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BUY +2 BUTTERFLY ULTA 100 (Weeklys) 3 SEP 21 387.5/400/410 CALL @2.00 LMT GTC
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Thursday, August 26, 2021 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow 8.00 0.02% 35,368 S&P 500 -4.25 0.09% 4,489 Nasdaq -30.50 0.20% 15,334 Another day, and another record high for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite on Wednesday, but overnight futures paint a mixed picture amid a retreat in technology shares and caution ahead of a Federal Reserve gathering that may provide more clues about its approach to paring stimulus. With few negative catalysts to dampen the risk-on sentiment, all three major U.S. indexes crept modestly higher on Tuesday. The S&P 500 was able to notch its 51st record close of the year and the Nasdaq its 30th record closing highs for 2021. With the gains, the SPX and Nasdaq have now both risen 5-straight days (the Dow is on a 4-day win streak) – but volume on U.S. exchanges was just 8.29 billion shares, making it one of the slowest trading days of the year. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index rose 17 points to 27,742, the Shanghai Index fell -38 points to hold just above the 3,500 level and the Hang Seng Index fell -278 points to 25,415. In Europe, the German DAX is down over -100 points to 15,755, while the FTSE 100 fell about -30 points to 7,120. On the calendar today, U.S. Q2 GDP is expected to be revised up to a 6.7% clip versus the disappointing 6.5% pace from the Advance report and weekly jobless claims are expected to be 350K, but focus still remains on tomorrow’s Jackson Hole speech from Fed Chair Powell for clues on the timing of a tapering of monetary stimulus. U.S. Treasury yields rose overnight, with that on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note hitting 1.359% for the first time since Aug. 13. There were a handful of earnings results in the software space moving tech as well with ADSK, SNOW,CRM, SPLK, ESTC all out with results, while in retail, WSM rises on its results. Events Calendar for Today 8:30 AM ET Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Q2-second est. 6.7% 8:30 AM ET GDP Price Deflator Q2-prelim…est. 6.0% 8:30 AM ET GDP Consumer Spending, prelim Q2…est. 8:30 AM ET PCE Prices for Q2-E…prior 6.4% 8:30 AM ET Core PCE prelim Q2-E…est. 6.1% 8:30 AM ET Weekly Jobless Claims…est. 350K 8:30 AM EST Continuing Claims…est. 2.79M 10:30 AM ET Weekly EIA Natural Gas Inventory Data 11:00 AM ET Kansas City Fed Manufacturing, for Aug Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: ANF, BBW, BURL, COTY, DG, DLTR, FLWS, HAIN, LANC, MBUU, MOV, RGS, SAFM, SJM, TITN Earnings After the Close: BILL, $DELL, DOMO, FXLV, GPS, HPQ, LTRX, $MRVL, OLLI, $PTON, RCEL, RPID, VMW, $WDAY Other Key Events: UBS China Telco, Media, Internet Virtual Conference 2021, 8/23-8/27 Piper Sandler MedTech and Diagnostics California Bus Tour (virtual), 8/24-8/26 Jackson Hole 2021 Economic Policy Symposium, 8/26-8/28 Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index gained 9.96 points, or 0.22%, to 4,496.19 The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 39.24 points, or 0.11%, to 35,405.50 The Nasdaq Composite edged higher 22.06 points, or 0.15%, to 15,041.86 The Russell 2000 Index advanced 8.36 points, or 0.37% to 2,239.27 Macro Up/Down Last Nymex -0.65 67.71 Brent -0.60 71.65 Gold -4.25 1,786.75 EUR/USD -0.0000 1.1772 JPY/USD 0.11 110.13 10-Year Note +0.005 1.349% Sector News Breakdown Consumer Guess Inc. ($GES) shares fell -6% Q2 EPS $0.91 vs. est. $0.70; Q2 revs $628.6M vs. est. $648.6M; expect revenues in q3 of fiscal 2022 to be slightly negative to flat versus q3 of fiscal 2020; for FY22, assuming no additional covid-related shutdowns past q2, expect revenues to be down mid-single digits versus fiscal 2020; increases share repurchase authorization to $200M; increasing long-term operating margin goal to 12% and adjusted earnings per share to $3.50 by fiscal 2024 Ulta ($ULTA) Q2 EPS $4.56 vs est. $2.42 on net sales $1.97B vs est. $1.76B, comp sales +56.3% (+13.1% vs 2Q19) vs est. +44.8%, gross margin 40.6% vs est. 35.9%; raised full-year outlook for EPS to $14.50-$14.70 (est. $12.50) from $11.50-$11.95 and sales to $8.1B-$8.3B (est. $7.92B) from $7.7B-$7.8B, comp sales +30-32%; sees 44 new net stores in FY21 William Sonoma ($WSM) shares rise 12%; announces a 20% quarterly dividend increase and a new $1.25 billion stock repurchase; Q2 adj EPS $3.24 vs est. $2.61 on revenue $1.95B vs est. $1.49B, quarterly comp brand revenue growth +29.8%; now sees full-year net revenue growth in high-teens to low-20s from low-double digit to mid-teens; for long-term, company is planning net rev growth mid-to-high single digits with accelerated path to $10B in net rev over next 4 years XPeng (XPEV) reports Q2 deliveries growth of 439% Y/Y and 30.4% Q/Q to 17,398 units; P7 deliveries rose 44.5% Q/Q to 11,522 units, of which 97% can support XPILOT 2.5 or XPILOT 3.0; revenues from vehicle sales increased 562.4% to $555.1M, mainly due to higher vehicle delivery, especially for the P7 Energy, Industrials and Materials ABM