Raymond James Financial, Inc.
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Thursday, October 28, 2021 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow 54.00 0.15% 35,443 S&P 500 11.25 0.26% 4,556 Nasdaq 74.50 0.47% 15.662 U.S. futures are looking at a rebound after a late day swoon erased record gains for stocks, as markets again await another earnings barrage, with yesterday and today the two busiest days of the quarter. Drama out of Washington D.C. also adding to the volatility as investors remain hopeful on a spending bill. As for Wednesday, a midday all-time high for the Nasdaq 100 was marred by a late day sell-off in U.S. stocks, as the S&P 500 and Dow each retreated from records set just the previous day, led by weakness in energy stocks as oil prices tumbled from 7-year highs and long-dated Treasury yields also slumped, with the 30-year falling as much as 10bps below 2%. Corporate earnings have generally been better-than-expected, but constant reminders about rising costs, supply-chain issues, and labor shortages on conference calls brings into question the strength of markets going forward. Couple that with expectations for the Fed to begin its asset tapering plans in November and chances of interest rate hikes in mid-2022 to help prevent inflation getting further out of hand remains a market concern. Shares of Dow components McDonald’s, Coca-Cola and Microsoft rallied behind strong earnings. In fact, the Nasdaq outperformed behind large cap winners (TSLA, GOOGL MSFT, AMZN), though breadth was decisively negative and SmallCaps plunged with the Russell 200 falling nearly 2%. President Biden’s infrastructure and social-spending plans still remain “up-in-the-air” which also adds uncertainty. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index fell about 1% to 28,820, the Shanghai Index slipped -1.23% to 3.518 and the Hang Seng Index dipped about -0.25% to 25,555. In Europe, the German DAX is down -0.15% at 15,680, while the FTSE 100 is also down roughly -0.2% at 7,240. Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index dropped -23.11 points, or 0.51%, to 4,551.68 The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell -266.19 points, or 0.74%, to 35,490.69 The Nasdaq Composite little changed, or 0.00%, to 15,235.84 The Russell 2000 Index declined -43.58 points, or 1.90% to 2,252.49 Events Calendar for Today 8:30 AM ET Weekly Jobless Claims…est. 290K 8:30 AM EST Continuing Claims…est. 2.415M 8:30 AM ET Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for Q3-A…est. 2.7% (down from prior) 8:30 AM ET GDP Consumer Spending for Q3-A…prior month 12.0% 8:30 AM ET GDP Price Deflator for Q3…est. 5.5% 8:30 AM ET Core-PCE Prices Advance for Q3…est. 4.5% 10:00 AM ET Pending Home Sales MoM for September…est. 0% 10:30 AM ET Weekly EIA Natural Gas Inventory Data 11:00 AM ET Kansas City Fed Manufacturing for October 1:00 PM ET U.S. to sell $62 bln 7-year notes Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: AB, ABMD, ADS, AEP, AGCO, ALNY, AMT, AOS, ATI, BAX, BC, BSIG, BTU, CARR, CAR, CBRE, CBZ, CFR, CG, CMCO, CMCSA, CMS, CNX, COLB, CONE, COOP, COR, CWT, DBD, EME, EXP, FCN, GPI, GVA, HBAN, HSY, IBP, ICE, ITW, KBR, KDP, KEX, LECO, LH, LKQ, MA, MCO, MDD, MO, MRK, NEM, NLSN, NOC, OSK, OSIS, OSTK, PBF, RGEN, RLGY, RS, SAH, SAIA, SNDR, SWI, SWK, TAP, TFX, TPX, TREE, TW, TXT, VC, VLY, WEX, WST, XEL, YUM Earnings After the Close: AAPL, ABCB, ACHC, AGL, AMZN, ASPN, ATEN, ATR, AVT, AX, BIO, BY, CDNA, CHE, COHU, COLM, CPT, CUZ, CWST, DECK, DVA, DXCM, EB, EMN, FISI, FTDR, FTV, GILD, HIG, HUBG, LOPE, LPLA, LTC, NGRC, MHK, MMSI, MPWR, MSTR, NATI, NXGN, PEB, POWI, PSB, PTCT, QUMU, RMD, RSG, SBCF, SBUX, SGEN, SKX, SKYW, SM, SPNE, SSNC, SYK, TEX, TXRH, VCRA, VRSN, WDC, WRAP, WRE, X, ZEN Macro Up/Down Last Nymex -1.61 81.05 Brent -1.37 83.21 Gold -2.10 1,801.20 EUR/USD -0.0006 1.1598 JPY/USD -0.23 113.57 10-Year Note +0.012 1.541% Sector News Breakdown Consumer eBay Inc. (EBAY) 3Q adj EPS $0.90 vs est. $0.89 on revs $2.5B vs est. $2.46B; guides 4Q adj EPS $0.72-0.76 vs est. $1.00, sees 4Q revs $2.57-2.62B vs est. $2.65B; raising estimated FY share buyback from $5.0B to $7.0B Ford Motor (F) announces resumption of stock dividend in 4q; 3Q adj EPS $0.51 vs est. $0.27 on revs $35.7B vs est. $32.5B; expects cash flow over current planning period to be more than sufficient to fund growth, announces resumption of regular stock dividend in 4Q; no changes to FY adj FCF guide of $4.0-5.0B Boot Barn (BOOT) Q2 EPS $1.25 vs est. $0.93 on revenue $312.7M (+67.1% vs 2Q19) vs est. $291M, same-store sales +61.7% YoY, +53.6% vs 2019; sees new unit growth 10% in FY22; named Jim Watkins as CFO with current CFO Greg Hackman continuing as VP and COO Churchill Downs (CHDN) 3Q EPS $1.57 vs est. $1.47 on revs $393Mm vs est. $406.8Mm Fresh Del Monte Produce Inc. (FDP) said it is raising prices on bananas, pineapples and fresh-cut fruit in response to unprecedented market conditions and inflationary pressures being felt across all industries iRobot (IRBT) Q3 EPS $1.67 vs. est. $0.70; Q3 revs $440.7M vs. est. $417.04M; cuts FY21 non-GAAP EPS view to $1.15-$1.74 from $2.25-$3.15 (est. $2.70) and lowers FY21 revenue view to $1.56B-$1.59B from $1.55B-$1.62B (est. $1.58B) Noodles (NDLS) Q3 adj EPS 12c vs est. 9c on in-line revenue $125.1M with digital sales 52% of total revs; system-wide comp sales +16.3% vs est. +14.3%, avg unit volume $1.38M, +16% YoY; now sees 7-9 new restaurants in 2021, down from prior outlook for 10-15; anticipates system-wide unit growth of at least 8% next year O’Reilly Auto (ORLY) Q3 EPS $8.07 vs. est. $7.18; Q3 sales $3.48B vs. est. $3.3B; gross profit margin 52.3% vs. 52.4% y/y; raises year rev outlook to $12.9B-$13.2B from prior $12.3B-$12.6B (est. $12.73B) Sleep Number (SNBR) 3Q EPS $2.22 vs est. $1.44 on revs $640Mm vs est. $587.1Mm; sees FY EPS $7.25 vs est. $7.15; Spirit Airlines (SAVE) Q3 adj EPS ($0.69) was a narrower loss than est. ($1.02) on in-line revs $922.6M; load factor 77.6%, capacity +3.5% vs 3Q19; is slowing the pace to push back to full fleet utilization, expects to produce 53B-55B available seat miles in 2022 VICI Properties (VICI) 3Q adj FFO/shr $0.45 on revs $375.7Mm; guides FY adj FFO/shr $1.7901.80 vs est. $1.84 Wyndham Hotels (WH) 3Q EPS $1.09 vs est. $0.91 on net revs $463Mm vs est. $463Mm; guides FY RevPAR growth about 43%, sees fee-related and other revs $1.21-1.23B; guides FY adj EPS $2.93-3.03 vs est. $2.69 Yum China (YUMC) Q3 adj EPS $0.22 vs. est. $0.31; Q3 revs $2.55B vs. est. $2.51B; qtrly total system sales increased 1% year over year, with increases of 1% at both KFC and Pizza Hut, excluding f/x; increasing gross new stores target to over 1,700 in 2021; expect that covid-19, especially the delta variant outbreaks, will continue to affect consumer behavior and impact our same-store sales recovery. Solo Brands, Inc. (DTC) prices 12.9M share IPO at $17.00 per share Scientific Games Corp (SGMS) announces sale of lottery business to Brookfield business partners for $6.05 billion; deal consisting of $5.825 bln in cash & an earn-out of up to $225 mln based on achievement