Jack Henry & Associates, Inc.
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Upside momentum continues with S&P futures edging higher, looking to make it a 9th straight day of gains overall, and the Nasdaq Composite looking at an 11th straight day of advances, with no signs of caution by investors heading into key inflation data today and tomorrow. The producer price index (PPI) for October is expected at 8:30 AM, and the consumer price index (CPI) tomorrow, but still no concerns exhibited in the bond market with the 10-year yield at its lowest level in 2-weeks around 1.45%, while gold prices are steady at $1,829 an ounce. The S&P 500 closed at an all-time high for the eighth consecutive session last night, extending the longest winning streak since 1997, as investors added the impact of $1 trillion in fresh government stimulus. That coupled with removed travel lockdowns, a strong earnings season, and positive vaccine news has boosted stocks over the last month. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index fell -0.75% to 29.285, the Shanghai Index gained 0.24% to settle at 3,507 and the Hang Seng Index rose 0.2% to 24,813. In Europe, the German DAX is up 45 points to 16,090, while the FTSE 100 rise 0.2% to 7,313. Stocks keep pushing higher, making new all time highs each day the past week for the Dow, Nasdaq, S&P 500 and Russell 2000. Events Calendar for Today 6:00 AM ET NFIB Small Business Optimism Index for Oct 7:45 AM ET ICSC Weekly Retail Sales 8:30 AM ET Producer Price Index MoM for October…est. 0.6% 8:30 AM ET Producer Price Index YoY for Oct…est. 8.7% 8:30 AM ET PPI Ex: Food & Energy MoM for October…est. 0.5% 8:30 AM ET PPI Ex Food & Energy YoY for October…est. 6.8% 8:55 AM ET Johnson/Redbook Weekly Sales 4:30 PM ET API Weekly Inventory Data Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: AFI, AGEN, APRN, BSY, CAH, CCO, CEVA, CNCE, CORR, CSII, CTG, DRNA, EBIX, ECOM, FSS, HAE, HAIN, HCI, HGV, HRMY, IGT, IIVI, ITCI, KPLT, MIDD, MRNS, MRSN, MSGE, OCGN, OSG, OWL, PLTR, PRPL, PRTY, SEAS, SSTI, STWD, SYY, TGI, VCEL, WHF, WKHS, WNC, WRK, XPEL Earnings After the Close: ACHV, AIRG, ALTO, ARLO, ASH, AVID, AXON, CALA, CCXI, CLPT, CNNE, COIN, CPRX, CPSI, CRIS, DAR, DASH,DNUT, DOCS, DSP, DV, EGAN, ELY, EPAY, EPM, EVBG, FC, FGEN, FLGT, FUBO, G, GO, HCKT, HYLN, ID, INO, KODK, LAW, LGND, LPRO, MCFE, MNKD, MODN, NVTS, OCX, ORGO, PAR, PAY, PAYS, PLUG, POSH, PUBM, PXLW, REI, RNG, RPAY, SAIL, SCSC, SEER, SGMS, SILK, SKIN, TMDX, TWNK, TWOU, U, UPST, VERI, VRM, VZIO, WES, WYNN Other Key Events: Baird 51st Annual Global Industrial Conference, 11/9-11/12 (virtual) Bank America 2021 Banking & Financials Conference, 11/9-11/10 (virtual) Cowen 7th Annual Software Bus Tour, 11/9/110 (virtual) Credit Suisse 30th Annual Healthcare Conference, 11/8-11/11 (virtual) JPMorgan Global Consumer, Retail & Luxury Conference, 11/8-11/11 (virtual) EEI Financial Conference, 11/7-11/9 (virtual) REITWorld 2021 Annual Conference, 11/9-11/12 (virtual) China PPI, CPI and M2 Money Supply for October Sector News Breakdown Consumer AMC Entertainment ($AMC) Q3 EPS ($0.44) vs est. ($0.53) on revenue $763.2M vs est. $708.3M; currently has liquidity availability over $1.8B, does not anticipate the need to borrow under revolver lines over the next 12 months CarLotz ($LOTZ) 3Q EPS ($0.03) vs est. ($0.21) on revs $68Mm vs est. $55.2Mm, will continue to open new hubs in 2022, though fewer than in 2021; says expects sequential qtrly improvement in retail units sold and retail GPU in 4Q Clarus Corp ($CLAR) 3Q adj EPS $0.50 vs est. $0.48 on sales $109Mm vs est. $106.1Mm; guides FY sales $362.5Mm vs est. $359.7Mm Freshpet ($FRPT) shares fell -14%; Q3 EPS (5c) vs est. 7c profit on revenue $107.6M vs est. $115.5M; now sees FY sales approx. $445M from prior guidance of sales exceeding $445M, adj EBITDA approx. $50M from prior view above $61M Hertz ($HTZZ)5M share Secondary priced at $29.00 R. Horton ($DHI) Q4 EPS $3.70 vs. est. $3.40; Q4 revs $8.1B vs. est. $7.94B; consolidated pre-tax profit margin improved 480 basis points to 21.3% and consolidated pre-tax income increased 63% to $1.7B; Q4 net sales orders down 33% to 15,949 homes; sees FY22 revenue $32.5B-$33.5B above consensus $32.22B International Flavors & Fragrances Inc. ($IFF) Q3 EPS $1.47 vs. est. $1.16; Q3 revs $3.07B vs. est. $2.61B; sees FY21 revs $11.55B vs. est. $10B; sees FY21 adjusted operating EBITDA margin 21% Inter Parfums ($IPAR) Q3 EPS $1.20 vs. est. $0.68; Q3 revs $263M vs. est. $262.69M; said our largest brands, notably Montblanc, Jimmy Choo, Coach, GUESS and Lanvin performed exceptionally well in the Q3 turning in gains of 26%, 40%, 98%, 27%, and 37%, respectively, as compared to 2019’s third quarter Jack Henry Associates ($JKHY) 1Q EPS $1.38 vs est. $1.32 on revs $488.1Mm vs est. $489.4Mm; guides FY adj revs $1.87-1.875B vs est. $1.91B, sees FY EPS $4.64-4.73 vs est. $4.59 Masonite ($DOOR) 3Q adj EPS $1.99 vs est. $1.87 on revs $652Mm vs est. $675Mm; guides