Oxford Industries, Inc.
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75.75 - 112.29
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Friday, September 3, 2021 The long holiday weekend is upon us (back-to-school), with U.S. stock futures steadily higher ahead of the all-important August payroll report, a closely watched data point to see when the Federal Reserve might unveil its plans to begin withdrawing its massive pandemic-era stimulus. Economists are looking for a reading of +728K nonfarm payrolls (vs. +943K in July), +665K private payrolls (vs. +703K in July), and +25K manufacturing payrolls (vs. +27K in July); the unemployment rate expected to drop to 5.2% from 5.4%, while average hourly earnings estimated to rise +0.3% MoM and +4.0% Yoy. Stocks pared gains after the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite notched all-time highs Thursday with energy and health-care shares leading the charge, as oil prices touched their highest levels in about a month back above $70 per barrel. Yesterday bright spots included Smallcaps and Transports as well with tech mixed. It now remains to be seen if markets will put the pedal-to-the-metal, or sharply reverse, with Friday’s much anticipated August employment report. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index jumped 584 points to 29,128, the Shanghai Index slipped -15 points to 3,581, and the Hang Seng Index dropped -188 points to 25,901 to close out the week. In Europe, the German DAX is up around 20-points to 15,860, while the FTSE 100 gains about 10 to 7,175, another strong week for European and Asian markets. Events Calendar for Today · 8:30 AM ET Nonfarm Payrolls for Aug…est. 728K · 8:30 AM ET Private Payrolls for Aug…est. 665K · 8:30 AM ET Manufacturing Payrolls for Aug…est. 25K · 8:30 AM ET Unemployment Rate for Aug…est. 5.2% · 8:30 AM ET Average Hourly Earnings for Aug…est. +0.3% · 9:45 AM ET Markit Composite PMI, Aug-F · 9:45 AM ET Markit Services PMI, Aug-F · 10:00 AM ET ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI for Aug…est. 61.5 · 1:00 PM EST Baker Hughes Weekly rig count data Market Closing Prices Yesterday · The S&P 500 Index gained 12.86 points, or 0.28%, to 4,536.95 · The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 131.29 points, or 0.37%, to 35,443.82 · The Nasdaq Composite climbed 21.80 points, or 0.14%, to 15,331.18 · The Russell 2000 Index advanced 16.69 points, or 0.74% to 2,304.02 Macro Up/Down Last Nymex 0.26 70.25 Brent 0.47 73.50 · Japan’s beleaguered Prime Minister, Yoshihide Suga, surprised markets in Asia Friday by announcing plans to step down in the coming weeks, ending an unpopular tenue at the head of the world’s third largest economy. Suga, 72, took over the office of Prime Minister following the resignation of Shinzo Abe · Chinese Caixin Services PMI August 46.7 below the expected reading of 52.0 (prior 54.9) and the Caixin Composite PMI for August also contraction territory at 47.2 (vs. previous 53.1) · Eurozone July Retail Sales missed at -2.3% MoM vs 0.1% consensus, 3.1% YoY vs 4.8% consensus · Eurozone Aug Services PMI (final) missed at 59.0 vs 59.7 consensus · German Aug Services PMI (final) missed at 60.8 vs 61.5 consensus Sector News Breakdown Consumer · Beyond Meat, Inc. ($BYND) said that its COO is stepping down effective immediately. · Didi Global ($DIDI) rises initially after Bloomberg reported that Beijing’s municipal government has proposed an investment in Didi Global Inc. that would give state-run firms control of the world’s largest ride- hailing company. · Joann Inc. (JOAN) 2Q sales $496.9Mm vs est. $533.2Mm; Q2 adjusted Ebitda $23.5Mm; Q2 adjusted net loss $8.3Mm · Oxford Industries ($OXM) 2Q adj EPS $3.24 vs est. $2.33 on sales $329Mm vs est. $308.2Mm; guides 3Q sales $220-230Mm vs est. $206Mm, sees 3Q adj EPS $0.20-0.30; guides FY sales $1.085-1.105B vs est. $1.05B, sees FY adj EPS $6.45-6.70 vs est. $5.22 · Quanex Building ($NX) Q3 adj EPS $0.42 on sales $279.9M vs. est. $272.6M; expect inflation, labor costs, and supply chain challenges to continue pressuring margins throughout q4 of this year; reaffirming net sales guidance of approximately $1.04B-$1.06B vs. est. $1.05B · Tilly’s ($TLYS) 2Q EPS $0.66 vs est. $0.51 on revs $202Mm vs est. $189.7Mm; guides 3Q EPS $0.30-0.34 vs est. $0.24, sees 3Q sales about $187-193Mm vs est. $173Mm Energy, Industrials and Materials · Patterson-UTI Energy ($PTEN) reports an average of 79 drilling rigs operating for the month of August, 2021 Financials · Marathon Digital ($MARA) published unaudited bitcoin (BTC) production and miner installation updates for August. The company produced 469.6 new minted bitcoins during August 2021, increasing total bitcoin holdings to approximately 6,695 with a fair market value of approximately $316.4M. Cash on hand was approximately $70.9M and total liquidity, defined as cash and bitcoin holdings, was approximately $387.3M Healthcare · Cooper Companies ($COO) 3Q adj EPS $3.41 vs est. $3.29 on revs $763.4Mm vs est. $726.8Mm; guides 4Q adj EPS $3.24-3.44 vs est. $3.49, sees 4Q revs $730-760Mm vs est. $748.7Mm; guides FY revs $2.893-2.923B vs est. $2.875B, sees FY adj EPS $13.20-13.40 vs est. $13.33 · Forte Biosciences ($FBRX) shares tumble over -80%; said FB-401 for the treatment of Atopic Dermatitis