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Monday, August 9, 2021 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow -110.00 0.32% 34,979 S&P 500 -8.25 0.19% 4,421 Nasdaq 10.50 0.07% 15,106 Stock futures traded mostly lower Monday as investors increased bets the Federal Reserve would pull back on stimulus following a stronger-than-expected U.S. jobs report last week. Stocks closed higher on Friday, adding to its string of weekly advances as the S&P 500 index hits its 44th record high after a strong monthly jobs report fuels a further rotation into riskier assets. The U.S. economy added 943,000 jobs in July as hiring surged and employers raised wages to lure workers. It marked the second straight month of impressive growth. For the week, unofficially, the S&P rose 0.94%, the Dow added 0.78%, and the Nasdaq gained 1.11%. U.S. Treasury yields rose Friday after the jobs report, rising 8.7 bps at 1.3036%, its highest of the day, as equity indexes closed at record highs (back down at 1.28%). The financial sector saw its biggest daily percentage gain since July 20, while materials scored their best day in nearly a month as consumer discretionary stocks lagged. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index gained 91 points to 27,820, the Shanghai Index rises 36 points (over 1%) to 3,494, the Hang Seng Index jumps 104 points to 26,283. In Europe, the German DAX is down -30 points to 15,730, while the FTSE 100 is down about -25 points, dipping just below 7,100. Bitcoin prices are higher by over 5% to $45,000 while Ethereum prices extend last week gains, also up over 5% topping $3,000. Oil prices looking lower again as WTI Crude slips 3.75% or over $2.50 to $65.70 (lowest levels since June) as worries about the COVID Delta variant’s impact on global growth increase. Goldman Sachs cut its forecast for China Q3 and full-year GDP, but does expect the government to bring the outbreak under control in about a month. Also, China’s crude imports slipped to the lowest since May last month after operations were halted at key ports on the east coast due to a typhoon. The nation imported 41.24 metric tons of crude in July, according to data. Gold prices slide $22 or over 1$ at $1,742.00 an ounce – but well-off overnight lows after plunging just below $1,700 an ounce Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index gained 7.42 points, or 0.17%, to 4,436.52 The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 144.26 points, or 0.41%, to 35,208.51 The Nasdaq Composite declined -59.36 points, or 0.40%, to 14,835.76 The Russell 2000 Index advanced 11.75 points, or 0.53% to 2,247.76 Events Calendar for Today 10:00 AM EST JOLTs Job Openings for June Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: AGEN, AMRX, APD, AVYA, AXSM, BALY, BFLY, BHV, CEVA, CRNC, DISH, DRNA, DS, EBIX, ELAN, ENR, EPZM, HE, III, ITCI, JOUT, KOS, LINC, MPAA, RDNT, SCPL, SGMS, SNDX, TGNA, TSN, TTD, USFD, VTRS, WHF, WKHS Earnings After the Close: ACM, ADMS, AMC, APEI, APPF, APPS, ASUR, AVD, BCEI, BRP, CABO, CARA, CBT, CCXI, CF, CMBM, CMP, CSTL, CXW, DDD, DOOR, ELY, ETH, EVBG, FGEN, FSK, FTK, GBDC, GOOD, HALO, IIIV, IIN, INO, IPAR, LOTZ, MESA, MODN, MYO, NCMI, NHI, OMER, OSH, OUST, PEN, PLNT, PRPL, QLYS, REAL, REI, RETA, RPAY, SAIL, SENS, SNCR, STE, SWAV, TALK, TPTX, VUZI, WES, ZIOP Other Key Events: BTIG Biotechnology Conference 2021 (virtual), 8/9-8/10 Cowen Annual Communications Infrastructure Hybrid Summit, 8/9-8/12 Cowen 9th Annual Internet & Media Bus Tour (virtual), 8/9-8/13 KeyBanc Capital Markets Technology Leadership Virtual Forum, 8/9-8/12 Needham 10th Annual Industrial Technologies 1:1 Conference (virtual), 8/6-8/9 Macro Up/Down Last Nymex -2.60 65.68 Brent -2.53 68.17 Gold -22.00 1,741.00 EUR/USD -0.0006 1.1756 JPY/USD -0.08 110.17 10-Year Note -0.008 1.28% World News China’s export growth slowed in July, adding to concerns the economy’s recovery will face fresh pressure in the second half of the year. Exports grew 19.3% in dollar terms in July from a year earlier, while imports rose 28.1%, the customs administration said Saturday. That left a trade surplus of $56.58 billion for the month. Sector News Breakdown Consumer Sanderson Farms ($SAFM) is said close to a deal to sell itself to Cargill and Continental Grain for about $4.5B. The deal, which could be announced as soon as tomorrow, is expected to value Sanderson Farms (SAFM) at $203 per share – WSJ https://on.wsj.com/3yAS4dD Philip Morris ($PM) has raised its bid for British drugmaker Vectura ($VEGPF) to 165 pence, or $2.29, per share, according to Reuters, citing the tobacco company. Tesla ($TSLA) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Jefferies and up tgt to $850 from $700 as sees higher global battery electric demand, more battery and assembly capacity coming on stream, a broader and mix-accretive model line-up with more Model Ys and the new S and no legacy issues to contend with Conagra Brands ($CAG) files automatic mixed securities shelf Spectrum Brands Holdings ($SPB) mentioned positively in Barron’s, calling it an undervalued stock that lets investors bet on multiple Covid-era trends at once. It has the defensive characteristics of a consumer- staples brand and its debt problems appear to be easing. Ross Stores ($ROST) and WW Int’l ($WW) will benefit from shoppers buying new wardrobes and getting back in shape for a return to the office according to Barron’s. Starbucks ($SBUX) and Ruth’s Hospitality Group ($RUTH) fell on delta concerns, but both have seen sales momentum as cities reopen ManpowerGroup ($MAN) announces new stock repurchase program for up to 4M shares Haverty’s ($HVT) announces new $25M stock repurchase program Energy Oil prices looking lower as WTI Crude slips 3.75% or over $2.50 to $65.70 (lowest levels since June) as worries about the COVID Delta variant’s impact on global growth increase. Goldman Sachs cut its forecast for China Q3 and full-year GDP, but does expect the government to bring the outbreak under control in about a month. Also, China’s crude imports slipped to the lowest since May last month after operations were halted at key ports on the east coast due to a typhoon. The nation imported 41.24 metric tons of crude in July, according to data. Saudi Aramco made net profit of 95.5 billion riyals ($25.5 billion) in the second quarter, the highest level since the end of 2018. Free cash flow rose to $22.6 billion Financials Berkshire Hathaway Inc. ($BRKA) said Q2 net earnings rose 7%, boosted by improved results for its railroad, utilities and energy companies. Operating earnings, which exclude some investment results, rose to $6.7B from $5.5B in the year prior. Profits increased within the company’s rail-road, utilities and energy divisions but declined at the company’s vast insurance operations Hudson Pacific Properties ($HPP), a real estate investment trust that leases space in West Los Angeles, could gain on bets its Hollywood producer and plastic surgeon tenants won’t give up their offices according to Barron’s. Boston Properties ($BXP) was also recommended for its exposure to the thriving health care and tech sectors in Boston and the San Francisco Bay Area. DiamondRock ($DRH) files automatic mixed securities shelf Healthcare Exact Sciences ($EXAS) has approached Invitae ($NVTA) about a possible merger, Bloomberg reported late Friday while saying the companies are not in active talks, and if a deal materializes, it could be an all-stock deal with a low premium https://bit.ly/37wMxch Eton Pharmaceuticals’ ($ETON) antiepileptic topiramate oral solution FDA action date has been delayed three months to November 6, 2021, according to an SEC filing after a decision was expected on Friday. Lexicon ($LXRX) files $200M mixed securities shelf Epizyme Inc. ($EPZM) rises after announcing a deal with Hutchmed China to develop Tazverik, a medicine used to treat certain patients with epithelioid sarcoma and others with follicular lymphoma Elanco ($ELAN) Q2 adj EPS $0.28 vs. rest. $0.26; Q2 revs $1.28B vs. est. $1.23B; sees Q3 adj EPS $0.15-$0.19 vs. est. $0.20; sees Q3 revs $1.075B-$1.1B vs. est. $1.09B Industrials & Materials HVAC stocks Carrier Global ($CARR), Lennox International ($LII), Trane Technologies ($TT), and Johnson Controls International ($JCI)-have all reported strong calendar Q2 earnings and are up an average of more than 40% this year, according to Barron’s. Article notes the HVAC business is rapidly becoming one of the most consistent end markets in the industrial universe, and it’s also becoming an important ESG play Air Products ($APD) Q3 adj EPS $2.31 vs. est. $2.36; Q3 revs $2.6B vs. est. $2.49B; sees Q4 adj EPS $2.44-$2.54 vs. est. $2.51; narrows FY21 adj EPS view to $8.95-$9.05 from $8.95-$9.10 (est. $9.07); sees 2021 cap-ex spending of about $2.5B Barrick Gold ($GOLD) Q2 adj EPS $0.29 vs. est. $0.28; Q2 revs $2.89B vs. est. $3.06B Technology, Media & Telecom Dish ($DISH) Q2 EPS $1.06 vs. est. $0.89; Q2 revs $4.49B vs. est. $4.43B; Q2 Net Pay-TV subscribers decreased