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I honestly don't trust him. He doesn't have the personality which can get HFC or Shorts scared.
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Wednesday, August 4, 2021 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow -25.00 0.07% 34,973 S&P 500 -1.25 0.04% 4,413 Nasdaq 11.50 0.08% 15,058 U.S. S&P futures are flat heading into the trading day, looking to build on record highs from Tuesday as positive earnings boost U.S and European stocks while worries over China’s gaming and technology crackdown ease, helping lift those markets. Risk sentiment improves across Asia as Chinese and Hong Kong stocks push higher on tech recovery and solid Caixin PMI data. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index fell -57 points to 27,854, the Shanghai Index rose 29 points to 3,477 and the Hang Seng Index jumped 231 points to settle at 26,426. In Europe, the German DAX is climbing around 125 points to 15,680, while the FTSE 100 is up 0.4% to 7,135. Chinese Jul Caixin Services PMI beat: 54.9 vs 50.6 consensus. Some also see the spread of the Covid-19 delta variant as delaying rather than stopping the economic recovery. The New York Times reported overnight that the FDA plans to give full approval to Pfizer (PFE) and BioNTech (BNTX) coronavirus vaccine by the start of the next month. Earnings season has been strong with about 87% of S&P 500 companies reporting earnings and revenue beats, according to FactSet. Just under 70% of the S&P 500 now has reported earnings. The S&P 500 closed at record highs with gains in Apple and healthcare stocks, as concerns over a surge in the Delta variant of the coronavirus was put to the back-burner, overshadowed by continued upbeat corporate earnings. Ten of the 11 S&P indexes traded higher, with energy stocks rebounding after getting hit by a dip in oil prices. Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index gained 35.99 points, or 0.82%, to 4,423.15 The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 278.24 points, or 0.80%, to 35,116.40 The Nasdaq Composite climbed 80.23 points, or 0.55%, to 14,761.29 The Russell 2000 Index advanced 8.09 points, or 0.36% to 2,223.58 Events Calendar for Today 7:00 AM ET MBA Mortgage Applications Data 8:15 AM ET ADP Employment Change for July…est. 695K 9:45 AM ET Markit Composite PMI, July-F 9:45 AM ET Markit Services PMI, July-F 10:00 AM ET ISM Non-Manufacturing Services PMI for July…est. 60.5 10:30 AM ET Weekly DOE Inventory Data Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: ABC, AEIS, ALE, APO, ASTE, BCOR, BDC, BGCP, BWA, CDW, CLVS, CLH, CLW, CMLS, CRL, CSII, DNOW, DOC, EDIT, EMR, ETR, EXC, FLOW, FUN, GEL, GM, HDSN, HFC, HZNP, IONS, JLL, KHC, LL, MAC, MKL, MPC, MPLX, MTOR, NI, NYT, ODP, RCL, SBGI, SGRY, SITE, SMG, SPR, SUP, TGI, TUP, TXMD, UTHR, VCEL, VMC, WLL Earnings After the Close: ACAD, ACLS, ADPT, ADTN, AGL, ALB, ALL, AMED, ANGI, ANSS, APA, ATO, AXGN, BBSI, BE, BFAM, BKNG, BOOT, CCMP, CDAY, CENX, CHNG, CMP, CPS, DGII, DOX, DVAX, DXC, EA, EGHT, ELF, EMKR, EOG, ETSY, EVH, FLT, FOXA, FSLY, FTDR, GDDY, GNK, HI, HUBS, IAC, INGN, IVR, JACK, LESL, LNC, LPI, LUMN, MAXR, MBI, MCK, MED, MET, MGM, MOD, MRO, MTG, NUS,NVRO, ONEM, PARR, PDCE, $PING, PLYA, QRVO, QTWO, RCII, REGI, RGR, RMAX, RNWK, EOKU, RPD, $RVLV, RYN, SBRA, SMSI, SUM, T$NDM, TPC, TTGT, TVTY, TWNK, TWO, TXG, $UBER, UHAL, VVV, VZIO, WDC, WU, YELL Other Key Events: Jefferies Industrials Conference (virtual), 8/3-8/4 Piper Wealth Management Forum (virtual), 8/3-8/6 Macro Up/Down Last Nymex -0.34 70.22 Brent -0.18 72.23 Gold 3.30 1,813.75 EUR/USD -0.0008 1.1856 JPY/USD 0.13 109.17 10-Year Note +0.008 1.182% Sector News Breakdown