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Monday, November 8, 2021 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow 72.00 0.20% 36,287 S&P 500 4.25 0.09% 4,694 Nasdaq 9.00 0.06% 16,360 U.S. futures are looking to open at new record highs (again) after Washington passed a smaller form of its highway, broadband and other infrastructure improvement spending deal this weekend, as the $1 trillion infrastructure bill passed through Congress on Friday. A very important week of economic data coming up with monthly CPI, PPI inflation data mid-week. Crypto assets rising to records ahead of the inflation reports as Bitcoin up 8% nearing $66K, Ethereum record highs up over 6% above $4,700, Litecoin tops $200, up over 5.75% as crypto assets surging again. Tech futures underperform following weakness in Tesla (TSLA) after its CEO Elon Musk on Saturday asked his 62.5 million followers on Twitter in a poll if he should sell 10% of his Tesla stock. The world’s richest person had previously said he could face a “massive” tax bill this year as he has to exercise a large number of stock options coming due next year. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index fell -100 points to 29,507, the Shanghai Index rose 0.2% to just under 3,500, and the Hang Seng Index declined 100 points to 24,763. In Europe, the German DAX is down about -0.1% at 16,035, while the FTSE 100 is flat holding just above 7,300. Last week the S&P 500, Nasdaq and Dow notched their fifth straight weekly advances (longest streak for the S&P since Aug 2020); for the week, the S&P 500 rose 2%, the Dow added 1.42%, the Nasdaq gained 3.05% and the Russell 200o over 6%. The Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) notched its 10th winning session in a row on Friday while the S&P 500 scored another record high on Friday and booked a week of solid gains following a strong U.S. jobs report and positive data for Pfizer’s experimental pill against COVID-19, which helped boost travel and other economic reopen sectors. The news kept the run going for equities after investors earlier in the week digested the Federal Reserve’s decision to start reducing its monthly bond purchases put in place to support the economy. Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index gained 17.47 points, or 0.37%, to 4,697.53 The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 203.72 points, or 0.56%, to 36,327.95 The Nasdaq Composite climbed 31.28 points, or 0.20%, to 15,971.59 The Russell 2000 Index advanced 34.65 points, or 1.44% to 2,437.08 Events Calendar for Today No major U.S. economic data Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: ATRO, AXSM, BKI, COTY, DS, EDIT, EHTH, GATO, GTES, HLIO, KOS, LINC, NERV, NSSC, RDNT, RDUS, RETA, THS, TTD, USFD, VAC, VUZI, WOW, ZIXI Earnings After the Close: ACAD, AEIS, AEL, AMBC, AMC, AMPH, AMRS, APEI, APPF, APTS, ASUR, ATER, AVEO, BAND, BRP, CARA, CBT, CHRS, CLRS, CLOV, CSSE, CSTL, CXW, DDD, DOOR, ENV, FIVN, FLDM, FRPT, FSK, FTK, GOSS, HIL, IEA, IFF, IIN, INST, IPAR, JKHY, KERN, LMND, LOTZ, MRC, MRTX, MWA, NCMI, NEWR, NNI, NVRO, NVTA, OCIUL, OUST, PRA, PRI, PRIM, PYPL, RBLX, REAL, SANM, SCOR, SDC, SNCR, SPCE, SWSP, SWAV, SWX, TCMD, TREX, TRIP, TWO, XNCR, ZIOP, ZNGA Other Key Events: Credit Suisse 30th Annual Healthcare Conference, 11/8-11/11 (virtual) JPMorgan Global Consumer, Retail & Luxury Conference, 11/8-11/21 (virtual) EEI Financial Conference, 11/7-11/9 (virtual) REITWorld 2021 Annual Conference, 11/9-11/12 (virtual) Macro Up/Down Last Nymex 1.22 82.49 Brent 1.09 83.83 Gold -0.50 1,818.50 EUR/USD -0.0002 1.1564 JPY/USD 0.05 113.46 10-Year Note +0.032 1.485% World News China’s export growth moderated slightly to 