FY adj EPS $7.95-8.25 vs est. $8.13, sees FY sales +15-17% vs est. +18.6% RealReal ($REAL) Q3 adj EPS ($0.47) vs est. ($0.50) on revenue $119M vs est. $113.3M, adj EBITDA ($31.5M) vs est. ($36M), gross profit per order $94 vs $90 YoY, GMV $368M was +50% vs 2020 and +46% vs 2019, orders 757k (+38% YoY) ThredUp ($TDUP) 3Q EPS ($0.15) vs est. ($0.16) on revs $63.3Mm vs est. $61.8Mm, qtrly active buyers 1.4Mm and orders 1.3Mm (+14% and 28%, respectively); guides 4Q revs $69-71Mm vs est. $62.8Mm Trex Company ($TREX) Q3 EPS $0.64 vs. est. $0.58; Q3 revs $336M vs. est. $325.6M; guides Q4 revs $295M-$305M vs. est. $276.3M; Net income grew 73% to $74M; diluted earnings per share of $0.64, up 73%; EBITDA grew 76% to $108M; EBITDA margin of 32.2% Energy, Industrials and Materials General Electric ($GE) to split into three public companies – GE Aviation, GE Healthcare, and the combined GE Renewable Energy, GE Power, and GE Digital businesses to become three industry-leading, global, investment-grade public companies Advanced Energy Industries, Inc. ($AEIS) Q3 adj EPS $0.89 vs. est. $0.82; Q3 revs $346.1M vs. est. $341.52M; sees Q4 adj EPS 92c plus/minus 25c vs. est. $1.12; sees Q4 revs $355M plus/minus $20M vs. est. $373.09M. Amyris, Inc. ($AMRS) shares fell -25%; 3Q adj EPS ($0.27) vs est. ($0.15) on revs $48Mm vs est. $64.2Mm; sees FY revs $330-370Mm vs est. $391.6Mm; says supply chain challenges impacting near-term performance and growth trajectory Cabot ($CBT) Q4 adj EPS $1.01 vs. est. $1.03; Q4 revs $904M vs. est. $915.01M; Q4 Reinforcement Materials led the way delivering an increase in EBIT of $167 million while Performance Chemicals also recorded strong results; sees FY22 EPS $5.20-$5.60 vs. est. $5.52 Virgin Galactic ($SPCE) Q3 EPS loss (-$0.32) vs. est. loss (-$0.28); Q3 revs $2.6M vs. est. $1.6M; commercial service on track for q4 2022; strong ticket sales at updated pricing of $450,000 per seat; cash position remains strong at approximately $1.0 billion Financials CoreCivic, Inc. ($CXW) Q3 adj FFO/share $0.48, adj EPS $0.28 vs est. $0.18, revenue $471.2M vs est. $467.1M, adj EBITDA $100.9M vs est. $85.3M; is not providing full-year guidance due to uncertainties surrounding the resurgence of Covid-19 caused by the Delta variant and the administration’s executive actions and policies related to immigration and criminal justice, but will provide FY22 guidance in February when reporting 4Q21 results Cohen & Steers, Inc. ($CNS) preliminary assets under management of $101.6 billion as of October 31, 2021, an increase of $4.3 billion from assets under management at September 30, 2021. The increase was due to net inflows of $138 million and market appreciation of $4.4 billion, partially offset by distributions of $203 million. First Advantage ($FA) files to sell 15M shares of common stock for holders Lemonade Inc. ($LMND) will acquire Metromile in an all-stock transaction that implies a fully diluted equity value of approximately $500 million, or just over $200 million net of cash PayPal ($PYPL) Q3 non-GAAP EPS $1.11 vs. est. $1.07; Q3 revs $6.18B vs. est. $6.23B; Q3 total payment volume of $310B, growing 26%, and 24% on an FX-neutral basis; 4.9 billion payment transactions in qtr, up 22%; expects to add about 55Mm NNAs, including about 3 million active accounts from the acquisition of Paidy; 13.3M NNAs added in qtr , bringing total active accounts to 416 million, up 15%; expects FY TPV growth to be in the range of about 33%-34% at current spot rates and about 31%-32% on an FX basis Robinhood ($HOOD) said a third party had obtained access to email addresses of about 5 mln of its customers, while full names for a different group of nearly 2 mln people in an incident, which took place on Nov. 3; said 310 people had more personal information, including names, birth, dates and zip codes compromised, while 10 customers had more extensive account details revealed Third Coast Bancshares ($TCBX)5M share IPO priced at $25.00
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Monday, November 8, 2021 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow 72.00 0.20% 36,287 S&P 500 4.25 0.09% 4,694 Nasdaq 9.00 0.06% 16,360 U.S. futures are looking to open at new record highs (again) after Washington passed a smaller form of its highway, broadband and other infrastructure improvement spending deal this weekend, as the $1 trillion infrastructure bill passed through Congress on Friday. A very important week of economic data coming up with monthly CPI, PPI inflation data mid-week. Crypto assets rising to records ahead of the inflation reports as Bitcoin up 8% nearing $66K, Ethereum record highs up over 6% above $4,700, Litecoin tops $200, up over 5.75% as crypto assets surging again. Tech futures underperform following weakness in Tesla (TSLA) after its CEO Elon Musk on Saturday asked his 62.5 million followers on Twitter in a poll if he should sell 10% of his Tesla stock. The world’s richest person had previously said he could face a “massive” tax bill this year as he has to exercise a large number of stock options coming due next year. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index fell -100 points to 29,507, the Shanghai Index rose 0.2% to just under 3,500, and the Hang Seng Index declined 100 points to 24,763. In Europe, the German DAX is down about -0.1% at 16,035, while the FTSE 100 is flat holding just above 7,300. Last week the S&P 500, Nasdaq and Dow notched their fifth straight weekly advances (longest streak for the S&P since Aug 2020); for the week, the S&P 500 rose 2%, the Dow added 1.42%, the Nasdaq gained 3.05% and the Russell 200o over 6%. The Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) notched its 10th winning session in a row on Friday while the S&P 500 scored another record high on Friday and booked a week of solid gains following a strong U.S. jobs report and positive data for Pfizer’s experimental pill against COVID-19, which helped boost travel and other economic reopen sectors. The news kept the run going for equities after investors earlier in the week digested the Federal Reserve’s decision to start reducing its monthly bond purchases put in place to support the economy. Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index gained 17.47 points, or 0.37%, to 4,697.53 The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 203.72 points, or 0.56%, to 36,327.95 The Nasdaq Composite climbed 31.28 points, or 0.20%, to 15,971.59 The Russell 2000 Index advanced 34.65 points, or 1.44% to 2,437.08 Events Calendar for Today No major U.S. economic data Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: ATRO, AXSM, BKI, COTY, DS, EDIT, EHTH, GATO, GTES, HLIO, KOS, LINC, NERV, NSSC, RDNT, RDUS, RETA, THS, TTD, USFD, VAC, VUZI, WOW, ZIXI Earnings After the Close: ACAD, AEIS, AEL, AMBC, AMC, AMPH, AMRS, APEI, APPF, APTS, ASUR, ATER, AVEO, BAND, BRP, CARA, CBT, CHRS, CLRS, CLOV, CSSE, CSTL, CXW, DDD, DOOR, ENV, FIVN, FLDM, FRPT, FSK, FTK, GOSS, HIL, IEA, IFF, IIN, INST, IPAR, JKHY, KERN, LMND, LOTZ, MRC, MRTX, MWA, NCMI, NEWR, NNI, NVRO, NVTA, OCIUL, OUST, PRA, PRI, PRIM, PYPL, RBLX, REAL, SANM, SCOR, SDC, SNCR, SPCE, SWSP, SWAV, SWX, TCMD, TREX, TRIP, TWO, XNCR, ZIOP, ZNGA Other Key Events: Credit Suisse 30th Annual Healthcare Conference, 11/8-11/11 (virtual) JPMorgan Global Consumer, Retail & Luxury Conference, 11/8-11/21 (virtual) EEI Financial Conference, 11/7-11/9 (virtual) REITWorld 2021 Annual Conference, 11/9-11/12 (virtual) Macro Up/Down Last Nymex 1.22 82.49 Brent 1.09 83.83 Gold -0.50 1,818.50 EUR/USD -0.0002 1.1564 JPY/USD 0.05 113.46 10-Year Note +0.032 1.485% World News China’s export growth moderated slightly to 27.1% yoy in October, above the 22.8% consensus expectation, implying a sequential gain of 2.6% in October (a modest slowdown from +3.0% in September) despite electricity constraints in October. At the same time, imports rose 20.6% yoy in October, missing expectations of a 26.2% surge, but fell 3.2% sequentially in October (vs. -0.7% in September). As a result of the far bigger growth in exports over imports, the monthly trade surplus rose further to a record high of $84.5bn in October, supporting the appreciation of the Chinese yuan in October, even as China’s economy has slowed down sharply in recent months. China’s trade surplus with the United States was $40.75 billion in October based on customs data showed on Sunday, down from $42 billion in September. For the first ten months of the year, the surplus was $320.67 billion – Reuters Highway, broadband and other infrastructure improvement spending deal this weekend, as the $1 trillion infrastructure bill passed through Congress on Friday and among parts of the deal, allows for $7.5 billion spending for building out a network of electric vehicle chargers and another $7.5 billion for low or zero-emission buses and ferries. Sector News Breakdown Consumer Tesla Inc ($TSLA) CEO Elon Musk on Saturday asked his 62.5 million followers on Twitter in a poll if he should sell 10% of his Tesla stock. The world’s richest person had previously said he could face a “massive” tax bill this year as he has to exercise a large number of stock options coming due next year. “Note, I do not take a cash salary or bonus from anywhere. I only have stock, thus the only way for me to pay taxes personally is to sell stock,” Musk said on Twitter on Saturday. Rivian Automotive ($RIVN) raises IPO price range to $72.00-$74.00 from $57.00-$62.00. Separately, Barron’s noted Rivian Automotive (RIVN) is set to go public this coming week at a market value that could exceed that of Honda Motor (HMC) despite having sold just a handful of vehicles, with a market cap around $64 billion Haverty’s (HVT) announces special cash dividend, quarterly cash dividend, and additional authorization under stock repurchase program Peloton ($PTON) has halted hiring across all departments effective immediately, CNBC reported late Friday, a day after it slashed