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Friday, September 3, 2021 The long holiday weekend is upon us (back-to-school), with U.S. stock futures steadily higher ahead of the all-important August payroll report, a closely watched data point to see when the Federal Reserve might unveil its plans to begin withdrawing its massive pandemic-era stimulus. Economists are looking for a reading of +728K nonfarm payrolls (vs. +943K in July), +665K private payrolls (vs. +703K in July), and +25K manufacturing payrolls (vs. +27K in July); the unemployment rate expected to drop to 5.2% from 5.4%, while average hourly earnings estimated to rise +0.3% MoM and +4.0% Yoy. Stocks pared gains after the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite notched all-time highs Thursday with energy and health-care shares leading the charge, as oil prices touched their highest levels in about a month back above $70 per barrel. Yesterday bright spots included Smallcaps and Transports as well with tech mixed. It now remains to be seen if markets will put the pedal-to-the-metal, or sharply reverse, with Friday’s much anticipated August employment report. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index jumped 584 points to 29,128, the Shanghai Index slipped -15 points to 3,581, and the Hang Seng Index dropped -188 points to 25,901 to close out the week. In Europe, the German DAX is up around 20-points to 15,860, while the FTSE 100 gains about 10 to 7,175, another strong week for European and Asian markets. Events Calendar for Today · 8:30 AM ET Nonfarm Payrolls for Aug…est. 728K · 8:30 AM ET Private Payrolls for Aug…est. 665K · 8:30 AM ET Manufacturing Payrolls for Aug…est. 25K · 8:30 AM ET Unemployment Rate for Aug…est. 5.2% · 8:30 AM ET Average Hourly Earnings for Aug…est. +0.3% · 9:45 AM ET Markit Composite PMI, Aug-F · 9:45 AM ET Markit Services PMI, Aug-F · 10:00 AM ET ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI for Aug…est. 61.5 · 1:00 PM EST Baker Hughes Weekly rig count data Market Closing Prices Yesterday · The S&P 500 Index gained 12.86 points, or 0.28%, to 4,536.95 · The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 131.29 points, or 0.37%, to 35,443.82 · The Nasdaq Composite climbed 21.80 points, or 0.14%, to 15,331.18 · The Russell 2000 Index advanced 16.69 points, or 0.74% to 2,304.02 Macro Up/Down Last Nymex 0.26 70.25 Brent 0.47 73.50 · Japan’s beleaguered Prime Minister, Yoshihide Suga, surprised markets in Asia Friday by announcing plans to step down in the coming weeks, ending an unpopular tenue at the head of the world’s third largest economy. Suga, 72, took over the office of Prime Minister following the resignation of Shinzo Abe · Chinese Caixin Services PMI August 46.7 below the expected reading of 52.0 (prior 54.9) and the Caixin Composite PMI for August also contraction territory at 47.2 (vs. previous 53.1) · Eurozone July Retail Sales missed at -2.3% MoM vs 0.1% consensus, 3.1% YoY vs 4.8% consensus · Eurozone Aug Services PMI (final) missed at 59.0 vs 59.7 consensus · German Aug Services PMI (final) missed at 60.8 vs 61.5 consensus Sector News Breakdown Consumer · Beyond Meat, Inc. ($BYND) said that its COO is stepping down effective immediately. · Didi Global ($DIDI) rises initially after Bloomberg reported that Beijing’s municipal government has proposed an investment in Didi Global Inc. that would give state-run firms control of the world’s largest ride- hailing company. · Joann Inc. (JOAN) 2Q sales $496.9Mm vs est. $533.2Mm; Q2 adjusted Ebitda $23.5Mm; Q2 adjusted net loss $8.3Mm · Oxford Industries ($OXM) 2Q adj EPS $3.24 vs est. $2.33 on sales $329Mm vs est. $308.2Mm; guides 3Q sales $220-230Mm vs est. $206Mm, sees 3Q adj EPS $0.20-0.30; guides FY sales $1.085-1.105B vs est. $1.05B, sees FY adj EPS $6.45-6.70 vs est. $5.22 · Quanex Building ($NX) Q3 adj EPS $0.42 on sales $279.9M vs. est. $272.6M; expect inflation, labor costs, and supply chain challenges to continue pressuring margins throughout q4 of this year; reaffirming net sales guidance of approximately $1.04B-$1.06B vs. est. $1.05B · Tilly’s ($TLYS) 2Q EPS $0.66 vs est. $0.51 on revs $202Mm vs est. $189.7Mm; guides 3Q EPS $0.30-0.34 vs est. $0.24, sees 3Q sales about $187-193Mm vs est. $173Mm Energy, Industrials and Materials · Patterson-UTI Energy ($PTEN) reports an average of 79 drilling rigs operating for the month of August, 2021 Financials · Marathon Digital ($MARA) published unaudited bitcoin (BTC) production and miner installation updates for August. The company produced 469.6 new minted bitcoins during August 2021, increasing total bitcoin holdings to approximately 6,695 with a fair market value of approximately $316.4M. Cash on hand was approximately $70.9M and total liquidity, defined as cash and bitcoin holdings, was approximately $387.3M Healthcare · Cooper Companies ($COO) 3Q adj EPS $3.41 vs est. $3.29 on revs $763.4Mm vs est. $726.8Mm; guides 4Q adj EPS $3.24-3.44 vs est. $3.49, sees 4Q revs $730-760Mm vs est. $748.7Mm; guides FY revs $2.893-2.923B vs est. $2.875B, sees FY adj EPS $13.20-13.40 vs est. $13.33 · Forte Biosciences ($FBRX) shares tumble over -80%; said FB-401 for the treatment of Atopic Dermatitis failed to meet primary endpoint and the company will not continue to advance it · Cellect Biotechnology ($APOP) rises 55%; announced the first ApoGraft transplantation in a Leukemia patient in the company’s clinical trial at Washington University in the U.S. The trial, initiated in