est. $87.1Mm; sees FY adj EPS ($0.03) to $0.00 vs est. $0.20 nCino ($NCNO) 2Q adj EPS ($0.02) vs est. ($0.06) on revs $66.5Mm vs est. $63.7Mm; guides 3Q adj net EPS loss $0.06-0.07 vs est. loss $0.06, sees 3Q revs $66-67Mm vs est. $65.1Mm; guides FY adj EPS net loss $0.22-0.23 vs est. loss $0.23, sees FY revs $263-264Mm vs est. $259.1Mm Nutanix ($NTNX) Q4 adj EPS loss (-$0.26) vs. est. loss (-$0.42); Q4 revs $390.7M vs. est. $362.88M; operating expenses topped revenue at $454.1M though rose from $432.3M a year ago; sees Q1 ACV Billings $172M-$177M Okta ($OKTA) Q2 adj EPS loss (-$0.11) vs. est. loss (-$0.35); Q2 revs $316M vs. est. $296.52M; sees Q3 adj EPS loss (25c)-(24c) vs. est. loss (-$0.34); sees Q3 revs $325M-$327M vs. est. $322.93M; raises FY22 adjusted EPS loss view (77c)-(74c) from ($1.16)-($1.13); Q2 revenue grew 57% year-over-year; subscription revenue grew 59% YoY; remaining performance obligations (RPO) grew 57% YoY to $2.24 billion Semtech ($SMTC) 2Q adj EPS $0.65 vs est. $0.62 on sales $185Mm vs est. $182.9Mm; guides 3Q adj EPS $0.68-0.76 vs est. $0.67 with adj gr margin 62.8-63.8%, adj SG&A $33.5-34.5Mm, adj R&D $32.5-33.5Mm Veev Systems ($VEEV) 2Q adj EPS $0.94 vs est. $0.87 on revs $455.6Mm vs est. $451.9Mm; guides 3Q adj EPS $0.87-0.88 vs est. $0.86, sees 3Q revs $464-466Mm vs est. $460Mm; guides FY revs $1.83-1.835B vs est. $1.823B, sees FY adj EPS about $3.57 vs est. $3.47 China’s Alibaba Group ($BABA) will invest 100 billion yuan ($15.5 billion) by 2025 in support of “common prosperity”, it said, becoming the latest corporate giant to pledge support for the initiative driven by President Xi Jinping Ireland hit Facebook’s ($FB) WhatsApp with a record 225 million euro ($266 million) fine on Thursday following an inquiry into the messaging app’s transparency around sharing personal data with other Facebook companies.
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By Wayne Cole SYDNEY (Reuters) - Asian share markets were in a cautious mood on Thursday as concerns grew over the Chinese economy after a run of soft data, while the risk of a sub par U.S. payrolls report kept the dollar on the defensive. A raft of manufacturing surveys suggested supply bottlenecks were tightening again with eight of nine Asian countries reporting longer delivery times. "The spread of the Delta variant amid still-low vaccination rates in many ASEAN economies and China's zero-tolerance Covid strategy have prompted governments to impose restrictions and order factory/port closures," warned analysts at Nomura. "Input shortages and low inventories will likely lead to production cuts and delayed shipments in Q3." The uncertainty kept Chinese blue chips flat, though speculation of more fiscal stimulus offered some support. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan eased 0.2% from a five-week high. Japan's Nikkei added 0.2%, while South Korea fell 0.9%. Nasdaq futures and S&P 500 futures were barely changed, while EUROSTOXX 50 futures and FTSE futures both dipped 0.1%. Wall Street has been preoccupied with second guessing U.S. August payrolls, due out on Friday, with the task made all the more uncertain by a disappointing reading on ADP private payrolls but a solid ISM survey of manufacturing. [nN9N2NL019[ Median forecasts are for a strong rise of 750,000 jobs, but they range from 375,000 to 1.02 million with the ADP report prompting speculation the risks are to the downside. Yet a soft number could be positive for risk assets since it would lessen pressure for an early tapering from the Federal Reserve. "A print closer to 400k rather than 800k effectively means that the Fed's condition of "further substantial progress" in the labour market will take longer to materialise, thus delaying the tapering decision from September to November," said Rodrigo Catril, a senior FX strategist at NAB. "Bad news in the labour market are good news for risk assets given the punchbowl will remain well liquefied for a bit longer." ECB HAWKS SOUND OFF Amid the jobs chatter, 10-year Treasury yields eased back to 1.30% and away from the recent top of 1.375%, while the U.S. dollar index touched a one-month low. The euro also reached its highest since early August at $1.1856 and was last holding steady at $1.1840. The single currency was aided by hawkish comments from Bundesbank President Jens Weidmann who cautioned against inflation risks and called for a slowdown in bond buying by the European Central Bank. In contrast, the Bank of Japan shows no sign of tapering its massive purchases as the country remains mired in a decades-long battle with deflation. That kept the dollar firm at 110.00 yen and comfortably within the tight 108.71 to 110.79 range that has lasted for the past two months. Commodities would likely benefit from any delay in Fed tapering, helping underpin gold at $1,812 an ounce but short of resistance around $1,823. Oil prices eased after OPEC+ agreed to stick to a policy of adding 400,000 barrels per day a month to the market, though it also defied pressure for an even larger increase. [O/R] "Ignoring calls from the White House for further barrel increases, we think that OPEC+ will stay on this current course unless there is a clear deterioration in the demand outlook," said analysts at RBC Capital Markets in a note. "Moreover, we reiterate that if there is a price bias for the majority of the OPEC+ membership, it is to the upside given the high fiscal breakevens of member states." Brent slipped 20 cents to $71.39 a barrel, while U.S. crude lost 27 cents to $68.32.
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this time i kept FIVE shares
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Next Dividend Date
Five Below is a leading high-growth value retailer o�ering trend-right, high-quality products loved by tweens, teens and beyond. They know life is way better when you're free to "let go & have fun" in an amazing experience �lled with unlimited possibilities. With most items priced $1-$5, and some extreme value items priced beyond $5, the company makes it easy to say YES! to the newest, coolest stu� across 8 awesome Five Below worlds: Style, Room, Sports, Tech, Create, Party, Candy and Now. Founded in 2002 and headquartered in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, Five Below today has over 1,050 stores in 38 states.
CEO: Thomas Vellios
HQ: 701 Market St Ste 300 Philadelphia, 19106 Pennsylvania