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Monday, September 13, 2021 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow 233.00 0.68% 34,724 S&P 500 27.25 0.61% 4,476 Nasdaq 80.50 0.52% 15,514 Stock futures are looking sharply higher, with the S&P trying to snap its longest losing streak since February (5-days currently) ahead of key economic data this week (CPI and retail sales). Stocks are recovering despite a handful of negative headlines this weekend including a WSJ article that House Dems are considering a 26.5% corporate tax rate from 21.5% with a 3% surtax on individual incomes over $3m, & increasing higher rate capital gains tax to 28.8% from 23.8%. Also this weekend, Sen. Joe Manchin said this weekend he would not vote for the $3.5 trillion budget bill, adding that there’s “no way” to meet the September 27 deadline. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index gained 65 points to 30,447, the Shanghai Index rose 12 points to 3,715 and the Hang Seng Index dropped -392 points (1.5%) to settle at 25,813. In Europe, the German DAX is surging over 175 points (1.1%) to 15,785, while the FTSE 100 is up over 50 points to 7,075. Stocks slipped all last week as the S&P fell 1.7%, the Dow lost 2.15%, the Nasdaq shed 1.61% as the S&P 500 extended its losing streak to 5-days, the longest since the middle of February. The S&P 500 has rallied over 38% without a 5%+ pullback over the last 309 calendar days. With the European Central Bank offering only a partial tapering of its bond purchases last week, while boosting growth forecasts, investors are now looking at an autumn glide path for stocks based on a similar move by the Federal Reserve later this month. Markets will closely watch the CPI inflation reading after another rise in producer prices (PPI) late last week. Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index dropped -34.70 points, or 0.77%, to 4,458.58 The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell -271.66 points, or 0.78%, to 34,607.72 The Nasdaq Composite dropped -132.76 points, or 0.87%, to 15,115.49 The Russell 2000 Index declined -21.58 points, or 0.96% to 2,227.55 Events Calendar for Today 2:00 PM ET Federal Budget for August Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: NSSC, SEAC Earnings After the Close: AVO, CSBR, EPM, ICMB, MTRX, ORCL, RFIL, VOLT Other Key Events: Barclay’s Financial Services Conference (virtual) 2021, 9/13-9/15 BMO Capital 2021 Real Estate Conference (virtual), 9/13-9/14 Citigroup 2021 Global Technology Conference (virtual), 9/13-9/15 Cowen 2nd Annual Health, Wellness & Beauty Summit (virtual), 9/13-9/14 Credit Suisse 34th Annual Basic Materials Conference (virtual), 9/13-9/14 Deutsche Bank 11th Annual Aircraft, Finance & Leasing Conference, 9/13-9/14, in NY JPMorgan Gaming, Lodging, Restaurant & Leisure Management Forum, 9/13-9/14 Piper Global Technology Conference (virtual), 9/13-9/14 Piper 2021 D.C. Bank Field Trip, 9/13-9/15 Wells Fargo 10th Annual Lease REIT Forum (virtual), 9/13 Macro Up/Down Last Nymex 0.96 70.68 Brent 0.86 73.78 Gold +0.90 1,788.50 EUR/USD -0.0033 1.1781 JPY/USD 0.18 110.12 10-Year Note -0.005 1.336% World News House Democrats expect to propose raising the corporate tax rate to 26.5% from 21% and imposing a 3-percentage-point surtax on individual income above $5 million, according to two House Democratic aides familiar with the plans, the WSJ reported. The tax increases would be part of the House Ways and Means Committee’s plans to pay for the party’s priorities in a fast-moving budget bill. Those items include an expanded child tax credit, a national paid-leave program and renewable-energy tax breaks. Joe Manchin said this weekend he would not vote for the $3.5 trillion budget bill, adding that there’s “no way” to meet the September 27 deadline set by House Speaker Nancy Pelosi. Manchin’s comments come as lawmakers work to approve the measure which would invest in climate policy and expand social programs North Korea carried out successful tests of a new long-range cruise missile over the weekend, state media said on Monday Sector News Breakdown Consumer Homebuilders R. Horton ($DHI) and Meritage $(MTH) still look like relative bargains according to Barron’s saying when it comes to builders, book value may no longer be the only metric to look at. DHI, MDC and MTH look historically cheap based on current price/earnings, noting Wall Street analysts see double-digit gains ahead Boston Beer ($SAM) shares tumbled this week after warning of decelerating had seltzer category, with Barron’s saying with the stock now worth less than half what it was at its peak, it might be time to take a look at shares. The stock now looks to have support near $500, around its June 2020 lows. If that level holds, buying the stock in the low $500s could turn out to be a smart bet Toyota Motor Corp ($TM) and Honda Motor Co ($HMC) on Saturday sharply criticized a proposal by Democrats in the U.S. House of Representatives to give union-made electric vehicles in the United States an additional $4,500 tax incentive. Leslie’s ($LESL) files to sell 13M shares of common stock for holders MGM Resorts ($MGM) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Bernstein Nike ($NKE) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at BTIG Stanley Black & Decker ($SWK) announced that it has entered into a definitive agreement to acquire Excel Industries for $375 million in cash. Energy, Industrials and Materials Virgin Galactic ($SPCE) said this weekend that the flight window for