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U.S. futures are holding steady, only moderately lower from yesterday’s closing all-time highs for the major averages as investors brace for the FOMC meeting, with results expected tomorrow afternoon. Bitcoin prices surging to highs, up over 4% around $63,400 in another broad spike for crypto assets; Ethereum +3.25% at $4,450. House Speaker Pelosi is planning to go ahead with plans to vote this week on President Biden’s two bills even though Democratic moderates are echoing Senator Manchin’s complaints that they don’t know full cost & economic impact. In corporate news, JNJ, TEVA, ENDP and ABBV win the first case for pharmaceutical companies in the four-year litigation over the drugs in a $50B opioid litigation case. In commodity prices, gold holds below $1,800, oil is little changed around $84 per barrel and Wheat hit $8.00 a bushel Monday, highest levels since 2012 as world reserves declined following extreme weather. The Aussie dollar drops and the curve bull steepens after the RBA scraps its April 2024 yield target and signals openness to earlier rate hikes. Tesla $TSLA falls over 4%, is falling off a record high close of $1,208.59 – follows tweet from CEO Musk overnight saying there has been no contract signed yet with Hertz and that the Hertz deal has zero effect on Tesla’s economic. Wall Street’s main indexes notched record closing highs again on Monday, adding to the big totals in October as Tesla $TSLA shares surged and the energy sector gained on rising oil prices while investors looked ahead to a major Federal Reserve meeting later in the week. The Dow Jones Industrial Average briefly eclipsed 36,000 points for the first time before slipping just below. Along with the barrage of earnings again this week, the Federal Reserve is expected to approve plans to scale back its $120 billion monthly bond-buying program on Wednesday. The small-cap Russell 2000 index was a standout, rising 2.7% for its biggest daily percentage gain since late August. Economic data was mixed as the ISM U.S. manufacturing activity slowed in October, with all industries reporting record-long lead times. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index slipped -0.43% to 29,520, the Shanghai Index dropped -1.1% to 3,505, and the Hang Seng Index fell -0.22% to 25,099. In Europe, the German DAX is up +0.4% at 15,875, while the FTSE 100 declines around -0.6% below 7,250. Events Calendar for Today · 7:45 AM ET ICSC Weekly Retail Sales · 8:55 AM ET Johnson/Redbook Weekly Sales Earnings Calendar: · Earnings Before the Open: AME, APO, ARCB, AVNS, BBGI, BCC, BHC, BLD, BLMN, CEIX, CLW, CMI, COP, CRSR, CTLT, DD, EL, EPD, ESPR, ETN, EXLS, EXPD, EXTR, GNRC, GPN, HEES, HEP, HSC, HSIC, IART, IDXX, INCY, IPGP, IT, KKR, LCII, LDOS, LEA, LGIH, LPX, MIME, MLM, MMP, MPC, MPLX, MYGN, NRZ, NXST, NYMT, OMCL, PFE, PINC, RL, ROK, SABR, SAGE, SEE, TMX, TNC, UAA, VAL, WEC, WLK, XHR, XYL ZBRA · Earnings After the Close: ACT, AFG, AIZ, AKAM AMGN, ANDE, ATVI, AWK, AYX, BFAM, BGFV, BKH, BRY, BXC, CASA, CDK, CERS, CHK, COUR, CRK, CSLT, CZR, DCO, DCPH, DEI, DENN, DOX, DRRX, DVN, EGHT, EIX, ENLC, EXAS, EXEL, FMC, FNF, FRSH, GAIN, GNW, GPOR, HALO, HCC, HLF, HRB, HURN, INFI, INSP, KAI, KAMN, KAR, LPI, LSCC, LSI, LYFT, MANT, MDLZ, MG, MGNX, MOD, MRCY, MTCH, NP, NSA, OKE, OVV, PAA, PAGP, PAYC, PKI, PRO, PRTS, PRU, RAMP, RARE, RCKY, RM, RRR, SGRY, SKY, SRC, STE, TCS, TMUS, TVTY, UIS, UNM, VECO, VOYA, VRSK, WTTR, WU, ZG Other Key Events: · China Caixin Services PMI for October · Wolfe Research Wealth Symposium, 11/2-11/3 $virtual · Senator Manchin says he is prepared to support a Build Back Better plan that combats inflation, is fiscally responsible, and will create jobs. The plan the House is finalizing meets those tests-it is fully paid for, will reduce the deficit, and brings down costs for health care, child care, elder care, and housing