October, will enroll 18 patients with cancers affecting the blood, bone marrow and lymph nodes, that are undergoing transplantation · AstraZeneca ($AZN) & the EU have agreed a C-19 vaccine supply & ended the litigation; the deal will ensure delivery of the remaining C-19 shots to EU countries; will deliver 60m doses by the end of Q3 & 135m by year end Technology, Media & Telecom · Broadcom ($AVGO) Q3 Adj EPS $6.96 vs. est. $6.888; Q3 revs $6.78B vs. est. $6.76B; Q4 revenue guidance of approximately $7.35B vs. est. $7.23B; Q4 adjusted Ebitda guidance of approximately 61% of projected revenue; expect free cash flow to remain strong in Q4 · DocuSign ($DOCU) 2Q adj EPS $0.47 vs est. $0.40 on revs $511.8Mm vs est. $485.3Mm, billings $595.4Mm +47%; guides 3Q revs $526-532Mm vs est. $517Mm, sees 3Q adj gr mgn 79-81% and adj op mgn 17-19%; guides FY revs $2.078-2.088B vs est. $2.044B, sees adj gr mgn 79-81% and adj op mgn 16-18% · Guidewire Software ($GWRE) Q4 adj EPS $0.37 vs. est. $0.25; Q4 revs $229.4M vs. est. $222.35M; sees Q1 revs $162M-$166M vs. est. $174.6M and Q1 ARR $586M-$590M; sees FY22 revs $780M-$790M vs. est. $769.23M and sees FY22 ARR $657M-$667M · Hewlett Packard Enterprises ($HPE) Q3 adj EPS $0.47 vs. est. $0.42; Q3 revs $6.9B vs. est. $6.93B; sees Q4 EPS $0.44-$0.52 vs. est. $0.49; reinstating share repurchase program and targeting share repurchases of up to $250M in Q4 fy21; raises FY Gaap diluted net eps outlook to $0.80 to $0.88 and non-Gaap diluted net eps outlook to $1.88 to $1.96 · Medallia Inc. ($MDLA) Q2 adj EPS loss (-$0.09) vs. est. loss (-$0.08); Q2 revs $144.1M vs. est. $138.17M; won’t be providing guidance for 3q of fiscal yr 2022, suspending its guidance for full year as a result of pending transaction · MongoDB Inc. ($MDB) Q2 non-GAAP EPS loss (-$0.24) vs. est. (-$0.39); Q2 revs $198.7M vs. est. $184.2M; said Q2 results were exceptionally strong across the board, highlighted by Atlas revenue growth of 83%; recently surpassed 200Mm cumulative downloads from our website and had more than 75Mm downloads over the last 12 months alone; sees Q3 non-GAAP EPS loss (42c)-(39c) vs. est. loss (-$0.37); sees Q3 revs $202.0M-$204.0M vs. est. $198.3M · Ooma Inc. ($OOMA) 2Q adj EPS $0.13 vs est. $0.09 on revs $47.1Mm vs est. $46.4Mm; guides 3Q adj EPS $0.08-0.11 vs est. $0.07, sees 3Q revs $47.8-48.5Mm vs est. $46.7Mm; guides FY adj EPS $0.40-0.46 vs est. $0.35, sees FY revs $188.5-190Mm vs est. $186.5Mm · PagerDuty ($PD) 2Q adj EPS ($0.13) vs est. ($0.15) on revs $68Mm vs est. $65.6Mm; guides 3Q adj EPS loss $0.09-0.10 vs est. loss $0.09, sees 3Q revs $69-71Mm vs est. $68.3Mm; guides FY revs $273-276Mm vs est. $270.5Mm, sees FY adj EPS loss $0.35-0.39 vs est. loss $0.39 · Science Applications International Corporation ($SAIC) Q2 adj EPS $1.97 vs. est. $1.47; Q2 revs $1.8B vs. est. $1.79B; raises FY22 adj EPS view to $6.50-$6.70 from $6.15-$6.40 (est. $6.51); boosts FY22 revenue view to $7.3B-$7.4B from $7.15B-$7.3B (est. $7.33B) · Yext Inc. ($YEXT) 2Q adj EPS ($0.06) vs est. ($0.07) on revs $98.1Mm vs est. $95Mm; guides 3Q revs $97.5-98.5Mm vs est. $97.2Mm, sees 3Q adj EPS loss $0.06-0.08 vs est. loss $0.05; guides FY revs 386-388Mm vs est. $385.2Mm, sees FY adj EPS loss $0.20-0.24 vs est. loss $0.18 · Reddit Inc, the operator of online message boards that became the go-to destination for day traders chasing this year’s frenzy for so-called ‘meme’ stocks, is seeking to hire investment bankers and lawyers for an initial public offering (IPO) in New York, two people familiar with the matter said on Thursday. Reddit was valued at $10 billion in a private fundraising round last month – Reuters · Sphere 3D ($ANY) shares down -28%; to issue 22.6M common shares and warrants to purchase 11.3M common shares for gross proceeds of $192.1M, in a registered direct offering
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Thursday, September 2, 2021 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow 45.00 0.13% 35,335 S&P 500 6.25 0.14% 4,527 Nasdaq 29.50 0.19% 15,638 Stock index futures are indicating a higher open with rates edging down (10-year drops back below 1.3%) as investors await another set of numbers on the labor market in the form of weekly jobless claims, ahead of Friday’s payrolls report (which followed a weaker private payroll report from ADP yesterday). A brutal night across the Northeast saw tornado watches and flash flood warnings for parts of the Tri-State Area as remnants of Hurricane Ida brought in heavy winds and drenching rains that turned major highways into rivers and even showed water rushing through Newark Liberty International Airport, canceling all flights there. The tail-end of hurricane Ida dumped a “record breaking” amount of rain over New York and New Jersey putting both areas into states of emergency. Hurricane Ida, which devastated Louisiana this week, could mobilize lawmakers to pass the bipartisan $1T infrastructure bill, which is making its way through Congress. