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Friday, September 3, 2021 The long holiday weekend is upon us (back-to-school), with U.S. stock futures steadily higher ahead of the all-important August payroll report, a closely watched data point to see when the Federal Reserve might unveil its plans to begin withdrawing its massive pandemic-era stimulus. Economists are looking for a reading of +728K nonfarm payrolls (vs. +943K in July), +665K private payrolls (vs. +703K in July), and +25K manufacturing payrolls (vs. +27K in July); the unemployment rate expected to drop to 5.2% from 5.4%, while average hourly earnings estimated to rise +0.3% MoM and +4.0% Yoy. Stocks pared gains after the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite notched all-time highs Thursday with energy and health-care shares leading the charge, as oil prices touched their highest levels in about a month back above $70 per barrel. Yesterday bright spots included Smallcaps and Transports as well with tech mixed. It now remains to be seen if markets will put the pedal-to-the-metal, or sharply reverse, with Friday’s much anticipated August employment report. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index jumped 584 points to 29,128, the Shanghai Index slipped -15 points to 3,581, and the Hang Seng Index dropped -188 points to 25,901 to close out the week. In Europe, the German DAX is up around 20-points to 15,860, while the FTSE 100 gains about 10 to 7,175, another strong week for European and Asian markets. Events Calendar for Today · 8:30 AM ET Nonfarm Payrolls for Aug…est. 728K · 8:30 AM ET Private Payrolls for Aug…est. 665K · 8:30 AM ET Manufacturing Payrolls for Aug…est. 25K · 8:30 AM ET Unemployment Rate for Aug…est. 5.2% · 8:30 AM ET Average Hourly Earnings for Aug…est. +0.3% · 9:45 AM ET Markit Composite PMI, Aug-F · 9:45 AM ET Markit Services PMI, Aug-F · 10:00 AM ET ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI for Aug…est. 61.5 · 1:00 PM EST Baker Hughes Weekly rig count data Market Closing Prices Yesterday · The S&P 500 Index gained 12.86 points, or 0.28%, to 4,536.95 · The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 131.29 points, or 0.37%, to 35,443.82 · The Nasdaq Composite climbed 21.80 points, or 0.14%, to 15,331.18 · The Russell 2000 Index advanced 16.69 points, or 0.74% to 2,304.02 Macro Up/Down Last Nymex 0.26 70.25 Brent 0.47 73.50 · Japan’s beleaguered Prime Minister, Yoshihide Suga, surprised markets in Asia Friday by announcing plans to step down in the coming weeks, ending an unpopular tenue at the head of the world’s third largest economy. Suga, 72, took over the office of Prime Minister following the resignation of Shinzo Abe · Chinese Caixin Services PMI August 46.7 below the expected reading of 52.0 (prior 54.9) and the Caixin Composite PMI for August also contraction territory at 47.2 (vs. previous 53.1) · Eurozone July Retail Sales missed at -2.3% MoM vs 0.1% consensus, 3.1% YoY vs 4.8% consensus · Eurozone Aug Services PMI (final) missed at 59.0 vs 59.7 consensus · German Aug Services PMI (final) missed at 60.8 vs 61.5 consensus Sector News Breakdown Consumer · Beyond Meat, Inc. ($BYND) said that its COO is stepping down effective immediately. · Didi Global ($DIDI) rises initially after Bloomberg reported that Beijing’s municipal government has proposed an investment in Didi Global Inc. that would give state-run firms control of the world’s largest ride- hailing company. · Joann Inc. (JOAN) 2Q sales $496.9Mm vs est. $533.2Mm; Q2 adjusted Ebitda $23.5Mm; Q2 adjusted net loss $8.3Mm · Oxford Industries ($OXM) 2Q adj EPS $3.24 vs est. $2.33 on sales $329Mm vs est. $308.2Mm; guides 3Q sales $220-230Mm vs est. $206Mm, sees 3Q adj EPS $0.20-0.30; guides FY sales $1.085-1.105B vs est. $1.05B, sees FY adj EPS $6.45-6.70 vs est. $5.22 · Quanex Building ($NX) Q3 adj EPS $0.42 on sales $279.9M vs. est. $272.6M; expect inflation, labor costs, and supply chain challenges to continue pressuring margins throughout q4 of this year; reaffirming net sales guidance of approximately $1.04B-$1.06B vs. est. $1.05B · Tilly’s ($TLYS) 2Q EPS $0.66 vs est. $0.51 on revs $202Mm vs est. $189.7Mm; guides 3Q EPS $0.30-0.34 vs est. $0.24, sees 3Q sales about $187-193Mm vs est. $173Mm Energy, Industrials and Materials · Patterson-UTI Energy ($PTEN) reports an average of 79 drilling rigs operating for the month of August, 2021 Financials · Marathon Digital ($MARA) published unaudited bitcoin (BTC) production and miner installation updates for August. The company produced 469.6 new minted bitcoins during August 2021, increasing total bitcoin holdings to approximately 6,695 with a fair market value of approximately $316.4M. Cash on hand was approximately $70.9M and total liquidity, defined as cash and bitcoin holdings, was approximately $387.3M Healthcare · Cooper Companies ($COO) 3Q adj EPS $3.41 vs est. $3.29 on revs $763.4Mm vs est. $726.8Mm; guides 4Q adj EPS $3.24-3.44 vs est. $3.49, sees 4Q revs $730-760Mm vs est. $748.7Mm; guides FY revs $2.893-2.923B vs est. $2.875B, sees