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Tuesday, July 27, 2021 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow -110.00 0.31% 34,924 S&P 500 -10.25 0.23% 4,404 Nasdaq -8.50 0.06% 15,109 Global stock markets and U.S. futures decline amid a further Chinese selloff as Beijing undertook an extensive regulatory overhaul in the country. Focus turns back to the Fed and earnings as Fed officials are expected to discuss an eventual tapering of the stimulus at a meeting concluding tomorrow while Tesla Inc. ($TSLA) rose in premarket trading after an earnings beat. The S&P 500 and Dow closed at new all-time bests in sideways trading Monday as investors prepare for the Fed’s two-day policy meeting and ahead of quarterly earnings. Big tech in focus tonight with Apple, Microsoft, and Alphabet ($GOOGL) expected to post results while China stocks look to recover as big cap Alibaba ($BABA) and Baidu ($BIDU) each fall more than 5% on Monday after Beijing recently unveiled new rules on private tutoring and online education firms, the latest in a series of crackdowns on the technology sector that have roiled financial markets. The S&P 500 energy index was the strongest gainer among 11 sector indexes yesterday, jumping 2.5%, with health care the worst performer. Bitcoin prices pullback slightly after Bloomberg reported late yesterday that Amazon ($AMZN) denies will accept bitcoin, launch crypto coin in 2022 – said an Amazon spokesperson denied the report form City A.M. Crypto assets were up between 15%-20% on Monday after the reports initially surfaced. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index climbed 136 points to 27,970, the Shanghai Index dropped over 80 points (2.49%) to settle at 3,381 and the Hang Seng Index plunged again, falling over 1,000 points for a 2nd straight day (4.22%) to 25,086. In Europe, the German DAX is down over 70 points to 15,550, while the FTSE 100 is off about 30 points to dip below the 7,000 level. Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index gained 10.51 points, or 0.24%, to 4,422.30 The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 82.76 points, or 0.24%, to 35,144.31 The Nasdaq Composite edged higher 3.72 points, or 0.03%, to 14,840.71 The Russell 2000 Index climbed 7.27 points, or 0.33% to 2,216.92 Events Calendar for Today 7:45 AM ET ICSC Weekly Retail Sales 8:30 AM ET Durable Goods Orders for June…est. 2.1% 8:30 AM ET Durable Goods Ex Transportation for June…est. 0.8% 8:55 AM ET Johnson/Redbook Weekly Sales 9:00 AM ET CaseShiller 20 City Index for May…est. 1.6% 9:00 AM ET Monthly Home Prices MoM for May 10:00 AM ET Consumer Confidence for July…est. 123.9 10:00 AMET Richmond Fed Manufacturing for July…prior 22 4:30 PM ET API Weekly Inventory Data Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: AAN, ABG, ADM, ARCH, AWI, BSX, CIT, CNC, CTS, CVLT, DTE, ECL, ENTG, FELE, FISV, GE, GLW, GPK, HUBB, IQV, IVZ, JBLU, LECO, LW, MMM, MSCI, NXRT, PCAR, PHM, PII, RGEN, ROK, RTX, SHW, SIRI, SSTK, ST, SWK, TPB, UPS, WM, XRX Earnings After the Close: $AAPL, AAT, AGYS, $AMD, ASH, ATEN, AXTI, BXP, BYD, CAC, CAKE, CHE, CHRW, CSGP, EGP, EHC, ENPH, EQR, EXR, FCF, FIBK, $GOOGL, HA, HAFC, HBNC, HIW, HRZN, HT, HVT, IEX, JBT, JNPR, LBRT, MANH, MASI, MAT, MDLZ, MPWR, MSFT, MTDR, MXIM, NAVI, NBR, NLOK, NOV, OLN, OVV, PGRE, QS, SBUX, STAG, SYK, TDOC, TENB, TER, TRMK, USNA, V, WHG, WIRE, WSBC Other Key Events: Alzheimer’s Association International Conference (AAIC) 2021 (virtual), 7/26-7/30 Society of Cataract & Refractive Surgery, 