Industries ($ABM) announced that it has reached a definitive agreement to acquire Able Services, a facilities services company headquartered in San Francisco, in a cash transaction valued at $830M Raven ($RAVN) Q2 EPS $0.19 vs. est. $0.17; Q2 revs $114.4M vs. est. $103.5M. Transocean Ltd. ($RIG) announced that BOE Exploration & Production LLC awarded Transocean a $252 million firm contract for its newbuild ultra-deepwater drillship, the Deepwater Atlas Financials SelectQuote ($SLQT) shares tumble as Q4 EPS $0.02 vs. est. $0.04; Q4 revs $188.4M vs. est. $184.9M; Q4 Adjusted EBITDA of $21.3M, down 47% YoY Bitcoin prices are tumbling as the largest cryptocurrency fell as much as 4.4% Thursday to $46,588, with other tokens including Ether retreating as well, paring Bitcoin’s rally since a July low to some 60% (after topping the $50K level for the first time in 3-months on Monday) Healthcare Becton Dickinson’s ($BDX) BD Veritor At-Home COVID-19 Test has received an Emergency Use Authorization from the FDA, the first at-home COVID-19 rapid antigen test to use computer vision technology in a smartphone to interpret and provide a digital display of testing results BioCryst ($BCRX) announced that the new drug submission for Orladeyo has been accepted for review by Health Canada for the prevention of recurrent attacks in patients with hereditary angioedema, or HAE, 12 years and older Exelixis ($EXEL) announces partner Takeda and ono receive approval in Japan for Cabometyx® (cabozantinib) in combination with Opdivo® (nivolumab) for treatment of unresectable or metastatic renal cell carcinoma Lannett ($LCI) Q4 adj EPS loss (-$0.19) vs. est. loss (-$0.12); Q4 revs $106M vs. est. $110.63M; sees FY22 revenue $400M-$440M vs. est. $472.06M; sees FY22 adjusted EBITDA $40M-$55M RenovoRx ($RNXT)85M share IPO priced at $9.00 Software Autodesk ($ADSK) shares fell -6%; Q2 adj EPS $1.21 vs. est. $1.13; Q2 revs $1.06B vs. est. $1.05B; sees Q3 adj EPS $1.22-$1.28 vs. est. $1.26; sees Q3 revenue $1.11B-$1.125B vs. est. $1.11B; Q2 Total billings increased 29% to $1,015B Box Inc. (BOX) Q2 EPS $0.21 vs. est. $0.18; Q2 revs $214.5M vs. est. $212.45M; Non-GAAP operating margin was 21%, a point better than projected earlier in the month; Remaining performance obligations, a measure of work contracted for but not yet delivered, was up 27%, to $922.4 million. Free cash flow was $29.8 million, up from $13.3 million in the year-earlier quarter; sees Q3 EPS 20c-21c vs. est. 20c; sees Q3 revenue $218M-$219M vs. est. $216.6M Elastic NV ($ESTC) Q1 EPS $0.04 vs. est. loss (-$0.10); Q1 revs $193.1M vs. est. $173.17M; Q1 Cloud revs up 89% YoY to $61.5M, or 85% on a constant currency basis; Q1 Calculated billings up 27% YoY to $165.0M, or 23% on a constant currency basis; Q1 deferred revenue was $364.4M, an increase of 31% YoY; Q1 total subscription customer count was over 16,000, compared to over 15,000 in Q4 FY21; sees FY22 EPS loss (67c) to (57c) vs. est. loss (50c); sees FY22 revs $808M-$814M vs. est. $789.1M com ($CRM) Q2 EPS $1.48 vs. est. $0.92; Q2 revs $6.34B vs. est. $6.24B; reports remaining performance obligation ended Q2 at approximately $36.2B, an increase of 18% YoY; current remaining performance obligation ended Q2 at approximately $18.7B, an increase of 23% YoY, 23% in constant currency; sees Q3 EPS $0.91-$0.92 vs. est. $0.81; sees Q3 revs $6.78B-$6.79B vs. est. $6.66B Snowflake ($SNOW) Q2 EPS ($0.64) vs est. ($0.15) on revenue $272.2M vs est. $256.5M; sees Q3 revenue $280M-$285M vs est. $292/3M, FY revenue $1.06B-$1.07B vs est. $1.11B; company now has 4,990 total customers and 116 with trailing 12-month product revenue above $1M Splunk ($SPLK) Q2 EPS loss (-$2.34) vs. est. loss (-$0.69); Q2 revs $606M vs. est. $562.8M; Q2 Cloud ARR was $976M, up 72% YoY while total ARR was $2.63B, up 37% YoY; reported 234 customers with cloud ARR greater than $1M, up 100% YoY; sees Q3 revs $625M-$650M vs. est. $635.4Ml sees FY revs $2.53B-$2.6B vs. est. $2.53B Zuora Inc. ($ZUO) Q2 Non-GAAP EPS loss (-$0.04), in-line with estimates; Q2 revs $86.5M vs. est. $83.4M; sees Q3 subscription revs $71m-$72M and total revs $86M-$87M vs. est. $85.4M; sees FY revs $340M-$342M vs. est. $338.2M; sees year EPS loss (13c-11c) vs. est. (9c) Technology NetApp Inc. ($NTAP) Q1 EPS $1.15 vs. est. $0.95; Q1 revs $1.46B vs. est. $1.43B; sees Q2 EPS $1.14-$1.24 vs. est. $1.13; sees Q2 revenue $1.49B-$1.59B vs. est. $1.52B; 1Q Product Rev Grew 16% YoY to $730M and Q1 Billings Increased 20% YoY to $1.38B Pure Storage ($PSTG) Q2 non-GAAP EPS $0.06 vs. est. $0.05; Q2 revs $496.8M vs. est. $469.48M; sees Q3 revs $530M vs. est. $495.15M; sees FY22 revenue $2.04B vs. est. $1.96B; sees FY22 non-GAAP operating income $150M; Q2 Subscription services revenue $171.9 million, up 31% year-over-year; Q2 GAAP gross margin 68.4%; non-GAAP gross margin 70.5% ON Semiconductor ($ON) announced that they have entered into a definitive agreement under which it will acquire GTAT for $415M in cash Analog Devices ($ADI) increases share repurchase authorization by $8.5 billion to approximately $10 billion Joyy Inc. ($YY) +7% after Reuters reported its two top shareholders, Chairman David Li and Xiaomi founder Lei Jun, aim to take the Chinese social media company private in a deal that may value it at up to $8B https://reut.rs/3DnlazS
