$PIPR

+Initiations 12/2: $ACCD $ALLY $AMZN $BBLN $BKNG $CELH $CLBT $DBTX $DENN $DH $DIN $DOCS $ENVX $FB $FTCH $GDRX $GOOGL $HGV $HQY $IMMP $LYFT $PGNY $PHR $PIPR $RCM $SNAP $UBER $VOR . -Initiations 12/2: $ETSY

Friday, October 29, 2021 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow -45.00 0.13% 35,568 S&P 500 -22.25 0.49% 4,565 Nasdaq -139.50 0.88% 15,625 After trading to all-time highs Thursday for the S&P 500, Dow Jones, and Nasdaq Composite (and a 2% gain for the Russell 2000 as well) on strong earnings as well as positive developments on the spending bill in Washington, futures are pulling back. Shares of tech and retail giants Apple (AAPL) and Amazon (AMZN) are lower by 3% and 4% respectively after AAPL’s iPhone and overall revs miss for the quarter and AMZN drops on a Q3 revs miss, lower op income and lower guidance, sending Nasdaq Futures lower by about 1%. Investor sentiment is also starting to turn cautious amid the steady stream of corporate warnings on inflationary pressures and supply chain woes. Big day of inflation data with the personal spending and income for Sept and PCE inflation data expected at 8:30 AM. The 10-year Treasury yield is up around 1.61%, recovering off mid-week lows around the mid 1.5% level. Bitcoin prices are lower holding around the $60K level while oil futures are on track to snap their 8-week winning streak. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index rises 0.25% to 28,890, the Shanghai Index gains 0.8% to 3,547, and the Hang Seng Index falls =0.7% to 25,377. In Europe, the German DAX is lower -1.2% to 15,500, while the FTSE 100 down -0.5% at 7,210. Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index gained 44.74 points, or 0.98%, to 4,596.42 The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 239.79 points, or 0.68%, to 35,730.48 The Nasdaq Composite surged 212.28 points, or 1.39%, to 15,448.12 The Russell 2000 Index advanced 45.49 points, or 2.02% to 2,297.98 Events Calendar for Today 8:30 AM ET Personal Income for September…est. (-0.2%) 8:30 AM ET Personal Spending for September…prior +0.4% 8:30 AM ET PCE Price Index MoM for September 8:30 AM ET PCE Price Index YoY for September 8:30 AM ET Core PCE Price Index MoM for September…est. +0.2% 8:30 AM ET Core PCE Price Index YoY for September…est. +3.7% 9:45 AM ET Chicago PMI for October…est. 63.5 (prior 64.7) 10:00 AM ET University of Michigan Confidence, Oct-F…est. 71.4 1:00 PM EST Baker Hughes Weekly rig count data Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: ABBV, AON, B, BAH, CERN, CHD, CHTR, CL, COWN, CVX, DCOM, HUN, IRMD, LHX, PIPR, POR, PSX, PSXP, RUTH, WY, XOM Macro Up/Down Last Nymex 0.34 83.15 Brent 0.37 84.69 Gold -2.95 1,795.95 EUR/USD -0.0029 1.1652 JPY/USD 0.19 113.76 10-Year Note +0.041 1.61% Sector News Breakdown Consumer com (AMZN) shares fall -3%; 3Q EPS $6.12 vs est. $8.92 on sales $110.8B vs est. $111.6B, AWS net sales $16.11B; guides 4Q sales $130-140B vs est. $142B; sees q4 operating income is expected to be between $0 and $3.0 bln, compared with $6.9 bln in q4 2020; in q4, expect to incur several bln dollars of additional costs in consumer business as we manage through labor supply shortages Starbucks (SBUX) Q4 EPS $1.00 vs. est. $0.99; Q4 revs rose 31% to $8.1B vs. est. $8.21B; commits to $20 bln of share repurchases and dividends over next three years; qtrly active Starbucks rewards membership in U.S. approaches 25 mln, up 28% YoY; qtrly comp store sales of 17% globally; qtrly international comp store sales grew 3%; qtrly comp store sales of 22% in U.S.; comp store sales decreased 7% in China Columbia Sportswear (COLM) 3Q EPS $1.52 vs est. $1.33 on revs $804.7Mm vs est. $862Mm; qtrly inventory -7%; guides FY net sales +21.5-23% vs prior +25-26.5% and est. +26.5%, sees FY EPS $4.55-4.80 vs est. $4.65; says believe can achieve mid-teens or better net sales growth in 2022 vs est. +10% Decker’s Outdoors (DECK) 2Q EPS $3.66 vs est. $4.00 on sales $721.9Mm vs est. $765.9Mm, comps +1%; sees FY EPS $14.15-15.15 vs est. $15.15; Gross margin was 50.9% compared to 51.2% for the same period last year; Decker’s also said: UGG(R) brand net sales for the second quarter increased 8.0% to $448.4 million compared to $415.1 million for the same period last year. HOKA(R) brand net sales for the second quarter increased 47.0% to $210.4 million compared to $143.1 million for the same period last year. Teva(R) brand net sales for the second quarter increased 4.0% to $28.8 million compared to $27.7 million for the same period last year. Frontdoor (FTDR) 3Q EPS $0.89 vs est. $0.68 on revs $471Mm vs est. $476.5Mm; guides 4Q revs $330-340Mm vs est. $347.7Mm, sees FY revs $1.59-1.6B vs est. $1.62B Mohawk Industries (MHK) Q3 adj EPS $3.95 vs. est. $3.81; Q3 revs $2.817B vs. est. $2.9B; guides Q4 EPS $2.80-$2.90 vs. est. $3.23 Skecher’s (SKX) Q3 EPS $0.66 vs. est. $0.73; Q3 sales rose 19.2% to $1.55B vs. est. $1.63B; guides Q4 EPS $0.28-$0.33 vs. est. $0.34 and year EPS view cut to $2.45-$2.50 from $2.55-$2.65; cuts FY21 revenue view to $6.15B-$6.2B from $6.15B-$6.25B; Direct-to-Consumer sales grew 44.1% and wholesale sales grew 10.5% SkyWest (SKYW) 3Q adj EPS $1.45 vs est. $0.70 on revs $745Mm vs est. $687.7Mm; says experienced a severe outage in October resulting in about 1,700 flight cancelations and expect may impact 4Q results from $15-20Mm pre-tax; Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) Q3 EPS $0.75 vs est. $0.81 on revenue $869.9M vs est. $869.4M; comp sales +30.2% vs 3Q20, +22.3% vs 2019, partially offset by higher food/beverage costs with commodity inflation 13.9% driven by higher beef prices; sees positive comp sales in FY22, commodity cost inflation in high-teens in 1H22 Energy Chevron (CVX) Q3 adj EPS $2.96 vs. est. $2.21; Q3 revs $43B vs. est. $40.52B; posted net income of $6.11B vs. a loss of $207M a year ago; said Q3 average sales price per barrel of crude oil and natural gas liquids was $58, vs $31 a year earlier Dril-Quip (DRQ) 3Q EPS ($0.31) vs est. ($0.14) on revs $83Mm vs est. $85.6Mm, sees 4Q bookings at high end of $40-60Mm range (unchanged from prior view) First Energy (FE) Q3 adj EPS $0.82 vs. est. $0.79; Q3 revs $3.1B in-line with ests; raises FY21 adj EPS view to $2.55-$2.65 from $2.40-$2.60 (est. $2.54) SM Energy (SM) Q3 EPS $0.69 vs. est. $0.13; Q3 revs $760.24M vs. est. $510.61M; Q3 Production was 14.3 MMBoe (155.8 MBoe/d) and was 56% oil; the Company is increasing guidance for 2021 production volumes to 49.5-50.0 MMBoe (135.6-137.0 MBoe/d) Financials Hartford Financial (HIG) Q3 core EPS $1.26 vs. est. $0.86; Net income ROE for the trailing 12-month period ended Sept. 30, 2021 was 12.3% and core earnings ROE* for the same period was 12.5%; the Commercial Lines combined ratio was 101.2 in third quarter 2021 with an underlying combined ratio* of 87.2, a 6.5-point improvement YoY LPL Financial (LPLA) Q3 EPS $1.77 vs est. $1.75 on revenue $2.02B vs est. $2.05B; total advisory and brokerage assets $1.13 trillion (+40% YoY), organic net new assets $27B (+10% annualized) in the qtr, $110B over past 12-months (+14% annualized) Riley Financial (RILY) announced a $4 dividend, composed of a $3 special one-time payout and a doubling of its regular quarterly dividend to $1 Healthcare 4D Molecular (FDMT)75M share Secondary priced at $25.00 AirSculpt Technologies (AIRS) 7M share IPO priced at $11.00 Aura Biosciences (AURA) 5M share IPO priced at $14.00 Entrada Therapeutics (TRDA)075M share IPO priced at $20.00 Sonendo (SONX)8M share IPO priced at $12.00 Valneva (VALN)5M share Secondary priced at $39.42 Acadia Healthcare (ACHC) Q3 adj EPS in-line at $0.72; Q3 revs $587.6M vs. est. $590.9M; Q3 same facility revenue increased 7.9% YoY, including an increase in revenue per patient day of 5.6% and an increase in patient days of 2.2%; same facility adjusted EBITDA margin was 29.0%; narrowed 2021 revenue to $2.295B-$2.315B vs. est. $2.31B CareDX (CDNA) Q3 adj EPS 7c vs est. 1c on revenue $75.6M vs est. $74M; raised FY21 revenue forecast to $290M-$293M from $280M-$290M DaVita Inc. (DVA) 3Q EPS $2.36 vs est. $2.25 on revs $2.94B, says US dialysis treatments averaged 94,509/day; guides FY adj EPS $8.80-9.15 vs est. $9.19 Dexcom (DXCM) Q3 EPS $0.71 vs. est. $0.63; Q3 revs $650.2M vs. est. $617.82; Based on the strong third quarter results, Dexcom is increasing its guidance for fiscal year 2021 revenue, Non-GAAP gross profit margin, Non-GAAP operating margin, and Adjusted EBITDA margin Gilead Sciences (GILD) 3Q adj EPS $2.65 vs est. $1.75 on revs $7.4B vs est. $6.3B; guides FY total product sales $26-26.3B vs est. $25.14B (sees $21.5B ex Veklury); guides FY adj EPS $7.90-8.10 vs est. $7.19 Nextgen health (NXGN) 2Q adj EPS $0.29 vs est. $0.23 on revs $149.3Mm vs est. $143.4Mm; guides FY revs $584-590Mm vs est. $582.4Mm, sees FY adj EPS $0.90-0.96 vs est. $0.93; says may repurchase up to $60Mm of its outstanding shares through March 2023 PTC Therapeutics (PTCT) Q3 EPS loss ($1.89) vs. est. loss ($1.40); Q3 revs $139M vs. est. $126.44M; raises FY21 rev view for DMD franchise to $400M-$420M from $370M-$390M and narrows R&D and SG&A expenses to $815M-$835M from $825M-$855M. ResMed (RMD) 1Q EPS $1.39 vs est. $1.36 on revs $904Mm vs est. $860.9Mm Seagen (SGEN) Q3 EPS ($1.61) vs est. $(0.58) on revenue $424.1M vs est. $383.1M, total net product sales $366.5M (+37% YoY) Stryker (SYK) Q3 adj EPS $2.20 vs. est. $2.28; Q3 revs $4.16B vs. est. $4.23B; Q3 organic net sales increased 4.5%; raises FY21 adjusted EPS view to $9.08-$9.15 from $8.80-$9.20 (est. $9.30); said now expect 2021 organic net sales growth to be in the range of 7% to 8% from 2019 Industrials & Materials Eastman Chemical (EMN) 3Q adj EPS $2.46 vs est. $2.46 on revs $2.72B vs est. $2.6B; guides FY EPS $8.80-9.00 vs est. $9.09, sees FY FCF about $1.1B; says implementing price increases across specialty product lines to offset higher costs, expect to be caught up in early 2022 Ecolab (ECL) to acquire Purolite, a leading global provider of fast-growing, high value separation and purification solutions to life sciences and critical industrial markets; Ecolab to pay approximately $3.7 billion in cash Fortive (FTV) Q3 adj EPS $0.66 vs. est. $0.65; Q3 revs $1.3B vs. est. $1.32B; raises FY21 adj EPS view to $2.70-$2.75 from $2.65-$2.75 (est. $2.72); said Delivered significant margin improvement, strong adjusted operating margin expansion and robust cash flow growth Hub Group (HUBG) Q3 EPS $1.28 vs est. $1.10 on in-line revs $1.08B; raises FY21 EPS $3.90-$4 from $3.50-$3.70 vs est. $3.66, still sees rev growth in the high-teens Huntington Ingalls (HII) 2Q adj EPS $1.71 vs est. $1.17 on revs $537Mm vs est. $375.6Mm L3Harris Technologies (LHX) raises FY21 adjusted EPS view to $12.85-$13.00 from $12.80-$13.00 and lowers FY21 revenue view to approximately $17.9B from $18.1B-$18.5B Mercer Int’l (MERC) 3Q EPS $1.04 vs est. $0.83 on revs $469.7Mm vs est. $452.9Mm Polymetal International PLC (POLY) 2Q adj EPS $0.77 vs est. $0.56 on revs $419Mm vs est. $428.4Mm; guides FY adj EPS $2.30-2.70 vs est. $3.10, sees FY revs $1.675-1.725B vs est. $1.8B Republic Service (RSG) 3Q adj