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Friday, September 3, 2021 The long holiday weekend is upon us (back-to-school), with U.S. stock futures steadily higher ahead of the all-important August payroll report, a closely watched data point to see when the Federal Reserve might unveil its plans to begin withdrawing its massive pandemic-era stimulus. Economists are looking for a reading of +728K nonfarm payrolls (vs. +943K in July), +665K private payrolls (vs. +703K in July), and +25K manufacturing payrolls (vs. +27K in July); the unemployment rate expected to drop to 5.2% from 5.4%, while average hourly earnings estimated to rise +0.3% MoM and +4.0% Yoy. Stocks pared gains after the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite notched all-time highs Thursday with energy and health-care shares leading the charge, as oil prices touched their highest levels in about a month back above $70 per barrel. Yesterday bright spots included Smallcaps and Transports as well with tech mixed. It now remains to be seen if markets will put the pedal-to-the-metal, or sharply reverse, with Friday’s much anticipated August employment report. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index jumped 584 points to 29,128, the Shanghai Index slipped -15 points to 3,581, and the Hang Seng Index dropped -188 points to 25,901 to close out the week. In Europe, the German DAX is up around 20-points to 15,860, while the FTSE 100 gains about 10 to 7,175, another strong week for European and Asian markets. Events Calendar for Today · 8:30 AM ET Nonfarm Payrolls for Aug…est. 728K · 8:30 AM ET Private Payrolls for Aug…est. 665K · 8:30 AM ET Manufacturing Payrolls for Aug…est. 25K · 8:30 AM ET Unemployment Rate for Aug…est. 5.2% · 8:30 AM ET Average Hourly Earnings for Aug…est. +0.3% · 9:45 AM ET Markit Composite PMI, Aug-F · 9:45 AM ET Markit Services PMI, Aug-F · 10:00 AM ET ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI for Aug…est. 61.5 · 1:00 PM EST Baker Hughes Weekly rig count data Market Closing Prices Yesterday · The S&P 500 Index gained 12.86 points, or 0.28%, to 4,536.95 · The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 131.29 points, or 0.37%, to 35,443.82 · The Nasdaq Composite climbed 21.80 points, or 0.14%, to 15,331.18 · The Russell 2000 Index advanced 16.69 points, or 0.74% to 2,304.02 Macro Up/Down Last Nymex 0.26 70.25 Brent 0.47 73.50 · Japan’s beleaguered Prime Minister, Yoshihide Suga, surprised markets in Asia Friday by announcing plans to step down in the coming weeks, ending an unpopular tenue at the head of the world’s third largest economy. Suga, 72, took over the office of Prime Minister following the resignation of Shinzo Abe · Chinese Caixin Services PMI August 46.7 below the expected reading of 52.0 (prior 54.9) and the Caixin Composite PMI for August also contraction territory at 47.2 (vs. previous 53.1) · Eurozone July Retail Sales missed at -2.3% MoM vs 0.1% consensus, 3.1% YoY vs 4.8% consensus · Eurozone Aug Services PMI (final) missed at 59.0 vs 59.7 consensus · German Aug Services PMI (final) missed at 60.8 vs 61.5 consensus Sector News Breakdown Consumer · Beyond Meat, Inc. ($BYND) said that its COO is stepping down effective immediately. · Didi Global ($DIDI) rises initially after Bloomberg reported that Beijing’s municipal government has proposed an investment in Didi Global Inc. that would give state-run firms control of the world’s largest ride- hailing company. · Joann Inc. (JOAN) 2Q sales $496.9Mm vs est. $533.2Mm; Q2 adjusted Ebitda $23.5Mm; Q2 adjusted net loss $8.3Mm · Oxford Industries ($OXM) 2Q adj EPS $3.24 vs est. $2.33 on sales $329Mm vs est. $308.2Mm; guides 3Q sales $220-230Mm vs est. $206Mm, sees 3Q adj EPS $0.20-0.30; guides FY sales $1.085-1.105B vs est. $1.05B, sees FY adj EPS $6.45-6.70 vs est. $5.22 · Quanex Building ($NX) Q3 adj EPS $0.42 on sales $279.9M vs. est. $272.6M; expect inflation, labor costs, and supply chain challenges to continue pressuring margins throughout q4 of this year; reaffirming net sales guidance of approximately $1.04B-$1.06B vs. est. $1.05B · Tilly’s ($TLYS) 2Q EPS $0.66 vs est. $0.51 on revs $202Mm vs est. $189.7Mm; guides 3Q EPS $0.30-0.34 vs est. $0.24, sees 3Q sales about $187-193Mm vs est. $173Mm Energy, Industrials and Materials · Patterson-UTI Energy ($PTEN) reports an average of 79 drilling rigs operating for the month of August, 2021 Financials · Marathon Digital ($MARA) published unaudited bitcoin (BTC) production and miner installation updates for August. The company produced 469.6 new minted bitcoins during August 2021, increasing total bitcoin holdings to approximately 6,695 with a fair market value of approximately $316.4M. Cash on hand was approximately $70.9M and total liquidity, defined as cash and bitcoin holdings, was approximately $387.3M Healthcare · Cooper Companies ($COO) 3Q adj EPS $3.41 vs est. $3.29 on revs $763.4Mm vs est. $726.8Mm; guides 4Q adj EPS $3.24-3.44 vs est. $3.49, sees 4Q revs $730-760Mm vs est. $748.7Mm; guides FY revs $2.893-2.923B vs est. $2.875B, sees FY adj EPS $13.20-13.40 vs est. $13.33 · Forte Biosciences ($FBRX) shares tumble over -80%; said FB-401 for the treatment of Atopic Dermatitis failed to meet primary endpoint