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Thursday, October 21, 2021 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow -101.00 0.28% 35,376 S&P 500 -10.25 0.24% 4,517 Nasdaq -22.50 0.15% 15,355 U.S. futures are down slightly overnight, as the S&P 500 index comes into the day with a 6-day win streak, as the earnings barrage continues today, with shares of TSLA and IBM slipping after quarterly results last night while media giant AT&T (T) rises early following its results. For the moment, China Evergrande debt contagion fears, inflation, Fed tapering, rising commodity prices are having no effect on global stock markets with the CBOE Volatility index (VIX) settling around its lowest levels in about 2-months. As for yesterday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average touched an all-time fresh intraday high while the S&P 500 flirted with its all-time intraday record highs (rising a 6th straight day) after strong earnings results and forecasts from healthcare companies and as banks advanced amid rising Treasury yields. The 10-Year Treasury yield spiked to 1.6730% early, a fresh five-month high sending the S&P 500 Bank Index higher for a fifth-straight day, for its fourth-straight record close. Technology underperformed as the Nasdaq Composite closed slightly lower as inflation fears crept into the market late day following comments from Federal Reserve President Quarles. In Asian markets overnight, The Nikkei Index fell -546 points (1.87%) to settle at 28,708, the Shanghai Index inched higher 7-points to 3,594 and the Hang Seng Index declined -118 points to 26,017. In Europe, the German DAX is down just a few points holding above 15,500, while the FTSE 100 slips -0.3% to just under 7,200. Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index gained 16.56 points, or 0.37%, to 4,536.19 The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 152.03 points, or 0.43%, to 35,609.34 The Nasdaq Composite dropped -7.41 points, or 0.05%, to 15,121.68 The Russell 2000 Index advanced 13.85 points, or 0.61% to 2,289.77 Events Calendar for Today 8:30 AM ET Weekly Jobless Claims…est. 300K 8:30 AM EST Continuing Claims…est. 2.55M 8:30 AM ET Philly Fed Index for October…est. 25.0 10:00 AM ET Existing Home Sales MoM for September…est. 6.09M 10:00 AM ET Leading Index MoM for September…est. +0.4% 10:30 AM ET Weekly EIA Natural Gas Inventory Data Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: AAL, ALK, ALLY, AMTB, AN, BANC, BHLB, BKU, BX, CROX, DHX, DHR, DOW, EEFT, EWBC, FAF, FCX, GATX, GPC, GTLS, HOMB, HRI, IIIN, IPG, IQV, KEY, LNN, MMC, POOL, SASR, SCHN, T, TPH, TRN, TSCO, UNP, VLO, WBS Earnings After the Close: ASB, NJRI, BOOM, CE, CMG, CSL, CSTR, FFBC, GBCI, INTC, MAT, NUE, OZK, PBCT, PINE, PSMT, SAM, SNAP, SIVB, TRST, USX, VICR, WAL, WHR, WRB, WSFS Other Key Events: The European Society of Gene and Cell Therapy (ESGCT) Congress 2021 is taking place virtually this year from October 19-22 Macro Up/Down Last Nymex -0.53 82.89 Brent -0.95 84.87 Gold 1.90 1,788.70 EUR/USD -0.0012 1.1639 JPY/USD -0.27 113.99 10-Year Note +0.013 1.645% Sector News Breakdown Consumer Tesla Inc. ($TSLA) 3Q adj EPS $1.86 vs est. $1.59 on revs $13.76B vs est. $13.63B, auto gr margin 30.5% vs 27.7% year ago, says expect op margin will continue to grow; qtly bitcoin-related impairment of $51Mm; continue to target first model Y production builds in Berlin and Austin before end of year; says challenges including semi shortages, port congestion, rolling blackouts impacting ability to keep factories running full speed; Las Vegas ($LVS) Q3 revs $857M below the $1.34B estimate; on a GAAP basis, qtrly total net revenues for SCL increased to $611 mln, compared to $167 mln in q3 of 2020; Q3 adj EPS loss (-$0.45) vs. est. loss (-$0.20) Unilever ($UL) rises on higher-than-expected Q3 sales growth; reports higher-than-expected underlying sales growth for Q3 beating analysts’ expectations; reiterates full-year profit margin forecast, defying some analysts’ fears of a cut; warns inflation is likely to accelerate next year Portillo’s ($PTLO)27M share IPO priced at $20.00 Energy Kinder Morgan ($KMI) Q3 adj EPS $0.22 vs. est. $0.24; Q3 revs $3.82B vs. est. $3.26B; backs FY21 adjusted EBITDA view $7.9B, expects to generate net income attributable to KMI of $1.7 billion and declare dividends of $1.08 per share, a 3% increase TechnipFMC ($FTI) shares fall -6%; 3Q adj EPS ($0.06) vs est. $0.02 on revs $1.58B vs est. $1.7B, qtrly total inbound orders were $1.37B, qtr-end backlog $7.0B; guides FY subsea revs $5.2-5.5B, sees FY surface tech revs $1.05-1.25B, sees FY CAPEX approx $250Mm HighPeak Energy ($HPK)2M share Secondary priced at $10.00 Helix Energy ($HLX) narrows FY21 revenue view to $600M-$645M from $600M-$670M; narrows FY21 adjusted EBITDA view to $85M-$100M from $75M-$100M and boosts FY free cash flow view to $80M-$120M from $45M-$90M; lowers cap-ex view Valero (VLO) Q3 adj EPS $1.22 vs. est. $0.92; Q3 revs $29.52B vs. est. $23.97B Financials Discover Financial ($DFS) Q3 EPS $3.54 vs. est. $3.53; Q3 revs $2.78B vs. est. $2.91B; Total loans ended the quarter at $89.5 billion, up 1% year-over-year, and up 2% sequentially. Credit card loans ended the quarter at $70.3 billion, up 1% year-over-year. Personal loans decreased $321 million, or 4%, and private student loans increased $168 million, or 2%, year-over-year. Banner Corp. ($BANR) 3Q