$KDP

Thursday, October 28, 2021 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow 54.00 0.15% 35,443 S&P 500 11.25 0.26% 4,556 Nasdaq 74.50 0.47% 15.662 U.S. futures are looking at a rebound after a late day swoon erased record gains for stocks, as markets again await another earnings barrage, with yesterday and today the two busiest days of the quarter. Drama out of Washington D.C. also adding to the volatility as investors remain hopeful on a spending bill. As for Wednesday, a midday all-time high for the Nasdaq 100 was marred by a late day sell-off in U.S. stocks, as the S&P 500 and Dow each retreated from records set just the previous day, led by weakness in energy stocks as oil prices tumbled from 7-year highs and long-dated Treasury yields also slumped, with the 30-year falling as much as 10bps below 2%. Corporate earnings have generally been better-than-expected, but constant reminders about rising costs, supply-chain issues, and labor shortages on conference calls brings into question the strength of markets going forward. Couple that with expectations for the Fed to begin its asset tapering plans in November and chances of interest rate hikes in mid-2022 to help prevent inflation getting further out of hand remains a market concern. Shares of Dow components McDonald’s, Coca-Cola and Microsoft rallied behind strong earnings. In fact, the Nasdaq outperformed behind large cap winners (TSLA, GOOGL MSFT, AMZN), though breadth was decisively negative and SmallCaps plunged with the Russell 200 falling nearly 2%. President Biden’s infrastructure and social-spending plans still remain “up-in-the-air” which also adds uncertainty. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index fell about 1% to 28,820, the Shanghai Index slipped -1.23% to 3.518 and the Hang Seng Index dipped about -0.25% to 25,555. In Europe, the German DAX is down -0.15% at 15,680, while the FTSE 100 is also down roughly -0.2% at 7,240. Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index dropped -23.11 points, or 0.51%, to 4,551.68 The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell -266.19 points, or 0.74%, to 35,490.69 The Nasdaq Composite little changed, or 0.00%, to 15,235.84 The Russell 2000 Index declined -43.58 points, or 1.90% to 2,252.49 Events Calendar for Today 8:30 AM ET Weekly Jobless Claims…est. 290K 8:30 AM EST Continuing Claims…est. 2.415M 8:30 AM ET Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for Q3-A…est. 2.7% (down from prior) 8:30 AM ET GDP Consumer Spending for Q3-A…prior month 12.0% 8:30 AM ET GDP Price Deflator for Q3…est. 5.5% 8:30 AM ET Core-PCE Prices Advance for Q3…est. 4.5% 10:00 AM ET Pending Home Sales MoM for September…est. 0% 10:30 AM ET Weekly EIA Natural Gas Inventory Data 11:00 AM ET Kansas City Fed Manufacturing for October 1:00 PM ET U.S. to sell $62 bln 7-year notes Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: AB, ABMD, ADS, AEP, AGCO, ALNY, AMT, AOS, ATI, BAX, BC, BSIG, BTU, CARR, CAR, CBRE, CBZ, CFR, CG, CMCO, CMCSA, CMS, CNX, COLB, CONE, COOP, COR, CWT, DBD, EME, EXP, FCN, GPI, GVA, HBAN, HSY, IBP, ICE, ITW, KBR, KDP, KEX, LECO, LH, LKQ, MA, MCO, MDD, MO, MRK, NEM, NLSN, NOC, OSK, OSIS, OSTK, PBF, RGEN, RLGY, RS, SAH, SAIA, SNDR, SWI, SWK, TAP, TFX, TPX, TREE, TW, TXT, VC, VLY, WEX, WST, XEL, YUM Earnings After the Close: AAPL, ABCB, ACHC, AGL, AMZN, ASPN, ATEN, ATR, AVT, AX, BIO, BY, CDNA, CHE, COHU, COLM, CPT, CUZ, CWST, DECK, DVA, DXCM, EB, EMN, FISI, FTDR, FTV, GILD, HIG, HUBG, LOPE, LPLA, LTC, NGRC, MHK, MMSI, MPWR, MSTR, NATI, NXGN, PEB, POWI, PSB, PTCT, QUMU, RMD, RSG, SBCF, SBUX, SGEN, SKX, SKYW, SM, SPNE, SSNC, SYK, TEX, TXRH, VCRA, VRSN, WDC, WRAP, WRE, X, ZEN Macro Up/Down Last Nymex -1.61 81.05 Brent -1.37 83.21 Gold -2.10 1,801.20 EUR/USD -0.0006 1.1598 JPY/USD -0.23 113.57 10-Year Note +0.012 1.541% Sector News Breakdown Consumer eBay Inc. (EBAY) 3Q adj