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Upside momentum continues with S&P futures edging higher, looking to make it a 9th straight day of gains overall, and the Nasdaq Composite looking at an 11th straight day of advances, with no signs of caution by investors heading into key inflation data today and tomorrow. The producer price index (PPI) for October is expected at 8:30 AM, and the consumer price index (CPI) tomorrow, but still no concerns exhibited in the bond market with the 10-year yield at its lowest level in 2-weeks around 1.45%, while gold prices are steady at $1,829 an ounce. The S&P 500 closed at an all-time high for the eighth consecutive session last night, extending the longest winning streak since 1997, as investors added the impact of $1 trillion in fresh government stimulus. That coupled with removed travel lockdowns, a strong earnings season, and positive vaccine news has boosted stocks over the last month. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index fell -0.75% to 29.285, the Shanghai Index gained 0.24% to settle at 3,507 and the Hang Seng Index rose 0.2% to 24,813. In Europe, the German DAX is up 45 points to 16,090, while the FTSE 100 rise 0.2% to 7,313. Stocks keep pushing higher, making new all time highs each day the past week for the Dow, Nasdaq, S&P 500 and Russell 2000. Events Calendar for Today 6:00 AM ET NFIB Small Business Optimism Index for Oct 7:45 AM ET ICSC Weekly Retail Sales 8:30 AM ET Producer Price Index MoM for October…est. 0.6% 8:30 AM ET Producer Price Index YoY for Oct…est. 8.7% 8:30 AM ET PPI Ex: Food & Energy MoM for October…est. 0.5% 8:30 AM ET PPI Ex Food & Energy YoY for October…est. 6.8% 8:55 AM ET Johnson/Redbook Weekly Sales 4:30 PM ET API Weekly Inventory Data Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: AFI, AGEN, APRN, BSY, CAH, CCO, CEVA, CNCE, CORR, CSII, CTG, DRNA, EBIX, ECOM, FSS, HAE, HAIN, HCI, HGV, HRMY, IGT, IIVI, ITCI, KPLT, MIDD, MRNS, MRSN, MSGE, OCGN, OSG, OWL, PLTR, PRPL, PRTY, SEAS, SSTI, STWD, SYY, TGI, VCEL, WHF, WKHS, WNC, WRK, XPEL Earnings After the Close: ACHV, AIRG, ALTO, ARLO, ASH, AVID, AXON, CALA, CCXI, CLPT, CNNE, COIN, CPRX, CPSI, CRIS, DAR, DASH,DNUT, DOCS, DSP, DV, EGAN, ELY, EPAY, EPM, EVBG, FC, FGEN, FLGT, FUBO, G, GO, HCKT, HYLN, ID, INO, KODK, LAW, LGND, LPRO, MCFE, MNKD, MODN, NVTS, OCX, ORGO, PAR, PAY, PAYS, PLUG, POSH, PUBM, PXLW, REI, RNG, RPAY, SAIL, SCSC, SEER, SGMS, SILK, SKIN, TMDX, TWNK, TWOU, U, UPST, VERI, VRM, VZIO, WES, WYNN Other Key Events: Baird 51st Annual Global Industrial Conference, 11/9-11/12 (virtual) Bank America 2021 Banking & Financials Conference, 11/9-11/10 (virtual) Cowen 7th Annual Software Bus Tour, 11/9/110 (virtual) Credit Suisse 30th Annual Healthcare Conference, 11/8-11/11 (virtual) JPMorgan Global Consumer, Retail & Luxury Conference, 11/8-11/11 (virtual) EEI Financial Conference, 11/7-11/9 (virtual) REITWorld 2021 Annual Conference, 11/9-11/12 (virtual) China PPI, CPI and M2 Money Supply for October Sector News Breakdown Consumer AMC Entertainment ($AMC) Q3 EPS ($0.44) vs est. ($0.53) on revenue $763.2M vs est. $708.3M; currently has liquidity availability over $1.8B, does not anticipate the need to borrow under revolver lines over the next 12 months CarLotz ($LOTZ) 3Q EPS ($0.03) vs est. ($0.21) on revs $68Mm vs est. $55.2Mm, will continue to open new hubs in 2022, though fewer than in 2021; says expects sequential qtrly improvement in retail units sold and retail GPU in 4Q Clarus Corp ($CLAR) 3Q adj EPS $0.50 vs est. $0.48 on sales $109Mm vs est. $106.1Mm; guides FY sales $362.5Mm vs est. $359.7Mm Freshpet ($FRPT) shares fell -14%; Q3 EPS (5c) vs est. 7c profit on revenue $107.6M vs est. $115.5M; now sees FY sales approx. $445M from prior guidance of sales exceeding $445M, adj EBITDA approx. $50M from prior view above $61M Hertz ($HTZZ)5M share Secondary priced at $29.00 R. Horton ($DHI) Q4 EPS $3.70 vs. est. $3.40; Q4 revs $8.1B vs. est. $7.94B; consolidated pre-tax profit margin improved 480 basis points to 21.3% and consolidated pre-tax income increased 63% to $1.7B; Q4 net sales orders down 33% to 