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After slipping last week, U.S. stock futures are edging higher to start the trading week, with Treasury yields little changed as markets remain in “wait-and-see” mode regarding the timing of accelerated tightening by the Fed after last weeks sharply higher inflation readings. Investors also prepare for a busy week of quarterly earnings in the retail sector with results from WMT, LOW, TGT and HD among those expected this week as earnings season wraps up. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index gained +0.56% to 29,776, the Shanghai Index fell -5 points to 3,533, and the Hang Seng Index advanced +0.25% to 25,390, In Europe, the German DAX is up about +0.1% at 16,100, while the FTSE 100 is little changed at 7,340. Stocks finished Friday near the highs, but for the week, the S&P 500 500 fell 0.3%, the Dow fell 0.6% and the Nasdaq fell 0.7%, as each snapped their 5-week winning streaks amid heightened inflation fears. Before the bell today, the November Empire State Manufacturing Index arrives, with economists predicting a small rise from the month before in the only main data point on the schedule today. The dollar is steady, oil prices are lower and Bitcoin/crypto assets are looking higher. Overall, it looks like a strong start to the trading week, but will gains hold? Events Calendar for Today 8:30 AM ET Empire Manufacturing for November…est. 21.2 Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: ACM, AYRO, BFLY, CMAX, CVSI, DMRC, DNA, GOED, JAGX, KALA, OEG, ONDS, PTN, RAIL, RMBL, SEAT, TLS, TSN, URGN, VVNT, WE, YOU Earnings After the Close: AAP, ASTG, AGIL, ATHX, AXON, BIOC, BKYI, BODY, CMP, COMS, COOK, CSPR, DM, EDR, ETON, FPAY, GLAD, IDEX, INVO, JJSF, LCID, LFG, MARK, MIRM, NRDY, PLBY, POWW, PRCH, RAX, RXT, SGBX, SNDX, TALK, UAVS, VTSI, XL, XSPA, ZEV Other Key Events: BTIG Digital Health Forum $virtual, 11/15 Stifel 2021 Healthcare Conference $virtual, 11/15-11/17 Wolfe Industrial Growth & Technology Conference 2021 $virtual, 11/15 Macro Up/Down Last Nymex -1.00 79.79 Brent -1.16 81.01 Gold -1.90 1,863.00 EUR/USD -0.0002 1.1443 JPY/USD -0.03 113.86 10-Year Note +0.006 1.554% World News China Oct Industrial O/P higher: 3.5% y/y vs 3% consensus; China Oct Industrial Production higher: 10.9% vs 10.8% consensus; China Oct Retail Sales higher: 4.9% y/y vs 3.5% consensus ECB’s Lagarde said this weekend that conditions for hike in rates unlikely to be met next year; GDP still expected to exceed pre-pandemic levels by year end; price pressures to normalize as supply bottlenecks unwind; no evidence of negotiated wages Hackers compromised a Federal Bureau of Investigation $FBI email system on Saturday and sent tens of thousands of messages warning of a possible cyberattack, according to the agency and security specialists. Jayson Albano reports. Sector News Breakdown **Consumer** Tesla $TSLA shares slipping -2%; CEO Elon Musk on Sunday asked Bernie Sanders on Twitter whether the U.S. senator wants him to sell more shares after Sanders demanded the wealthy pay their “fair share” of taxes. “Want me to sell more stock, Bernie? Just say the word,” Musk tweeted. Meanwhile, “The Big Short” investor Michael Burry tweeted that “Musk doesn’t need cash, he just wants to sell Tesla Macy’s $M, Nordstrom $JWN and Signet Jewelers $SIG among mall-based retailers that are enjoying a revival on expectations consumers will spend a record $851 billion this holiday season, a 9.5% jump from last year, Barron’s reported, citing the National Retail Federation **Energy** Negotiators from almost 200 countries clinched a deal that seeks to keep the most ambitious goal of the Paris Agreement alive, breaking new ground in the fight against climate change but punting the hardest decisions into the future. After two weeks of often fraught United Nations COP26 talks, delegates agreed to reduce the use of coal **Financials** S&P Global $SPGI won U.S. antitrust approval to buy IHS Markit $INFO to create a financial data giant spanning everything from bond ratings and commodities prices to tracking trade flows across the