approximately 67,000, compared to a net decrease of approximately 96,000 in the year-ago quarter; closed the quarter with 10.99M Pay-TV subscribers, including 8.55M DISH TV subscribers and 2.44M SLING TV subscribers Nokia ($NOK) could continue to rally (after rising 56% YTD) according to Barron’s as it recovers from a period of underperformance. It will benefit from telecom operators upgrading their equipment to support 5G and the work- at-home trend. It’s also a meme stock favored by retail investors. Corporate tech spending is forecast to rise again, and two stocks to benefit from the trend are Microsoft ($MSFT) and Cisco Systems ($CSCO), according to Barron’s. LinkedIn, owned by Microsoft, could get a boost from increased worker mobility and job listings. Evercore ISI analyst Amit Daryanani sees a path for Cisco to reach $100 per share TikTok owner ByteDance Ltd. is reviving plans to list in Hong Kong by early next year even as Chinese authorities widen their crackdown on the country’s technology companies, the Financial Times reported
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Tuesday, July 6, 2021 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow -9.00 0.03% 34,668 S&P 500 -2.00 0.05% 4,340 Nasdaq 1.50 0.01% 14,715 U.S. stocks are pulling back off record highs last week, trading flattish after major U.S. averages were closed for the July 4 holiday weekend, following record highs in the wake of the U.S. jobs report. Nonfarm-payrolls for June showed a strong gain of 850K on Friday, but there appeared to be enough concerns to keep the Fed from tapering its bond purchases for the time being. Oil prices hitting fresh multi-year highs after the OPEC+ meeting being postponed means no oil production increase agreement as the UAE position is unchanged and the OPEC+ JMMC co-chairs need more time discuss the UAE’s position. WTI crude futures surge above $76.50 to highest since October 2018. Stocks posted strong gains again last week as the Nasdaq led, posting a weekly gain of 1.9%, followed by the S&P up 1.6% and the Dow trailing, but still up 1%. Rates fell following payrolls, with the 10-year Treasury yield off 5 basis points to 1.43%. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index rose 45 points to 28,643, the Shanghai Index slipped -4 points to 3,530, and the Hang Seng Index dipped -70 points to 28,072. In Europe, the German DAX is down around 50 points to 15,610, while the FTSE 100 dips a few points to 7,160. Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index gained 32.40 points, or 0.75%, to 4,352.34 The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 152.85 points, or 0.44%, to 34,786.35 The Nasdaq Composite climbed 116.93 points, or 0.81%, to 14,639.30 The Russell 2000 Index declined -23.60 points, or 1.01% to 2,305.76 Events Calendar for Today 7:45 AM ET ICSC Weekly Retail Sales 8:55 AM ET Johnson/Redbook Weekly Sales 9:45 AM ET Markit Composite Final June-F… 9:45 AM ET Markit Services PMI June-F… 10:00 AM ET ISM Non-Manufacturing Index for June…est. 63.5 Macro Up/Down Last Nymex 1.27 76.43 Brent 0.22 77.38 Gold 15.65 1,807.45 EUR/USD -0.0022 1.1842 JPY/USD -0.21 110.76 10-Year Note -0.01 1.422% World News A measure of euro zone inflation expectations — the five-year, five-year inflation forward rose to 1.606%, its highest since May 19. A survey on Monday showed business activity in the euro zone expanding at the fastest rate in 15 years in June, as the easing of more coronavirus restrictions helped the bloc’s dominant service industry. Eurozone July Investor Index missed:8 vs 30.0 consensus; June Services PMI beat (final) 58.3 vs 58.0 consensus; German June Services PMI beat: 58.1 vs 57.5 consensus Eurozone May Retail Sales: 4.6% m/m vs 4.4% consensus; 9.0% y/y vs 8.2% consensus German July ZEW Economic Sentiment miss: 63.3 vs 75.2 consensus; German July ZEW Current Conditions beat: 21.9 vs 5.0 consensus; German May Industrial Orders missed: -3.7% m/m vs 1.0% consensus 54.3% y/y vs 59.4% consensus Germany eased restrictions on travelers from Britain, Portugal, Russia, India, and Nepal placing them in “high-incidence areas” category. They can avoid quarantine if they can prove that they are fully vaccinated or have recovered from COVID-19 Sector News Breakdown Consumer Didi ($DIDI) shares plunge over 20%; just days after Didi ($DIDI) raised nearly $5B from investors in its U.S. IPO, China’s Cyberspace Administration has ordered the company’s app removed from app stores, noting serious issues with Didi’s