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Thursday, August 26, 2021 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow 8.00 0.02% 35,368 S&P 500 -4.25 0.09% 4,489 Nasdaq -30.50 0.20% 15,334 Another day, and another record high for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite on Wednesday, but overnight futures paint a mixed picture amid a retreat in technology shares and caution ahead of a Federal Reserve gathering that may provide more clues about its approach to paring stimulus. With few negative catalysts to dampen the risk-on sentiment, all three major U.S. indexes crept modestly higher on Tuesday. The S&P 500 was able to notch its 51st record close of the year and the Nasdaq its 30th record closing highs for 2021. With the gains, the SPX and Nasdaq have now both risen 5-straight days (the Dow is on a 4-day win streak) – but volume on U.S. exchanges was just 8.29 billion shares, making it one of the slowest trading days of the year. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index rose 17 points to 27,742, the Shanghai Index fell -38 points to hold just above the 3,500 level and the Hang Seng Index fell -278 points to 25,415. In Europe, the German DAX is down over -100 points to 15,755, while the FTSE 100 fell about -30 points to 7,120. On the calendar today, U.S. Q2 GDP is expected to be revised up to a 6.7% clip versus the disappointing 6.5% pace from the Advance report and weekly jobless claims are expected to be 350K, but focus still remains on tomorrow’s Jackson Hole speech from Fed Chair Powell for clues on the timing of a tapering of monetary stimulus. U.S. Treasury yields rose overnight, with that on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note hitting 1.359% for the first time since Aug. 13. There were a handful of earnings results in the software space moving tech as well with ADSK, SNOW,CRM, SPLK, ESTC all out with results, while in retail, WSM rises on its results. Events Calendar for Today 8:30 AM ET Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Q2-second est. 6.7% 8:30 AM ET GDP Price Deflator Q2-prelim…est. 6.0% 8:30 AM ET GDP Consumer Spending, prelim Q2…est. 8:30 AM ET PCE Prices for Q2-E…prior 6.4% 8:30 AM ET Core PCE prelim Q2-E…est. 6.1% 8:30 AM ET Weekly Jobless Claims…est. 350K 8:30 AM EST Continuing Claims…est. 2.79M 10:30 AM ET Weekly EIA Natural Gas Inventory Data 11:00 AM ET Kansas City Fed Manufacturing, for Aug Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: ANF, BBW, BURL, COTY, DG, DLTR, FLWS, HAIN, LANC, MBUU, MOV, RGS, SAFM, SJM, TITN Earnings After the Close: BILL, $DELL, DOMO, FXLV, GPS, HPQ, LTRX, $MRVL, OLLI, $PTON, RCEL, RPID, VMW, $WDAY Other Key Events: UBS China Telco, Media, Internet Virtual Conference 2021, 8/23-8/27 Piper Sandler MedTech and Diagnostics California Bus Tour (virtual), 8/24-8/26 Jackson Hole 2021 Economic Policy Symposium, 8/26-8/28 Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index gained 9.96 points, or 0.22%, to 4,496.19 The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 39.24 points, or 0.11%, to 35,405.50 The Nasdaq Composite edged higher 22.06 points, or 0.15%, to 15,041.86 The Russell 2000 Index advanced 8.36 points, or 0.37% to 2,239.27 Macro Up/Down Last Nymex -0.65 67.71 Brent -0.60 71.65 Gold -4.25 1,786.75 EUR/USD -0.0000 1.1772 JPY/USD 0.11 110.13 10-Year Note +0.005 1.349% Sector News Breakdown Consumer Guess Inc. ($GES) shares fell -6% Q2 EPS $0.91 vs. est. $0.70; Q2 revs $628.6M vs. est. $648.6M; expect revenues in q3 of fiscal 2022 to be slightly negative to flat versus q3 of fiscal 2020; for FY22, assuming no additional covid-related shutdowns past q2, expect revenues to be down mid-single digits versus fiscal 2020; increases share repurchase authorization to $200M; increasing long-term operating margin goal to 12% and adjusted earnings per share to $3.50 by fiscal 2024 Ulta ($ULTA) Q2 EPS $4.56 vs est. $2.42 on net