world after the Justice Department cleared the $39 billion deal **Healthcare** Regeneron $REGN announces $3B share buyback plan Pfizer $PFE strong R&D makes stock a good long-term bet, according to Barron’s. Notes two years ago, Pfizer CEO Albert Bourla asked investors to take a big gamble on the research-and-development operation, and that bet is looking smarter than ever **Industrials & Materials** Deere $DE and union officials reach a third preliminary contract agreement on a contract in a bid to end a four-week-old strike; the previous offer included 10% pay raises, a signing bonus of $8,500, made workers eligible for health insurance sooner, and maintained no-premium health insurance coverage. The United States said late Friday it will open talks with Japan over tariffs on steel and aluminum imports. Japan last week asked the United States to abolish the “Section 232” tariffs imposed by former U.S. President Donald Trump’s administration in 2018. **Technology, Media & Telecom** American Tower Corp. $AMT is said to near an agreement to acquire CoreSite Realty $COR for about $10B in an all-cash deal according to a Bloomberg report saying they could announce the acquisition of the data center operator as soon as this week. The report comes after Reuters reported last week that CoreSite was exploring options after getting a takeover approach. Walt Disney $DIS stock tumbled to near a one-year low this week following high-profile misses in its streaming and theme-parks segments according to Barron’s, which could make for an attractive entry point for patient investors CrowdStrike $CRWD initiated at underweight with a $247 target at Morgan Stanley saying the firm’s early leadership position is becoming increasingly challenged Shopify $SHOP downgraded to Hold from Buy at Loop Capital
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Tuesday, August 17, 2021 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow -221.00 0.62% 35,313 S&P 500 -21.25 0.49% 4,452 Nasdaq -59.50 0.39% 15,075 U.S. equity-index futures are looking lower this morning, while global stocks have fallen for a second day amid several market concerns. U.S. major averages hit record highs (S&P 500 and Dow record high closes for a 5th straight session) on Monday as investors moved into defensive sectors (Healthcare, Staples, Utilities) and stocks recovered from losses earlier in the session, shaking off glum economic data out of China and the U.S., but start the day on shaky ground yet again. Several factors playing into the morning decline including: 1) concerns that more lockdowns could be needed to contain the coronavirus pandemic; 2) Treasury yields fall ahead of an address by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on the health of the world’s largest economy; 3) Dow component Home Depot (HD) reports a top and bottom-line beat, but weaker-than-expected comp sales drag shares lower; 4) Federal Reserve Bank President Eric Rosengren said Monday he could be prepared to begin rolling back economic stimulus this fall. But he said he wouldn’t boost interest rates until the employment picture improves; 5) China markets tumble following another regulatory crackdown after China published detailed rules to tackle unfair competition and companies’ handling of critical data; the draft regulations ban unfair competition and restrict the use of user data. Investors were also digesting news from Afghanistan, where thousands of civilians desperate to flee the country thronged Kabul airport after the Taliban seized the capital. Asian stocks retreat for fourth day as the Hang Seng and Shanghai Composite lose ground after China issues draft rules targeting unfair online competition. The Kosdaq sinks 2.3% as Korean selloff resumes following Monday’s holiday. The Nikkei Index fell -98 points to 27,424, the Shanghai Index tumbled -70 points (or 2%) to 3,446 and the Hang Seng Index declined -435 points (1.66%) to 25,745. In Europe, the German DAX is down around -40 points to 15,885, while the FTSE 100 is up a few points to 7,165. Wal-Mart earnings expected later this morning as well. Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index gained 11.71 points, or 0.26%, to 4,479.71 The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 110.02 points, or 0.31%, to 35,625.40 The Nasdaq Composite slumped -29.13 points, or 0.20%, to 14,793.76 The Russell 2000 Index declined -19.69 points, or 0.89% to 2,203.41 Events Calendar for Today 7:45 AM ET ICSC Weekly Retail Sales 8:30 AM ET Advance Retail Sales MoM for July…est. (-0.02%) 8:30 AM ET Retail Sales Ex; Autos MoM for July…est. 0.1% 8:55 AM ET Johnson/Redbook Weekly Sales 9:15 AM ET Industrial Production MoM for July…est. 0.5% 9:15 AM ET Capacity Utilization for July…est. 75.7% 10:00 AM ET Business Inventories MoM for June…est. 0.8% 10:00 AM ET NAHB Housing Market Index for Aug…est. 80 4:30 PM ET API Weekly Inventory Data Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: AIT, CRTD, HD, OB, PINC, WMT Earnings After the Close: A, CDK, CREE, CRMT, DNUT, INST, JKHY, LZB Other Key Events: EnerCom Oil & Gas Conference (virtual), 8/15-8/18 BWS Financial Growth and Value Conference (virtual), 8/16-8/17 Needham MedTech and Diagnostics Conference (virtual), 8/16-8/17 Truist Atlanta Bank Summit (virtual) 8/16-8/17 Davidson West Coast Bank Tour (virtual), 8/17-8/18 Deutsche bank Transportation Conference (virtual), 8/17-8/18 Macro Up/Down Last Nymex -0.33 66.96 Brent -0.23 69.28 Gold 6.55 1,794.00 EUR/USD -0.0012 1.1766 JPY/USD 0.05 109.29 10-Year Note -0.027 1.23% World News The Fed’s Rosengren said last night his preference would be to start tapering bond purchases in the fall, potentially October or November, no later than December; says if we get another strong labor market report, he would be supportive of announcing taper program in September Sector News Breakdown Consumer Home Depot ($HD) shares fall -4% on comp sales miss; Q2 EPS $4.53 vs. est. $4.43; Q2 revs $41.12B vs. est. $40.73B; Q2 comp sales rose 4.5% below est. 5.6% and comparable sales in the U.S. increased 3.4% vs. est. 4.9%; number of customer transactions declined by 5.8% YoY to 481.7 million, but the average ticket size grew 11% to $82.48 Stanley Black & Decker ($SWK) agreed to acquire the remaining 80% ownership stake in MTD Holdings Inc., a privately held global manufacturer of outdoor power equipment, for $1.6 billion in cash Gan Ltd. ($GAN) Q2 EPS loss (-$0.07) vs. est. loss (-$0.01); Q2 revs $34.6M vs. est. $34.53M; sequential revenue growth of 24%, driven by strong international results in b2c segment; reiterates revenue guidance of $125 – $135 million, or 270% YoY growth at the mid-point; backs FY21 revenue view of $125M-$135M Lightning eMotors ($ZEV) Q2 EPS loss (-$0.79) vs. est. loss (-$0.14); Q2 revs $5.9M vs. est. $5.37M; sees Q3 revs $4M-$6M vs. est. $10.58M; sees Q3 adjusted loss from operations $12M-$13M; no longer expects to meet full year guidance; said no orders have been cancelled and company expects to fulfill those orders in future quarters; sees for qtr ending sept 30, vehicle and powertrain sales of 28 units to 40 units Elys Game Technology ($ELYS) Q2 revenue $11.7M vs est $10.89M; 2Q Betting Handle +134% YoY to $220.1M; Q2 GGR +153.8% YoY to $14.9M; Q2 total revenue +143% YoY to $11.7M Spirit Airlines ($SAVE) said it expects total operating revenues in the range of $885M – $955M vs. $1.05B consensus and adjusted operating expenses between $1,030M and $1,040M; expects a negative revenue impact of ~50M from 2,826 flight cancellations between July 30 and August 9, due to airport staffing shortages and adverse weather; also noted softer-than-expected booking trends and increased close-in guest cancellations, likely due to a resurgence in COVID-19 cases Energy, Industrials and Materials Ammo Inc. ($POWW) Q1 adj EPS $0.13 on revs $44.5M, up 360%; says raising 2022 revenue guidance from $190M to $210M, including reiterating our expectation for Q2 revenue of at least $51M and sees Q3 revs about $60M; increasing our Adjusted EBITDA guidance for fiscal 2022 from $65M to $70M Clean Energy Fuels Corp. ($CLNE) announced a slew of new deals in response to the demand for renewable natural gas ($RNG), a fuel produced from organic