$HOV

Thursday, September 9, 2021 Following a day of weakness, U.S. stock futures are again looking modestly lower, pulling back along with declines in both Europe and Asia as the spread of the delta strain of Covid-19 continues to weigh on the U.S. economy. This morning, two airlines noted impact to revenues due to a decline in travel. Tech stocks in China fell after regulators again increased pressure on gaming companies for focusing solely on profit. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index declines -173 points to hold just above 30K, the Shanghai Index rose 17 points to 3,693 and the Hang Seng Index dropped over -600 points (2.3%) to settle at 25,716. In Europe, the German DAX is down about -40points to 15,570, while the FTSE 100 tumbles over -80 points (1.2%) to hold around the 7,000 level. Yesterday, Europe’s Stoxx 600 was down 1.0%, marks worst day in nearly 3 weeks as the German Dax down 1.4%, marks worst day since mid-July. Later this morning, we get the European Central Bank (ECB) rate decision at 7:45 AM and press conference at 8:30 AM where investors will look for clues about inflation and or asset tapering. The S&P 500 Index was lower for a third straight session Wednesday amid increasing concerns about economic growth and the ongoing spread of Covid. The Federal Reserve’s Beige Book report showed that economic growth downshifted slightly to a moderate pace from early July through August, largely due to a pullback in dining out, travel and tourism because of consumers’ safety fears. The dollar pared earlier gains, while Treasuries recovered Tuesday’s losses. Market Closing Prices Yesterday · The S&P 500 Index slipped -5.96 points, or 0.13%, to 4,514.07 · The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell -68.93 points, or 0.20%, to 35,031.07 · The Nasdaq Composite dropped -87.69 points, or 0.57%, to 15,286.64 · The Russell 2000 Index declined -25.88 points, or 1.14% to 2,249.73 Events Calendar for Today · 8:30 AM ET Weekly Jobless Claims · 8:30 AM EST Continuing Claims · 10:30 AM ET Weekly EIA Natural Gas Inventory Data · 11:00 AM ET Weekly DOE Inventory Data Earnings Calendar: · Earnings Before the Open: ASO, HOFT, HOV, JILL, LOVE, TUESQ · Earnings After the Close: AFRM, AMRK, AOUT, COOK, CXM, FARM, KLXE, LAKE, PLAY, PWSC, SUMO, VRNT, ZS, ZUMZ Other Key Events: · Barclay’s Global Consumer Staples Conference (virtual) 2021, 9/8-9/10 · Barclay’s CEO Energy-Power Conference 2021 (virtual), 9/8-9/10 · BTIG Cloud Communications and Collaboration Investor Forum (virtual), 9/8 · Citigroup Annual BioPharma Conference (virtual), 9/8-9/10 · Citigroup GEMS Conference 2021 (virtual), 9/8-9/10 · Cowen 14th Annual Global Transportation & Sustainable Mobility Conference, 9/8-9/10 · Credit Suisse 2021 Global Steel & Mining Conference (virtual), 9/8-9/10 · Stephens Building Materials Investor Trip, 9/8-9/9 · Wolfe Inaugural TMT Conference, 9/8-9/9 · Barrington Annual Fall Investment Conference (virtual), 9/9 · DA Davidson Annual Software & Internet Conference (virtual), 9/9 · Deutsche Bank 2021 Technology Conference (virtual), 9/9-9/10 · Goldman Sachs 11th Annual Financial Technology Conference (virtual), 9/9 · Needham 1st Annual Needham Crypto Conference (virtual), 9/9 · Wells Fargo 2021 Healthcare Conference (virtual), 9/9-9/10 Sector News Breakdown Consumer · Lululemon ($LULU) shares rise 10%; 2Q adj EPS $1.65 vs est. $1.19 on revs $1.5B vs est. $1.33B; guides 3Q adj EPS $1.33-1.38 vs est. $1.32, sees 3Q revs $1.4-1.43B vs est. $1.32B; guides FY adj EPS $7.38-7.48 vs est. $6.91; raises year revs to range of $6.19B-$6.26B, compared with its prior range of $5.83B-$5.91B · RH Corp. ($RH) 2Q adj EPS $8.48 vs est. $6.48 on revs $989Mm vs est. $975.5Mm; guides FY revs +31-33% up from prior 25%-30% view and vs est. +29.2% and op margin 24.9-25.5% , sees ROIC 70% vs prior 60%; says currently expecting manufacturing to restart in Vietnam in October with full capacity by end of year · Boston Beer Company Inc ($SAM) shares fell -8%; said since last guidance update market for hard seltzer products has continued to experience decelerating growth trends; believe there will be continuing uncertainty about hard seltzer demand trends for remainder of 2021; said it is withdrawing its 2021 financial guidance issued on July 22, 2021 as EPS will fall below previously-reported estimate of between $18.00-$22.00 · Caesars ($CZR) announced an agreement to sell the non-US assets of William Hill to 888 Holdings for approximately GBP 2.2B · Copart (C$PRT) Q4 non-GAAP EPS $1.03 vs. est. $0.91; Q4 revs $748.6M vs. est. $690.87M · VICI Properties ($VICI) announces offering of 