EPS $0.90 vs est. $0.89 on revs $2.5B vs est. $2.46B; guides 4Q adj EPS $0.72-0.76 vs est. $1.00, sees 4Q revs $2.57-2.62B vs est. $2.65B; raising estimated FY share buyback from $5.0B to $7.0B Ford Motor (F) announces resumption of stock dividend in 4q; 3Q adj EPS $0.51 vs est. $0.27 on revs $35.7B vs est. $32.5B; expects cash flow over current planning period to be more than sufficient to fund growth, announces resumption of regular stock dividend in 4Q; no changes to FY adj FCF guide of $4.0-5.0B Boot Barn (BOOT) Q2 EPS $1.25 vs est. $0.93 on revenue $312.7M (+67.1% vs 2Q19) vs est. $291M, same-store sales +61.7% YoY, +53.6% vs 2019; sees new unit growth 10% in FY22; named Jim Watkins as CFO with current CFO Greg Hackman continuing as VP and COO Churchill Downs (CHDN) 3Q EPS $1.57 vs est. $1.47 on revs $393Mm vs est. $406.8Mm Fresh Del Monte Produce Inc. (FDP) said it is raising prices on bananas, pineapples and fresh-cut fruit in response to unprecedented market conditions and inflationary pressures being felt across all industries iRobot (IRBT) Q3 EPS $1.67 vs. est. $0.70; Q3 revs $440.7M vs. est. $417.04M; cuts FY21 non-GAAP EPS view to $1.15-$1.74 from $2.25-$3.15 (est. $2.70) and lowers FY21 revenue view to $1.56B-$1.59B from $1.55B-$1.62B (est. $1.58B) Noodles (NDLS) Q3 adj EPS 12c vs est. 9c on in-line revenue $125.1M with digital sales 52% of total revs; system-wide comp sales +16.3% vs est. +14.3%, avg unit volume $1.38M, +16% YoY; now sees 7-9 new restaurants in 2021, down from prior outlook for 10-15; anticipates system-wide unit growth of at least 8% next year O’Reilly Auto (ORLY) Q3 EPS $8.07 vs. est. $7.18; Q3 sales $3.48B vs. est. $3.3B; gross profit margin 52.3% vs. 52.4% y/y; raises year rev outlook to $12.9B-$13.2B from prior $12.3B-$12.6B (est. $12.73B) Sleep Number (SNBR) 3Q EPS $2.22 vs est. $1.44 on revs $640Mm vs est. $587.1Mm; sees FY EPS $7.25 vs est. $7.15; Spirit Airlines (SAVE) Q3 adj EPS ($0.69) was a narrower loss than est. ($1.02) on in-line revs $922.6M; load factor 77.6%, capacity +3.5% vs 3Q19; is slowing the pace to push back to full fleet utilization, expects to produce 53B-55B available seat miles in 2022 VICI Properties (VICI) 3Q adj FFO/shr $0.45 on revs $375.7Mm; guides FY adj FFO/shr $1.7901.80 vs est. $1.84 Wyndham Hotels (WH) 3Q EPS $1.09 vs est. $0.91 on net revs $463Mm vs est. $463Mm; guides FY RevPAR growth about 43%, sees fee-related and other revs $1.21-1.23B; guides FY adj EPS $2.93-3.03 vs est. $2.69 Yum China (YUMC) Q3 adj EPS $0.22 vs. est. $0.31; Q3 revs $2.55B vs. est. $2.51B; qtrly total system sales increased 1% year over year, with increases of 1% at both KFC and Pizza Hut, excluding f/x; increasing gross new stores target to over 1,700 in 2021; expect that covid-19, especially the delta variant outbreaks, will continue to affect consumer behavior and impact our same-store sales recovery. Solo Brands, Inc. (DTC) prices 12.9M share IPO at $17.00 per share Scientific Games Corp (SGMS) announces sale of lottery business to Brookfield business partners for $6.05 billion; deal consisting of $5.825 bln in cash & an earn-out of up to $225 mln based on achievement of certain ebitda targets in 2022 & 2023 Energy, Industrials & Materials Allison Transmission (ALSN) 3Q EPS $0.89 vs est. $0.90 on revs $567Mm vs est. $584Mm; guides FY sales $2.325-2.4B vs est. $2.36B Flowserve Corp. (FLS) 3Q adj EPS $0.29 vs est. $0.40 on revs $866.1Mm vs est. $899Mm; guides FY revs down 2-4% vs est. -2.3%, sees FY EPS $1.45-1.65 (was $1.40-1.45) vs est. $1.58, sees CAPEX $70-80Mm vs prior $65Mm Kraton (KRA) Q3 adj EPS $0.98 vs. est. $0.79; Q3 revs $526.9M vs. est. $459.1M; Polymer segment operating income of $43.8 million, compared to an operating loss of $5.1 million YoY; Chemical segment operating income of $35.7M, compared to an operating loss of $401.7M YoY Sunnova Energy (NOVA) Q3 EPS ($0.25) vs est. ($0.13) on revenue $68.9M vs est. $67.4M; reaffirmed FY21 view for adj EBITDA $80M-$85M, customer additions 55k-58k; set FY22 guidance for adj EBITDA $117M-$137M, customer additions 83k-87k Tronox Holdings (TROX) Q3 adj EPS $0.72 vs. est. $0.64; Q3 revs rose 29% to $870M vs. est. $905.3M United Rentals (URI) 3Q adj EPS $6.58 vs est. $6.80 on revs $2.6B vs est. $2.58B; guides FY revs $9.6-9.75B vs est. $9.6B, sees FY adj EBITDA $4.325-4.4B vs est. 4.3B Financials Aflac (AFL) Q3 adj EPS $1.53 vs. est. $1.32; Q3 revs $5.2B vs. est. $5.34B; in yen terms, Aflac Japan’s net premium income was ¥323.1 bln for quarter, or 4.0% lower than a year ago AvalonBay (AVB) Q3 core FFO $2.06 vs est. 1.97, EPS $0.56 vs est. $0.77, same-store sales +1.2%; sees Q4 core FFO $2.19-$2.29 vs est. $2.11, raised FY core FFO view to $8.18-$8.28 from $7.92-$8.12 CyrusOne Inc. (CONE) 3Q adj FFO/shr $1.02 vs est. $0.99 on revs $304.1Mm vs est. $290.4Mm; guides FY revs $1.18-1.2B vs est. $1.17B Invitation Homes (INVH) Q3 core FFO 38c/shr vs est. 36c, EPS 12c vs est. 10c, revenue $510M vs est. $497.8M; same-store NOI +11.9% YoY on same-store revs +7.9%; raised FY21 core EPS view to $1.49 at midpoint from $1.44, adj FFO ro $1.28 at midpoint from $1.24 Lending Club (LC) Q3 EPS $0.26 vs est. $0.03 on revenue $246.2M vs est. $221.2M; sees Q4 revs $240M-$250M vs est. $235.7M, loan originations $2.8-$3B; raised FY view for revenue to $796M-$806M from $750M-$780M Raymond James (RJF) Q4 EPS $2.06 vs. est. $1.71; Q4 revs $2.7B vs. est. $2.54B; quarter-end records for client assets under administration of $1.18 trillion, financial assets under management of $191.9B, and net loans at Raymond James Bank of $25B The SEC asked at least one asset manager not to proceed with plans for a leveraged bitcoin exchange-traded fund, according to a person familiar with the matter. The SEC indicated it wants to limit new bitcoin-related products to those that provide unleveraged exposure to bitcoin futures contracts, such as the ProShares Bitcoin Strategy exchange-traded fund, which was launched last week, the person said. https://on.wsj.com/3GvG2qg Healthcare Align Technology (ALGN) 3Q adj EPS $2.87 vs est. $2.60 on revs $1.02B vs est. $978Mm; guides FY revs $3.9-3.95B vs est. $3.94B; says clinical study validates benefits of the Itero Element 5D imaging system Alnylam (ALNY) reports positive topline 18-month results from Helios-a phase 3 study of Vutrisiran in patients with HATTR amyloidosis with polyneuropathy BioMarin (BMRN) Q3 GAAP EPS loss (-$0.20) vs. est. loss (-$0.25); Q3 revs $408.7M vs. est. $435.32M; Lower Kuvan product revenues primarily due to generic competition due to the loss of exclusivity in the U.S.; Lower Aldurazyme product revenues due to timing of product fulfillment to Genzyme Edwards LifeSciences (EW) Q3 EPS $0.54 vs. est. $0.53; Q3 revs $1.3B vs. est. $1.32B; sees FY21 adjusted EPS at high end of $2.07-$2.27 (est. $2.26) and reaffirms FY21 revenue view $5.2B-$5.4B (est. $5.32B); TAVR sales grew 15%; underlying 14%; U.S. TAVR sales grew 12%; OUS approximately 20% Encompass Health (EHC) Q3 adj EPS $1.03 vs. est. $1.06; Q3 revs $1.28B vs. est. $1.31B; cuts FY21 adj EPS view to $4.23-$4.38 from $4.32-$4.47 and lowers FY21 revenue view to $5.08B-$5.13B from $5.1B-$5.25B (est. $5.18B) Molina Healthcare (MOH) Q3 adj EPS $2.83 vs. est. $2.79; Q3 revs $7.04B vs. est. $6.79B; backs FY21 EPS view of no less than $13.25 vs. est. $13.38 and backs FY21 revenue view of no less than $27.5B vs. est. $26.97B; consolidated MCR for Q3 was 88.9%, compared to 85.9% in the third quarter of 2020 Teladoc (TDOC) Q3 EPS loss (-$0.53) vs. est. loss (-$0.65); Q3 revs $521.66M vs. est. $516.6M; Q3 visits topped 3.9M, 37% higher than Q3 2020; sees Q4 EPS loss (73c)-(53c) vs. est. loss (69c); sees Q4 revs $536M-$546M vs. est. $539.74M; sees Q4 total visits 3.9M-4.1M