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index rose 92 points to 28,543, he Shanghai Index climbed 29 points to 2,597, and the Hang Seng Index advanced 62 points to settle at 26,090. In Europe, markets are quiet as the German DAX is flat at 15,825, while the FTSE 100 is down a few points to 7,145. Bitcoin prices moved back above the $50K level overnight, last trading up 3.3% around $49,900 in a rebound for crypto; Ethereum prices up modestly after outperformance Wednesday, last around $3,750. Crude is rising after OPEC+ ministers’ unity reinforced market stability Events Calendar for Today 7:30 AM ET Challenger Layoffs for Aug 8:30 AM ET Weekly Jobless Claims…est. 345K 8:30 AM EST Continuing Claims…est. 2.775M 8:30 AM ET International Trade for July…est. (-$71.0B) 8:30 AM ET Nonfarm Productivity, Q2…est. 2.4% 8:30 AM ET Unit Labor Costs for Q2…est. 0.9% 10:00 AM ET Factory Orders MoM for July…est. 0.3% 10:00 AM ET Durable Goods Orders MoM for July 10:30 AM ET Weekly EIA Natural Gas Inventory Data Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: AEO, BNED, BRC, CIEN, DCI, DLTH, GCO, GIII, GMS, JRL, JW/A, KIRK, LE, MCFT, MEI, SCWX, SIG, TTC Earnings After the Close: AVGO, COO, CTHR, CTLP, DOCU, GWRE, HPE, JOAN, LAW, MDB, MDLA, MEIP, NX, OOMA, OXM, PD, SAIC, TLYS, YEXT Other Key Events: Barclay’s Media & Telecom Forum (virtual), 9/1-9/2 Stephens Auto investor Field Trip, 9/1-9/2 Caixin Services PMI for Aug Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index gained 1.41 points, or 0.03%, to 4,524.09 The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell -48.20 points, or 0.14%, to 35,312.53 The Nasdaq Composite climbed 50.15 points, or 0.33%, to 15,309.38 The Russell 2000 Index advanced 13.28 points, or 0.58% to 2,287.06 Macro Up/Down Last Nymex 0.36 68.95 Brent 0.38 71.97 Gold 1.50 1,815.40 EUR/USD 0.0015 1.1854 JPY/USD 0.00 110.01 10-Year Note -0.013 1.289% Sector News Breakdown Consumer Chewy ($CHWY) shares fell -10%; 2Q adj EBITDA $23.3Mm vs est. 34.4Mm on sales $2.16B vs est. $2.2B; sees FY net sales $8.9B-$9.0B vs. est. $9.0B Costco ($COST) reported total comparable sales for Aug. that beat the average analyst estimate; Aug. total comparable sales +14.2%, estimate +12.5%; Aug. U.S. comparable sales excluding fuel, currencies +10.1%, estimate +7.10% Five Below ($FIVE) shares fell -9%; 2Q EPS $1.15 vs est. $1.11 on sales $646.6Mm vs est. $648.3Mm; guides 3Q net sales $550-565Mm on +MSD comps vs est. $551Mm, sees EPS $0.23-0.30 vs est. $0.27 Hormel Foods ($HRL) shares fall -4%; Q3 adj EPS $0.39, in-line with estimates; Q3 revs $2.86B vs. est. $2.73B; Q2 volume of 1.2B pounds, up 1%; organic volume down 2%; operating margin 7.2%; cuts FY21 EPS view to $1.65-$1.69 from $1.70-$1.82, while raises FY21 revenue view to $11B-$11.2B from $10.2B-$10.8B Chinese regulators summoned 11 ride-hailing firms including DIDI Global ($DIDI) to discuss concerns related to the sector; China’s transport ministry highlighted the hiring of unqualified drivers and use of promotions that disrupt fair market order during the meeting Sportsman’s Warehouse ($SPWH) Q2 adj EPS $0.44 vs. est. $0.48; Q2 sales $361.8M vs. est. $345.6M; said Q2 same store sales decreased 9.9% compared to the same period last year; For the first half of fiscal year 2021, same store sales increased 3.4% compared to the same period last year; Adjusted EBITDA was $35.2M compared to $53.6M in the comparable prior year period; not providing guidance Smith & Wesson Brands ($SWBI) Q1 adj EPS $1.57 vs. est. $1.29; Q1 revs $274.6M vs. est. $278.59M; record gross margin of 47.3% vs. 40.2% last year ChargePoint Holdings ($CHPT) rises 12%; 2Q EPS ($0.29) vs est. ($0.13) on revs $56.1Mm vs est. $49.1Mm, says activated ports exceed 118,000 with over 5,400 in Europe and over 3,700 DC fast charge ports; guides 3Q revs $60-65Mm vs est. $54.7Mm, sees FY revs $225-235Mm up from $195M-$205M vs est. $206.6Mm DraftKings ($DKNG) announced the launch of DraftKings Online Sportsbook in Wyoming, marking the thirteenth state in which its mobile sportsbook is available Tesla ($TSLA) now aims for Full Self-Driving Beta public release ~September 25th, Electrek reports https://electrek.co/2021/09/01/tesla-full-self-driving-beta-public-release-4-weeks/ Energy, Industrials and Materials Greif ($GEF) Q3 adj EPS $1.93 vs. est. $1.54; Q3 revs $1.49B vs. est. $1.39B; sees FY21 EPS $5.10-$5.30 vs. est. $4.63; sees FY21 adjusted free cash flow $335M-$365M Ingersoll Rand Inc. ($IR) authorized a new share repurchase program of $750 mln Exelon ($EXC) tells Illinois lawmakers and Gov. J.B. Pritzker to finalize an energy policy deal by September 13 or face the permanent closure of one of the state’s six nuclear power plants. Energy Transfer ($ET) signed a 15-year power purchase agreement to buy 120 MW of electricity from SoftBank’s ($SFTBY) Eiffel Solar project in northeast Texas; financial terms are not disclosed. General Electric ($GE) was awarded a not-to-exceed $1.65B firm-fixed-price, indefinite-delivery, performance-based logistics requirements contract for the repair, upgrade or replacement, inventory management, and required supply response times of 17 F414 engine components in support of the F/A-18 aircraft Virgin Galactic ($SPCE) slips after the U.S. Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) said on Wednesday it is investigating descent deviation of July 11 flight of SPCE rocket plane that carried British billionaire Richard Branson. FAA spokesman told Reuters vehicle “deviated from its Air Traffic Control clearance as it returned to Spaceport America. The FAA investigation is ongoing.” Donaldson ($DCI) Q4 EPS $0.66 in-line with estimates; Q4 revs $773.1M vs. est. $770.69M; sees FY22 EPS $2.50-$2.66 vs. est. $2.68; sees FY22 sales growth of 5%-10% (est. $3.12B) OPEC+ and its allies agreed yesterday to stick to their existing plan for gradual monthly oil-production increases after a video conference. Ministers ratified the 400,000 barrel-a-day supply hike scheduled for October after one of the quickest meetings in recent memory. Financials CIBC to become exclusive credit card issuer for Costco Mastercard’s in Canada and acquire existing Costco Canadian credit card portfolio Over the last six months SPACs have lost $75 billion. A group of 137 SPACs that closed mergers by mid-February have lost 25% of their combined value. At one point last month, the pullback topped $100 billion – WSJ Healthcare FDA AdComm to discuss Pfizer ($PFE) and BioNTech SE ($BNTX) application for COVID-19 Booster on September 17th Assembly Biosciences, Inc. ($ASMB) shares fall -20%, as the clinical-stage biotechnology company developing innovative therapeutics targeting hepatitis B virus ($HBV), today announced its decision to discontinue development of ABI-H2158 (2158) following the observation of elevated ALT levels consistent with drug-induced hepatotoxicity in an ongoing Phase 2 trial. Cannabis space: The newly inaugurated governor of New York says she wants to “jumpstart” the implementation of marijuana legalization—and she took a major step on Wednesday by making two key regulatory appointments for the state’s cannabis market that have now been confirmed in a Senate committee during a special session (watch shares of $TLRY, $CURLF, $GTBIF, $CRON) https://bit.ly/3jzhR0D Phreesia ($PHR) 2Q EPS ($0.48) vs est. ($0.10) on revs $51Mm vs est. $47.2Mm, says avg number of provider clients was 1,987 in qtr vs 1,668 prior year +19%; guides FY revs $195-198Mm vs est. $193.4Mm, continue to expect overall cash outflow to increase in FY22 vs FY21 NeoGenomics Inc ($NEO) files prospectus related to resale or other disposition of 4.4 mln shares by selling stockholders Ascendis Pharma ($ASND)5M share Secondary priced at $160.00 Technology, Media & Telecom Asana ($ASAN) Q2 adj EPS loss (-$0.23) vs. est. loss (-$0.26); Q2 revs $89.5M vs. est. $82.24M; sees Q3 adj EPS loss (27c)-(26c) vs. est. loss (-$0.28); sees Q3 revs $93M-$94M vs. est. $86.72M; raises FY22 revenue view to $357M-$359M from $336M-$340M (est. $338.81M); Revenues from customers spending $5,000 or more on an annualized basis grew 97% YoY; customers spending $50,000 or more on an annualized basis increased to 598, up 111% YoY ai ($AI) shares fell -10%; Q1 EPS loss (-$0.37) vs. est. loss (-$0.28); Q1 revs $52.4M vs. est. $51.16M; said Q1 included YoY increases of 29% in revenue and 31% in gross profit; sees Q2 revenue $56M-$58M vs. est. $56.12M; sees FY22 revenue $243M-$247M vs. est. $245.4M; Q1 Subscription revenue was $46.1M, up from $35.7M one year ago, an increase of 29% Yoy eGain ($EGAN) 4Q adj EPS $0.08 vs est. $0.03 on revs $20.2Mm vs est. $19.9Mm; guides 1Q adj EPS $0.02-0.05 vs est. $0.03, sees 1Q revs $20.9-21.3Mm vs est. $20.6Mm; guides FY revs $88.2-89.8Mm vs est. $87.1Mm; sees FY adj EPS ($0.03) to $0.00 vs est. $0.20 nCino ($NCNO) 2Q adj EPS ($0.02) vs est. ($0.06) on revs $66.5Mm vs est. $63.7Mm; guides 3Q adj net EPS loss $0.06-0.07 vs est. loss $0.06, sees 3Q revs $66-67Mm vs est. $65.1Mm; guides FY adj EPS net loss $0.22-0.23 vs est. loss $0.23, sees FY revs $263-264Mm vs est. $259.1Mm Nutanix ($NTNX) Q4 adj EPS loss (-$0.26) vs. est. loss (-$0.42); Q4 revs $390.7M vs. est. $362.88M; operating expenses topped revenue at $454.1M though rose from $432.3M a year ago; sees Q1 ACV Billings $172M-$177M Okta ($OKTA) Q2 adj EPS loss (-$0.11) vs. est. loss (-$0.35); Q2 revs $316M vs. est. $296.52M; sees Q3 adj EPS loss (25c)-(24c) vs. est. loss (-$0.34); sees Q3 revs $325M-$327M vs. est. $322.93M; raises FY22 adjusted EPS loss view (77c)-(74c) from ($1.16)-($1.13); Q2 revenue grew 57% year-over-year; subscription revenue grew 59% YoY; remaining performance obligations (RPO) grew 57% YoY to $2.24 billion Semtech ($SMTC) 2Q adj EPS $0.65 vs est. $0.62 on sales $185Mm vs est. $182.9Mm; guides 3Q adj EPS $0.68-0.76 vs est. $0.67 with adj gr margin 62.8-63.8%, adj SG&A $33.5-34.5Mm, adj R&D $32.5-33.5Mm Veev Systems ($VEEV) 2Q adj EPS $0.94 vs est. $0.87 on revs $455.6Mm vs est. $451.9Mm; guides 3Q adj EPS $0.87-0.88 vs est. $0.86, sees 3Q revs $464-466Mm vs est. $460Mm; guides FY revs $1.83-1.835B vs est. $1.823B, sees FY adj EPS about $3.57 vs est. $3.47 China’s Alibaba Group ($BABA) will invest 100 billion yuan ($15.5 billion) by 2025 in support of “common prosperity”, it said, becoming the latest corporate giant to pledge support for the initiative driven by President Xi Jinping Ireland hit Facebook’s ($FB) WhatsApp with a record 225 million euro ($266 million) fine on Thursday following an inquiry into the messaging app’s transparency around sharing personal data with other Facebook companies.
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Upside: -ZIVO +24% (momentum following LD Micro Virtual conference) -SNGX +16% (receives Pediatric Investigational Plan Waiver for HyBryte™ in CTCL from the European Medicines Agency) -OXM +14% (earnings, guidance) -RH +8.0% (earnings, guidance) -SIG +7.7% (earnings, guidance; reinstates dividend at lower level) -ASAN +6.9% (momentum) -ENZ +5.6% (earnings) -VOR +4.4% (entered into a multi-year strategic collaboration with Abound Bio and license agreement to research both single- and multi-targeted CAR-T treatments) -TLYS +3.4% (declares $1.00/shr special cash dividend) -GEF +1.7% (earnings, guidance) Downside: -OCGN -40% (to pursue a BLA path in the US for its COVID-19 vaccine candidate; no longer pursuing EUA) -MTLS -14% (prices public offering of 4.0M ADS at $24.0 each for total gross proceedings of $96M) -KLXE -13% (earnings, guidance) -CELH -9.9% (prices 6.5M share offering at $62.50/shr) -FCEL -9.8% (earnings, guidance) -LAKE -7.4% (earnings) -GME -6.5% (earnings, guidance; discloses SEC document request related to investigation of trading activity in GME securities) -IMBI -5.4% (prices offer of 4.8M shares at $9.00/shr for total gross proceedings of $43.5M) -LTHM -3.4% (files to sell 12.5M shares via GS and JPM) -FSLY -2.3% (Oppenheimer Cuts FSLY to Perform from Outperform) -REVG -2.1% (files to sell 7.5M common share secondary offering)