27.1% yoy in October, above the 22.8% consensus expectation, implying a sequential gain of 2.6% in October (a modest slowdown from +3.0% in September) despite electricity constraints in October. At the same time, imports rose 20.6% yoy in October, missing expectations of a 26.2% surge, but fell 3.2% sequentially in October (vs. -0.7% in September). As a result of the far bigger growth in exports over imports, the monthly trade surplus rose further to a record high of $84.5bn in October, supporting the appreciation of the Chinese yuan in October, even as China’s economy has slowed down sharply in recent months. China’s trade surplus with the United States was $40.75 billion in October based on customs data showed on Sunday, down from $42 billion in September. For the first ten months of the year, the surplus was $320.67 billion – Reuters Highway, broadband and other infrastructure improvement spending deal this weekend, as the $1 trillion infrastructure bill passed through Congress on Friday and among parts of the deal, allows for $7.5 billion spending for building out a network of electric vehicle chargers and another $7.5 billion for low or zero-emission buses and ferries. Sector News Breakdown Consumer Tesla Inc ($TSLA) CEO Elon Musk on Saturday asked his 62.5 million followers on Twitter in a poll if he should sell 10% of his Tesla stock. The world’s richest person had previously said he could face a “massive” tax bill this year as he has to exercise a large number of stock options coming due next year. “Note, I do not take a cash salary or bonus from anywhere. I only have stock, thus the only way for me to pay taxes personally is to sell stock,” Musk said on Twitter on Saturday. Rivian Automotive ($RIVN) raises IPO price range to $72.00-$74.00 from $57.00-$62.00. Separately, Barron’s noted Rivian Automotive (RIVN) is set to go public this coming week at a market value that could exceed that of Honda Motor (HMC) despite having sold just a handful of vehicles, with a market cap around $64 billion Haverty’s (HVT) announces special cash dividend, quarterly cash dividend, and additional authorization under stock repurchase program Peloton ($PTON) has halted hiring across all departments effective immediately, CNBC reported late Friday, a day after it slashed its full-year outlook amid slowing momentum for its fitness products Coty ($COTY) agrees to sell additional partial stake in Wella to KKR in exchange for about 56% of Preferred Coty shares owned by KKR Marriott Vacations ($VAC) Q3 adjusted EPS $1.60 vs. est. $1.42; Q3 revs $1.05B vs est. $1.07B; said occupancies at our resorts this quarter were very strong despite the Delta variant and contract sales were within 3% of 2019 levels, driving 25% sequential growth in Adjusted EBITDA Energy China’s crude oil imports plunged in October to the lowest since September 2018, as large state-owned refiners withheld purchases because of rising prices while independent refiners were restrained by limited quotas to import. The world’s biggest crude oil importer brought in 37.8 million tonnes last month, data from the General Administration of Customs showed on Sunday, equivalent to 8.9 million barrels per day (bpd). – Reuters FirstEnergy ($FE) agrees to sell a 19.9% stake in its three regulated transmission businesses to Brookfield Asset Management (BAM) for $2.4B Financials Berkshire Hathaway Inc ($BRK/A) said that global supply chain disruptions kept a lid on its ability to generate profit; Q3 operating profit rose 18% but missed analyst forecasts amid goods shortages that crimped consumer spending; net income, meanwhile, fell 66%, reflecting lower gains from stock holdings such as Apple Inc and Bank of