Consumer Caesar’s Entertainment ($CZR) Q2 EPS $0.34 vs. est. loss (-$0.26); Q2 revs $2.5B vs. est. $2.27B; Q2 same-store Adjusted EBITDA was $1B versus (-$131M) for the comparable prior-year period; Company posted all-time records in quarterly Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA margin. Denny’s ($DENN) Q2 adj EPS $0.18 vs. est. $0.11; Q2 revs $106.2M vs. est. $98.1M; Q2 domestic system-wide same-store sales decreased 1.2% compared to the equivalent fiscal period in 2019, including a 1.5% decrease at domestic franchised restaurants and a 1.9% increase at company restaurants. Herbalife ($HLF) Q2 adj EPS $1.52 vs. est. $1.29; Q2 revs $1.55B vs. est. $1.57B; Q2 adjusted EBITDA of $262.1M; raises FY21 EPS view to $4.70-$5.10 from $4.65-$5.05 (est. $4.93); sees FY net sales growth to be in a range of 8.5% to 12.5%, lowering the midpoint by 150 basis points compared to prior full year 2021 guidance. Host Hotels ($HST) Q2 adj FFO $0.12 vs. est. $0.04; Q2 revs $649M vs. est. $606.58M; said RevPAR reached nearly $100 for the quarter, which dramatically outperformed consensus RevPAR, with average room rates only 8.4% below our 2019 second quarter rates; not providing year guidance Hyatt ($H) 2Q adj EPS ($1.15) vs est. ($0.85) on comparable system-wide REVPAR $72.47, qtrly total revs $663Mm vs est. $686.9Mm; guides FY net rooms growth more than +6%, sees FY adj SG&A about $240Mm, sees FY CAPEX about $110Mm Energy Devon Energy ($DVN) Q2 adj EPS $0.60 vs est. $0.52 on revs $2.42B vs est. $2.35B, operating cash flow $1.1B, production for the quarter averaged 291k barrels/day; will pay total dividend of 49c/shr (11c fixed + 38c variable), a 44% increase from Q1; sees 3q production 566-594 mboe/d vs est. 564.80 mboe/d Occidental Petroleum ($OXY) Q2 adj EPS 32c vs est. 1c on revs $5.96B vs est. $5.92B, FCF $2B, cash flow from continuing operations $3.3B; said oil and gas results improved from Q1 due to higher commodity prices and sales volumes; executed debt tender offer and repaid over $3B of long-term debt in July ONEOK ($OKE) Q2 EPS $0.77 vs. est. $0.75; Q2 revs $3.39B vs. est. $3.03B; sees 2021 net income, adj earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, amortization to be above midpoints of ranges provided on April 27, 2021 SunPower ($SPWR) Q2 adj EPS $0.06 vs. est. $0.04; Q2 revs $308.9M vs. est. $327.31M; guides Q3 revs $325M-$375M vs. est. $400.83M; sees Q3 GAAP net loss of $10 to $0 million and MW recognized of 125 MW to 150 MW; Q2 added 13,000 residential customers – residential bookings up 16 percent sequentially, 67 percent year-over-year (YoY) The American Petroleum Institute ($API) showed a draw of 879K barrels of oil for the latest week; gasoline inventories show a draw of 5.75M barrels, distillate inventories show a draw of 717K barrels and Cushing inventories show a build of 659K barrels W&T Offshore ($WTI) Q2 EPS $0.02 vs. est. $0.07; Q2 revs $132.8M vs. est. $122.38M; Q2 Production was 40,888 Boe/d or 3.7 MMBoe, an increase of 3% compared to 39,657 Boe/d in Q1 and down 3% versus 42,037 Boe/d in Q2 of 2020 Financials Assurant Inc. ($AIZ) Q2 operating EPS $2.99 vs. est. $2.45; Q2 revs $2.54B vs. est. $2.39B; continue to expect to grow eps, ex. catastrophes, by 10 to 14 percent for 2021 Fair Isaac ($FICO) Q3 non-GAAP EPS $3.38 vs. est. $2.76; Q3 revs $338M vs. est. $328.3M; Applications revenues, which include the company’s decision management applications and associated professional services, were $133.2 million in the third quarter, compared to $141.5 million in the prior year period, a decrease of 6% Genworth Financial ($GNW) Q2 adj EPS $0.38 vs. est. $0.22; Q2 revs $2.04B vs. est. $1.9B; planned IPO of Enact