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ULTA though goodness
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Wednesday, July 14, 2021 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow 2.00 0.01% 34,778 S&P 500 3.25 0.08% 4,364 Nasdaq 52.50 0.35% 14,917 U.S. stock futures looking mixed with the Dow and S&P 500 looking little changed, though the Nasdaq Comp edges higher as Treasury yields ease despite the highest inflation reading since 2008 yesterday in the form of consumer prices (CPI) and ahead of June Producer Prices (PPI) later this morning. In Washington, Fed Chairman Powell testifies before the House at 10:00 on monetary policy (who has been saying the recent spike in prices in transitory and prices will normalize once supply chain bottlenecks get resolved and the economy gets back on track.) while overnight, Senate Democrats announce $3.5 trillion budget agreement. This morning, financials dominate earnings with Bank America and BlackRock out already, with Citi, Wells Fargo and PNC expected later this morning. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index fell -109 points to 28,608, the Shanghai Index slid -38 points to 3,528, the Hang Seng Index dropped -175 points (0.63%) to 27,787. In Europe, the German DAX is down 30 points to 15,760, while the FTSE 100 is down roughly -40 points to 7,085. Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index dropped -15.42 points, or 0.35%, to 4,369.21 The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell -107.39 points, or 0.31%, to 34,888.79 The Nasdaq Composite slumped -55.59 points, or 0.38%, to 14,677.65 The Russell 2000 Index declined -42.96 points, or 1.88% to 2,238.86 Events Calendar for Today 7:00 AM ET MBA Mortgage Applications Data 8:30 AM ET Producer Price Index (CPI) MoM for June…est. 0.6% 8:30 AM ET PPI Ex: Food & Energy (core) MoM for June…est. 6.8% 8:30 AM ET Producer Price Index (CPI) YoY for June…est. 0.5% 8:30 AM ET PPI Ex: Food & Energy (core) YoY for June…est. 5.1% 10:30 AM ET Weekly DOE Inventory Data Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: $AYR, $BAC, $BLK, $C, DAL, $PNC, $WFC Earnings After the Close: $CIDM Other Key Events: Fed Chairman Powell to appear before House Financial Service Committee Bloomberg Business Summit Global, 7/13-7/14 (virtual) China House Price, Industrial Output and Retail sales for June Macro Up/Down Last Nymex -0.55 74.70 Brent -0.59 75.90 Gold 7.20 1,814.95 EUR/USD 0.0016 1.1792 JPY/USD -0.14 110.49 10-Year Note -0.017 1.398% World News Fitch affirms United States at ‘AAA’; outlook negative; Fitch says U.S. sovereign rating is supported by structural strengths that include size of economy, high per capita income and dynamic business environment; Fitch says considers U.S. debt tolerance to be higher than that of other ‘AAA’ sovereigns; Fitch on U.S. says negative outlook on rating reflects ongoing risks to public finances and debt trajectory Democrats on the Senate Budget Committee agreed to roughly $3.5 trillion in spending for their broad healthcare and antipoverty plan, determining the scope of the party’s expected efforts on education, climate change, child care and a host of other issues while it has control of Congress and the White House. UK June CPI higher as rises 2.5% yoy vs 2.2% consensus; m/m 0.5% vs 0.2% consensus; Core: y/y 2.3% vs 2.0% consensus; m/m 0.5% vs 0.2% consensus Sector News Breakdown Consumer L Brands ($LB) guides 2Q EPS $1.20-1.30 vs. est. $1.02, revs $2.351B vs. est. $3.27B, says sales negatively impacted by closure of stores for approx half of qtr due to covid CorePoint Lodging ($CPLG) said it continued to execute on its non-core disposition strategy with 25 non-core hotels sold in the Q2, for a combined gross sales price of ~$143M during the quarter, resulting in 175 hotels owned as of June 30, 2021; said it explores strategic alternatives International Game Technology ($IGT) said it is expanding its U.S. sports betting footprint to Washington to power sports betting at Snoqualmie Casino Kura Sushi ($KRUS) 3Q adj EPS ($0.54) vs. est. ($0.56) on sales $18.5Mm vs. est. $15.5Mm Aspen Group ($ASPU) 4Q EPS ($0.09) vs. est. ($0.05) on revs $19.1Mm vs. est. $18.5Mm; guides FY22 revs $85-88Mm vs. est. $85.7Mm and sees year EPS loss (18c-12c) vs. est. profit $0.04 Ulta Beauty ($ULTA) upgraded to Outperform at Raymond James with $395 tgt which assumes shares hold their current multiple on next year’s earnings one year out Energy The American Petroleum Institute ($API) SandRidge Energy ($SD) President and CEO Carl Giesler, Jr. has resigned effective July 16 to pursue another career opportunity Oil prices fell on demand concerns after data showed that China’s first-half crude imports dropped, but were still holding near a one-week high. China’s crude imports dropped by 3% from January to June compared with a year earlier, the first such contraction since 2013 Financials Bank America ($BAC) Q2 EPS $1.03 vs. est. $0.77; Q2 revs $21.5B vs. est. $21.8B BlackRock ($BLK) Q2 