waste, as more fleets adopt and expand their use of the low-carbon transportation fuel. RNG represents more than 74 percent of the 26 million gallons of fuel Clean Energy expects to provide through these recent signed agreements. Clean Energy has a stated goal of providing 100 percent zero-carbon renewable fuel at its stations by 2025. Financials Opendoor Technologies inc. ($OPEN) announces proposed convertible senior notes offering Healthcare Berkshire Hathaway reduced its stakes in large cap Pharma names Merck (MRK) by 48.8% to 9.2M shares, AbbVie ($ABBV) by 10.2% to 20.5M shares and Bristol-Myers (BMY) by 15.3% to 26.3M shares and exited shares in Biogen ($BIIB) according to 13F filings The Biden administration is planning to announce that most Americans who have received the coronavirus vaccine will need booster shots eight months after being fully vaccinated as the delta variant sparks a surge in Covid-19 cases – Washington Post Eli Lilly and Company ($LLY) today announced executive leadership changes and the creation of neuroscience and immunology business units. These changes will increase Lilly’s focus on introducing breakthrough new medicines to millions of people with unmet needs. Incyte ($INCY) and InnoCare announced that Incyte and a subsidiary of InnoCare have entered into a collaboration and license agreement for the development and commercialization of tafasitamab, a humanized Fc-modified cytolytic CD19 targeting monoclonal antibody, in China Clovis ($CLVS) renews at-the-market equity program with $125M offering Globus Medical ($GMED) announced that Excelsius3D, an intelligent intraoperative 3-in-1 imaging system, has been granted 510(k) clearance by the FDA Solid Biosciences Inc. ($SLDB) ends q2 with about $249 mln cash and investments; cash runway into q4 2022; said net loss for Q2 of 2021 was $18.7M vs. $19.0M for Q2 of 2020 Technology, Media & Telecom Roblox Corp. ($RBLX) shares fall -6%; Q2 EPS loss (-$0.25) vs. est. $0.24; Q2 revs $454.1M vs. est. $689.2M; qtrly bookings increased 35% over q2 2020 to $665.5M; qtrly average daily active users ($DAUs) were 43.2 mln, an increase of 29%; qtrly average bookings per DAU was $15.41, a slight increase year over year Chinese stocks listed in the U.S. ($BIDU, $BABA, $DIDI, $JD, $NTES) fall in premarket trading following Beijing’s latest moves to tighten its grip on the nation’s internet giants and after SEC Chair Gary Gensler issued his most direct warning yet about the risks of investing in Chinese companies Sea Limited ($SE) Q2 EPS loss (-$0.61) vs. est. loss (-$0.52); Q2 revs $2.3B vs. est. $1.93B; digital entertainment active users 725.2 million, +45% y/y; digital entertainment paying users 92.2 million, +85% y/y; said is raising the guidance for both digital entertainment and e-commerce for the full year of 2021. We expect bookings for digital entertainment to be between $4.5 billion and $4.7 billion, representing 44.4% growth from 2020 at the midpoint of the revised guidance Fabrinet ($FN) Q4 Non-GAAP EPS $1.31 vs. est. $1.22; Q4 revs $509.6M vs. est. $487.5M; sees Q1 revs $510M-$530M vs. est. $491.5M Telos Corp. ($TLS) Q2 adj EPS $0.04 vs. est. $0.02; Q2 revs $52.56M vs. est. $53.7M; backs FY21 rev view to $283M-$295M vs. est. $288.75M; said sees FY21 adjusted EBITDA $33M-$36M. Upstart Holdings, inc. ($UPST) announces proposed private offering of $575,000,000 of convertible senior notes due 2026 Global-e Online ($GLBE) Q2 EPS (2c) vs 2 est’s 0c; Q2 rev $57.3M vs est $47.6M; Q2 adjusted EBITDA $7.6M vs. $3.1M YoY; sees Q3 rev $54.3M-$56.3M vs $48.4M; sees Q3 adj EBITDA $2.8M-$3.8M and GMV of $328M-$338M; raises FY21 rev view to $227M- $231M from $209M-$213.5M vs est $210.95M; raises FY21 GMV view to $1.35B-$1.37B from $1.21B-$1.255B