EPS $1.44 vs est. $1.15 on revs $155.5Mm vs est. $122.6Mm Cohen & Steers ($CNS) 3Q adj EPS $1.06 vs est. $0.97 on revs $154.2Mm vs est. $148.3Mm Equifax ($EFX) 3Q adj EPS $1.85 vs est. $1.72 on revs $1.2B vs est. $1.18B; guides 4Q revs $1.23-1.25B vs est. $1.2B and adj EPS $1.72-1.82 vs est. $1.80; sees FY revs $4.9-4.92B vs est. $4.83B and adj EPS $7.52-7.62 vs est. $7.47 First Industrial Realty ($FR) 3Q FFO/share $0.51 vs est. $0.49; raises FY FFO/share guide by $0.02 at midpoint to $1.95 vs est. $1.94 OneMain Holdings ($OMF) 3Q adj EPS $2.37 vs est. $2.30; C&I managed receivables $19.1B, C&I net charge-off ratio 3.52%, repurchased 2.4Mm shares for $141Mm in qtr; proposes minimum qtrly div/share of $0.70; Sterling Bancorp. ($STL) 3Q adj EPS $0.52 vs est. $0.51; NII $213.8Mm vs est. $219.3Mm; proposes 3Q dividend of $0.07 SL Green Realty ($SLG) Q3 FFO $1.78 vs. est. $1.58; Q3 revs $142.7M vs. est. $160.97M; revising its earnings guidance ranges; said same-store cash NOI, including our share of same-store cash NOI from unconsolidated joint ventures, increased by 5.7% for Q3; narrows FY21 FFO view to $6.45-$6.65 from $6.30-$6.70 SLM Corp. ($SLM) 3Q core EPS $0.24 vs est. $0.20; private education loan originations +10% to $2.1B; declares 4Q dividend of $0.11/share vs $0.03/share in 3Q21; qtrly NII $358Mm vs est. $343.6Mm; qtrly education loan provisions for credit losses $138Mm; sees FY net charge-offs $195M to $205M, saw $215M to $225M Texas Capital ($TCBI) Q3 EPS $0.76 vs. est. $1.10; Q3 net interest income of $194.1M declines from $197.0M in Q2 and $207.6M YoY due to a decline in loan fees, partially offset by a decrease in average interest-bearing deposits; non-interest income also fell 30% from Q2 and 65% from Q3 2020, driven by Q2 sale of its mortgage servicing rights portfolio and other non-interest income. Triumph Bancorp ($TBK) Q3 EPS $0.94 vs est. $1.08; Q3 net charge-offs .08%; Q3 CET1 capital ratio 9.45%; Q3 tangible book value per share $19.73; net interest margin was 6.69%. Yield on loans and the average cost of our total deposits were 7.92% and 0.16%, respectively Umpqua Holdings Corporation ($UMPQ) Q3 EPS $0.49 vs. est. $0.44; Net income of $108.1 million, or $0.49 per common share; non-PPP loan balances increased $479.7 million or 2.3%; Deposit balances increased $754.8 million or 2.9%; provision for credit losses recapture of $18.9 million as modeled economic conditions improve Healthcare S. regulators on Wednesday signed off on extending COVID-19 boosters to Americans who got the Moderna (MRNA) or Johnson & Johnson ($JNJ) vaccine and said anyone eligible for an extra dose can get a brand different from the one they received initially. Tenet Healthcare ($THC) Q3 adj EPS $1.99 vs. est. $0.99; Q3 revs $4.89B vs. est. $4.81B; qtrly same-hospital net patient service revenue per adjusted admission up 6.2% versus q3 2020; sees 2021 adj EPS now $6.15-$6.38 (from prior $5.23-$5.73) and adj Ebitda $3.275B-$3.325B (from prior $3.15B-$3.25B) Regeneron ($REGN) and Sanofi ($SNY) said the FDA has approved Dupixent, or dupilumab, as an add-on maintenance treatment of patients aged 6 to 11 years with moderate-to-severe asthma characterized by an eosinophilic phenotype or with oral corticosteroid-dependent asthma Ventyx Biosciences ($VTYX)47M share IPO priced at $16.00 Investment adviser Darwin Global Management became the third shareholder of Acceleron Pharmaceuticals ($XLRN) to publicly oppose the company’s pending acquisition by Merck ($MRK). In a letter, Darwin said it believes Merck’s $11 billion offer price, or $180 per share, is too low. Acceleron is actually worth between $22 billion and $28 billion, according to the firm, or $353 to $451 per share Industrials & Materials CSX Corp. ($CSX) 3Q EPS $0.43 vs est. $0.39 on revs $3.29B vs est. $3.11B; 24% surge in revenue just outpaced a 23% increase in expenses. Activist investor Elliott Management Corp. has a big stake in Canadian National Railway Co. ($CNI), the WSJ reported citing people familiar with the matter said, adding to pressure on the railroad after its CEO resigned following a failed bid for rival Kansas City Southern. Covenant Logistics ($CVLG) 3Q adj EPS $1.02 vs est. $1.02 on revs $274.6Mm vs est. $259.9Mm Dow Inc. ($DOW) Q3 EPS $2.75 vs. est. $2.56; Q3 revs $14.84B vs. est. $14.25 Graco ($GGG) 3Q adj EPS $0.57 vs est. $0.63 on revs $486.7Mm vs est. $490.5Mm; says continue to target mid-high-teen organic sales growth on constant currency basis for FY21 vs est. +19% Kaiser Aluminum ($KALU) Q3 adj EPS $0.57 vs. est. $1.33; Q3 sales $751M misses the $773.2M est.; anticipates cost issues and supply chain disruptions will continue during quarter Landstar ($LSTR) Q3 EPS $2.58 vs. est. $2.49; Q3 revs $1.734B vs. est. $1.66B; Q3 truckload transportation revenue hauled via van equipment inQ3 was up 59% YoY to $918.1M; truckload transportation revenue hauled via unsided/platform equipment in Q3 was up 44% to $423.0M; sees Q4 EPS $2.55-$2.65 vs. est. $2.43 PPG Industries ($PPG) 3Q adj EPS $1.69 vs est. $1.58 on sales about $4.4B vs est. $4.24B; guides FY adj EPS $6.67-6.73 vs est. $7.03; says plan to execute share repurchases in 4Q and continue to evaluate potential bolt-on acquisitions; say increased supply disruptions negatively impacted sales and manufacturing costs Rush Enterprises ($RUSHA) Q3 EPS $1.20 vs. est. $0.96; Q3 revs $1.27B below est. $1.34B; said supply chain issues continue to impact new truck and aftermarket sales Valmont Industries ($VMI) 3Q adj EPS $2.57 vs est. $2.47 on revs $868.8Mm vs est. $862.3Mm; guides FY adj EPS $10.60-11.10 vs est. $10.78; sees FY22 sales +7-12% vs est. +6.2%, sees EPS +13-15% vs est. +13.5%