100M shares of common stock · GameStop ($GME) Q2 EPS loss (-$0.76) vs. est. loss (-$0.67); Q2 revs $1.183B vs. est. $1.12B; Ended the period with cash and restricted cash of $1.78B · Calavo Growers ($CVGW) 3Q adj EPS ($0.17) vs est. ($0.05) on revs $285Mm vs est. $281.7Mm · Limoneira ($LMNR) Q3 adj EPS $0.20 vs. est. $0.18; Q3 revs $49.1M vs. est. $48.8M; Agribusiness revenue Q3 includes $24.4M in fresh lemon sales, compared to $35.4M of fresh lemon sales during the same period of fiscal year 2020; approximately 1,144,000 cartons of fresh lemons were sold in aggregate · Torrid ($CURV) 2Q adj EPS $0.36 vs est. $0.16 on sales $332.9Mm vs est. $294.7Mm; guides 3Q sales $305-315Mm vs est. $305.1Mm; guides FY sales $1.29-1.31B vs est. $1.3B Energy, Industrials and Materials · The American Petroleum Institute ($API) reports that crude inventories fell 2.88M barrels last week and gasoline inventories fell 6.41M barrels · United Airlines ($UAL) said it expects third-quarter capacity to fall at least 28% compared with the same period in 2019, as bookings take a hit due to the rise in COVID-19 cases fueled by the Delta variant. · Southwest Airlines ($LUV) said it sees October operating revenue down 20% to 30% vs 2019; expects q4 2021 capacity to increase about 60% YoY and to decrease about 5% vs. Q4 2019 · Sherwin-Williams ($SHW), Axalta Coating (AXTA), and PPG Industries (PPG) all downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Citigroup · ABM Industries ($ABM) Q3 revenue $1.54B vs. est. $1.51B; Q3 EPS from continuing operations $0.90 vs. est. $0.81; sees FY adj eps cont ops $3.45 to $3.55, vs. prior view $3.30 to $3.50 · AeroVironment ($AVAV) Q1 adj EPS loss (-$0.17) vs. est. loss (-$0.24); Q1 revs $101M vs. est. $96.48M; backs FY22 adj EPS view $2.50-$2.70 (est. $2.64) and backs FY22 revenue view $560M-$580M (est. $569.34M) Financials · Digital Realty ($DLR) 6.25M share Spot Secondary priced at $160.50 · Riot Blockchain ($RIOT) produces 441 Bitcoins in August, down from the 444 BTC produced in July; on a Y/Y basis, its production increased 451% from 80 BTC in August 2020. Healthcare · Humanigen ($HGEN) plunges over 50% after U.S. FDA declines emergency use approval for COVID-19 drug; said the FDA declined to grant emergency use authorization for its drug, lenzilumab, to treat patients hospitalized with COVID-19 · ProQR Therapeutics ($PRQR) announces a global licensing and research collaboration with Eli Lilly (LLY) to discover new medicines for genetic disorders in the liver and nervous system, in a deal that could be worth over $1.25B · Avid Biosciences ($CDMO) Q1 EPS $0.10 vs. est. $0.04; Q1 revs $30.8M vs. est. $27.8M; · HealthEquity Corp. ($HQY) 2Q adj EPS $0.40 vs est. $0.36 on revs $189.1Mm vs est. $184.7Mm; guides FY adj EPS $1.45-1.50 vs est. $1.49, sees FY revs $755-765Mm vs est. $762.8Mm; says re: WageWorks have achieved approximately $70 million of the approximately $80 million in annualized ongoing net synergies we expect to achieve by the end of fiscal year 2022. · Cardiff Oncology ($CRDF) updated data from its Phase 1b/2 clinical trial for onvansertib in combination with standard-of-care (SOC) as second-line therapy in patients with KRAS-mutated metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC); said as of data cut off July 2, 2021, eight of 19 (42%) patients who received the recommended Phase 2 dose of onvansertib 15 mg/m2 and were evaluable for disease response achieved a partial response · Turning Point Therapeutics ($TPTX) announces early clinical data for Repotrectinib in NTRK fusion-positive advanced solid tumors selected for late-breaker plenary presentation at 2021 AACR-NCI-EORTC conference · Beauty Health ($SKIN) announces $400M convertible senior notes offering Technology, Media & Telecom · Cisco ($CSCO) downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Morgan Stanley · NetEase ($NTES) and Tencent (TCEHY) tumble again as China’s focus on reining in the power of tech companies hasn’t abated. A report in the South China Morning Post notes that the government will halt approvals for new online games. · Sea Limited ($SE) is looking to sell 11 million ADRs with the option to offer 1.65 million more as part of a so-called green shoe option; it is also raising $2.5 billion in a convertible bond that has a $375 million green shoe attached · SentinelOne ($S) Q2 revenue $45.8M vs. est. $40.4M; Q2 ARR up 127% YoY; total customer count grew more than 75% year-over-year to over 5,400 customers as of July 31; Customers with ARR over $100K grew 140% year-over-year to over 345 as of July 31, 2021; guides year revs $188M-$190M vs. est. $176.4M