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Monday, October 11, 2021 U.S. stock futures are edging lower ahead of the Columbus Day holiday, with oil prices extending last week gains and moving to fresh 7-year highs ahead of key inflation data later this week and the upcoming earnings season, which starts Friday with the big banks ($JPM, $Citi). Over the weekend, Goldman Sachs cuts its 2021 economic growth forecast by 10 basis points, to 5.6%, while lowering its 2022 estimate by 40 basis point to 4% citing a “longer lasting virus drag on virus-sensitive consumer services” and the impact of an extended shortage in global semiconductors. The bond market is closed today in observance of the Columbus Day holiday after the 10-year yield closed at 1.612% on Friday, the highest level of the week. Oil prices extending gains, as WTI crude rises over $2.20 or 2.8% above $81.50. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index rose 449 points (1.6%%) to 28,498, the Shanghai Index was little changed at 3,591, and the Hang Seng Index jumped nearly 2% or 487 points to settle at 25,325. In Europe, the German DAX is down about -50 points to 15,150, while the FTSE 100 is up about 0.25% at 7,110. Q quiet day expected ahead with no economic data and bond markets closed. Market Closing Prices Yesterday · The S&P 500 Index dropped -8.42 points, or 0.19%, to 4,391.34 · The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell -8.69 points, or 0.03%, to 34,746.25 The Nasdaq Composite slid -74.48 points, or 0.51%, to 14,579.54 · The Russell 2000 Index declined -17.00 points, or 0.76% to 2,233.09 Events Calendar for Today · No Major Economic Data Earnings Calendar: · Earnings Before the Open: AZZ, ENZ, FAST · Earnings After the Close: PNFP, SGH Other Key Events: · American Society of Retina Specialists Annual Scientific Meeting, in San Antonio, TX 10/8-10/12 World News · Goldman Sachs cuts its forecast for U.S economic growth over the weekend, citing a “longer lasting virus drag on virus-sensitive consumer services” and the impact of an extended shortage in global semiconductors. Goldman trimmed its 2021 growth forecast by 10 basis points, to 5.6%, while lowering its 2022 estimate by 40 basis point to 4%, adding that consumer spending is likely to be held back by pandemic uncertainty and a softer-than-expected fiscal response from the Biden administration. · Taiwan will keep bolstering its defenses to ensure nobody can force them to accept the path China has laid down that offers neither freedom nor democracy, President Tsai Ing-wen said on Sunday – Reuters Sector News Breakdown Consumer · Southwest Airlines ($LUV) cancelled 808 flights yesterday and has cancelled another 1,006 today, according to data from Flightaware.com. The company blamed the disruption on air traffic control issues and weather, although other major airlines are not delaying or cancelling flights at an elevated rate. There was speculation that some Southwest employees have called in sick in a form of protest over the mandatory vaccination rules in place, which have been unconfirmed · Hasbro ($HAS) said CEO Brian Goldner will take a medical leave of absence, effective immediately, slightly more than a year after disclosing that he was undergoing continued medical care following treatment for cancer in 2014. Energy, Industrials and Materials · Honeywell ($HON) raised its business outlook for jet deliveries on Sunday as travel restrictions ease as they now see 7,400 new business jet deliveries worth $238 bln over the next 10 years, up 1% from the same 10-year forecast a year ago. Business jet operators surveyed by Honeywell reported a sharp increase in their used jet purchase plans, 12% above last year’s report · Emerson Electric ($EMR) plans to merge two of its software businesses with Aspen Technology (AZPN) in a roughly $11B