$TSCO

+Initiations 1/12: $AAP $ABBV $ASML $AZO $BGNE $CCB $COST $DLTR $FITB $FIVE $FNWD $FVRR $FWRG $GNTA $HBAN $HD $HTZ $IFF $KEY $LOW $MTB $MTCH $ORLY $RGF $RIOT $SSU $STM $TGT $TSCO $UPWK

$POOL $TSCO $CROX

Thursday, October 21, 2021 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow -101.00 0.28% 35,376 S&P 500 -10.25 0.24% 4,517 Nasdaq -22.50 0.15% 15,355 U.S. futures are down slightly overnight, as the S&P 500 index comes into the day with a 6-day win streak, as the earnings barrage continues today, with shares of TSLA and IBM slipping after quarterly results last night while media giant AT&T (T) rises early following its results. For the moment, China Evergrande debt contagion fears, inflation, Fed tapering, rising commodity prices are having no effect on global stock markets with the CBOE Volatility index (VIX) settling around its lowest levels in about 2-months. As for yesterday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average touched an all-time fresh intraday high while the S&P 500 flirted with its all-time intraday record highs (rising a 6th straight day) after strong earnings results and forecasts from healthcare companies and as banks advanced amid rising Treasury yields. The 10-Year Treasury yield spiked to 1.6730% early, a fresh five-month high sending the S&P 500 Bank Index higher for a fifth-straight day, for its fourth-straight record close. Technology underperformed as the Nasdaq Composite closed slightly lower as inflation fears crept into the market late day following comments from Federal Reserve President Quarles. In Asian markets overnight, The Nikkei Index fell -546 points (1.87%) to settle at 28,708, the Shanghai Index inched higher 7-points to 3,594 and the Hang Seng Index declined -118 points to 26,017. In Europe, the German DAX is down just a few points holding above 15,500, while the FTSE 100 slips -0.3% to just under 7,200. Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index gained 16.56 points, or 0.37%, to 4,536.19 The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 152.03 points, or 0.43%, to 35,609.34 The Nasdaq Composite dropped -7.41 points, or 0.05%, to 15,121.68 The Russell 2000 Index advanced 13.85 points, or 0.61% to 2,289.77 Events Calendar for Today 8:30 AM ET Weekly Jobless Claims…est. 300K 8:30 AM EST Continuing Claims…est. 2.55M 8:30 AM ET Philly Fed Index for October…est. 25.0 10:00 AM ET Existing Home Sales MoM for September…est. 6.09M 10:00 AM ET Leading Index MoM for September…est. +0.4% 10:30 AM ET Weekly EIA Natural Gas Inventory Data Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: AAL, ALK, ALLY, AMTB, AN, BANC, BHLB, BKU, BX, CROX, DHX, DHR, DOW, EEFT, EWBC, FAF, FCX, GATX, GPC, GTLS, HOMB, HRI, IIIN, IPG, IQV, KEY, LNN, MMC, POOL, SASR, SCHN, T, TPH, TRN, TSCO, UNP, VLO, WBS Earnings After the Close: ASB, NJRI, BOOM, CE, CMG, CSL, CSTR, FFBC, GBCI, INTC, MAT, NUE, OZK, PBCT, PINE, PSMT, SAM, SNAP, SIVB, TRST, USX, VICR, WAL, WHR, WRB, WSFS Other Key Events: The European Society of Gene and Cell Therapy (ESGCT) Congress 2021 is taking place virtually this year from October 19-22 Macro Up/Down Last Nymex -0.53 82.89 Brent -0.95 84.87 Gold 1.90 1,788.70 EUR/USD -0.0012 1.1639 JPY/USD -0.27 113.99 10-Year Note +0.013 1.645% Sector News Breakdown Consumer Tesla Inc. ($TSLA) 3Q adj EPS $1.86 vs est. $1.59 on revs $13.76B vs est. $13.63B, auto gr margin 30.5% vs 27.7% year ago, says expect op margin will continue to grow; qtly bitcoin-related impairment of $51Mm; continue to target first model Y production builds in Berlin and Austin before end of year; says challenges including semi shortages, port congestion, rolling blackouts impacting ability to keep factories running full speed; Las Vegas ($LVS) Q3 revs $857M below the $1.34B estimate; on a GAAP basis, qtrly total net revenues for SCL increased to $611 mln, compared to $167 mln in q3 of 2020; Q3 adj EPS loss (-$0.45) vs. est. loss (-$0.20) Unilever ($UL) rises on higher-than-expected Q3 sales growth; reports higher-than-expected underlying sales growth for Q3 beating analysts’ expectations; reiterates full-year profit margin forecast, defying some analysts’ fears of a cut; warns inflation is likely to accelerate next year Portillo’s ($PTLO)27M share IPO priced at $20.00 Energy Kinder Morgan ($KMI) Q3 adj EPS $0.22 vs. est. $0.24; Q3 revs $3.82B vs. est. $3.26B; backs FY21 adjusted EBITDA view $7.9B, expects to generate net income attributable to KMI of $1.7 billion and declare dividends of $1.08 per share, a 3% increase TechnipFMC ($FTI) shares fall -6%; 3Q adj EPS ($0.06) vs est. $0.02 on revs $1.58B vs est. $1.7B, qtrly total inbound orders were $1.37B, qtr-end backlog $7.0B; guides FY subsea revs $5.2-5.5B, sees FY surface tech revs $1.05-1.25B, sees FY CAPEX approx $250Mm HighPeak Energy ($HPK)2M share Secondary priced at $10.00 Helix Energy ($HLX) narrows FY21 revenue view to $600M-$645M from $600M-$670M; narrows FY21 adjusted EBITDA view to $85M-$100M from $75M-$100M and boosts FY free cash flow view to $80M-$120M from $45M-$90M; lowers cap-ex view Valero (VLO) Q3 adj EPS $1.22 vs. est. $0.92; Q3 revs $29.52B vs. est. $23.97B Financials Discover Financial ($DFS) Q3 EPS $3.54 vs. est. $3.53; Q3 revs $2.78B vs. est. $2.91B; Total loans ended the quarter at $89.5 billion, up 1% year-over-year, and up 2% sequentially. Credit card loans ended the quarter at $70.3 billion, up 1% year-over-year. Personal loans decreased $321 million, or 4%, and private student loans increased $168 million, or 2%, year-over-year. Banner Corp. ($BANR) 3Q EPS $1.44 vs est. $1.15 on revs $155.5Mm vs est. $122.6Mm Cohen & Steers ($CNS) 3Q adj EPS $1.06 vs est. $0.97 on revs $154.2Mm vs est. $148.3Mm Equifax ($EFX) 3Q adj EPS $1.85 vs est. $1.72 on revs $1.2B vs est. $1.18B; guides 4Q revs $1.23-1.25B vs est. $1.2B and adj EPS $1.72-1.82 vs est. $1.80; sees FY revs $4.9-4.92B vs est. $4.83B and adj EPS $7.52-7.62 vs est. $7.47 First Industrial Realty ($FR) 3Q FFO/share $0.51 vs est. $0.49; raises FY FFO/share guide by $0.02 at midpoint to $1.95 vs est. $1.94 OneMain Holdings ($OMF) 3Q adj EPS $2.37 vs est. $2.30; C&I managed receivables $19.1B, C&I net charge-off ratio 3.52%, repurchased 2.4Mm shares for $141Mm in qtr; proposes minimum qtrly div/share of $0.70; Sterling Bancorp. ($STL) 3Q adj EPS $0.52 vs est. $0.51; NII $213.8Mm vs est. $219.3Mm; proposes 3Q dividend of $0.07 SL Green Realty ($SLG) Q3 FFO $1.78 vs. est. $1.58; Q3 revs $142.7M vs. est. $160.97M; revising its earnings guidance ranges; said same-store cash NOI, including our share of same-store cash NOI from unconsolidated joint ventures, increased by 5.7% for Q3; narrows FY21 FFO view to $6.45-$6.65 from $6.30-$6.70 SLM Corp. ($SLM) 3Q core EPS $0.24 vs est. $0.20; private education loan originations +10% to $2.1B; declares 4Q dividend of $0.11/share vs $0.03/share in 3Q21; qtrly NII $358Mm vs est. $343.6Mm; qtrly education loan provisions for credit losses $138Mm; sees FY net charge-offs $195M to $205M, saw $215M to $225M Texas Capital ($TCBI) Q3 EPS $0.76 vs. est. $1.10; Q3 net interest income of $194.1M declines from $197.0M in Q2 and $207.6M YoY due to a decline in loan fees, partially offset by a decrease in average interest-bearing deposits; non-interest income also fell 30% from Q2 and 65% from Q3 2020, driven by Q2 sale of its mortgage servicing rights portfolio and other non-interest income. Triumph Bancorp ($TBK) Q3 EPS $0.94 vs est. $1.08; Q3 net charge-offs .08%; Q3 CET1 capital ratio 