sales $1.97B vs est. $1.76B, comp sales +56.3% (+13.1% vs 2Q19) vs est. +44.8%, gross margin 40.6% vs est. 35.9%; raised full-year outlook for EPS to $14.50-$14.70 (est. $12.50) from $11.50-$11.95 and sales to $8.1B-$8.3B (est. $7.92B) from $7.7B-$7.8B, comp sales +30-32%; sees 44 new net stores in FY21 William Sonoma ($WSM) shares rise 12%; announces a 20% quarterly dividend increase and a new $1.25 billion stock repurchase; Q2 adj EPS $3.24 vs est. $2.61 on revenue $1.95B vs est. $1.49B, quarterly comp brand revenue growth +29.8%; now sees full-year net revenue growth in high-teens to low-20s from low-double digit to mid-teens; for long-term, company is planning net rev growth mid-to-high single digits with accelerated path to $10B in net rev over next 4 years XPeng (XPEV) reports Q2 deliveries growth of 439% Y/Y and 30.4% Q/Q to 17,398 units; P7 deliveries rose 44.5% Q/Q to 11,522 units, of which 97% can support XPILOT 2.5 or XPILOT 3.0; revenues from vehicle sales increased 562.4% to $555.1M, mainly due to higher vehicle delivery, especially for the P7 Energy, Industrials and Materials ABM Industries ($ABM) announced that it has reached a definitive agreement to acquire Able Services, a facilities services company headquartered in San Francisco, in a cash transaction valued at $830M Raven ($RAVN) Q2 EPS $0.19 vs. est. $0.17; Q2 revs $114.4M vs. est. $103.5M. Transocean Ltd. ($RIG) announced that BOE Exploration & Production LLC awarded Transocean a $252 million firm contract for its newbuild ultra-deepwater drillship, the Deepwater Atlas Financials SelectQuote ($SLQT) shares tumble as Q4 EPS $0.02 vs. est. $0.04; Q4 revs $188.4M vs. est. $184.9M; Q4 Adjusted EBITDA of $21.3M, down 47% YoY Bitcoin prices are tumbling as the largest cryptocurrency fell as much as 4.4% Thursday to $46,588, with other tokens including Ether retreating as well, paring Bitcoin’s rally since a July low to some 60% (after topping the $50K level for the first time in 3-months on Monday) Healthcare Becton Dickinson’s ($BDX) BD Veritor At-Home COVID-19 Test has received an Emergency Use Authorization from the FDA, the first at-home COVID-19 rapid antigen test to use computer vision technology in a smartphone to interpret and provide a digital display of testing results BioCryst ($BCRX) announced that the new drug submission for Orladeyo has been accepted for review by Health Canada for the prevention of recurrent attacks in patients with hereditary angioedema, or HAE, 12 years and older Exelixis ($EXEL) announces partner Takeda and ono receive approval in Japan for Cabometyx® (cabozantinib) in combination with Opdivo® (nivolumab) for treatment of unresectable or metastatic renal cell carcinoma Lannett ($LCI) Q4 adj EPS loss (-$0.19) vs. est. loss (-$0.12); Q4 revs $106M vs. est. $110.63M; sees FY22 revenue $400M-$440M vs. est. $472.06M; sees FY22 adjusted EBITDA $40M-$55M RenovoRx ($RNXT)85M share IPO priced at $9.00 Software Autodesk ($ADSK) shares fell -6%; Q2 adj EPS $1.21 vs. est. $1.13; Q2 revs $1.06B vs. est. $1.05B; sees Q3 adj EPS $1.22-$1.28 vs. est. $1.26; sees Q3 revenue $1.11B-$1.125B vs. est. $1.11B; Q2 Total billings increased 29% to $1,015B Box Inc. (BOX) Q2 EPS $0.21 vs. est. $0.18; Q2 revs $214.5M vs. est. $212.45M; Non-GAAP operating margin was 21%, a point better than projected earlier in the month; Remaining performance obligations, a measure of work contracted for but not yet delivered, was up 27%, to $922.4 million. Free cash flow was $29.8 million, up from $13.3 million in the year-earlier quarter; sees Q3 EPS 20c-21c vs. est. 20c; sees Q3 revenue $218M-$219M vs. est. $216.6M Elastic NV ($ESTC) Q1 EPS $0.04 vs. est. loss (-$0.10); Q1 revs $193.1M vs. est. $173.17M; Q1 Cloud revs up 89% YoY to $61.5M, or 85% on a constant currency basis; Q1 Calculated billings up 27% YoY to $165.0M, or 23% on a constant currency basis; Q1 deferred revenue was $364.4M, an increase of 