adj EPS $10.03 vs. est. $9.36; Q2 revs $4.82B vs. est. $4.61B; reports $81B of quarterly total net inflows, driven by continued momentum across the platform; AUM at qtr-end were about $9.50 trillion vs $7.32 trillion reported at q2 2020 end Ally Financial ($ALLY) announces $2B share buyback, and raises dividend Victory Capital ($VCTR) reported $161.93B in assets under management ($AUM) as of June 30, 2021, compared with May’s AUM of $160.93B Healthcare scPharmaceuticals ($SCPH) announced positive top-line results from its FREEDOM-HF study that was designed to evaluate the effect of FUROSCIX on heart failure-related costs in patients with chronic heart failure Celldex ($CLDX)952M share Secondary priced at $42.00 Speaking at STAT’s Breakthrough Science Summit yesterday, Eli Lilly ($LLY) CEO David Ricks said the company is confident its treatment, donanemab, merits the same accelerated FDA approval granted to Aduhelm. From there, Lilly can take its standard approach to competition with other products, Ricks said LeMaitre ($LMAT) 1M share Spot Secondary priced at $54.50 Industrials, Materials & Transports American Airlines ($AAL) said it expects to report between a net loss of $35M and a net profit of $25M in Q2; sees Q2 revs to be down about 37.5% yoy; says ex effect of net special items, expects to report net loss of $1.1B-$1.2B in Q2; said expects to report a slight second quarter 2021 pretax profit and to end Q2 with about $21.3 billion in total available liquidity; expects average daily cash build rate for Q2 to be about $1 mln per day, first positive qtr since beginning of pandemic; sees Q2 net loss per share excluding net special credits about $1.67-$1.76 Delta Air Lines ($DAL) confirms that it entered into agreements to add 29 used Boeing 737-900ERs and lease seven used Airbus A350-900s as it continues to streamline and modernize its fleet Technology, Media & Telecom Apple ($AAPL) has asked suppliers to build as many as 90 million next-generation iPhones this year, a 20% increase from its 2020 iPhone shipments, Bloomberg reported, citing people with knowledge of the matter. Apple has maintained a consistent level in recent years of roughly 75 million units for its launch period, which runs from September-October to the end of the year eBay Inc ($EBAY) has agreed to sell part of its stake in Norway’s Adevinta to private equity firm Permira for $2.25 billion in cash, clearing the way for a tie-up between eBay and Adevinta’s classified ads businesses Broadcom ($AVGO) is said no longer in talks buy SAS Institute after a WSJ report yesterday that SAS may be acquired for $15B-$20B. The founders of the SAS Institute changed their minds on a potential sale after news of the possible sale – WSJ https://on.mktw.net/3i6jBwC Google ($GOOGL) was fined $593M by France’s Competition Authority for allegedly failing to negotiate in good faith with French publishers in a dispute over payments for their news
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/*============================================= = FRIDAY - 05/28221 Morning = =============================================*/ U.S. futures adding to yesterday gains, looking higher across the board ahead of another busy morning of economic data, as the S&P 500 look to close out May with its 4th straight monthly advance. Improving sentiment about the economic recovery, an accommodative Fed, improving earnings results this past quarter as companies come out of the pandemic and bullish market momentum has fueled the market rally. Reports yesterday indicated that President Joe Biden will unveil a budget of $6 trillion in the coming fiscal year, which help boosted equities, particularly those that would benefit most from increased federal spending. SmallCap stock have been the biggest beneficiaries this week as the Russell 2000 index comes into the trading day with a 2.6% advance this week. Still absolutely no concern or fear in the market with the CBOE Volatility index (VIX) holding around 16.75 (down from levels around 27 just 2-weeks ago). In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index jumped 600 points to 29,149, the Shanghai Index dipped -8 points to 3,600 and the Hang Seng Index inched higher 11 points to 29,124. In Europe, the German DAX is up 75 points to 15,480, while the FTSE 100 is up a few points to 7,025. Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index edged higher 4.89 points, or 0.12%, to 4,200.88 The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 141.59 points, or 0.41%, to 34,464.64 The Nasdaq Composite dipped -1.72 points, or 0.01%, to 13,736.28 The Russell 2000 Index advanced 23.80 points, or 1.06% to 2,273.07 Events Calendar for Today 8:30 AM EST Personal Income MoM for April…est. -14.1% 8:30 AM EST Personal Spending MoM for April… 8:30 AM EST PCE Price Index MoM for April 8:30 AM EST PCE Prices Index YoY for April 8:30 AM EST Core PCE Price Index MoM for April…est. 0.6% 8:30 AM EST Core PCE Prices Index YoY for April…est. 2.9% 8:30 AM EST Advance Goods Trade Balance for April…prior -$90.6B 9:45 AM EST Chicago PMI for May…est. 68.0 10:00 AM EST University of Michigan Sentiment, May-F…est. 82.9 1:00 PM