9.45%; Q3 tangible book value per share $19.73; net interest margin was 6.69%. Yield on loans and the average cost of our total deposits were 7.92% and 0.16%, respectively Umpqua Holdings Corporation ($UMPQ) Q3 EPS $0.49 vs. est. $0.44; Net income of $108.1 million, or $0.49 per common share; non-PPP loan balances increased $479.7 million or 2.3%; Deposit balances increased $754.8 million or 2.9%; provision for credit losses recapture of $18.9 million as modeled economic conditions improve Healthcare S. regulators on Wednesday signed off on extending COVID-19 boosters to Americans who got the Moderna (MRNA) or Johnson & Johnson ($JNJ) vaccine and said anyone eligible for an extra dose can get a brand different from the one they received initially. Tenet Healthcare ($THC) Q3 adj EPS $1.99 vs. est. $0.99; Q3 revs $4.89B vs. est. $4.81B; qtrly same-hospital net patient service revenue per adjusted admission up 6.2% versus q3 2020; sees 2021 adj EPS now $6.15-$6.38 (from prior $5.23-$5.73) and adj Ebitda $3.275B-$3.325B (from prior $3.15B-$3.25B) Regeneron ($REGN) and Sanofi ($SNY) said the FDA has approved Dupixent, or dupilumab, as an add-on maintenance treatment of patients aged 6 to 11 years with moderate-to-severe asthma characterized by an eosinophilic phenotype or with oral corticosteroid-dependent asthma Ventyx Biosciences ($VTYX)47M share IPO priced at $16.00 Investment adviser Darwin Global Management became the third shareholder of Acceleron Pharmaceuticals ($XLRN) to publicly oppose the company’s pending acquisition by Merck ($MRK). In a letter, Darwin said it believes Merck’s $11 billion offer price, or $180 per share, is too low. Acceleron is actually worth between $22 billion and $28 billion, according to the firm, or $353 to $451 per share Industrials & Materials CSX Corp. ($CSX) 3Q EPS $0.43 vs est. $0.39 on revs $3.29B vs est. $3.11B; 24% surge in revenue just outpaced a 23% increase in expenses. Activist investor Elliott Management Corp. has a big stake in Canadian National Railway Co. ($CNI), the WSJ reported citing people familiar with the matter said, adding to pressure on the railroad after its CEO resigned following a failed bid for rival Kansas City Southern. Covenant Logistics ($CVLG) 3Q adj EPS $1.02 vs est. $1.02 on revs $274.6Mm vs est. $259.9Mm Dow Inc. ($DOW) Q3 EPS $2.75 vs. est. $2.56; Q3 revs $14.84B vs. est. $14.25 Graco ($GGG) 3Q adj EPS $0.57 vs est. $0.63 on revs $486.7Mm vs est. $490.5Mm; says continue to target mid-high-teen organic sales growth on constant currency basis for FY21 vs est. +19% Kaiser Aluminum ($KALU) Q3 adj EPS $0.57 vs. est. $1.33; Q3 sales $751M misses the $773.2M est.; anticipates cost issues and supply chain disruptions will continue during quarter Landstar ($LSTR) Q3 EPS $2.58 vs. est. $2.49; Q3 revs $1.734B vs. est. $1.66B; Q3 truckload transportation revenue hauled via van equipment inQ3 was up 59% YoY to $918.1M; truckload transportation revenue hauled via unsided/platform equipment in Q3 was up 44% to $423.0M; sees Q4 EPS $2.55-$2.65 vs. est. $2.43 PPG Industries ($PPG) 3Q adj EPS $1.69 vs est. $1.58 on sales about $4.4B vs est. $4.24B; guides FY adj EPS $6.67-6.73 vs est. $7.03; says plan to execute share repurchases in 4Q and continue to evaluate potential bolt-on acquisitions; say increased supply disruptions negatively impacted sales and manufacturing costs Rush Enterprises ($RUSHA) Q3 EPS $1.20 vs. est. $0.96; Q3 revs $1.27B below est. $1.34B; said supply chain issues continue to impact new truck and aftermarket sales Valmont Industries ($VMI) 3Q adj EPS $2.57 vs est. $2.47 on revs $868.8Mm vs est. $862.3Mm; guides FY adj EPS $10.60-11.10 vs est. $10.78; sees FY22 sales +7-12% vs est. +6.2%, sees EPS +13-15% vs est. +13.5%