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/*============================================= = Friday June 4 2021 = =============================================*/ Friday, June 4, 2021 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow -60.00 0.17% 34,507 S&P 500 -3.25 0.07% 4,188 Nasdaq -5.50 0.04% 13,524 U.S. stock futures are looking slightly lower after slipping on Thursday, as market focus remains on the monthly jobs report at 8:30 AM ET. Treasury yields are also little changed around the 1.61% level for the 10-year, trading in a narrow range over the last week while oil prices tick higher and gold prices unchanged around the $1.870 an ounce level. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index fell -116 points to 28,941, the Shanghai Index rose 7 points to 3,591 and the Hang Seng Index dipped -47 points to 28,918. In Europe, the German DAX is lower by about 10 points to 15,625, while the FTSE 100 drops around 20 points to 7,045. News flow is quiet ahead of the jobs report where expectations that the U.S. economy added 650K jobs and the unemployment rate to come in at 5.9%. Shares of so called “meme” stocks active again as AMC shares fall and Bitcoin prices drop back under $37K following another cryptic tweet from Tesla CEO Elon Musk. Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index slipped -15.27 points, or 0.36%, to 4,192.85 The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell -23.34 points, or 0.07%, to 34,577.04 The Nasdaq Composite dropped -141.82 points, or 1.03%, to 13,614.51 The Russell 2000 Index declined -18.59 points, or 0.81% to 2,279.25 Events Calendar for Today 8:30 AM EST Nonfarm Payrolls for May…est. 650K 8:30 AM EST Private Payrolls for May…est. 600K 8:30 AM EST Manufacturing Payrolls for May…est. 24K 8:30 AM EST Unemployment Rate for May…est. 5.9% 8:30 AM EST Average Hourly Earnings for May…est. 0.2% 10:00 AM EST Factory Orders for April…est. (-0.2%) 1:00 PM EST Baker Hughes Weekly rig count data Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: $HOFT Other Key Events: American Society of Clinical Oncology (ASCO) Annual Meeting (virtual), 6/4-6/8 Bernstein Strategic Decisions Conference (virtual), 6/2-6/4 Goldman Sachs 3rd Asia Spotlight Symposium (virtual), 6/1-6/4 KeyBanc Capital Markets Industrials & Basic Materials Conference (virtual), 6/1-6/4 Piper Consumer Marketplace Conference (virtual), 6/2-6/4 Macro Up/Down Last Nymex 0.22 69.03 Brent 0.21 71.52 Gold -0.25 1,870.50 EUR/USD -0.0016 1.2111 JPY/USD -0.15 110.14 10-Year Note -0.002 1.625% World News German May Construction PMI lower: 44.5 vs 46.2 previous Eurozone April Retail Sales missed: -3.1% m/m vs -1.2% consensus, 23.9% y/y vs 25.5% consensus Sector News Breakdown Consumer Lululemon Athletica ($LULU) 1Q adj EPS $1.16 vs. est. $0.91 on revs $1.2B vs. est. $1.13B, direct to consumer revs +55% to $545.1Mm, opened two net new stores, inventory at qtr-end +17%; guides 2Q adj EPS $1.10-1.15 vs. est. $1.01, sees 2Q revs $1.3-1.33B vs. est. $1.2B; guides FY adj EPS $6.73-6.86 vs. est. $6.48, sees FY revs $5.825-5.905B vs. est. $5.68B AMC Entertainment ($AMC) shares fell after hours after saying it will ask its shareholders for the authority to issue 25 million shares, effective in 2022. The proposal contrasts with a previous request that shareholders authorize 500 million new shares. Yesterday completed its “at-the-market” equity sales program; it sold 11.55 mln shares, raised $587.4M at avg price of $50.85 ChargePoint ($CHPT) Q2 EPS ($0.84) on revs $40.5Mm; guides 2Q revs $46-51Mm vs. est. $45.2Mm; sees FY revs $195-205Mm vs. est. $203.9Mm Five Below ($FIVE) 1Q EPS $0.88 vs. est. $0.65 on sales $597.8Mm vs. est. $551.1Mm; guides 2Q sales $640-660Mm vs. est. $584.3Mm, sees 2Q EPS $1.01-1.13 vs. est. $0.71 Quanex ($NX) 2Q adj EPS $0.43 vs. est. $0.30 on revs $270.4Mm vs. est. $187.5Mm; guides FY net sales $1.04-1.06B vs. est. $956Mm, sees FY adj EBITDA $125-130Mm vs. est. $117.9Mm Tilly’s ($TLYS) 1Q EPS $0.36 vs. est. ($0.02) on revs $163.2Mm vs. est. $128.9Mm; not offering specific guidance at this time; sees Q2 sales, earnings better than 2020, 2019 if stores stay open Zumiez ($ZUMZ) Q1 EPS $1.03 vs. est. $0.04; Q1 revs $279.1M vs. est. $221.88M; not providing outlook for Q2 or year at this time; Compared to the first quarter ended May 4, 2019 (13 weeks), first quarter 2021 net sales increased 31.1% Chatham Lodging Trust’s ($CLDT) said May RevPAR of $88 for comparable hotels increased 17% from $75 in April; comp hotel occupancy rate in May improved to 70% from 65% in April and 46% in January LGI Homes, Inc. ($LGIH) announced it closed 911 homes in May 2021, up from 640 homes closed in May 2020, representing year-over-year growth of 42.3% Energy, Industrials and Materials Targa Resources ($TRGP) to replace CoreLogic ($CLGX) in S&P 400 at open on 6/9 (Stone Point Capital and Insight Partners are acquiring CoreLogic in a deal expected to be completed