EPS $1.11 vs est. $1.05 on revs $2.93B vs est. $2.84B; guides FY adj EPS $4.10-4.13 from prior $4.00-$4.05 and vs est. $4.05 Terex Corp. (TEX) 3Q EPS $0.67 vs est. $0.72 on sales $993.8Mm vs est. $1.0B; guides FY sales $3.85B vs est. $3.86B, sees FY EPS $2.75-2.85 vs est. $2.82 Werner Enterprise (WERN) Q3 EPS $0.94 vs. est. $0.95; Q3 revs $702.9M vs. est. $700.8M S. Steel (X) announces a $300 million stock repurchase program and increases its quarterly dividend to $0.05 per share; Q3 adjusted EPS $5.36 tops consensus $4.85; Q3 revs $5.96B vs. est. $5.79B

+Initiations 9/21: $ATLC $CANO $CMCSA $CTRN $DIS $DNLI $EFTR $ENPH $EVGO $FINV $FTNT $GOSS $HLMN $INBX $ISOS $JEF $LIFE $MDLZ $NEP $PIPR $PLXP $PNTG $PRTG $RXRX $TDAC $TMUS $UNVR . -Initiations 9/21: $COWN

Tuesday, September 21, 2021 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow 306.00 0.90% 34,145 S&P 500 35.25 0.81% 4,383 Nasdaq 109.25 0.73% 15,118 Markets are rallying after yesterday’s massive selloff that saw the Nasdaq and Russell 2000 hit their lowest levels in a month, S&P touch a 2-month low, and the Dow crater to its lowest levels since June. Today is also the first day of the Federal Reserve’s two-day September meeting that will have investors looking for hints on when the central bank will begin tapering its bond purchases. Oil prices are also rebounding after news that the production in the Gulf of Mexico will remain impacted for the rest of the year, and Royal Dutch Shell (RDS.A) said its West Delta 143 platform will not resume operations until the first quarter of 2022. Across the pond in Europe, Universal Music Group has surged more than 35% in its debut on the Euronext Amsterdam stock exchange. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index and Shanghai Index are closed for the second straight day, while the Hang Seng Index is up 106.5 points. In Europe, the German DAX is down 96 points while the FTSE 100 is rebounding 90 points. Market Closing Prices Yesterday · The S&P 500 Index plunged -75.35 points, or 1.78%, to 4,357.64 · The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost -614.08 points, or 1.78%, to 33,970.80 · The Nasdaq Composite tumbled -330.07 points, or 2.19%, to 14,713.90 · The Russell 2000 Index declined -54.67 points, or 2.44% to 2,182.20 Economic Calendar: · 7:45 AM ET ICSC Weekly Retail Sales · 8:30 AM ET Current Account for Q2 · 8:30 AM ET Housing Starts MoM for Aug · 8:30 AM ET Building Permits MoM for Aug · 8:55 AM ET Johnson/Redbook Weekly Sales · 4:30 PM ET API Weekly Inventory Data Earnings Calendar: · Earnings Before the Open: APOG, AZO, CBRL · Earnings After the Close: ADBE, FDX, INNV, ISR, SFIX Other Key Events: · Credit Suisse 2021 Consumer Retail Conference (virtual), 9/21-9/22 · Credit Suisse 7th Annual Oil & Gas Non-Bus Tour (virtual), 9/21-9/23 · European Society for Medical Oncology (ESMO) 2021 Virtual Congress, 9/16-9/21 · Goldman Sachs 30th Annual Communacopia Conference (virtual), 9/21-9/23 · JPMorgan 12th Annual U.S. All Stars Conference (virtual), 9/21-9/23 · Oppenheimer Fall Healthcare Life Sciences & MedTech Summit (virtual), 9/20-9/23 · Roth Capital 8th Annual Solar Symposium (virtual), 9/20-9/23 · Stephen’s 11th Annual Bank Forum, in Little Rock, AR, 9/20-9/22 World News · Justin Trudeau will remain Canada’s Prime Minister after winning a snap election he had called last month, though his Liberal Party was unable to capture a parliamentary majority, winning 156 of the 338 seats. Sector News Breakdown Consumer · KAR Auction Services ($KAR) withdrew its FY21 financial outlook due to the continued disruption caused by the chip shortage and lack of visibility into used vehicle volumes in its marketplaces; the company