America Corp. Alleghany ($Y) mentioned positively in Barron’s saying shares should not be overlooked noting under CEO Weston Hicks, Alleghany has used a similar strategy to create an attractive, smaller-scale version of Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway ($BRK.A) R. Berkley ($WRB) announced that its Board of Directors has declared a special cash dividend on its common stock of $1.00 per share to be paid on December 22 to stockholders of record at the close of business on December 7 Healthcare Cannabis stocks rose late Friday after Marijuana Moment reported a fresh Republican-led attempt to legalize marijuana. The States Reform Act led by Rep. Nancy Mace (R-SC) is still in the preliminary stage, and a final version is expected to be filed later this month. As U.S. health authorities expand use of the leading Covid-19 vaccines, researchers investigating heart-related risks linked to the shots are exploring several emerging theories, including one centered on the spike protein made in response to vaccination. Researchers aren’t certain why the messenger RNA vaccines, one from Pfizer Inc. ($PFE) and partner BioNTech SE ($BNTX) and the other from Moderna Inc., are likely causing the inflammatory heart conditions myocarditis and pericarditis in a small number of cases. – WSJ https://on.wsj.com/3mQqCVY Alcon ($ALC) has acquired Ivantis, developer and manufacturer of the novel Hydrus Microstent, a minimally-invasive glaucoma surgery (MIGS) device designed to lower intraocular pressure for open-angle glaucoma patients in connection with cataract surgery for $475M in upfront consideration Genetron Holdings ($GTH) has formed a strategic partnership with oncology laboratory solution provider NeoGenomics (NEO) to drive global oncology drug research and development. Industrials & Materials Boeing ($BA) directors agreed to a $237.5 million settlement of claims that they turned a blind eye to safety issues related to 737 Max jetliners whose crashes have cost the company more than $20 billion, according to court documents Blade Air Mobility ($BLDE) is bringing ride-sharing to helicopters-just don’t call it the Uber ($UBER) of the sky. The stock can take off without that comparison, Barron’s reported. Blade Air Mobility is a less risky way to invest in the eVTOL future, though certainly not risk-free BHP is close to a deal to sell its controlling interest in two Australian coal mines to Stanmore Resources Ltd. ($STMRF) for ~$1.25B, the Wall Street Journal reports. Technology, Media & Telecom New Oriental Education & Technology ($EDU), Gaotu Techedu ($GOTU), and Tal Education ($TAL) shares all rising over 20% after the WSJ reported that China plans to issue more than a dozen licenses that would allow companies to offer after-school tutoring. The report said Gaotu Techedu (GOTU) and Yuanfudao, a unit of Tencent ($TCEHY), have held talks about resuming tutoring to students in the ninth grade and below https://on.mktw.net/3EVcxg5 Trinseo ($TSE) has begun work to explore the divestiture of its Styrenics businesses and plans to launch a formal sales process in Q1 of 2022. The scope of this potential divestiture is expected to include the Feedstocks and Polystyrene reporting segments as well as the company’s 50% ownership of Americas Styrenics AU Optronics ($AUOTY) reports October revenue of NT$30.38B (+18.1% Y/Y, -9.9% M/M); the total panel area shipment reached around 2.08 million square meters in October 2021, down by 4.3% month-over-month. ChipMOS ($IMOS) reports October revenue of $82.3M (-2.3% M/M; +10.7% Y/Y).