Unity 23 will be pushed back to mid-October at the earliest after a third-party supplier flagged a potential manufacturing defect in a component of the flight control actuation system. It is not yet known if the defect is present in any of Virgin’s vehicles or any repair work will be needed. Kansas City Southern (KSU) said on Sunday it planned to accept Canadian Pacific Railway’s ($CP) $27.2 billion cash-and-stock acquisition offer as superior to its $29.6 billion deal to sell itself to Canadian National Railway ($CNI), according to Reuters. Canadian National now has until the end of Friday to submit a better offer or lose its deal with Kansas City Southern. Rocket Lab USA ($RKLB) mentioned cautiously in Barron’s saying after a strong run for shares, it’s time to think about taking some profits. Recent positive news has sent shares skyrocketing, leaving even the most bullish investors wondering that to do next Atlas Air Worldwide ($AAWW) subsidiary, Atlas Air completes five-year joint collective bargaining agreement for its Atlas Air and Southern Air pilots. Trane Technologies ($TT) signed an agreement to acquire Farrar Scientific, a leader in ultra-low temperature control for biopharmaceutical and other life science applications for $250M US Well Services ($USWS) said it received written notice from the Nasdaq on Sept 7 indicating it had failed to comply with the minimum closing bid price requirement rule and will therefore be de-listed Louisiana declared a state of emergency ahead of Tropical Storm Nicholas Financials Beijing wants to break up Alipay, the hugely popular payments app owned by Jack Ma’s Ant Group, and create a separate app for the company’s highly profitable loans business, the Financial Times reported on Sunday. The plan will also see Ant turn over the user data that underpins its lending decisions to a new credit scoring joint-venture, which will be partly state-owned, the newspaper reported TransUnion ($TRU) said it has agreed to buy information-services company Neustar Inc. for $3.1 billion in cash, a move that sets the consumer-credit reporting giant to diversify beyond its core business and put data to new uses. The Chicago-based company Monday said it is buying Neustar from a private investment group led by Golden Gate Capital https://on.mktw.net/3tBRVou SVB Financial Group ($SIVB) mentioned positively in Barron’s saying the bank stands out in the stodgy world of banking because of its unusual role as a leading lender to innovative tech start-ups. While some banks have struggled to grow their loan book over the past year, SVB had 8% QoQ growth in loan balances, reflecting strong activity in the tech and healthcare sectors KeyCorp (KEY) sold its $3.2B indirect retail auto loan portfolio to a vehicle managed by a subsidiary of Waterfall Asset Management, and will use capital generated by the sale to buy back some of its stock. Healthcare Dynavax ($DVAX) shares slide -16%; as the British government ends a COVID-19 vaccine supply deal with French vaccine maker Valneva SE, alleging a breach of obligations that Valneva denies. Valneva is developing its COVID-19 vaccine, VLA2001, combined with DVAX’s adjuvant or vaccine booster, CpG 1018 AbbVie ($ABBV) and REGENXBIO ($RGNX) form a strategic partnership combining eye care and gene therapy expertise- Companies will develop and commercialize RGX-314, an investigational gene therapy for wet age-related macular degeneration, diabetic retinopathy and other chronic retinal diseases- REGENXBIO to receive $370 million upfront payment Leap Therapeutics ($LPTX) said it will be presenting initial data from the first-line cohort of the DisTinGuish study, a Phase 2a clinical trial evaluating Leap’s anti-Dickkopf-1, or DKK1, antibody, DKN-01, in combination with tislelizumab, BeiGene’s anti-PD-1 antibody, and chemotherapy, in patients with gastric or gastroesophageal junction cancer, at the European Society for Medical Oncology, or ESMO, Congress, being held virtually on September 16-21 MiMedx Group (MDXG) shares fall -19% as reports Top-line Data from Two Late-Stage Musculoskeletal Trials. Top-line results from an interim analysis of the Phase 2B trial for KOA did not meet primary endpoints. Top-line results from Phase 3 Plantar Fasciitis trial did not meet its primary endpoints. Israel is considering a fourth round of coronavirus vaccines, Bloomberg News reported, citing an interview a health ministry official. mostly uses the vaccine made by Pfizer ($PFE) and BioNTech ($BNTX), but also uses Moderna ($MRNA) Hepion Pharmaceuticals ($HEPH) schedules conference call to review data from phase 2a ‘AMBITION’ clinical trial of CRV431 in NASH; it expects to release additional data from its Phase 2a ‘AMBITION’ NASH clinical trial before the market opens on Monday, September 13, 2021. Technology, Media & Telecom Cisco ($CSCO mentioned in Barron’s noting the company is meeting with analysts on Wednesday for the first time in four year and the session could make or break the shares. The networking giant’s sales suffered last year as companies cut information technology spending early in the pandemic. But the trend has reversed in Cisco’s favor ViacomCBS Inc ($VIAC) is revamping the operations of its Paramount Pictures movie and television production unit under a broader management shake-up, the Wall Street Journal reported on Sunday, citing people familiar with the matter. The realignment will see Paramount Television expected to focus primarily on making content for its sister cable and streaming networks Canon ($CAJ) announced that it has reached an agreement with Redlen Technologies to conclude a share transfer agreement, making Redlen a wholly owned subsidiary of Canon