EST Baker Hughes Weekly rig count data Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: BIG, CAL, HIBB Macro Up/Down Last Nymex 0.25 67.10 Brent 0.17 69.63 Gold -2.75 1,893.75 EUR/USD -0.0006 1.2189 JPY/USD 0.06 109.87 10-Year Note +0.001 1.611% World News The U.S. Senate on Thursday advanced a sweeping package of legislation intended to boost the country’s ability to compete with Chinese technology, as Congress increasingly seeks to take a tough line against Beijing. Senators voted 68-30 to end debate on the $250 billion U.S. Innovation and Competition Act of 2021 Sector News Breakdown Consumer Big Lots ($BIG) Q1 EPS $2.62 vs. est. $1.69; Q1 revs $1.63B vs. est. $1.53B; Q1 comp sales rose 11.3%; sees Q2 EPS in the range of $1.00 to $1.15 (est. $1.04), based on a low double digit comparable sales decline which equates to a two-year stacked comparable sales increase of around 20% Hibbett Sports (HIBB) Q1 EPS $5.00 vs. est. $2.77; Q1 revs $506.9M vs. est. $412.92M; Q1 comp sales jumped 87.3%; raises FY22 EPS view to $8.50-$9.00 from $5.00-$5.50 (est. $5.80); says year comp sales vs. the prior year are expected to be in a range from positive high-single digits to positive low-double digits, up from previous guidance of negative low-single digits to positive low-single digits Costco ($COST) Q3 EPS $2.75 vs. est. $2.34; Q3 revs $44.38B vs. est. $43.64B; Q3 total comp sales ex-fuel +15.1% vs. est. 12.7%; comparable sales including gas up 20.6% vs. est. 16%; Q3 comparable e-commerce sales up 41.2%; Q3 Membership fees $901 million, +11% YoY Gap Stores ($GPS) Q1 adj EPS 48c vs. est. loss (5c); Q1 revs $4B vs. est. $3.44B; expects fiscal 2021 net sales to grow in the low-to-mid 20% range from a year ago, compared with its prior projection of mid-to-high teens (est. 17.85); raises year EPS view to $1.55-$1.70 from its prior forecast of $1.20-$1.35; Q1 Gap comp sales up 28% YoY, old Navy comps 27% Guess Inc. ($GES) Q1 adj EPS 21c vs. est. loss (19c); Q1 revs $520M vs. est. $497.44M; says not providing detailed guidance for q2 or full fiscal year; sees Q2 revs to be down mid-single digits versus Q2 of fiscal 2020; said Q1 Americas retail comp sales including e-commerce increased 6% in U.S. dollars and 5% in constant currency; says for FY22 revs expect revenues to be down mid-single digits versus fiscal 2020 Ollie’s Bargain ($OLLI) Q1 EPS 80c vs. est. 63c; Q1 revs $452.5M vs. est. $422.07M; Q1 comp store sales increased 18.8% vs. est. 9.6%; opened 11 new stores, including two relocations, ending the quarter with 397 stores in 25 states, a year-over-year increase in store count of 10.3%; still not providing guidance for the year O’Reilly Automotive ($ORLY) increases buyback authorization by $1.5B Tesla ($TSLA) Model 3 loses CR top pick status and IIHS safety award after dropping features – Consumer Reports Ulta Beauty ($ULTA) Q1 EPS $4.10 vs. est. $1.92; Q1 sales $1.9B vs. est. $1.64B; Q1 comp sales surged 65.9% driven by a 52.5% increase in transactions and an 8.8% increase in average ticket; raises year outlook; boosts FY21 EPS view to $11.50-$11.95 from $8.85-$9.30 (est. $9.85) and raises FY21 revenue view to $7.7B-$7.8B from $7.2B-$7.3B (est. $7.41B) Energy, Industrials and Materials Boeing Co. ($BA) has halted deliveries of its 787 Dreamliners, adding fresh delays for customers following a recent five-month suspension in handing over the aircraft due to production problems, the WSJ reported. Federal air-safety regulators have requested more information about Boeing’s proposed solution to address the previously identified quality lapses https://on.wsj.com/3fQaDm7 Jacobs ($J) was awarded the Idaho Cleanup Project (ICP) at the Idaho National Laboratory (INL), and estimates the contract value at $6.4 billion, to be awarded over a 10-year period. LyondellBasell ($LYB) boosts quarterly dividend by 7.6% to $1.13 per share Titan Machinery ($TITN) upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Stephens and raise tgt to $40 from $26 Healthcare Biohaven Pharmaceutical Holding Company Ltd. (BHVN) said the FDA has approved NURTEC(R) ODT (rimegepant 75 mg) for the preventive treatment of migraine Bristol Myers ($BMY) said the FDA approves its Zeposia® (ozanimod), an oral treatment for adults with moderately to severely active ulcerative colitis1 Centessa Pharma ($CNTA)5M share IPO priced at $20.00 Technology, Media & Telecom Autodesk ($ADSK) Q1 non-Gaap EPS $1.03 vs. est. $0.94; Q1 revs $989M vs. est. $965.2M; Total billings increased 10 percent to $974M; remain on track to achieve our fy23 financial goals; raising our fy22 revenue guidance to reflect a partial year contribution from acquisitions; qtrly subscription plan revenue was $948 mln, an increase of 18% as reported Box Inc. ($BOX) Q1 adj EPS 18c vs. est. 17c; Q1 revs $202.4M vs. est. $200.48M; Q1 Billings were $159.4M, up 24% YoY; mixed guidance as cuts FY22 adjusted EPS view to 71c-76c from 76c-81c (est. 80c) though boosts FY22 revs view to $845M-$853M from $840M-$848M (est. $844.71M) Dell Inc. ($DELL) Q1 adj EPS $2.13 vs. est. $1.61; Q1 revs $24.5B vs. est. $23.4B; revised debt paydown target for fy22 to at least $16b upon completion of