remains a key strategic objective for Genworth and is subject to market and other conditions, however because the company is in registration and subject to applicable publicity restrictions, is unable to comment further or provide any additional detail at this time. Green Dot ($GDOT) Q2 adj EPS $0.68 vs est. $0.43 on revs $369.4M vs est. $313.2M; sees FY21 adj EPS $2.13-$2.27 vs prev. $2.06-$2.15, revs $1.33B-$1.35B vs est. $1.28B Prudential ($PRU) Q2 adj EPS $3.79 vs. est. $3.02; qtrly book value per common share of $160.31 versus $165.53 per share for year-ago; qtrly adjusted book value per common share of $104.39 versus $92.07 per share for year-ago; qtr end assets under management of $1.730 trillion versus $1.605 trillion for year-ago; now expect to return a total of $11.0B to holders from $10.5B prior Tanger Outlets ($SKT) 2Q core FFO/shr $0.43 vs est. $0.28, portfolio occupancy was 93% on June 30 vs 91.7% on March 31, avg tenant sales productivity was $424/sq ft for 12 months ended June 30 +7.3% yr/yr; guides FY FFO/shr $1.52-1.59 vs est. $1.46 Unum Group (UNM) Q2 adj EPS $1.39 vs. est. $1.11; Q2 revs $2.99B vs. est. $2.96B; Full-year 2021 outlook increased; after-tax adjusted operating income per share now expected to decline 1%-3% relative to full-year 2020, compared to an expected decline of 5%-6% prior Verisk Analytics ($VRSK) Q2 adj EPS $1.17 vs. est. $1.33; Q2 revs $747.5M vs. est. $737.3M; Net cash provided by operating activities was $233.2 million, down 6.5% for the second quarter of 2021. Free cash flow, a non-GAAP measure, was $170.7 million, down 11.5% Healthcare Change Healthcare ($CHNG) shares fell over 7% on a report that the U.S. Dept. of Justice is considering a lawsuit to block the company’s $8B sale to UnitedHealth ($UNH) https://bit.ly/3yA4Etu Option Care Health ($OPCH) 18M share Spot Secondary priced at $20.25 Amgen Inc. ($AMGN) Q2 adj EPS $4.38 vs. est. $4.06; Q2 revs $6.5B vs. est. $6.43B; backs FY21 adj EPS view $16.00-$17.00 vs. est. $16.34; backs FY21 revenue view $25.8B-$26.6B vs. est. $26.04B Amid surge in new COVID-19 infections across U.S., the FDA plans to give full approval to Pfizer (PFE) – BioNTech (BNTX) coronavirus vaccine by the start of the next month, The New York Times reports The FDA classified the recent recall of some of Philips’ (PHG) ventilators as Class 1, or the most serious type of recall, saying the use of these devices may cause serious injuries or death – Reuters CVS Health ($CVS) Q2 adj EPS $2.42 vs. est. $2.06; Q2 revs $72.62B vs. est. $70.11B; raises FY21 adjusted EPS view to $7.70-$7.80 from $7.56-$7.68 (est. $7.66); sees FY21 cash flow from operations $12.5B-$13B DaVita Inc. (DVA) 2Q EPS $2.64 vs est. $2.17; says total US dialysis treatments for 2Q were 7,413497 (avg 95,045/day); guides FY adj EPS $8.80-9.40 vs est. $8.63, sees FY adj op income $1.8-1.875B vs est. $1.816B Inspire Medical ($INSP) 2Q EPS ($0.48) vs est. ($0.64) on revs $53Mm vs est. $43.9Mm; guides FY revs $210-213Mm vs est. $195.9Mm, sees FY gr mgn 85-86%, sees opening 48-52 new US medical centers per qtr for 2H Jazz Pharma ($JAZZ) Q2 adj EPS $3.90 vs. est. $3.42; Q2 revs $751.8M vs. est. $735.62M; reaffirms FY21 non-GAAP EPS view $13.40-$14.70 (est. $14.45) and also back FY21 revenue view $3.020B-$3.180B vs. est. $3.11B; as of June 30, cash, cash equivalents were $891.4 mln, and outstanding principal balance of co’s long-term debt was $7.1 bln