15,949 homes; sees FY22 revenue $32.5B-$33.5B above consensus $32.22B International Flavors & Fragrances Inc. ($IFF) Q3 EPS $1.47 vs. est. $1.16; Q3 revs $3.07B vs. est. $2.61B; sees FY21 revs $11.55B vs. est. $10B; sees FY21 adjusted operating EBITDA margin 21% Inter Parfums ($IPAR) Q3 EPS $1.20 vs. est. $0.68; Q3 revs $263M vs. est. $262.69M; said our largest brands, notably Montblanc, Jimmy Choo, Coach, GUESS and Lanvin performed exceptionally well in the Q3 turning in gains of 26%, 40%, 98%, 27%, and 37%, respectively, as compared to 2019’s third quarter Jack Henry Associates ($JKHY) 1Q EPS $1.38 vs est. $1.32 on revs $488.1Mm vs est. $489.4Mm; guides FY adj revs $1.87-1.875B vs est. $1.91B, sees FY EPS $4.64-4.73 vs est. $4.59 Masonite ($DOOR) 3Q adj EPS $1.99 vs est. $1.87 on revs $652Mm vs est. $675Mm; guides FY adj EPS $7.95-8.25 vs est. $8.13, sees FY sales +15-17% vs est. +18.6% RealReal ($REAL) Q3 adj EPS ($0.47) vs est. ($0.50) on revenue $119M vs est. $113.3M, adj EBITDA ($31.5M) vs est. ($36M), gross profit per order $94 vs $90 YoY, GMV $368M was +50% vs 2020 and +46% vs 2019, orders 757k (+38% YoY) ThredUp ($TDUP) 3Q EPS ($0.15) vs est. ($0.16) on revs $63.3Mm vs est. $61.8Mm, qtrly active buyers 1.4Mm and orders 1.3Mm (+14% and 28%, respectively); guides 4Q revs $69-71Mm vs est. $62.8Mm Trex Company ($TREX) Q3 EPS $0.64 vs. est. $0.58; Q3 revs $336M vs. est. $325.6M; guides Q4 revs $295M-$305M vs. est. $276.3M; Net income grew 73% to $74M; diluted earnings per share of $0.64, up 73%; EBITDA grew 76% to $108M; EBITDA margin of 32.2% Energy, Industrials and Materials General Electric ($GE) to split into three public companies – GE Aviation, GE Healthcare, and the combined GE Renewable Energy, GE Power, and GE Digital businesses to become three industry-leading, global, investment-grade public companies Advanced Energy Industries, Inc. ($AEIS) Q3 adj EPS $0.89 vs. est. $0.82; Q3 revs $346.1M vs. est. $341.52M; sees Q4 adj EPS 92c plus/minus 25c vs. est. $1.12; sees Q4 revs $355M plus/minus $20M vs. est. $373.09M. Amyris, Inc. ($AMRS) shares fell -25%; 3Q adj EPS ($0.27) vs est. ($0.15) on revs $48Mm vs est. $64.2Mm; sees FY revs $330-370Mm vs est. $391.6Mm; says supply chain challenges impacting near-term performance and growth trajectory Cabot ($CBT) Q4 adj EPS $1.01 vs. est. $1.03; Q4 revs $904M vs. est. $915.01M; Q4 Reinforcement Materials led the way delivering an increase in EBIT of $167 million while Performance Chemicals also recorded strong results; sees FY22 EPS $5.20-$5.60 vs. est. $5.52 Virgin Galactic ($SPCE) Q3 EPS loss (-$0.32) vs. est. loss (-$0.28); Q3 revs $2.6M vs. est. $1.6M; commercial service on track for q4 2022; strong ticket sales at updated pricing of $450,000 per seat; cash position remains strong at approximately $1.0 billion Financials CoreCivic, Inc. ($CXW) Q3 adj FFO/share $0.48, adj EPS $0.28 vs est. $0.18, revenue $471.2M vs est. $467.1M, adj EBITDA $100.9M vs est. $85.3M; is not providing full-year guidance due to uncertainties surrounding the resurgence of Covid-19 caused by the Delta variant and the administration’s executive actions and policies related to immigration and criminal justice, but will provide FY22 guidance in February when reporting 4Q21 results Cohen & Steers, Inc. ($CNS) preliminary assets under management of $101.6 billion as of October 31, 2021, an increase of $4.3 billion from assets under management at September 30, 2021. The increase was due to net inflows of $138 million and market appreciation of $4.4 billion, partially offset by distributions of $203 million. First Advantage ($FA) files to sell 15M shares of common stock for holders Lemonade Inc. ($LMND) will acquire Metromile in an all-stock transaction that implies a fully diluted equity value of approximately $500 million, or just over $200 million net of cash PayPal ($PYPL) Q3 non-GAAP EPS $1.11 vs. est. $1.07; Q3 revs $6.18B vs. est. $6.23B; Q3 total payment volume of $310B, growing 26%, and 24% on an FX-neutral basis; 4.9 billion payment transactions in qtr, up 22%; expects to add about 55Mm NNAs, including about 3 million active