failed to meet primary endpoint and the company will not continue to advance it · Cellect Biotechnology ($APOP) rises 55%; announced the first ApoGraft transplantation in a Leukemia patient in the company’s clinical trial at Washington University in the U.S. The trial, initiated in October, will enroll 18 patients with cancers affecting the blood, bone marrow and lymph nodes, that are undergoing transplantation · AstraZeneca ($AZN) & the EU have agreed a C-19 vaccine supply & ended the litigation; the deal will ensure delivery of the remaining C-19 shots to EU countries; will deliver 60m doses by the end of Q3 & 135m by year end Technology, Media & Telecom · Broadcom ($AVGO) Q3 Adj EPS $6.96 vs. est. $6.888; Q3 revs $6.78B vs. est. $6.76B; Q4 revenue guidance of approximately $7.35B vs. est. $7.23B; Q4 adjusted Ebitda guidance of approximately 61% of projected revenue; expect free cash flow to remain strong in Q4 · DocuSign ($DOCU) 2Q adj EPS $0.47 vs est. $0.40 on revs $511.8Mm vs est. $485.3Mm, billings $595.4Mm +47%; guides 3Q revs $526-532Mm vs est. $517Mm, sees 3Q adj gr mgn 79-81% and adj op mgn 17-19%; guides FY revs $2.078-2.088B vs est. $2.044B, sees adj gr mgn 79-81% and adj op mgn 16-18% · Guidewire Software ($GWRE) Q4 adj EPS $0.37 vs. est. $0.25; Q4 revs $229.4M vs. est. $222.35M; sees Q1 revs $162M-$166M vs. est. $174.6M and Q1 ARR $586M-$590M; sees FY22 revs $780M-$790M vs. est. $769.23M and sees FY22 ARR $657M-$667M · Hewlett Packard Enterprises ($HPE) Q3 adj EPS $0.47 vs. est. $0.42; Q3 revs $6.9B vs. est. $6.93B; sees Q4 EPS $0.44-$0.52 vs. est. $0.49; reinstating share repurchase program and targeting share repurchases of up to $250M in Q4 fy21; raises FY Gaap diluted net eps outlook to $0.80 to $0.88 and non-Gaap diluted net eps outlook to $1.88 to $1.96 · Medallia Inc. ($MDLA) Q2 adj EPS loss (-$0.09) vs. est. loss (-$0.08); Q2 revs $144.1M vs. est. $138.17M; won’t be providing guidance for 3q of fiscal yr 2022, suspending its guidance for full year as a result of pending transaction · MongoDB Inc. ($MDB) Q2 non-GAAP EPS loss (-$0.24) vs. est. (-$0.39); Q2 revs $198.7M vs. est. $184.2M; said Q2 results were exceptionally strong across the board, highlighted by Atlas revenue growth of 83%; recently surpassed 200Mm cumulative downloads from our website and had more than 75Mm downloads over the last 12 months alone; sees Q3 non-GAAP EPS loss (42c)-(39c) vs. est. loss (-$0.37); sees Q3 revs $202.0M-$204.0M vs. est. $198.3M · Ooma Inc. ($OOMA) 2Q adj EPS $0.13 vs est. $0.09 on revs $47.1Mm vs est. $46.4Mm; guides 3Q adj EPS $0.08-0.11 vs est. $0.07, sees 3Q revs $47.8-48.5Mm vs est. $46.7Mm; guides FY adj EPS $0.40-0.46 vs est. $0.35, sees FY revs $188.5-190Mm vs est. $186.5Mm · PagerDuty ($PD) 2Q adj EPS ($0.13) vs est. ($0.15) on revs $68Mm vs est. $65.6Mm; guides 3Q adj EPS loss $0.09-0.10 vs est. loss $0.09, sees 3Q revs $69-71Mm vs est. $68.3Mm; guides FY revs $273-276Mm vs est. $270.5Mm, sees FY adj EPS loss $0.35-0.39 vs est. loss $0.39 · Science Applications International Corporation ($SAIC) Q2 adj EPS $1.97 vs. est. $1.47; Q2 revs $1.8B vs. est. $1.79B; raises FY22 adj EPS view to $6.50-$6.70 from $6.15-$6.40 (est. $6.51); boosts FY22 revenue view to $7.3B-$7.4B from $7.15B-$7.3B (est. $7.33B) · Yext Inc. ($YEXT) 2Q adj EPS ($0.06) vs est. ($0.07) on revs $98.1Mm vs est. $95Mm; guides 3Q revs $97.5-98.5Mm vs est. $97.2Mm, sees 3Q adj EPS loss $0.06-0.08 vs est. loss $0.05; guides FY revs 386-388Mm vs est. $385.2Mm, sees FY adj EPS loss $0.20-0.24 vs est. loss $0.18 · Reddit Inc, the operator of online message boards that became the go-to destination for day traders chasing this year’s frenzy for so-called ‘meme’ stocks, is seeking to hire investment bankers and lawyers for an initial public offering (IPO) in New York, two people familiar with the matter said on Thursday. Reddit was valued at $10 billion in a private fundraising round last month – Reuters · Sphere 3D ($ANY) shares down -28%; to issue 22.6M common shares and warrants to purchase 11.3M common shares for gross proceeds of $192.1M, in a registered direct offering
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Thursday, September 2, 2021 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow 45.00 0.13% 35,335 S&P 500 6.25 0.14% 4,527 Nasdaq 29.50 0.19% 15,638 Stock index futures are indicating a higher open with rates edging down (10-year drops back below 1.3%) as investors await another set of numbers on the labor market in the form of weekly jobless claims, ahead of Friday’s payrolls report (which followed a weaker private payroll report from ADP yesterday). A brutal night across the Northeast saw tornado watches and flash flood warnings for parts of the Tri-State Area as remnants of Hurricane Ida brought in heavy winds and drenching rains that turned major highways into rivers and even showed water rushing through Newark Liberty International Airport, canceling all flights there. The tail-end of hurricane Ida dumped a “record breaking” amount of rain over New York and New Jersey putting both areas into states of emergency. Hurricane Ida, which devastated Louisiana this week, could mobilize lawmakers to pass the bipartisan $1T infrastructure bill, which is making its way through Congress. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index rose 92 points to 28,543, he Shanghai Index climbed 29 points to 2,597, and the Hang Seng Index advanced 62 points to settle at 26,090. In Europe, markets are quiet as the German DAX is flat at 15,825, while the FTSE 100 is down a few points to 7,145. Bitcoin prices moved back above the $50K level overnight, last trading up 3.3% around $49,900 in a rebound for crypto; Ethereum prices up modestly after outperformance Wednesday, last around $3,750. Crude is rising after OPEC+ ministers’ unity reinforced market stability Events Calendar for Today 7:30 AM ET Challenger Layoffs for Aug 8:30 AM ET Weekly Jobless Claims…est. 345K 8:30 AM EST Continuing Claims…est. 2.775M 8:30 AM ET International Trade for July…est. (-$71.0B) 8:30 AM ET Nonfarm Productivity, Q2…est. 2.4% 8:30 AM ET Unit Labor Costs for Q2…est. 0.9% 10:00 AM ET Factory Orders MoM for July…est. 0.3% 10:00 AM ET Durable Goods Orders MoM for July 10:30 AM ET Weekly EIA Natural Gas Inventory Data Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: AEO, BNED, BRC, CIEN, DCI, DLTH, GCO, GIII, GMS, JRL, JW/A, KIRK, LE, MCFT, MEI, SCWX, SIG, TTC Earnings After the Close: AVGO, COO, CTHR, CTLP, DOCU, GWRE, HPE, JOAN, LAW, MDB, MDLA, MEIP, NX, OOMA, OXM, PD, SAIC, TLYS, YEXT Other Key Events: Barclay’s Media & Telecom Forum (virtual), 9/1-9/2 Stephens Auto investor Field Trip, 9/1-9/2 Caixin Services PMI for Aug Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index gained 1.41 points, or 0.03%, to 4,524.09 The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell -48.20 points, or 0.14%, to 35,312.53 The Nasdaq Composite climbed 50.15 points, or 0.33%, to 15,309.38 The Russell 2000 Index advanced 13.28 points, or 0.58% to 2,287.06 Macro Up/Down Last Nymex 0.36 68.95 Brent 0.38 71.97 Gold 1.50 1,815.40 EUR/USD 0.0015 1.1854 JPY/USD 0.00 110.01 10-Year Note -0.013 1.289% Sector News Breakdown Consumer Chewy ($CHWY) shares fell -10%; 2Q adj EBITDA $23.3Mm vs est. 34.4Mm on sales $2.16B vs est. $2.2B; sees FY net sales $8.9B-$9.0B vs. est. $9.0B Costco ($COST) reported total comparable sales for Aug. that beat the average analyst estimate; Aug. total comparable sales +14.2%, estimate +12.5%; Aug. U.S. comparable sales excluding fuel, currencies +10.1%, estimate +7.10% Five Below ($FIVE) shares fell -9%; 2Q EPS $1.15 vs est. $1.11 on sales $646.6Mm vs est. $648.3Mm; guides 3Q net sales $550-565Mm on +MSD comps vs est. $551Mm, sees EPS $0.23-0.30 vs est. $0.27 Hormel Foods ($HRL) shares fall -4%; Q3 adj EPS $0.39, in-line with estimates; Q3 revs $2.86B vs. est. $2.73B; Q2 volume of 1.2B pounds, up 1%; organic volume down 2%; operating margin 7.2%; cuts FY21 EPS view to $1.65-$1.69 from $1.70-$1.82, while raises FY21 revenue view to $11B-$11.2B from $10.2B-$10.8B Chinese regulators summoned 11 ride-hailing firms including DIDI Global ($DIDI) to discuss concerns related to the sector; China’s transport ministry highlighted the hiring of unqualified drivers and use of promotions that disrupt fair market order during the meeting Sportsman’s Warehouse ($SPWH) Q2 adj EPS $0.44 vs. est. $0.48; Q2 sales $361.8M vs. est. $345.6M; said Q2 same store sales decreased 9.9% compared to the same period last year; For the first half of fiscal year 2021, same store sales increased 3.4% compared to the same period last year; Adjusted EBITDA was $35.2M compared to $53.6M in the comparable prior year period; not providing guidance Smith & Wesson Brands ($SWBI) Q1 adj EPS $1.57 vs. est. $1.29; Q1 revs $274.6M vs. est. $278.59M; record gross margin of 47.3% vs. 40.2% last year ChargePoint Holdings ($CHPT) rises 12%; 2Q EPS ($0.29) vs est. ($0.13) on revs $56.1Mm vs est. $49.1Mm, says activated ports exceed 118,000 with over 5,400 in Europe and over 3,700 DC fast charge ports; guides 3Q revs $60-65Mm vs est. $54.7Mm, sees FY revs $225-235Mm up from $195M-$205M vs est. $206.6Mm DraftKings ($DKNG) announced the launch of DraftKings Online Sportsbook in Wyoming, marking the thirteenth state in which its mobile sportsbook is available Tesla ($TSLA) now aims for Full Self-Driving Beta public release ~September 25th, Electrek reports https://electrek.co/2021/09/01/tesla-full-self-driving-beta-public-release-4-weeks/ Energy, Industrials and Materials Greif ($GEF) Q3 adj EPS $1.93 vs. est. $1.54; Q3 revs $1.49B vs. est. $1.39B; sees FY21 EPS $5.10-$5.30 vs. est. $4.63; sees FY21 adjusted free cash flow $335M-$365M Ingersoll Rand Inc. ($IR) authorized a new share repurchase program of $750 mln Exelon ($EXC) tells Illinois lawmakers and Gov. J.B. Pritzker to finalize an energy policy deal by September 13 or face the permanent closure of one of the state’s six nuclear power plants. Energy Transfer ($ET) signed a 15-year power purchase agreement to buy 120 MW of electricity from SoftBank’s ($SFTBY) Eiffel Solar project in northeast Texas; financial terms are not disclosed. General Electric ($GE) was awarded a not-to-exceed $1.65B firm-fixed-price, indefinite-delivery, performance-based logistics requirements contract for the repair, upgrade or replacement, inventory management, and required supply response times of 17 F414 engine components in support of the F/A-18 aircraft Virgin Galactic ($SPCE) slips after the U.S. Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) said on Wednesday it is investigating descent deviation of July 11 flight of SPCE rocket plane that carried British billionaire Richard Branson. FAA spokesman told Reuters vehicle “deviated from its Air Traffic Control clearance as it returned to Spaceport America. The FAA investigation is ongoing.” Donaldson ($DCI) Q4 EPS $0.66 in-line with estimates; Q4 revs $773.1M vs. est. $770.69M; sees FY22 EPS $2.50-$2.66 vs. est. $2.68; sees FY22 sales growth of 5%-10% (est. $3.12B) OPEC+ and its allies agreed yesterday to stick to their existing plan for gradual monthly oil-production increases after a video conference. Ministers ratified the 400,000 barrel-a-day supply hike scheduled for October after one of the quickest meetings in recent memory. Financials CIBC to become exclusive credit card issuer for Costco Mastercard’s in Canada and acquire existing Costco Canadian credit card portfolio Over the last six months SPACs have lost $75 billion. A group of 137 SPACs that closed mergers by mid-February have lost 25% of their combined value. At one point last month, the pullback topped $100 billion – WSJ Healthcare FDA AdComm to discuss Pfizer ($PFE) and BioNTech SE ($BNTX) application for COVID-19 Booster on September 17th Assembly Biosciences, Inc. ($ASMB) shares fall -20%, as the clinical-stage biotechnology company developing innovative therapeutics targeting hepatitis B virus ($HBV), today announced its decision to discontinue development of ABI-H2158 (2158) following the observation of elevated ALT levels consistent with drug-induced hepatotoxicity in an ongoing Phase 2 trial. Cannabis space: The newly inaugurated governor of New York says she wants to “jumpstart” the implementation of marijuana legalization—and she took a major step on Wednesday by making two key regulatory appointments for the state’s cannabis market that have now been confirmed in a Senate committee during a special session (watch shares of $TLRY, $CURLF, $GTBIF, $CRON) https://bit.ly/3jzhR0D Phreesia ($PHR) 2Q EPS ($0.48) vs est. ($0.10) on revs $51Mm vs est. $47.2Mm, says avg number of provider clients was 1,987 in qtr vs 1,668 prior year +19%; guides FY revs $195-198Mm vs est. $193.4Mm, continue to expect overall cash outflow to increase in FY22 vs FY21 NeoGenomics Inc ($NEO) files prospectus related to resale or other disposition of 4.4 mln shares by selling stockholders Ascendis Pharma ($ASND)5M share Secondary priced at $160.00 Technology, Media & Telecom Asana ($ASAN) Q2 adj EPS loss (-$0.23) vs. est. loss (-$0.26); Q2 revs $89.5M vs. est. $82.24M; sees Q3 adj EPS loss (27c)-(26c) vs. est. loss (-$0.28); sees Q3 revs $93M-$94M vs. est. $86.72M; raises FY22 revenue view to $357M-$359M from $336M-$340M (est. $338.81M); Revenues from customers spending $5,000 or more on an annualized basis grew 97% YoY; customers spending $50,000 or more on an annualized basis increased to 598, up 111% YoY ai ($AI) shares fell -10%; Q1 EPS loss (-$0.37) vs. est. loss (-$0.28); Q1 revs $52.4M vs. est. $51.16M; said Q1 included YoY increases of 29% in revenue and 31% in gross profit; sees Q2 revenue $56M-$58M vs. est. $56.12M; sees FY22 revenue $243M-$247M vs. est. $245.4M; Q1 Subscription revenue was $46.1M, up from $35.7M one year ago, an increase of 29% Yoy eGain ($EGAN) 4Q adj EPS $0.08 vs est. $0.03 on revs $20.2Mm vs est. $19.9Mm; guides 1Q adj EPS $0.02-0.05 vs est. $0.03, sees 1Q revs $20.9-21.3Mm vs est. $20.6Mm; guides FY revs $88.2-89.8Mm vs est. $87.1Mm; sees FY adj EPS ($0.03) to $0.00 vs est. $0.20 nCino ($NCNO) 2Q adj EPS ($0.02) vs est. ($0.06) on revs $66.5Mm vs est. $63.7Mm; guides 3Q adj net EPS loss $0.06-0.07 vs est. loss $0.06, sees 3Q revs $66-67Mm vs est. $65.1Mm; guides FY adj EPS net loss $0.22-0.23 vs est. loss $0.23, sees FY revs $263-264Mm vs est. $259.1Mm Nutanix ($NTNX) Q4 adj EPS loss (-$0.26) vs. est. loss (-$0.42); Q4 revs $390.7M vs. est. $362.88M; operating expenses topped revenue at $454.1M though rose from $432.3M a year ago; sees Q1 ACV Billings $172M-$177M Okta ($OKTA) Q2 adj EPS loss (-$0.11) vs. est. loss (-$0.35); Q2 revs $316M vs. est. $296.52M; sees Q3 adj EPS loss (25c)-(24c) vs. est. loss (-$0.34); sees Q3 revs $325M-$327M vs. est. $322.93M; raises FY22 adjusted EPS loss view (77c)-(74c) from ($1.16)-($1.13); Q2 revenue grew 57% year-over-year; subscription revenue grew 59% YoY; remaining performance obligations (RPO) grew 57% YoY to $2.24 billion Semtech ($SMTC) 2Q adj EPS $0.65 vs est. $0.62 on sales $185Mm vs est. $182.9Mm; guides 3Q adj EPS $0.68-0.76 vs est. $0.67 with adj gr margin 62.8-63.8%, adj SG&A $33.5-34.5Mm, adj R&D $32.5-33.5Mm Veev Systems ($VEEV) 2Q adj EPS $0.94 vs est. $0.87 on revs $455.6Mm vs est. $451.9Mm; guides 3Q adj EPS $0.87-0.88 vs est. $0.86, sees 3Q revs $464-466Mm vs est. $460Mm; guides FY revs $1.83-1.835B vs est. $1.823B, sees FY adj EPS about $3.57 vs est. $3.47 China’s Alibaba Group ($BABA) will invest 100 billion yuan ($15.5 billion) by 2025 in support of “common prosperity”, it said, becoming the latest corporate giant to pledge support for the initiative driven by President Xi Jinping Ireland hit Facebook’s ($FB) WhatsApp with a record 225 million euro ($266 million) fine on Thursday following an inquiry into the messaging app’s transparency around sharing personal data with other Facebook companies.