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Tuesday, August 17, 2021 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow -221.00 0.62% 35,313 S&P 500 -21.25 0.49% 4,452 Nasdaq -59.50 0.39% 15,075 U.S. equity-index futures are looking lower this morning, while global stocks have fallen for a second day amid several market concerns. U.S. major averages hit record highs (S&P 500 and Dow record high closes for a 5th straight session) on Monday as investors moved into defensive sectors (Healthcare, Staples, Utilities) and stocks recovered from losses earlier in the session, shaking off glum economic data out of China and the U.S., but start the day on shaky ground yet again. Several factors playing into the morning decline including: 1) concerns that more lockdowns could be needed to contain the coronavirus pandemic; 2) Treasury yields fall ahead of an address by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on the health of the world’s largest economy; 3) Dow component Home Depot (HD) reports a top and bottom-line beat, but weaker-than-expected comp sales drag shares lower; 4) Federal Reserve Bank President Eric Rosengren said Monday he could be prepared to begin rolling back economic stimulus this fall. But he said he wouldn’t boost interest rates until the employment picture improves; 5) China markets tumble following another regulatory crackdown after China published detailed rules to tackle unfair competition and companies’ handling of critical data; the draft regulations ban unfair competition and restrict the use of user data. Investors were also digesting news from Afghanistan, where thousands of civilians desperate to flee the country thronged Kabul airport after the Taliban seized the capital. Asian stocks retreat for fourth day as the Hang Seng and Shanghai Composite lose ground after China issues draft rules targeting unfair online competition. The Kosdaq sinks 2.3% as Korean selloff resumes following Monday’s holiday. The Nikkei Index fell -98 points to 27,424, the Shanghai Index tumbled -70 points (or 2%) to 3,446 and the Hang Seng Index declined -435 points (1.66%) to 25,745. In Europe, the German DAX is down around -40 points to 15,885, while the FTSE 100 is up a few points to 7,165. Wal-Mart earnings expected later this morning as well. Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index gained 11.71 points, or 0.26%, to 4,479.71 The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 110.02 points, or 0.31%, to 35,625.40 The Nasdaq Composite slumped -29.13 points, or 0.20%, to 14,793.76 The Russell 2000 Index declined -19.69 points, or 0.89% to 2,203.41 Events Calendar for Today 7:45 AM ET ICSC Weekly Retail Sales 8:30 AM ET Advance Retail Sales MoM for July…est. (-0.02%) 8:30 AM ET Retail Sales Ex; Autos MoM for July…est. 0.1% 8:55 AM ET Johnson/Redbook Weekly Sales 9:15 AM ET Industrial Production MoM for July…est. 0.5% 9:15 AM ET Capacity Utilization for July…est. 75.7% 10:00 AM ET Business Inventories MoM for June…est. 0.8% 10:00 AM ET NAHB Housing Market Index for Aug…est. 80 4:30 PM ET API Weekly Inventory Data Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: AIT, CRTD, HD, OB, PINC, WMT Earnings After the Close: A, CDK, CREE, CRMT, DNUT, INST, JKHY, LZB Other Key Events: EnerCom Oil & Gas Conference (virtual), 8/15-8/18 BWS Financial Growth and Value Conference (virtual), 8/16-8/17 Needham MedTech and Diagnostics Conference (virtual), 8/16-8/17 Truist Atlanta Bank Summit (virtual) 8/16-8/17 Davidson West Coast Bank Tour (virtual), 8/17-8/18 Deutsche bank Transportation Conference (virtual), 8/17-8/18 Macro Up/Down Last Nymex -0.33 66.96 Brent -0.23 69.28 Gold 6.55 1,794.00 EUR/USD -0.0012 1.1766 JPY/USD 0.05 109.29 10-Year Note -0.027 1.23% World News The Fed’s Rosengren said last night his preference would be to start tapering bond purchases in the fall, potentially October or November, no later than December; says if we get another strong labor market report, he would be supportive of announcing taper program in September Sector News Breakdown Consumer Home Depot ($HD) shares fall -4% on comp sales miss; Q2 EPS $4.53 vs. est. $4.43; Q2 revs $41.12B vs. est. $40.73B; Q2 comp sales rose 4.5% below est. 5.6% and comparable sales in the U.S. increased 3.4% vs. est. 4.9%; number of customer transactions declined by 5.8% YoY to 481.7 million, but the average ticket size grew 11% to $82.48 Stanley Black & Decker ($SWK) agreed to acquire the remaining 80% ownership stake in MTD Holdings Inc., a privately held global manufacturer of outdoor power equipment, for $1.6 billion in cash Gan Ltd. ($GAN) Q2 EPS loss (-$0.07) vs. est. loss (-$0.01); Q2 revs $34.6M vs. est. $34.53M; sequential revenue growth of 24%, driven by strong international results in b2c segment; reiterates revenue guidance of $125 – $135 million, or 270% YoY growth at the mid-point; backs FY21 revenue view of $125M-$135M Lightning eMotors ($ZEV) Q2 EPS loss (-$0.79) vs. est. loss (-$0.14); Q2 revs $5.9M vs. est. $5.37M; sees Q3 revs $4M-$6M vs. est. $10.58M; sees Q3 adjusted loss from operations $12M-$13M; no longer expects to meet full year guidance; said no orders have been cancelled and company expects to fulfill those orders in future quarters; sees for qtr ending sept 30, vehicle and powertrain sales of 28 units to 40 units Elys Game Technology ($ELYS) Q2 revenue $11.7M vs est $10.89M; 2Q