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recentlyWednesday, September 22, 2021 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow 220.00 0.65% 34,018 S&P 500 26.25 0.61% 4,369 Nasdaq 57.50 0.38% 15,081 Stocks looking to bounce, with U.S. futures sharply higher after last night as reports indicated that troubled Chinese property developer Evergrande’s main unit Hengda Real Estate Group co says will make coupon payment for onshore bond due Sept. 23rd. That buys Evergrande some time, although debt restructuring is still likely. Also, the House passed a bill Tuesday that would temporarily fund the government and suspend the debt limit. The legislation could fail in the Senate, as Minority Leader Mitch McConnell says Republicans will vote against raising the debt ceiling. The government would shut down on Oct. 1 and the U.S. would be unable to pay its bills sometime in October if Congress does not pass legislation addressing both issues. Bond markets unphased by the news with the 10-year stuck around 1.33%. Meanwhile, the FOMC began its 2-day meeting yesterday and announces its policy decision and releases its economic projections today at 14 2:00 PM ET and Chairman Powell follows with the press conference at 2:30 ET. In corporate news, shares of transportation giant Fed-Ex (FDX) slides over 5% after cutting its profit outlook on higher costs and stalled growth in shipments, while Adobe ($ADBE) slips after 3Q update disappointed the high expectations of investors. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index reopened, falling -200 points to 29,639, the Shanghai Index rises 14 points to 3,629 and the Hang Seng Index gains 122 points to 24,221. In Europe, the German DAX is up 110 points to 15,450, while the FTSE 100 rises over 80 points to 7,070. Bitcoin prices recover, above $42,000 after briefly dropping below $40K last night. Markets have been put on edge this week by trouble in the Chinese property market, especially the precarious situation of its largest builder of homes, Evergrande. The company is a massive issuer of debt both inside China and offshore to international investors. Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index slipped -3.58 points, or 0.08%, to 4,354.15 The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost -47.93 points, or 0.14%, to 33,922.54 The Nasdaq Composite gained 32.49 points, or 0.22%, to 14,746.40 The Russell 2000 Index advanced 3.98 points, or 0.18% to 2,186.18 Economic Calendar: 7:00 AM ET MBA Mortgage Applications Data 10:00 AM ET Existing Home Sales MoM for August 10:30 AM ET Weekly DOE Inventory Data 2:00 PM ET FOMC Rate Decision (no change to rate or asset taper expected) Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: $GIS Earnings After the Close: $FUL, $KBH, $SCS Other Key Events: Credit Suisse 2021 Consumer Retail Conference (virtual), 9/21-9/22 Credit Suisse 7th Annual Oil & Gas Non-Bus Tour (virtual), 9/21-9/23 DA Davidson Diversified Industrials & Services Conference (virtual), 9/22-9/23 Goldman Sachs 30th Annual Communacopia Conference (virtual), 9/21-9/23 JPMorgan 12th Annual U.S. All Stars Conference (virtual), 9/21-9/23 Oppenheimer Fall Healthcare Life Sciences & MedTech Summit (virtual), 9/20-9/23 Roth Capital 8th Annual Solar Symposium (virtual), 9/20-9/23 Sidoti Fall Small Cap Conference (virtual), 9/22-9/23 Stephen’s 11th Annual Bank Forum, in Little Rock, AR, 9/20-9/22 Wells Fargo 4th Annual Consumer Conference (virtual), 9/22-9/23 Macro Up/Down Last Nymex 1.18 71.67 Brent 1.09 75.45 Gold -3.20 1,775.00 EUR/USD 0.0005 1.1728 JPY/USD 0.32 109.53 10-Year Note +0.009 1.333% Sector News Breakdown Consumer StitchFix ($SFIX) 4Q EPS $0.19 vs est. ($0.13) on revs $571.2Mm vs est. $547.9Mm, qtrly active clients 4.2Mm +18%; guides 1Q net revs $560-575Mm vs est. $588Mm; sees FY22 net revs at least +15% yr/yr vs est. +18% Freshworks ($FRSH)5M share IPO priced at $36.00 Hyatt Hotels ($H) announced a public offering of 7M shares of