Friday, October 1, 2021 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow -153.00 0.46% 33,843 S&P 500 -17.00 0.44% 4,307 Nasdaq -55.25 0.38% 14448, U.S. equity futures extended declines Friday, following the worst month for tech stocks since the peak of the pandemic, as investors enter the final quarter of the year focused on inflation, energy markets and the Federal Reserve. S&P 500 drops 4.8% in September, its first monthly loss since January and biggest one-month drop since start of pandemic and lowest closing price since July 19th. Overall, for the month, the S&P fell 4.8%, the Dow fell 4.3% and the Nasdaq fell 5.3%. For the quarter (Q3), the S&P 500 rose 0.2%, the Dow fell 1.9% and the Nasdaq fell 0.4% following the precipitous September decline. Late last night, U.S. House Democratic leaders have delayed a planned vote on a $1 trillion bipartisan infrastructure bill that had been set for Thursday, bowing to party progressives who had demanded action on a larger social policy bill first. However, on a positive note, the U.S. government shutdown appears to be averted for now as Congress voted to continue funding the government through Dec. 3, backing the earlier bill out of the Senate and President Biden signed the measure before funding was to run out at midnight. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index declined -681 points (2.31%) to 28,771, the Shanghai Index was closed and the Hang Seng Index was also closed. In Europe, the German DAX is down about -115 points to 15,150, while the FTSE 100 falls 1% or -70 points to 7,015. Crypto currencies surging for a second straight day as Bitcoin rises over 7% to $46,600, while Ethereum rises over 6.5% at $3,175 in another spike across the board. Positive vaccine news overnight as Merck ($MRK) announced positive COVID-19 vaccine trial news. Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index dropped -51.92 points, or 1,19%, to 4,307.54 The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell -546.80 points, or 1.59%, to 33,843.92 The Nasdaq Composite slumped -63.86 1.42 points, or 0.44%, to 14,448.58 The Russell 2000 Index declined -20.94 points, or 0.94% to 2,204.37 Events Calendar for Today 8:30 AM ET Personal Income MoM for Aug…est. +0.3% 8:30 AM ET Personal Spending MoM for Aug 8:30 AM ET PCE Price Index MoM for Aug 8:30 AM ET PCE Price Index YoY for Aug 8:30 AM ET Core PCE Price Index MoM for Aug…est. +0.2% 8:30 AM ET Core PCE Price Index YoY for Aug…est. +3.6% 9:45 AM ET Markit Manufacturing PMI for Sept-F 10:00 AM ET Construction Spending MoM for Aug…est. +0.3% 10:00 AM ET ISM Manufacturing Index for September…est. 59.6 10:00 AM ET University of Michigan Confidence, Sept-Final…est. 71.0 1:00 PM EST Baker Hughes Weekly rig count data Macro Up/Down Last Nymex -0.63 74.40 Brent -0.43 77.88 Gold -2.60 1,755.90 EUR/USD 0.0001 1.1582 JPY/USD -0.16 111.11 10-Year Note -0.036 1.491% World News S. House Democratic leaders have delayed a planned vote on a $1 trillion bipartisan infrastructure bill that had been set for Thursday, bowing to party progressives who had demanded action on a larger social policy bill first. House Majority Leader Steny Hoyer said in a statement the House is expected to finish work on the infrastructure bill on Friday. The Bank of Japan’s tankan survey released Friday shows signs that the recovery in the manufacturing sector will be hampered by supply shortages as the index measuring large manufacturers’ stocks of finished goods dropped to +3 in the September survey from +6 three months earlier. That marked the tightest level since 1989. Sector News Breakdown Consumer Lordstown Motors ($RIDE) said it plans to sell its auto factory in Ohio to contract assembler Foxconn Technology Group for a purchase price of $230 million. Additionally, Foxconn plans to invest $50 million into the Ohio-based startup through a purchase of common stock. Helbiz ($HLBZ) rises after the transportation and media co announces CEO Salvatore Palella purchased units of PIPE (private investment in public equity) offering; On Aug 9, Palella bought 200,000 units of PIPE offering, consisting of 200,000 shares of Class A common and warrants to buy additional 200,000 shares at $11.50 per share Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) is said to plan up to $4B stock buyback Coty ($COTY) agrees to sell partial stake in Wella to KKR at a 50% valuation premium versus initial Wella sale in exchange for approximately half of the preferred Coty shares owned by KKR. Coty will continue to own 30.6% of Wella, with a $1.38b implied value for the retained stake Li Auto ($LI) delivered 7,094 Li ONEs in September 2021, up 102.5% Y/Y but fell 24.8% M/M from August’s shipments of 9,433 units; Q3 2021 deliveries rose 190% Y/Y and 42.9% Q/Q to 25,116 vehicles, exceeding recently revised guidance of ~24,500 units Nio ($NIO) delivered 10,628 vehicles in September 2021, an all-time high monthly record representing growth of 125.7% Y/Y and 80.7% M/M from August’s deliveries of 5,880 units; company shipped 24,439 vehicles Q3 2021, representing an increase of 100.2% Y/Y, exceeding the revised guidance of ~22,500 to 23,500 vehicles. Tesla ($TSLA) missed its deadline to deliver the Model X in Q3 2021, but a handful of units of the new electric SUVs were spotted in Fremont factory, Electrek reported. It gives some hope that deliveries might start soon https://bit.ly/2Y8L4ba XPeng ($XPEV) recorded its highest-ever monthly deliveries in September 2021 of 10,412 Smart EVs, representing an increase of 199% Y/Y and a 44% increase over last month; also achieved a quarterly record of 25,666 deliveries in Q3 2021, up 48% Q/Q and 199% over prior year Energy, Industrials and Materials ExxonMobil ($XOM) says gas prices to boost 3q earnings by about $700M; says oil prices to boost 3q earnings by about $400M; says downstream margins to boost earnings by $600M SunPower Corp. ($SPWR) will replace Cimarex Energy Co. ($XEC) in the S&P MidCap 400 index before trading begins on Oct. 5, according to S&P Dow Jones Indices. S&P 500 constituent Cabot Oil & Gas Corp. is acquiring Cimarex Energy in a deal that is expected to close on Oct. 1. PDC Energy Inc ($PDCE) said anticipated total production near bottom of previous range of 190,000 to 195,000 boe per day for full-year 2021; sees FY 2021 oil production of 60,000 to 63,000 barrels per day, below previous range of 64,000 to 66,000 barrels per day JPMorgan upgraded shares of Southwest Airlines ($LUV) to Overweight from Neutral and Spirit airlines ($SAVE) downgraded at JPMorgan while adjusting other price tgts in the space Financials Jefferies Financial ($JEF) Q3 EPS $1.50 vs. est. $0.99; Q3 revs $1.65B vs. est. $1.74B Healthcare Merck ($MRK) and Ridgeback Biotherapeutics announce results from their oral antiviral medicine molnupiravir (MK-4482, EIDD-2801) from Phase 3 MOVe-OUT trial in patients with mild-to-moderate COVID-19. STAT News notes that in the Merck study, a five-day course of the oral medicine was administered within five days of patients’ symptom onset; half of those patients had at least one risk factor associated with poor disease outcomes (shares of rival COVID-19 vaccine makers PFE, BNTX, MRNA falling on the news) Exscientia ($EXAI) has priced its upsized U.S. IPO of 13.85M ADSs (from ~13.1M ADSs), representing 13.85M ordinary shares at $22.00/ADS, for total gross proceeds of ~$304.7M. Bicycle Therapeutics ($BCYC) to present bt5528 interim phase i data at AACR-NCI-EORTC virtual international conference on molecular targets and cancer therapeutics Haemonetics ($HAE) said the FDA has approved a same-day discharge indication for its VASCADE MVP vascular closure system used in atrial fibrillation ablation. Rockwell Medical ($RMTI) files $200M mixed securities shelf Technology, Media & Telecom Five9 ($FIVN) announced that its $14.7B merger agreement with Zoom Video (ZM) has been terminated by mutual agreement. The agreement did not receive the requisite number of votes from Five9 shareholders to approve the merger with Zoom. Under the deal terms announced in July, Five9 shareholders would have received 0.5533 Zoom share for every Five9 share. Walt Disney ($DIS) and Scarlett Johansson have resolved their legal battle over her salary in the movie “Black Widow,” ending a two-month fight between the two parties AMC Entertainment ($AMC) said it exercised option to repurchase $35M of 15% cash / 17% payment-in-kind ($PIK) Toggle First Lien Secured Notes due 2026 Alibaba ($BABA) downgraded to Outperform from Strong Buy at Raymond James with a price target of $240, down from $300 saying while they remain positive on Alibaba long-term and believes valuation remains attractive, feels the recovery in shares could take longer given the recent slowing of ecommerce growth combined with continued regulatory actions across China

