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Friday, July 23, 2021 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow 169.00 0.49% 34,878 S&P 500 21.25 0.49% 4,381 Nasdaq 71.50 0.48% 15,000 Stocks looking to build on weekly gains, boosted overnight from strong results in the social media sector as both Twitter ($TWTR) and Snap ($SNAP) top expectations in what has been a generally strong week for quarterly earnings. After yesterday’s semiconductor weakness behind TXN guidance, Dow component Intel ($INTC) issues a beat and raise for the year last night, though conservative guidance for Q3 weighs on shares early. Major indexes rose for a third straight session on Thursday as investors looked past mixed weaker data showing a rise in first-time claims for unemployment benefits last week. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index rose 159 points to 27,548, the Shanghai Index fell -24 points to 3,550, and the Hang Seng Index drops over 400 points (1.45%) to settle at 27,321. In Europe, the German DAX is up over 150 points (about 1%) to 15,665, while the FTSE 100 gains over 50 to 7,025. While enthusiastic about the economic recovery, investors remained nervous about the spread of the delta variant of COVID-19 which had weighed on sentiment last week. Markets also prepare for the busiest week of quarterly earnings coming up with results from Apple, Alphabet, and Facebook among them,. Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index gained 8.79 points, or 0.20%, to 4,367.48 The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 25.35 points, or 0.07%, to 34,823.35 The Nasdaq Composite gained 52.64 points, or 0.36%, to 14,684.60 The Russell 2000 Index declined -34.57 points, or 1.55% to 2,199.48 Events Calendar for Today 9:45 AM ET Markit Composite Flash PMI 9:45 AM ET Markit Manufacturing PMI for July 9:45 AM ET Markit Services Flash PMI 1:00 PM EST Baker Hughes Weekly rig count data Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: $ACBI, $AIMC, $AXP, $CIVB, $FHN, $GNTX, $HON, $KMB, $NEE, $NEP, $RF, $ROP, $SBSI, $SLB, $SXT Macro Up/Down Last Nymex -0.09 71.82 Brent -0.11 73.68 Gold -7.45 1,799.50 EUR/USD -0.0008 1.1763 JPY/USD 0.31 110.45 10-Year Note +0.026 1.293% World News Eurozone July Markit Mfg. PMI (flash) beat: 62.6 vs 62.5 consensus Eurozone July Markit Services PMI (flash) beat: 60.4 vs 59.5 consensus UK June Retail Sales Inc Auto Fuel YoY, actual 9.7%, est. 9.5%, prior 24.6% UK June Retail Sales Inc Auto Fuel MoM, actual 0.5%, est. -0.1%, prior -1.4%, revised -1.3% German July Markit/BME Germany Composite P, actual 62.5, est. 60.7, prior 60.1 German July Markit Germany Services PMI, actual 62.2, est. 59.5, prior 57.5 UK Markit/CIPS UK Services PMI, actual 57.8, est. 62.0, prior 62.4 UK July Markit UK PMI Manufacturing SA, actual 60.4, est. 62.3, prior 63.9 Sector News Breakdown Consumer Magna International Inc. ($MGA) to acquire Veoneer, Inc. ($VNE) for $ 31.25 per share in cash, representing a total value of $ 3.8 billion, and an enterprise value of $ 3.3 billion, inclusive of Veoneer’s cash, net of debt and other debt-like items as of March 31, 2021 Chinese education names getting crushed down over 40%: New oriental (EDU), TAL Education (TAL), and Gaotu Techedu ($GOTU) getting crushed on Bloomberg report that China is considering asking companies that offering tutoring on the school curriculum to go non-profit, according to people familiar with the matter. In rules currently being mulled, the platforms will likely no longer be allowed to raise capital or go