Upgrades 10/4: $ALNY $BTU $DD $JBT $LUV $ROP $SJI $UNP . Downgrades 10/4: $AKAM $EQC $GWRE $IDA $IIVI $MMM $OMER $TSCO $VERX $WISH $XLRN

Monday, July 19, 2021 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow -358.00 1.04% 34,206 S&P 500 -32.25 0.74% 4,286 Nasdaq -55.50 0.38% 14,615 U.S. stock markets are looking lower as S&P futures fall -0.7% as rising Covid case rates and recent technology underperformance weigh on risk sentiment. In Asian markets, the Hang Seng falls as much as 2.2%, the Nikkei drops 1.4% and the Shanghai Composite slips -0.3%. In Europe, the rise of the rapidly-spreading Delta variant is threatening to derail many efforts towards a full economic reopening as worsening outbreaks continue to cloud the once-promising outlook. The German DAX is down 2% (over 300 points) to 15,225, while the FTSE 100 drops 2% to 6,870. The Dollar Index (DXY) rises for third day while yen strengthens below 110/USD amid risk aversion. The Aussie dollar falls to seven-month low and AUD 10-year yield drops after Victoria extends lockdown and Sydney again tightens restrictions amid worsening delta outbreak. Oil drops over -2.5% as WTI crude slips below the $70 per barrel level after OPEC and its allies struck a deal to inject more oil into the global economy. Treasury 10-year yield eases to 1.25% as relentless bond rally continues. Stocks finished lower Friday after surging inflation led to an unexpected decline in U.S. consumer sentiment in early July. For the week, the Dow fell 0.5%, the S&P 500 declined 1% and the Nasdaq dropped 1.9%. Stocks snapped their three-week losing streak with sharp declines on Friday, with defensive stocks leading the weekly gains with utilities, staples and REITs (reached a record high), while energy got slammed down over 7%, followed by a drop in discretionary and materials. In corporate news this weekend, Zoom Media ($ZM) announced a +$14B acquisition of Five9 Inc. ($FIVN) in the software space on Sunday ahead of a busy week of earnings. Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index dropped -32.87 points, or 0.75%, to 4,327.16 The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell -299.15 points, or 0.86%, to 34,687.85 The Nasdaq Composite slumped-115.86 points, or 0.80%, to 14,427.24 The Russell 2000 Index declined -27.05 points, or 1.24% to 2,163.24 Events Calendar for Today 10:00 AM ET NAHB Housing Market Index for July Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: AN, BMRC, CALM, GNTY, PLD, TSCO Earnings After the Close: CCK, ELS, EQBK, FBK, FNB, IBM, JBHT, PACW, PPG, STLD, WTFC, ZION Macro Up/Down Last Nymex -2.04 69.77 Brent -1.99 71.60 Gold -9.00 1,803.05 EUR/USD -0.0032 1.1774 JPY/USD -0.30 109.77 10-Year Note -0.041 1.250% World News S. TIC report: foreigners bought a net total $105.3 B in assets in May, after purchases of $100.1 B (was $101.2 B) in April. But net long-term data showed sales of -$30.2 B in May after purchases of $100.7 B in April. Of those long-term flows, -$93.4 B in Treasury coupons were liquidated, while $37.8 B in agencies was purchased, along with $17.3 B in corporate bonds OPEC and its allies struck a deal that allows for monthly supply hikes of 400k b/d until the end of 2021, putting the group back in control of the crude market. Starting in August, they’ll pump out an extra 400K barrels a day through the end of 2022, restoring all the cuts they made at the start of the COVID-19 pandemic. UAE will have a new baseline of 3.5m bpd, Iraq/Kuwait baselines will increase by 150k bpd each, Saudi/Russian baselines will be adjusted to 11.5m bpd Sector News Breakdown Consumer Academy Sports and Outdoors ($ASO) is more than a pandemic play, according to Barron’s saying interest in health and wellness has been enduring, and the company’s manageable debt level will allow it to open more brick-and-mortar stores Cal-Maine Foods ($CALM) Q4 EPS loss (-$0.09) below the $0.18 