and the company will not continue to advance it · Cellect Biotechnology ($APOP) rises 55%; announced the first ApoGraft transplantation in a Leukemia patient in the company’s clinical trial at Washington University in the U.S. The trial, initiated in October, will enroll 18 patients with cancers affecting the blood, bone marrow and lymph nodes, that are undergoing transplantation · AstraZeneca ($AZN) & the EU have agreed a C-19 vaccine supply & ended the litigation; the deal will ensure delivery of the remaining C-19 shots to EU countries; will deliver 60m doses by the end of Q3 & 135m by year end Technology, Media & Telecom · Broadcom ($AVGO) Q3 Adj EPS $6.96 vs. est. $6.888; Q3 revs $6.78B vs. est. $6.76B; Q4 revenue guidance of approximately $7.35B vs. est. $7.23B; Q4 adjusted Ebitda guidance of approximately 61% of projected revenue; expect free cash flow to remain strong in Q4 · DocuSign ($DOCU) 2Q adj EPS $0.47 vs est. $0.40 on revs $511.8Mm vs est. $485.3Mm, billings $595.4Mm +47%; guides 3Q revs $526-532Mm vs est. $517Mm, sees 3Q adj gr mgn 79-81% and adj op mgn 17-19%; guides FY revs $2.078-2.088B vs est. $2.044B, sees adj gr mgn 79-81% and adj op mgn 16-18% · Guidewire Software ($GWRE) Q4 adj EPS $0.37 vs. est. $0.25; Q4 revs $229.4M vs. est. $222.35M; sees Q1 revs $162M-$166M vs. est. $174.6M and Q1 ARR $586M-$590M; sees FY22 revs $780M-$790M vs. est. $769.23M and sees FY22 ARR $657M-$667M · Hewlett Packard Enterprises ($HPE) Q3 adj EPS $0.47 vs. est. $0.42; Q3 revs $6.9B vs. est. $6.93B; sees Q4 EPS $0.44-$0.52 vs. est. $0.49; reinstating share repurchase program and targeting share repurchases of up to $250M in Q4 fy21; raises FY Gaap diluted net eps outlook to $0.80 to $0.88 and non-Gaap diluted net eps outlook to $1.88 to $1.96 · Medallia Inc. ($MDLA) Q2 adj EPS loss (-$0.09) vs. est. loss (-$0.08); Q2 revs $144.1M vs. est. $138.17M; won’t be providing guidance for 3q of fiscal yr 2022, suspending its guidance for full year as a result of pending transaction · MongoDB Inc. ($MDB) Q2 non-GAAP EPS loss (-$0.24) vs. est. (-$0.39); Q2 revs $198.7M vs. est. $184.2M; said Q2 results were exceptionally strong across the board, highlighted by Atlas revenue growth of 83%; recently surpassed 200Mm cumulative downloads from our website and had more than 75Mm downloads over the last 12 months alone; sees Q3 non-GAAP EPS loss (42c)-(39c) vs. est. loss (-$0.37); sees Q3 revs $202.0M-$204.0M vs. est. $198.3M · Ooma Inc. ($OOMA) 2Q adj EPS $0.13 vs est. $0.09 on revs $47.1Mm vs est. $46.4Mm; guides 3Q adj EPS $0.08-0.11 vs est. $0.07, sees 3Q revs $47.8-48.5Mm vs est. $46.7Mm; guides FY adj EPS $0.40-0.46 vs est. $0.35, sees FY revs $188.5-190Mm vs est. $186.5Mm · PagerDuty ($PD) 2Q adj EPS ($0.13) vs est. ($0.15) on revs $68Mm vs est. $65.6Mm; guides 3Q adj EPS loss $0.09-0.10 vs est. loss $0.09, sees 3Q revs $69-71Mm vs est. $68.3Mm; guides FY revs $273-276Mm vs est. $270.5Mm, sees FY adj EPS loss $0.35-0.39 vs est. loss $0.39 · Science Applications International Corporation ($SAIC) Q2 adj EPS $1.97 vs. est. $1.47; Q2 revs $1.8B vs. est. $1.79B; raises FY22 adj EPS view to $6.50-$6.70 from $6.15-$6.40 (est. $6.51); boosts FY22 revenue view to $7.3B-$7.4B from $7.15B-$7.3B (est. $7.33B) · Yext Inc. ($YEXT) 2Q adj EPS ($0.06) vs est. ($0.07) on revs $98.1Mm vs est. $95Mm; guides 3Q revs $97.5-98.5Mm vs est. $97.2Mm, sees 3Q adj EPS loss $0.06-0.08 vs est. loss $0.05; guides FY revs 386-388Mm vs est. $385.2Mm, sees FY adj EPS loss $0.20-0.24 vs est. loss $0.18 · Reddit Inc, the operator of online message boards that became the go-to destination for day traders chasing this year’s frenzy for so-called ‘meme’ stocks, is seeking to hire investment bankers and lawyers for an initial public offering (IPO) in New York, two people familiar with the matter said on Thursday. Reddit was valued at $10 billion in a private fundraising round last month – Reuters · Sphere 3D ($ANY) shares down -28%; to issue 22.6M common shares and warrants to purchase 11.3M common shares for gross proceeds of $192.1M, in a registered direct offering
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Thursday, September 2, 2021 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow 45.00 0.13% 35,335 S&P 500 6.25 0.14% 4,527 Nasdaq 29.50 0.19% 15,638 Stock index futures are indicating a higher open with rates edging down (10-year drops back below 1.3%) as investors await another set of numbers on the labor market in the form of weekly jobless claims, ahead of Friday’s payrolls report (which followed a weaker private payroll report from ADP yesterday). A brutal night across the Northeast saw tornado watches and flash flood warnings for parts of the Tri-State Area as remnants of Hurricane Ida brought in heavy winds and drenching rains that turned major highways into rivers and even showed water rushing through Newark Liberty International Airport, canceling all flights there. The tail-end of hurricane Ida dumped a “record breaking” amount of rain over New York and New Jersey putting both areas into states of emergency. Hurricane Ida, which devastated Louisiana this week, could mobilize lawmakers to pass the bipartisan $1T infrastructure bill, which is making its way through Congress. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index rose 92 points to 28,543, he Shanghai Index climbed 29 points to 2,597, and the Hang Seng Index advanced 62 points to settle at 26,090. In Europe, markets are quiet as the German DAX is flat at 15,825, while the FTSE 100 is down a few points to 7,145. Bitcoin prices moved back above the $50K level overnight, last trading up 3.3% around $49,900 in a rebound for crypto; Ethereum prices up modestly after outperformance Wednesday, last around $3,750. Crude is rising after OPEC+ ministers’ unity reinforced market stability Events Calendar for Today 7:30 AM ET Challenger Layoffs for Aug 8:30 AM ET Weekly Jobless Claims…est. 345K 8:30 AM EST Continuing Claims…est. 2.775M 8:30 AM ET International Trade for July…est. (-$71.0B) 8:30 AM ET Nonfarm Productivity, Q2…est. 2.4% 8:30 AM ET Unit Labor Costs for Q2…est. 0.9% 10:00 AM ET Factory Orders MoM for July…est. 0.3% 10:00 AM ET Durable Goods Orders MoM for July 10:30 AM ET Weekly EIA Natural Gas Inventory Data Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: AEO, BNED, BRC, CIEN, DCI, DLTH, GCO, GIII, GMS, JRL, JW/A, KIRK, LE, MCFT, MEI, SCWX, SIG, TTC Earnings After the Close: AVGO, COO, CTHR, CTLP, DOCU, GWRE, HPE, JOAN, LAW, MDB, MDLA, MEIP, NX, OOMA, OXM, PD, SAIC, TLYS, YEXT Other Key Events: Barclay’s Media & Telecom Forum (virtual), 9/1-9/2 Stephens Auto investor Field Trip, 9/1-9/2 Caixin Services PMI for Aug Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index gained 1.41 points, or 0.03%, to 4,524.09 The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell -48.20 points, or 0.14%, to 35,312.53 The Nasdaq Composite climbed 50.15 points, or 0.33%, to 15,309.38 The Russell 2000 Index advanced 13.28 points, or 0.58% to 2,287.06 Macro Up/Down Last Nymex 0.36 68.95 Brent 0.38 71.97 Gold 1.50 1,815.40 EUR/USD 0.0015 1.1854 JPY/USD 0.00 110.01 10-Year Note -0.013 1.289% Sector News Breakdown Consumer Chewy ($CHWY) shares fell -10%; 2Q adj EBITDA $23.3Mm vs est. 34.4Mm on sales $2.16B vs est. $2.2B; sees FY net sales $8.9B-$9.0B vs. est. $9.0B Costco ($COST) reported total comparable sales for Aug. that beat the average analyst estimate; Aug. total comparable sales +14.2%, estimate +12.5%; Aug. U.S. comparable sales excluding fuel, currencies +10.1%, estimate +7.10% Five Below ($FIVE) shares fell -9%; 2Q EPS $1.15 vs est. $1.11 on sales $646.6Mm vs est. $648.3Mm; guides 3Q net sales $550-565Mm on +MSD comps vs est. $551Mm, sees EPS $0.23-0.30 vs est. $0.27 Hormel Foods ($HRL) shares fall -4%; Q3 adj EPS $0.39, in-line with estimates; Q3 revs $2.86B vs. est. $2.73B; Q2 volume of 1.2B pounds, up 1%; organic volume down 2%; operating margin 7.2%; cuts FY21 EPS view to $1.65-$1.69 from $1.70-$1.82, while raises FY21 revenue view to $11B-$11.2B from $10.2B-$10.8B Chinese regulators summoned 11 ride-hailing firms including DIDI Global ($DIDI) to discuss concerns related to the sector; China’s transport ministry highlighted the hiring of unqualified drivers and use of promotions that disrupt fair market order during the meeting Sportsman’s Warehouse ($SPWH) Q2 adj EPS $0.44 vs. est. $0.48; Q2 sales $361.8M vs. est. $345.6M; said Q2 same store sales decreased 9.9% compared to the same period last year; For the first half of fiscal year 2021, same store sales increased 3.4% compared to the same period last year; Adjusted EBITDA was $35.2M compared to $53.6M in the comparable prior year period; not providing guidance Smith & Wesson Brands ($SWBI) Q1 adj EPS $1.57 vs. est. $1.29; Q1 revs $274.6M vs. est. $278.59M; record gross margin of 47.3% vs. 40.2% last year ChargePoint Holdings ($CHPT) rises 12%; 2Q EPS ($0.29) vs est. ($0.13) on revs $56.1Mm vs est. $49.1Mm, says activated ports exceed 118,000 with over 5,400 in Europe and over 3,700 DC fast charge ports; guides 3Q revs $60-65Mm vs est. $54.7Mm, sees FY revs $225-235Mm up from $195M-$205M vs est. $206.6Mm DraftKings ($DKNG) announced the launch of DraftKings Online Sportsbook in Wyoming, marking the thirteenth state in which its mobile sportsbook is available Tesla ($TSLA) now aims for Full Self-Driving Beta public release ~September 25th, Electrek reports https://electrek.co/2021/09/01/tesla-full-self-driving-beta-public-release-4-weeks/ Energy, Industrials and Materials Greif ($GEF) Q3 adj EPS $1.93 vs. est. $1.54; Q3 revs $1.49B vs. est. $1.39B; sees FY21 EPS $5.10-$5.30 vs. est. $4.63; sees FY21 adjusted free cash flow $335M-$365M Ingersoll Rand Inc. ($IR) authorized a new share repurchase program of $750 mln Exelon ($EXC) tells Illinois lawmakers and Gov. J.B. Pritzker to finalize an energy policy deal by September 13 or face the permanent closure of one of the state’s six nuclear power plants. Energy Transfer ($ET) signed a 15-year power purchase agreement to buy 120 MW of electricity from SoftBank’s ($SFTBY) Eiffel Solar project in northeast Texas; financial terms are not disclosed. General Electric ($GE) was awarded a not-to-exceed $1.65B firm-fixed-price, indefinite-delivery, performance-based logistics requirements contract for the repair, upgrade or replacement, inventory management, and required supply response times of 17 F414 engine components in support of the F/A-18 aircraft Virgin Galactic ($SPCE) slips after the U.S. Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) said on Wednesday it is investigating descent deviation of July 11 flight of SPCE rocket plane that carried British billionaire Richard Branson. FAA spokesman told Reuters vehicle “deviated from its Air Traffic Control clearance as it returned to Spaceport America. The FAA investigation is ongoing.” Donaldson ($DCI) Q4 EPS $0.66 in-line with estimates; Q4 revs $773.1M vs. est. $770.69M; sees FY22 EPS $2.50-$2.66 vs. est. $2.68; sees FY22 sales growth of 5%-10% (est. $3.12B) OPEC+ and its allies agreed yesterday to stick to their existing plan for gradual monthly oil-production increases after a video conference. Ministers ratified the 400,000 barrel-a-day supply hike scheduled for October after one of the quickest meetings in recent memory. Financials CIBC to become exclusive credit card issuer for Costco Mastercard’s in Canada and acquire existing Costco Canadian credit card portfolio Over the last six months SPACs have lost $75 billion. A group of 137 SPACs that closed mergers by mid-February have lost 25% of their combined value. At one point last month, the pullback topped $100 billion – WSJ Healthcare FDA AdComm to discuss Pfizer ($PFE) and BioNTech SE ($BNTX) application for COVID-19 Booster on September 17th Assembly Biosciences, Inc. ($ASMB) shares fall -20%, as the clinical-stage biotechnology company developing innovative therapeutics targeting hepatitis B virus ($HBV), today announced its decision to discontinue development of ABI-H2158 (2158) following the observation of elevated ALT levels consistent with drug-induced hepatotoxicity in an ongoing Phase 2 trial. Cannabis space: The newly inaugurated governor of New York says she wants to “jumpstart” the implementation of marijuana legalization—and she took a major step on Wednesday by making two key regulatory appointments for the state’s cannabis market that have now been confirmed in a Senate committee during a special session (watch shares of $TLRY, $CURLF, $GTBIF, $CRON) https://bit.ly/3jzhR0D Phreesia ($PHR) 2Q EPS ($0.48) vs est. ($0.10) on revs $51Mm vs est. $47.2Mm, says avg number of provider clients was 1,987 in qtr vs 1,668 prior year +19%; guides FY revs $195-198Mm vs est. $193.4Mm, continue to expect overall cash outflow to increase in FY22 vs FY21 NeoGenomics Inc ($NEO) files prospectus related to resale or other disposition of 4.4 mln shares by selling stockholders Ascendis Pharma ($ASND)5M share Secondary priced at $160.00 Technology, Media & Telecom Asana ($ASAN) Q2 adj EPS loss (-$0.23) vs. est. loss (-$0.26); Q2 revs $89.5M vs. est. $82.24M; sees Q3 adj EPS loss (27c)-(26c) vs. est. loss (-$0.28); sees Q3 revs $93M-$94M vs. est. $86.72M; raises FY22 revenue view to $357M-$359M from $336M-$340M (est. $338.81M); Revenues from customers spending $5,000 or more on an annualized basis grew 97% YoY; customers spending $50,000 or more on an annualized basis increased to 598, up 111% YoY ai ($AI) shares fell -10%; Q1 EPS loss (-$0.37) vs. est. loss (-$0.28); Q1 revs $52.4M vs. est. $51.16M; said Q1 included YoY increases of 29% in revenue and 31% in gross profit; sees Q2 revenue $56M-$58M vs. est. $56.12M; sees FY22 revenue $243M-$247M vs. est. $245.4M; Q1 Subscription revenue was $46.1M, up from $35.7M one year ago, an increase of 29% Yoy eGain ($EGAN) 4Q adj EPS $0.08 vs est. $0.03 on revs $20.2Mm vs est. $19.9Mm; guides 1Q adj EPS $0.02-0.05 vs est. $0.03, sees 1Q revs $20.9-21.3Mm vs est. $20.6Mm; guides FY revs $88.2-89.8Mm vs est. $87.1Mm; sees FY adj EPS ($0.03) to $0.00 vs est. $0.20 nCino ($NCNO) 2Q adj EPS ($0.02) vs est. ($0.06) on revs $66.5Mm vs est. $63.7Mm; guides 3Q adj net EPS loss $0.06-0.07 vs est. loss $0.06, sees 3Q revs $66-67Mm vs est. $65.1Mm; guides FY adj EPS net loss $0.22-0.23 vs est. loss $0.23, sees FY revs $263-264Mm vs est. $259.1Mm Nutanix ($NTNX) Q4 adj EPS loss (-$0.26) vs. est. loss (-$0.42); Q4 revs $390.7M vs. est. $362.88M; operating expenses topped revenue at $454.1M though rose from $432.3M a year ago; sees Q1 ACV Billings $172M-$177M Okta ($OKTA) Q2 adj EPS loss (-$0.11) vs. est. loss (-$0.35); Q2 revs $316M vs. est. $296.52M; sees Q3 adj EPS loss (25c)-(24c) vs. est. loss (-$0.34); sees Q3 revs $325M-$327M vs. est. $322.93M; raises FY22 adjusted EPS loss view (77c)-(74c) from ($1.16)-($1.13); Q2 revenue grew 57% year-over-year; subscription revenue grew 59% YoY; remaining performance obligations (RPO) grew 57% YoY to $2.24 billion Semtech ($SMTC) 2Q adj EPS $0.65 vs est. $0.62 on sales $185Mm vs est. $182.9Mm; guides 3Q adj EPS $0.68-0.76 vs est. $0.67 with adj gr margin 62.8-63.8%, adj SG&A $33.5-34.5Mm, adj R&D $32.5-33.5Mm Veev Systems ($VEEV) 2Q adj EPS $0.94 vs est. $0.87 on revs $455.6Mm vs est. $451.9Mm; guides 3Q adj EPS $0.87-0.88 vs est. $0.86, sees 3Q revs $464-466Mm vs est. $460Mm; guides FY revs $1.83-1.835B vs est. $1.823B, sees FY adj EPS about $3.57 vs est. $3.47 China’s Alibaba Group ($BABA) will invest 100 billion yuan ($15.5 billion) by 2025 in support of “common prosperity”, it said, becoming the latest corporate giant to pledge support for the initiative driven by President Xi Jinping Ireland hit Facebook’s ($FB) WhatsApp with a record 225 million euro ($266 million) fine on Thursday following an inquiry into the messaging app’s transparency around sharing personal data with other Facebook companies.