common stock Shares in Entain ($GMVHY) rise after the owner of bookmakers Bwin, Coral and Ladbrokes said it was considering an improved 2800p takeover bid from U.S. rival DraftKings, having rejected an earlier 2500p offer from the latter. Energy, Industrials & Materials FedEx ($FDX) 1Q adj EPS $4.37 vs est. $4.91 on revs $22B vs est. $21.9B, adj op margin 6.8% vs est. 8.5%; guides FY adj EPS $19.75-21.00 vs est. $$21.10; sees CAPEX $7.2B The American Petroleum Institute ($API) showed a draw of 6.11M barrels of oil for the week ending September 17; showed a draw of 432K barrels, distillate inventories show a draw of 2.72M barrels and Cushing inventories show a draw of 1.75M barrels k.a. Brands Holding ($AKA) 10M share IPO priced at $11.00 Core & Main ($CNM) announced its addition to the Russell 1000 index BHP’s Cerro Colorado copper mine in Chile is granted another 90 days to obtain environmental approval for its operational continuity plan, the country’s First Environmental Court says, agreeing to suspend a ban on pumping water from an aquifer during the period Financials LPL Financial ($LPLA) reported total advisory and brokerage assets at end of Aug about $1.16 trillion, up 2.4% vs end of July 2021 Armada Hoffler Properties ($AHH) was started at a Buy with a $15 price target at Stifel who says it is attractively priced when accounting for its moderate growth and average leverage JPMorgan Chase (JPM) raised its quarterly dividend to $1.00 from $0.90, payable October 31 to shareholders of record on October 6 Coinbase ($COIN) intends to publicly roll out a proposal for a regulatory framework to federal officials in the coming days, CoinDesk reported last night. The report follows news from last week when Coinbase said it was cancelling plans for its “Lend” platform after the Securities and Exchange Commission threatened to sue the company over the product VersaBank ($VBNK)5M share IPO priced at $10.00 Healthcare The U.S. House of Representatives approved a bill enabling banks to do business with cannabis companies without fear of penalty, Bloomberg reports. The so-called SAFE Banking Act would be a boon for marijuana companies (watch shares of $TLRY, $CGC, $GTBIF, $CURLF, $TCNNF) Biogen ($BIIB) launch of Aduhelm having slower than projected sales has led the company to consider cost-cutting measures including layoffs, stat news reports, citing an unidentified person familiar with the matter. Just over 100 patients infused w/ Aduhelm as of sept. 11: STAT News bluebird bio ($BLUE) submitted a Biologics License Application (BLA) to the FDA for betibeglogene autotemcel (beti-cel) gene therapy for patients with β-thalassemia who require regular red blood cell transfusions Incyte ($INCY) said the FDA approved its co’s Opzelura cream for treating eczema with boxed warnings, flagging risks of serious infections, increased risk of heart attack, stroke, or cardiac death. The drug belongs to a class of treatments known as JAK inhibitors, which have been under the FDA’s scrutiny over safety risks Amwell ($AMWL) announced the appointment of Robert Shepardson to the position of CFO and Head of M&A. Shepardson will join the company as CFO on October 31st and will work together during a transition period through the end of 2021 with current CFO Keith W. Anderson Johnson & Johnson ($JNJ) said that a large, global study showed its Covid-19 vaccine is more effective when given as a two-dose regimen, and that other data indicate the efficacy of the vaccine does not wane. – STAT News Rhythm Pharmaceuticals ($RYTM) said that Britain’s Medicines & Healthcare Products Regulatory Agency has granted marketing authorization to Imcivree (setmelanotide) for the treatment of obesity and the control of hunger associated with genetically confirmed loss-of-function biallelic pro-opiomelanocortin (POMC) Technology, Media & Telecom Adobe ($ADBE) 3Q adj EPS $3.11 vs est. $3.01 on revs $3.94B vs est. $3.89B, qtrly digital media annualized recurring revs $11.67B; guides 4Q adj EPS $3.18 vs est. $3.08 Coherent ($COHR) was downgraded to Neutral with a $273 price target from Positive at Susquehanna J2 Global board ($JCOM) announced that its board approved its previously announced separation into two independent publicly traded companies – J2 Global, Inc., which will be known as Ziff Davis, Inc. after the separation Liberty Global ($LBTYA) is selling its Poland operations to iliad S.A.’s Polish mobile subsidiary Play for PLN7B ($1.8B) subject to customary debt and working capital adjustments. Marin Software ($MRIN) said it entered into a Revenue Share Agreement with Google LLC ($GOOGL) for the Company to develop its enterprise tech platform and software products. The Agreement is effective as of October 1, 2021. Toast ($TOST)74M share IPO priced at $40.00 Warner Music Group ($WMG) announced a sale of 2.34M shares of common stock by affiliates of access industries and the company will not receive any proceeds from the offering Ambarella ($AMBA) upgraded to Overweight from Sector Weight at KeyBanc
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recentlyThursday, August 5, 2021 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow 55.00 0.16% 34,745 S&P 500 9.25 0.22% 4,404 Nasdaq 33.50 0.22% 15,107 U.S. futures are looking up modestly, rising roughly about 0.2% across the board into one of the heaviest days of corporate earnings of the season, as major averages continue to hold not far off record highs. The S&P 500 index has held the pivotal 4,400 level for over a week now, as overall major averages have moved sideways for two or three weeks now, bolstered by rising on better economic data, earnings results, and an accommodative Fed, which has offset rising Delta variant concerns and fears of further global restrictions to contain the rise in cases and tighter government restrictions in China. Oil prices edge higher after sliding sharply the last 3-days on demand concerns. Bitcoin prices are down about 4% holding just above the $38,000 level while Ethereum slips nearly 4% to 2,600 in the crypto sector. Ahead of tomorrow’s nonfarm payrolls report, investors will get two more labor market data points with the Challenger jobs report at 7:30 and the weekly jobless claims. Euro Stoxx 50 rises 0.5% around best levels for the week. Wednesday’s after-hours big-name earnings were disappointing for the most part, which could weigh on sentiment. Major averages ended the session mixed on Wednesday, following conflicting signals on the economy that showed a hot services sector, but a labor market that continues to struggle to find workers. The Institute for Supply Management survey on Wednesday jumped to a record high of 64.1 in July, but the ADP Employment Report showed private payrolls only rose by 330,000 last month, well shy of the 695,000 estimate ahead of tomorrow’s payrolls. The Dow Jones saw the biggest fall, dragged lower by a decline of more than 6% in Amgen in the wake of its quarterly results, accounting for about 103 points to the downside while energy was the weakest sector on the day, suffering its biggest daily percentage drop since July 19. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index gained 144 points to 27,728, the Shanghai Index dipped -10 points to 3,466 and the Hang Seng Index declined -221 points (0.84%) to settle at 26,204. In Europe, markets are little changed as the German DAX is up a few points at the 15,700 level, while the FTSE 100 is down a couple of points at 7.120. Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index slipped -20.49 points, or 0.46%, to 4,402.66 The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell -323.73 points, or 0.92%, to 34,792.67 The Nasdaq Composite edged higher 19.24 points, or 0.13%, to 14,780.53 The Russell 2000 Index declined -27.26 points, or 1.23% to 2,196.32 Events Calendar for Today 7:30 AM ET Challenger Job Layoffs for July 8:30 AM ET Weekly Jobless Claims 8:30 AM EST Continuing Claims 10:30 AM ET Weekly EIA Natural Gas Inventory Data Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: ABMD, ADNT, AES, AHCO, AKBA, AMRS, ARWR, AVEO, BBGI, BCRX, BDX, BERY, BKI, BLDR, BLL, BV, CAH, CARS, CCOI, CHH, CI, CNP, COMM, CRAI, DDOG, DIN, DLX, DUK, ECOM, EPAM, EPC, EVRG, FOUR, GCP, GNL, GOGO, GOLF, GTN, HBI, HBIO, HII, HL, IDCC, INSM, IRM, IRWD, ITI, K, KPTI, LAMR, LAUR, LNG, LXP, MMS, MPLN, MRNA, MUR, MYE, NINE, NS, NTLA, PCTY, PBH, PBPB, PEI, PENN, PH, PNW, PPL, PRTY, PWR, PZZA, RC, RDUS, REGN, ROLL, SEAS, SSYS, TEN, THS, TRGP, UFS, USPH, VG, VIAC, VST, W, WD, WOW, WRK, XEC, XERS, XTNT, XXII, YETI, ZIXI, ZTS Earnings After the Close: AAOI, AEE, AEL, AIG, AINV, ALRM, ALTR, AMBC, APLE, APPN, ARNA, ASTG, AVLR, AXON, BAND, BECN, BGS, BHF, BIGC, BKD, BL, BRBR, BRKS, BYND, CARG, CDXS, CGNX, CHRS, CHUY, CLNE, CNXN, COLD, CSOD, CVNA, CWK, DBX, DHX, DIOD, EB, ECOR, EGLE, ENTA, ENV, ERII, EXEL, EXPE, FEYE, FLDM, FLS, FND, FOXF, FSR, FTSI, G, GDYN, GEOS, GH, GKOS, GPRO, GRPN, GSBD, HASI, HCAT, HCI, HEAR, HTA, IFF, ILMN, IHRT, IOVA, IRTC, ITT, JCOM, KALA, KAMN, LGF.A, LNT, LOCO, LTHM, MAIN, MDRX, MNST, MP, MSI, MTW, MTZ, NET, NKTR, NVAX, NWSA, NYMT, OLED, OUT, PBYI, PK, PODD, POST, PRA, QDEL, RAMP, RDFN, REZI, RMD, RUN, SFM, SGMO, SHAK, SPCE, SQ, SYNA, TDC, TGH, TMDX, TMST, TRUE, TRUP, TTOO, VLDR, VMEO, VOYA, VV, WSC, Y, YELP, ZEUS, ZG, ZNGA Macro Up/Down Last Nymex 0.37 68.52 Brent 0.26 70.64 Gold 0.40 1,811.75 EUR/USD 0.0005 1.1842 JPY/USD 0.03 109.51 10-Year Note -0.004 1.19% Sector News Breakdown Consumer Boot Barn ($BOOT) Q1 EPS $1.35 vs est. $0.88 in revs $306.3M vs est. $288.9M; same-store sales +78.9% vs 1Q20, +52.3% vs 1Q19; opened 3 new stores in the quarter Costco ($COST) reported total comparable sales for July of +13.8%; July U.S. comparable sales excluding fuel, currencies +8.5% L.F. Beauty ($ELF) 1Q EPS $0.15 vs est. $0.15 on sales $97Mm vs est. $79.3Mm; guides FY adj EPS $0.65-0.68 vs est. $0.67, sees FY sales $356-364Mm vs est. $350.5Mm Etsy Inc. ($ETSY) shares tumble -13% on guidance; 2Q EPS $0.68 vs est. $0.63 on revs $528.9Mm vs est. $524.7Mm, qtrly consolidated GMS $3.0B +13%; guides 3Q revs $500-525Mm vs est. $524.7Mm, sees 3Q GMS $2.9-3.0B Frontdoor Inc. ($FTDR) Q2 EPS $0.76 vs est. $0.63 on revs $462M vs est. $466M, sees Q3 revenue $470M-$480M, lowered FY revenue outlook to $1.6B-$1.62B (est. $1.64B) from $1.63B-$1.65B Jack in the Box ($JACK) Q3 EPS $1.79 vs est. $1.49 on revs $269.5M vs est. $258.5M, same-store sales +10.2%, systemwide sales +10.6%, company-operated same-store sales +9.0%, sees FY21 capex $40M-$45M, FY22 capex $65M-$75M Leslie’s ($LESL) Q3 adj EPS $0.64 vs. est. $0.55; Q3 revs $596.54M vs. est. $570.37M; Q3 comparable sales growth of 23.9%; raises FY21 adjusted EPS view 80c-85c from 75c-80c (est. 77c) and boosts FY21 revs to $1.31B-$1.33B from $1.28B-$1.3B (est. $1.3B); Adjusted EBITDA of $179.3 million compared to $119.8 million in the prior year quarter, an increase of 49.7% MGM Resorts ($MGM) 2Q adj EPS ($0.13) vs est. ($0.30) on net revs $2.3B vs est. $2.28B, MGM China net revs $311Mm, LV Strip net revs $1.0B, regional net revs $856Mm Rent-A-Center ($RCII) 2Q adj EPS $1.63 vs est. $1.35 on revs $1.2B vs est. $1.14B, qtrly comps +16.6% led by e-comm; guides FY revs $4.55-4.67B vs est. $4.56B, sees Rent-A-Center segment revs $2.02-2.06B, sees FY adj EPS $5.90-6.40 vs est. $5.66; announces $250Mm repurchase auth Uber ($UBER) Q2 EPS $0.58 on revs $3.93B vs. est. $3.74B; Q2 gross bookings grew 114% yoy to $21.9 billion, or 104% on a constant currency basis, with Mobility Gross Bookings of $8.6 billion and Delivery Gross Bookings of $12.9 billion; Q2 Adj EBITDA Loss $509M vs. est. loss $324.5M; sees Q3 Adj EBITDA loss below $100M vs. est. loss $95.4M Wynn Resorts (WYNN) 2Q adj EPS ($1.12) vs est. ($1.61) on revs $990.1Mm vs est. $932.5Mm, Wynn Macau revs $184Mm, LV ops revs $355.1Mm ADT Inc. ($ADT) adj EPS ($0.07) vs est. $0.25 on revs $1.304B vs est. $1.28B; Gross recurring monthly