sees Q3 adj EBITDA $95M-$100M and expects approximately 2/6M vehicles sold in 2021 · AutoZone ($AZO) Q4 EPS $35.72 vs est. $29.81 on revenue $4.9B vs est. $4.57B, same-store sales +4.3% Energy · ConocoPhillips ($COP) is nearing a deal to purchase Shell’s (RDS.A) assets in the Permian Basin for close to $9.5B · Orbital Energy Group ($OEG) won a contract to construct 1,910 miles of rural broadband network in Virginia for undisclosed terms · Occidental Petroleum ($OXY) said it reduced debt by about $1.3B in August and September Industrials and Materials · Alcoa ($AA) announced plans to restart 268,000 metric tons per year of aluminum capacity at the Alumar smelt in Sao Luis, Brazil, which has been fully curtailed since 2015; company sees Q4 restart expenses between 5c-7c per share · FedEx ($FDX) announced an increase to shipping rates starting January 3, 2022. FedEx Express, Ground, and Home Delivery shipping rates will each increase by an average of 5.9% · Herc Holdings ($HRI) announced new strategic initiatives and capital allocation plan, and raised its 2021 adj EBTIDA guidance to $870M-$890M from $840M-$870M, sees FY22 adj EBITDA $1.05B-$1.15B, set 2021-2024 organic CAGR growth goals of 12-15% in rental revenue and 17-20% in adj EBITDA, and announced a dividend of 50c/share · Axalta Coating Systems ($AXTA) cut its Q3 guidance, now seeing sales down ~$40M from levels assumed in its prior guidance and adj EBITDA to $130M-$140M from its prior midpoint of $138M as sales volumes continue to be impacted by supply chain disruptions, which they see continuing into 2022, and impacting global production by 11M units from its prior view of a 7M impact · Lennar ($LEN) Q3 adj EPS $3.27 vs est. $3.26 on revenue $6.94B vs est. $7.25B, net new orders 16,277 vs est. 16,248, gross margin on home sales in-line 27.3%, and backlog 25,819 vs est. 24,946; guides Q4 new orders to 15,200-15,400 and sees Q4 deliveries about 18,000, though expects unprecedented supply chain challenges to continue into the foreseeable future Financials · Piper Sandler ($PIPR), Jefferies (JEF) were rated as new Buys at Goldman · U.S. Bancorp ($USB) agreed to purchase the personal banking arm of Japan’s Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group (MUFG) in a deal worth $8B, including $5.5B in cash and 44M USB shares (2.9% stake). Healthcare · SmilDirectClub ($SDC) announced plans to launch its products in France in the beginning of 4Q21 and will introduce premium clear aligners, a telehealth platform, and whitening system at its first smileshop in Paris · Viridian Therapeutics ($VRDN) announced a proposed underwritten public offering of common and preferred stock to use the proceeds to advance development of ots VRDN-001 and VRDN-002 programs · Conformis ($CFMS) cut its Q3 product revenue, now seeing $13.7M-$14.3M from $15.5M-$16.5M, and says experienced higher levels of deferred and rescheduled knee and hip procedures as a result of Delta variant Covid surge · Johnson & Johnson ($JNJ) said its Covid booster shot is 94% effective when given two months after first dose and increases antibody levels 4-6x higher than only one shot. Technology, Media & Telecom · Sportradar ($SRAD) announced Michael Jordan will assume a role as a special advisor and increase his investment in the company · $UBER said it is tracking towards adj EBITDA breakeven in Q3, seeing it in the range ($25M)-$25M vs its prior forecast of a loss exceeding ($100M), while narrowing its quarterly bookings forecast to $22.8B-$23.2B from $22B-$24B, and further said it expects to deliver sequential EBITDA improvement in Q4 with an outlook between $0-$100M · Disney ($DIS) was named as a new Buy with a $225 price target at Daiwa