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/*============================================= = MORNING UPDATE - Thursday 05/27/21 = =============================================*/ Futures Up/Down % Last Dow -9.00 0.03% 34,271 S&P 500 -8.25 0.20% 4,184 Nasdaq -54.50 0.40% 13,646 Stock futures are edging slightly lower ahead of a busy morning of economic data, as investors await monthly GDP (2nd estimate for Q1 with estimate about 6.4% – in-line with prior reading), jobless claims data, durable goods and pending home sales. The narrative remains the same day after day as the U.S. economy continues to show improvement/rebound from pandemic lows, which has raised concerns over rising inflation and fears the Fed could pull back on its asset purchases/monetary policy – but most official have said over the last week they don’t feel it will be necessary to change course since rising price pressures likely will just be transitory. Market fears remain non-existent again as the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) comes into the day below the 18 level (was above 27 just over a week ago). In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index fell -93 points to 28,549, the Shanghai Index rose 15 points to 3,608 and the Hang Seng Index fell -52 points to 29,113. In Europe, the German DAX is down over 40 points to 15,400, while the FTSE 100 is down a few points to 7,015. Stocks edged higher on Wednesday, with the SmallCap Russell 2000 index leading (up nearly 2%), and the tech heavy Nasdaq Composite, as markets were once again spurred by further reassuring talk from Federal Reserve officials that spiking inflation will be “transitory” with Treasury yields remaining lower. Fed Vice Chair Randal Quarles was the latest Fed official to ease worries about inflation. Outside of SmallCap and tech, momentum related sectors fueled the rally with social media “meme” stocks surging ($GME, $AMC, $EXPR, $KOSS), along with electric vehicle names and Bitcoin leveraged stocks. Events Calendar for Today 8:30 AM EST Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Q1 (2nd) …est. 6.5% 8:30 AM EST GDP Price Deflator Q1 (2nd) …est. 4.1% 8:30 AM EST GDP Consumer Spending for Q1 (2nd) 8:30 AM EST Core PCE Prices for Q1…est. 2.3% 8:30 AM EST PCE Prices Prelim for Q1 8:30 AM EST Weekly Jobless Claims…est. 425K 8:30 AM EST Continuing Claims…est. 3.68M 8:30 AM EST Durable Goods for April…est. 0.7% 8:30 AM EST Durable Goods Ex Transports for April…est. 0.8% 10:00 AM EST Pending Home Sales MoM for April…est. 0.8% 10:30 AM ET Weekly EIA Natural Gas Inventory Data 11:00 AM EST Kansas City Fed Manufacturing for May Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: $AMWD, $BBY, $BURL, $DG, $DLTR, $DXLG, $GCO, $HLNE, $MOV, $PLAN, $SAFM, $TITN Earnings After the Close: $ADSK, $BOX, $COST, $CRM, $DELL, $DOMO, $GPQ, $HPQ, $KRT, $LGF.A, $OLLI, $ULTA, $VEEV, $VMX, $YEXT Other Key Events: Goldman Sachs TechNet Conference Asia Pacific 2021 (virtual), 5/24-5/28 Microsoft Build Conference (virtual), 5/25-5/27 New Relic Future Stack Conference (virtual), 5/25-5/27 UBS Global Oil & Gas Conference (virtual), 5/25-5/27 Wolfe Research Transport & Industrials Conference (virtual), 5/25-5/27 Cowen Digital Dining Summit (virtual), 5/27 Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index climbed 7.86 points, or 0.19%, to 4,195.99 The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 10.59 points, or 0.03%, to 34,323.05 The Nasdaq Composite jumped 80.82 points, or 0.59%, to 13,738.00 The Russell 2000 Index surged 43.52 points, or 1.97% to 2,249.27 Macro Up/Down Last Nymex -0.48 65.73 Brent -0.50 68.37 Gold -1.00 1,895.70 EUR/USD 0.0012 1.2204 JPY/USD 0.02 109.17 10-Year Note +0.012 1.586% Sector News Breakdown Consumer American Eagle ($AEO) 1Q adj EPS $0.48 vs. est. $0.46 on revs $1.03B vs. est. $1.02B, says digital momentum continued with revs +57% (Aerie +158%, AE +20%); total inventory +2% vs 2019 Cavaco Industries ($CVCO) Q4 EPS $2.71 vs. est. $1.92; Q4 revs $306.5M vs. est. $293.79M; home sales order rates improved 50% over last year’s quarter; backlogs increased $131M during the quarter; Designer Brands ($DBI) 1Q adj EPS $0.12 vs. est. ($0.18) on sales $703.2Mm vs. est. $651Mm, comps +52.2% Elf Beauty ($ELF) Q4 adj EPS $0.71 vs. est. $0.10; Q4 sales $92.7M vs .est. $82.4M; sees 2022 adj EPS 64c-67c vs. est. 71c and sees year revs $343M-$350M vs. est. $334.3M; Q4 Selling, general and administrative expenses rose 23% to $57.9M Modine Manufacturing ($MOD) Q4 adj EPS $1.14 vs. est. $0.27; Q4 sales $514.9M vs. est. $493M; sees full-year 2022 YoY sales up 12%-18% William-Sonoma ($WSM) Q1 adj EPS $2.93 vs. est. $1.83; Q1 revs $1.75B vs. est. $1.52B; Q1 comp brand revenue growth accelerated to 40.4%, with all brands accelerating sequentially including West Elm at 50.9%, Pottery Barn at 41.3%, Williams Sonoma at 35.3% and Pottery Barn Kids and Teen at 27.6%; raising fiscal year 2021 outlook to low double-digit to mid-teen net revenue growth; for long-term, planning for net rev growth of mid-to-high single digits & non-Gaap