$KDP nice uptrending liking it so far

9000 $KDP OCT2021 $36 Cs trade 1.3-1.35

9000 $KDP OCT2021 $36 Cs trade 1.3-1.35

5000 $KDP Oct21 36.0 Calls trade $1.39 (FT Theo=1.30) ASKSIDE [BOX] 10:04:42 IV=21.4% +1.1 FLOOR - OPENING Vol=5621, OI=157,

Upside: -CYCN +16% (announces Global Licensing agreement with Akebia Therapeutics for Praliciguat; eligible to receive up to $585M in milestone payments) -SFIX +12% (earnings, guidance) -REVG +10% (earnings, guidance) -CHS +9.9% (earnings, guidance) -EVOK +8.4% (announces FDA Orange Book Listing of U.S. Patent for Gimoti) -ASO +7.2% (earnings, guidance) -MCF +6.6% (to be acquired by Independence Energy in all stock transaction valued at ~$5.7B) -JILL +6.3% (earnings, guidance) -MRVL +5.6% (earnings, guidance) -BYSI +4.8% (announces a Late-Breaking Poster Presentation of PROTECTIVE-2 Phase 3 Data) -THO +4.1% (earnings) -STX +3.7% (raises guidance) -TSLA +2.9% (strong China May passenger vehicle sales) -INO +2.6% (expands partnership with Advaccine to conduct global Phase III efficacy trial of COVID-19 DNA vaccine candidate, INO-4800) -OTLK +2.3% (reports completion of patient dosing in the ONS-5010 Pivotal Phase 3 NORSE TWO Trial) -FTCI +1.4% (earnings, guidance; raising prices) -LUV +1.2% (guidance) Downside: -PLBY -10% (files to offer 4.0M shares) -COUP -8.9% (earnings, guidance; Tony Tiscornia promoted to CFO) -TIGR -7.6% (files to sell 6.5M ADS) -HSTO -7.5% (announces 6.0M share direct offering priced at $1.10/shr) -LESL -5.7% (to sell 24.5M shares for holders) -HQY -5.5% (earnings, guidance) -KDP -4.9% (files to sell 28M common share secondary offering on behalf of Mondelez International) -FTCI -4.7% (earnings, guidance; raising prices) -FSLY -1.7% (hearing Fastly edge CDN platform is having issues causing internet outages) -ETSY -1.3% (files proposed private offering of $1.0B of convertible senior notes) -WBA -1.3% (AMZN reportedly to offer discounted pharmacy services targeting uninsured and those paying cash)