soon) Northrop Grumman ($NOC) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Stifel and raise tgt to $475 from $350 saying defense industry stocks are cheap and the market will eventually realize it S. Steel ($X) upgraded to Neutral from Sell at UBS and raised tgt to $30 from $15 ZIM Integrated ($ZIM)975M share Secondary priced at $40.00 Workhorse ($WKHS) slides after Cowen downgrades the stock, saying that it now looks fairly valued following the retail trader-driven rally Financials Cboe Global Markets ($CBOE) options total volume in May of 220.1M contracts rose 2.6% M/M and 15% Y/Y, while total average daily volume of 11.0M, up 7.7% from April and 15% from May 2020; Futures volume in May of 5.33M contracts increased 28% M/M and 99% Y/Y; total ADV of 266K contracts rose 34% from April. Envestnet ($ENV) to replace TCF Financial ($TCF) in S&P 400 at open on 6/9 (HBAN is acquiring TCF) Bitcoin shares slide over 5% to $36,600 following Elon Musk’s tweet in which he wrote the hashtag #Bitcoin with a broken heart emoji. He also referenced lyrics from “In the End,” a song by Linkin Park. – recall Bitcoin reached a record high of more than $64,000 in April Wells Fargo ($WFC) upgraded to Buy from Neutral and raise tgt to $60 at Bank America The9 ($NCTY) says to buy carbon-neutral cryptocurrency miner Montcrypto Ltd, to invest up to C$5.6 mln in two phases Healthcare Abbott Labs ($ABT) said it plans a restructuring; costs are expected to be incurred during remainder of 2021 with majority of costs expected to be recorded in Q2; estimates pre-tax costs to be incurred to implement plan to be approximately $550M-$700M Bristol Myers Squibb ($BMY) presents data from CheckMate -648 showing Opdivo plus chemotherapy and Opdivo plus Yervoy significantly improved overall survival compared to chemotherapy in unresectable advanced or metastatic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma Cooper Companies ($COO) 2Q adj EPS $3.38 vs. est. $3.09 on revs $719.5Mm vs. est. $690.2Mm; guides FY revs $2.855-2.885B vs. est. $2.83B, sees FY adj EPS $13.20-13.40 vs. est. $13.04 Galapagos ($GLPG) announced that primary and secondary endpoint results from the phase 3 SELECTION induction and maintenance study were published in The Lancet. Senseonics Holdings ($SENS) rises after saying Promise study demonstrated strong accuracy of 180 Day CGM Sensor Phreesia Inc. ($PHR) Q1 EPS loss ($0.24) vs. est. loss ($0.17); Q1 revs $48.3M vs. est. $42.8M; raises year rev outlook to $191M-$194M from prior view $178M-$186M (est. $183.5M); avg number of provider clients was 1,902 in Q1 as compared to 1,632 in the same period in the prior year, an increase of 17%; avg revs per provider client was $20,222 in Q1 compared to $16,735 YoY, an increase of 21% Technology, Media & Telecom Asana ($ASAN) Q1 adj EPS loss ($0.21) vs. est. loss ($0.27); Q1 revs $76.7M vs. est. $70.14M; raises FY22 rev outlook to $336M-$340M from $309M-$314M prior (est. $312.24M) Broadcom ($AVGO) Q2 adj EPS $6.62 vs. est. $6.43; Q2 revs $6.61B vs. est. $6.51B; sees Q3 revs $6.75B vs. est. $6.6B; sees Q3 adjusted EBITDA of approximately 60% of projected revenue; saw strength in demand for semiconductors across multiple end markets; says expecting free cash flow to remain strong in Q3 CrowdStrike ($CRWD) 1Q adj EPS $0.10 vs. est. $0.06 on revs $302.8Mm vs. est. $291.4Mm, adds 1,542 net new subs in qtr, added $144Mm net new ARR in qtr; guides 2Q revs $318.3-324.4Mm vs. est. $310.2Mm, sees 2Q adj EPS $0.07-0.09 vs. est. $0.06; guides FY revs $1.347-1.365B vs est. $1.32B, sees FY adj EPS $0.35-0.41 vs. est. $0.30 DocuSign ($DOCU) Q1 adj EPS $0.44 vs. est. $0.28; Q1 revs $469.1M vs. est. $437.81M; guides FY22 revs $2.027B-$2.039B vs. est. $1.98B; sees FY22 adjusted gross margin 79%-81%; Q1 Subscription revenue was $451.9M up 61% YoY; Q1 billings were $527.4M, up 54% YoY; Q1 GAAP gross margin was 78% compared to 75% in the same period last year Meredith Corp. ($MDP) is said to have received a higher bid from Standard General for its Local Media Group before it agreed to increased deal with Gray Television. Standard General was bidding with a group include Apollo Global (APO) and Sinclair Broadcast (SBGI), according to a DealReporter story, which cited sources familiar. MongoDB ($MDB) Q1 Non-Gaap EPS loss ($0.15) vs. est. loss ($0.37); Q1 revs $181.6M vs. est. $169.9M; Q1 Subscription revenue was $174.6 million, an increase of 40% YoY, and services revenue was $7.1 million, an increase of 29% YoY; sees FY22 non-GAAP EPS loss ($1.38)-($1.25) vs. est. loss ($1.43); guides FY22 revs $771.0M-$784.0M vs. est. $764.65M. PagerDuty ($PD) Q1 EPS loss (8c) vs. est. loss (9c); Q1 revs $63.6M vs. est. $61.95M; said over 16,800 companies now using PagerDuty to power their digital transformations; customers with annual recurring revenue over $1,000,000, up 55% YoY; sees Q2 EPS loss (16c)-(15c) vs. est. loss (9c); sees Q2 revs $64.5M-$66.5M vs. est. $63.8M SAIC Corp. ($SAIC) announced that it has entered into a definitive agreement to acquire Halfaker and Associates, LLC, a federal health technology solutions provider, for $250M; 1Q adj EPS $1.94 vs. est. $1.51 on revs $1.9B vs. est. $1.81B; guides FY22 adj EPS $6.15-6.40 vs. est. $6.30, sees FY22 revs $7.15-7.3B vs. est. $7.24B Sumo Logic ($SUMO) 1Q adj EPS ($0.11) vs. est. ($0.12) on revs $54.2Mm vs. est. $53.9Mm; guides 2Q revs $56.1-57.1Mm vs. est. $56.4Mm, sees 2Q adj EPS ($0.14) vs. est. ($0.12); guides FY revs $233-236Mm vs. est. $233.9Mm, sees FY adj EPS loss $0.55-0.57 vs. est. loss $0.48 The European Commission and the U.K. Competition and Markets Authority each said they were opening competition inquiries into social-media giant Facebook’s ($FB) advertising services. The European Union said it’s looking to see whether Facebook violated EU competition rules by using advertising data gathered from advertisers in order to compete with them in markets where Facebook is active such as classified ads United Microelectronics ($UMC) reports May net sales grew 16.57%% Y/Y to NT$17.19B