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Thursday, May 20, 2021 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow -151.00 0.45% 33,680 S&P 500 -16.00 0.41% 4,094 Nasdaq -49.00 0.37% 13,184 Stock futures are looking lower to start, on track for a 4th straight day of losses (S&P hasn’t fell 4-straight days since 2/16-2/22) as markets were surprised in the Fed’s discussion on easing back bond purchases if the economy improves quickly, in its minutes from their April FOMC meeting released yesterday. Energy and Materials were the biggest drags on the market, along with a plunge across the crypto currency space, led by Bitcoin, Ethereum, and the like. Today however, the crypto space is rebounding from overnight weakness with Bitcoin back above the $40K level (after dropping to $30K on Wednesday). The Nasdaq Composite Index is on pace for its worst monthly performance since September 2020, off by more than 5%, as rising inflation fears dent high growth stocks. Treasury yields are down slightly after topping 1.68% on Wednesday. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index rose 53 points to 28,098, the Shanghai Index slipped -4 points to 3,506, and the Hang Seng Index dropped -143 points to 28,450. In Europe, the German DAX is up about 65 points to 15,180, while the FTSE 100 is little changed at 6,950. Dow component Cisco Systems (CSCO) slips after issuing a lower Q4 outlook. Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index slipped -12.15 points, or 0.29%, to 4,115.638 The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell -164.62 points, or 0.48%, to 33,896.04 The Nasdaq Composite dipped -3.90 points, or 0.03%, to 13,299.74 The Russell 2000 Index declined -17.24 points, or 0.78% to 2,193.64 Events Calendar for Today 8:30 AM ET Weekly Jobless Claims…est. 450K 8:30 AM EST Continuing Claims…est. 3.64M 8:30 AM EST Philly Fed Business Survey for May…est. 43.0 10:00 AM EST Leading Index MoM for April…est. 1.4% 10:30 AM ET Weekly EIA Natural Gas Inventory Data Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: BJ, BRC, HRL, KSS, MNRO, PLCE, RL, WMS, WOOF Earnings After the Close: AINV, AMAT, DECK, PANW, ROST Other Key Events: S. Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo plans to hold a May 20 meeting with senior U.S. auto industry leaders and other industry officials on a semiconductor shortage that has cut production JPMorgan Homebuilding & Building Products Conference (virtual), 5/19-5/20 UBS Financial Institutions Conference (virtual), 5/19-5/21 American gas Association Financial Forum (virtual), 5/19-5/20 Virtual Display Week 2021, 5/17-5/21 Macro Up/Down Last Nymex -0.92 62.44 Brent -1.41 65.25 Gold -2.95 1,866.65 EUR/USD 0.0012 1.2187 JPY/USD -0.26 108.96 10-Year Note -0.02 1.661% Sector News Breakdown Consumer Lithia Motors (LAD)11M share Secondary priced at $322.00 Oatly Group (OTLY)376M share IPO priced at $17.00 per ADS Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) upgraded to Buy from Neutral with a price target of $1,700, up from $1,575 at UBS Copart Inc. (CPRT) Q3 EPS $1.09 vs. est. $0.80; Q3 revs $733.9M vs. est. $629.6M; Q3 revenue, gross profit, and net income were $733.9 million, $381.3 million, and $286.8 million, respectively L Brands (LB) Q1 adj EPS $1.25 vs. est. $1.21; q1 revs $3.02B vs. est. $3.01B; guides Q2 EPS $0.80-$1.00 vs. est. $0.76; nit providing yearly guidance; appoints CFO’s for Bath & Body Works and Victoria Secret standalone businesses; Victoria’s Secret total comparable sales for q1 ended May 1, 2021 increased 9% YoY; Q1 L Brands Stores & direct comp +21% vs. +4% Yoy Hormel Foods (HRL) Q1 EPS 42c vs. est. 41c; Q1 sales $2.61B vs. erst. $2.41B Shoe Carnival (SCVL) 1Q EPS $3.02 vs. est. $1.40 on sales $328.5Mm vs. est. $274.4Mm; guides 2Q sales $268-278Mm vs. est. $281.9Mm, sees 2Q EPS $1.00-1.20 vs. est. $0.94; says plans to modernize about 100 stores by May 2022 with goal of modernizing 2/3 of store fleet in next 