its full-year outlook amid slowing momentum for its fitness products Coty ($COTY) agrees to sell additional partial stake in Wella to KKR in exchange for about 56% of Preferred Coty shares owned by KKR Marriott Vacations ($VAC) Q3 adjusted EPS $1.60 vs. est. $1.42; Q3 revs $1.05B vs est. $1.07B; said occupancies at our resorts this quarter were very strong despite the Delta variant and contract sales were within 3% of 2019 levels, driving 25% sequential growth in Adjusted EBITDA Energy China’s crude oil imports plunged in October to the lowest since September 2018, as large state-owned refiners withheld purchases because of rising prices while independent refiners were restrained by limited quotas to import. The world’s biggest crude oil importer brought in 37.8 million tonnes last month, data from the General Administration of Customs showed on Sunday, equivalent to 8.9 million barrels per day (bpd). – Reuters FirstEnergy ($FE) agrees to sell a 19.9% stake in its three regulated transmission businesses to Brookfield Asset Management (BAM) for $2.4B Financials Berkshire Hathaway Inc ($BRK/A) said that global supply chain disruptions kept a lid on its ability to generate profit; Q3 operating profit rose 18% but missed analyst forecasts amid goods shortages that crimped consumer spending; net income, meanwhile, fell 66%, reflecting lower gains from stock holdings such as Apple Inc and Bank of America Corp. Alleghany ($Y) mentioned positively in Barron’s saying shares should not be overlooked noting under CEO Weston Hicks, Alleghany has used a similar strategy to create an attractive, smaller-scale version of Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway ($BRK.A) R. Berkley ($WRB) announced that its Board of Directors has declared a special cash dividend on its common stock of $1.00 per share to be paid on December 22 to stockholders of record at the close of business on December 7 Healthcare Cannabis stocks rose late Friday after Marijuana Moment reported a fresh Republican-led attempt to legalize marijuana. The States Reform Act led by Rep. Nancy Mace (R-SC) is still in the preliminary stage, and a final version is expected to be filed later this month. As U.S. health authorities expand use of the leading Covid-19 vaccines, researchers investigating heart-related risks linked to the shots are exploring several emerging theories, including one centered on the spike protein made in response to vaccination. Researchers aren’t certain why the messenger RNA vaccines, one from Pfizer Inc. ($PFE) and partner BioNTech SE ($BNTX) and the other from Moderna Inc., are likely causing the inflammatory heart conditions myocarditis and pericarditis in a small number of cases. – WSJ https://on.wsj.com/3mQqCVY Alcon ($ALC) has acquired Ivantis, developer and manufacturer of the novel Hydrus Microstent, a minimally-invasive glaucoma surgery (MIGS) device designed to lower intraocular pressure for open-angle glaucoma patients in connection with cataract surgery for $475M in upfront consideration Genetron Holdings ($GTH) has formed a strategic partnership with oncology laboratory solution provider NeoGenomics (NEO) to drive global oncology drug research and development. Industrials & Materials Boeing ($BA) directors agreed to a $237.5 million settlement of claims that they turned a blind eye to safety issues related to 737 Max jetliners whose crashes have cost the company more than $20 billion, according to court documents Blade Air Mobility ($BLDE) is bringing ride-sharing to helicopters-just don’t call it the Uber ($UBER) of the sky. The stock can take off without that comparison, Barron’s reported. Blade Air Mobility is a less risky way to invest in the eVTOL future, though certainly not risk-free BHP is close to a deal to sell its controlling interest in two Australian coal mines to Stanmore Resources Ltd. ($STMRF) for ~$1.25B, the Wall Street Journal reports. Technology, Media & Telecom New Oriental Education & Technology ($EDU), Gaotu Techedu ($GOTU), and Tal Education ($TAL) shares all rising over 20% after the WSJ reported that China plans to issue more than a dozen licenses that would allow companies to offer after-school tutoring. The report said Gaotu Techedu (GOTU) and Yuanfudao, a unit of Tencent ($TCEHY), have held talks about resuming tutoring to students in the ninth grade and below https://on.mktw.net/3EVcxg5 Trinseo ($TSE) has begun work to explore the divestiture of its Styrenics businesses and plans to launch a formal sales process in Q1 of 2022. The scope of this potential divestiture is expected to include the Feedstocks and Polystyrene reporting segments as well as the company’s 50% ownership of Americas Styrenics AU Optronics ($AUOTY) reports October revenue of NT$30.38B (+18.1% Y/Y, -9.9% M/M); the total panel area shipment reached around 2.08 million square meters in October 2021, down by 4.3% month-over-month. ChipMOS ($IMOS) reports October revenue of $82.3M (-2.3% M/M; +10.7% Y/Y).