/*============================================= = Thursday JUN 03 2021 = =============================================*/ Thursday, June 3, 2021 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow -146.00 0.42% 34,444 S&P 500 -18.25 0.44% 4,187 Nasdaq -62.50 0.46% 13,611 Stock futures are edging lower, with investors expressing some caution ahead of key economic data jobs reports later this morning. Stocks finished Wednesday with slim gains ahead of today’s ADP private payrolls and jobless claims and tomorrow’s nonfarm payrolls. Investors have been closely watching for signs of inflation and indications on whether the Fed could put the brakes on the rebounding U.S. economy sooner than anticipated. Politico is reporting this morning that President Biden wants $1 trillion in new spending in the infrastructure bill. Energy stocks were market leaders on Wednesday, led higher as oil prices advanced on improving demand expectations as the economy strengthens and as the dollar weakens. The benchmark S&P 500 is up about 12% this year, and within about 1% of its record high, as investors anticipate an economic rebound from the coronavirus pandemic. The big story this week remains the strength in a group of stocks favored by retail investors on forums such as Reddit’s WallStreetBets, led this week by surges in AMC Theatres ($AMC), Bed Bath & Beyond ($BBBY), and Blackberry ($BB), following the early year surge in GameStop ($GME) which has not given up its gains. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index rose 111 points to 29,058, the Shanghai Index slipped -12 points to 3,584 and the Hang Seng Index declined -331 points to 28,966. In Europe, the German DAX is lower by about 60 points to 15,540, while the FTSE 100 is down over 50 points to 7,050. Events Calendar for Today 7:30 AM EST Challenger Layoffs for May 8:15 AM EST ADP Employment Change for May…est. 650K 8:30 AM ET Weekly Jobless Claims…est. 390K 8:30 AM EST Continuing Claims…est. 3.615M 8:30 AM EST Q1 Nonfarm Productivity…est. 5.5% 8:30 AM EST Q1 Unit Labor Costs…est. (-0.4%) 9:45 AM EST Markit Composite, May-F…prior 68.1 9:45 AM EST Markit Services PMI, May-F…est. prior 70.1 10:00 AM EST ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI for May…est. 63.0 10:30 AM ET Weekly EIA Natural Gas Inventory Data 11:00 AM ET Weekly DOE Inventory Data Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: $CIEN, $CONN, $DLTH, $EXPR, $HOV, $SCWX, $SJM, $SWIM, $TTC Earnings After the Close: $ASAN, $AVGO, $COO, $CRWD, $DOCU, $FIVE, $IDT, $JOAN, $MDB, $NX, $PD, $PHR, $SAIC, $SUMO, $TLYS, $WORK, $ZUMZ Other Key Events: Bernstein Strategic Decisions Conference (virtual), 6/2-6/4 Cowen 49th Annual TMT Conference (virtual), 6/1-6/3 Goldman Sachs 3rd Asia Spotlight Symposium (virtual), 6/1-6/4 Jefferies Global Healthcare Conference, 6/1-6/3 KeyBanc Capital Markets Industrials & Basic Materials Conference (virtual), 6/1-6/4 Piper Consumer Marketplace Conference (virtual), 6/2-6/4 William Blair 40th Annual Growth Stock Conference (virtual), 6/1-6/3 Wells Fargo Energy Conference (virtual), 6/2-6/3 Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index climbed 6.08 points, or 0.14%, to 4,208.12 The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 25.07 points, or 0.07%, to 34,600.38 The Nasdaq Composite gained 19.85 points, or 0.14%, to 13,756.33 The Russell 2000 Index advanced 3.09 points, or 0.13% to 2,297.83 Macro Up/Down Last Nymex -0.10 68.73 Brent -0.04 71.31 Gold -12.00 1,896.35 EUR/USD -0.0014 1.2197 JPY/USD 0.13 109.69 10-Year Note +0.01 1.601% World News China Caixin services PMI 55.1 vs 56.2 estimate, composite PMI 53.8 vs 54.7 The EIA weekly report on U.S. oil inventories, supply and demand is at 11:00 this morning, pushed back a day due to the Memorial Day holiday. UK May Markit Services PMI (final) higher: 62.9 vs 61.8 consensus Eurozone May Markit Services PMI (final) higher: 55.2 vs 55.1 consensus Sector News Breakdown Consumer PVH Corp. ($PVH) Q1 EPS $1.92 vs. est. $0.83; Q1 revs $2.08B vs. est. $1.93B; Abel-Hodges to Step Down as CEO of Calvin Klein and move to an advisory position; sees Q2 EPS $1.15-$1.18 vs. est. $1.22; sees Q2 revs up 34% to 35% from prior year; raises FY21 EPS view to $6.50 from $6.00 (est. $6.16); raises FY21 revenue growth view to 24%-26% from 22%-24% SpartanNash ($SPTN) Q1 adj EPS $0.56 in-line with ests; Q1 revs $2.66B vs. est. $2.7B; reaffirms FY21 adj EPS view of $1.65-$1.80 (est. $1.76) and also backs FY21 revs view $8.8B-$9B vs. est. $8.93B; now expects that Retail comparable sales will be negative 5.0% to 7.0% for 2021 Sportsman’s Warehouse ($SPWH) Q1 EPS 28c vs. est. loss (4c); Q1 revs $327M vs. est. $252.23M; Q1 comp store sales increased 24.1% YoY; Q1 adjusted EBITDA was $23.5 million compared to $8.2 million in the comparable prior year period Churchill Downs ($CHDN) bans trainer Bob Baffert for 2 years after Kentucky Derby winner Medina Spirit’s second positive drug test Conn’s ($CONN) Q1 adj EPS $1.55 vs. est. 30c; Q1 revs $291.3M vs. est. $293.77M; Q1 comp store sales up 19.4%; Q1 e-commerce sales up 95.7% HeadHunter ($HHR)5M share Secondary priced at $37.00 Energy, Industrials & Materials NRG Energy Inc. ($NRG) and Exelon Corp. ($EXC): watch utilities after suppliers to PJM Interconnection LLC’s grid, which serves more than 65 million people, will get $50 a megawatt-day to provide capacity for the year starting June 2022, according to yesterday auction results – down sharply from $140 in the previous auction, held in 2018 (ests, were for the price to fall to about $85). The results showed that the capacity price for the Chicago-area zone, known as ComEd, was $68.96 compared with $195.55 in the last auction. The price for the Pennsylvania and New Jersey zone, known as EMAAC, fell to $97.86 percent, from $165.73 The American Petroleum Institute ($API) showed a draw of 5.36M barrels of oil for the week ended May 28; gasoline inventories showed a build of 2.51M barrels, distillate inventories show a build of 1.59M barrels and Cushing inventories show a build of 741K barrels Patterson-UTI Energy ($PTEN) reports an average of 72 drilling rigs operating for the month of May, 2021 Westport Fuel ($WPRT)2M share secondary prices at $5.50 Financials The Federal Reserve will begin to unwind the corporate bond holdings it acquired last year through an emergency lending facility launched to calm credit markets at the height of the pandemic, the central bank said. The Fed said the sale of its holdings in the Secondary Market Corporate Credit Facility, which includes bonds of companies purchased in the secondary market and exchange-traded funds that invest in corporate bonds, will be “gradual and orderly.” Cushman & Wakefield ($CWK) announces offering of 10M ordinary shares for holders Arch Capital (ACGL) announces $500 million public offering of depositary shares representing series G preferred shares MarketAxess ($MKTX) May trading volume of $478.7B consists of $204.4B in credit volume and $274.3B in rates volume; total credit volume decreased 10.6% this month year-over-year with a 37.9% rise in Eurobond trading volume. Allstate ($ALL) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Citi Cushman & Wakefield ($CWK) 10M share Spot Secondary priced at $18.75 Healthcare Syneos Health ($SYNH) announces offering of 10.85M shares of common stock for holders Tilray ($TLRY) upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at Cantor Fitzgerald Technology, Media & Telecom com ($BILL) files to sell 10.6M shares of common stock for holders ai ($AI) Q4 EPS loss (24c) vs. est. loss (26c); Q4 revs $52.3M vs. est. $50.6M; sees FY22 revs $243M-$247.0M vs. est. $239.94M Elastic ($ESTC) Q4 adj EPS loss (8c) vs. est. loss (16c); Q4 revs $177.6M vs. est. $157.94M; sees Q1 adj EPS loss (13c)-(10c) vs. est. loss (12c); sees Q1 revs $171M-$173M vs. est. $168.78M; Q4 Revenue of $177.6 million, Up 44% YoY, Q4 SaaS Revenue of $51.3 million, Up 77% YoY and FY21 Revenue of $608.5 million, Up 42% YoY FireEye ($FEYE) entered into a definitive agreement to sell the FireEye Products business, including the FireEye name, to a consortium led by Symphony Technology Group in an all-cash transaction for $1.2B; board approves share repurchase program of up to $500M Guidewire ($GWRE) Q3 adj EPS loss (16c) vs. est. loss (24c); Q3 revs $164M vs. est. $157.74M; sees year revs $732M-$738M up from $725M-$733M prior (est. $730.4M) NetApp ($NTAP) authorizes additional $500M stock buyback; raises quarterly dividend by 4% to 50c per share; Q4 EPS $1.17 vs. est. $1.12; Q4 revs $1.56B vs. est. $1.50B; Q4 billings up 12% at 1.74B; sees Q1 EPS 89c-97c vs. est. 87c; sees Q1 revs $1.37B-$1.47B vs. est. $1.37B Semtech ($SMTC) Q1 adj EPS 53c vs. est. 52c; Q1 revs $170.4M vs. est. $164.31M; Q1 Wireless and Sensing products group net sales increased 7% sequentially and 78% year-over-year for a new record that included record net sales for our LoRa(R) platforms and proximity sensing products; guides Q2 adj EPS 57c-65c vs. est. 57c; sees Q2 revs $177M-$187M vs. est. $169.58M Smartsheet ($SMAR) Q1 Non-Gaap EPS loss (9c) vs. est. loss (14c); Q1 revs $117.1M vs. est. $111.81M; Q1 calculated billings grew 48% YoY to $132.8M; Q2 net operating cash flow was negative $3.0M, net free cash flow was negative $8.2M; number of all customers with annualized contract values (“ACV”) of $5,000 or more grew to 12,655, an increase of 32% YoY; sees FY22 EPS loss (44c)-(36c) vs. est. loss (40c); sees FY22 revenue $510M-$515M vs. est. $502.76M Splunk ($SPLK) Q1 EPS ($2.89) vs. est. loss (70c); Q1 revs $502M vs. est. $491.32M; sees Q2 revenue $550M-$570M vs. est. $561.36M; sees Q2 ARR $2.59B-$2.62B and Q2 Cloud ARR $950M-$960M; said Q1 net loss widened on higher operating expenses, driven in part by its transition to the cloud Cambium Networks ($CMBM) 2M share Secondary priced at $48.00 dLocal ($DLO)41M share IPO priced at $21.00 Flex ($FLEX) files mixed securities shelf

$HOV continues to do well

One bright spot, my $HOV is kicking ass

damn $HOV is a ticker?

home builders make me feel like I'm trading blood diamonds > @In2Learn said: funny how we mostly talk about tech here. Not much about homebuilders that have been booming. Like $HOV

funny how we mostly talk about tech here. Not much about homebuilders that have been booming. Like $HOV

Long some $HOV at 30.95

$HOV raised to $29.00