of certain ebitda targets in 2022 & 2023 Energy, Industrials & Materials Allison Transmission (ALSN) 3Q EPS $0.89 vs est. $0.90 on revs $567Mm vs est. $584Mm; guides FY sales $2.325-2.4B vs est. $2.36B Flowserve Corp. (FLS) 3Q adj EPS $0.29 vs est. $0.40 on revs $866.1Mm vs est. $899Mm; guides FY revs down 2-4% vs est. -2.3%, sees FY EPS $1.45-1.65 (was $1.40-1.45) vs est. $1.58, sees CAPEX $70-80Mm vs prior $65Mm Kraton (KRA) Q3 adj EPS $0.98 vs. est. $0.79; Q3 revs $526.9M vs. est. $459.1M; Polymer segment operating income of $43.8 million, compared to an operating loss of $5.1 million YoY; Chemical segment operating income of $35.7M, compared to an operating loss of $401.7M YoY Sunnova Energy (NOVA) Q3 EPS ($0.25) vs est. ($0.13) on revenue $68.9M vs est. $67.4M; reaffirmed FY21 view for adj EBITDA $80M-$85M, customer additions 55k-58k; set FY22 guidance for adj EBITDA $117M-$137M, customer additions 83k-87k Tronox Holdings (TROX) Q3 adj EPS $0.72 vs. est. $0.64; Q3 revs rose 29% to $870M vs. est. $905.3M United Rentals (URI) 3Q adj EPS $6.58 vs est. $6.80 on revs $2.6B vs est. $2.58B; guides FY revs $9.6-9.75B vs est. $9.6B, sees FY adj EBITDA $4.325-4.4B vs est. 4.3B Financials Aflac (AFL) Q3 adj EPS $1.53 vs. est. $1.32; Q3 revs $5.2B vs. est. $5.34B; in yen terms, Aflac Japan’s net premium income was ¥323.1 bln for quarter, or 4.0% lower than a year ago AvalonBay (AVB) Q3 core FFO $2.06 vs est. 1.97, EPS $0.56 vs est. $0.77, same-store sales +1.2%; sees Q4 core FFO $2.19-$2.29 vs est. $2.11, raised FY core FFO view to $8.18-$8.28 from $7.92-$8.12 CyrusOne Inc. (CONE) 3Q adj FFO/shr $1.02 vs est. $0.99 on revs $304.1Mm vs est. $290.4Mm; guides FY revs $1.18-1.2B vs est. $1.17B Invitation Homes (INVH) Q3 core FFO 38c/shr vs est. 36c, EPS 12c vs est. 10c, revenue $510M vs est. $497.8M; same-store NOI +11.9% YoY on same-store revs +7.9%; raised FY21 core EPS view to $1.49 at midpoint from $1.44, adj FFO ro $1.28 at midpoint from $1.24 Lending Club (LC) Q3 EPS $0.26 vs est. $0.03 on revenue $246.2M vs est. $221.2M; sees Q4 revs $240M-$250M vs est. $235.7M, loan originations $2.8-$3B; raised FY view for revenue to $796M-$806M from $750M-$780M Raymond James (RJF) Q4 EPS $2.06 vs. est. $1.71; Q4 revs $2.7B vs. est. $2.54B; quarter-end records for client assets under administration of $1.18 trillion, financial assets under management of $191.9B, and net loans at Raymond James Bank of $25B The SEC asked at least one asset manager not to proceed with plans for a leveraged bitcoin exchange-traded fund, according to a person familiar with the matter. The SEC indicated it wants to limit new bitcoin-related products to those that provide unleveraged exposure to bitcoin futures contracts, such as the ProShares Bitcoin Strategy exchange-traded fund, which was launched last week, the person said. https://on.wsj.com/3GvG2qg Healthcare Align Technology (ALGN) 3Q adj EPS $2.87 vs est. $2.60 on revs $1.02B vs est. $978Mm; guides FY revs $3.9-3.95B vs est. $3.94B; says clinical study validates benefits of the Itero Element 5D imaging system Alnylam (ALNY) reports positive topline 18-month results from Helios-a phase 3 study of Vutrisiran in patients with HATTR amyloidosis with polyneuropathy BioMarin (BMRN) Q3 GAAP EPS loss (-$0.20) vs. est. loss (-$0.25); Q3 revs $408.7M vs. est. $435.32M; Lower Kuvan product revenues primarily due to generic competition due to the loss of exclusivity in the U.S.; Lower Aldurazyme product revenues due to timing of product fulfillment to Genzyme Edwards LifeSciences (EW) Q3 EPS $0.54 