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Wednesday, August 18, 2021 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow -64.00 0.18% 35,195 S&P 500 -2.25 0.06% 4,441 Nasdaq 18.50 0.12% 15,015 U.S. futures are looking mixed ahead of the Fed Minutes, with the Dow and S&P slipping, while the tech heavy Nasdaq Corp looks to rebound after underperformance on Tuesday, as major averages fell by the most in four-weeks. Fed Minutes from the prior FOMC meeting (after 2:00 PM today) may show discussions about tapering monthly bond purchases, or just how divided FOMC officials are on the debate. Yesterday, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said the pandemic is “still casting a shadow on economic activity.” Overnight, Minneapolis Federal Reserve President Neel Kashkari said Tuesday that incoming economic data will drive the central bank’s decision on when to taper its asset purchases, noting that it’s “reasonable” to foresee such a move taking place late this year or early next year. Yesterday, the Nasdaq fell -0.9%, Dow -0.8% and S&P 500 -0.7% ended down on a day that started with pressure from Chinese equities and saw mega caps slide and home improvement names sell off after Home Depot Q2 comp sales mix. Today, rival Lowe’s (LOW) reports a beat across the board while retail giant Target (TGT) beats on the top and bottom line with slightly better comps, though shares slip. The S&P closed above Monday’s intraday low of 4,437 and today’s intraday low successfully tested a support level of 4,423, the prior high. The move comes one day after the S&P 500 had posted a 100% rise off its March 2020 closing low. It has now been 328 calendar days since the benchmark index last ended a decline of more than 5% from a record high. The current 328 calendar-day run since then end of a decline of more than 5% from a record high, is the longest such streak since early 2018. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index rebounded, rising 161 points to 27,585, the Shanghai Index gained 38 points to 3,485, and the Hang Seng Index climbed 121 points to 25,867. In Europe, the German DAX is down -15 points to 15,900, while the FTSE 100 slides over -20 points to 7,155. Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index dropped -31.63 points, or 0.71%, to 4,448.08 The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell -282.12 points, or 0.79%, to 35,343.28 The Nasdaq Composite declined -137.58 points, or 0.93%, to 14,656.18 The Russell 2000 Index declined -26.24 points, or 1.19% to 2,177.17 Events Calendar for Today 7:00 AM ET MBA Mortgage Applications Data 8:30 AM ET Housing Starts MoM for July 8:30 AM ET Building Permits MoM for July 10:30 AM ET Weekly DOE Inventory Data Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: ADI, EAT, HOOD, LITE, LOW, OSIS, PLCE, SMED, TGT, TJX Earnings After the Close: BBWI, CSCO, JBSS, KEYS, NVDA, RRGB, SNPS, SPTN, VSCO Other Key Events: EnerCom Oil & Gas Conference (virtual), 8/15-8/18 Davidson West Coast Bank Tour (virtual), 8/17-8/18 Deutsche bank Transportation Conference (virtual), 8/17-8/18 B Riley Summer Summit, 8/18-8/19 Citigroup Midstream and Energy Infrastructure Conference (virtual), 8/18-8/19 Jefferies Back-to-School Bus Tour, 8/18-8/19 Macro Up/Down Last Nymex 0.57 67.16 Brent 0.70 69.73 Gold 1.70 1,787.90 EUR/USD 0.0007 1.1717 JPY/USD 0.09 109.69 10-Year Note +0.009 1.267% Sector News Breakdown Consumer Target Corp. ($TGT) Q2 EPS $3.64 vs. est. $3.49; Q2 revs $25.16B vs. est. $25.08B; Q2 comp store sales rise +8.9% vs. est. +8.2%; q2 digital comp sales grew 10%; board approved a new, $15B share repurchase program; for 2H2 2021, expects high single digit growth in comp sales, near high end of previous guidance range; now expects FY operating income margin rate will be 8% or higher Lowe’s ($LOW) Q2 EPS $4.25 vs. est. $4.00; Q2 revs $27.6B vs. est. $26.79B; Q2 consolidated comparable sales decreased (-1.6%) vs. est. decline (-2.2%) and U.S. comparable sales decreased (-2.2%) vs. est. (-2.6%); sees FY21 revenue $92B vs. est. $91.53B; sees FY21 comp sales up 30%; sees FY21 capital expenditures $2B; Q2 cost of sales increased 1.4% to $18.26 billion, to bring gross margin down to 33.78% from 34.08% Krispy Kreme ($DNUT) Q2 EPS $0.13 vs. est. $0.14; Q2 revs $349.2M vs. est. $333.36M; qtrly net revenue growth of 43% and organic growth of 23%, up from a 6.7% decline in Q2 of 2020; sees FY organic revenue growth of 10% to 12% and sees FY adjusted Ebitda of $178M-$185M; sees FY21 revenue $1.34B-$1.38B vs. est. $1.34B Jack Henry ($JKHY) 4Q EPS $1.04 vs est. $0.93 on revs $450.3Mm vs est. $445Mm; guides FY22 adj revs $1.866-1.875B vs est. $1.882B, sees FY EPS $4.53-4.60 vs est. $4.52 La-Z-Boy ($LZB) 1Q adj EPS $0.55 vs est. $0.56 on sales $534.8Mm vs est. $485.9Mm, qtrly written comps in company-owned retail segment +22%; adj consolidated op mgn 6.6%; says rapidly escalating commodity and freight costs have not shown