/*============================================= = Tuesday June 8, 2021 = =============================================*/ U.S. futures slip after several Internet websites went down this morning including New York Times, Reddit, Amazon.com Web Services (though many of them are starting to come back now). Futures dropped when it first appeared it was a potential cybersecurity breach but CNBC reported that Fastly ($FSLY) was down and maybe the reason for some of the outages, though still unclear at this point to what the direct driver is of the website outages. Fastly did say it is “investigating potential impact to performance with our CDN services,” on its service page. Prior to the Internet outages, U.S. futures weren’t doing very much, trading mixed to down slightly prior with Treasury yields lower (10-yr at 1.55%), along with a slide in oil prices and cryptocurrency (Bitcoin at 33K). U.S. equity futures were mixed, as inflation concerns continued to play on investors. Bitcoin fell, with some analysts suggesting the move may relate to the display of government control in the cryptocurrency space as the U.S recovered some of the Colonial Pipeline ransom. Stitch Fix and Marvell Technology gained following positive earnings results. Stocks finished mixed on Monday as the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrials finished with modest losses while the tech heavy Nasdaq Composite and Russell 2000 outperformed, paced by gains in the biotech sector as Biogen’s ($BIIB) FDA approval for its Alzheimer’s drug boosted optimism about futures FDA decisions on other drugs. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index fell -55 points to 28,963, the Shanghai Index fell -19 points to 3,580 and the Hang Seng Index slipped -5points to 28,781. In Europe, the German DAX is down over 30 points to 15,640, while the FTSE 100 is up a few points at 7,080. Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index slipped -3.37 points, or 0.08%, to 4,226.52 The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell -126.15 points, or 0.36%, to 34,630.24 The Nasdaq Composite climbed 67.23 points, or 0.49%, to 13,881.72 The Russell 2000 Index advanced 32.76 points, or 1.463% to 2,319.18 Events Calendar for Today 6:00 AM EST NFIB Small Business Optimism for May 7:45 AM ET ICSC Weekly Retail Sales 8:30 AM EST International Trade for April 8:55 AM ET Johnson/Redbook Weekly Sales 10:00 AM EST JOLTs Job Openings for April 4:30 PM ET API Weekly Inventory Data Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: $ASO, $CHS, $JILL, $NAV, $THO Earnings After the Close: $ABM, $AMSWA, $CASY, $CVGW, $LMNR, $ODC, $PATH, $STRM Other Key Events: China PPI and CPI data for May American Society of Clinical Oncology (ASCO), 6/4-6/8 Baird Global Consumer, Technology & Services Conference 2021 (virtual), 6/8-6/10 Deutsche Bank Global Consumer Conference (virtual), 6/7-6/10 Goldman Sachs Travel & Leisure Conference 2021 (virtual), 6/7-6/8 Goldman Sachs Healthcare Conference (virtual), 6/8-6/10 Goldman Sachs 25th Annual European Financials Conference (virtual), 6/8-6/10 Jefferies Healthcare Virtual Conference, 6/8-6/10 Oppenheimer Virtual Software & Semiconductor Bus Tour, 6/7-6/11 REITWeek 2021 Investor Virtual Conference, 6/8-6/10 UBS Global Industrials and Transportation Conference, 6/8-6/9 Macro Up/Down Last Nymex -0.58 68.65 Brent -0.60 70.89 Gold -5.30 1,893.90 EUR/USD -0.0013 1.2177 JPY/USD 0.17 109.42 10-Year Note -0.02 1.55% World News Germany Jun ZEW Expectations8 vs 86.0 consensus; Current Conditions -9.1 vs -27.8 consensus; Expecting strong recovery for next 6 months Eurozone Q1 GDP: q/q -0.3% vs -0.6% consensus; y/y -1.3% vs -1.8% consensus; Eurozone Q1 Employment Change: -1.8% vs -0.3% consensus Sector News Breakdown Consumer Chico’s FAS, Inc. ($CHS) said it has ongoing conversations with its shareholders, including Barrington, to discuss the Company’s strategy and operating plans and appreciates the input it receives Duckhorn Portfolio ($NAPA) 3Q adj EPS $0.17 vs. est. $0.07 on sales $90.4Mm vs. est. $76.1Mm Etsy ($ETSY) announces offering of $1B of convertible senior notes Keurig Dr Pepper ($KDP) announces