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Thursday, August 12, 2021 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow 40.00 0.12% 35,413 S&P 500 2.25 0.05% 4,442 Nasdaq 5.50 0.04% 15,025 Another day, another record high for the Dow and S&P 500 as futures are pointing to a slightly higher open, building on the ongoing upside momentum that pushed the S&P 500 to its 45th all-time high Wednesday. Both the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 are coming off all-time bests as consumer prices (CPI) data indicated U.S. inflation was in-line with estimates, raising hopes that growth may have peaked, while sectors tied to economic growth such as industrials, materials and metals advanced a second day on the heels of the passage of a large infrastructure bill. The July consumer price index increased 0.5% last month after climbing 0.9% in June, though on a YoY basis was above 5% again (ahead of today’s PPI data at 8:30 AM ET). Meanwhile, two Fed members (George and Kaplan) each said the central bank should announce its timeline to reduce its massive bondholding, with Kaplan calling for it to begin next month, with tapering to begin in October. Healthcare was also a drag on markets as S&P components MRNA and PFE fell after the drug regulator of the European Union said it was looking into new possible side-effects of mRNA COVID-19 shots. Asian shares dropped for the first time this week as China stepped up scrutiny of its insurance technology platforms while European stocks drift on mixed earnings results. The Nikkei Index slipped -55 points to 28,015, the Shanghai Index slid -7 points to 3,524, and the Hang Seng Index dropped -142 points (0.535) to settle at 26,517. In Europe, the German DAX is up over 60 points to 15,888, while the FTSE 100 is down a few points at 7,210. Events Calendar for Today 8:30 AM ET Weekly Jobless Claims…est. 375K 8:30 AM EST Continuing Claims…est. 2.88M 8:30 AM ET Producer Price Index (PPI) MoM for July…est. 0.6% 8:30 AM ET PPI Ex: Food & Energy (core) MoM for July…est. 0.5% 8:30 AM ET Producer Price Index (PPI) YoY for July…est. 7.3% 8:30 AM ET PPI Ex: Food & Energy (core) YoY for July…est. 5.6% 10:30 AM ET Weekly EIA Natural Gas Inventory Data 1:00 PM ET U.S. to sell $27 bln in 30-year bonds Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: AVXL, AZEK, BDR, BODY, BR, BTTR, CELH, EFOI, EMAN, EYE, FSTX, GRWG, HOOK, KELYA, MDP, MIDD, MKTW, NYC, PGTI, SOHO, TAST, UP, UTZ, VERU Earnings After the Close: ABNB, ACHV, AFIB, APDN, ASTR, AWH, BBI, BIOL, BLBD, BOXL, BW, CAPR, CODX, CRMD, DASH, DCO, DIS, EAR, FIGS, FLO, FRGI, HOFV, ICCC, INTZ, IPWR, KINS, LAZR, LIVX, LMB, LVOX, LZ, MOTS, OPGN, PHUN, PTE, SFE, SGHT, SOFI, TLMD, TPCS, VIVE, WISH, XL Other Key Events: BTIG HIMSS Digital Health Booth Tour (virtual), 8/11-8/12 Canaccord Genuity 41st Annual Growth Conference (virtual), 8/10-8/12 Cowen Annual Communications Infrastructure Hybrid Summit, 8/9-8/12 Cowen 9th Annual Internet & Media Bus Tour (virtual), 8/9-8/13 Credit Suisse 4th Annual FinTech Conference (virtual), 8/11-8/13 JPMorgan Auto Conference (virtual), 8/11-8/12 KeyBanc Capital Markets Technology Leadership Virtual Forum, 8/9-8/12 Oppenheimer 24th Annual Technology, Internet & Comm Conference (virtual), 8/10-8/12 Piper Biotech Virtual Tour, 8/10-8/12 UBS Financial Services Conference (virtual), 8/10-8/12 Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index gained 10.95 points, or 0.25%, to 4,447.70 The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 220.30 points, or 0.62%, to 35,484.97 The Nasdaq Composite slipped -22.95 points, or 0.16%, to 14,765.14 The Russell 2000 Index advanced 10.98 points, or 0.49% to 2,250.34 Macro Up/Down Last Nymex -0.08 69.17 Brent -0.04 71.40 Gold 1.10 1,752.80 EUR/USD -0.0002 1.1737 JPY/USD -0.02 110.41 10-Year Note -0.008 1.351% World