spin-off of VMW; Q1 Product revenue was $18 billion, up 12%; services revenue was $6.5 billion, up 10%; Gross margin was flat with a year ago, at 31%; noted that cash flow from operations over the past 12 months was a record $14.4 billion; Dell’s Client Solutions Group (PC business), had revenue of $13.3 billion, up 20%, operating income for the group was $1.1 billion, up 84%. Domo Inc. ($DOMO) 1Q adj EPS ($0.26) vs. est. ($0.43) on revs $60.1Mm vs. est. $57.5Mm; guides 2Q revs $60-61Mm vs. est. $59.7Mm, sees 2Q adj EPS loss $0.35-0.39 vs. est. loss $0.40; guides FY revs $246-252Mm vs. est. $246Mm, sees FY adj EPS loss $1.33-1.41 vs. est. loss $1.54 HP Inc. ($HPQ) Q2 EPS 93c vs. est. 89c; Q2 revs 15.88B vs. est. $15B; net cash provided by operating activities in Q2 was $1.4B; Printing revenue rose 28% in the most recent quarter, driven by a 77% increase in consumer revenue; raised profit projections for the year, saying it now expects $3.24-$3.34 a share, or $3.40-$3.50 as adjusted, vs. previously projected $2.98-$3.08, or $3.15-$3.25 adj Lions Gate ($LGF) Q4 adj EPS 0c vs. est. loss (31c); Q4 revs $876.4M vs. est. $809.31M; global streaming subscribers increased 69% year over year to 16.7 mln at qtr end; says enter FY22 with full content pipelines and with STARZ projected to achieve even better net subscriber adds domestically and internationally than in FY21 com ($CRM) Q1 adj EPS $1.21 vs. est. $0.88; Q1 revs $5.96B vs. est. $5.89B; said raising our revenue guidance for this fiscal year by $250 million to approximately $26 billion and non-GAAP operating margin to 18%; sees Q2 EPS 91c-92c vs. est. 86c; sees Q2 revs $6.22B-$6.23B vs. est. $6.15B; raises FY22 adjusted EPS view to $3.79-$3.81 from $3.39-$3.41 Veeva Systems ($VEEV) Q1 adj EPS 91c vs. est. 78c; Q1 revs $433.6M vs. est. $410.03M; guides s Q2 adj EPS 85c-86c vs. est. 80c; sees Q2 revs $450M-$452M vs. est. $427.46M; sees FY22 adj EPS $3.49 vs. est. $3.24; sees FY22 revs $1.815B-$1.825B vs. est. $1.76B VMWare ($VMW) Q1 EPS $1.76 vs. est. $1.73; Q1 revs $2.9BB vs. est. $2.98B; Q1 combination of subscription and SaaS and license revenue was $1.39B, an increase of 12% YoY; Subscription and SaaS revenue for the first quarter was $741M, an increase of 29% year-over-year; boosts FY22 revenue view to $12.8B from $12.7B Yext Inc. ($YEXT) Q1 EPS loss (2c) vs. est. loss (6c); Q1 revs $92.0M vs. est. $88.55M; sees Q2 non-GAAP EPS loss of (9c)-(7c) vs. est. loss (5c); sees Q2 revs $94M-$96M vs. est. $92.96M; Q1 Total Customer Count Increased 22% Year-over-Year to Over 2,500; Q1 ARR rose 14% YoY to 4370M; raises FY22 revenue view to $381M-$386M from $375M-$380M (est. $377.75M)
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tried to get filled in ULTA
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/*============================================= = MORNING UPDATE - Thursday 05/27/21 = =============================================*/ Futures Up/Down % Last Dow -9.00 0.03% 34,271 S&P 500 -8.25 0.20% 4,184 Nasdaq -54.50 0.40% 13,646 Stock futures are edging slightly lower ahead of a busy morning of economic data, as investors await monthly GDP (2nd estimate for Q1 with estimate about 6.4% – in-line with prior reading), jobless claims data, durable goods and pending home sales. The narrative remains the same day after day as the U.S. economy continues to show improvement/rebound from pandemic lows, which has raised concerns over rising inflation and fears the Fed could pull back on its asset purchases/monetary policy – but most official have said over the last week they don’t feel it will be necessary to change course since rising price pressures likely will just be transitory. Market fears remain non-existent again as the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) comes into the day below the 18 level (was above 27 just over a week ago). In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index fell -93 points to 28,549, the Shanghai Index rose 15 points to 3,608 and the Hang Seng Index fell -52 points to 29,113. In Europe, the German DAX is down over 40 points to 15,400, while the FTSE 100 is down a few points to 7,015. Stocks edged higher on Wednesday, with the SmallCap Russell 2000 index leading (up nearly 2%), and the tech heavy Nasdaq Composite, as markets were once again spurred by further reassuring talk from Federal Reserve officials that spiking inflation will be “transitory” with Treasury yields remaining lower. Fed Vice Chair Randal Quarles was the latest Fed official to ease worries about inflation. Outside of SmallCap and tech, momentum related sectors fueled the rally with social media “meme” stocks surging ($GME, $AMC, $EXPR, $KOSS), along with electric vehicle names and Bitcoin leveraged stocks. Events Calendar for Today 8:30 AM EST Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Q1 (2nd) …est. 6.5% 8:30 AM EST GDP Price Deflator Q1 (2nd) …est. 4.1% 8:30 AM EST GDP Consumer Spending for Q1 (2nd) 8:30 AM EST Core PCE Prices for Q1…est. 2.3% 8:30 AM EST PCE Prices Prelim for Q1 8:30 AM EST Weekly Jobless Claims…est. 425K 8:30 AM EST Continuing Claims…est. 3.68M 8:30 AM EST Durable Goods for April…est. 0.7% 