accounts from the acquisition of Paidy; 13.3M NNAs added in qtr , bringing total active accounts to 416 million, up 15%; expects FY TPV growth to be in the range of about 33%-34% at current spot rates and about 31%-32% on an FX basis Robinhood ($HOOD) said a third party had obtained access to email addresses of about 5 mln of its customers, while full names for a different group of nearly 2 mln people in an incident, which took place on Nov. 3; said 310 people had more personal information, including names, birth, dates and zip codes compromised, while 10 customers had more extensive account details revealed Third Coast Bancshares ($TCBX)5M share IPO priced at $25.00
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Monday, November 8, 2021 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow 72.00 0.20% 36,287 S&P 500 4.25 0.09% 4,694 Nasdaq 9.00 0.06% 16,360 U.S. futures are looking to open at new record highs (again) after Washington passed a smaller form of its highway, broadband and other infrastructure improvement spending deal this weekend, as the $1 trillion infrastructure bill passed through Congress on Friday. A very important week of economic data coming up with monthly CPI, PPI inflation data mid-week. Crypto assets rising to records ahead of the inflation reports as Bitcoin up 8% nearing $66K, Ethereum record highs up over 6% above $4,700, Litecoin tops $200, up over 5.75% as crypto assets surging again. Tech futures underperform following weakness in Tesla (TSLA) after its CEO Elon Musk on Saturday asked his 62.5 million followers on Twitter in a poll if he should sell 10% of his Tesla stock. The world’s richest person had previously said he could face a “massive” tax bill this year as he has to exercise a large number of stock options coming due next year. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index fell -100 points to 29,507, the Shanghai Index rose 0.2% to just under 3,500, and the Hang Seng Index declined 100 points to 24,763. In Europe, the German DAX is down about -0.1% at 16,035, while the FTSE 100 is flat holding just above 7,300. Last week the S&P 500, Nasdaq and Dow notched their fifth straight weekly advances (longest streak for the S&P since Aug 2020); for the week, the S&P 500 rose 2%, the Dow added 1.42%, the Nasdaq gained 3.05% and the Russell 200o over 6%. The Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) notched its 10th winning session in a row on Friday while the S&P 500 scored another record high on Friday and booked a week of solid gains following a strong U.S. jobs report and positive data for Pfizer’s experimental pill against COVID-19, which helped boost travel and other economic reopen sectors. The news kept the run going for equities after investors earlier in the week digested the Federal Reserve’s decision to start reducing its monthly bond purchases put in place to support the economy. Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index gained 17.47 points, or 0.37%, to 4,697.53 The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 203.72 points, or 0.56%, to 36,327.95 The Nasdaq Composite climbed 31.28 points, or 0.20%, to 15,971.59 The Russell 2000 Index advanced 34.65 points, or 1.44% to 2,437.08 Events Calendar for Today No major U.S. economic data Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: ATRO, AXSM, BKI, COTY, DS, EDIT, EHTH, GATO, GTES, HLIO, KOS, LINC, NERV, NSSC, RDNT, RDUS, RETA, THS, TTD, USFD, VAC, VUZI, WOW, ZIXI Earnings After the Close: ACAD, AEIS, AEL, AMBC, AMC, AMPH, AMRS, APEI, APPF, APTS, ASUR, ATER, AVEO, BAND, BRP, CARA, CBT, CHRS, CLRS, CLOV, CSSE, CSTL, CXW, DDD, DOOR, ENV, FIVN, FLDM, FRPT, FSK, FTK, GOSS, HIL, IEA, IFF, IIN, INST, IPAR, JKHY, KERN, LMND, LOTZ, MRC, MRTX, MWA, NCMI, NEWR, NNI, NVRO, NVTA, OCIUL, OUST, PRA, PRI, PRIM, PYPL, RBLX, REAL, SANM, SCOR, SDC, SNCR, SPCE, SWSP, SWAV, SWX, TCMD, TREX, TRIP, TWO, XNCR, ZIOP, ZNGA Other Key Events: Credit Suisse 30th Annual Healthcare Conference, 11/8-11/11 (virtual) JPMorgan Global Consumer, Retail & Luxury Conference, 11/8-11/21 (virtual) EEI Financial Conference, 11/7-11/9 (virtual) REITWorld 