signs of abating, did take additional pricing actions during the qtr and imposed a surcharge on pending dealer orders in backlog; says expect margin performance to begin to improve in 2Q and see finishing FY with consolidated adj op mgn at or near dbl-digits America’s Car-Mart ($CART) Q2 EPS $3.57 vs. est. $3.49; Q2 Same store revenue growth 46.7 % and net charge-offs as a percent of average finance receivables 4.3%. Energy, Industrials and Materials The American Petroleum Institute (API) reported that crude inventories fell 1.163M barrels last week and gasoline inventories fell 1.979M barrels Copper prices eased to their lowest in a month after recent weak economic data reinforced demand fears while a looming central bankers conference focuses attention on interest rates; three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange (LME) fell for a third day JinkoSolar Holding ($JKS) supply pact with Wacker Chemie as it will supply JinkoSolar holding unit Jinko solar co. with over 70,000 tons of polysilicon from sept. 2021 to Dec. 2026 Healthcare Agilent Technologies ($A) Q3 EPS $1.10 vs. est. $0.99; Q3 revs $1.59B vs. est. $1.54B; sees Q4 EPS $1.15-$1.18 above est. $1.11; sees Q4 revenue $1.63B-$1.66B above est. $1.61B; raises FY EPS view to $4.28-$4.31 from prior $4.09-$4.14 and ups rev view GlaxoSmithKline ($GSK) receives FDA accelerated approval for Jemperli (dostarlimab-gxly) for adult patients with mismatch repair-deficient (DMMR) recurrent or advanced solid tumors Marinus Pharmaceuticals (MRNS) reports topline Ganaxolone phase 2 open-label results in tuberous sclerosis complex and receives FDA Orphan Drug designation Tilray ($TLRY) announced the acquisition of a majority of outstanding convertible notes of MedMen Enterprises ($MMNFF) held by certain funds Alcon ($ALC) Q2 core EPS $0.56 vs. est. $0.45; Q2 revs $2.1B vs. est. $1.96B; raises FY21 core EPS view to $2.00-$2.10 from $1.85-$1.95 (est. $1.93) and raises FY21 revenue view to $8B-$8.2B from $7.8B-$8B (est. $7.92B) AnaptysBio ($ANAB) announced that the U.S. FDA approved a second indication for GSK’s ($GSK) JEMPERLI for the treatment of adult patients with mismatch repair deficient recurrent or advanced solid tumors Technology, Media & Telecom CDK Global ($CDK) 4Q adj EPS $0.66 vs est. $0.67 on revs $420.1Mm vs est. $427.7Mm; guides FY22 adj EPS $2.70-2.90 vs est. $3.02, sees FY revs $1.78-1.82B vs est. $1.78B Cree Inc. ($CREE) shares fell -4%; 4Q adj EPS ($0.23) vs est. ($0.24) on revs $145.8Mm vs est. $145.2Mm; guides 1Q adj EPS loss $0.21-0.25 vs est. loss $0.23, sees 1Q revs $144-154Mm vs est. $153.4Mm Cree ($CREE) and STMicroelectronics (STM) announced the expansion of an existing multi-year, long-term silicon carbide wafer supply agreement Instructure Holdings (INST) 2Q ($0.17) on revs $93.6Mm; guides 3Q revs $100.4-101.4Mm, sees 3Q adj net income $21.2-22.2Mm; guides FY adj net income $87.2-89.2Mm Weibo ($WB) Q2 EPS $0.79 vs. est. $0.63; Q2 revs $574.47M vs. est. $527.89M; Q2 monthly active users were 566M in June, a net addition of 43M users on a YoY basis; Q2 mobile MAUs represented 94% of MAUs. Average daily active users were 246M in June, a net addition of 16M users yoy; sees Q3 revs up 20%-25% ViacomCBS ($VIAC) upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Wells Fargo with a price target of $60, up from $45 saying the company’s streaming efforts are bearing fruit and have impressed us, so is moving from historical bears to constructive bulls Bottomline Technologies ($EPAY) announces up to $50M stock repurchase plan
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Tuesday, August 17, 2021 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow -221.00 0.62% 35,313 S&P 500 -21.25 0.49% 4,452 Nasdaq -59.50 0.39% 15,075 U.S. equity-index futures are looking lower this morning, while global stocks have fallen for a second day amid several market concerns. U.S. major averages hit record highs (S&P 500 and Dow record high closes for a 5th straight session) on Monday as investors moved into defensive sectors (Healthcare, Staples, Utilities) and stocks recovered from losses earlier in the session, shaking off glum economic data out of China and the U.S., but start the day on shaky ground yet again. Several factors playing into the morning decline including: 1) concerns that more lockdowns could be needed to contain the coronavirus pandemic; 2) Treasury yields fall ahead of an address by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on the health of the world’s largest economy; 3) Dow component Home Depot (HD) reports a top and bottom-line beat, but weaker-than-expected comp sales drag shares lower; 4) Federal Reserve Bank President Eric Rosengren said Monday he could be prepared to begin rolling back economic stimulus this fall. But he said he wouldn’t boost interest rates until the employment picture improves; 5) China markets tumble following another regulatory crackdown after China