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Upside: -ZIVO +24% (momentum following LD Micro Virtual conference) -SNGX +16% (receives Pediatric Investigational Plan Waiver for HyBryte™ in CTCL from the European Medicines Agency) -OXM +14% (earnings, guidance) -RH +8.0% (earnings, guidance) -SIG +7.7% (earnings, guidance; reinstates dividend at lower level) -ASAN +6.9% (momentum) -ENZ +5.6% (earnings) -VOR +4.4% (entered into a multi-year strategic collaboration with Abound Bio and license agreement to research both single- and multi-targeted CAR-T treatments) -TLYS +3.4% (declares $1.00/shr special cash dividend) -GEF +1.7% (earnings, guidance) Downside: -OCGN -40% (to pursue a BLA path in the US for its COVID-19 vaccine candidate; no longer pursuing EUA) -MTLS -14% (prices public offering of 4.0M ADS at $24.0 each for total gross proceedings of $96M) -KLXE -13% (earnings, guidance) -CELH -9.9% (prices 6.5M share offering at $62.50/shr) -FCEL -9.8% (earnings, guidance) -LAKE -7.4% (earnings) -GME -6.5% (earnings, guidance; discloses SEC document request related to investigation of trading activity in GME securities) -IMBI -5.4% (prices offer of 4.8M shares at $9.00/shr for total gross proceedings of $43.5M) -LTHM -3.4% (files to sell 12.5M shares via GS and JPM) -FSLY -2.3% (Oppenheimer Cuts FSLY to Perform from Outperform) -REVG -2.1% (files to sell 7.5M common share secondary offering)
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/*============================================= = Thursday, June 10, 2021 = =============================================*/ Futures Up/Down % Last Dow 80.00 0.23% 34,410 S&P 500 2.25 0.07% 4,211 Nasdaq -37.50 0.27% 13,766 U.S. stock futures are mixed into key monthly inflation data as the May Consumer Price Index (CPI) is set to be revealed at 8:30 AM, with an expected MoM rise of 0.4% for both headline and core prices and YoY prices to rise 4.7% (which would be the biggest YoY rise since 2008) and 3.4% (would be highest since YoY core spike since 1993) for headline and core respectively. Treasury yields have been sliding over the last week to one-month lows around 1.50% for the benchmark 10-year ahead of the data, as it appears markets have accepted the recent rise in prices as “transitory” which is what the Fed has been echoing for weeks now. While the Fed has pledged not to hike interest rates before 2023, some economists say that is wishful thinking if these levels of inflation keep up. The S&P 500 flirted with a record high Wednesday before retreating in afternoon trading, once again nearly tagging its 4,238.04-record intraday high. The yield on 10-year Treasuries sank to almost 1.47%, while the 30-year bond touched 2.148%, the lowest since March 1. On a weekly basis, the S&P 500 is on track for its smallest range as a percentage of the prior week’s close since mid-October 2017. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index rose 97 points to 28,958, the Shanghai Index rose 19 points to 3,610 and the Hang Seng Index slipped -3 points to 28,738. In Europe, the German DAX is up over 320 points to top 15,600, while the FTSE 100 is up around 25 points to 7,105. Not much going on in individual stock news other than several new IPO’s pricing overnight and open for trading today along with momentum sectors remaining very volatile including Reddit/WSB related “meme” stocks and Bitcoin leveraged stocks. Events Calendar for Today 8:30 AM EST Consumer Prices (CPI) MoM for May…est. 0.4% 8:30 AM EST Consumer Prices (CPI) YoY for May…est. 4.7% 8:30 AM EST CPI Ex: Food & Energy MoM for May…est. 0.4% 8:30 AM EST CPI Ex: Food & Energy YoY for May…est. 3.4% 8:30 AM ET Weekly Jobless Claims…est. 370K 8:30 AM EST Continuing Claims…est. 3.602M 10:30 AM ET Weekly EIA Natural Gas Inventory Data 2:00 PM EST Federal Budget for May Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: A LOT, $FCEL, JW/A, $KSPN, $SIG Earnings After the Close: $AVO, $CGRN, $CHWY, $NVGS, $PLAY, $SEAC, $TPCS, $TYME, $ZDGE Other Key Events: Baird Global Consumer, Technology & Services Conference 2021 (virtual), 6/8-6/10 Deutsche Bank Global Consumer Conference (virtual), 6/7-6/10 FBN Securities Silicon Valley Tech Tour (virtual), 6/10-6/11 Goldman Sachs Healthcare Conference (virtual), 6/8-6/10 Goldman Sachs 25th Annual European Financials Conference (virtual), 6/8-6/10 Jefferies Healthcare Virtual Conference, 6/8-6/10 Oppenheimer Virtual Software & Semiconductor Bus Tour, 6/7-6/11 Piper Global Exchange & FinTech Conference (virtual), 6/9-6/10 REITWeek 2021 Investor Virtual Conference, 6/8-6/10 Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index slipped -7.71 points, or 0.18%, to 4,219.55 The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell -152.68 points, or 0.44%, to 34,447.14 The Nasdaq Composite dipped -13.16 points, or 0.09%, to 13,911.75 The Russell 2000 Index declined -16.63 points, or 0.71% to 2,327.13 Macro Up/Down Last Nymex 0.08 70.04 Brent 0.14 72.36 Gold -9.00 1,879.55 EUR/USD -0.0018 1.2162 JPY/USD -0.12 19.51 10-Year Note +0.012 1.501% World News A bipartisan group of House moderates on Wednesday unveiled an eight-year, $1.25 trillion infrastructure plan designed to help break the months-long impasse over President Biden’s top domestic legislative priority. The framework offered by the 58-member Problem Solvers Caucus calls for more than $959 billion for traditional infrastructure, including highways, bridges, rail, airports and waterways; $25 billion of that money would be set aside for electric vehicle infrastructure, including electric buses. Sector News Breakdown Consumer GameStop ($GME) Q1 adj EPS loss (-$0.45) vs. est. loss (-$0.84); Q1 sales $1.3B vs. est. $1.16B; says may offer and sell up to 5 mln shares of its common stock, from time to time, in “at-the-market” offerings – shares slip on offering; named two Amazon executives as its CEO and CFO – Matt Furlong will succeed George Sherman as CEO and Mike Recupero will succeed Jim Bell as CFO; continues to suspend guidance; says Q2 sales trends continue to reflect momentum, with may total sales increasing approximately 27% compared to last year; Oxford Industries ($OXM) Q1 adj EPS $1.89 vs. est. $1.06; Q1 sales $266M vs. est. $233.1M; raises FY21 EPS view to $4.85-$5.15 from $2.80-$3.20 (est. $3.05); raises FY21 revenue view to $1.015B-$1.05B from $940M-$980M (est. $968.86M) RH ($RH) shares rise 6%; Q1 adj EPS $4.89 vs. est. $4.10; Q1 revs $860.8M vs. est. $757.65M; raising our outlook for revenue growth in fy21 to a range of 25% to 30% from prior outlook of 15%-20%; sees 2q adj operating margin in range of 25.9% to 26.1% and Q2 revs growth 35%-37%; Q1 adjusted gross margin of 47.3% of sales vs. 41.8% a year ago and 46.1% consensus Celsius Holdings ($CELH)52M share Spot Secondary priced at $62.50 Leslie’s ($LESL) 24.5M share Secondary priced at $27.64 Energy, Industrials and Materials Blocked by US President Joe Biden, Canada’s TC Energy ($TRP) said Wednesday it had officially terminated the Keystone XL Pipeline project, throwing in the towel on a controversial initiative opposed by environmental activists. Callon Petroleum ($CPE) and Continental Resources ($CLR) downgraded to Sector Perform from Outperform at RBC Capital with a price target of $54 (up from $44) and tgt of $40 (up from $34) respectively, citing strong relative performance and believes that its upside is now in line with its peers Marathon Oil ($MRO) upgraded to Outperform from Sector Perform at RBC Capital with a price target of $18 from $14 saying the stock provides an attractive opportunity to express bullishness on oil prices, while the company’s “ultra-low” break-even point and maintenance capital program support robust free cash flow generation at even depressed commodity prices Greif Inc. ($GEF) Q1 adj EPS $1.13 vs. est. $1.06; Q2 sales $1.34B vs. est. $1.26B; Net cash provided by operating activities increased by $52.5 million to a source of $152.3 million; total debt decreased by $368.9 million Financials AllianceBernstein L.P. ($AB) announced that preliminary assets under management increased to $731 billion during May 2021 from $724 billion at the end of April; firmwide net inflows, coupled with market appreciation, drove the 1% increase Franklin Resources, Inc. ($BEN) reported preliminary month-end assets under management of $1,543.5 billion at May 31, 2021, compared to $1,529.3 billion at April 30, 2021. Virtus Investment partners, Inc. ($VRTS) reported total assets under management (aum) as of May 31, 2021 of $175.5 billion. in addition, the company provided services to $3.7 billion of other fee-earning assets that are not included in assets under management. Bank of Hawaii ($BOH) announces the offering of 7.2M depositary shares for gross proceeds of $180M Clarivate ($CLVT)462M share Secondary priced at $26.00 Healthcare Aclaris Therapeutics ($ACRS)04M share Spot Secondary priced at $17.75 Apria ($APR)5M share Secondary priced at $27.00 Clover Health Investments ($CLOV) downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at Bank America with an unchanged price target of $10 noting the 100% rally in the past week and shares are now trading at a 70% premium to Alignment Healthcare (ALHC), its closest comp LifeStance ($LFST) 40M share IPO priced at $18.00 Technology, Media & Telecom The global semiconductor market will rise from 6.8% in 2020 to 19.7% this year to ~$527B according to World Semiconductor Trade Statistics estimates. For 2022, the global semiconductor market is projected to grow by 8.8% to $573B, driven by double-digit growth of the Memory category ChipMOS ($IMOS) reports May revenue of $84.4M (+2.4% M/M; +30.7% Y/Y) TSMC’s ($TSM) May revenue rose 19.8% Y/Y and 0.9% M/M to NT$112.360B Xilinx ($XLNX) has acquired Silexica, a privately-held provider of C/C++ programming and analysis tools; terms not disclosed Genius Sports ($GENI) 22M share Secondary priced at $19.00 Materialise ($MTLS) 4M share Spot Secondary priced at $24.00 PLBY Group ($PLBY)72M share Secondary priced at $46.00 