7/23-7/27, in Las Vegas Macro Up/Down Last Nymex 0.01 71.92 Brent 0.19 74.69 Gold -030 1,797.35 EUR/USD -0.0017 1.1786 JPY/USD -0.28 110.11 10-Year Note -0.022 1.254% Sector News Breakdown Consumer Tesla Motors ($TSLA) Q2 non-GAAP EPS $1.45 vs. est. $0.96; Q2 revs $11.96B vs. est. $11.3B; said produced and delivered over 200,000 vehicles, achieved an operating margin of 11.0% and exceeded $1B of GAAP net income for the first time in our history; qtrly automotive gross margin 28.4% vs 25.4% reported last year; qtrly automotive rev of which regulatory credits $354 mln vs $428 mln reported last year; qtrly vehicle asp declined by 2% yoy as Model S & Model X deliveries were reduced in q2 due to the product updates; records $23 million in bitcoin-related impairments after crypto’s second-quarter plunge PulteGroup, Inc. ($PHM) and Invitation Homes ($INVH), the nation’s premier single-family home leasing company, announced today the formation of an innovative strategic relationship Stanley Black & Decker ($SWK) Q2 EPS $3.08 vs. est. $2.87; Q2 revs $4.3B vs. est. $4.21B; raises FY21 EPS view to $11.35-$11.65 from $10.70-$11.00 (est. $11.19) and sees FY21 organic revenue growth 16%-18% TriNet Group ($TNET) Q2 adj EPS $1.56 vs. est. $0.81; Q2 revs rose 16% to $1.1B as compared to the same period last year; Q2 adjusted EBITDA was $154 million, compared to Adjusted EBITDA of $199 million, in the same period last year; total Worksite Employees ($WSEs) increased 9% compared to the same period last year, to approximately 340,000; sees FY revs up 10%-12% YoY Energy Range Resources ($RRC) 2Q adj EPS $0.24 vs est. $0.24 on adj revs $644Mm vs est. $569.9Mm, qtrly production avg 2.10 BCFE/day, about 31% liquids; says remains on track to spend at or below $425Mm capital budget; guides FY production avg about 2.15 BCFE/day with about 30% liquids Financials com Inc ($AMZN) on Monday denied a media report saying the e-commerce giant was looking to accept bitcoin payments by the end of the year. The report from London’s City A.M. newspaper sent Bitcoin prices surging above $40K before it trimmed gains to last trade around $37,500. “Notwithstanding our interest in the space, the speculation that has ensued around our specific plans for cryptocurrencies is not true,” said a spokesperson from Amazon AGNC Investment ($AGNC) Q2 EPS loss (83c); reports $16.39 tangible net book value per common share as of June 30, decreased ($1.33) per common share, or -7.5%, from $17.72 per common share as of March 31. American Campus Communities ($ACC) 2Q adj FFO/shr $0.42 vs est. $0.37 on revs $208.5Mm vs est. $187.8Mm; guides 3Q FFO/shr $0.32-0.36 vs est. $0.32, sees FY FFO/shr $1.95-2.09 vs est. $1.92 Ameriprise ($AMP) 2Q adj EPS $5.27 vs est. $5.21 on revs $3.42B vs est. $3.37B, AUM +28% to $1.2T Brandywine ($BDN) Q2 FFO $0.32 vs. est. $0.32; sees 2021 FFO $1.34-$1.40 vs. est. $1.36; Core Portfolio: 90.5% occupied and 92.5% leased; New and Renewal Leases Signed: 435,000 square feet; Rental Rate Mark-to-Market: Increased 22.2% / 13.7% on accrual / cash basis; Same Store Net Operating Income: 0.5% on an accrual basis and 1.8% on a cash basis Brown & Brown ($BRO) Q2 adj EPS 49c vs. est. 40c; Q2 revs $727.3M vs. est. $679.46M Heartland Financial ($HTLF) Q2 EPS $1.41 vs. est. $1.26; Q2 revs $173.7M vs. est. $174.7M; Q2 net interest margin was 3.37% compared to 3.44%during the first quarter of 2021 and 3.81% during the second quarter of 2020 Independence Realty ($IRT) 2Q EPS $0.03 vs est. $0.01, sees FY same-store property