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Monday, August 16, 2021 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow -104.00 0.29% 35,316 S&P 500 -12.25 0.29% 4,449 Nasdaq -41.50 0.27% 15,084 U.S. futures are pulling back from all-time highs as investors await Tuesday’s town hall event by Fed chair Jerome Powell where they’ll be looking for clues as to whether recent economic data is sufficient progress for the central bank to consider tapering stimulus, while geopolitical market concerns also weighing. Several Fed officials lately have discussed just when the central bank might begin its tapering of bond purchases. The Fed has been buying $120 billion a month in Treasury, agency and mortgage bonds to keep interest rates low and support the economy during the pandemic. The concerns come after the Dow and the S&P 500 both pushed to their fourth straight record closes Friday as Wall Street looked beyond falling U.S. consumer sentiment in July. U.S. consumer sentiment fell in early August to the lowest level in nearly a decade as Americans grew more concerned about the economy’s prospects, inflation and the recent surge in coronavirus cases. The University of Michigan’s preliminary sentiment index fell by 11 points to 70.2, the lowest since December 2011, data released Friday showed. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index tumbled -453 points (1.62%) to 27,523, the Shanghai Index was little changed at 3,517 and the Hang Seng Index dropped -210 points to 26,181. In Europe, the German DAX pulls back -85 points from record highs to 15,890, while the FTSE 100 slips -80 points (1.1%) to 7,140. Oil prices hitting 15-month lows as WTI crude futures fall below $67 per barrel. Cryptocurrency-exposed stocks rise with Bitcoin edging higher. Chinese large cap stocks listed in the U.S. fall in premarket trading on Monday amid another round of criticism from state media over online games Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index gained 7.17 points, or 0.16%, to 4,468.00 The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 15.53 points, or 0.04%, to 35,515.38 The Nasdaq Composite edged higher 6.64 points, or 0.04%, to 14,822.90 The Russell 2000 Index declined -20.96 points, or 0.93% to 2,223.11 Events Calendar for Today 8:30 AM ET Empire Manufacturing for Aug 4:00 PM ET Net Long-term TIC flows for June Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: BLDE, CBLI, DLPN, MICT, MLSS, ONDS, RAIL, SGBX, TLGT, TSHA, UAVS, UWMC, VEI, VYNT, YOU Earnings After the Close: ACRX, ATCX, BIOC, BKYI, CTEK, CVV, DNMR, DPW, EDR, ETON, EVLV, GERN, GOEV, IDEX, MBII, NVGS, OSMT, POWW, QRHC, QSI, $RBLX, RMO, SMTI, SSKN, TLS, XSPA, ZEV Other Key Events: EnerCom Oil & Gas Conference (virtual), 8/15-8/18 BWS Financial Growth and Value Conference (virtual), 8/16-8/17 Needham MedTech and Diagnostics Conference (virtual), 8/16-8/17 Truist Atlanta Bank Summit (virtual) 8/16-8/17 Macro Up/Down Last Nymex -0.90 67.54 Brent -0.83 69.76 Gold -4.25 1,775.50 EUR/USD -0.0012 1.1785 JPY/USD -0.29 109.30 10-Year Note -0.029 1.268% World News Taliban fighters on Sunday took over the Afghan capital and President Ashraf Ghani fled abroad, leaving the government in collapse, as a U.S.-led military operation began to airlift Western diplomats, civilians and Afghans likely to be targeted by the country’s new rulers, the WSJ reported. By evening, the main road to the Kabul airport was packed with Afghans desperately trying to escape and with thousands of U.S. troops protecting the evacuation effort China July Industrial Output missed: y/y 6.4% vs 7.8% consensus; China July Retail Sales missed: y/y 8.5% vs 11.5% consensus; China July House Price Index lower: y/y 4.6% vs 4.7% previous Japan Q2 GDP beat: q/q 0.3% vs 0.2% consensus; Japan Q2 GDP Annualized beat: 1.3% q/q vs 0.7% consensus Sector News Breakdown Consumer Carvana ($CVNA) still has room to run according to Barron’s noting shares went public in 2017 at $15 a share but has rocketed higher since then, including roughly quadrupling in price since just before the pandemic, to a recent $360. Barron’s noted Wall Street expects Carvana to continue to grow revenue at rates north of 30% vs. mid-single-digit rates for CarMax (KMX). Wendy’s ($WEN) mentioned positively in Barron’s saying it wasn’t that long ago that Wendy’s briefly became a meme stock, but on Wednesday, the company reported quarterly results, and even analysts who were lukewarm about the stock walked