operating margin expansion Azek ($AZEK) 15M share Secondary priced at $43.50 Crocs Inc. ($CROX) will replace Cantel Medical Corp. ($CMD) in the S&P MidCap 400, and Organogenesis Holdings Inc. ($ORGO) will take Crocs’ spot in the S&P SmallCap 600 before trading opens on June 2, according to S&P Dow Jones Indices. Energy, Industrials and Materials Vertex Energy ($VTNR) surged after hours after agreeing to acquire the Mobile refinery in Alabama from Royal Dutch Shell (RDS.A) for $75M Ranpak Holdings ($PACK) 5M share Spot Secondary priced at $21.00 The Department of Homeland Security issued a new security directive for pipeline owners and operators on Thursday after a hack of the Colonial Pipeline disrupted fuel supplies in the southeastern United States for days this month Healthcare Change Healthcare ($CHNG) 4Q adj EPS $0.42 vs. est. $0.36 on revs $855.2Mm vs. est. $840.2Mm; says due to recently announced transaction with Optuminsight, will no longer by providing guidance Ironwood Pharmaceuticals ($IRWD) announces agreement with Teva (TEVA) involving Linzess® (linaclotide) 72 mcg dosage strength Myovant Sciences ($MYOV) and Pfizer ($PFE) receive FDA approval for Myfembree®, the first once-daily treatment for heavy menstrual bleeding associated with uterine fibroids Nextgen Healthcare ($NXGN) Q4 adj EPS 21c vs. est. 19c; Q4 revs $144.2M vs. est. $140.1M; sees FY22 adj EPS 89c-95c vs. est. 99c; sees FY22 revs $574M-$584M vs. est. $577.2M; Subscription services revenue in Q4 generated $38.2M, or 16% growth over the prior year period, driven by demand for patient experience-related solutions. Day One ($DAWN) 10M share IPO priced at $16.00 Oak Street Health ($OSH)05M share secondary priced at $62.00 Ocugen ($OCGN) says it is on track to submit emergency use authorization application (EUA) to U.S. FDA for its COVID-19 vaccine, Covaxin, in June; awaiting feedback from FDA after master file regarding vaccine was submitted in March R1 RCM ($RCM) 15M share secondary priced at $22.50 Singular Genomics Systems ($OMIC)2M share IPO priced at $22.00 VIR Biotech ($VIR) received FDA emergency use approval for its antibody treatment co-developed with Glaxo ($GSK) to treat mild-to-moderate COVID-19 in people aged 12 years and older Technology, Media & Telecom NVIDIA ($NVDA) Q1 non-Gaap EPS $3.66 vs. est. $3.28; Q1 revs $5.66B vs. est. $5.41B; qtrly data center revenue of $2.05B, up 79% from a year earlier; Q1gaming revenue of $2.76B, up 106% from a year earlier; sees Q2 revs expected to be $6.30B, plus or minus 2% vs. est. $5.5B; Q2 Gaap and non-Gaap gross margins are expected to be 64.6% and 66.5%, respectively, plus or minus 50 bps after Q1 margins 64.1% vs 65.1% YoY and Q1 non-Gaap gross margin 66.2% vs 65.8% YoY Disneyland ($DIS) to allow non-California guests starting on June 15; Disneyland extends reservation window to 120 days DXC Technology ($DXC) Q4 adj EPS 74c vs. est. 70c; Q4 revs $4.385B vs. est. $4.28B; Q4 bookings were $4.7B; sees FY22 adj EPS $3.45-$3.65 vs. est. $3.44; sees FY22 revenue $16.6B-$16.8B vs. est. $16.91B Nutanix ($NTNX) Q3 adj EPS loss (41c) vs. est. loss (49c); Q3 revs $344.5M vs. est. $334.45M; Q3 billings down 3.2% YoY to $371.1M; guides Q4 ACV billings $170M-$175M and Q4 adjusted gross margin roughly 81.5%-82% Okta Inc. ($OKTA) 1Q adj EPS ($0.10) vs. est. ($0.20) on revs $251Mm vs. est. $238.3Mm; guides 2Q adj EPS loss $0.35-0.36 vs. est. loss $0.11, sees 2Q revs $295-297Mm vs. est. $258.2Mm; guides FY adj EPS loss $1.13-1.16 vs. est. loss $0.44, sees FY revs $1.215-1.225B vs. est. $1.09B; says CFO stepping down June 1st, Brett Tighe (Treasurer) will be interim CFO Ooma Inc. ($OOMA) Q1 EPS $0.11c vs. est. $0.08; Q1 revs $45.6M vs. est. $44.31M; sees Q2 EPS 8c-10c vs. est. 6c; guides Q2 revs $46.0M-$46.8M vs. est. $45.12M; sees FY22 EPS 30c-38c vs. est. 29c; sees year revs $185M-$187M vs. est. $183.64M Pure Storage ($PSTG) Q1 adj EPS 0c vs. est. loss (6c); Q1 revs $412.7M vs. est. $403.91M; sees Q2 revs $470M vs. est. $455.85M; sees Q2 non-GAAP operating income $15M; Q1 Subscription services revenue $162.8 million, up 35% YoY; Q1 GAAP gross margin 68.3%; non-GAAP gross margin 70.5% QAD Inc. ($QADA) 1Q EPS $0.09 vs. est. $0.12 on revs $83Mm vs. est. $78.9Mm, subscription revs $36.7Mm; guides 2Q subscription revs $38.5Mm, maintenance revs $26zmm, sees 2Q op income $1Mm incl stock comp exp $5Mm; guides FY subscription revs $160Mm, maintenance revs $102Mm, op inc $12Mm incl stock comp exp $17Mm Snowflake ($SNOW) 1Q EPS ($0.70) vs. est. ($0.16) on revs $228.9Mm vs. est. $212.9Mm, qtr-end total customers were 4,532; guides 2Q product revs $235-240Mm vs. est. $251Mm; guides FY product revs $1.02-1.04B vs. est. $1.09B Workday ($WDAY) 1Q adj EPS $0.87 vs. est. $0.73 on revs $1.18B vs. est. $1.16B, qtrly subscription revs $1.03B +17%; guides 2Q subscription revs $1.095-1.097B; raises FY subscription revs guide to $4.425-$4.44B, raises FY adj op mgn guide to 18-19%; Zuora ($ZUO) 1Q adj EPS ($0.02) vs. est. ($0.04) on revs $80.3Mm vs. est. $79Mm; guides 2Q adj EPS loss $0.04-0.03 vs. est. loss $0.02, sees 2Q revs $82.5-84.5Mm vs. est. $81.8Mm; guides FY adj EPS loss $0.10-0.06 vs. est. loss $0.08, sees FY revs $337-339Mm vs. est. $336.3Mm FIGS ($FIGS)4M share IPO priced at $22.00 Thryv Holdings ($THRY)24M share Secondary priced at $23.50