8:30 AM EST Durable Goods Ex Transports for April…est. 0.8% 10:00 AM EST Pending Home Sales MoM for April…est. 0.8% 10:30 AM ET Weekly EIA Natural Gas Inventory Data 11:00 AM EST Kansas City Fed Manufacturing for May Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: $AMWD, $BBY, $BURL, $DG, $DLTR, $DXLG, $GCO, $HLNE, $MOV, $PLAN, $SAFM, $TITN Earnings After the Close: $ADSK, $BOX, $COST, $CRM, $DELL, $DOMO, $GPQ, $HPQ, $KRT, $LGF.A, $OLLI, $ULTA, $VEEV, $VMX, $YEXT Other Key Events: Goldman Sachs TechNet Conference Asia Pacific 2021 (virtual), 5/24-5/28 Microsoft Build Conference (virtual), 5/25-5/27 New Relic Future Stack Conference (virtual), 5/25-5/27 UBS Global Oil & Gas Conference (virtual), 5/25-5/27 Wolfe Research Transport & Industrials Conference (virtual), 5/25-5/27 Cowen Digital Dining Summit (virtual), 5/27 Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index climbed 7.86 points, or 0.19%, to 4,195.99 The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 10.59 points, or 0.03%, to 34,323.05 The Nasdaq Composite jumped 80.82 points, or 0.59%, to 13,738.00 The Russell 2000 Index surged 43.52 points, or 1.97% to 2,249.27 Macro Up/Down Last Nymex -0.48 65.73 Brent -0.50 68.37 Gold -1.00 1,895.70 EUR/USD 0.0012 1.2204 JPY/USD 0.02 109.17 10-Year Note +0.012 1.586% Sector News Breakdown Consumer American Eagle ($AEO) 1Q adj EPS $0.48 vs. est. $0.46 on revs $1.03B vs. est. $1.02B, says digital momentum continued with revs +57% (Aerie +158%, AE +20%); total inventory +2% vs 2019 Cavaco Industries ($CVCO) Q4 EPS $2.71 vs. est. $1.92; Q4 revs $306.5M vs. est. $293.79M; home sales order rates improved 50% over last year’s quarter; backlogs increased $131M during the quarter; Designer Brands ($DBI) 1Q adj EPS $0.12 vs. est. ($0.18) on sales $703.2Mm vs. est. $651Mm, comps +52.2% Elf Beauty ($ELF) Q4 adj EPS $0.71 vs. est. $0.10; Q4 sales $92.7M vs .est. $82.4M; sees 2022 adj EPS 64c-67c vs. est. 71c and sees year revs $343M-$350M vs. est. $334.3M; Q4 Selling, general and administrative expenses rose 23% to $57.9M Modine Manufacturing ($MOD) Q4 adj EPS $1.14 vs. est. $0.27; Q4 sales $514.9M vs. est. $493M; sees full-year 2022 YoY sales up 12%-18% William-Sonoma ($WSM) Q1 adj EPS $2.93 vs. est. $1.83; Q1 revs $1.75B vs. est. $1.52B; Q1 comp brand revenue growth accelerated to 40.4%, with all brands accelerating sequentially including West Elm at 50.9%, Pottery Barn at 41.3%, Williams Sonoma at 35.3% and Pottery Barn Kids and Teen at 27.6%; raising fiscal year 2021 outlook to low double-digit to mid-teen net revenue growth; for long-term, planning for net rev growth of mid-to-high single digits & non-Gaap operating margin expansion Azek ($AZEK) 15M share Secondary priced at $43.50 Crocs Inc. ($CROX) will replace Cantel Medical Corp. ($CMD) in the S&P MidCap 400, and Organogenesis Holdings Inc. ($ORGO) will take Crocs’ spot in the S&P SmallCap 600 before trading opens on June 2, according to S&P Dow Jones Indices. Energy, Industrials and Materials Vertex Energy ($VTNR) surged after hours after agreeing to acquire the Mobile refinery in Alabama from Royal Dutch Shell (RDS.A) for $75M Ranpak Holdings ($PACK) 5M share Spot Secondary priced at $21.00 The Department of Homeland Security issued a new security directive for pipeline owners and operators on Thursday after a hack of the Colonial Pipeline disrupted fuel supplies in the southeastern United States for days this month Healthcare Change Healthcare ($CHNG) 4Q adj EPS $0.42 vs. est. $0.36 on revs $855.2Mm vs. est. $840.2Mm; says due to recently announced transaction with Optuminsight, will no longer by providing guidance Ironwood Pharmaceuticals ($IRWD) announces agreement with Teva (TEVA) involving Linzess® (linaclotide) 72 mcg dosage strength Myovant Sciences ($MYOV) and Pfizer ($PFE) receive FDA approval for Myfembree®, the first once-daily treatment for heavy menstrual bleeding associated with uterine fibroids Nextgen Healthcare ($NXGN) Q4 adj EPS 21c vs. est. 19c; Q4 revs $144.2M vs. est. $140.1M; sees FY22 adj EPS 89c-95c vs. est. 99c; sees FY22 revs $574M-$584M vs. est. $577.2M; Subscription services revenue in Q4 generated $38.2M, or 16% growth over the prior year period, driven by demand for patient experience-related solutions. Day One ($DAWN) 10M share IPO priced at $16.00 Oak Street Health ($OSH)05M share secondary priced at $62.00 Ocugen ($OCGN) says it is on track to submit emergency use authorization application (EUA) to U.S. FDA for its COVID-19 vaccine, Covaxin, in June; awaiting feedback from FDA after master file regarding vaccine was submitted in March R1 RCM ($RCM) 15M share secondary priced at $22.50 Singular Genomics Systems ($OMIC)2M share IPO priced at $22.00 VIR Biotech ($VIR) received FDA emergency use approval for its antibody treatment co-developed with Glaxo ($GSK) to treat mild-to-moderate COVID-19 in people aged 12 years and older Technology, Media & Telecom NVIDIA ($NVDA) Q1 non-Gaap EPS $3.66 vs. est. $3.28; Q1 revs $5.66B vs. est. $5.41B; qtrly data center revenue of $2.05B, up 79% from a year earlier; Q1gaming revenue of $2.76B, up 106% from a year earlier; sees Q2 revs expected to be $6.30B, plus