News The International Energy Agency (IEA) cut its outlook for global oil demand “sharply” for the rest of 2021 as the resurgence of coronavirus rocks major consumers and predicted a new surplus in 2022. The IEA cut its 2021 global oil demand growth forecast by 100,000 barrels a day, while upgrading its 2022 forecast by 200,000 barrels a day Eurozone Jun Industrial Production: m/m -0.3% vs -0.2% consensus; y/y 9.7% vs 10.4% consensus UK Q2 GDP: q/q 4.8% in-line; y/y 22.2% vs 22.1% consensus; UK Jun GDP: 1.0% vs 0.8% consensus; UK June Trade Balance: -£11.99b vs -£9.1b consensus; K June Ind Production m/m 0.7% vs 0.3% consensus, y/y 8.3% vs 9.4% consensus Sector News Breakdown Consumer DoorDash ($DASH) is said to have held talks to purchase Instacart over the past two months that may have valued the grocery delivery company at $40B to $50B. The talks felt apart in recent weeks at least partly over regulatory concerns, according to a report in The Information https://bit.ly/2VKi4F5 Core-Mark Holding ($CORE) said the waiting period under the HSR act for Performance Food Group’s (PFGC) planned purchased expired on Aug. 9 and the closing conditions for the deal have been satisfied Fisker Inc ($FSR) announces private offering of $600 mln 5-yr convertible notes Nio ($NIO) Q2 non-GAAP EPS loss (-$0.03) vs. est. loss (-$0.11); Revenue of $1.31B (+127% Y/Y) beats by $20M; said achieved a record-high quarterly delivery of 21,896 vehicles in Q2, followed by 7,931 vehicles in July, bringing the cumulative deliveries of NIO vehicles to 125,528 as of July 31, 2021 Blink Charging ($BLNK) 2Q EPS ($0.32) vs est. ($0.16) on revs $4.4Mm vs est. $2.6Mm eBay Inc. ($EBAY) Q2 adj EPS $0.99 vs. est. $0.95; Q2 revs $2.7B vs. est. $3.00B; expands share repurchase authorization by an additional $3B; entered agreement to sell about 135M shares of eBay’s Adevinta stock to Permira for over $2.4B, reducing ownership to 33%; announced an agreement to sell 80.01% of eBay Korea business to eMart for about $3B; guides Q3 revs $2.42B-$2.47B vs. est. $2.92B; annual active sellers grew by 5%, for total of 19M global active sellers Fossil Group ($FOSL) 2Q EPS ($0.02) on sales $411Mm; sees 3Q net sales +5-10%; guides FY net sales growth to approx +14-17%; Lordstown Motors ($RIDE) 2Q EPS ($0.61) vs est. ($0.49); pursuing external capital sources including debt and equity-linked securities; sees FY op exp $95-105Mm, expects to end 3Q with liquidity between 225-275Mm cash and equivalents without any funds from a capital raise Utz Brands ($UTZ) Q2 adj EPS 13c vs. est. 15c; Q2 revs $299.2M vs. est. $290.29M; sees FY 2021 adjusted shr $0.55 to $0.60; believes that consumer demand for its products will remain strong in second half of fiscal 2021; says continue to expect fiscal 2021 net sales consistent with fiscal 2020 pro forma net sales Vroom ($VRM) Q2 adj EPS loss (-$0.48), in-line with consensus; Q2 revs $761.89M vs. est. $637.99M; for Q2, had18,268 ecommerce units sold, up 172% YoY; Ecommerce revenue of $579.7 million, up 230% YoY; Ecommerce gross profit of $49.6 million, up 588% YoY Energy Array Technologies ($ARRY) 2Q EPS $0.00 vs est. $0.01 on revs $202.8Mm vs est. $231Mm; guides FY revs $850-940Mm vs est. $1B, sees FY adj EPS $0.15-0.25 vs est. $0.37 EnerSys ($ENS) Q adj EPS $1.25 vs est. $1.20 on revs $814.9Mm vs est. $810.5Mm, backlog grew $157Mm; guides 2Q adj EPS $1.03-1.13 vs est. $1.28 Canadian Solar ($CSIQ) Q2 EPS $0.18 vs. est. loss (-$0.30); Q2 revs $1.43B vs. est. $1.43B; Q2 solar module shipments of 3.7 GW, top end of 3.5 GW to 3.7 GW guidance; sees Q3 revs $1.2B-$1.4B vs. est. $1.62B; reducing its full year 2021 total module shipment guidance to 16 GW to 17 