revenue (RMR) additions grew 28%; end of period RMR of $352 million increased by 4%; solid customer retention with attrition at 13.3% Driven Brands ($DRVN) 12M share Secondary priced at $29.50 European Wax Center ($EWCZ)6M share IPO priced at $17.00 Weber ($WEBR) 18M (which was cut down from 46.8M) share IPO priced at $14.00 Energy APA Inc. ($APA) Q2 adj EPS $0.70 vs. est. $0.57’ Q2 revs $1.75B vs. est. $1.46B; qtrly adjusted production, which excludes Egypt noncontrolling interest and tax barrels, was 342,000 boe per day; at current strip prices, we expect to generate approximately $1.7B of free cash flow this year Earthstone Energy ($ESTE) files for offering of up to 6.2 mln shares of class a common stock by selling stockholders Marathon Oil ($MRO) Q2 EPS $0.22 vs. est. $0.15; Q2 revs $1.14B vs. est. $1.09B; Q2 oil-equivalent production of 348,000 net boed; raising 2021 full year oil-equivalent production guidance by 5,000 net boed; Q2 oil production of 170,000 net bopd; raised quarterly base dividend by 25% to 5c; raising the midpoint of its 2021 full year U.S. oil-equivalent production guidance by 5,000 net boed Warrior Met Coal ($HCC) 2Q adj EPS $0.25 vs est. ($0.18) on revs $227.4Mm vs est. $128.3Mm; not providing FY guide at this time Whiting Petroleum ($WLL) Q2 adj EPS $3.01 vs. est. $1.97; Q2 revs $352M vs. est. $244.27M; said generated net cash provided by operating activities of $183M and $111M in adjusted free cash flow during the quarter and over $200 million through six months; raises FY21 production view to 88-92 MBOE per day from 82-88 Financials Allstate Corp. ($ALL) Q2 adj EPS $3.79 vs. est. $3.04; Q2 revs $12.65B vs. est. $10.51B; announces new $5B repurchase program; 2Q Book Value Per Shr $86.33; Q2 Catastrophe Loss $952M; Q2 Property-Liability Premiums Earned $10.01B; 2Q Property-Liability Premiums Written $10.32B;2Q Property-Liability Combined Ratio 95.7 Fleetcor ($FLT) Q2 EPS $2.30 vs est. $2.94, adj EPS $3.15, on revs $667.4M vs est. $637.3M; its board increased its share repurchase authorization by$1B; sees Q3 adj EPS $3.35-$3.55 vs est. $3.36, and raised outlook for FY adj EPS to $12.80-$13 (est. $12.61) from $12.32-$12.88 and FY revs to $2.74B-$2.79B (est. $2.68B) from $2.6B-$2.7B Lemonade ($LMND) Q2 EPS loss (-$0.90) vs. est. loss (-$0.89); Q2 revs $28.2M vs. est. $26.8M; customer count increased by 48% to 1,206,172 yoy; premium per customer, defined as in force premium divided by customers, was $246 at the end of the second quarter, up 29% yoy; raises FY21 revenue view to $123M-$125M from $117M-$120M (est. $118.94M); narrows FY21 adjusted EBITDA view to ($173M)-($169M) from ($173M)-($163M) Lincoln National ($LNC) Q2 adj operating EPS $3.17 vs. est. $2.35; Q2 revs $4.85B vs. est. $4.72B; Reports book value per share, including AOCI, of $115.00, up 7%; BVPS, excluding AOCI, of $75.45, up 9% MetLife ($MET) announces new $3B share repurchase authorization; Q2 adj EPS $2.37 vs. est. $1.57; Q2 revs $18.52M vs. est. $15.77B; qtrly premiums, fees & other revenues $11.22 bln vs $10.49 bln; qtrly net investment income $5.28 bln vs $4.09 bln; book value of $75.86 per share at qtr-end, down 4% from $78.65 per share at June 30, 2020 RE/MAX Holdings ($RMAX) 2Q adj EPS $0.63 vs est. $1.31 on revs $77.2Mm vs est. $76.4Mm; guides 3Q revs $86.5-91.5Mm vs est. $79.1Mm; sees FY revs $321-336Mm vs est. $308.7Mm Western Union (WU) Q2 adj EPS $0.48 vs. est. $0.47; Q2 revs $1.3B vs. est. $1.26B; reaffirms FY21 adj EPS view $2.00-$2.10 vs. est. $2.06; reaffirms FY21 revenue growth view mid-to-high single digits; Consumer-to-Consumer (C2C) transactions increased 15% in the quarter, while revenues increased 15% on a reported basis, or 12% constant currency. Robinhood ($HOOD) filed with the SEC a prospectus related to the offer and sale from time to time of up to 97,876,033 shares of Class A common stock of Robinhood Markets, Inc. by certain selling stockholders
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