deal that values Aspen at around $160 a share, as shareholders would receive $87 and 0.42 share of the combined company for each share they currently own – WSJ https://on.wsj.com/3FxyVx7 · Cleveland-Cliffs ($CLF) agrees to acquire Ferrous Processing and Trading, one of the largest processors and distributors of prime ferrous scrap in the U.S., in a deal with an enterprise value of ~$775M. · Tutor Perini’s ($TPC) joint-venture signed a contract valued at ~$178 million by the U.S. Department of the Interior, Bureau of Reclamation, for the Friant-Kern Canal Middle Reach Capacity Correction Phase I project in central California, southeast of Visalia. Financials · Prudential ($PRU) mentioned positively in Barron’s saying for many years, Prudential Financial’s stock had a nice yield, but it didn’t offer much capital appreciation. The pandemic didn’t help, as the shares lost about 12% last year, dividends included, versus an 18% return for the S&P 500 index. But the market has changed its view, partly owing to an uptick in rates. On top of that, Prudential, whose businesses include life insurance, variable annuities, and asset management, is getting some credit for more-consistent earnings in recent years. Healthcare · Supernus Pharmaceuticals, Inc. ($SUPN) to acquire Adamas Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (ADMS) through a tender offer for $8.10 per share in cash (or an aggregate of approximately $400 million), payable at closing plus two non-tradable contingent value rights (CVR) collectively worth up to $1.00 per share in cash (or an aggregate of approximately $50 million), for a total consideration of $9.10 per share in cash (or an aggregate of approximately $450 million). · AstraZeneca ($AZN) Phase 3 trial met its primary end point; trial showed a reduced risk of death & severe C-19 by 67% in a trial where 90% of participants were from high-risk categories; only long acting antibody combination that can both prevent & treat C-19 · Merck ($MRK) submitted an Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) application to the U.S. FDA for molnupiravir, an investigational oral antiviral medicine, for the treatment of mild-to-moderate COVID-19 who are at risk for progressing to severe COVID-19 and/or hospitalization · Regenxbio ($RGNX) announces initial data from the ongoing Phase II ALTITUDE trial of RGX-314 for the treatment of diabetic retinopathy (DR) without center-involved diabetic macular edema (CI-DME) using in-office suprachoroidal delivery. · BeiGene ($BGNE) announced that BRUKINSA has been approved in Australia for the treatment of adult patients with mantle cell lymphoma who have received at least one prior therapy Technology, Media & Telecom · Apple ($AAPL) asked a federal appeals court on Friday to throw out a legal decision that would require the tech giant to tweak its strict App Store rules and force it to allow app developers to inform customers of ways to pay for subscriptions and services outside the App Store – NYT · Gray Television ($GTN) a positive mention in Barron’s saying at about $23.50 a share, it has a price/earnings ratio of five based on 2022 estimates. It looks like an inexpensive way to bet on broadcast as Gray’s strength in local news helps it make a killing in political ads · Toshiba Corp ($6502.T) said it would announce the results of a strategic review of its business along with its quarterly earnings results and a new mid-term business plan on Nov. 12. A spokesperson said the results of Toshiba’s strategic review would be part of the new business plan. The company had previously said the review would be announced this month. · U.S.-listed Chinese tech stocks Alibaba ($BABA), JD.com ($JD) and Baidu ($BIDU) among market leaders early; BABA shares up over 5% after Reuters noted the Daily Journal Corp, chaired by Berkshire Hathaway Vice Chairman Charlie Munger, boosted its holdings in BABA by 83% during Q3, according to public disclosures. Also helping sentiment in China listed stocks, China’s antitrust regulator also fines delivery giant Meituan 3.4 bln yuan ($527.4 mln), a smaller than expected figure, for abusing its dominant market position · Comcast ($CMCSA) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Raymond James