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Wednesday, May 26, 2021 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow 77.00 0.22% 34,346 S&P 500 11.25 0.28% 4,197 Nasdaq 40.50 0.30% 13,697 U.S. stocks are looking slightly higher, coming off a day where stocks slipped following disappointing economic data that showed declining consumer confidence amid higher inflation fears and weaker housing news. Gold prices extend gains, topping the $1.900 an ounce level as Treasury yields continue to slide with the 10-year down at 1.56%. The reopen trade names such as airlines, cruise lines, restaurants and retailers have led markets higher the last few days along with a bounce in technology stocks, while early 2021 winners such as industrials, materials and energy have pared gains. Federal Reserve official’s day-after-day keep telling markets that rising inflation will prove to be largely transitory, which has helped push the dollar and Treasury yields lower. Crypto assets wild ride continues, with prices of Bitcoin and the likes finding solid footing this morning (Bitcoin above 40K). In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index rose 88 points to 28,642, the Shanghai Index rose 12 points to 3,593, and the Hang Seng Index jumped 255 points to 29,166. In Europe, the German DAX is down a few points to 15,455, while the FTSE 100 slipped about -10 points to 7,015. Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index slipped -8.92 points, or 0.21%, to 4,188.13 The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell -81.52 points, or 0.24%, to 34,312.46 The Nasdaq Composite dipped -4.00 points, or 0.03%, to 13,657.17 The Russell 2000 Index declined -21.59 points, or 0.97% to 2,205.75 Events Calendar for Today 7:00 AM ET MBA Mortgage Applications Data 10:30 AM ET Weekly DOE Inventory Data Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: ANF, BBW, CMCO, DKS, PLAB, REX Earnings After the Close: AEO, APPS, CHNG, CVCO, DBI, ELF, HEI, MOD, NVDA, NXGN, OKTA, OOMA, PSTG, QADB, QMCO, SNOW, UHAL, WDAY, WSM, ZUO Other Key Events: Goldman Sachs TechNet Conference Asia Pacific 2021 (virtual), 5/24-5/28 JPMorgan Global technology, Media & Communications Conference (virtual), 5/24-5/26 UBS Global Healthcare Conference (virtual), 5/24-5/26 Microsoft Build Conference (virtual), 5/25-5/27 New Relic Future Stack Conference (virtual), 5/25-5/27 Truist Securities 22nd Annual Financial Services Conference (virtual), 5/25-5/26 UBS Global Oil & Gas Conference (virtual), 5/25-5/27 Wolfe Research Transport & Industrials Conference (virtual), 5/25-5/27 Macro Up/Down Last Nymex -0.12 65.95 Brent 0.07 68.72 Gold 8.45 1,907.70 EUR/USD -0.0014 1.2236 JPY/USD 0.12 108.90 10-Year Note +0.002 1.567% World News Iran has banned the energy-intensive mining of cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin for nearly 4 months, President Hassan Rouhani said on Wednesday, as the country faces major power blackouts in many cities. Bank of Japan board member Hitoshi Suzuki said on Wednesday it was premature to consider an exit strategy for the central bank’s purchases of exchange-traded funds (ETF). However, he also said it was “undesirable” for the BOJ’s ETF holdings to keep increasing New Zealand’s central bank held interest rates on Wednesday but hinted at a hike as early as September next year Sector News Breakdown Consumer Nordstrom (JWN) Q1 EPS loss ($1.05) vs. est. loss ($0.57); company remains on pace to achieve annual sales, earnings and cash flow goals; Q1 sales rose 44% YoY to $2.92B vs. est. $2.9B; Q1 digital sales increased 28% YoY and represented 46% of total; reaffirmed revenue expectations for fiscal 2021; says balancing inventory levels with sales while managing receipt flows to mitigate potential supply chain disruptions Red Robin (RRGB) Q1 adj EPS loss (30c) vs. est. loss ($1.16); Q1 revs $318.7M vs. est. $310.4M; Q1 comp sales rose 10% over the same period in 2020, and decreased 12.8% compared to the same period in 2019; at the end of Q1, 55% of Company-owned restaurants had positive comparable restaurant revenue compared to 2019; says all company-owned units have re-opened with varying levels of capacity GSX Techedu (GOTU) posts Q1 loss of 5.20 yuan per share, compared to a profit of 0.76 yuan a year earlier; operating expenses triple from last year on increased marketing expenses and staff compensation Skyline Champion (SKY) 4Q adj EPS $0.61 vs. est. $0.38 on revs $447.6Mm vs. est. $384.4Mm Toll Brothers (TOL) 2Q EPS $1.01 vs. est. $0.80, home sales revs $1.84B, backlog $8.69B at qtr end; guides 3Q deliveries 2,675 units, sees FY deliveries 10,200-10,400 units; Q2 contracted homes were 3,487, up 85% from last year; Q2 backlog value was $8.69B, up 58% from last year; homes in backlog were 10,104, up 57% from last year Urban Outfitters (URBN) 1Q EPS $0.54 vs. est. $0.17 on sales $927Mm vs. est. $900Mm, retail comps +10% (+44% at free people, +9% at urban, +1% at Anthro), total inventory +17%; says cancelled or delayed many orders during the qtr to reduce inventory levels; Gross margin rose 130 bps during the quarter to 32.4% of sales; sees Q2 revenue up low teens