usage of customers’ personal information. Those who already have the app will be able to continue to use the service, but new downloads on phones from the likes of Apple, Huawei, and Xiaomi are nixed from Sunday on. Porsche ($POAHY) is a holding company that consists mainly of its controlling interest in Volkswagen ($VWAGY) and, in turn, is one of the latter’s many divisions, along with VW and Audi and owns superluxury names including Bentley, Lamborghini and Bugatti, Barron’s said. Ferrari ($RACE) has surged ahead of Porsche in the stock market, according to Barron’s but says that could soon change Tyson Foods ($TSN) is recalling ~8.5M lbs. of frozen, fully cooked chicken products as a precaution due to potential listeria contamination, the U.S. Department of Agriculture’s Food Safety and Inspection Service says. PlayAGS ($AGS) files to sell 8.21M shares of common stock for holders Energy, Industrials and Materials Crude oil prices advanced a sixth straight week on Friday while the dispute among OPEC+ ministers over plans to further ease production curbs dragged on at the alliance’s full meeting today. Negotiations resumed on Monday after last week ended without a deal, with the United Arab Emirates still blocking a proposal to increase supply. Energy edged lower last week, -0.8%, after leading the S&P sector standings with a 6.6% jump last week. Brent crude oil rises above $77/bbl for the first time since 2018 after OPEC+ fails to reach a production deal, further squeezing an already tight oil market and raising concerns over inflation. With the United Arab Emirates continuing to block an agreement, today’s planned OPEC+ meeting has been called off with no new suggested date for the next gathering, which in effect leaves the group’s current production limits in place Patterson-UTI Energy ($PTEN) agrees to acquire Pioneer Energy Services for ~$295M in cash and stock, which includes the retirement of all of Pioneer’s debt; says it will issue as many as 26.3M common shares and pay $30M of cash. Seaspan Corporation, a wholly owned subsidiary of Atlas ($ATCO) has received delivery of two high-quality 15,000 TEU scrubber-fitted containerships Ingersoll-Rand ($IR) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman Sachs Virgin Galactic ($SPCE) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at UBS General Dynamics ($GD) mentioned positively in Barron’s saying the stock looks set to rise, noting commercial air travel gets all the attention-but investors should start paying attention to private jets. While commercial air travel is slowly returning to life, May business-jet departures, at 275,000, were just 1% below their October 2019 high of 278,000 Financials NCR ($NCR), which produces cash registers and ATMs, may be one of the best ways to play a post-Covid rebound in the consumer economy, according to Barron’s. Revenue fell in 2020 as customers halted upgrades, but a recovery is already here. CEO Michael Hayford said investors are missing the company’s potential as its stock trades at a discount to peers. American Express ($AXP) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman Sachs and raise tgt to $225 from $185 Principal Financial ($PFG) upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Credit Suisse Santander Consumer ($SC) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at BMO Capital Healthcare The CDC is investigating the death of a 13-year-old boy who died just three days after receiving the second dose of Pfizer’s ($PFE) COVID-19 vaccine, The Detroit News reported over the weekend. His death was reported to the CDC’s Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System ($VAERS) Puma Biotechnology ($PBYI) files $50M mixed securities shelf Zosano Pharma ($ZSAN) files $150M mixed securities shelf Technology, Media & Telecom Facebook ($FB), Google ($GOOGL) and Twitter ($TWTR) have privately warned the Hong Kong government that they could stop offering their services in the city if authorities proceed with planned changes to data-protection laws, the WSJ reported this weekend. New amendments from Hong Kong’s Constitutional and Mainland Affairs Bureau would make the co’s liable for doxing, or the malicious sharing of individuals’ information online so that they can be harassed RADA Electronic Industries ($RADA) said it has received $32M worth of new orders in Q2 2021, an increase of 33.3% Q/Q from $24M in Q1 2021, with majority of deliveries expected in H2 2021.
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