Betting Handle +134% YoY to $220.1M; Q2 GGR +153.8% YoY to $14.9M; Q2 total revenue +143% YoY to $11.7M Spirit Airlines ($SAVE) said it expects total operating revenues in the range of $885M – $955M vs. $1.05B consensus and adjusted operating expenses between $1,030M and $1,040M; expects a negative revenue impact of ~50M from 2,826 flight cancellations between July 30 and August 9, due to airport staffing shortages and adverse weather; also noted softer-than-expected booking trends and increased close-in guest cancellations, likely due to a resurgence in COVID-19 cases Energy, Industrials and Materials Ammo Inc. ($POWW) Q1 adj EPS $0.13 on revs $44.5M, up 360%; says raising 2022 revenue guidance from $190M to $210M, including reiterating our expectation for Q2 revenue of at least $51M and sees Q3 revs about $60M; increasing our Adjusted EBITDA guidance for fiscal 2022 from $65M to $70M Clean Energy Fuels Corp. ($CLNE) announced a slew of new deals in response to the demand for renewable natural gas ($RNG), a fuel produced from organic waste, as more fleets adopt and expand their use of the low-carbon transportation fuel. RNG represents more than 74 percent of the 26 million gallons of fuel Clean Energy expects to provide through these recent signed agreements. Clean Energy has a stated goal of providing 100 percent zero-carbon renewable fuel at its stations by 2025. Financials Opendoor Technologies inc. ($OPEN) announces proposed convertible senior notes offering Healthcare Berkshire Hathaway reduced its stakes in large cap Pharma names Merck (MRK) by 48.8% to 9.2M shares, AbbVie ($ABBV) by 10.2% to 20.5M shares and Bristol-Myers (BMY) by 15.3% to 26.3M shares and exited shares in Biogen ($BIIB) according to 13F filings The Biden administration is planning to announce that most Americans who have received the coronavirus vaccine will need booster shots eight months after being fully vaccinated as the delta variant sparks a surge in Covid-19 cases – Washington Post Eli Lilly and Company ($LLY) today announced executive leadership changes and the creation of neuroscience and immunology business units. These changes will increase Lilly’s focus on introducing breakthrough new medicines to millions of people with unmet needs. Incyte ($INCY) and InnoCare announced that Incyte and a subsidiary of InnoCare have entered into a collaboration and license agreement for the development and commercialization of tafasitamab, a humanized Fc-modified cytolytic CD19 targeting monoclonal antibody, in China Clovis ($CLVS) renews at-the-market equity program with $125M offering Globus Medical ($GMED) announced that Excelsius3D, an intelligent intraoperative 3-in-1 imaging system, has been granted 510(k) clearance by the FDA Solid Biosciences Inc. ($SLDB) ends q2 with about $249 mln cash and investments; cash runway into q4 2022; said net loss for Q2 of 2021 was $18.7M vs. $19.0M for Q2 of 2020 Technology, Media & Telecom Roblox Corp. ($RBLX) shares fall -6%; Q2 EPS loss (-$0.25) vs. est. $0.24; Q2 revs $454.1M vs. est. $689.2M; qtrly bookings increased 35% over q2 2020 to $665.5M; qtrly average daily active users ($DAUs) were 43.2 mln, an increase of 29%; qtrly average bookings per DAU was $15.41, a slight increase year over year Chinese stocks listed in the U.S. ($BIDU, $BABA, $DIDI, $JD, $NTES) fall in premarket trading following Beijing’s latest moves to tighten its grip on the nation’s internet giants and after SEC Chair Gary Gensler issued his most direct warning yet about the risks of investing in Chinese companies Sea Limited ($SE) Q2 EPS loss (-$0.61) vs. est. loss (-$0.52); Q2 revs $2.3B vs. est. $1.93B; digital entertainment active users 725.2 million, +45% y/y; digital entertainment paying users 92.2 million, +85% y/y; said is raising the guidance for both digital entertainment and e-commerce for the full year of 2021. We expect bookings for digital entertainment to be between $4.5 billion and $4.7 billion, representing 44.4% growth from 2020 at the midpoint of the revised guidance Fabrinet ($FN) Q4 Non-GAAP EPS $1.31 vs. est. $1.22; Q4 revs $509.6M vs. est. $487.5M; sees Q1 revs $510M-$530M vs. est. $491.5M Telos Corp. ($TLS) Q2 adj EPS $0.04 vs. est. $0.02; Q2 revs $52.56M vs. est. $53.7M; backs FY21 rev view to $283M-$295M vs. est. $288.75M; said sees FY21 adjusted EBITDA $33M-$36M. Upstart Holdings, inc. ($UPST) announces proposed private offering of $575,000,000 of convertible senior notes due 2026 Global-e Online ($GLBE) Q2 EPS (2c) vs 2 est’s 0c; Q2 rev $57.3M vs est $47.6M; Q2 adjusted EBITDA $7.6M vs. $3.1M YoY; sees Q3 rev $54.3M-$56.3M vs $48.4M; sees Q3 adj EBITDA $2.8M-$3.8M and GMV of $328M-$338M; raises FY21 rev view to $227M- $231M from $209M-$213.5M vs est $210.95M; raises FY21 GMV view to $1.35B-$1.37B from $1.21B-$1.255B