Zeta Global ($ZETA)5M share IPO priced at $10.00 1stDibs ($DIBS)75M share IPO priced at $20.00 com ($MNDY) 3.7M share IPO priced at $155.00 Jamf Holding ($JAMF)5M share Secondary priced at $33.00 Asana ($ASAN) disclosed that its CEO Dustin Moskovitz bought 500K shares of common stock on June 7th in a total transaction size of $19.7M Latch Inc. ($LTCH) 1Q revs $6.6Mm +143%, booked ARR $38.9Mm +120%, total bookings $71.7Mm +89%; says plans to increase investments in sales and marketing as well as new experiences and products; guides 2Q revs $9-10Mm with total bookings $82-87Mm and adj EBITDA ($17Mm) to ($20Mm); sees FY revs $47-51Mm with total bookings $290-325Mm and adj EBITDA ($75Mm) to ($95Mm) Verint Systems ($VRNT) Q1 adj EPS $0.44 vs. est. $0.35 on revs $202Mm vs. est. $196.5Mm, cloud revs up more than 35% YoY; guides FY adj EPS $2.23 at midpoint vs. est. $2.19, sees FY revs $860Mm +/- 2% vs. est. $861.7Mm (sees cloud revs +30-35%, sees new PLE bookings 10+%)
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/*============================================= = Wednesday, June 9, 2021 = =============================================*/ Futures Up/Down % Last Dow -25.00 0.07% 34,561 S&P 500 2.25 0.05% 4,228 Nasdaq 28.50 0.20% 13,839 U.S. stock futures are mixed with Dow futures slipping, S&P futures flat and Nasdaq futures looking higher as Treasury yields fall to their lowest levels in weeks (1.50% for the 10-year) ahead of key inflation data later this week. Stock averages flirted with record highs on Tuesday, as the S&P neared but could not hold its early gains (ended Tuesday at 4,227, just off its closing high on May 7 of 4,232) while the Russell 2000 neared its all-time best close as investors appear wary ahead of inflation data due on Thursday in the form of consumer prices (CPI). Consumer discretionary and energy were the best performing major S&P 500 sectors on the day, while utilities were the weakest group. A lack of clear market catalysts kept institutional investors on the sidelines, while retail traders fueled the ongoing meme stocks rally with more volatility from the likes of AMC, GME, BBBY, WKHS, BB, with new names such as CLOV and WEN added to the fray. Fear remains non-existent in the market as the CBOE volatility index (VIX) touched its lowest level in over a year. It appears for the time being the “meme stocks” are taking over from crypto as the place to be as Bitcoin prices slid. Oil prices inch higher with WTI crude above $70 per barrel for the first time since October 2018 and Bitcoin rebounds. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index fell -102 points to 28,860, the Shanghai Index rose 11 points to 3,591 and the Hang Seng Index dipped -38 points to 28,742. In Europe, the German DAX is down about -80 points to 15,555, while the FTSE 100 slides about -40 points to 7,050. China data showed May PPI +9.0% y/y vs +8.5% poll, +6.8% in April, May CPI +1.3% y/y vs +1.6% poll, +0.9% in April (CPI highest in eight months). Chinese stocks edge higher despite the fastest factory inflation since 2008 as benign CPI suggests only limited pass-through to consumers Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index inched higher 0.74 points, or 0.02%, to 4,227.26 The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell -30.42 points, or 0.09%, to 34,599.82 The Nasdaq Composite gained 43.19 points, or 0.31%, to 13,924.91 The Russell 2000 Index advanced 24.58 points, or 1.06% to 2,343.76 Events Calendar for Today 7:00 AM ET MBA Mortgage Applications Data 10:00 AM EST Wholesale Inventories for April 10:30 AM ET Weekly DOE Inventory Data Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: BF/B, $CPB, $DAKT, $LOVE, $UNFI, $VRA Earnings After the Close: $ENZ, $GEF, $GME, $KLXE, $LAKE, $OXM, $RH, $TCL, $VRNT Other Key Events: Baird Global Consumer, Technology & Services Conference 2021 (virtual), 6/8-6/10 Deutsche Bank Global Consumer Conference (virtual), 6/7-6/10 Goldman Sachs Healthcare Conference (virtual), 6/8-6/10 Goldman Sachs 25th Annual European Financials Conference (virtual), 6/8-6/10 Jefferies Healthcare Virtual Conference, 6/8-6/10 Oppenheimer Virtual Software & Semiconductor Bus Tour, 6/7-6/11 Piper Global Exchange & FinTech Conference (virtual), 6/9-6/10 REITWeek 2021 Investor Virtual Conference, 6/8-6/10 UBS Global Industrials and Transportation Conference, 6/8-6/9 Macro Up/Down Last Nymex 0.11 70.16 Brent 0.12 72.34 Gold -2.60 1,890.25 EUR/USD 0.0019 1.2192 JPY/USD -0.06 109.44 10-Year Note -0.019 1.509% World News China’s factory gate prices rose at their fastest annual pace in over 12 years in May as the producer price index (PPI) increased 9.0% from a year earlier (est. 8.5%), the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) said driven by significant price increases in crude oil, iron ore and non-ferrous metals. On a monthly basis, the PPI rose 1.6%, up from a 0.9 uptick in April. China’s consumer price index (CPI) rose 1.3% in May in annual terms, the biggest increase in eight