public, the people said Boston Beer ($SAM) shares fall -15%; Q2 EPS $4.75 vs. est. $6.69; Q2 revs $602.8M vs. est. $657.6M; sees year EPS $18.00-$22.00 vs. est. $24.66; in 2021 and going forward, company has chosen not to report covid-19 related direct costs separately Del Taco ($TACO) Q2 adj EPS $0.16 vs. est. $0.11; Q2 revs $125M vs. est. $122.79M; Q2 system-wide comp store sales up 17.8%; Q2 company-operated comp sales up 18.3% and Q2 franchise comp sales up 17.2%; expects system-wide new unit growth to achieve 5% in 2023 led by franchising Skecher’s ($SKX) 2Q EPS $0.88 vs est. $0.52 on revs $1.66B vs es.t $1.49B; guides 3Q EPS $0.70-0.75 vs est. $0.63, sees 3Q revs $1.6-1.65B vs est. $1.52B; guides FY EPS $2.55-2.65 vs est. $2.13, sees FY revs $6.15-6.25B vs est. $5.93B Lamb Weston Holdings ($LW) announces $415 million capital investment in new French fry processing line in American falls, Idaho; declares quarterly dividend Robert Half ($RHI) 2Q EPS $1.33 vs est. $1.05 on revs $1.58B vs est. $1.48B Scholastic ($SCHL) 4Q adj EPS $0.90 on revs $401.4Mm; expects significant growth in FY22 revs yr/yr com ($GAMB) 5.25M share IPO priced at $8.00 Xponential Fitness ($XPOF) 10M share IPO priced at $12.00 Energy DMC Global (BOOM) 2Q EPS $0.10 vs est. $0.13 on sales $65.4Mm vs est. $69.5Mm; guides 3Q sales $46-48Mm vs est. $73.3Mm First Energy (FE) 2Q adj EPS $0.59 vs est. $0.57 on revs $2.6B vs est. $2.65B; guides 3Q adj EPS $0.70-0.80 vs est. $0.82; guides FY adj EPS $2.40-2.60 vs est. $2.50 Financials Capital One ($COF) Q2 adj EPS $7.71 vs. est. $4.61; Q2 revs $7.4B vs. est. $7.09B; NII $5.74B vs est. $5.58B, NIM 5.89% -10bps sequentially, common equity tier 1 capital ratio 14.5%, provision decreased $337Mm to ($1.2B) vs 1Q Bank OZK ($OZK) Q2 EPS $1.16 vs. est. $0.92; return on average assets 2.24% vs. 0.78% y/y; return on average equity 13.7% vs. 4.92% y/y; net interest income $240.7 million, +11% y/y; efficiency ratio 38.4% vs. 42.1% y/y Independent Bank ($INDB) Q2 EPS $1.17 vs. est. $1.08; Q2 revs $118.32M vs. est. $117.92M; total assets of $14.2B at June 30 increased by $420.3M, or 3.1%, from the prior quarter, and by $1.2B, or 9.0%, as compared to the year ago period; Q2 total loans at June 30 decreased by $307.7M, or 3.3%, when compared to the prior quarter RenaissanceRe ($RNR) 2Q adj EPS $5.64 vs est. $4.74 on revs $1.48B vs est. $1.28B, says net claims and claim expenses incurred associated with the covid pandemic were not significant in 2Q SVB Financial ($SIVB) Q2 GAAP EPS of $9.09 vs. est. $6.50; Q2 revs up 69% YoY to $1.49B (+69.0% Y/Y) beats by $350M; Q2 average loans of $49.8 billion, an increase of $3.5 billion; period-end loans of $50.8 billion, an increase of $3.1 billion; average total client funds increased $45.9 billion to $308.1 billion, which includes an increase in average on-balance sheet deposits of $23.2 billion R. Berkley ($WRB) Q2 EPS $1.27 vs. est. $0.94; Q2 revenue $2.30B vs. est. $2.16B; Q2 net premiums written $2.21B vs. $1.74M last year and consolidated combined ratio of 89.7% vs. 98.7% last year Future FinTech ($FTFT) files $200M mixed securities shelf S. Century Bank ($USCB) 4M share IPO priced at $10.00 Healthcare Caribou Biosciences (CRBU) 19M share IPO priced at $16.00 Cytek Biosciences (CTKB)7M share IPO priced at $17.00 Sophia Genetics (SOPH) 13M share IPO priced at $18.00 Industrials & Materials Honeywell ($HON) Q2 EPS $2.02 vs. est. $1.94; Q2 revs $8.81B vs. est. $8.63B; raises FY21 adj EPS view to $7.95-$8.10 from $7.75-$8.00 (est. $8.01) and boosts FY21 revenue view to $34.6B-$35.2B