2021 Annual Conference, 11/9-11/12 (virtual) Macro Up/Down Last Nymex 1.22 82.49 Brent 1.09 83.83 Gold -0.50 1,818.50 EUR/USD -0.0002 1.1564 JPY/USD 0.05 113.46 10-Year Note +0.032 1.485% World News China’s export growth moderated slightly to 27.1% yoy in October, above the 22.8% consensus expectation, implying a sequential gain of 2.6% in October (a modest slowdown from +3.0% in September) despite electricity constraints in October. At the same time, imports rose 20.6% yoy in October, missing expectations of a 26.2% surge, but fell 3.2% sequentially in October (vs. -0.7% in September). As a result of the far bigger growth in exports over imports, the monthly trade surplus rose further to a record high of $84.5bn in October, supporting the appreciation of the Chinese yuan in October, even as China’s economy has slowed down sharply in recent months. China’s trade surplus with the United States was $40.75 billion in October based on customs data showed on Sunday, down from $42 billion in September. For the first ten months of the year, the surplus was $320.67 billion – Reuters Highway, broadband and other infrastructure improvement spending deal this weekend, as the $1 trillion infrastructure bill passed through Congress on Friday and among parts of the deal, allows for $7.5 billion spending for building out a network of electric vehicle chargers and another $7.5 billion for low or zero-emission buses and ferries. Sector News Breakdown Consumer Tesla Inc ($TSLA) CEO Elon Musk on Saturday asked his 62.5 million followers on Twitter in a poll if he should sell 10% of his Tesla stock. The world’s richest person had previously said he could face a “massive” tax bill this year as he has to exercise a large number of stock options coming due next year. “Note, I do not take a cash salary or bonus from anywhere. I only have stock, thus the only way for me to pay taxes personally is to sell stock,” Musk said on Twitter on Saturday. Rivian Automotive ($RIVN) raises IPO price range to $72.00-$74.00 from $57.00-$62.00. Separately, Barron’s noted Rivian Automotive (RIVN) is set to go public this coming week at a market value that could exceed that of Honda Motor (HMC) despite having sold just a handful of vehicles, with a market cap around $64 billion Haverty’s (HVT) announces special cash dividend, quarterly cash dividend, and additional authorization under stock repurchase program Peloton ($PTON) has halted hiring across all departments effective immediately, CNBC reported late Friday, a day after it slashed its full-year outlook amid slowing momentum for its fitness products Coty ($COTY) agrees to sell additional partial stake in Wella to KKR in exchange for about 56% of Preferred Coty shares owned by KKR Marriott Vacations ($VAC) Q3 adjusted EPS $1.60 vs. est. $1.42; Q3 revs $1.05B vs est. $1.07B; said occupancies at our resorts this quarter were very strong despite the Delta variant and contract sales were within 3% of 2019 levels, driving 25% sequential growth in Adjusted EBITDA Energy China’s crude oil imports plunged in October to the lowest since September 2018, as large state-owned refiners withheld purchases because of rising prices while independent refiners were restrained by limited quotas to import. The world’s biggest crude oil importer brought in 37.8 million tonnes last month, data from the General Administration of Customs showed on Sunday, equivalent to 8.9 million barrels per day (bpd). – Reuters FirstEnergy ($FE) agrees to sell a 19.9% stake in its three regulated transmission businesses to Brookfield Asset Management (BAM) for $2.4B Financials Berkshire Hathaway Inc ($BRK/A) said that global supply chain disruptions kept a lid on its ability to generate profit; Q3 operating profit rose 18% but missed analyst forecasts amid goods shortages that crimped consumer spending; net income, meanwhile, fell 66%, reflecting lower gains from stock holdings such as Apple Inc and Bank of America Corp. Alleghany ($Y) mentioned positively in Barron’s saying shares should not be overlooked noting under CEO Weston Hicks, Alleghany has used a similar strategy to