offering of 28M shares of common stock for Mondelez Leslie’s Inc ($LESL) files for offering of 24.5M shares of common stock by the selling stockholders PLBY Group ($PLBY) files to sell 4M shares of common stock Stitch Fix ($SFIX) 3Q EPS loss ($0.18) vs. est. ($0.27) on revs $535.6Mm vs. est. $510.6Mm; qtrly active clients +20% to 4.1Mm; guides FY revs $2.07-2.08B vs. est. $2.04B, sees FY adj EBITDA $25-30Mm Superior Industries ($SUP) files $150M mixed securities shelf Vail Resorts ($MTN) 3Q EPS $6.72 vs. est. $6.54 on revs $889.1Mm vs. est. $882.1Mm; guides FY EBITDA $530-570Mm vs. est. $559.9Mm, sees FY net income $93-139Mm vs. est. $126.8Mm; Q3 total skier visits 7.19 million Wolverine Worldwide ($WWW) sees FY21 revs $2.24B-$2.3B vs. est. $2.28B; says 2q performance accelerated, fueled by strength of largest brands and product innovation Tesla ($TSLA) sold 33,463 China-made electric cars in May, including exports, a 29% jump from April, according to data from the China Passenger Car Association. China’s new electric vehicle sales surged 177% to 185,000 in May; overall passenger vehicle sales, however, rose just 1.1% to 1.66 million Thor Industries ($THO) Q3 EPS $3.29 vs. est. $2.34; Q3 sales $3.46B vs. est. $3.01B; revenues up 105.7%, gross profit margin improved by 240 basis points and earnings per share up 665.1% for the third quarter of fiscal 2021 Energy, Industrials and Materials Air Lease Corporation ($AL) announces delivery of new airbus a350-900 aircraft to world2fly Clean Energy Fuels Corp. ($CLNE) files for offering of up to $100 mln of shares of common stock REV Group ($REVG) 2Q adj EPS $0.39 vs. est. $0.20 on revs $643.6Mm vs. est. $636.2Mm; reinstates qtrly cash dividend in 2Q at $0.05/share; backs FY21 rev view $2.45B-$2.6B vs. est. $2.5B; boosts FY21 adjusted EBITDA view to $145M-$160M from $125M-$135M Southwest Airlines ($LUV) said May operating rev performed in line with co’s expectations, and represented a sequential increase compared with April 2021; based on current bookings, co expect sequential improvement in operating revenues in June 2021 compared with May 2021; said May 2021 business revenues were down approximately 77 percent compared with May 2019 Financials Costar Group ($CSGP) announces a ten-for-one stock split Cryptocurrency-exposed companies like Marathon Digital ($MARA) and Coinbase ($COIN) slide with Bitcoin and other digital tokens falling; Bitcoin prices down around the $33,000 level and Ethereum around $2,500 Pzena Investment Management Inc. ($PZN) preliminary total assets under management as of May 31, 2021 of $53.6 bln SelectQuote ($SLQT) will replace Cooper Tire & Rubber Co. (CTB) in the S&P SmallCap 600 effective prior to the opening of trading on Thursday, June 10 UDR ($UDR) raises guidance ranges as a result of continued strength in operating fundamentals and accretive external growth; sees Q2 FFO and AFFO per share to be at the high-end of its previously-provided guidance range of $0.47-$0.49 P. Carey ($WPC) 5.25M share Spot Secondary priced at $75.30 Healthcare Ironwood Pharmaceuticals ($IRWD) announces the appointment of Thomas McCourt, who has served as president and interim chief executive officer since March 12, 2021, as the company’s permanent chief executive officer HealthEquity ($HQY) Q1 adj EPS $0.38 vs. est. $0.32; Q1 revs $184.2M vs. est. $180.8M; sees year revs $755M-$765M vs. est. $755.5M Technology, Media & Telecom Coupa Software ($COUP) 1Q adj EPS $0.07 vs. est. ($0.19) on revs $167Mm vs. est. $151.1Mm; guides 2Q revs $162-163Mm vs. est. $161.6Mm, sees 2Q adj EPS loss $0.05 to $0.07 vs. est. ($0.09); guides FY revs $681-684Mm vs. est. $679.2Mm, sees FY adj EPS loss $0.14 to $0.20 vs. est. ($0.25) Jamf Holding Corp. ($JAMF) files for offering of up to 8.5M shares of common stock by selling shareholders Marvell Technology ($MRVL) Q1 adj EPS $0.29 vs. est. $0.27; Q1 revs $832M vs. est. $804.21M; Q1 64.3% non-GAAP gross margin; sees Q2 adj EPS 31c, plus/minus 3c vs. est. 30c; sees Q2 revs $1.065B plus/minus 3% vs. est. $1.04B; says non-GAAP gross margin is expected to be approximately 64% Zhangmen Education ($ZME)623M share IPO priced at $11.50