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Wednesday, August 4, 2021 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow -25.00 0.07% 34,973 S&P 500 -1.25 0.04% 4,413 Nasdaq 11.50 0.08% 15,058 U.S. S&P futures are flat heading into the trading day, looking to build on record highs from Tuesday as positive earnings boost U.S and European stocks while worries over China’s gaming and technology crackdown ease, helping lift those markets. Risk sentiment improves across Asia as Chinese and Hong Kong stocks push higher on tech recovery and solid Caixin PMI data. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index fell -57 points to 27,854, the Shanghai Index rose 29 points to 3,477 and the Hang Seng Index jumped 231 points to settle at 26,426. In Europe, the German DAX is climbing around 125 points to 15,680, while the FTSE 100 is up 0.4% to 7,135. Chinese Jul Caixin Services PMI beat: 54.9 vs 50.6 consensus. Some also see the spread of the Covid-19 delta variant as delaying rather than stopping the economic recovery. The New York Times reported overnight that the FDA plans to give full approval to Pfizer (PFE) and BioNTech (BNTX) coronavirus vaccine by the start of the next month. Earnings season has been strong with about 87% of S&P 500 companies reporting earnings and revenue beats, according to FactSet. Just under 70% of the S&P 500 now has reported earnings. The S&P 500 closed at record highs with gains in Apple and healthcare stocks, as concerns over a surge in the Delta variant of the coronavirus was put to the back-burner, overshadowed by continued upbeat corporate earnings. Ten of the 11 S&P indexes traded higher, with energy stocks rebounding after getting hit by a dip in oil prices. Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index gained 35.99 points, or 0.82%, to 4,423.15 The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 278.24 points, or 0.80%, to 35,116.40 The Nasdaq Composite climbed 80.23 points, or 0.55%, to 14,761.29 The Russell 2000 Index advanced 8.09 points, or 0.36% to 2,223.58 Events Calendar for Today 7:00 AM ET MBA Mortgage Applications Data 8:15 AM ET ADP Employment Change for July…est. 695K 9:45 AM ET Markit Composite PMI, July-F 9:45 AM ET Markit Services PMI, July-F 10:00 AM ET ISM Non-Manufacturing Services PMI for July…est. 60.5 10:30 AM ET Weekly DOE Inventory Data Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: ABC, AEIS, ALE, APO, ASTE, BCOR, BDC, BGCP, BWA, CDW, CLVS, CLH, CLW, CMLS, CRL, CSII, DNOW, DOC, EDIT, EMR, ETR, EXC, FLOW, FUN, GEL, GM, HDSN, HFC, HZNP, IONS, JLL, KHC, LL, MAC, MKL, MPC, MPLX, MTOR, NI, NYT, ODP, RCL, SBGI, SGRY, SITE, SMG, SPR, SUP, TGI, TUP, TXMD, UTHR, VCEL, VMC, WLL Earnings After the Close: ACAD, ACLS, ADPT, ADTN, AGL, ALB, ALL, AMED, ANGI, ANSS, APA, ATO, AXGN, BBSI, BE, BFAM, BKNG, BOOT, CCMP, CDAY, CENX, CHNG, CMP, CPS, DGII, DOX, DVAX, DXC, EA, EGHT, ELF, EMKR, EOG, ETSY, EVH, FLT, FOXA, FSLY, FTDR, GDDY, GNK, HI, HUBS, IAC, INGN, IVR, JACK, LESL, LNC, LPI, LUMN, MAXR, MBI, MCK, MED, MET, MGM, MOD, MRO, MTG, NUS,NVRO, ONEM, PARR, PDCE, $PING, PLYA, QRVO, QTWO, RCII, REGI, RGR, RMAX, RNWK, EOKU, RPD, $RVLV, RYN, SBRA, SMSI, SUM, T$NDM, TPC, TTGT, TVTY, TWNK, TWO, TXG, $UBER, UHAL, VVV, VZIO, WDC, WU, YELL Other Key Events: Jefferies Industrials Conference (virtual), 8/3-8/4 Piper Wealth Management Forum (virtual), 8/3-8/6 Macro Up/Down Last Nymex -0.34 70.22 Brent -0.18 72.23 Gold 3.30 1,813.75 EUR/USD -0.0008 1.1856 JPY/USD 0.13 109.17 10-Year Note +0.008 