from $34B-$34.8B (est. $34.93B) Carlisle Corp. ($CSL) Q2 adj EPS $2.16 vs. est. $2.12; Q2 revs $1.2B vs. est. $1.15B; now sees full year sales to be up mid-teens Celanese ($CE) 2Q EPS $4.81 vs est. $4.44 on revs $2.2B vs est. $1.96B; guides 3Q adj EPS $4.50-4.75 vs est. $3.39; guides FY adj EPS $16.50-17.00 vs est. $13.98 S. Xpress Enterprises ($USX) Q2 adj EPS $0.08 vs. est. $0.16; Q2 revs $475M vs. est. $463.69M; continues to expect strong freight demand for balance of 2021; says expects total fleet size to begin growing in q3 Vicor ($VICR) reports Q2 EPS 43c vs. est. 33c; Q2 revs $95.4M vs. est. $93.98M Technology, Media & Telecom Intel Corp. ($INTC) 2Q adj EPS $1.28 vs est. $1.05 on revs $18.5B vs est. $17.8B; guides 3Q adj revs $18.2B vs est. $18.1B and adj EPS about $1.10 vs est. $1.08; guides FY adj revs $73.5B vs est. $72.8B, sees FY adj EPS $4.80 vs est. $4.62, sees FY adj gr mgn about 56.5% Twitter ($TWTR) Q2 EPS $0.20 vs. est. $0.07; Q2 revs $1.19B vs. est. $1.07B; Q2 Advertising revenue totaled $1.05 billion, an increase of 87% yoy, or 85% on a constant currency basis; Q2 cost per engagement (CPE) increased 42% yoy; reached 206 million average monetizable DUA in 2q, up 11%; Q2 international revenue $537m; had 11% year-over-year growth in monetizable daily active usage Snap inc. ($SNAP) 2Q adj EPS $0.10 vs est. ($0.01) on revs $982Mm vs est. $845.5Mm, DAU +23% to 293Mm; guides 3Q revs $1.07-1.085B vs est. $1.0B, sees 3Q adj EBITDA $100-120Mm vs est. $116.7Mm, says currently estimate DAU grow about 21% yr/yr to reach about 301Mm in 3Q, continues to invest heavily in video advertising, says the expected iOS platform policy changes did not materialize in 2Q to disrupt ad demand Verisign ($VRSN) Q2 EPS $1.31 vs. est. $1.32; Q2 revs $329M vs. est. $327.95M; ended 2q with cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities of $1.12B; ended Q2 with 170.6 million .com and .net domain name registrations in the domain name base, a 5.2% increase from the end of the second quarter of 2020, and a net increase of 2.59 million during the second quarter of 2021 Clearfield ($CLFD) 3Q EPS $0.44 on sales $38.7Mm; guides FY sales $150-160Mm above est. $122.9Mm Outbrain ($OB) 8M share IPO priced at $20.00
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@everyone The week has been a little slow and choppy so far ( SLB & SPG stopped out) but we will have some good setups after this. So just be patient and keep your powder dry. The trades will come. Don't chase.
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BUY TO OPEN $SLB AUG 20th 32.50 CALL @ 1.35 [email protected] 29.80 on the underlying stock [email protected] 32.50 on the underlying stock NOTE: SLB has a decent MR setup on the daily time frame and some flow behind it. Let's take the trade and see how it plays out.
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I also picked up some calls on slb and rig to hopefully catch some profit on a bounce back this week.
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Man, it's mornings like this that I just have to scratch my head. I picked up $LPI a couple of days ago. Oil stocks have been on a rally and oil is holding strong. LPI had earnings yesterday and beat the estimates. Today, they are down, in contrast to most of the other upstream stocks I'm watching (COP, XOM, TOT, DVN, APA), and even down contra the oilfield service companies (SLB, HAL and BKR).
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slb has dp buying keep an eye
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