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/*============================================= = Thursday JUN 03 2021 = =============================================*/ Thursday, June 3, 2021 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow -146.00 0.42% 34,444 S&P 500 -18.25 0.44% 4,187 Nasdaq -62.50 0.46% 13,611 Stock futures are edging lower, with investors expressing some caution ahead of key economic data jobs reports later this morning. Stocks finished Wednesday with slim gains ahead of today’s ADP private payrolls and jobless claims and tomorrow’s nonfarm payrolls. Investors have been closely watching for signs of inflation and indications on whether the Fed could put the brakes on the rebounding U.S. economy sooner than anticipated. Politico is reporting this morning that President Biden wants $1 trillion in new spending in the infrastructure bill. Energy stocks were market leaders on Wednesday, led higher as oil prices advanced on improving demand expectations as the economy strengthens and as the dollar weakens. The benchmark S&P 500 is up about 12% this year, and within about 1% of its record high, as investors anticipate an economic rebound from the coronavirus pandemic. The big story this week remains the strength in a group of stocks favored by retail investors on forums such as Reddit’s WallStreetBets, led this week by surges in AMC Theatres ($AMC), Bed Bath & Beyond ($BBBY), and Blackberry ($BB), following the early year surge in GameStop ($GME) which has not given up its gains. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index rose 111 points to 29,058, the Shanghai Index slipped -12 points to 3,584 and the Hang Seng Index declined -331 points to 28,966. In Europe, the German DAX is lower by about 60 points to 15,540, while the FTSE 100 is down over 50 points to 7,050. Events Calendar for Today 7:30 AM EST Challenger Layoffs for May 8:15 AM EST ADP Employment Change for May…est. 650K 8:30 AM ET Weekly Jobless Claims…est. 390K 8:30 AM EST Continuing Claims…est. 3.615M 8:30 AM EST Q1 Nonfarm Productivity…est. 5.5% 8:30 AM EST Q1 Unit Labor Costs…est. (-0.4%) 9:45 AM EST Markit Composite, May-F…prior 68.1 9:45 AM EST Markit Services PMI, May-F…est. prior 70.1 10:00 AM EST ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI for May…est. 63.0 10:30 AM ET Weekly EIA Natural Gas Inventory Data 11:00 AM ET Weekly DOE Inventory Data Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: $CIEN, $CONN, $DLTH, $EXPR, $HOV, $SCWX, $SJM, $SWIM, $TTC Earnings After the Close: $ASAN, $AVGO, $COO, $CRWD, $DOCU, $FIVE, $IDT, $JOAN, $MDB, $NX, $PD, $PHR, $SAIC, $SUMO, $TLYS, $WORK, $ZUMZ Other Key Events: Bernstein Strategic Decisions Conference (virtual), 6/2-6/4 Cowen 49th Annual TMT Conference (virtual), 6/1-6/3 Goldman Sachs 3rd Asia Spotlight Symposium (virtual), 6/1-6/4 Jefferies Global Healthcare Conference, 6/1-6/3 KeyBanc Capital Markets Industrials & Basic Materials Conference (virtual), 6/1-6/4 Piper Consumer Marketplace Conference (virtual), 6/2-6/4 William Blair 40th Annual Growth Stock Conference (virtual), 6/1-6/3 Wells Fargo Energy Conference (virtual), 6/2-6/3 Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index climbed 6.08 points, or 0.14%, to 4,208.12 The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 25.07 points, or 0.07%, to 34,600.38 The Nasdaq Composite gained 19.85 points, or 0.14%, to 13,756.33 The Russell 2000 Index advanced 3.09 points, or 0.13% to 2,297.83 Macro Up/Down Last Nymex -0.10 68.73 Brent -0.04 71.31 Gold -12.00 1,896.35 EUR/USD -0.0014 1.2197 JPY/USD 0.13 109.69 10-Year Note +0.01 1.601% World News China Caixin services PMI 55.1 vs 56.2 estimate, composite PMI 53.8 vs 54.7 The EIA weekly report on U.S. oil inventories, supply and demand is at 11:00 this morning, pushed back a day due to the Memorial Day holiday. UK May Markit Services PMI (final) higher: 62.9 vs 61.8 consensus Eurozone May Markit Services PMI (final) higher: 55.2 vs 55.1 consensus Sector News Breakdown Consumer PVH Corp. ($PVH) Q1 EPS $1.92 vs. est. $0.83; Q1 revs $2.08B vs. est. $1.93B; Abel-Hodges to Step Down as CEO of Calvin Klein and move to an advisory position; sees Q2 EPS $1.15-$1.18 vs. est. $1.22; sees Q2 revs up 34% to 35% from prior year; raises FY21 EPS view to $6.50 from $6.00 (est. $6.16); raises FY21 revenue growth view to 24%-26% from 22%-24% SpartanNash ($SPTN) Q1 adj EPS $0.56 in-line with ests; Q1 revs $2.66B vs. est. $2.7B; reaffirms FY21 adj EPS view of $1.65-$1.80 (est. $1.76) and also backs FY21 revs view $8.8B-$9B vs. est. $8.93B; now expects that Retail comparable sales will be negative 5.0% to 7.0% for 2021 Sportsman’s Warehouse ($SPWH) Q1 EPS 28c vs. est. loss (4c); Q1 revs $327M vs. est. $252.23M; Q1 comp store sales increased 24.1% YoY; Q1 adjusted EBITDA was $23.5 million compared to $8.2 million in the comparable prior year period Churchill Downs ($CHDN) bans trainer Bob Baffert for 2 years after Kentucky Derby