1.182% Sector News Breakdown Consumer Caesar’s Entertainment ($CZR) Q2 EPS $0.34 vs. est. loss (-$0.26); Q2 revs $2.5B vs. est. $2.27B; Q2 same-store Adjusted EBITDA was $1B versus (-$131M) for the comparable prior-year period; Company posted all-time records in quarterly Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA margin. Denny’s ($DENN) Q2 adj EPS $0.18 vs. est. $0.11; Q2 revs $106.2M vs. est. $98.1M; Q2 domestic system-wide same-store sales decreased 1.2% compared to the equivalent fiscal period in 2019, including a 1.5% decrease at domestic franchised restaurants and a 1.9% increase at company restaurants. Herbalife ($HLF) Q2 adj EPS $1.52 vs. est. $1.29; Q2 revs $1.55B vs. est. $1.57B; Q2 adjusted EBITDA of $262.1M; raises FY21 EPS view to $4.70-$5.10 from $4.65-$5.05 (est. $4.93); sees FY net sales growth to be in a range of 8.5% to 12.5%, lowering the midpoint by 150 basis points compared to prior full year 2021 guidance. Host Hotels ($HST) Q2 adj FFO $0.12 vs. est. $0.04; Q2 revs $649M vs. est. $606.58M; said RevPAR reached nearly $100 for the quarter, which dramatically outperformed consensus RevPAR, with average room rates only 8.4% below our 2019 second quarter rates; not providing year guidance Hyatt ($H) 2Q adj EPS ($1.15) vs est. ($0.85) on comparable system-wide REVPAR $72.47, qtrly total revs $663Mm vs est. $686.9Mm; guides FY net rooms growth more than +6%, sees FY adj SG&A about $240Mm, sees FY CAPEX about $110Mm Energy Devon Energy ($DVN) Q2 adj EPS $0.60 vs est. $0.52 on revs $2.42B vs est. $2.35B, operating cash flow $1.1B, production for the quarter averaged 291k barrels/day; will pay total dividend of 49c/shr (11c fixed + 38c variable), a 44% increase from Q1; sees 3q production 566-594 mboe/d vs est. 564.80 mboe/d Occidental Petroleum ($OXY) Q2 adj EPS 32c vs est. 1c on revs $5.96B vs est. $5.92B, FCF $2B, cash flow from continuing operations $3.3B; said oil and gas results improved from Q1 due to higher commodity prices and sales volumes; executed debt tender offer and repaid over $3B of long-term debt in July ONEOK ($OKE) Q2 EPS $0.77 vs. est. $0.75; Q2 revs $3.39B vs. est. $3.03B; sees 2021 net income, adj earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, amortization to be above midpoints of ranges provided on April 27, 2021 SunPower ($SPWR) Q2 adj EPS $0.06 vs. est. $0.04; Q2 revs $308.9M vs. est. $327.31M; guides Q3 revs $325M-$375M vs. est. $400.83M; sees Q3 GAAP net loss of $10 to $0 million and MW recognized of 125 MW to 150 MW; Q2 added 13,000 residential customers – residential bookings up 16 percent sequentially, 67 percent year-over-year (YoY) The American Petroleum Institute ($API) showed a draw of 879K barrels of oil for the latest week; gasoline inventories show a draw of 5.75M barrels, distillate inventories show a draw of 717K barrels and Cushing inventories show a build of 659K barrels W&T Offshore ($WTI) Q2 EPS $0.02 vs. est. $0.07; Q2 revs $132.8M vs. est. $122.38M; Q2 Production was 40,888 Boe/d or 3.7 MMBoe, an increase of 3% compared to 39,657 Boe/d in Q1 and down 3% versus 42,037 Boe/d in Q2 of 2020 Financials Assurant Inc. ($AIZ) Q2 operating EPS $2.99 vs. est. $2.45; Q2 revs $2.54B vs. est. $2.39B; continue to expect to grow eps, ex. catastrophes, by 10 to 14 percent for 2021 Fair Isaac ($FICO) Q3 non-GAAP EPS $3.38 vs. est. $2.76; Q3 revs $338M vs. est. $328.3M; Applications revenues, which include the company’s decision management applications and associated professional services, were $133.2 million in the third quarter, compared to $141.5 million in the prior year period, a decrease of 6% Genworth Financial ($GNW) Q2 adj EPS $0.38 vs. est. $0.22; Q2 revs $2.04B vs. est. $1.9B; planned IPO of Enact remains a key strategic objective for Genworth and is subject to market and other conditions, however because the company is in registration and subject