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Tuesday, July 27, 2021 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow -110.00 0.31% 34,924 S&P 500 -10.25 0.23% 4,404 Nasdaq -8.50 0.06% 15,109 Global stock markets and U.S. futures decline amid a further Chinese selloff as Beijing undertook an extensive regulatory overhaul in the country. Focus turns back to the Fed and earnings as Fed officials are expected to discuss an eventual tapering of the stimulus at a meeting concluding tomorrow while Tesla Inc. ($TSLA) rose in premarket trading after an earnings beat. The S&P 500 and Dow closed at new all-time bests in sideways trading Monday as investors prepare for the Fed’s two-day policy meeting and ahead of quarterly earnings. Big tech in focus tonight with Apple, Microsoft, and Alphabet ($GOOGL) expected to post results while China stocks look to recover as big cap Alibaba ($BABA) and Baidu ($BIDU) each fall more than 5% on Monday after Beijing recently unveiled new rules on private tutoring and online education firms, the latest in a series of crackdowns on the technology sector that have roiled financial markets. The S&P 500 energy index was the strongest gainer among 11 sector indexes yesterday, jumping 2.5%, with health care the worst performer. Bitcoin prices pullback slightly after Bloomberg reported late yesterday that Amazon ($AMZN) denies will accept bitcoin, launch crypto coin in 2022 – said an Amazon spokesperson denied the report form City A.M. Crypto assets were up between 15%-20% on Monday after the reports initially surfaced. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index climbed 136 points to 27,970, the Shanghai Index dropped over 80 points (2.49%) to settle at 3,381 and the Hang Seng Index plunged again, falling over 1,000 points for a 2nd straight day (4.22%) to 25,086. In Europe, the German DAX is down over 70 points to 15,550, while the FTSE 100 is off about 30 points to dip below the 7,000 level. Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index gained 10.51 points, or 0.24%, to 4,422.30 The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 82.76 points, or 0.24%, to 35,144.31 The Nasdaq Composite edged higher 3.72 points, or 0.03%, to 14,840.71 The Russell 2000 Index climbed 7.27 points, or 0.33% to 2,216.92 Events Calendar for Today 7:45 AM ET ICSC Weekly Retail Sales 8:30 AM ET Durable Goods Orders for June…est. 2.1% 8:30 AM ET Durable Goods Ex Transportation for June…est. 0.8% 8:55 AM ET Johnson/Redbook Weekly Sales 9:00 AM ET CaseShiller 20 City Index for May…est. 1.6% 9:00 AM ET Monthly Home Prices MoM for May 10:00 AM ET Consumer Confidence for July…est. 123.9 10:00 AMET Richmond Fed Manufacturing for July…prior 22 4:30 PM ET API Weekly Inventory Data Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: AAN, ABG, ADM, ARCH, AWI, BSX, CIT, CNC, CTS, CVLT, DTE, ECL, ENTG, FELE, FISV, GE, GLW, GPK, HUBB, IQV, IVZ, JBLU, LECO, LW, MMM, MSCI, NXRT, PCAR, PHM, PII, RGEN, ROK, RTX, SHW, SIRI, SSTK, ST, SWK, TPB, UPS, WM, XRX Earnings After the Close: $AAPL, AAT, AGYS, $AMD, ASH, ATEN, AXTI, BXP, BYD, CAC, CAKE, CHE, CHRW, CSGP, EGP, EHC, ENPH, EQR, EXR, FCF, FIBK, $GOOGL, HA, HAFC, HBNC, HIW, HRZN, HT, HVT, IEX, JBT, JNPR, LBRT, MANH, MASI, MAT, MDLZ, MPWR, MSFT, MTDR, MXIM, NAVI, NBR, NLOK, NOV, OLN, OVV, PGRE, QS, SBUX, STAG, SYK, TDOC, TENB, TER, TRMK, USNA, V, WHG, WIRE, WSBC Other Key Events: Alzheimer’s Association International Conference (AAIC) 2021 (virtual), 7/26-7/30 Society of Cataract & Refractive Surgery, 7/23-7/27, in Las Vegas Macro Up/Down Last Nymex 0.01 71.92 Brent 0.19 74.69 Gold -030 1,797.35 EUR/USD -0.0017 1.1786 JPY/USD -0.28 110.11 10-Year Note -0.022 1.254% Sector News Breakdown Consumer Tesla Motors ($TSLA) Q2 non-GAAP EPS $1.45 vs. est. $0.96; Q2 revs $11.96B vs. est. $11.3B; said produced and delivered over 200,000 vehicles, achieved an operating margin of 11.0% and exceeded $1B of GAAP net income for the first time in our history; qtrly automotive gross margin 28.4% vs 25.4% reported last year; qtrly automotive rev of which regulatory credits $354 mln vs $428 mln reported last year; qtrly vehicle asp declined by 2% yoy as Model S & Model X deliveries were reduced in q2 due to the product updates; records $23 million in bitcoin-related impairments after crypto’s second-quarter plunge PulteGroup, Inc. ($PHM) and Invitation Homes ($INVH), the nation’s premier single-family home leasing company, announced today the formation of an innovative strategic relationship Stanley Black & Decker ($SWK) Q2 EPS $3.08 vs. est. $2.87; Q2 revs $4.3B vs. est. $4.21B; raises FY21 EPS view to $11.35-$11.65 from $10.70-$11.00 (est. $11.19) and sees FY21 organic revenue growth 16%-18% TriNet Group ($TNET) Q2 adj EPS $1.56 vs. est. $0.81; Q2 revs rose 16% to $1.1B as compared to the same period last year; Q2 adjusted EBITDA was $154 million, compared to Adjusted EBITDA of $199 million, in the same period last year; total Worksite Employees ($WSEs) increased 9% compared to the same period last year, to approximately 340,000; sees FY revs up 10%-12% YoY Energy Range Resources ($RRC) 2Q adj EPS $0.24 vs est. $0.24 on adj revs $644Mm vs est. $569.9Mm, qtrly production avg 2.10 BCFE/day, about 31% liquids; says remains on track to spend at or below $425Mm capital budget; guides FY production avg about 2.15 BCFE/day with about 30% liquids Financials com Inc ($AMZN) on Monday denied a media report saying the e-commerce giant was looking to accept bitcoin payments by the end of the year. The report from London’s City A.M. newspaper sent Bitcoin prices surging above $40K before it trimmed gains to last trade around $37,500. “Notwithstanding our interest in the space, the speculation that has ensued around our specific plans for cryptocurrencies is not true,” said a spokesperson from Amazon AGNC Investment ($AGNC) Q2 EPS loss (83c); reports $16.39 tangible net book value per common share as of June 30, decreased ($1.33) per common share, or -7.5%, from $17.72 per common share as of March 31. American Campus Communities ($ACC) 2Q adj FFO/shr $0.42 vs est. $0.37 on revs $208.5Mm vs est. $187.8Mm; guides 3Q FFO/shr $0.32-0.36 vs est. $0.32, sees FY FFO/shr $1.95-2.09 vs est. $1.92 Ameriprise ($AMP) 2Q adj EPS $5.27 vs est. $5.21 on revs $3.42B vs est. $3.37B, AUM +28% to $1.2T Brandywine ($BDN) Q2 FFO $0.32 vs. est. $0.32; sees 2021 FFO $1.34-$1.40 vs. est. $1.36; Core Portfolio: 90.5% occupied and 92.5% leased; New and Renewal Leases Signed: 435,000 square feet; Rental Rate Mark-to-Market: Increased 22.2% / 13.7% on accrual / cash basis; Same Store Net Operating Income: 0.5% on an accrual basis and 1.8% on a cash basis Brown & Brown ($BRO) Q2 adj EPS 49c vs. est. 40c; Q2 revs $727.3M vs. est. $679.46M Heartland Financial ($HTLF) Q2 EPS $1.41 vs. est. $1.26; Q2 revs $173.7M vs. est. $174.7M; Q2 net interest margin was 3.37% compared to 3.44%during the first quarter of 2021 and 3.81% during the second quarter of 2020 Independence Realty ($IRT) 2Q EPS $0.03 vs est. $0.01, sees FY same-store property NOI growth 6.5-7.5%, sees FY core FFO/share $0.76-0.78 vs est. $0.75; announces 14M share secondary offering Sun Communities ($SUI) 2Q core FFO/shr $1.80 vs est. $1.61 on revs $603.9Mm vs est. $374.9Mm, says home sales volume +89.5% to 1,158 homes for qtr ended June 30, 2021; guides FY core FFO/shr $6.25-6.37 vs est. $6.03 TransUnion ($TRU) Q2 adj EPS 96c vs. est. 91c; Q2 revs $774M vs. est. $745.78M; sees FY21 adj EPS $3.63-$3.70 vs. est. $3.54; sees FY21 revenue $3.034B-$3.059B vs. est. $2.98B Healthcare Biogen ($BIIB) and Ionis ($IONS) announced that topline data from a Phase 1b placebo-controlled, multiple ascending dose clinical study showed that BIIB080/IONIS-MAPT met its primary objective of safety and tolerability in patients with mild Alzheimer’s disease. HealthStream Inc. ($HSTM) 2Q EPS $0.08 vs est. ($0.04) on revs $64.8Mm vs est. $60.6Mm; guides FY revs $253-257Mm vs est. $251.3Mm, sees FY adj EBITDA $48-50Mm vs est. $42.8Mm ObsEva ($OBSV) rises 25%; after entering a pact for Organon to exclusively develop and commercialize ebopiprant, a treatment for preterm labor Medpace ($MEDP) Q2 GAAP EPS $1.06 vs. est. $0.99; Q2 revs $278.3M vs. est. $272.1M; raises FY21 EPS view to $4.31-$4.50 from$4.24-$4.42 (est. $4.38); sees FY21 revs $1.11B-$1.15B vs. est. $1.13B; net new business awards were $387.6M in Q2, representing an increase of 52.5% Universal Health ($UHS) Q2 adj EPS $3.76 vs. est. $2.68; Q2 revs $3.2B vs. est. $3.01B; increases 2021 full year earnings guidance and announces $1 billion increase to stock repurchase program authorization; sees year EPS $11.46-$12.16 (above prior $10.05-$11.05) vs. est. $11.00; sees year revs $12.35B-$12.5B vs. est. $12.33B Industrials & Materials General Electric ($GE) Q2 adj EPS 5c vs. est. 4c; Q2 revs $18.3B vs. est. $18.13B; Q2 Industrial organic revenues $16.9B, up 7%; reiterates FY21 adjusted EPS view 15c-25c vs. est. 26c; raises 2021 outlook for Industrial free cash flow range from $2.5B-$4.5B to $3.5B-$5.0B 3M ($MMM) Q2 adj EPS $2.59 vs. est. $2.26; Q2 revs $8.95B vs. est. $8.55B; Q2 operating cash flow was $1.9B with adjusted free cash flow of $1.6B contributing to adjusted free cash flow conversion of 103%; raises FY21 EPS view to $9.70-$10.10 from $9.20-$9.70 (est. $9.81) and also boosts FY21 revenue view to up 7%-10% from up 5%-8% China is considering imposing more tariffs on steel exports as it seeks to cap domestic production and tame surging prices. Potential rates being discussed range from 10% to 25% and products include hot-rolled coil, according to two people familiar with the matter – Bloomberg (watch shares of $X, $STLD, $RS, $NUE) Axalta Coating ($AXTA) Q2 EPS $0.54 vs. est. $0.46; Q2 sales $1.13B vs. est. $1.08B; Q2 sales increased 72.6% year-over-year, including a 5.3% foreign currency benefit, driven by 56.4% higher volumes and 9.3% higher average price and product mix; sees FY 2021 adjusted eps $1.85-$2.00 vs. est. $2.06; sees FY adjusted Ebit $685-$725 mln and sees FY 2021 net sales growth about 20%-22% Hexcel Corp. ($HXL) 2Q adj EPS $0.08 vs est. $0.01 on sales $320Mm vs est. $324Mm, continues to withhold financial guidance Crane Co. ($CR) 2Q adj EPS $1.83 vs est. $1.38 on sales $796Mm vs est. $743.6Mm; guides FY adj EPS $5.95-6.15 vs est. $5.73, sees FY core sales +7-9%, sees FY net sales $3.1B vs est. $3.03B Packaging Corp. ($PKG) 2Q adj EPS $2.17 vs est. $1.78 on sales $1.9B vs est. $1.78B, guides 3Q EPS $2.37 vs est. $2.11 PotlatchDeltic ($PCH) Q2 EPS $2.77 vs. est. $2.52; Q2 revs $447.5M vs. est. $422.2M; Generated record Total Adjusted EBITDDA of $275.0M and Total Adjusted EBITDDA margin of 61%; historic lumber prices drove record Wood Products Adjusted EBITDDA of $204.6M Simpson Manufacturing ($SSD) Q2 EPS $1.66 vs. est. $1.60; Q2 revs $410.3M vs. est. $393.68M; raises FY21 CapEx view to $55M-$60M from $50M-$55M TFI International Inc. ($TFII) 2Q adj EPS $1.44 vs est. $0.96 on revs $1.84B vs est. $1.35B, increased qtrly dividend by 21% to $0.23/share