percentage range Energy, Industrials and Materials The American Petroleum Institute (API) reported a weekly draw of 439K barrels of oil; showed a draw of 1.98M barrels, distillate inventories show a draw of 5.13M barrels and Cushing inventories show a draw of 1.15M barrels. Crown Holdings (CCK), Ardagh Group (ARD), and Ball Corp. (BLL) all downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at BMO Capital following news that Can-Pack is building a second U.S. beverage can plant in Indiana; says Can-Pack’s “aggressive” expansion into the U.S., as well as a smaller entrance by Envases Universales raises fresh questions and suggests that heady expansion plans by the incumbents could be challenged Columbus McKinnon (CMCO) Q4 adj EPS 50c vs. est. 51c; Q4 revs $186.2M vs. est. $182.4M; sees Q1 revs $212M-$217M vs. est. $203.76M Heico (HEI) Q2 EPS $0.51 vs. est. $0.48; Q2 sales $466.7M vs. est. $443.1M; says cannot provide fiscal 2021 net sales and earnings guidance at this time; consolidated operating margin was 20.0% in the first six months of fiscal 2021, as compared to 22.5% in the first six months of fiscal 2020 ReneSola (SOL) Q1 EPS 1c vs. est. loss (2c); Q1 revs $22.8M vs. est. $19.04M; sees 2Q revs $19-22Mm and gr margin 36-39% vs. est. $23.2Mm and 31.5%; guides FY revs $90-100Mm vs. est. $98.5Mm, sees FY gr mgn over 25% vs. est. 27.8% July corn prices dropped over 5% on Tuesday to $6.20 3/4 per bushel and has now fallen 15% since May 7, when the contract maxed at $7.35 1/4 per bushel. Prices were pressured after the Department of Agriculture reported that U.S. farmers had planted 90% of their corn crops, above the five-year average of 80%. Financials Intuit Corp. (INTU) 3Q adj EPS $6.07 vs. est. $6.47 on revs $4.2B vs. est. $4.4B; guides 4Q adj EPS $1.55-1.60 vs. est. $0.34; guides FY revs $9.362-9.4B vs. est. $9.06B Bank of Montreal (BMO) reported a rise in Q2 profit amid higher revenue; bet income was C$1.3 billion in the quarter, compared with C$689 million a year ago; revenue rose to C$6.08 billion from C$5.26 billion; net efficiency ratio rose to 69.3% in the quarter, up from 64.4%, while return on equity rose to 10.2% from 5.5%. Dynamics Special Purpose Corp (DYNS) 20M share IPO priced at $10.00 Flywire (FLYW)44M share IPO priced at $24.00 Healthcare Agilent (A) Q2 adj EPS 97c vs. est. 83c; Q2 revs $1.525B vs. est. $1.4B; sees Q3 adj EPS 97c-99c above est. 91c; sees Q3 revs $1.51B-$1.54B, also above est. $1.42B; raises FY21 adj EPS view to $4.09-$4.14 from $3.80-$3.90 (est. $3.90); boosts FY21 revs view to $6.15B-$6.21B (est. $5.94B) Nabriva Therapeutics (NBRV) surges the co and Chinese partner Sinovant Sciences said Lefamulin met the main goal in treating Chinese adults with community acquired bacterial pneumonia in a late-stage study Travere Therapeutics (TVTX) provides a regulatory update for its Sparsentan program in focal segmental glomerulosclerosis (FSGS); said based upon the feedback from the U.S. FDA, the company said it no longer expects to submit for accelerated approval for FSGS in the U.S. during the second half of 2021. Larimar Therapeutics (LRMR) plunges over 40% after saying the FDA has placed a clinical hold on the CTI-1601 clinical program and that the company will not be closing a previously announced private placement financing Technology, Media & Telecom Zscaler (ZS) 3Q adj EPS $0.15 vs. est. $0.07 on revs $176.4Mm vs. est. $163.7Mm; guides 4Q adj EPS $0.08-0.09 vs. est. $0.10, sees 4Q revs $185-187Mm vs. est. $173.9Mm; Q3 Calculated billings grows 71% YoY to $225.0M and deferred revenue grows 65% YoY to $495.4M DoubleVerify Holdings (DV) Q1 EPS 4c on revs $67.6M; sees Q2 revs $72M-$74M (est. $69.5M) and FY21 revs $322M-$326M (est. $315.1M) LiveRamp Holdings (RAMP) 4Q adj EPS $0.04 vs. est. $0.02 on revs $119.18Mm vs. est. $116.14Mm; guides 1Q revs $112Mm vs. est. $112.9Mm; sees FY22 revs of up to $509Mm vs. est. $507.7Mm Elastic (ESTC) announced an expanded strategic partnership with Microsoft (MSFT) Apple (AAPL) is expected to outpace Samsung (SSNLF) as the largest buyer of AMOLED displays for smartphones in 2021, as new iPhones for the year are likely to adopt flexible AMOLED screens, pushing up the penetration of such displays in iPhone devices to around 80% – Digitimes Ambarella (AMBA), Lumentum (LITE) and ON Semiconductor (ON) announced two new joint reference designs that accelerate AIoT device deployment across verticals, building on the companies’ previous joint solution for contactless access systems Photronics (PLAB) Q2 EPS 17c (in-line w ests) and Q2 revs $159.8M vs. est. $158.27M; sees Q3 EPS 19c-25c vs. est. 21c; sees Q3 revs $162M-$172M vs. est. $168.1M Globant (GLOB)2M share Secondary priced at $214.00
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Ooma creates powerful connected experiences for businesses and consumers, delivered from its smart cloud-based SaaS platform. For businesses of all sizes, Ooma provides advanced voice and collaboration features including messaging, intelligent virtual attendants, and video conferencing to help them run more efficiently. For consumers, Ooma's residential phone service provides PureVoice HD voice quality, advanced functionality and integration with mobile devices.