months. That was still slower than analysts’ forecast for a 1.6% increase, after a 0.9% gain in April. S. Senate passed a wide ranging $250b Bill designed to counter China & compete with China Bipartisan group meeting, Republican Senators came out of the meeting saying that they made a lot of progress, there is work to be done to reach an agreement, Manchin says a positive meeting, moving in the right direction. Sector News Breakdown Consumer Casey General ($CASY) Q4 EPS $1.12 vs. est. 88c; Q4 revs $2.38B vs. est. $2.22B Calavo Growers ($CVGW) Q2 adj EPS $0.43 vs. est. $0.44; Q2 revs $276.82M vs. est. $267.07M; sees Q3 revs $280M-$300M vs. est. $295.8M; sees Q3 adjusted EBITDA $11M-$15M; Q2 Fresh segment revenue decreased 5%, due primarily to 9% growth in avocado volume, offset by a 10% decrease in avocado prices and 31% lower tomato revenue Limoneira ($LMNR) Q2 adj EPS 10c vs. est. 6c; Q2 revs $45.1M in-line with ests; believes it is prudent to not provide lemon guidance at this time until covid-19 vaccine is widely distributed; continues to believe avocado revenue in fiscal 2021 will be strong due to market factors and positive initial crop indicators Target Corp. ($TGT) raises its quarterly dividend by 32% to $0.90 Energy, Industrials and Materials The American Petroleum Institute ($API) showed crude oil stockpiles fell -2.1m bbl vs -3.5m expected: Cushing -420k: Gasoline +2.4m: Distillates +3.75m Air Products ($APD) and Baker Hughes (BKR) announced a strategic global collaboration to develop next generation hydrogen compression aimed at lowering the cost of production and accelerating the adoption of hydrogen as a zero-carbon fuel Ahead of its investor and analyst conference today, UPS (UPS) announced 2023 financial targets with FY23 consolidated revenue ranging from approximately $98 billion to approximately $102 billion vs. $99.92B consensus SPX Corporation ($SPXC) signs an agreement to sell 100% of the issued and outstanding stock of its wholly-owned subsidiary, SPX Transformer Solutions, to GE-Prolec Transformers, for $645 million in cash; lowers FY21 adjusted EPS view to $2.17-$2.37 from $3.06-$3.26 and lowers FY21 revenue view to $1.25B from $1.70B (est. $1.69B) ABM Industries ($ABM) Q2 adj EPS $0.82 vs. est. $0.71; Q2 revs $1.5B vs. est. $1.48B; raises year EPS view to $3.30-$3.50 from prior $3.00-$3.25 (est. $3.18); maintaining its guidance for FY 2021 Gaap income from continuing operations Boeing ($BA) seeks increase in $3.9bn Air Force One fixed-price contract; Manufacturer’s supplier problems could delay new jets for White House by a year – Financial Times reported Sherwin-Williams ($SHW) raises Q2 sales guidance and full year 2021 sales and diluted net income per share guidance; raises FY 2021 consolidated net sales guidance to be up a high-single to low-double-digit percentage over full year 2020; raises FY21 EPS view to $9.15-$9.45 from $8.80-$9.07 (est. $9.32) Global Ship Lease ($GSL) agrees to purchase 12 container ships from Borealis Finance LLC for an aggregate purchase price of $233.9M; GSL’s fleet will comprise 62 container ships with a total capacity of 322,770 TEU Vale ($VALE) said it will prepay an outstanding ~$2.5B balance related to project financing for the Nacala logistics corridor that serves the Moatize coal mine in Mozambique. Financials Cohen & Steers ($CNS) reports preliminary AUM $94.2B as of May 31; an increase of $1.4B from assets under management at April 30. The increase was due to net inflows of $760M and market appreciation of $815M, partially offset by distributions of $201M Amazon ($AMZN) is considering replacing JPMorgan (JPM) in its co-brand card deal, Bloomberg reported saying American Express (AXP) and Synchrony Financial (SYF) are being considered as an alternative UP Fintech ($TIGR)5M share Secondary priced at $24.50 Healthcare Karyopharm Therapeutics ($KPTI) announces key management changes to its commercial organization LYRA Therapeutics ($LYRA) announces positive outcome of end-of-phase 2 meeting with the FDA for lyr-210 for the treatment of chronic rhinosinusitis Option Care Health ($OPCH) 15M share Spot Secondary priced at $20.00 Technology, Media & Telecom Comtech ($CMTL) Q3 sales $139.4M vs. est. $140.7M; Q3 adj EPS 26c vs. est. loss of (1c); still sees FY adj Ebitda $74M-$76M vs. est. $74.5M; lowers FY net sales $580M-$590M from prior $610.0M-$620.0M (est. $616.4M) Pegasystems ($PEGA) expands share repurchase program to $60M UiPath ($PATH) Q1 EPS loss ($1.11) vs. (33c) last year; Q1 revs $186.2M vs. $113.1M last year Ondas Holding ($INDS)4M share Spot Secondary priced at $7.00
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Oxford Industries, Inc., a leader in the apparel industry, owns and markets the distinctive Tommy Bahama®, Lilly Pulitzer® and Southern Tide® lifestyle brands, as well as other owned brands. Oxford's stock has traded on the New York Stock Exchange since 1964 under the symbol OXM.
CEO: Thomas Chubb
HQ: 999 Peachtree St NE Ste 688 Atlanta, 30309-4414 Georgia