estimate; reports Q4 revenue $349.8M vs. est. $404.67M; average sales price for shell eggs was $1.32 per dozen for q4 compared with $1.58 per dozen for same period last year; said expect to see further volatility in market prices for our primary feed ingredients Cruise operators Carnival Corp ($CCL), Royal Caribbean Group ($RCL) and Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings (NCLH) fall about 3% each premarket along with a decline in other European travel and leisure stocks on worries that the fast-spreading Delta variant could hamper travel demand and slow the ongoing global economic recovery Veoneer ($VNE) signed an agreement with LiDAR company Baraja to industrialize their Spectrum-Scan LiDAR technology for the next market wave of L2+ through L4 autonomous vehicle applications Energy, Industrials and Materials OPEC+ and its allies, including Russia, agree Sunday to further relax output curbs. Under the deal, announced following a virtual meeting of OPEC+ energy ministers, production will rise by 400,000 barrels a day each month beginning in August and would eventually undo all of the curbs put in place last year Ingersoll Rand Inc. ($IR) has made takeover bids for component maker SPX Flow Inc. ($FLOW) that have so far been rebuffed, according to people familiar with the matter, the WSJ reported on Sunday. IR’s most recent all-cash offer valued SPX Flow in the low-$80s a share, the people said, or around $3.5 billion https://on.wsj.com/3kB1qlt Proxy advisory firm Institutional Shareholder Services ($ISS) has favored Brookfield Infrastructure Partners’ ($BIP) offer for Inter Pipeline Ltd ($IPPLF) in a blow to a rival bid from Pembina Pipeline Corp ($PMB). During the past week, Brookfield raised its hostile offer for Inter Pipeline to about C$8.58 billion ($6.80 billion). Alcoa ($AA) upgraded to Conviction Buy from Buy at Goldman Sachs Financials Interactive Brokers Group ($IBKR) introduces a new simple flat fee structure of a flat 3 EUR or 3 GBP per trade (trades up to 6,000 EUR/GBP in value) for stock trading in Europe Healthcare Amyris ($AMRS), Zymergen ($ZY), Soaring Eagle Acquisition ($SRNG) are the three main stock plays on synthetic biology, which could become a huge market according to Barron’s this weekend Johnson & Johnson ($JNJ) is exploring a plan to offload liabilities from widespread Baby Powder litigation into a newly created business that would then seek bankruptcy protection – Reuters Tempest Therapeutics ($TPST) files $250M mixed securities shelf Technology, Media & Telecom Zoom Video Communications, Inc. ($ZM) to acquire Five9, Inc. ($FIVN) in an all-stock transaction valued at approximately $14.7 billion with FIVN holders to receive $200.28 per share; FIVN holders will receive 0.5533 shares of Class A common stock of Zoom Video Communications, Inc. for each share of Five9, Inc. https://on.mktw.net/3xRVVTf SAP AG ($SAP) is moving to cloud, and investors are yet to give company credit, according to Barron’s noting while the transformation will take time, the CEO expects to triple its revenue from the cloud by 2025, and 40% of cloud revenue has been coming from new clients Telefonica SA ($TEF) agreed to sell a stake in its Colombian fiber optic broadband network to KKR & Co. Telefonica will control 40% of the new venture, which will aim to bring high-speed internet access to about 90 cities in the next three years, and KKR the remaining 60%, the carrier said in a statement late Friday. The venture is valued at $500 million Bill Ackman’s blank-check company Pershing Square Tontine Holdings ($PSTH) had dropped a deal to buy 10% of Vivendi’s flagship Universal Music Group after U.S. regulators questioned its stake purchase of Universal Music. DISH ($DISH) signed a transformative, long-term strategic Network Services Agreement (NSA) with AT&T, making AT&T the primary network services partner for DISH MVNO customers