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Wednesday, October 20, 2021 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow -6.00 0.02% 35,317 S&P 500 -0.25 0.02% 4,510 Nasdaq 3.50 0.02% 15,401 U.S. equity futures are mostly flat across the board ahead of another busy morning of quarterly earnings, with the recent 5-day winning streak bringing the S&P 500 to within 1% of its September all-time highs with solid corporate earnings offsetting persistent inflation concerns and a jump in Treasury bond yields. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury is at morning lows around 1.63% but falling from overnight highs of 1.67%. Surging energy prices, supply chain disruptions and labor shortages are adding cost and margin pressures to a host of companies this earnings season. In earnings overnight, Netflix (NFLX) is little changed after a quarterly beat while airline UAL rises on a narrower loss. U.S. stocks climbed on Tuesday as large cap companies continued to report strong third-quarter earnings. The S&P 500 index posted its 5th straight day of gains, led by healthcare and technology stocks as the NYFANG posted a record-high close. That said, with 10 of 11 major S&P 500 sectors higher on the day, value actually slightly outperformed growth. The Dow rose 0.57%, the S&P 500 was up 0.74% and the Nasdaq moved up 0.71%. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index rose 40 points to 29,255, the Shanghai Index slipped a few points to 3,587, and the Hang Seng Index jumped 348 points to 26,136. In Europe, the German DAX is up about 20 points to 15,540, while the FTSE 100 is little changed at 7,220. Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index gained 33.17 points, or 0.74%, to 4,519.63 The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 198.70 points, or 0.56%, to 35,457.31 The Nasdaq Composite jumped 107.28 points, or 0.71%, to 15,129.09 The Russell 2000 Index advanced 8.07 points, or 0.36% to 2,275.91 Events Calendar for Today 7:00 AM ET MBA Mortgage Applications Data 10:30 AM ET Weekly DOE Inventory Data Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: ABT, ANTM, BIIB, BKR, BOKF, CFG, CMA, FCFS, FHN, KNX, LAD, MKTX, MSM, MTB, NDAQ, NEE, NEP, NTRS, TZOO, UNF, VZ, WGO, WSO Earnings After the Close: BANR, CCI, CNS, CSX, CVLG, DFS, EFX, FR, GGG, GL, GSBC, HCCI, HLX, IBM, KALU, KMI, LRCX, LSTR, LVS, MMLP, NVEC, PMF, PFBC, PPG, REXR, RLI, RUSHA, SEIC, SLG, SLM, STL, TBK, TCBI, THC, TSLA, UFPI, UMPQ, VMI, XM Other Key Events: Samsung announces Unpacked 2 event for Wednesday Oct 20th, right after Apple and Google Needham Dispensary Bus Tour: AYRWF, CURLF, GTBIF, VRNOF, in Las Vegas, 10/20 The European Society of Gene and Cell Therapy (ESGCT) Congress 2021 is taking place virtually this year from October 19-22 Needham Virtual Global Access Inaugural Needham Biotech Private Company Virtual 1×1 Forum, 10/19-10/20 Macro Up/Down Last Nymex -0.92 82.04 Brent -0.94 84.14 Gold 8.50 1,780.90 EUR/USD -0.0004 1.1628 JPY/USD 0.09 114.46 10-Year Note +0.006 1.64% World News College enrollments plunged in 2020 to the lowest level since 2007. According to new data released by the U.S. Census Bureau on Tuesday, enrollment in schools dropped by 2.9 million from 2019 to 2020 and colleges by 615,000. Sector News Breakdown Consumer Ford ($F) upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Credit Suisse and up tgt to $20 from $15 saying has seen a “significant turnaround” at Ford as the company has ended its cycle of quarterly earnings disappointments and its transition to electric vehicles has sharply accelerated Vinco Ventures ($BBIG) slides after the company reported the resignations of Chief Executive Officer Christopher Ferguson and Chief Financial Officer Brett Vroman Uber Technologies ($UBER) files prospectus supplement related to offering of 16.5M shares of common stock by selling stockholders United Airlines ($UAL) 3Q ADJ eps (1.02) vs est. ($1.67) on revs $7.8B vs est. $7.85B, says on track to meet 2022 targets, poised to capitalize on international reopening, says on track to reduce CASM-EX next year below 2019 levels, expects 4Q CASM-EX +12-14% vs 4q19, sees 4Q capacity to be -23% vs 4Q19; says remains on track to achieve long-term financial targets Stride ($LRN) Q1 EPS loss (-0.15) vs. est. loss (-$0.14); Q1 revs $400.2M vs. est. $359.48M; Q1 adj EBITDA $25.5M vs. $39.2M last year; Q1 total enrollment 189.6K, down 5.8% yoy; sees Q2 revs $390M-$400M vs. est. $365M WD-40 ($WDFC) 4Q EPS $0.61 on sales $115.2Mm vs est. $117.5Mm; guides FY EPS $5.24-5.38 below est. $5.76, sees FY sales $522-542Mm vs est. $517.4Mm Energy, Industrials and Materials The American Petroleum Institute (API) shows a build of 3.29M barrels of oil for the week ending October 15, gasoline inventories show a draw of 3.5M barrels, distillate inventories show a draw of 3M barrels and Cushing inventories show a draw of 2.5M barrels. Canadian National ($CNI) Q3 adj EPS C$1.52 as revs rose 5% to C$3.6B; reaffirms 2021 outlook; says on track to achieve strategic plan 2022 targets with operating performance improvements and cost initiatives