to applicable publicity restrictions, is unable to comment further or provide any additional detail at this time. Green Dot ($GDOT) Q2 adj EPS $0.68 vs est. $0.43 on revs $369.4M vs est. $313.2M; sees FY21 adj EPS $2.13-$2.27 vs prev. $2.06-$2.15, revs $1.33B-$1.35B vs est. $1.28B Prudential ($PRU) Q2 adj EPS $3.79 vs. est. $3.02; qtrly book value per common share of $160.31 versus $165.53 per share for year-ago; qtrly adjusted book value per common share of $104.39 versus $92.07 per share for year-ago; qtr end assets under management of $1.730 trillion versus $1.605 trillion for year-ago; now expect to return a total of $11.0B to holders from $10.5B prior Tanger Outlets ($SKT) 2Q core FFO/shr $0.43 vs est. $0.28, portfolio occupancy was 93% on June 30 vs 91.7% on March 31, avg tenant sales productivity was $424/sq ft for 12 months ended June 30 +7.3% yr/yr; guides FY FFO/shr $1.52-1.59 vs est. $1.46 Unum Group (UNM) Q2 adj EPS $1.39 vs. est. $1.11; Q2 revs $2.99B vs. est. $2.96B; Full-year 2021 outlook increased; after-tax adjusted operating income per share now expected to decline 1%-3% relative to full-year 2020, compared to an expected decline of 5%-6% prior Verisk Analytics ($VRSK) Q2 adj EPS $1.17 vs. est. $1.33; Q2 revs $747.5M vs. est. $737.3M; Net cash provided by operating activities was $233.2 million, down 6.5% for the second quarter of 2021. Free cash flow, a non-GAAP measure, was $170.7 million, down 11.5% Healthcare Change Healthcare ($CHNG) shares fell over 7% on a report that the U.S. Dept. of Justice is considering a lawsuit to block the company’s $8B sale to UnitedHealth ($UNH) https://bit.ly/3yA4Etu Option Care Health ($OPCH) 18M share Spot Secondary priced at $20.25 Amgen Inc. ($AMGN) Q2 adj EPS $4.38 vs. est. $4.06; Q2 revs $6.5B vs. est. $6.43B; backs FY21 adj EPS view $16.00-$17.00 vs. est. $16.34; backs FY21 revenue view $25.8B-$26.6B vs. est. $26.04B Amid surge in new COVID-19 infections across U.S., the FDA plans to give full approval to Pfizer (PFE) – BioNTech (BNTX) coronavirus vaccine by the start of the next month, The New York Times reports The FDA classified the recent recall of some of Philips’ (PHG) ventilators as Class 1, or the most serious type of recall, saying the use of these devices may cause serious injuries or death – Reuters CVS Health ($CVS) Q2 adj EPS $2.42 vs. est. $2.06; Q2 revs $72.62B vs. est. $70.11B; raises FY21 adjusted EPS view to $7.70-$7.80 from $7.56-$7.68 (est. $7.66); sees FY21 cash flow from operations $12.5B-$13B DaVita Inc. (DVA) 2Q EPS $2.64 vs est. $2.17; says total US dialysis treatments for 2Q were 7,413497 (avg 95,045/day); guides FY adj EPS $8.80-9.40 vs est. $8.63, sees FY adj op income $1.8-1.875B vs est. $1.816B Inspire Medical ($INSP) 2Q EPS ($0.48) vs est. ($0.64) on revs $53Mm vs est. $43.9Mm; guides FY revs $210-213Mm vs est. $195.9Mm, sees FY gr mgn 85-86%, sees opening 48-52 new US medical centers per qtr for 2H Jazz Pharma ($JAZZ) Q2 adj EPS $3.90 vs. est. $3.42; Q2 revs $751.8M vs. est. $735.62M; reaffirms FY21 non-GAAP EPS view $13.40-$14.70 (est. $14.45) and also back FY21 revenue view $3.020B-$3.180B vs. est. $3.11B; as of June 30, cash, cash equivalents were $891.4 mln, and outstanding principal balance of co’s long-term debt was $7.1 bln
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Prudential Financial, Inc., a financial wellness leader and premier active global investment manager with more than $1.5 trillion in assets under management as of June 30, 2020, has operations in the United States, Asia, Europe, and Latin America. Prudential's diverse and talented employees help to make lives better by creating financial opportunity for more people. Prudential's iconic Rock symbol has stood for strength, stability, expertise and innovation for more than a century.
CEO: Charles Lowrey
HQ: 751 Broad St Newark, 07102-3714 New Jersey