NOI growth 6.5-7.5%, sees FY core FFO/share $0.76-0.78 vs est. $0.75; announces 14M share secondary offering Sun Communities ($SUI) 2Q core FFO/shr $1.80 vs est. $1.61 on revs $603.9Mm vs est. $374.9Mm, says home sales volume +89.5% to 1,158 homes for qtr ended June 30, 2021; guides FY core FFO/shr $6.25-6.37 vs est. $6.03 TransUnion ($TRU) Q2 adj EPS 96c vs. est. 91c; Q2 revs $774M vs. est. $745.78M; sees FY21 adj EPS $3.63-$3.70 vs. est. $3.54; sees FY21 revenue $3.034B-$3.059B vs. est. $2.98B Healthcare Biogen ($BIIB) and Ionis ($IONS) announced that topline data from a Phase 1b placebo-controlled, multiple ascending dose clinical study showed that BIIB080/IONIS-MAPT met its primary objective of safety and tolerability in patients with mild Alzheimer’s disease. HealthStream Inc. ($HSTM) 2Q EPS $0.08 vs est. ($0.04) on revs $64.8Mm vs est. $60.6Mm; guides FY revs $253-257Mm vs est. $251.3Mm, sees FY adj EBITDA $48-50Mm vs est. $42.8Mm ObsEva ($OBSV) rises 25%; after entering a pact for Organon to exclusively develop and commercialize ebopiprant, a treatment for preterm labor Medpace ($MEDP) Q2 GAAP EPS $1.06 vs. est. $0.99; Q2 revs $278.3M vs. est. $272.1M; raises FY21 EPS view to $4.31-$4.50 from$4.24-$4.42 (est. $4.38); sees FY21 revs $1.11B-$1.15B vs. est. $1.13B; net new business awards were $387.6M in Q2, representing an increase of 52.5% Universal Health ($UHS) Q2 adj EPS $3.76 vs. est. $2.68; Q2 revs $3.2B vs. est. $3.01B; increases 2021 full year earnings guidance and announces $1 billion increase to stock repurchase program authorization; sees year EPS $11.46-$12.16 (above prior $10.05-$11.05) vs. est. $11.00; sees year revs $12.35B-$12.5B vs. est. $12.33B Industrials & Materials General Electric ($GE) Q2 adj EPS 5c vs. est. 4c; Q2 revs $18.3B vs. est. $18.13B; Q2 Industrial organic revenues $16.9B, up 7%; reiterates FY21 adjusted EPS view 15c-25c vs. est. 26c; raises 2021 outlook for Industrial free cash flow range from $2.5B-$4.5B to $3.5B-$5.0B 3M ($MMM) Q2 adj EPS $2.59 vs. est. $2.26; Q2 revs $8.95B vs. est. $8.55B; Q2 operating cash flow was $1.9B with adjusted free cash flow of $1.6B contributing to adjusted free cash flow conversion of 103%; raises FY21 EPS view to $9.70-$10.10 from $9.20-$9.70 (est. $9.81) and also boosts FY21 revenue view to up 7%-10% from up 5%-8% China is considering imposing more tariffs on steel exports as it seeks to cap domestic production and tame surging prices. Potential rates being discussed range from 10% to 25% and products include hot-rolled coil, according to two people familiar with the matter – Bloomberg (watch shares of $X, $STLD, $RS, $NUE) Axalta Coating ($AXTA) Q2 EPS $0.54 vs. est. $0.46; Q2 sales $1.13B vs. est. $1.08B; Q2 sales increased 72.6% year-over-year, including a 5.3% foreign currency benefit, driven by 56.4% higher volumes and 9.3% higher average price and product mix; sees FY 2021 adjusted eps $1.85-$2.00 vs. est. $2.06; sees FY adjusted Ebit $685-$725 mln and sees FY 2021 net sales growth about 20%-22% Hexcel Corp. ($HXL) 2Q adj EPS $0.08 vs est. $0.01 on sales $320Mm vs est. $324Mm, continues to withhold financial guidance Crane Co. ($CR) 2Q adj EPS $1.83 vs est. $1.38 on sales $796Mm vs est. $743.6Mm; guides FY adj EPS $5.95-6.15 vs est. $5.73, sees FY core sales +7-9%, sees FY net sales $3.1B vs est. $3.03B Packaging Corp. ($PKG) 2Q adj EPS $2.17 vs est. $1.78 on sales $1.9B vs est. $1.78B, guides 3Q EPS $2.37 vs est. $2.11 PotlatchDeltic ($PCH) Q2 EPS $2.77 vs. est. $2.52; Q2 revs $447.5M vs. est. $422.2M; Generated record Total Adjusted EBITDDA of $275.0M and Total Adjusted EBITDDA margin of 61%; historic lumber prices drove record Wood Products Adjusted EBITDDA of $204.6M Simpson Manufacturing ($SSD) Q2 EPS $1.66 vs. est. $1.60; Q2 revs $410.3M vs. est. $393.68M; raises FY21 CapEx view to $55M-$60M from $50M-$55M TFI International Inc. ($TFII) 2Q adj EPS $1.44 vs est. $0.96 on revs $1.84B vs est. $1.35B, increased qtrly dividend by 21% to $0.23/share