vs. est. $0.53; Q3 revs $1.3B vs. est. $1.32B; sees FY21 adjusted EPS at high end of $2.07-$2.27 (est. $2.26) and reaffirms FY21 revenue view $5.2B-$5.4B (est. $5.32B); TAVR sales grew 15%; underlying 14%; U.S. TAVR sales grew 12%; OUS approximately 20% Encompass Health (EHC) Q3 adj EPS $1.03 vs. est. $1.06; Q3 revs $1.28B vs. est. $1.31B; cuts FY21 adj EPS view to $4.23-$4.38 from $4.32-$4.47 and lowers FY21 revenue view to $5.08B-$5.13B from $5.1B-$5.25B (est. $5.18B) Molina Healthcare (MOH) Q3 adj EPS $2.83 vs. est. $2.79; Q3 revs $7.04B vs. est. $6.79B; backs FY21 EPS view of no less than $13.25 vs. est. $13.38 and backs FY21 revenue view of no less than $27.5B vs. est. $26.97B; consolidated MCR for Q3 was 88.9%, compared to 85.9% in the third quarter of 2020 Teladoc (TDOC) Q3 EPS loss (-$0.53) vs. est. loss (-$0.65); Q3 revs $521.66M vs. est. $516.6M; Q3 visits topped 3.9M, 37% higher than Q3 2020; sees Q4 EPS loss (73c)-(53c) vs. est. loss (69c); sees Q4 revs $536M-$546M vs. est. $539.74M; sees Q4 total visits 3.9M-4.1M
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that RJF I posted could get real interesting
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Thursday, September 23, 2021 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow 162.00 0.47% 34,291 S&P 500 23.25 0.53% 4,407 Nasdaq 83.50 0.55% 15,247 U.S. stocks are looking at another move higher following strong gains on Wednesday despite the FOMC taking a more “hawkish” stance on both rates and the timeline on asset purchase tapering during yesterday’s meeting. Stocks jumped on Wednesday after the Federal Reserve cleared the way to ease monthly bond purchases “soon” and signaled interest rate increases may follow more quickly than expected. Stocks pared gains late as Fed Chair Jerome Powell spoke at his press conference but still closed up solidly. Fed officials indicated that they see interest rates seen rising to 1% in 2023, faster than projected by the Fed in its projections in June, and then to 1.8% in 2024. Nine of eleven major S&P 500 sectors ended the day higher. However, of note, all 11 groups retreated from the moments before Powell’s press conference began, into the close. The Dow Transport index slid to 6-month lows following weakness from Fed-Ex (FDX) earnings results and guidance the night prior. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index was closed, the Shanghai Index rose 13 points to 3,642 and the Hang Seng Index gained 289 points to 24,510. In Europe, the German DAX is up over 130 points (0.89%) to 15,645, while the FTSE 100 rises about 20-points to move above 7,100. Oil prices are slipping but still holds near two-month high with global stockpiles tightening. In China news, the WSJ reported China is preparing for the “demise” of Evergrande, signaling Beijing’s reluctance to get involved and bail out the company. Events Calendar for Today 8:30 AM ET Weekly Jobless Claims…est. 320K 8:30 AM EST Continuing Claims…est. 2.65M 9:45 AM ET Markit Manufacturing PMI, Sept-F…est. 61.5 9:45 AM ET Markit Services PMI, Sept-F…est. 55.0 9:45 AM ET Markit Composite PMI-Sept-F 10:00 AM ET Leading Index MoM for Aug…est. +0.7% 10:30 AM ET Weekly EIA Natural Gas Inventory Data 11:00 AM ET Kansas City Fed Manufacturing for Sept…prior 22 Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: DRI, DYNT, IWSY, RAD Earnings After the Close: AEHR, AGTC, AIR, CAMP, $COST, MTN, $NKE, PRGS, $RSSS Other Key Events: Credit Suisse 7th Annual Oil & Gas Non-Bus Tour (virtual), 9/21-9/23 DA Davidson Diversified Industrials & Services Conference (virtual), 9/22-9/23 Goldman Sachs 30th Annual Communacopia Conference (virtual), 9/21-9/23 JPMorgan 12th Annual U.S. All Stars Conference (virtual), 9/21-9/23 Oppenheimer Fall Healthcare Life Sciences & MedTech Summit (virtual), 9/20-9/23 Roth Capital 8th Annual Solar Symposium (virtual), 9/20-9/23 Sidoti Fall Small Cap Conference (virtual), 9/22-9/23 Wells Fargo 4th Annual Consumer Conference (virtual), 9/22-9/23 Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index gained 41.45 points, or 0.95%, to 4,395.64 The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 338.48 points, or 1.00%, to 34,258.32 The Nasdaq Composite jumped 150.45 points, or 1.02%, to 14896.85 The Russell 2000 Index advanced 32.38 points, or 1.48% to 2,218.56 Macro Up/Down Last Nymex -0.32 71.91 Brent -0.27 75.92 Gold 3.80 1,772.00 EUR/USD 0.0028 1.1715 JPY/USD 0.11 109.89 10-Year Note +0.003 1.335% World News China is preparing for the “demise” of Evergrande, signaling Beijing’s reluctance to get involved and bail out the company (the gov’t will only step in should the company’s failure turn disorderly) – WSJ https://on.wsj.com/3i2x8WH Sector News Breakdown Consumer Steelcase ($SCS) 2Q EPS $0.21 vs est. $0.23 on revs $724.8Mm vs est. $761.3Mm; guides 3Q revs $755-785Mm vs est. $713Mm, sees 3Q EPS $0.07-0.11 vs est. $0.09 Funko ($FNKO) entered into a new credit agreement for a term loan facility of $180M and a revolving credit facility of $100M that mature September 17, 2026 Brilliant Earth ($BRLT)33M share IPO priced at $12.00 Hyatt ($H) 7M share Secondary priced at $74.50 Sovos Brands ($SOVO)3M share IPO priced at $12.00 Energy, Industrials & Materials HB Fuller (FUL) 3Q adj EPS $0.79 vs est. $0.79 on revs $827Mm vs est. $797.6Mm; guides FY revs +17-18% vs est. +14.4%, sees FY adj EBITDA abut $460-470Mm vs est. $463Mm KB Homes (KBH) 3Q EPS $1.60 vs est. $1.62 on revs $1.47B vs est. $1.57B; qtrly homes delivered +35% to $3,425, ending backlog value +89% to $4.84B; inventory +19% to $4.66B as of Aug. 31; repurchased 4.7Mm shares for $188.2Mm Northrop Grumman ($NOC) upgraded to Neutral from Sell at Goldman Sachs with a $350 price target and General Dynamics (GD) also upgraded to Neutral from Sell at Goldman Sachs with a $176 price target in the defense sector; L3Harris Technologies (LHX) downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Goldman Sachs with a $207 price target, Lockheed Martin (LMT) downgraded to Neutral from Buy with $402 tgt and Woodward ($WWD) downgraded to Sell from Neutral with $102 tgt Loop Capital started Regal Beloit Corp (RBC) with a Buy rating and $180 price target and Timken (TKR) with a Hold rating and $72 price target Grinrod Shipping ($GRIN)842M share Spot Secondary priced at $13.50 Syncrude Canada, majority-owned by Suncor Energy ($SU), cut September supplies due to a mechanical disruption at its Alberta oil sands site, Bloomberg reported Financials Chinese Estates (Holdings) Ltd. is planning to sell all of its shares in China Evergrande Group, as the property investment company is worried about the recent stock-price volatility and financial condition of debt-laden Evergrande. Chinese Estates, which currently holds 751.09 million shares or a 5.66% stake in Evergrande, expects to record a realized loss on the stake of about 1.38 billion Hong Kong dollars ($177.2 million) for the year ending December Remitly Global (RELY)16M share IPO priced at $43.00 The9 ($NCTY), Polygon, an Ethereum scaling platform, and Protocol Labs, a major contributor of open-source projects are