rolling KDP out to June

the KDP is good

$KDP setup continuing its ripe setup

most recent adds for me in options... BHP CAT KDP OKE DE FB VUZI BA ORCL

the $KDP looking good

only move I made today was KDP

went small with KDP

marcos that KDP looks like its all you

1800 $KDP MAY2021 $35 Cs bought 1.25

KDP looks strong and has room to the upside

1800 $KDP MAY2021 $35 Cs bought 1.25

1800 $KDP MAY2021 $35 Cs bought 1.25

6461 $KDP APR2021 $32 Cs bought 1.2

6461 $KDP APR2021 $32 Cs bought 1.2

$KDP is good even Apr Cs

what’s kdp ?

205 $KDP JUL2021 $33 Cs bought 2.15

+Initiations 1/20: $AYX $BRBR $CAT $CKPT $DDOG $DE $DELL $DEN $DMYD $DT $EL $ELS $ESTC $FICO $GTLS $KDP $KO $MO $PENN $PII $RXN $SNES $SPNS $STLA $TEX $URI $UTZ $ZNTL $ZS . -Initiations 1/20: $CL $LECO $PEP

seeing a ton of div names HPE, MRK, BMY, KDP

Downgrades 1/6: $AEP $ALB $AZRX $BAX $BEPC $BIPC $BYND $COG $CPK $CURI $DXC $EC $FE $FOUR $HBM $HII $HMN $IDA $IIIV $K $KDP $KO $KTOS $LTHM $LYB $MEOH $MGLN $MLND $MMP $MYOV $NS $ORA $PBF $PCG $PEP $PNM $PRGO $RF $SILV $SJW $SVC $TECK $TRP $WEX

KDP shares active in the darkest of pools

out $KDP flat

Short $KDP $28.50