31% YoY; Q1 total subscription customer count was over 16,000, compared to over 15,000 in Q4 FY21; sees FY22 EPS loss (67c) to (57c) vs. est. loss (50c); sees FY22 revs $808M-$814M vs. est. $789.1M com ($CRM) Q2 EPS $1.48 vs. est. $0.92; Q2 revs $6.34B vs. est. $6.24B; reports remaining performance obligation ended Q2 at approximately $36.2B, an increase of 18% YoY; current remaining performance obligation ended Q2 at approximately $18.7B, an increase of 23% YoY, 23% in constant currency; sees Q3 EPS $0.91-$0.92 vs. est. $0.81; sees Q3 revs $6.78B-$6.79B vs. est. $6.66B Snowflake ($SNOW) Q2 EPS ($0.64) vs est. ($0.15) on revenue $272.2M vs est. $256.5M; sees Q3 revenue $280M-$285M vs est. $292/3M, FY revenue $1.06B-$1.07B vs est. $1.11B; company now has 4,990 total customers and 116 with trailing 12-month product revenue above $1M Splunk ($SPLK) Q2 EPS loss (-$2.34) vs. est. loss (-$0.69); Q2 revs $606M vs. est. $562.8M; Q2 Cloud ARR was $976M, up 72% YoY while total ARR was $2.63B, up 37% YoY; reported 234 customers with cloud ARR greater than $1M, up 100% YoY; sees Q3 revs $625M-$650M vs. est. $635.4Ml sees FY revs $2.53B-$2.6B vs. est. $2.53B Zuora Inc. ($ZUO) Q2 Non-GAAP EPS loss (-$0.04), in-line with estimates; Q2 revs $86.5M vs. est. $83.4M; sees Q3 subscription revs $71m-$72M and total revs $86M-$87M vs. est. $85.4M; sees FY revs $340M-$342M vs. est. $338.2M; sees year EPS loss (13c-11c) vs. est. (9c) Technology NetApp Inc. ($NTAP) Q1 EPS $1.15 vs. est. $0.95; Q1 revs $1.46B vs. est. $1.43B; sees Q2 EPS $1.14-$1.24 vs. est. $1.13; sees Q2 revenue $1.49B-$1.59B vs. est. $1.52B; 1Q Product Rev Grew 16% YoY to $730M and Q1 Billings Increased 20% YoY to $1.38B Pure Storage ($PSTG) Q2 non-GAAP EPS $0.06 vs. est. $0.05; Q2 revs $496.8M vs. est. $469.48M; sees Q3 revs $530M vs. est. $495.15M; sees FY22 revenue $2.04B vs. est. $1.96B; sees FY22 non-GAAP operating income $150M; Q2 Subscription services revenue $171.9 million, up 31% year-over-year; Q2 GAAP gross margin 68.4%; non-GAAP gross margin 70.5% ON Semiconductor ($ON) announced that they have entered into a definitive agreement under which it will acquire GTAT for $415M in cash Analog Devices ($ADI) increases share repurchase authorization by $8.5 billion to approximately $10 billion Joyy Inc. ($YY) +7% after Reuters reported its two top shareholders, Chairman David Li and Xiaomi founder Lei Jun, aim to take the Chinese social media company private in a deal that may value it at up to $8B https://reut.rs/3DnlazS

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/*============================================= = Tuesday June 8, 2021 = =============================================*/ U.S. futures slip after several Internet websites went down this morning including New York Times, Reddit, Amazon.com Web Services (though many of them are starting to come back now). Futures dropped when it first appeared it was a potential cybersecurity breach but CNBC reported that Fastly ($FSLY) was down and maybe the reason for some of the outages, though still unclear at this point to what the direct driver is of the website outages. Fastly did say it is “investigating potential impact to performance with our CDN services,” on its service page. Prior to the Internet outages, U.S. futures weren’t doing very much, trading mixed to down slightly prior with Treasury yields lower (10-yr at 1.55%), along with a slide in oil prices and cryptocurrency (Bitcoin at 33K). U.S. equity futures were mixed, as inflation concerns continued to play on investors. Bitcoin fell, with some analysts suggesting the move may relate to the display of government control in the cryptocurrency space as the U.S recovered some of the Colonial Pipeline ransom. Stitch Fix and Marvell Technology gained following positive earnings results. Stocks finished mixed on Monday as the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrials finished with modest losses while the tech heavy Nasdaq Composite and Russell 2000 outperformed, paced by gains in the biotech sector as Biogen’s ($BIIB) FDA approval for its Alzheimer’s drug boosted optimism about futures FDA decisions on other drugs. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index fell -55 points to 28,963, the Shanghai Index fell -19 points to 3,580 and the Hang Seng Index slipped -5points to 28,781. In Europe, the German DAX is down over 30 points to 15,640, while the FTSE 100 is up a few points at 7,080. Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index slipped -3.37 points, or 0.08%, to 4,226.52 The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell -126.15 points, or 0.36%, to 34,630.24 The Nasdaq Composite climbed 67.23 points, or 0.49%, to 13,881.72 The Russell 2000 Index advanced 32.76 points, or 1.463% to 2,319.18 Events Calendar for Today 6:00 AM EST NFIB Small Business Optimism for May 7:45 AM ET ICSC Weekly Retail Sales 8:30 AM EST International Trade for April 8:55 AM ET Johnson/Redbook Weekly Sales 10:00 AM EST JOLTs Job Openings for April 4:30 PM ET API Weekly Inventory Data Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: $ASO, $CHS, $JILL, $NAV, $THO Earnings After the Close: $ABM, $AMSWA, $CASY, $CVGW, $LMNR, $ODC, $PATH, $STRM Other Key Events: China PPI and CPI data for May American Society of Clinical Oncology (ASCO), 6/4-6/8 Baird Global Consumer, Technology & Services Conference 2021 (virtual), 6/8-6/10 Deutsche Bank Global Consumer Conference (virtual), 6/7-6/10 Goldman Sachs Travel & Leisure Conference 2021 (virtual), 6/7-6/8 Goldman Sachs Healthcare Conference (virtual), 6/8-6/10 Goldman Sachs 25th Annual European Financials Conference (virtual), 6/8-6/10 Jefferies Healthcare Virtual Conference, 6/8-6/10 Oppenheimer Virtual Software & Semiconductor Bus Tour, 6/7-6/11 REITWeek 2021 Investor Virtual Conference, 6/8-6/10 UBS Global Industrials and Transportation Conference, 6/8-6/9 Macro Up/Down Last Nymex -0.58 68.65 Brent -0.60 70.89 Gold -5.30 1,893.90 EUR/USD -0.0013 1.2177 JPY/USD 0.17 109.42 10-Year Note -0.02 1.55% World News Germany Jun ZEW Expectations8 vs 86.0 consensus; Current Conditions -9.1 vs -27.8 consensus; Expecting strong recovery for next 6 months Eurozone Q1 GDP: q/q -0.3% vs -0.6% consensus; y/y -1.3% vs -1.8% consensus; Eurozone Q1 Employment Change: -1.8% vs -0.3% consensus Sector News Breakdown Consumer Chico’s FAS, Inc. ($CHS) said it has ongoing conversations with its shareholders, including Barrington, to discuss the Company’s strategy and operating plans and appreciates the input it receives Duckhorn Portfolio ($NAPA) 3Q adj EPS $0.17 vs. est. $0.07 on sales $90.4Mm vs. est. $76.1Mm Etsy ($ETSY) announces offering of $1B of convertible senior notes Keurig Dr Pepper ($KDP) announces offering of 28M shares of common stock for Mondelez Leslie’s Inc ($LESL) files for offering of 24.5M shares of common stock by the selling stockholders PLBY Group ($PLBY) files to sell 4M shares of common stock Stitch Fix ($SFIX) 3Q EPS loss ($0.18) vs. est. ($0.27) on revs $535.6Mm vs. est. $510.6Mm; qtrly active clients +20% to 4.1Mm; guides FY revs $2.07-2.08B vs. est. $2.04B, sees FY adj EBITDA $25-30Mm Superior Industries ($SUP) files $150M mixed securities shelf Vail Resorts ($MTN) 3Q EPS $6.72 vs. est. $6.54 on revs $889.1Mm vs. est. $882.1Mm; guides FY EBITDA $530-570Mm vs. est. $559.9Mm, sees FY net income $93-139Mm vs. est. $126.8Mm; Q3 total skier visits 7.19 million Wolverine Worldwide ($WWW) sees FY21 revs $2.24B-$2.3B vs. est. $2.28B; says 2q performance accelerated, fueled by strength of largest brands and product innovation Tesla ($TSLA) sold 33,463 China-made electric cars in May, including exports, a 29% jump from April, according to data from the China Passenger Car Association. China’s new electric vehicle sales surged 177% to 185,000 in May; overall passenger vehicle sales, however, rose just 1.1% to 1.66 