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Thursday, July 22, 2021 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow 83.00 0.24% 34,772 S&P 500 8.25 0.20% 4,359 Nasdaq 20.50 0.14% 14,848 Stock futures pointing higher, looking to make it a third straight day in a row of gains as optimism about earnings and the economic recovery outweighed Wall Street’s concerns about rising inflation and surging coronavirus cases. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury rose early Thursday to 1.287% after touching lows below 1.13% earlier this week. President Joe Biden, at a town hall in Cincinnati hosted by CNN, said Wednesday night “there will be near-term inflation” as the economy recovers but said he has been advised by his economic team that current price increases won’t last as demand returns to normal levels. Stocks advanced Wednesday as strong corporate earnings and renewed optimism about the U.S. economic recovery stoked investor risk appetite. All three major U.S. stock indexes appeared set to build on the previous session’s gains, which delivered the S&P 500’s best day since March, while the Russell 2000 SmallCap outperformed for a second day after trading in correction territory on Monday (defined as 10% down off record highs). With Wednesday’s advance, all three are within 1% of their all-time closing highs. Economically sensitive SmallCaps, semiconductors and financials outperformed the broader market as investors prep for another busy day of earnings. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index rose 159 points to 27,548, the Shanghai Index gained 12 points to 3,574 and the Hang Seng Index jumped nearly 500 points (1.83%) to settle at 27,723. In Europe, the German DAX is jumps 125 points to 15,550, while the FTSE 100 rises about 15 points to move above the 7,000 level. Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index gained 35.63 points, or 0.82%, to 4,358.69 The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 286.01 points, or 0.83%, to 34,798.00 The Nasdaq Composite jumped 133.08 points, or 0.92%, to 14,631.95 The Russell 2000 Index advanced 39.74 points, or 1.81% to 2,234.04 Events Calendar for Today 8:30 AM ET Weekly Jobless Claims 8:30 AM EST Continuing Claims 10:00 AM ET Existing Home Sales MoM for June 10:00 AM ET Leading Index MoM for June 10:30 AM ET Weekly EIA Natural Gas Inventory Data 11:00 AM ET Kansas City Fed Manufacturing for July Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: $AAL, $ABT, $AEP, $ALK, $AUB, $BANC, $BCO, $BIIB, $BKU, $BX, $CADE, $CLF, $CROX, $CSBR, $DGX, $DHI, $DHR, $DOW, $EWBC, $FAF, $FCX, $FITB, $GPC, $GTLS, $HRI, $HZO, $IIIN, $LUV, $MMC, $NEM, $NUE, $POOL, $RS, $SAFE, $SON, $T, $TPH, $TRN, $UNP, $VLY, $WBS, $WSO Earnings After the Close: $ABCB, $ASB, $BOOM, CBSH, $CE, $COF, $CSL, $CSTR, $GGBC, $INTC, $MMLP, $MSBI, $OZK, $RBNC, $SAM, $SBCF, $SIVB, $SNA, $SNAP, $TACO, $TWTR, $USX, $VRSN, $WRB, $WSFS Macro Up/Down Last Nymex 0.63 70.93 Brent 0.62 72.85 Gold -7.50 1,796.10 EUR/USD -0.0007 1.1787 JPY/USD -0.01 110.28 10-Year Note +0.013 1.295% World News The U.S. Treasury Department is projected to exhaust its borrowing authority in October or November, the Congressional Budget Office said on Wednesday, as a fight between Democrats and Republicans over raising the nation’s debt ceiling erupted in Congress. A failure to work out differences over whether government spending cuts should accompany an increase in the statutory debt limit, currently set at $28.5 trillion, could lead to a federal government shutdown – as has happened three times in the past decade – or even a debt default. Sector News Breakdown Consumer Las Vegas Sands ($LVS) 2Q EPS loss ($0.25) vs est. ($0.17), adj property EBITDA $244Mm, revs $1.17B vs est. $1.41B, net revs from Macao $855Mm Whirlpool ($WHR) Q2 adj EPS $6.64 vs. est. $5.93; Q2 revs $5.32B vs. est. $5.05B; raises FY21 adjusted EPS view to $26.00 from $22.50-$23.50 (est. $23.73); boosts FY21 net sales growth to ~16% from ~13%; sees FY21 cash provided by operating activities of $1.95B Stanley Black & Decker ($SWK) raises quarterly dividend 13% to 79c from 70c per share R. Horton ($DHI) Q3 EPS $3.06 vs. est. $2.81; Q3 revs $7.3B vs. est. $7.19B; Q3 net sales decreased 17% to 17,952 homes and increased 2% in value to $6.4 billion compared to 21,519 homes and $6.3 billion in the same quarter of the prior year; sees FY21 consolidated revenue $27.6B-$28.1B vs. est. $27.4B China is weighing an unprecedented penalty for Didi Global (DIDI) following its IPO last month, people familiar with the matter tell Bloomberg Energy Kinder Morgan ($KMI) Q2 adj EPS $0.23 vs. est. $0.19; Q2 revs $3.15B vs. est. $2.88B; expects to meet or exceed the top end of the range provided last quarter for DCF and Adjusted EBITDA; anticipates generating 2021 DCF of $5.4 billion and Adjusted EBITDA of $7.9 billion. TechnipFMC ($FTI) Q2 adj EPS ($0.06) vs est. ($0.01) on revs $1.669B vs est. $1.6B, qtr-end backlog $7.3B, qtrly inbound orders $1.56B; guides FY subsea revs $5.2-5.5B, guides surface tech revs $1.05-1.25B vs total revs est. $6.452 Precision Drilling (PDS) Q2 EPS loss (C$5.71) vs. (C$3.56) a year ago; Q2 revs C$201M vs. C$189.76M a year ago Chart Industries ($GTLS) Q2 adj EPS 80c vs. est. 79c; Q2 revs $322.0M vs. est. $317.45M; raises FY21 adjusted EPS view to $3.80-$4.25 from $3.65-$4.15 (est. $3.91); raises FY21 revenue guidance to $1.38B-$1.43B from $1.36B-$1.41B Financials Cohen & Steers ($CNS) Q2 adj EPS 94c vs. est. 86c; Q2 revs $144.27M vs. est. $131.17M; ending AUM of $96.2B, vs. $87.04B at previous quarter end – increase was driven by net inflows of $2.6B and market appreciation of $7.4B, partially offset by distributions of $769M Discover Financial ($DFS) 2Q EPS $5.55 vs est. $3.97, qtrly payment services volume $78.4B +22%, total loans ended qtr at $87.7B -1%, credit card loans ended qtr at $68.9B -2%, total net charge-off rt 2.12%; increases qtrly common stock dividend from $0.44-0.50/shr, approves share repurchase up to $2.4B Equifax ($EFX) 2Q adj EPS $1.98 vs est. $1.71 on revs $1.235B vs est. $1.16B; guides 3Q adj EPS $1.62-1.72 vs est. $1.65, raises FY adj EPS guide to $7.25-7.45 vs est. $7.05, sees FY revs $4.76-4.8B vs est. $4.675B Globe Life ($GL) 2Q EPS $1.92 vs est. $1.82; guides FY EPS $7.34-7.54 vs est. $7.29; says