well underway; qtrly operating ratio of 62.7%, up 2.8 points; said CEO to retire Marten Transport ($MRTN) Q3 EPS $0.26 vs. est. $0.25; Q3 revs $251.3M vs. est. $237.37M Vale ($VALE) said Q3 iron ore production increased 18.1% Q/Q and 0.8% Y/Y to 89.4 M mt, while output of iron ore pellets, a premium product, rose 4.1% Q/Q while falling 2.6% Y/Y to 8.3M mt Financials Citizens Financial ($CFG) Q3 EPS $1.22 vs. est. $1.16; Q3 revs $1.66B vs. est. $1.64B; provision for credit losses a benefit of $33 mln Hancock Whitney (HWC) 3Q EPS $1.46 vs est. $1.29, NII $237.5Mm vs est. $235.7Mm; qtrly pre-provision net revs $134.8Mm Interactive Brokers ($IBKR) Q3 EPS $0.78 vs. est. $0.75; Q3 revs $650M vs. est. $640.87M; Q3 customer accounts increased 57% from the year-ago quarter to 1.54M as customer equity grew 52% YoY to $353.8B; total DARTs increased 24% YoY to 2.26M and cleared DARTs increased 24% from the year-ago quarter to 2.02M United Community Bank ($UCBI) Q3 EPS $0.82 vs. est. $0.66; return on assets (ROA) was 1.48% and its return on common equity was 14.3% for the quarter; quarter benefited from an allowance release of $11.0 million, reflecting continued improvement in economic conditions and forecasts; Total loans decreased by $200 million during the quarter Wintrust Financial ($WTFC) Q3 EPS $1.77 vs. est. $1.52; Total deposits increased by $1.1 billion, including a $459 million increase in non-interest-bearing deposits; net interest income increased by $7.9 million as compared to Q2 Stronghold Digital Mining ($SDIG)69M share IPO priced at $19.00 Healthcare Novavax ($NVAX) slides around -20% on reports the company is facing production delays as the methods it used to test the purity of its COVID-19 vaccine have fallen short of U.S. regulators’ standards, Politico reported on Tuesday. NVAX, in a filing in Aug, said that U.S. govt has asked co to prioritize alignment with FDA on its analytic methods before manufacturing more doses https://politi.co/3FWQAOW Anthem ($ANTM) Q3 adj EPS $6.79 vs. est. $6.37; Q3 revs $35.5B vs. est. $35.3B; raises FY21 adj EPS view to greater than $25.85 vs. est. $25.65 (prior view was greater than $25.50); for FY21, says operating cash flow is now expected to be greater than $6B; Medical enrollment totaled approximately 45.1M members at September 30, 2021, an increase of 2.4M or 5.7% YoY ATI Physical Therapy ($ATIP) cuts FY21 revenue view to $620M-$630M from $640M-$670M (est. $652.72M) and cuts FY21 adjusted EBITDA view to $40M-$44M from $60M-$70M due to lower-than-expected patient volume Akero (AKRO) receives FDA fast track designation for Efruxifermin for the treatment of NASH Context Therapeutics (CNTX) 5M share IPO priced at $5.00 Technology, Media & Telecom Netflix ($NFLX) 3Q EPS $3.19 vs est. $2.56 on revs $7.5Mm vs est. $7.48Mm, net adds 4.38Mm vs est. 4Mm; sees 4Q net adds 8.5Mm vs est. 8.3Mm, sees 4Q revs $7.71Mm vs est. $7.68Mm, sees 4Q op margin about 6.5%; guides FF positive on annual basis in 2022 and beyond; said it believes no longer needs to raise external financing to fund day-to-day ops Omnicom ($OMC) Q3 EPS $1.65 vs. est. $1.37; Q3 revs $3.435B vs. est. $3.44B; Q3 operating margin increased to 15.8% compared to 15.6% same period last year; qtrly increase in revenue from organic growth of 11.5%; says global economic conditions may continue to be volatile as long as covid-19 remains, which could negatively impact clients’ spending plans ASML Holding NV ($ASML) reported a Q3 profit rise of 64%, beating analysts’ consensus, and said that demand continues to be high; net profit for the quarter ended Oct. 3 rose to 1.74 billion euros ($2.02 billion) compared consensus of EUR1.63 billion; net sales for the quarter were EUR5.24 billion compared with guidance of between EUR5.2 billion and EUR5.4 billion Samsung ($SSNLF) and Intel ($INTC) are both seeking to win orders for Apple’s ($AAPL) in-house developed Mac processors, but industry sources believe TSMC (TSM) will remain the sole supplier for the next-generation Mac series – Digitimes Facebook ($FB) is set to announce a rebranding that could see the creation of a newly-named parent company — in the sprit of Alphabet and Google — that sits atop its network of social media and communications apps. – The Verge reports
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Thursday, July 22, 2021 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow 83.00 0.24% 34,772 S&P 500 8.25 0.20% 4,359 Nasdaq 20.50 0.14% 14,848 Stock futures pointing higher, looking to make it a third straight day in a row of gains as optimism about earnings and the economic recovery outweighed Wall Street’s concerns about rising inflation and surging coronavirus cases. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury rose early Thursday to 1.287% after touching lows below 1.13% earlier this week. President Joe Biden, at a town hall in Cincinnati hosted by CNN, said Wednesday night “there will be near-term inflation” as the economy recovers but said he has been advised by his economic team that current price increases won’t last as demand returns to normal levels. Stocks advanced Wednesday as strong corporate earnings and renewed optimism about the U.S. economic recovery stoked investor risk appetite. All three major U.S. stock indexes appeared set to build on the previous session’s gains, which delivered the S&P 500’s best day since March, while the Russell 2000 SmallCap outperformed for a second day after trading in correction territory on Monday (defined as 10% down off record highs). With Wednesday’s advance, all three are within 1% of their all-time closing highs. Economically sensitive SmallCaps, semiconductors and financials outperformed the broader market as investors prep for another busy day of earnings. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index rose 159 points to 27,548, the Shanghai Index gained 12 points to 3,574 and the Hang Seng Index jumped nearly 500 points (1.83%) to settle at 27,723. In Europe, the German DAX is jumps 125 points to 15,550, while the FTSE 100 rises about 15 points to move above the 7,000 level. Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index gained 35.63 points, or 0.82%, to 4,358.69 The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 286.01 points, or 0.83%, to 34,798.00 The Nasdaq Composite jumped 133.08 points, or 0.92%, to 14,631.95 The Russell 2000 Index advanced 39.74 points, or 1.81% to 2,234.04 Events Calendar for Today 8:30 AM ET Weekly Jobless Claims 8:30 AM EST Continuing Claims 10:00 AM ET Existing Home Sales MoM for June 10:00 AM ET Leading Index MoM for June 10:30 AM ET Weekly EIA Natural Gas Inventory Data 11:00 AM ET Kansas City Fed Manufacturing for July Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: $AAL, $ABT, $AEP, $ALK, $AUB, $BANC, $BCO, $BIIB, $BKU, $BX, $CADE, $CLF, $CROX, $CSBR, $DGX, $DHI, $DHR, $DOW, $EWBC, $FAF, $FCX, $FITB, $GPC, $GTLS, $HRI, $HZO, $IIIN, $LUV, $MMC, $NEM, $NUE, $POOL, $RS, $SAFE, $SON, $T, $TPH, $TRN, $UNP, $VLY, $WBS, $WSO Earnings After the Close: $ABCB, $ASB, $BOOM, CBSH, $CE, $COF, $CSL, $CSTR, $GGBC, $INTC, $MMLP, $MSBI, $OZK, $RBNC, $SAM, $SBCF, $SIVB, $SNA, $SNAP, $TACO, $TWTR, $USX, $VRSN, $WRB, $WSFS Macro Up/Down Last Nymex 0.63 70.93 Brent 0.62 72.85 Gold -7.50 1,796.10 EUR/USD -0.0007 1.1787 JPY/USD -0.01 110.28 10-Year Note +0.013 1.295% World News The U.S. Treasury Department is projected to exhaust its borrowing authority in October or November, the Congressional Budget Office said on Wednesday, as a fight between Democrats and Republicans over raising the nation’s debt ceiling erupted in Congress. A failure to work out differences over whether government spending cuts should accompany an increase in the statutory debt limit, currently set at $28.5 trillion, could lead to a federal government shutdown – as has happened three times in the past decade – or even a debt default. Sector News Breakdown Consumer Las Vegas Sands ($LVS) 2Q EPS loss ($0.25) vs est. ($0.17), adj property EBITDA $244Mm, revs $1.17B vs est. $1.41B, net revs from Macao $855Mm Whirlpool ($WHR) Q2 adj EPS $6.64 vs. est. $5.93; Q2 revs $5.32B vs. est. $5.05B; raises FY21 adjusted EPS view to $26.00 from $22.50-$23.50 (est. $23.73); boosts FY21 net sales growth to ~16% from ~13%; sees FY21 cash provided by operating activities of $1.95B Stanley Black & Decker ($SWK) raises quarterly dividend 13% to 79c from 70c per share R. Horton ($DHI) Q3 EPS $3.06 vs. est. $2.81; Q3 revs $7.3B vs. est. $7.19B; Q3 net sales decreased 17% to 17,952 homes and increased 2% in value to $6.4 billion compared to 21,519 homes and $6.3 billion in the same quarter of the prior year; sees FY21 consolidated revenue $27.6B-$28.1B vs. est. $27.4B China is weighing an unprecedented penalty for Didi Global (DIDI) following its IPO last month, people familiar with the matter tell Bloomberg Energy Kinder Morgan ($KMI) Q2 adj EPS $0.23 vs. est. $0.19; Q2 revs $3.15B vs. est. $2.88B; expects to meet or exceed the top end of the range provided last quarter for DCF and Adjusted EBITDA; anticipates generating 2021 DCF of $5.4 billion and Adjusted EBITDA of $7.9 billion. TechnipFMC ($FTI) Q2 adj EPS ($0.06) vs est. ($0.01) on revs $1.669B vs est. $1.6B, qtr-end backlog $7.3B, qtrly inbound orders $1.56B; guides FY subsea revs $5.2-5.5B, guides surface tech revs $1.05-1.25B vs total revs est. $6.452 Precision Drilling (PDS) Q2 EPS loss (C$5.71) vs. (C$3.56) a year ago; Q2 revs C$201M vs. C$189.76M a year ago Chart Industries ($GTLS) Q2 adj EPS 80c vs. est. 79c; Q2 revs $322.0M vs. est. $317.45M; raises FY21 adjusted EPS view to $3.80-$4.25 from $3.65-$4.15 (est. $3.91); raises FY21 revenue guidance to $1.38B-$1.43B from $1.36B-$1.41B Financials Cohen & Steers ($CNS) Q2 adj EPS 94c vs. est. 86c; Q2 revs $144.27M vs. est. $131.17M; ending AUM of $96.2B, vs. $87.04B at previous quarter end – increase was driven by net inflows of $2.6B and market appreciation of $7.4B, partially offset by distributions of $769M Discover Financial ($DFS) 2Q EPS $5.55 vs est. $3.97, qtrly payment services volume $78.4B +22%, total loans ended qtr at $87.7B -1%, credit card loans ended qtr at $68.9B -2%, total net charge-off rt 2.12%; increases qtrly common stock dividend from $0.44-0.50/shr, approves share repurchase up to $2.4B Equifax ($EFX) 2Q adj EPS $1.98 vs est. $1.71 on revs $1.235B vs est. $1.16B; guides 3Q adj EPS $1.62-1.72 vs est. $1.65, raises FY adj EPS guide to $7.25-7.45 vs est. $7.05, sees FY revs $4.76-4.8B vs est. $4.675B Globe Life ($GL) 2Q EPS $1.92 vs est. $1.82; guides FY EPS $7.34-7.54 vs est. $7.29; says for FY at mid-point of guidance, estimate covid life claims between $53-55Mm Moelis ($MC) Q2 adj EPS $1.19 vs. est. $0.80; Q2 revs $360.9M vs. est. $273.8M; raises quarterly dividend by 9% to $0.60 and approves $100M share buyback OneMain Financial ($OMF) 2Q adj EPS $2.66 vs est. $2.19, NII $708Mm vs est. $769.1Mm; C&I managed receivables $18.3B, net charge-off ratio 4.41%, repurchased $35Mm in 2Q SEI Investments ($SEIC) 2Q EPS $0.93 vs est. $0.92 on revs $475.7Mm vs est. $464.7Mm SL Green Realty ($SLG) 2Q FFO/shr $1.60 vs est. $1.62, qtrly consolidated revs $218.1Mm vs est. $189.6Mm, op income $88.7Mm; same-store cash NOI including share of same-store NOI from unconsolidated JVs -3.7% yr/yr SLM Corp. ($SLM) Q2 core EPS $0.45 vs. est. $0.35; raises FY21 GAAP EPS view to $3.15-$3.25 from $2.95-$3.15; affirms FY21 private education loan origination y/y growth view of 6%-7% and lowers portfolio net charge-off view to $215M-$225M from $260M-$280M Texas Capital ($TCBI) 2Q EPS $1.31 vs est. $1.21; net interest income was $197.0 mln for q2 of 2021, compared to $200.1 mln for q1 of 2021 Triumph Bancorp. ($TBK) 2Q adj EPS $1.17 vs est. $1.02, NII $90.3Mm vs est. $89.2Mm, net int margin 6.47% Umpqua Holdings ($UMPQ) Q2 EPS $0.53 vs. est. $0.44; Q2 loan loss provision ($23M) vs. $87.08M a year ago; Q2 net charge-offs ($13.6M) vs. ($16.16M) a year ago; tangible book value per share was $12.49 at quarter end from $12.10 at previous quarter end; board approves to repurchase up to $400M of stock Ryan Specialty Group ($RYAN) 57M share IPO priced at $23.50 Travelers ($TRV) downgraded to Underperform from Buy at Bank America Healthcare Pfizer Inc. ($PFE) said the FDA has notified the company that it will not meet the Prescription Drug User Fee Act (PDUFA) goal dates for the New Drug Application for abrocitinib for the treatment of adults and adolescents with moderate to severe atopic dermatitis and the supplemental New Drug Application for XELJANZ/XELJANZ XR (tofacitinib) for the treatment of adults with active ankylosing spondylitis ICON Plc ($ICLR) Q2 adj EPS $2.12 vs. est. $2.09; Q2 revs $871.2M vs. est. $855.9M; sees FY21 EPS $9.10-$9.50 vs. est. $8.71; Record net business wins in the quarter of $1,106 million, an increase of 21.6% year on year; a net book to bill of 1.27; record closing backlog of $10.2 billion, an increase of 12.7% year on year Tenet Healthcare ($THC) Q2 EPS $1.59 vs. est. $1.07; Q2 revs $4.95B vs. est. $4.79B; Q2 Same-facility system-wide ambulatory surgical cases were up 68.2% from last year; year adj EBITDA Outlook range now $3.15B-$3.25B, up from prior view of $3.0B-$3.2B, which excludes the projected gain on the sale of the Miami-area hospitals; year adjusted diluted EPS $5.23-$5.73 up from $4.12-$5.46 prior – shares fell as Q3 guidance falls below consensus Absci ($ABSI)5M share IPO priced at $16.00 Natera ($NTRA)5M share Secondary priced at $113.00 Danaher ($DHR) Q2 adj EPS $2.46 vs. est. $2.05; Q2 revs $7.22B vs. est. $6.72B; for q3 2021, anticipates that non-GAAP core revenue growth will be in mid- to high-teens percent range; for full year 2021, now anticipates that non-GAAP core revenue growth rate including Cytiva will be about 20% Industrials & Materials CSX Corp. ($CSX) Q2 EPS $0.52 vs. est. $0.37; Q2 revs $2.99B vs. est. $2.93B; Q2 2021 operating ratio was 43.4% compared to 63.3% in prior year period; maintains full year revenue outlook and still sees year cap-ex $1.7B-$1.8B; Q2 expenses fall by 9% year-over-year to $1.30B Graco ($GGG) Q2 EPS $0.63 vs. est. $0.60; Q2 revs $507.2M vs. est. $475.94M; says initiating an outlook for full-year 2021 of mid-to-high teen sales growth on an organic, constant currency basis Dow Inc. ($DOW) Q2 EPS $2.72 vs. est. $2.30; Q2 revs $13.89B vs. est. $13.02B; qtrly packaging & specialty plastics segment net sales were $7.1 bln, up 78% versus year-ago period; industrial intermediates & infrastructure segment net sales were $4.2 bln, up 74% versus year-ago period; qtrly performance materials & coatings segment net sales were $2.5 bln, up 33% over year-ago BHP ($BHP) announced the signing of a nickel supply agreement with Tesla ($TSLA). Kaiser Aluminum ($KALU) Q2 adj EPS $1.00 vs. est. $1.44; Q2 revs $741M vs. est. $519.18M; qtrly shipments 337 mln lbs vs 119 mln lbs; said automotive business is temporarily dampened as ongoing shortages of semiconductor chips affects N. American light vehicle production Landstar ($LSTR) Q2 EPS $2.40 vs. est. $2.32; Q2 revs $1.57B vs. est. $1.46B; actual revenue per load on loads hauled via truck in 2021 q2 compared to 2021 q1 increased 7.5%; sees Q3 EPS $2.20-$2.30 and revs $1.55B-$1.6B UFP Industries ($UFPI) 2Q EPS $2.78 vs est. $1.81 on sales $2.7B vs est. $2.26B, expects all segments to benefit from more stable pricing in 2022 Valmont Industries ($VMI) Q2 adj EPS $3.06 vs. est. $2.50; Q2 revs $894.6M vs. est. $814.85M; sees FY21 adj EPS $10.40-$11.10 above consensus $9.89 and raises FY21 revenue growth view to 16%-19% from 9%-14%; expect meaningful sequential margin improvement in second half of 2021 as pricing becomes more aligned with steel cost inflation XL Fleet Corp ($XL) announced a battery and power electronics development and supply agreement and an investment in eNow, Inc., a provider of solar and battery power systems that enable fully-electric Transport Refrigeration Units for Class 8 commercial trailers