million Thor Industries ($THO) Q3 EPS $3.29 vs. est. $2.34; Q3 sales $3.46B vs. est. $3.01B; revenues up 105.7%, gross profit margin improved by 240 basis points and earnings per share up 665.1% for the third quarter of fiscal 2021 Energy, Industrials and Materials Air Lease Corporation ($AL) announces delivery of new airbus a350-900 aircraft to world2fly Clean Energy Fuels Corp. ($CLNE) files for offering of up to $100 mln of shares of common stock REV Group ($REVG) 2Q adj EPS $0.39 vs. est. $0.20 on revs $643.6Mm vs. est. $636.2Mm; reinstates qtrly cash dividend in 2Q at $0.05/share; backs FY21 rev view $2.45B-$2.6B vs. est. $2.5B; boosts FY21 adjusted EBITDA view to $145M-$160M from $125M-$135M Southwest Airlines ($LUV) said May operating rev performed in line with co’s expectations, and represented a sequential increase compared with April 2021; based on current bookings, co expect sequential improvement in operating revenues in June 2021 compared with May 2021; said May 2021 business revenues were down approximately 77 percent compared with May 2019 Financials Costar Group ($CSGP) announces a ten-for-one stock split Cryptocurrency-exposed companies like Marathon Digital ($MARA) and Coinbase ($COIN) slide with Bitcoin and other digital tokens falling; Bitcoin prices down around the $33,000 level and Ethereum around $2,500 Pzena Investment Management Inc. ($PZN) preliminary total assets under management as of May 31, 2021 of $53.6 bln SelectQuote ($SLQT) will replace Cooper Tire & Rubber Co. (CTB) in the S&P SmallCap 600 effective prior to the opening of trading on Thursday, June 10 UDR ($UDR) raises guidance ranges as a result of continued strength in operating fundamentals and accretive external growth; sees Q2 FFO and AFFO per share to be at the high-end of its previously-provided guidance range of $0.47-$0.49 P. Carey ($WPC) 5.25M share Spot Secondary priced at $75.30 Healthcare Ironwood Pharmaceuticals ($IRWD) announces the appointment of Thomas McCourt, who has served as president and interim chief executive officer since March 12, 2021, as the company’s permanent chief executive officer HealthEquity ($HQY) Q1 adj EPS $0.38 vs. est. $0.32; Q1 revs $184.2M vs. est. $180.8M; sees year revs $755M-$765M vs. est. $755.5M Technology, Media & Telecom Coupa Software ($COUP) 1Q adj EPS $0.07 vs. est. ($0.19) on revs $167Mm vs. est. $151.1Mm; guides 2Q revs $162-163Mm vs. est. $161.6Mm, sees 2Q adj EPS loss $0.05 to $0.07 vs. est. ($0.09); guides FY revs $681-684Mm vs. est. $679.2Mm, sees FY adj EPS loss $0.14 to $0.20 vs. est. ($0.25) Jamf Holding Corp. ($JAMF) files for offering of up to 8.5M shares of common stock by selling shareholders Marvell Technology ($MRVL) Q1 adj EPS $0.29 vs. est. $0.27; Q1 revs $832M vs. est. $804.21M; Q1 64.3% non-GAAP gross margin; sees Q2 adj EPS 31c, plus/minus 3c vs. est. 30c; sees Q2 revs $1.065B plus/minus 3% vs. est. $1.04B; says non-GAAP gross margin is expected to be approximately 64% Zhangmen Education ($ZME)623M share IPO priced at $11.50

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@Jig #droscrew
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those slqt already 25% up...i guess will have to hold off for now

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@blackbirdrp #droscrew
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@dros Are you buying the $SLQT ?

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@dros #droscrew
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I think those SLQT the safer play than lemonade

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@dros #droscrew
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2900 $SLQT FEB2021 $25 Cs bought 0.7-0.95

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@dros #droscrew
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2900 $SLQT FEB2021 $25 Cs bought 0.7-0.95

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