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Monday, July 26, 2021 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow -112.00 0.32% 34,839 S&P 500 -10.25 0.23% 4,393 Nasdaq -20.50 0.14% 15,077 Stocks are pulling back after another record high for stocks on Friday as markets ready for the biggest week of quarterly earnings (about 1/3 of the S&P 500 report this week) including mega-cap giants including Apple, Amazon, Facebook, Microsoft, Alphabet, Tesla, and Boeing among them. Sentiment was hurt by China’s widening crackdown of the technology sector and a statement from Beijing that the U.S.-China relationship was “now in a stalemate and faces serious difficulties” as high-level talks began. The comment sunk Asian markets as The Nikkei Index rose 285 points to 27,833, but the Shanghai Index tumbled -82 points to 3,467 and the Hang Seng Index plunged -1,129 points (or 4.13%) to settle at 26,192. In Europe, the German DAX is down over -60 points to 15,600, while the FTSE 100 dips about -0.25% to hold just above the 7,000 level. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury fell to 1.246% as investors awaited the Federal Reserve’s outlook. The FOMC 2-day meeting begins Tuesday and ends Wednesday with a policy statement/press conference from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell. Stock averages posted strong returns last week as the S&P 500 rose 1.96%, the Dow rose 1.08%, and the Nasdaq added 2.84% in a big comeback (and then some) as the major indices rode a rally back into record territory, posting four-straight up days after a big selloff to start the week. The S&P, Nasdaq and Dow closed at all-time highs to make it four winning weeks out of five with the Dow ending above 35,000. It took 69 trading days to go from 34k to 35k, which is the longest since 29k to 30k took 218 days. The 10-year Treasury yield also had a big comeback, but ended the week around 1.29%, just below where it was last Friday (it had dropped to as low on 1.12% on Tuesday). Bitcoin prices rose above its 50-day moving average on Saturday for the first time since May 12. It rose again Sunday, its sixth consecutive day of gains, to above $38K. Bitcoin traded above the technical level after comments from Ark Investment Management LLC’s Cathie Wood and Tesla Inc. Chief Executive Officer Elon Musk helped boost its momentum. Prices took off yesterday after London’s City A.M. newspaper said Amazon ($AMZN) is looking to accept bitcoin payments by year-end – the story is boosting shares of Bitcoin miners, banks etc.: $SI, $MARA, $RIOT, $MSTR, $COIN. Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index gained 44.31 points, or 1.01%, to 4,411.79 The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 238.20 points, or 0.68%, to 35,061.55 The Nasdaq Composite surged 152.39 points, or 1.04%, to 14,836.99 The Russell 2000 Index advanced 10.17 points, or 0.46% to 2,209.65 Events Calendar for Today 10:00 AM ET New Home Sales MoM for June 10:30 AM ET Dallas Fed Manufacturing for July Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: $ARLP, $BOH, $CBU, $HAS, $LII, $LMT, $OTIS, $PETS, $RPM Earnings After the Close: $ACC, $ADC, $AGNC, $AGRX, $AMKR, $AMP, $ARE, $ARI, AXTA, $BDN, $BRO, $CALX, $CATY, $CDNS, $CR, $FFIV, FRME, $FSTX, $HLX, $HMST, $HSII, $HTLF, $HXL, $IRT, $JJSF, KREF, MEDP, MEDS, $NBTB, $PKG, $RBB, $RRC, $SSD, $SUI, $TBI, $TNET, $TSLA, $UHS Other Key Events: Alzheimer’s Association International Conference (AAIC) 2021 (virtual), 7/26-7/30 Society of Cataract & Refractive Surgery, 7/23-7/27, in Las Vegas Macro Up/Down Last Nymex -0.56 71.51 Brent -0.48 73.62 Gold 6.30 1,808.45 EUR/USD 0.0023 1.1794 JPY/USD -0.28 110.27 10-Year Note -0.04 1.245% World News Germany July IFO climate8 vs 102.1 cons; Expectations 101.2 vs 103.3 consensus; Assessment 100.4 vs 101.5 consensus; German IFO: Supply problems are weighing on economy in both industry & retail; majority of firms complain of materials shortage and “massive” price increases; industry says it is short of production targets Sector News Breakdown Consumer Hasbro ($HAS) Q2 adj EPS $1.05 vs. est. $0.48; Q2 revs $1.32B vs. est. $ 1.17B Travel and leisure stocks rallied in the initial reopening stage of the pandemic, but the surge has fizzled with the spread of the delta variant. Barron’s identifies six stocks that can be bargains during the next leg of the reopening. Hilton ($HLT), Host Hotels & Resorts ($HST), MGM Growth Properties ($MGP), Royal Caribbean ($RCL), Travel + Leisure ($TNL), and Wyndham Hotels & Resorts ($WH) have some attributes to withstand uncertain stretches amid the rise in Covid variant, according to Barron’s China confirmed that the country is banning for-profit school tutoring companies after a report on the possible move sent shares of tutoring firms TAL Education ($TAL), New Oriental ($EDU) and Gaotu Techu ($GOTU) plunging on Friday. Companies that teach school subjects can no longer accept overseas investments, according to a Bloomberg report, which cited a notice from China’s State Council. Listed firms can no longer raise capital through stock markets Airbnb ($ABNB) CEO told Barron’s that the industry still has room to grow despite the delta variant. The pandemic has opened up a whole new business, such as monthly rentals, as people work from new places. He expects longer stays to be the bread and butter at some point TripAdvisor ($TRIP) is the cheapest online travel stock to buy according to Barron’s saying while it has struggled to make the most of its hundreds of millions of users, that could soon change as the company has started a new travel subscription service that offers discounted hotel rates and other benefits; shares now around $36, look inexpensive, having fallen from a March peak of $65 Amazon ($AMZN) is said to be looking to accept bitcoin payments by the end of the year and its exploring its own token for next year. Amazon has been working on the plan since 2019, according to a City A.M. report, which cites an unidentified insider General Motors ($GM) and its Cruise robo-taxi subsidiary have filed a lawsuit to stop Ford Motor ($F) from using the name “BlueCruise” to market its hands-free driving technology Energy, Industrials and Materials RBC Bearings ($ROLL) is in advanced talks to buy ABB Ltd.’s ($ABB) mechanical power transmission business, for between $2.5 billion and $3 billion Bloomberg reported this weekend Lithium Americas ($LAC) rises after a U.S. federal judge ruled that LAC may conduct excavation work at its Thacker Pass lithium mine site in Nevada, which could become one of the country’s