GW; reiterates its project sales guidance and total battery storage shipment guidance for FY 2021; carve-out IPO of CSI solar subsidiary remains on track Financials AllianceBernstein L.P. ($AB) preliminary assets under management increased to $748 billion during July 2021 from $738 billion at the end of June. Market appreciation and modest firmwide net inflows drove the 1% increase. Manning & Napier, Inc. ($MN) reported preliminary assets under management (“AUM”) as of July 31, 2021 of $22.5 billion, compared with $22.3 billion at June 30, 2021 Victory Capital Holdings, Inc. ($VCTR) reported assets under management (AUM) of $162.9 billion as of July 31, 2021. Opendoor Technologies (OPEN) Q2 EPS loss (-$0.24) vs. est. loss (-$0.34); Q2 revs $1.2B vs. est. $1.09B; Gross profit of $159 million, up 64% versus 1Q21; gross margin of 13.4%, up 40 basis points versus 1Q21; Adjusted EBITDA of $26 million versus ($2) million in 1Q21; adjusted EBITDA margin of 2.2% versus (0.3%) in 1Q21; sees Q3 revenue $1.8B-$1.9B vs. est. $1.52B Healthcare In vaccine news, NBC reports that the FDA would authorize a third shot of coronavirus vaccine as soon as Thursday for certain people with weakened immune systems. The decision to expand the emergency use of the vaccines from Moderna ($MRNA) and the Pfizer ($PFE)/BioNTech ($BNTX) shots Amwell ($AMWL) Q2 EPS loss (-$0.15) vs. est. loss (-$0.19); Q2 revs $60.2M vs. est. $61.7M; Q2 gross margins increased 600 bps to 44% of revenue versus 38% last quarter; said total visits of 1.3 million versus 1.6 million last quarter; lowers year revs to $252M-$262M from $260M-$270M and narrows year adj Ebitda loss view Fulcrum Therapeutics ($FULC)6M share secondary priced at $19.00 GoHealth ($GOCO) 2Q EPS ($0.12) vs est. ($0.04) on revs $196.9Mm vs est. $175.1Mm; guides FY revs $1.2-1.3B vs est. $1.24B, sees FY adj EBITDA $300-330Mm Hims & Hers ($HIMS) Q2 EPS loss (-$0.05) vs. est. loss (-$0.10); Q2 revs $60.7M vs. est. $56.49M; sees Q3 revs $69M-$71M vs. est. $58.31M and sees year revs $251M-$255M vs. est. $226.3M Xeris Pharmaceuticals ($XERS) announced it has received U.S. FDA clearance for phase 1 clinical trials for its hypothyroidism treatment Industrials & Materials Apogee Enterprises ($APOG) announced plans to realign and simplify its business structure to “bring a stronger focus to serving customers, enable a more competitive cost model, and better position the company for future growth and improved profitability; now expects to achieve $20M-$30M of annualized savings by the end of fiscal 2023 Royal Gold ($RGLD) 4Q EPS $1.25 vs est. $0.92 on revs $168Mm vs est. $165Mm; guides 1Q stream segment sales 62,000-67,000 GEOs with qtr-end inventory 22,000-27,000 GEOs Gates Industrial ($GTES) 25M share Secondary priced at $16.00
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Gates Corporation plc is a global manufacturer of innovative, highly engineered power transmission and fluid power solutions. Gates offers a broad portfolio of products to diverse replacement channel customers, and to original equipment ('first-fit') manufacturers as specified components. Gates participates in many sectors of the industrial and consumer markets. Its products play essential roles in a diverse range of applications across a wide variety of end markets ranging from harsh and hazardous industries such as agriculture, construction, manufacturing and energy, to everyday consumer applications such as printers, power washers, automatic doors and vacuum cleaners and virtually every form of transportation. Its products are sold in 128 countries across its four commercial regions: the Americas; Europe, Middle East & Africa; Greater China; and East Asia & India.