FY adj EPS $13.20-13.40 vs est. $13.33 · Forte Biosciences ($FBRX) shares tumble over -80%; said FB-401 for the treatment of Atopic Dermatitis failed to meet primary endpoint and the company will not continue to advance it · Cellect Biotechnology ($APOP) rises 55%; announced the first ApoGraft transplantation in a Leukemia patient in the company’s clinical trial at Washington University in the U.S. The trial, initiated in October, will enroll 18 patients with cancers affecting the blood, bone marrow and lymph nodes, that are undergoing transplantation · AstraZeneca ($AZN) & the EU have agreed a C-19 vaccine supply & ended the litigation; the deal will ensure delivery of the remaining C-19 shots to EU countries; will deliver 60m doses by the end of Q3 & 135m by year end Technology, Media & Telecom · Broadcom ($AVGO) Q3 Adj EPS $6.96 vs. est. $6.888; Q3 revs $6.78B vs. est. $6.76B; Q4 revenue guidance of approximately $7.35B vs. est. $7.23B; Q4 adjusted Ebitda guidance of approximately 61% of projected revenue; expect free cash flow to remain strong in Q4 · DocuSign ($DOCU) 2Q adj EPS $0.47 vs est. $0.40 on revs $511.8Mm vs est. $485.3Mm, billings $595.4Mm +47%; guides 3Q revs $526-532Mm vs est. $517Mm, sees 3Q adj gr mgn 79-81% and adj op mgn 17-19%; guides FY revs $2.078-2.088B vs est. $2.044B, sees adj gr mgn 79-81% and adj op mgn 16-18% · Guidewire Software ($GWRE) Q4 adj EPS $0.37 vs. est. $0.25; Q4 revs $229.4M vs. est. $222.35M; sees Q1 revs $162M-$166M vs. est. $174.6M and Q1 ARR $586M-$590M; sees FY22 revs $780M-$790M vs. est. $769.23M and sees FY22 ARR $657M-$667M · Hewlett Packard Enterprises ($HPE) Q3 adj EPS $0.47 vs. est. $0.42; Q3 revs $6.9B vs. est. $6.93B; sees Q4 EPS $0.44-$0.52 vs. est. $0.49; reinstating share repurchase program and targeting share repurchases of up to $250M in Q4 fy21; raises FY Gaap diluted net eps outlook to $0.80 to $0.88 and non-Gaap diluted net eps outlook to $1.88 to $1.96 · Medallia Inc. ($MDLA) Q2 adj EPS loss (-$0.09) vs. est. loss (-$0.08); Q2 revs $144.1M vs. est. $138.17M; won’t be providing guidance for 3q of fiscal yr 2022, suspending its guidance for full year as a result of pending transaction · MongoDB Inc. ($MDB) Q2 non-GAAP EPS loss (-$0.24) vs. est. (-$0.39); Q2 revs $198.7M vs. est. $184.2M; said Q2 results were exceptionally strong across the board, highlighted by Atlas revenue growth of 83%; recently surpassed 200Mm cumulative downloads from our website and had more than 75Mm downloads over the last 12 months alone; sees Q3 non-GAAP EPS loss (42c)-(39c) vs. est. loss (-$0.37); sees Q3 revs $202.0M-$204.0M vs. est. $198.3M · Ooma Inc. ($OOMA) 2Q adj EPS $0.13 vs est. $0.09 on revs $47.1Mm vs est. $46.4Mm; guides 3Q adj EPS $0.08-0.11 vs est. $0.07, sees 3Q revs $47.8-48.5Mm vs est. $46.7Mm; guides FY adj EPS $0.40-0.46 vs est. $0.35, sees FY revs $188.5-190Mm vs est. $186.5Mm · PagerDuty ($PD) 2Q adj EPS ($0.13) vs est. ($0.15) on revs $68Mm vs est. $65.6Mm; guides 3Q adj EPS loss $0.09-0.10 vs est. loss $0.09, sees 3Q revs $69-71Mm vs est. $68.3Mm; guides FY revs $273-276Mm vs est. $270.5Mm, sees FY adj EPS loss $0.35-0.39 vs est. loss $0.39 · Science Applications International Corporation ($SAIC) Q2 adj EPS $1.97 vs. est. $1.47; Q2 revs $1.8B vs. est. $1.79B; raises FY22 adj EPS view to $6.50-$6.70 from $6.15-$6.40 (est. $6.51); boosts FY22 revenue view to $7.3B-$7.4B from $7.15B-$7.3B (est. $7.33B) · Yext Inc. ($YEXT) 2Q adj EPS ($0.06) vs est. ($0.07) on revs $98.1Mm vs est. $95Mm; guides 3Q revs $97.5-98.5Mm vs est. $97.2Mm, sees 3Q adj EPS loss $0.06-0.08 vs est. loss $0.05; guides FY revs 386-388Mm vs est. $385.2Mm, sees FY adj EPS loss $0.20-0.24 vs est. loss $0.18 · Reddit Inc, the operator of online message boards that became the go-to destination for day traders chasing this year’s frenzy for so-called ‘meme’ stocks, is seeking to hire investment bankers and lawyers for an initial public offering (IPO) in New York, two people familiar with the matter said on Thursday. Reddit was valued at $10 billion in a private fundraising round last month – Reuters · Sphere 3D ($ANY) shares down -28%; to issue 22.6M common shares and warrants to purchase 11.3M common shares for gross proceeds of $192.1M, in a registered direct offering
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Thursday, September 2, 2021 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow 45.00 0.13% 35,335 S&P 500 6.25 0.14% 4,527 Nasdaq 29.50 0.19% 15,638 Stock index futures are indicating a higher open with rates edging down (10-year drops back below 1.3%) as investors await another set of numbers on the labor market in the form of weekly jobless claims, ahead of Friday’s payrolls report (which followed a weaker private payroll report from ADP yesterday). A brutal night across the Northeast saw tornado watches and flash flood warnings for parts of the Tri-State Area as remnants of Hurricane Ida brought in heavy winds and drenching rains that turned major highways into rivers and even showed water rushing through Newark Liberty International Airport, canceling all flights there. The tail-end of hurricane Ida dumped a “record breaking” amount of rain over New York and New Jersey putting both areas into states of emergency. Hurricane Ida, which devastated Louisiana this week, could mobilize lawmakers to pass the bipartisan $1T infrastructure bill, which is making its way through Congress. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index rose 92 points to 28,543, he Shanghai Index climbed 29 points to 2,597, and the Hang Seng Index advanced 62 points to settle at 26,090. In Europe, markets are quiet as the German DAX is flat at 15,825, while the FTSE 100 is down a few points to 7,145. Bitcoin prices moved back above the $50K level overnight, last trading up 3.3% around $49,900 in a rebound for crypto; Ethereum prices up modestly after outperformance Wednesday, last around $3,750. Crude is rising after OPEC+ ministers’ unity reinforced market stability Events Calendar for Today 7:30 AM ET Challenger Layoffs for Aug 8:30 AM ET Weekly Jobless Claims…est. 345K 8:30 AM EST Continuing Claims…est. 2.775M 8:30 AM ET International Trade for July…est. (-$71.0B) 8:30 AM ET Nonfarm Productivity, Q2…est. 2.4% 8:30 AM ET Unit Labor Costs for Q2…est. 0.9% 10:00 AM ET Factory Orders MoM for July…est. 0.3% 10:00 AM ET Durable Goods Orders MoM for July 10:30 AM ET Weekly EIA Natural Gas Inventory Data Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: AEO, BNED, BRC, CIEN, DCI, DLTH, GCO, GIII, GMS, JRL, JW/A, KIRK, LE, MCFT, MEI, SCWX, SIG, TTC Earnings After the Close: AVGO, COO, CTHR, CTLP, DOCU, GWRE, HPE, JOAN, LAW, MDB, MDLA, MEIP, NX, OOMA, OXM, PD, SAIC, TLYS, YEXT Other Key Events: Barclay’s Media & Telecom Forum (virtual), 9/1-9/2 Stephens Auto investor Field Trip, 9/1-9/2 Caixin Services PMI for Aug Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index gained 1.41 points, or 0.03%, to 4,524.09 The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell -48.20 points, or 0.14%, to 35,312.53 The Nasdaq Composite climbed 50.15 points, or 0.33%, to 15,309.38 The Russell 2000 Index advanced 13.28 points, or 0.58% to 2,287.06 Macro Up/Down Last Nymex 0.36 68.95 Brent 0.38 71.97 Gold 1.50 1,815.40 EUR/USD 0.0015 1.1854 JPY/USD 0.00 110.01 10-Year Note -0.013 1.289% Sector News Breakdown Consumer Chewy ($CHWY) shares fell -10%; 2Q adj EBITDA $23.3Mm vs est. 34.4Mm on sales $2.16B vs est. $2.2B; sees FY net sales $8.9B-$9.0B vs. est. $9.0B Costco ($COST) reported total comparable sales for Aug. that beat the average analyst estimate; Aug. total comparable sales +14.2%, estimate +12.5%; Aug. U.S. comparable sales excluding fuel, currencies +10.1%, estimate +7.10% Five Below ($FIVE) shares fell -9%; 2Q EPS $1.15 vs est. $1.11 on sales $646.6Mm vs est. $648.3Mm; guides 3Q net sales $550-565Mm on +MSD comps vs est. $551Mm, sees EPS $0.23-0.30 vs est. $0.27 Hormel Foods ($HRL) shares fall -4%; Q3 adj EPS $0.39, in-line with estimates; Q3 revs $2.86B vs. est. $2.73B; Q2 volume of 1.2B pounds, up 1%; organic volume down 2%; operating margin 7.2%; cuts FY21 EPS view to $1.65-$1.69 from $1.70-$1.82, while raises FY21 revenue view to $11B-$11.2B from $10.2B-$10.8B Chinese regulators summoned 11 ride-hailing firms including DIDI Global ($DIDI) to discuss concerns related to the sector; China’s transport ministry highlighted the hiring of unqualified drivers and use of promotions that disrupt fair market order during the meeting Sportsman’s Warehouse ($SPWH) Q2 adj EPS $0.44 vs. est. $0.48; Q2 sales $361.8M vs. est. $345.6M; said Q2 same store sales decreased 9.9% compared to the same period last year; For the first half of fiscal year 2021, same store sales increased 3.4% compared to the same period last year; Adjusted EBITDA was $35.2M compared to $53.6M in the comparable prior year period; not providing guidance Smith & Wesson Brands ($SWBI) Q1 adj EPS $1.57 vs. est. $1.29; Q1 revs $274.6M vs. est. $278.59M; record gross margin of 47.3% vs. 40.2% last year ChargePoint Holdings ($CHPT) rises 12%; 2Q EPS ($0.29) vs est. ($0.13) on revs $56.1Mm vs est. $49.1Mm, says activated ports exceed 118,000 with over 5,400 in Europe and over 3,700 DC fast charge ports; guides 3Q revs $60-65Mm vs est. $54.7Mm, sees FY revs $225-235Mm up from $195M-$205M vs est. $206.6Mm DraftKings ($DKNG) announced the launch of DraftKings Online Sportsbook in Wyoming, marking the thirteenth state in which its mobile sportsbook is available Tesla ($TSLA) now aims for Full Self-Driving Beta public release ~September 25th, Electrek reports https://electrek.co/2021/09/01/tesla-full-self-driving-beta-public-release-4-weeks/ Energy, Industrials and Materials Greif ($GEF) Q3 adj EPS $1.93 vs. est. $1.54; Q3 revs $1.49B vs. est. $1.39B; sees FY21 EPS $5.10-$5.30 vs. est. $4.63; sees FY21 adjusted free cash flow $335M-$365M Ingersoll Rand Inc. ($IR) authorized a new share repurchase program of $750 mln Exelon ($EXC) tells Illinois lawmakers and Gov. J.B. Pritzker to finalize an energy policy deal by September 13 or face the permanent closure of one of the state’s six nuclear power plants. Energy Transfer ($ET) signed a 15-year power purchase agreement to buy 120 MW of electricity from SoftBank’s ($SFTBY) Eiffel Solar project in northeast Texas; financial terms are not disclosed. General Electric ($GE) was awarded a not-to-exceed $1.65B firm-fixed-price, indefinite-delivery, performance-based logistics requirements contract for the repair, upgrade or replacement, inventory management, and required supply response times of 17 F414 engine components in support of the F/A-18 aircraft Virgin Galactic ($SPCE) slips after the U.S. Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) said on Wednesday it is investigating descent deviation of July 11 flight of SPCE rocket plane that carried British billionaire Richard Branson. FAA spokesman told Reuters vehicle “deviated from its Air Traffic Control clearance as it returned to Spaceport America. The FAA investigation is ongoing.” Donaldson ($DCI) Q4 EPS $0.66 in-line with estimates; Q4 revs $773.1M vs. est. $770.69M; sees FY22 EPS $2.50-$2.66 vs. est. $2.68; sees FY22 sales growth of 5%-10% (est. $3.12B) OPEC+ and its allies agreed yesterday to stick to their existing plan for gradual monthly oil-production increases after a video conference. Ministers ratified the 400,000 barrel-a-day supply hike scheduled for October after one of the quickest meetings in recent memory. Financials CIBC to become exclusive credit card issuer for Costco Mastercard’s in Canada and acquire existing Costco Canadian credit card portfolio Over the last six months SPACs have lost $75 billion. A group of 137 SPACs that closed mergers by mid-February have lost 25% of their combined value. At one point last month, the pullback topped $100 billion – WSJ Healthcare FDA AdComm to discuss Pfizer ($PFE) and BioNTech SE ($BNTX) application for COVID-19 Booster on September 17th Assembly Biosciences, Inc. ($ASMB) shares fall -20%, as the clinical-stage biotechnology company developing innovative therapeutics targeting hepatitis B virus ($HBV), today announced its decision to discontinue development of ABI-H2158 (2158) following the observation of elevated ALT levels consistent with drug-induced hepatotoxicity in an ongoing Phase 2 trial. Cannabis space: The newly inaugurated governor of New York says she wants to “jumpstart” the implementation of marijuana legalization—and she took a major step on Wednesday by making two key regulatory appointments for the state’s cannabis market that have now been confirmed in a Senate committee during a special session (watch shares of $TLRY, $CURLF, $GTBIF, $CRON) https://bit.ly/3jzhR0D Phreesia ($PHR) 2Q EPS ($0.48) vs est. ($0.10) on revs $51Mm vs est. $47.2Mm, says avg number of provider clients was 1,987 in qtr vs 1,668 prior year +19%; guides FY revs $195-198Mm vs est. $193.4Mm, continue to expect overall cash outflow to increase in FY22 vs FY21 NeoGenomics Inc ($NEO) files prospectus related to resale or other disposition of 4.4 mln shares by selling stockholders Ascendis Pharma ($ASND)5M share Secondary priced at $160.00 Technology, Media & Telecom Asana ($ASAN) Q2 adj EPS loss (-$0.23) vs. est. loss (-$0.26); Q2 revs $89.5M vs. est. $82.24M; sees Q3 adj EPS loss (27c)-(26c) vs. est. loss (-$0.28); sees Q3 revs $93M-$94M vs. est. $86.72M; raises FY22 revenue view to $357M-$359M from $336M-$340M (est. $338.81M); Revenues from customers spending $5,000 or more on an annualized basis grew 97% YoY; customers spending $50,000 or more on an annualized basis increased to 598, up 111% YoY ai ($AI) shares fell -10%; Q1 EPS loss (-$0.37) vs. est. loss (-$0.28); Q1 revs $52.4M vs. est. $51.16M; said Q1 included YoY increases of 29% in revenue and 31% in gross profit; sees Q2 revenue $56M-$58M vs. est. $56.12M; sees FY22 revenue $243M-$247M vs. est. $245.4M; Q1 Subscription revenue was $46.1M, up from $35.7M one year ago, an increase of 29% Yoy eGain ($EGAN) 4Q adj EPS $0.08 vs est. $0.03 on revs $20.2Mm vs est. $19.9Mm; guides 1Q adj EPS $0.02-0.05 vs est. $0.03, sees 1Q revs $20.9-21.3Mm vs est. $20.6Mm; guides FY revs $88.2-89.8Mm vs est. $87.1Mm; sees FY adj EPS ($0.03) to $0.00 vs est. $0.20 nCino ($NCNO) 2Q adj EPS ($0.02) vs est. ($0.06) on revs $66.5Mm vs est. $63.7Mm; guides 3Q adj net EPS loss $0.06-0.07 vs est. loss $0.06, sees 3Q revs $66-67Mm vs est. $65.1Mm; guides FY adj EPS net loss $0.22-0.23 vs est. loss $0.23, sees FY revs $263-264Mm vs est. $259.1Mm Nutanix ($NTNX) Q4 adj EPS loss (-$0.26) vs. est. loss (-$0.42); Q4 revs $390.7M vs. est. $362.88M; operating expenses topped revenue at $454.1M though rose from $432.3M a year ago; sees Q1 ACV Billings $172M-$177M Okta ($OKTA) Q2 adj EPS loss (-$0.11) vs. est. loss (-$0.35); Q2 revs $316M vs. est. $296.52M; sees Q3 adj EPS loss (25c)-(24c) vs. est. loss (-$0.34); sees Q3 revs $325M-$327M vs. est. $322.93M; raises FY22 adjusted EPS loss view (77c)-(74c) from ($1.16)-($1.13); Q2 revenue grew 57% year-over-year; subscription revenue grew 59% YoY; remaining performance obligations (RPO) grew 57% YoY to $2.24 billion Semtech ($SMTC) 2Q adj EPS $0.65 vs est. $0.62 on sales $185Mm vs est. $182.9Mm; guides 3Q adj EPS $0.68-0.76 vs est. $0.67 with adj gr margin 62.8-63.8%, adj SG&A $33.5-34.5Mm, adj R&D $32.5-33.5Mm Veev Systems ($VEEV) 2Q adj EPS $0.94 vs est. $0.87 on revs $455.6Mm vs est. $451.9Mm; guides 3Q adj EPS $0.87-0.88 vs est. $0.86, sees 3Q revs $464-466Mm vs est. $460Mm; guides FY revs $1.83-1.835B vs est. $1.823B, sees FY adj EPS about $3.57 vs est. $3.47 China’s Alibaba Group ($BABA) will invest 100 billion yuan ($15.5 billion) by 2025 in support of “common prosperity”, it said, becoming the latest corporate giant to pledge support for the initiative driven by President Xi Jinping Ireland hit Facebook’s ($FB) WhatsApp with a record 225 million euro ($266 million) fine on Thursday following an inquiry into the messaging app’s transparency around sharing personal data with other Facebook companies.
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Upside: -CNST +67% (to be acquired by Morphosys for $34.00/shr in cash; deal valued at $1.7B) -MITO +42% (receives Orphan Drug Designation from the European Medicines Agency for elamipretide for the treatment of Barth syndrome) -SLCT +21% (First Bancorp to acquire Select Bancorp, Inc. for $18.10/shr in $314M all-stock transaction) -AMC +20% (successfully sold 8.5M shares of its Class A common stock to Mudrick Capital Management, LP; launches AMC Investor Connect) -MDLA +11% (earnings, guidance) -KIN +9.8% (announces positive results from pivotal efficacy study of parvovirus monoclonal antibody for the prevention of deaths in dogs infected by parvovirus) -WORX +9.6% (Interim COO Tim Hannibal to become permanent CEO) -RLX +7.4% (earnings, guidance) -SKLZ +6.7% (acquires technology-driven marketing platform Aarki for $150M cash-stock deal) -SCYX +4.3% (announces FDA Approval of BREXAFEMME® (ibrexafungerp tablets) as the First and Only Oral Non-Azole Treatment for Vaginal Yeast Infections) -FUSN +3.8% (enters into agreement with McMaster University to build radiopharmaceutical manufacturing facility) -SFT +3.3% (executives announce purchase of shares) -AMBA +3.1% (earnings, guidance) -EVOK +2.2% (issued new US patent covering methods of use for Gimoti (metoclopramide) nasal spray) -APPS +1.9% (earnings, guidance) -CANF +1.9% (to Initiate Phase IIb NASH Study with its Drug Candidate Namodenoson) -ETSY +1.3% (acquires global fashion resale marketplace Depop for $1.63B consisting primarily of cash) -AAP +1.2% (earnings, guidance) -KODK +1.2% (issues statement responding to New York Attorney General regarding insider trading evidence) -ZM +1.2% (earnings, guidance) Downside: -IRTC -15% (CEO Michael Coyle steps down due to personal matters; affirms select Q2 guidance) -ENG -14% (registers ~7.14M shares at $2.80/shr) -LIZI -6.8% (earnings) -PROG -4.2% (launches strategic transformation into biotech company) -ADCT -4.1% (files to sell up to 5.6M shares for holders) -OMIC -3.1% (underwriters fully exercise 1.5M share overallotment option) -HPE -1.2% (earnings, guidance
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/*============================================= = Wednesday June 02 2021 = =============================================*/ U.S. stock futures are looking flat after a muted trading session overnight, with markets listless in its return from the three-day Memorial Day Weekend yesterday as investors look ahead to U.S. jobs data and for the moment appear unphased by any inflationary pressures. Markets have been gradually rising the last two-weeks, moving back near record highs for major averages on lighter volumes as we head into the summer. Some upcoming catalysts might be seen in the coming sessions, when the Labor Department releases its jobs report on Friday, before a high-profile FOMC meeting set for in mid-June. Oil prices traded near two-year highs on Wednesday after OPEC and its allies said they gradually would increase production in July as expected. On the economic calendar, investors will be eyeing the Fed’s Beige Book this afternoon. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index rose 131 points to 28,946, the Shanghai Index fell -27 points to 3,597, and the Hang Seng Index declined -170 points to 29,297. In Europe, the German DAX is up around 20 points to 15,590, while the FTSE 100 is up a few points to 7,085. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq slipped late day as declines in healthcare and technology overshadowed energy and financial gains, as investors weighed the latest round of U.S. economic data for signs of a rebound and rising inflation. The energy sector posted its biggest one-day gain in nearly four months as oil prices rose while healthcare stocks dropped after a weak profit forecast from Abbott Labs weighed on testing and medical equipment stocks. Smallcaps outperformed again as the Russell 2000 advanced over 1% again led by energy stocks. While the S&P 500 remains less than 1% of its record high (came within 4 points of its all-time high intraday) after four straight months of gains, investors are worried about whether rising inflation could hit equity prices. Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index slipped -2.08 points, or 0.05%, to 4,202.04 The Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 46.85 points, or 0.14%, to 34,575.31 The Nasdaq Composite dipped -12.26 points, or 0.09%, to 13,736.48 The Russell 2000 Index rose 25.01 points, or 1.10% to 2,293.99 Events Calendar for Today 7:00 AM ET MBA Mortgage Applications Data 4:30 PM ET API Weekly Inventory Data Earnings Calendar Earnings Before the Open: $AAP, $DCI, $LE Earnings After the Close: $AI, $AMSC, $CLDR, $EDR, $ESTC, $GWRE, $MIND, $NCNO, $NTAP, $PVH, $SMAR, $SMTC, $SPLK, $SPTN, $SPWH Macro Up/Down Last Nymex 0.73 68.45 Brent 0.89 71.14 Gold -3.40 1,898.00 EUR/USD -0.0036 1.2177 JPY/USD 0.32 109.80 10-Year Note -0.009 1.606% Sector News Breakdown Consumer Overstock’s ($OSTK) tZERO Is Looking for a Buyer, according to CoinDesk. The company is exploring a number of options, including a SPAC merger, said tZERO VP of Investor Relations Michael Mougias. https://bit.ly/3pfoXIX Scotts Miracle-Gro ($SMG) boosts FY21 view for EPS $9.00-$9.30 (from prior $8.60-$9.00) and company-wide sales up 17%-19% vs. et. $9.15 and $4.65B, led by continued strength in both U.S. consumer and Hawthorne segments Advance Auto Parts ($AAP) Q1 adj EPS $3.34 vs. est. $3.08; Q1 sales $3.3B vs. est. $3.28B; Q1 comp sales rose 24.7%; raises FY21 revenue view to $10.4B-$10.6B from $10.2B-$10.4B and ups its FY21 comp sales view to 4%-6% from 2%-4%. AMC Entertainment ($AMC) shares looking higher by another 30% in pre-market trading, as individual traders on social media forums were unfazed after Hedge fund Mudrick Capital Management sold 8.5 million freshly issued AMC shares at a profit on Tuesday, immediately after buying them. Tesla ($TSLA) is recalling nearly 6,000 U.S. vehicles because brake caliper bolts could be loose, with the potential to cause a loss of tire pressure; the recall covers certain 2019-2021 Model 3 vehicles and 2020-2021 Model Y vehicles – in filing with the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration Energy, Industrials and Materials Donaldson ($DCI) Q3 EPS 66c vs. est. 58c; Q3 revs $765M vs. est. $707.59M; raises FY21 adj EPS view to $2.28-$2.34 vs. est. $2.21; expects full-year sales to increase between 9%-11% YoY, compared with prior guidance of between 5%-8% ProPetro Holding ($PUMP) files mixed securities shelf Orion Energy Systems ($OESX) 4Q EPS $0.04 vs. est. $0.10 on revs $35.5Mm vs. est. $39.1Mm; guides FY22 revs at least +28% vs. est. +34.3% Westport Fuel Systems ($WPRT) announces $100M offering of common shares Tellurian ($TELL) should start construction this summer on the Driftwood LNG export terminal in Louisiana, Executive Chairman Souki said RBC initiated Sector Perform ratings on Couer Mining ($CDE) with a $10 target and Pan American Silver (PAAS) Financials $SOFI was initiated with an Outperform rating and $25 price target at OpCo First Bancorp ($FBNC) to acquire Select Bancorp ($SLCT) for $18.10 per share in an all-stock transaction with a total current value of approximately $314.3 million, based on First Bancorp’s stock price as of May 28, 2021 Healthcare Amazon ($AMZN) said it will no longer screen its workers for cannabis (except for positions subject to regulation by the U.S. Department of Transportation) and will drop weed-testing requirements for recruitment as it supports a proposed U.S. legislation to legalize cannabis at the federal level (watch pot stocks $TLRY, $CGC, $CRON, $GTBIF, $CURLF) Eli Lilly ($LLY) got permission for restricted emergency use of bamlanivimab & etesevimab to treat covid-19 Edwards Lifesciences ($EW) announces that its Acumen Hypotension Prediction Index (HPI) software with the Acumen IQ finger cuff has received U.S. FDA clearance. iRhythm Technologies ($IRTC) said Mike Coyle has decided to resign from his position as president and CEO and a member of the company’s board, effective June 1, due to personal matters. Douglas Devine, the company’s CFO, has assumed the role of interim CEO while a search for a permanent CEO is conducted; reiterates Q2 guidance of ~4% sequential volume growth over Q1 Moderna, Inc. ($MRNA) entered into an agreement with Thermo Fisher Scientific (TMO) for fill/finish sterile manufacturing services and supply packaging for Moderna’s COVID-19 vaccine Invitae ($NVTA) files to sell 26.63M shares of common stock for holders Stealth Biotherapeutics ($MITO) receives orphan drug designation from the European medicine’s agency for elamipretide for the treatment of Barth syndrome ADC Therapeutics ($ADCT) files to sell 5.56M shares of common stock for holders Technology, Media & Telecom Ambarella ($AMBA) 1Q adj EPS $0.23 vs. est. $0.17 on revs $70.1Mm vs. est. $68.6Mm; guides 2Q revs $74-77Mm vs. est. $69.5Mm, adj gr margin 61-62%, adj op exp $36-37.5Mm Digital Turbine ($APPS) Q4 adj EPS 25c vs. est. 19c; Q4 revs $95.01M vs. est. $88M; sees Q1 non-GAAP EPS 31c vs. est. 21c; sees Q1 revs $188M-$192M vs. est. $101.94M; sees Q1 non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA2 $32M-$34M. Hewlett Packard Enterprises ($HPE) Q2 EPS 46c vs. est. 42c; Q2 revs $6.7B vs. est. $6.62B; raises FY21 EPS view to reflect momentum in demand to $1.82-$1.94 from $1.70-$1.88 (est. $1.84); guides Q3 EPS 38c-44c vs. est. 43c Medallia ($MDLA) raises FY22 revenue view to $566M-$570M from $563M-$567M; 1Q adj EPS ($0.08) vs. est. ($0.07) on revs $131.4Mm vs. est. $127.4Mm; guides 2Q subscription revs $113-114Mm, total revs $137-139Mm vs. est. $135.3Mm, adj loss ($12.5Mm) to ($11.5Mm); guides FY subscription revs $467-471Mm, total revs $566-570Mm vs. est. $564.7Mm Zoom Media ($ZM) Q1 adj EPS $1.32 vs. est. $0.99; Q1 res $956.2M vs. est. $906M; raises FY adj EPS view to $4.56-$4.61 from prior $3.59-$3.65 (est. $3.77); sees Q2 EPS $1.14-$1.15 vs. est. $0.94 and sees Q2 revs $985.0M-$990M vs. est. $941.6M; Q1 Number of customers contributing more than $100,000 in TTM revenue up 160% YoY; Q1 approximately 497,000 customers with more than 10 employees, up 87% YoY; Q1 free cash flow $454.2M vs. est. $280.4M
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/*============================================= = Premarket Prep 06/01/21 = =============================================*/ U.S. stock futures looking higher, tracking gains in Europe and Asia ahead of manufacturing data that will give fresh insights into the economic recovery. S&P futures are looking higher after closing out May with its fourth consecutive monthly advance as investors have grown more confident that rising inflation won’t lead central banks to ease monetary policy measures, pushing major indexes back toward all-time highs in recent weeks. Economic data in the form of manufacturing showed strength in both Europe and Asia overnight with ISM data coming at 10:00 AM later this morning. For the week, the S&P rose 1.17%, the Dow added 0.94%, the Nasdaq gained 2.06%. For the month, the S&P rose 0.55%, the Dow added 1.94%, and the Nasdaq shed 1.53%. Stocks gained on Friday as investors considered new economic data on consumer spending, income and inflation alongside stronger-than-expected data reports from earlier this week. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index fell -45 points to 28.814, the Shanghai Index rose 9 points to 3,624 and the Hang Seng Index jumped 316 points to 29,468. In Europe, the German DAX is up over 220 points to 15,640, while the FTSE 100 rises over 80 points to top 7,100. Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index gained 3.23 points, or 0.08%, to 4,204.11 The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 64.81 points, or 0.19%, to 34,529.45 The Nasdaq Composite climbed 12.46 points, or 0.09%, to 13,748.74 The Russell 2000 Index declined -4.10 points, or 0.18% to 2,268.97 Events Calendar for Today 7:45 AM ET ICSC Weekly Retail Sales 8:55 AM ET Johnson/Redbook Weekly Sales 9:45 AM EST Markit Manufacturing PMI, May-F 10:00 AM EST Construction Spending for April 10:00 AM EST ISM Manufacturing PMI, for May 10:30 AM EST Dallas Fed Manufacturing for May Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: $GHM, $KIRK Earnings After the Close: $AMBA, $APPS, $HPE, $ITI, $MDLA, $OESX, $ZM Other Key Events: Cowen 49th Annual TMT Conference (virtual), 6/1-6/3 Deutsche Bank FinTech and Info Service Conference (virtual), 6/1-6/2 Goldman Sachs 3rd Asia Spotlight Symposium (virtual), 6/1-6/4 Jefferies Global Healthcare Conference, 6/1-6/3 KeyBanc Capital Markets Industrials & Basic Materials Conference (virtual), 6/1-6/4 William Blair 40th Annual Growth Stock Conference (virtual), 6/1-6/3 OPEC+ June meeting Macro Up/Down Last Nymex 1.78 68.10 Brent 1.39 70.71 Gold 0.15 1,907.00 EUR/USD 0.0001 1.2228 JPY/USD 0.03 109.61 10-Year Note +0.028 1.622% World News China’s factory activity expanded at the fastest pace this year in May as domestic and export demand picked up, as the Caixin/Markit Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) rose to 52.0 last month, the highest level since December and inching up from April’s 51.9. China will allow all couples to have a third child, a surprise move aimed at slowing the nation’s declining birthrate as risks to the economy’s long-term prospects mount because of a rapidly aging population OECD releases U.S. economic forecasts in Paris as PCE 2.6% y/y in 2022; 2.9% y/y in 2021; core PCE 2.6% y/y in 2022; 2.5% y/y in 2021; unemployment rate 4.3% y/y in 2022; 5.6% y/y in 2021 Iran and world powers have started what could be their final negotiations to revive a 2015 nuclear accord that limited the Islamic Republic’s atomic activities in return for sanctions relief. The fifth round of talks has begun in Vienna RBA Rate Decision: Leaves cash rate unchanged at 0.1%, leaves 3Y AGB yield target at 0.1%; RBA won’t increase cash rate until actual inflation is sustainably within 2-3% target range which is unlikely to be 2024 at earliest; a pick-up in inflation/wages is expected but likely to be gradual & modest Sector News Breakdown Consumer AMC Entertainment ($AMC) issued to Mudrick Capital Management, 8.5 mln shares of company’s class a common stock for $230.5 mln Nio ($NIO) said it delivered 6,711 vehicles in May, up 95.3% Y/Y and down 5.5% M/M from April delivery of 7,102 vehicles. Xpeng Inc ($XPEV) said May deliveries jump nearly sixfold as May vehicle deliveries surged 483% to 5,686 units, spurred by record-high demand for XPEV’s P7 sedan Krispy Kreme has filed a Registration Statement on Form S-1 with the SEC relating to the proposed initial public offering of its common stock. The number of shares to be offered and the price range for the proposed offering have not yet been determined Macau’s gaming bureau reported May gross revenue from games of fortune in the region increased 492.2% year-over-year to 10.445B patacas (watch shares of $WYNN, $MLCO, $MGM) Planet Fitness ($PLNT) shares stock could drop 50% after a stunning recovery according to Barron’s as growth slows and the market becomes saturated. Article notes Teton Fund Management, which has shorted the stock, says millions of members will never return to a gym. Dollar General ($DG) and Dollar Tree ($DLTR) reported fiscal-first-quarter results before the bell on Thursday, and both beat analysts’ expectations-but that’s where the similarities end, according to Barron’s. DLTR warned freight costs could have a big impact on earnings, the latest indication that Dollar General is the stronger operator-and that doesn’t look set to change anytime soon For airlines, the Transportation Security Administration (TSA) reported that it screened almost 1.96 million people at airports, compared with 1.85 million on Thursday. That’s the most since March 7, 2020, when the COVID-19 pandemic was in its early stages Energy, Industrials and Materials Oil prices are higher by over 2% (WTI crude $68 per barrel and Brent tops $70) as the latest OPEC+ gathering takes place via videoconference today. OPEC+ decided in April to return 2.1M barrels per day to the market from May to July, anticipating rising global demand. Since the announcement, the crude price has risen from $60 toward the $70 level Exxon Mobil Corp ($XOM) rises along with Equinor EQNR and Petrogal Brasil says they will proceed with an $8 bln development of Brazil’s Bacalhau oil discovery Exxon ($XOM) suffered a setback this week when it lost at least two board seats to the upstart activist Engine No. 1, but the defeat could move the oil giant forward to benefit both the company and the shareholders, according to Barron’s Virgin Galactic ($SPCE) filed a shelf registration for $1 billion of mixed securities, plus 2.7m shares issuable upon the exercise of previously sold warrants Financials American Financial ($AFG) declares special dividend of $14 per share after announces closing of the sale of its annuity businesses and declares special dividend Healthcare Liminal BioSciences Inc. ($LMNL) said it has decided to stop its plans to move fezagepras into a Phase II clinical study in Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis and a phase Ia/IIb study in Hypertriglyceridemia, as it evaluates the impact of the PK data profile observed in the on-going study. Forte Biosciences ($FBRX) files $300M mixed securities shelf Aeglea BioTherapeutics ($AGLE) files to sell 19.02M shares of common stock for holders Technology, Media & Telecom Cloudera ($CLDR) entered into a definitive agreement to be acquired by affiliates of Clayton, Dubilier & Rice and KKR ($KKR) in an all-cash transaction valued at approximately $5.3B (confirming reports overnight by the WSJ). Cloudera shareholders will receive $16.00 in cash per share, representing a 24% premium to the closing price as of May 28, 2021 – confirms overnight WSJ https://on.wsj.com/3uCAZ0g RingCentral ($RNG) team up with Deutsche Telekom ($DTEGY) to transform business communications for customers of all sizes. The chip shortage is creating an opportunity for two stocks according to Barron’s, Applied Materials ($AMAT) and Lam Research ($LRCX) saying both trade at about 20x earnings estimates for the next 12 months, lower than the multiples of S&P 500 Index and the PHLX semiconductor Index. SemiLEDs ($LEDS) files $30M mixed securities shelf
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Medallia is the pioneer and market leader in customer, employee, citizen and patient experience. The company's award-winning SaaS platform, Medallia Experience Cloud, is becoming the experience system of record that makes all other applications customer and employee aware. The platform captures billions of experience signals across interactions including all voice, video, digital, IOT, social media and corporate messaging tools. Medallia uses proprietary artificial intelligence and machine learning technology to automatically reveal predictive insights that drive powerful business actions and outcomes. Medallia customers reduce churn, turn detractors into promoters and buyers, create in-the-moment cross-sell and up-sell opportunities and drive revenue-impacting business decisions, providing clear and potent returns on investment.
CEO: Leslie Stretch
HQ: 575 Market St Ste 1850 San Francisco, 94105-5803 California