3-5 years; will continue to evaluate repurchase of shares during remainder of 2021; not providing 2H21 guide at this time Energy, Industrials and Materials Ingersoll-Rand (IR) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Deutsche Bank and raise tgt to $54 from $50 noting it is the third worst performer in the MI/EE group year-to-date, and sees the current level as an optimal entry point into a very high quality Canadian Solar (CSIQ) Q1 EPS 36c vs. est. 41c; Q1 revs $1.09B vs. est. $1.05B; Q1 total module shipments 3,139 MW, up 42% YoY and 5% quarter-over-quarter increase; of the total, 267 MW was shipped to the company’s own utility-scale solar power projects; sees Q2 revs $1.4B-$1.5B vs. est. $1.37B HollyFrontier (HFC) downgraded to Sell from Neutral with a price target of $34, down from $36 at Goldman Sachs SolarEdge (SEDG) upgraded to Buy from Neutral but cut target to $290 from $312 Sun Country Airlines (SNCY)25M share Secondary priced at $34.50 Triumph Group (TGI) Q4 adj EPS 10c vs. est. 8c; Q4 revs $466.83M vs. est. $436.26M; is not providing guidance for the year Valaris ltd (VAL) has been awarded a contract of about 45 days with W&T offshore in U.S. Gulf of Mexico for Valaris ju-117 ZTO Express (ZTO) Q1 adj EPS 14c vs est. 15c; Q1 revs $987.9M vs. est. $950.86M Healthcare Incyte (INCY) announced that data from the primary analysis of the Phase 2 OPTIC trial will be presented during an oral session at the 2021 American Society of Clinical Oncology (ASCO) Meeting June 4-8 Pfizer Inc. (PFE) and partner BioNTech SE (BNTX) said they have reached a new agreement with the European Commission to supply up to 1.8 billion additional doses of their COVID-19 vaccine; the agreement is to provide 900 million doses initially with an option for the EC to request up an additional 900 million doses Voyager Therapeutics (VYGR) announces strategic shift and leadership transitions Y-Mabs (YMAB) enters into exclusive distribution agreement with Adium Pharma S.A. for Danyelza® (naxitamab-GQGK) and omburtamab in Latin America Technology, Media & Telecom Cisco Systems (CSCO) Q3 EPS $0.83 vs. est. $0.82; Q3 revs $12.8B vs. est. $12.56B; sees Q4 rev growth 6%-8% YoY (est. $12.82B); sees Q4 EPS $0.81-$0.83 vs. est. $0.85; Continued momentum in transforming business to software and subscriptions: 81% of software revenue sold as a subscription, up from 76% last quarter Waymo is talking to outside investors about raising as much as $4 billion in additional capital to fuel its self-driving efforts. And the company has discussed plans to eventually list publicly, spinning out from its parent Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL), according to people familiar with the plans, Bloomberg reported https://bloom.bg/2Sas0Wk Keysight Technologies (KEYS) 2Q adj EPS $1.44 vs. est. $1.34 on revs $1.22B vs. est. $1.21B; guides 3Q revs $1.205-1.225B vs. est. $1.2B, guides 3Q adj EPS $1.39-1.45 vs. est. $1.38 Synopsys (SNPS) Q2 adj EPS $1.70 vs. est. $1.52; q2 revs $1.024B vs. est. $988.7M; said market demand is strong, and we see a new wave of growth on the horizon, driven by an increasing need for highly complex, connected, specialized, and secure chips and systems; raises FY21 non-GAAP EPS view to $6.38-$6.45 from $6.23-$6.30 and boosts FY21 revenue view to $4.04B-$4.09B from $4.0B-$4.05B, consensus $4.03B Silicon Labs (SLAB) to buy back up to $150M shares ViacomCBS (VIAC) upgraded to Buy from Neutral with a price target of $53, up from $38 at Bank America Procore (PCOR)47M share IPO priced at $67.00
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just passed a fast food joint called "HFC"
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