create an attractive, smaller-scale version of Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway ($BRK.A) R. Berkley ($WRB) announced that its Board of Directors has declared a special cash dividend on its common stock of $1.00 per share to be paid on December 22 to stockholders of record at the close of business on December 7 Healthcare Cannabis stocks rose late Friday after Marijuana Moment reported a fresh Republican-led attempt to legalize marijuana. The States Reform Act led by Rep. Nancy Mace (R-SC) is still in the preliminary stage, and a final version is expected to be filed later this month. As U.S. health authorities expand use of the leading Covid-19 vaccines, researchers investigating heart-related risks linked to the shots are exploring several emerging theories, including one centered on the spike protein made in response to vaccination. Researchers aren’t certain why the messenger RNA vaccines, one from Pfizer Inc. ($PFE) and partner BioNTech SE ($BNTX) and the other from Moderna Inc., are likely causing the inflammatory heart conditions myocarditis and pericarditis in a small number of cases. – WSJ https://on.wsj.com/3mQqCVY Alcon ($ALC) has acquired Ivantis, developer and manufacturer of the novel Hydrus Microstent, a minimally-invasive glaucoma surgery (MIGS) device designed to lower intraocular pressure for open-angle glaucoma patients in connection with cataract surgery for $475M in upfront consideration Genetron Holdings ($GTH) has formed a strategic partnership with oncology laboratory solution provider NeoGenomics (NEO) to drive global oncology drug research and development. Industrials & Materials Boeing ($BA) directors agreed to a $237.5 million settlement of claims that they turned a blind eye to safety issues related to 737 Max jetliners whose crashes have cost the company more than $20 billion, according to court documents Blade Air Mobility ($BLDE) is bringing ride-sharing to helicopters-just don’t call it the Uber ($UBER) of the sky. The stock can take off without that comparison, Barron’s reported. Blade Air Mobility is a less risky way to invest in the eVTOL future, though certainly not risk-free BHP is close to a deal to sell its controlling interest in two Australian coal mines to Stanmore Resources Ltd. ($STMRF) for ~$1.25B, the Wall Street Journal reports. Technology, Media & Telecom New Oriental Education & Technology ($EDU), Gaotu Techedu ($GOTU), and Tal Education ($TAL) shares all rising over 20% after the WSJ reported that China plans to issue more than a dozen licenses that would allow companies to offer after-school tutoring. The report said Gaotu Techedu (GOTU) and Yuanfudao, a unit of Tencent ($TCEHY), have held talks about resuming tutoring to students in the ninth grade and below https://on.mktw.net/3EVcxg5 Trinseo ($TSE) has begun work to explore the divestiture of its Styrenics businesses and plans to launch a formal sales process in Q1 of 2022. The scope of this potential divestiture is expected to include the Feedstocks and Polystyrene reporting segments as well as the company’s 50% ownership of Americas Styrenics AU Optronics ($AUOTY) reports October revenue of NT$30.38B (+18.1% Y/Y, -9.9% M/M); the total panel area shipment reached around 2.08 million square meters in October 2021, down by 4.3% month-over-month. ChipMOS ($IMOS) reports October revenue of $82.3M (-2.3% M/M; +10.7% Y/Y).
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frpt took a hit today
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Freshpet's mission is to improve the lives of dogs and cats through the power of fresh, real food. Freshpet foods are blends of fresh meats, vegetables and fruits farmed locally and made at its Kitchens in Bethlehem PA. The Company thoughtfully prepares its foods using natural ingredients, cooking them in small batches at lower temperatures to preserve the natural goodness of the ingredients. Freshpet foods and treats are kept refrigerated from the moment they are made until they arrive at Freshpet Fridges in local markets.
CEO: William Cyr
HQ: 400 Plaza Dr Fl 1 Secaucus, 07094-3605 New Jersey