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Tuesday, July 20, 2021 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow 182.00 0.53% 34,582 S&P 500 16.25 0.38% 4,331 Nasdaq 8.50 0.06% 14,731 U.S. stocks continue to recover from an early-week selloff prompted by fears surrounding the rapidly-spreading Delta variant as major averages rose about 1.6% on Tuesday, with investors again taking any market pullback as an opportunity to jump back into equities. A handful of Dow components expected to report earnings this morning with Johnson & Johnson, Coca-Cola and Verizon coming up. In Washington, a $1.2T bipartisan infrastructure bill will face an initial procedural floor vote in U.S. Senate today, which aims to upgrade roads and bridges, water systems and expand broadband Internet. European equities are in the green, extending opening gains to trade near best levels for the week as travel the strongest sector followed by retail and banking names. Crude futures drift higher as September WTI rises over 1% to trade back on a $68-handle and Brent trades back above $70. Netflix ($NFLX) shares little changed after mixed earnings results overnight. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index climbed 159 points to 27,548, the Shanghai Index gained 25 points to 3,562 and the Hang Seng Index slipped -34 points to 27,224. In Europe, the German DAX is up over 130 points to 15,350, while the FTSE 100 gains over 100 points (1.58%) to move just below the 7,000 level. Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index gained 64.57 points, or 1.52%, to 4,323.06 The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 549.95 points, or 1.62%, to 34,511.99 The Nasdaq Composite surged 223.89 points, or 1.57%, to 14,498.88 The Russell 2000 Index advanced 63.62 points, or 2.99% to 2,194.30 Events Calendar for Today 7:00 AM ET MBA Mortgage Applications Data 10:30 AM ET Weekly DOE Inventory Data Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: $AFI, $ANTM, $BHLB, $BKR, $BOKF, $CMA, $FCFS, $HOG, $IPG, $JNJ, $KNX, $KO, $LAD, $LVS, $MKTX, $MTB, $NDAQ, $NTRS, $STX, $TZOO, $USAP, $VZ, $WRLD Earnings After the Close: $BANR, $BXS, $CCI, $CNS, $CSX, $CVLG, $DFS, $EFX, $EGBN, $FR, $GGG, $GL, $GSBC, $INBK, $KALU, $KMI, $LOB, $LSTR, $MC, $NTGR, $NVEC, $OMF, $PLXS, $REXR, $RGP, $RLI, $SLG, $SLM, $STC, $STL, $TBK, $TCBI, $THC, $TSC, $TXN, $UFPI, UMPQ, $VMI, $WASH, $WHR Macro Up/Down Last Nymex 0.85 68.05 Brent 0.90 70.25 Gold -6.30 1,804.00 EUR/USD -0.0007 1.1774 JPY/USD 0.25 110.10 10-Year Note +0.036 1.245% Sector News Breakdown Consumer Chipotle Mexican Grill ($CMG) shares rise 4%; 2Q adj EPS $7.46 vs. est. $6.52 on revs $1.9B vs. est. $1.88B, digital sales +10.5% (48.5% of total sales), qtrly comps +31.2%, qtrly restaurant level op mgn 24.5%; guides 3Q comps sales +low-mid-double-digits, sees 3Q at or slightly above +200 new restaurants Lands’ End ($LE) raises Q2 revs to $380M-$385M, up from prior view $345M-$355M; raises Q2 adj Ebitda to $36M-$38M from prior view $20M-$23M and ups EPS view to $0.39-$0.43 from prior $0.05-$0.12 (est. $0.07); also raises year revs, income and Ebitda views Sleep Number ($SNBR) shares fall -9% on miss; 2Q EPS $0.88 vs. est. $1.16 on net sales $484.3Mm missing the est. $511Mm; guides FY EPS at least $7.25 vs est. $6.79 (assumes 25% tax rt for remainder of the year) Harley Davidson ($HOG) 2Q adj EPS $1.41 vs est. $1.17 on revs $1.53B vs est. $1.41B, qtrly motorcycle shipments 56,700 vs 28,400 yr-ago; qtrly worldwide motorcycle retail sales 65,300 vs 52,700 yr-ago; guides FY motorcycle segment revs +30-35%, sees FY financial svcs segment op inc +75-85% Lithia Motors ($LAD) Q2 adj EPS $11.12 vs. est. $5.85; Q2 revs $6.01B vs. est. $4.99B; qtrly new vehicle retail sales increased 130.0% and qtrly used vehicle retail sales increased 95.7% Tesla ($TSLA) plans to open its network of superchargers to other electric vehicles later this year, CEO Elon Musk said on Twitter; the co’s fast charging network, with over 25,000 superchargers globally, has given it a competitive edge VICI Properties ($VICI) entered into a strategic arrangement with Great Wolf Resorts whereby VICI Properties may provide certain financing for the construction and development of Great Wolf Lodge resorts throughout the United States United Airlines ($UAL) Q2 op revs $5.47B vs. est. $5.35B; 2Q adj EPS ($3.91) vs est. ($3.91), capacity -46%, 3Q est. capacity -26%; sees 3Q TRASM positive vs 3Q19; expects 4Q adj pre-tax income to be positive; Q2 operating expenses down 42%, down 32% excluding special charges, compared to q2 2019 Energy The American Petroleum Institute ($API) reports that crude inventories rose 806,000 barrels last week, gasoline inventories rose 3.31M barrels and distillate stockpiles fell -1.225M barrels Avangrid ($AGR) Q2 adj EPS 35c vs. est. 41c; Q2 revs $1.48B vs. est. $1.52B; cuts FY21 adjusted EPS view to $2.04-2.22 from $2.25-$2.45 (est. $2.36) Halliburton ($HAL) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman Sachs Financials CME Group ($CME) raises crude oil future Nymex (cl) maintenance margins to $5,450/contract from $5,300 for sept. 2021 Fulton Financial ($FULT) Q2 EPS $0.38 vs. est. $0.33; Q2 net interest income (NII) $162M vs. $152.7M last year; Q2 net interest margin 2.73% vs. 2.81% last year Hope Bancorp ($HOPE) 2Q EPS $0.43 vs est. $0.38, NII $126.6Mm vs est. $127.1Mm Interactive Brokers (IBKR) Q2 adj EPS $0.82 vs. est. $0.83; Q2 revs $754M vs. est. $681.28M; Net interest income increased $78 million, or 40%, from the year-ago quarter; Commission revenue increased $31 million, or 11%, from the year-ago quarter