biggest lithium mines producing 30,000 tonnes Otis Worldwide ($OTIS) Q2 adj EPS 79c vs. est. 71c; Q2 revs $3.7B vs. est. $3.45B; Q2 new equipment orders were up 23.9% and backlog was up 10%; raises FY21 adjusted EPS view to $2.89-$2.93 from $2.78-$2.84 (est. $2.87) and boosts FY21 revs view to $14.1B-$14.2B from $13.6B-$13.9B Canada’s Unifor union says ~900 workers have gone on strike at Rio Tinto’s ($RIO) Kitimat aluminum smelting plant and Kemano power generating facility in British Columbia over labor contracts with the company Seadrill ($SDRLF) said it entered into agreements with creditors to raise $350 million in new financing and reduce its liabilities by over $4.9 billion Financials Robinhood ($HOOD) IPO coming soon, and Barron’s cautious on shares; notes Robinhood is a truly transformational company, but its problem is the quality and sustainability of its revenue, notes is also highly dependent on cryptocurrency trading, another area under close review by the SEC KeyCorp ($KEY), M&T Bank ($MTB) among bank stocks with yields above 3%, according to Barron’s noting this year’s rally in bank stocks appears to have slowed to a sputter, but investors should stick around given banks’ reliable dividends Healthcare Bristol Myers ($BMY) decided to voluntarily withdraw the indication for Opdivo as a single agent for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma Incyte Corporation ($INCY) said the FDA issued a Complete Response Letter regarding its Biologics License Application (BLA) for retifanlimab, an intravenous PD-1 inhibitor, for the treatment of adult patients with locally advanced or metastatic squamous cell carcinoma of the anal canal (SCAC) who have progressed on, or who are intolerant of, platinum-based chemotherapy. Genetron Holdings ($GTH) announces that its Ayvakit (avapritinib) companion diagnostic (CDx) kit, developed in partnership with CStone Pharmaceuticals has entered the priority review and approval process in China. PerkinElmer, Inc. ($PKI) entered into an agreement to acquire BioLegend, a leading, global provider of life science antibodies and reagents, for approximately $5.25 billion in a combination of cash and stock, subject to certain adjustments Tonix Pharmaceuticals ($TNXP) said it will stop enrollment in the Phase 3 Rally study of TNX-102 SL 5.6 mg for the management of fibromyalgia, sending shares lower by over 30% Technology, Media & Telecom Tencent Music ($TME) shares fall -14% after Chinese regulators ordered the company to give up exclusive music streaming rights and pay half a million yuan in fines Check Point ($CHKP) Q2 EPS $1.61 vs., est. $1.56; Q2 revs $526.1M vs. est. $523.7M Consumer spending on videogames in the second quarter eked out a 2% gain against very tough pandemic comps, as data from NPD Group’s Q2 2021 Games Market Dynamics report show overall spending hit $14B for the April-June quarter, with gains across PC, cloud and non-console VR content, mobile and subscription spending as well as hardware.
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TriNet provides small and medium-size businesses (SMBs) with full-service HR solutions tailored by industry. To free SMBs from HR complexities, TriNet offers access to human capital expertise, benefits, risk mitigation and compliance, payroll and real-time technology. From Main Street to Wall Street, TriNet empowers SMBs to focus on what matters most-growing their business. TriNet, incredible starts here.
CEO: Burton Goldfield
HQ: 1 Park Pl Ste 600 Dublin, 94568-7983 California