published detailed rules to tackle unfair competition and companies’ handling of critical data; the draft regulations ban unfair competition and restrict the use of user data. Investors were also digesting news from Afghanistan, where thousands of civilians desperate to flee the country thronged Kabul airport after the Taliban seized the capital. Asian stocks retreat for fourth day as the Hang Seng and Shanghai Composite lose ground after China issues draft rules targeting unfair online competition. The Kosdaq sinks 2.3% as Korean selloff resumes following Monday’s holiday. The Nikkei Index fell -98 points to 27,424, the Shanghai Index tumbled -70 points (or 2%) to 3,446 and the Hang Seng Index declined -435 points (1.66%) to 25,745. In Europe, the German DAX is down around -40 points to 15,885, while the FTSE 100 is up a few points to 7,165. Wal-Mart earnings expected later this morning as well. Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index gained 11.71 points, or 0.26%, to 4,479.71 The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 110.02 points, or 0.31%, to 35,625.40 The Nasdaq Composite slumped -29.13 points, or 0.20%, to 14,793.76 The Russell 2000 Index declined -19.69 points, or 0.89% to 2,203.41 Events Calendar for Today 7:45 AM ET ICSC Weekly Retail Sales 8:30 AM ET Advance Retail Sales MoM for July…est. (-0.02%) 8:30 AM ET Retail Sales Ex; Autos MoM for July…est. 0.1% 8:55 AM ET Johnson/Redbook Weekly Sales 9:15 AM ET Industrial Production MoM for July…est. 0.5% 9:15 AM ET Capacity Utilization for July…est. 75.7% 10:00 AM ET Business Inventories MoM for June…est. 0.8% 10:00 AM ET NAHB Housing Market Index for Aug…est. 80 4:30 PM ET API Weekly Inventory Data Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: AIT, CRTD, HD, OB, PINC, WMT Earnings After the Close: A, CDK, CREE, CRMT, DNUT, INST, JKHY, LZB Other Key Events: EnerCom Oil & Gas Conference (virtual), 8/15-8/18 BWS Financial Growth and Value Conference (virtual), 8/16-8/17 Needham MedTech and Diagnostics Conference (virtual), 8/16-8/17 Truist Atlanta Bank Summit (virtual) 8/16-8/17 Davidson West Coast Bank Tour (virtual), 8/17-8/18 Deutsche bank Transportation Conference (virtual), 8/17-8/18 Macro Up/Down Last Nymex -0.33 66.96 Brent -0.23 69.28 Gold 6.55 1,794.00 EUR/USD -0.0012 1.1766 JPY/USD 0.05 109.29 10-Year Note -0.027 1.23% World News The Fed’s Rosengren said last night his preference would be to start tapering bond purchases in the fall, potentially October or November, no later than December; says if we get another strong labor market report, he would be supportive of announcing taper program in September Sector News Breakdown Consumer Home Depot ($HD) shares fall -4% on comp sales miss; Q2 EPS $4.53 vs. est. $4.43; Q2 revs $41.12B vs. est. $40.73B; Q2 comp sales rose 4.5% below est. 5.6% and comparable sales in the U.S. increased 3.4% vs. est. 4.9%; number of customer transactions declined by 5.8% YoY to 481.7 million, but the average ticket size grew 11% to $82.48 Stanley Black & Decker ($SWK) agreed to acquire the remaining 80% ownership stake in MTD Holdings Inc., a privately held global manufacturer of outdoor power equipment, for $1.6 billion in cash Gan Ltd. ($GAN) Q2 EPS loss (-$0.07) vs. est. loss (-$0.01); Q2 revs $34.6M vs. est. $34.53M; sequential revenue growth of 24%, driven by strong international results in b2c segment; reiterates revenue guidance of $125 – $135 million, or 270% YoY growth at the mid-point; backs FY21 revenue view of $125M-$135M Lightning eMotors ($ZEV) Q2 EPS loss (-$0.79) vs. est. loss (-$0.14); Q2 revs $5.9M vs. est. $5.37M; sees Q3 revs $4M-$6M vs. est. $10.58M; sees Q3 adjusted loss from operations $12M-$13M; no longer expects to meet full year guidance; said no orders have been cancelled and company expects to fulfill those orders in future quarters; sees for qtr ending sept 30, vehicle and powertrain sales of 28 units to 40 units Elys Game Technology ($ELYS) Q2 revenue $11.7M vs est $10.89M; 2Q Betting Handle +134% YoY to $220.1M; Q2 GGR +153.8% YoY to $14.9M; Q2 total revenue +143% YoY to $11.7M Spirit Airlines ($SAVE) said it expects total operating revenues in the range of $885M – $955M vs. $1.05B consensus and adjusted operating expenses between $1,030M and $1,040M; expects a negative revenue impact of ~50M from 2,826 flight cancellations between July 30 and August 9, due to airport staffing shortages and adverse weather; also noted softer-than-expected booking trends and increased close-in guest cancellations, likely due to a resurgence in COVID-19 cases Energy, Industrials and Materials Ammo Inc. ($POWW) Q1 adj EPS $0.13 on revs $44.5M, up 360%; says raising 2022 revenue guidance from $190M to $210M, including reiterating our expectation for Q2 revenue of at least $51M and sees Q3 revs about $60M; increasing our Adjusted EBITDA guidance for fiscal 2022 from $65M to $70M Clean Energy Fuels Corp. ($CLNE) announced a slew of new deals