Preferred Bank ($PFBC) 2Q EPS $1.44 vs est. $1.46, NII $43.4Mm vs est. $46.6Mm National Storage ($NSA)8M share Spot Secondary priced at $51.25 Signature Bank ($SBNY)5M share Spot Secondary priced at $235.50 Shift4 Payments ($FOUR) announces offering of 1.79M shares of Class A common stock United Community Bank ($UCBI) Q2 EPS $0.78 vs. est. $0.67; Q2 return on assets (ROA) was 1.46% and its return on common equity was 14.1% for the quarter. On an operating basis, United’s ROA was 1.48% and its return on tangible common equity was 17.8%. On a pre-tax, pre-provision basis, operating return on assets was 1.67% for the quarter. Healthcare Johnson & Johnson ($JNJ) Q2 adj EPS $2.48 vs. est. $2.27; Q2 revs $23.31B vs. est. $22.19B; company increasing 2021 full-year guidance for sales and eps; sees 2021 adjusted operational sales change vs. prior year 12.5%-13.5%; raises FY21 adjusted EPS view to $9.50-$9.60 from $9.30-$9.45 (est. $9.52) and raises FY21 revenue view to $93.8B-$94.6B from $90.6B-$91.6B Anthem ($ANTM) Q2 adj EPS $7.03 vs. est. $6.33; Q2 revs $33.3B vs. est. $33.21B; raises FY21 adjusted EPS view to greater than $25.50 vs. est. $25.23 and above prior view for greater than $25.10; its benefit expense ratio – the percentage of premiums paid for medical services – worsened to 86.8% from 77.9% a year earlier Cytokinetics ($CYTK) 10M share Secondary priced at $27.50 Intuitive Surgical ($ISRG) Q2 adj EPS $3.92 vs. est. $3.07; Q2 revs $1.46B vs. est. $1.26B; shipped 328 da Vinci Surgical Systems, an increase of 84% compared with 178 in Q2 of 2020; grew its da Vinci Surgical System installed base to 6,335 systems as of June 30, an increase of 10% compared with 5,764 as of the end of Q2 of 2020; raises FY21 procedure growth view to 27%-30% from 22%-26% and sees FY21 gross profit margin 70.5%-71.5% of revenue Natera ($NTRA) files to sell $350M of common stock SmileDirectClub, Inc. ($SDC) announced that an en banc panel of the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Eleventh Circuit sided with the company, rejecting the Georgia Board of Dentistry’s attempt to shield itself from antitrust liability through an interlocutory appeal. Celyad Oncology ($CYAD) highlights new preclinical allogeneic armored CAR T candidate developed from its shRNA platform; the submission of IND application for CYAD-203, a new first-in-class shRNA-based allogeneic, IL-18-armored CAR T candidate, expected in mid-2022 Industrials & Materials AAR Corp. ($AIR) Q4 adj EPS $0.47 vs. est. $0.48; Q4 sales $437.6M vs. est. $422.6M; Q4 adj Ebitda $34.3M up +60% y/y Canadian National ($CNI) Q2 adj EPS C$1.49 (in-line with est.) vs. C$1.28 YoY; Q2 revenue C$3.6B versus C$3.21B last year; reaffirms 2021 outlook; still targeting double-digit adjusted eps growth for 2021 and still sees high single-digit volume growth in for 2021; quarterly carloads 1.47 mln vs 1.29 mln Forestar Group ($FOR) 3Q EPS $0.32 vs est. $0.40 on revs $312.9Mm vs est. $307.6Mm; says housing conditions remain favorable across the country, now expect to deliver between 15,500-16,000 lots in FY Rexnord Corp. ($RXN) 2Q adj EPS $0.58 vs est. $0.50 on sales $568Mm vs est. $543.9Mm; expects 3Q sales in WM platform to increase high-teens % YoY Rush Enterprise ($RUSHA) 2Q EPS $1.00 vs. est. $0.82 on revs $1.316B vs. est. $1.31B Technology, Media & Telecom Netflix ($NFLX) 3Q EPS $2.97 vs. est. $3.16 on revs $7.34B vs. est. $7.32B, streaming net adds 1.54Mm w/ about 2/3 of global paid net adds from APAC; guides 3Q streaming net adds 3.5Mm 9vs. est. at 5.5Mm), sees 3Q revs $7.48B vs. est. $7.48B; says continue to target 20% operating margin for FY Avnet ($AVT) guides Q4 EPS $1.01-$1.05 vs. est. $0.79; said strong quarter-over-quarter sales growth in EMEA, Asia and Farnell, and continued operating improvement in the Americas, all contributed to better-than-expected results Qualtrics ($XM) Q2 EPS $0.04 vs. est. loss (2c); Q2 revs $249.3M vs. est. $241.63M; sees Q3 revs $257M-$259M vs. est. $246.6M; Q2 2021 Subscription Revenue of $204.5M, up 48% YoY; next 12 months remaining performance obligations of $754.8M, up 61% YoY ASML Holdings ($ASML) raises its 2021 sales outlook and announces a new share buyback, as orders for its equipment soared amid a global computer chip shortage; announces 9 bln euro ($10.60 bln) share buyback; said demand remained strong as major chipmakers raced to expand production capacity SAP AG ($SAP) Q2 revenue was 6.67 billion euros, up 1% from the year earlier quarter, or 3% higher adjusted for currency, and about in line with the Wall Street analyst consensus forecast at 6.69 billion euros; posted cloud revenue of 2.276 billion euros, up 11%, or 17% in constant currency, missing the Street consensus at 2.31 billion euros CS Disco ($LAW) 7M share IPO priced at $32.00 Paycor ($PYCR)5M share IPO priced at $23.00 VTEX ($VTEX) 19M share IPO priced at $19.00
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Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc., a member of the Russell 2000® Index and the S&P MidCap 400®, is the parent company of Texas Capital Bank, a commercial bank that delivers highly personalized financial services to businesses and entrepreneurs. Headquartered in Dallas, the bank has full-service locations in Austin, Dallas, Fort Worth, Houston and San Antonio. Member FDIC.
CEO: C. Keith Cargill
HQ: 2000 McKinney Ave Ste 700 Dallas, 75201-1985 Texas