winner Medina Spirit’s second positive drug test Conn’s ($CONN) Q1 adj EPS $1.55 vs. est. 30c; Q1 revs $291.3M vs. est. $293.77M; Q1 comp store sales up 19.4%; Q1 e-commerce sales up 95.7% HeadHunter ($HHR)5M share Secondary priced at $37.00 Energy, Industrials & Materials NRG Energy Inc. ($NRG) and Exelon Corp. ($EXC): watch utilities after suppliers to PJM Interconnection LLC’s grid, which serves more than 65 million people, will get $50 a megawatt-day to provide capacity for the year starting June 2022, according to yesterday auction results – down sharply from $140 in the previous auction, held in 2018 (ests, were for the price to fall to about $85). The results showed that the capacity price for the Chicago-area zone, known as ComEd, was $68.96 compared with $195.55 in the last auction. The price for the Pennsylvania and New Jersey zone, known as EMAAC, fell to $97.86 percent, from $165.73 The American Petroleum Institute ($API) showed a draw of 5.36M barrels of oil for the week ended May 28; gasoline inventories showed a build of 2.51M barrels, distillate inventories show a build of 1.59M barrels and Cushing inventories show a build of 741K barrels Patterson-UTI Energy ($PTEN) reports an average of 72 drilling rigs operating for the month of May, 2021 Westport Fuel ($WPRT)2M share secondary prices at $5.50 Financials The Federal Reserve will begin to unwind the corporate bond holdings it acquired last year through an emergency lending facility launched to calm credit markets at the height of the pandemic, the central bank said. The Fed said the sale of its holdings in the Secondary Market Corporate Credit Facility, which includes bonds of companies purchased in the secondary market and exchange-traded funds that invest in corporate bonds, will be “gradual and orderly.” Cushman & Wakefield ($CWK) announces offering of 10M ordinary shares for holders Arch Capital (ACGL) announces $500 million public offering of depositary shares representing series G preferred shares MarketAxess ($MKTX) May trading volume of $478.7B consists of $204.4B in credit volume and $274.3B in rates volume; total credit volume decreased 10.6% this month year-over-year with a 37.9% rise in Eurobond trading volume. Allstate ($ALL) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Citi Cushman & Wakefield ($CWK) 10M share Spot Secondary priced at $18.75 Healthcare Syneos Health ($SYNH) announces offering of 10.85M shares of common stock for holders Tilray ($TLRY) upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at Cantor Fitzgerald Technology, Media & Telecom com ($BILL) files to sell 10.6M shares of common stock for holders ai ($AI) Q4 EPS loss (24c) vs. est. loss (26c); Q4 revs $52.3M vs. est. $50.6M; sees FY22 revs $243M-$247.0M vs. est. $239.94M Elastic ($ESTC) Q4 adj EPS loss (8c) vs. est. loss (16c); Q4 revs $177.6M vs. est. $157.94M; sees Q1 adj EPS loss (13c)-(10c) vs. est. loss (12c); sees Q1 revs $171M-$173M vs. est. $168.78M; Q4 Revenue of $177.6 million, Up 44% YoY, Q4 SaaS Revenue of $51.3 million, Up 77% YoY and FY21 Revenue of $608.5 million, Up 42% YoY FireEye ($FEYE) entered into a definitive agreement to sell the FireEye Products business, including the FireEye name, to a consortium led by Symphony Technology Group in an all-cash transaction for $1.2B; board approves share repurchase program of up to $500M Guidewire ($GWRE) Q3 adj EPS loss (16c) vs. est. loss (24c); Q3 revs $164M vs. est. $157.74M; sees year revs $732M-$738M up from $725M-$733M prior (est. $730.4M) NetApp ($NTAP) authorizes additional $500M stock buyback; raises quarterly dividend by 4% to 50c per share; Q4 EPS $1.17 vs. est. $1.12; Q4 revs $1.56B vs. est. $1.50B; Q4 billings up 12% at 1.74B; sees Q1 EPS 89c-97c vs. est. 87c; sees Q1 revs $1.37B-$1.47B vs. est. $1.37B Semtech ($SMTC) Q1 adj EPS 53c vs. est. 52c; Q1 revs $170.4M vs. est. $164.31M; Q1 Wireless and Sensing products group net sales increased 7% sequentially and 78% year-over-year for a new record that included record net sales for our LoRa(R) platforms and proximity sensing products; guides Q2 adj EPS 57c-65c vs. est. 57c; sees Q2 revs $177M-$187M vs. est. $169.58M Smartsheet ($SMAR) Q1 Non-Gaap EPS loss (9c) vs. est. loss (14c); Q1 revs $117.1M vs. est. $111.81M; Q1 calculated billings grew 48% YoY to $132.8M; Q2 net operating cash flow was negative $3.0M, net free cash flow was negative $8.2M; number of all customers with annualized contract values (“ACV”) of $5,000 or more grew to 12,655, an increase of 32% YoY; sees FY22 EPS loss (44c)-(36c) vs. est. loss (40c); sees FY22 revenue $510M-$515M vs. est. $502.76M Splunk ($SPLK) Q1 EPS ($2.89) vs. est. loss (70c); Q1 revs $502M vs. est. $491.32M; sees Q2 revenue $550M-$570M vs. est. $561.36M; sees Q2 ARR $2.59B-$2.62B and Q2 Cloud ARR $950M-$960M; said Q1 net loss widened on higher operating expenses, driven in part by its transition to the cloud Cambium Networks ($CMBM) 2M share Secondary priced at $48.00 dLocal ($DLO)41M share IPO priced at $21.00 Flex ($FLEX) files mixed securities shelf
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Tillys is a leading specialty retailer of casual apparel, footwear and accessories for young men, young women, boys and girls with an extensive assortment of iconic global, emerging and proprietary brands rooted in an active and outdoor lifestyle. Tillys is headquartered in Irvine, California and, as of February 10, 2021, operated 238 total stores across 33 states, and its website, www.tillys.com.