in response to the demand for renewable natural gas ($RNG), a fuel produced from organic waste, as more fleets adopt and expand their use of the low-carbon transportation fuel. RNG represents more than 74 percent of the 26 million gallons of fuel Clean Energy expects to provide through these recent signed agreements. Clean Energy has a stated goal of providing 100 percent zero-carbon renewable fuel at its stations by 2025. Financials Opendoor Technologies inc. ($OPEN) announces proposed convertible senior notes offering Healthcare Berkshire Hathaway reduced its stakes in large cap Pharma names Merck (MRK) by 48.8% to 9.2M shares, AbbVie ($ABBV) by 10.2% to 20.5M shares and Bristol-Myers (BMY) by 15.3% to 26.3M shares and exited shares in Biogen ($BIIB) according to 13F filings The Biden administration is planning to announce that most Americans who have received the coronavirus vaccine will need booster shots eight months after being fully vaccinated as the delta variant sparks a surge in Covid-19 cases – Washington Post Eli Lilly and Company ($LLY) today announced executive leadership changes and the creation of neuroscience and immunology business units. These changes will increase Lilly’s focus on introducing breakthrough new medicines to millions of people with unmet needs. Incyte ($INCY) and InnoCare announced that Incyte and a subsidiary of InnoCare have entered into a collaboration and license agreement for the development and commercialization of tafasitamab, a humanized Fc-modified cytolytic CD19 targeting monoclonal antibody, in China Clovis ($CLVS) renews at-the-market equity program with $125M offering Globus Medical ($GMED) announced that Excelsius3D, an intelligent intraoperative 3-in-1 imaging system, has been granted 510(k) clearance by the FDA Solid Biosciences Inc. ($SLDB) ends q2 with about $249 mln cash and investments; cash runway into q4 2022; said net loss for Q2 of 2021 was $18.7M vs. $19.0M for Q2 of 2020 Technology, Media & Telecom Roblox Corp. ($RBLX) shares fall -6%; Q2 EPS loss (-$0.25) vs. est. $0.24; Q2 revs $454.1M vs. est. $689.2M; qtrly bookings increased 35% over q2 2020 to $665.5M; qtrly average daily active users ($DAUs) were 43.2 mln, an increase of 29%; qtrly average bookings per DAU was $15.41, a slight increase year over year Chinese stocks listed in the U.S. ($BIDU, $BABA, $DIDI, $JD, $NTES) fall in premarket trading following Beijing’s latest moves to tighten its grip on the nation’s internet giants and after SEC Chair Gary Gensler issued his most direct warning yet about the risks of investing in Chinese companies Sea Limited ($SE) Q2 EPS loss (-$0.61) vs. est. loss (-$0.52); Q2 revs $2.3B vs. est. $1.93B; digital entertainment active users 725.2 million, +45% y/y; digital entertainment paying users 92.2 million, +85% y/y; said is raising the guidance for both digital entertainment and e-commerce for the full year of 2021. We expect bookings for digital entertainment to be between $4.5 billion and $4.7 billion, representing 44.4% growth from 2020 at the midpoint of the revised guidance Fabrinet ($FN) Q4 Non-GAAP EPS $1.31 vs. est. $1.22; Q4 revs $509.6M vs. est. $487.5M; sees Q1 revs $510M-$530M vs. est. $491.5M Telos Corp. ($TLS) Q2 adj EPS $0.04 vs. est. $0.02; Q2 revs $52.56M vs. est. $53.7M; backs FY21 rev view to $283M-$295M vs. est. $288.75M; said sees FY21 adjusted EBITDA $33M-$36M. Upstart Holdings, inc. ($UPST) announces proposed private offering of $575,000,000 of convertible senior notes due 2026 Global-e Online ($GLBE) Q2 EPS (2c) vs 2 est’s 0c; Q2 rev $57.3M vs est $47.6M; Q2 adjusted EBITDA $7.6M vs. $3.1M YoY; sees Q3 rev $54.3M-$56.3M vs $48.4M; sees Q3 adj EBITDA $2.8M-$3.8M and GMV of $328M-$338M; raises FY21 rev view to $227M- $231M from $209M-$213.5M vs est $210.95M; raises FY21 GMV view to $1.35B-$1.37B from $1.21B-$1.255B
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nio and jkhy some names being bought nicely
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Jack Henry is a leading SaaS provider primarily for the financial services industry. It is a S&P 500 company that serves approximately 8,500 clients nationwide through three divisions: Jack Henry Banking®provides innovative solutions to community and regional banks. Symitar® provides industry-leading solutions to credit unions of all sizes; and ProfitStars® offers highly specialized solutions to financial institutions of every asset size, as well as diverse corporate entities outside of the financial services industry. With a heritage that has been dedicated to openness, partnership, and user centricity for more than 40 years, it is well-positioned as a driving market force in cloud-based digital solutions and payment processing services. It empowers its clients and consumers with the human-centered, tech-forward, and insights-driven solutions that will get them where they want to go.
CEO: David Foss
HQ: PO Box 807 Monett, 65708-0807 Missouri