for FY at mid-point of guidance, estimate covid life claims between $53-55Mm Moelis ($MC) Q2 adj EPS $1.19 vs. est. $0.80; Q2 revs $360.9M vs. est. $273.8M; raises quarterly dividend by 9% to $0.60 and approves $100M share buyback OneMain Financial ($OMF) 2Q adj EPS $2.66 vs est. $2.19, NII $708Mm vs est. $769.1Mm; C&I managed receivables $18.3B, net charge-off ratio 4.41%, repurchased $35Mm in 2Q SEI Investments ($SEIC) 2Q EPS $0.93 vs est. $0.92 on revs $475.7Mm vs est. $464.7Mm SL Green Realty ($SLG) 2Q FFO/shr $1.60 vs est. $1.62, qtrly consolidated revs $218.1Mm vs est. $189.6Mm, op income $88.7Mm; same-store cash NOI including share of same-store NOI from unconsolidated JVs -3.7% yr/yr SLM Corp. ($SLM) Q2 core EPS $0.45 vs. est. $0.35; raises FY21 GAAP EPS view to $3.15-$3.25 from $2.95-$3.15; affirms FY21 private education loan origination y/y growth view of 6%-7% and lowers portfolio net charge-off view to $215M-$225M from $260M-$280M Texas Capital ($TCBI) 2Q EPS $1.31 vs est. $1.21; net interest income was $197.0 mln for q2 of 2021, compared to $200.1 mln for q1 of 2021 Triumph Bancorp. ($TBK) 2Q adj EPS $1.17 vs est. $1.02, NII $90.3Mm vs est. $89.2Mm, net int margin 6.47% Umpqua Holdings ($UMPQ) Q2 EPS $0.53 vs. est. $0.44; Q2 loan loss provision ($23M) vs. $87.08M a year ago; Q2 net charge-offs ($13.6M) vs. ($16.16M) a year ago; tangible book value per share was $12.49 at quarter end from $12.10 at previous quarter end; board approves to repurchase up to $400M of stock Ryan Specialty Group ($RYAN) 57M share IPO priced at $23.50 Travelers ($TRV) downgraded to Underperform from Buy at Bank America Healthcare Pfizer Inc. ($PFE) said the FDA has notified the company that it will not meet the Prescription Drug User Fee Act (PDUFA) goal dates for the New Drug Application for abrocitinib for the treatment of adults and adolescents with moderate to severe atopic dermatitis and the supplemental New Drug Application for XELJANZ/XELJANZ XR (tofacitinib) for the treatment of adults with active ankylosing spondylitis ICON Plc ($ICLR) Q2 adj EPS $2.12 vs. est. $2.09; Q2 revs $871.2M vs. est. $855.9M; sees FY21 EPS $9.10-$9.50 vs. est. $8.71; Record net business wins in the quarter of $1,106 million, an increase of 21.6% year on year; a net book to bill of 1.27; record closing backlog of $10.2 billion, an increase of 12.7% year on year Tenet Healthcare ($THC) Q2 EPS $1.59 vs. est. $1.07; Q2 revs $4.95B vs. est. $4.79B; Q2 Same-facility system-wide ambulatory surgical cases were up 68.2% from last year; year adj EBITDA Outlook range now $3.15B-$3.25B, up from prior view of $3.0B-$3.2B, which excludes the projected gain on the sale of the Miami-area hospitals; year adjusted diluted EPS $5.23-$5.73 up from $4.12-$5.46 prior – shares fell as Q3 guidance falls below consensus Absci ($ABSI)5M share IPO priced at $16.00 Natera ($NTRA)5M share Secondary priced at $113.00 Danaher ($DHR) Q2 adj EPS $2.46 vs. est. $2.05; Q2 revs $7.22B vs. est. $6.72B; for q3 2021, anticipates that non-GAAP core revenue growth will be in mid- to high-teens percent range; for full year 2021, now anticipates that non-GAAP core revenue growth rate including Cytiva will be about 20% Industrials & Materials CSX Corp. ($CSX) Q2 EPS $0.52 vs. est. $0.37; Q2 revs $2.99B vs. est. $2.93B; Q2 2021 operating ratio was 43.4% compared to 63.3% in prior year period; maintains full year revenue outlook and still sees year cap-ex $1.7B-$1.8B; Q2 expenses fall by 9% year-over-year to $1.30B Graco ($GGG) Q2 EPS $0.63 vs. est. $0.60; Q2 revs $507.2M vs. est. $475.94M; says initiating an outlook for full-year 2021 of mid-to-high teen sales growth on an organic, constant currency basis Dow Inc. ($DOW) Q2 EPS $2.72 vs. est. $2.30; Q2 revs $13.89B vs. est. $13.02B; qtrly packaging & specialty plastics segment net sales were $7.1 bln, up 78% versus year-ago period; industrial intermediates & infrastructure segment net sales were $4.2 bln, up 74% versus year-ago period; qtrly performance materials & coatings segment net sales were $2.5 bln, up 33% over year-ago BHP ($BHP) announced the signing of a nickel supply agreement with Tesla ($TSLA). Kaiser Aluminum ($KALU) Q2 adj EPS $1.00 vs. est. $1.44; Q2 revs $741M vs. est. $519.18M; qtrly shipments 337 mln lbs vs 119 mln lbs; said automotive business is temporarily dampened as ongoing shortages of semiconductor chips affects N. American light vehicle production Landstar ($LSTR) Q2 EPS $2.40 vs. est. $2.32; Q2 revs $1.57B vs. est. $1.46B; actual revenue per load on loads hauled via truck in 2021 q2 compared to 2021 q1 increased 7.5%; sees Q3 EPS $2.20-$2.30 and revs $1.55B-$1.6B UFP Industries ($UFPI) 2Q EPS $2.78 vs est. $1.81 on sales $2.7B vs est. $2.26B, expects all segments to benefit from more stable pricing in 2022 Valmont Industries ($VMI) Q2 adj EPS $3.06 vs. est. $2.50; Q2 revs $894.6M vs. est. $814.85M; sees FY21 adj EPS $10.40-$11.10 above consensus $9.89 and raises FY21 revenue growth view to 16%-19% from 9%-14%; expect meaningful sequential margin improvement in second half of 2021 as pricing becomes more aligned with steel cost inflation XL Fleet Corp ($XL) announced a battery and power electronics development and supply agreement and an investment in eNow, Inc., a provider of solar and battery power systems that enable fully-electric Transport Refrigeration Units for Class 8 commercial trailers

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Money also into $XLI... $JCI $SWK $TXT $URI etc

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