away impressed, Stitch Fix ($SFIX), a subscription service for clothing with over 4 million customers, could become the “Nordstrom of the future,” said Mario Cibelli of Marathon Partners Equity Management to Barron’s. Shares have fallen on concerns about potential churn, but the company has potential outside of the U.S. and U.K. markets. Marriott Vacations Worldwide ($VAC), one of the top companies in the timeshare industry with high exposure to Hawaii and Orlando, could produce 20% annual returns for shareholders in the coming years, according to Barron’s, as per David Baron, a manager of the Baron Focused Growth Hyatt Hotels ($H) announced that it has entered into a definitive agreement to acquire Apple Leisure Group from affiliates of each of KKR (KKR) and KSL Capital Partners for $2.7 billion in cash JELD-WEN Holding Inc. ($JELD) said its largest shareholder, Onex Corp. is selling off nearly half its stake in the building products company (14.88M shares of its 32.1M disclosed stake), equating to about 15% of the shares outstanding, with the company planning to buying back close to half of the shares being sold. JELD said it plans to repurchase about $200 million of the offering Energy, Industrials and Materials Boeing’s ($BA) shares could rise by 35% if they fix their problems noting shares trade nearly 50% below their March 2019 high of $440.62, and few if any Boeing watchers expect the stock, now around $238, to revisit that record in the next few years. If CEO Dave Calhoun takes bold steps to restore the company’s engineering supremacy and repair its balance sheet, shares could rise. Compass Minerals ($CMP) Q2 EPS loss (-$0.49) vs. est. loss (-$0.05); Q2 revs $199.4M vs. est. $221.77M; said expects Q3 Salt segment revenue to benefit from strong volume growth as well as year-over-year operating earnings improvement, partially offset by slightly lower pricing. Woodside Petroleum is in advanced talks to buy BHP’s (BHP) petroleum division in a ~A$20B (US$14.7B) deal – WSJ Financials Capital One Financial ($COF) July net-charge offs were 1.45% vs. 3.82% YoY and delinquencies 1.71%vs. 2.44% YoY Healthcare Enlivex Therapeutics ($ENLV) obtains authorization from Israel’s ministry of health to initiate a clinical trial evaluating the safety and effectiveness of its Allocetra therapy on Covid-19 patients Technology, Media & Telecom The U.S. International Trade Commission (ITC) issued a decision on a case involving Google ($GOOGL) and Sonos ($SONO), ruling that the Alphabet unit infringed five of Sonos’ patents DouYu ($DOYU) Q2 adj EPS loss (-$0.05) vs. est. loss (-$0.34); Q2 revs $361.92M; average mobile MAUs in Q2 increased by 3.9% to 60.7M from 58.4M in the same period of 2020; quarterly average paying user count in Q2 was 7.2M, compared with 7.6M in the same period of 2020 T-Mobile US ($TMUS) said it was investigating claims of a data breach that involves the personal data of 100 million users. T-Mobile said it was aware of the claims made by a hacker in a forum post and has been “actively investigating their validity.” Ping Identity ($PING) announces 6M share common stock offering for holders
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TLs sometimes. idk. I don't want to sound cocky or something because I'm not but I sort of just eyeball it > @ashy2classy said: just using TL and HL support?
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Telos Corporation empowers and protects the world’s most security-conscious organizations with solutions for continuous security assurance of individuals, systems, and information. Telos’ offerings include cybersecurity solutions for IT risk management and information security; cloud security solutions to protect cloud-based assets and enable continuous compliance with industry and government security standards; and enterprise security solutions for identity and access management, secure mobility, organizational messaging, and network management and defense. The company serves military, intelligence and civilian agencies of the federal government, allied nations and commercial organizations around the world.