**4) TSCO (Tractor Supply)** TSCO has been on a massive run since March low's but has recently tested and broken March low's trendline officially friday. While also breaking below this trendline we've broken a control point at $172, allowing us to get under the 100sma. This is critical as we can either not trade sideways or continue down, watch for the break below fridays low's for the opportunity to go further down. Limited range, max range movement estimated between $4 - $5. Best execution is to obtain ITM contracts during the movement and taking profits where you feel comfortable

$TSCO strong ER

ben thoughts on $tsco

dros $tsco how does it look

Upgrades 2/8: $ABB $APD $CEQP $CORR $DB $EL $FLNG $HSY $HUBG $MGM $MXL $NBLX $OPBK $PACW $PPC $SAFM $TDC $TGT $TRGP $TSCO $TSN $WDAY $WPM $XOM

i see $tsco 165 calls march expiry

ill get assigned TSCO stock

gonna sell half of the jan TSCO calls from before the rona

Tsco on an Uptrend

@dros @RedSunCap thoughts on $tsco I see a cup formation

$tsco cup formation

$TSCO otra de las que alertamos

Tomorrow morning earnings include $LUV, $AAL, $KO, $T, $CTXS, $TSCO

$TSCO 155C weekly

almost as nice as $TSCO

7/23 BMO EPS Winners: $T, $NUE, $DHR, $KMB, $GWW, $TSCO, $CTAS, $HSY, $POOL, $PNR, $CTXS

Earnings for tomorrow before the open include $TWTR, $LUV, $AAL, $T, $DOW, $CTXS, $HSY, $STM, $PHM, $TRV, $TSCO, $FCX, $NUE, $GWW

$TSLA 15.0% $TWTR 11.5% $SNAP 14.5% $MSFT 5.7% $INTC 5.5% $CMG 7.6% $IBM 5.7% $AXP 5.2% $BIIB 5.8% $ISRG 6.4% $CHKP 8.8% $LOGI 10.5% $KO 4.1% $LMT 5.1% $AAL 13.1% $LUV 9.0% $NVS 5.6% $NDAQ 8.1% $TSCO 6.4%

TSCO jeesh what a chart