forming an ecosystem collaboration on NCTY’s Non-Fungible Token (NFT) platform NFTSTAR and GameFi Play-to-Earn projects Safehold (S$AFE)2M share Secondary priced at $76.00 Willis Towers Watson ($WLTW) raises share buyback program by $4B Raymond James Financials ($RJF) posts Private Client Group assets in fee-based accounts of $643.5B grew 33% Y/Y, thanks to the net addition of financial advisers; record client assets under administration of $1.21T rose from $945.2B in the year ago period and $1.18T in the prior month. Healthcare The FDA has granted Emergency Use Authorization for a booster dose of Pfizer ($PFE)/BioNTech’s ($BNTX) COVID-19 vaccine for those 65 and older, those who work in healthcare settings, and adults at high risk of severe COVID-19. The authorization includes people whose “frequent institutional or occupational exposure to SARS-CoV-2 puts them at high risk of serious complications of COVID-19.” Sterling Check (STER)285M share IPO priced at $23.00 Eargo, Inc. (EAR) shares fell -50% on reports it is the target of a criminal investigation by U.S. DOJ related to insurance reimbursement claims submitted on behalf of customers covered by federal employee health plans; the co is withdrawing its financial guidance for fiscal year ending December 31, 2021 Spectrum Pharma (SPPI) Journal of Clinical Oncology Abstract listing for co.’s ‘poziotinib for patients with HER2 exon 20 mutant non–small-cell lung cancer Cigna Corp (CI) named Eric Palmer as president and chief executive officer of Evernorth, its health services unit that mainly houses its pharmacy benefit management business; also announced several other leadership changes Medirom Healthcare (MRM) rises 39%; after saying that it will buy Japanese private hair salon operator Zacc Kabushiki Kaisha in an all-cash deal of 370.0 mln yen ($3.36M) Thorne HealthTech (THRN) 7M share IPO priced at $10.00 Stifel initiated Buy ratings on Mirati Therapeutics (MRTX) with a $202 price target, Kinnate Biopharma (KNTE) with a $32 price target, and Repare Therapeutics (RPTX) with a $48 price target; Hold ratings on Ideaya Biosciences (IDYA) and Revolution Medicines (RVMD) Needham started SAGE Therapeutics (SAGE) at a Buy and added it to its Conviction List; also initiated Buy ratings on Intra-Cellular Therapeutics (ITCI), Avadel Pharmaceuticals (AVDL), Jazz Pharmaceuticals ($JAZZ), Biogen ($BIIB), Harmony Biosciences ($HRMY), and Hold ratings on Neurocrine Biosciences ($NBIX) and ACADIA Pharmaceuticals (ACAD) Technology, Media & Telecom Blackberry ($BB) shares rose 8% after earnings; Q2 EPS ($0.06) vs est. ($0.07) on revenue $175M vs est. $163.5M Facebook ($FB) chief technology officer Mike Schroepfer said in a Facebook post: “After 13 amazing years at Facebook, I have made the decision to step down as Chief Technology Officer and transition to a new part time role as Facebook’s first Senior Fellow at the company sometime in 2022 EngageSmart ($ESMT)55M share IPO priced at $26.00 Roku ($ROKU) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Guggenheim
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Raymond James Financial, Inc. is a leading diversified financial services company providing private client group, capital markets, asset management, banking and other services to individuals, corporations and municipalities. The company has approximately 8,200 financial advisors. Total client assets are $923 billion. Public since 1983, the firm is headquartered in St. Petersburg, Florida.
CEO: Paul Reilly
HQ: 880 Carillon Pkwy St Petersburg, 33716-1102 Florida