or minus 2% vs. est. $5.5B; Q2 Gaap and non-Gaap gross margins are expected to be 64.6% and 66.5%, respectively, plus or minus 50 bps after Q1 margins 64.1% vs 65.1% YoY and Q1 non-Gaap gross margin 66.2% vs 65.8% YoY Disneyland ($DIS) to allow non-California guests starting on June 15; Disneyland extends reservation window to 120 days DXC Technology ($DXC) Q4 adj EPS 74c vs. est. 70c; Q4 revs $4.385B vs. est. $4.28B; Q4 bookings were $4.7B; sees FY22 adj EPS $3.45-$3.65 vs. est. $3.44; sees FY22 revenue $16.6B-$16.8B vs. est. $16.91B Nutanix ($NTNX) Q3 adj EPS loss (41c) vs. est. loss (49c); Q3 revs $344.5M vs. est. $334.45M; Q3 billings down 3.2% YoY to $371.1M; guides Q4 ACV billings $170M-$175M and Q4 adjusted gross margin roughly 81.5%-82% Okta Inc. ($OKTA) 1Q adj EPS ($0.10) vs. est. ($0.20) on revs $251Mm vs. est. $238.3Mm; guides 2Q adj EPS loss $0.35-0.36 vs. est. loss $0.11, sees 2Q revs $295-297Mm vs. est. $258.2Mm; guides FY adj EPS loss $1.13-1.16 vs. est. loss $0.44, sees FY revs $1.215-1.225B vs. est. $1.09B; says CFO stepping down June 1st, Brett Tighe (Treasurer) will be interim CFO Ooma Inc. ($OOMA) Q1 EPS $0.11c vs. est. $0.08; Q1 revs $45.6M vs. est. $44.31M; sees Q2 EPS 8c-10c vs. est. 6c; guides Q2 revs $46.0M-$46.8M vs. est. $45.12M; sees FY22 EPS 30c-38c vs. est. 29c; sees year revs $185M-$187M vs. est. $183.64M Pure Storage ($PSTG) Q1 adj EPS 0c vs. est. loss (6c); Q1 revs $412.7M vs. est. $403.91M; sees Q2 revs $470M vs. est. $455.85M; sees Q2 non-GAAP operating income $15M; Q1 Subscription services revenue $162.8 million, up 35% YoY; Q1 GAAP gross margin 68.3%; non-GAAP gross margin 70.5% QAD Inc. ($QADA) 1Q EPS $0.09 vs. est. $0.12 on revs $83Mm vs. est. $78.9Mm, subscription revs $36.7Mm; guides 2Q subscription revs $38.5Mm, maintenance revs $26zmm, sees 2Q op income $1Mm incl stock comp exp $5Mm; guides FY subscription revs $160Mm, maintenance revs $102Mm, op inc $12Mm incl stock comp exp $17Mm Snowflake ($SNOW) 1Q EPS ($0.70) vs. est. ($0.16) on revs $228.9Mm vs. est. $212.9Mm, qtr-end total customers were 4,532; guides 2Q product revs $235-240Mm vs. est. $251Mm; guides FY product revs $1.02-1.04B vs. est. $1.09B Workday ($WDAY) 1Q adj EPS $0.87 vs. est. $0.73 on revs $1.18B vs. est. $1.16B, qtrly subscription revs $1.03B +17%; guides 2Q subscription revs $1.095-1.097B; raises FY subscription revs guide to $4.425-$4.44B, raises FY adj op mgn guide to 18-19%; Zuora ($ZUO) 1Q adj EPS ($0.02) vs. est. ($0.04) on revs $80.3Mm vs. est. $79Mm; guides 2Q adj EPS loss $0.04-0.03 vs. est. loss $0.02, sees 2Q revs $82.5-84.5Mm vs. est. $81.8Mm; guides FY adj EPS loss $0.10-0.06 vs. est. loss $0.08, sees FY revs $337-339Mm vs. est. $336.3Mm FIGS ($FIGS)4M share IPO priced at $22.00 Thryv Holdings ($THRY)24M share Secondary priced at $23.50
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My take aways: skincare spending $EL $LRLCY video games 9% of wallet, 53% plan to purchase next gen console still $SONY $MSFT Cash still king and venmo most used $SQ $PYPL $NKE #1 fashion brand and footwear brand $ULTA gained 700 bps as no 1 beauty destination $AAPL owns the phone $SNAP #1 social platform at the expense of insta $FB
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15% of teens consume plant-based meat with Impossible Foods & Beyond Meat tied as the No. 1 choice Video games are 9% of teen wallet share vs. 8% LY; 53% expect to purchase a NextGen console & 4% already own Teens spend 32% of their daily video consumption on Netflix followed by YouTube (31%); Prime & Other streaming gained Cash is (still) king for teens as top payment method followed by Apple Pay; Venmo is the most used payment app 9% of teens claim to have traded cryptocurrency; 81% of these teens are male 56% of teens cite Amazon as their No. 1 favorite e-com site; SHEIN took No. 2 spot (7% share; +500 bps Y/Y) Nike is the No. 1 fashion brand for teens—up 200 bps Y/Y; Nike is the No. 1 footwear brand—up 900 bps Y/Y Ulta gained 700 bps share Y/Y as No. 1 beauty destination with 46% share; Sephora share stabilized; Amazon lost share Handbag spending improved to $93—up 4% Y/Y and up 7% sequentially, reversing a multi-year low; LV remained No. 1 88% of teens own an iPhone and 90% expect an iPhone to be their next phone. Both are new all-time highs Snapchat is the favorite social media platform (31% share) followed by TikTok (30%) & Instagram (24%, down 700 bps Y/Y)
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very surprised to see Ulta so high, wonder what yoy change is, could be one of the best reopening plays left
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nice little pop in ulta
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just want to see more time than april > @dros said: ULTA chart looks pretty good here
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ULTA chart looks pretty good here
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US Market US closed lower yesterday, ahead of the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) monetary policy meeting. Nikola declined 7.1%, after the electric car maker announced that it intends to raise $100.0 million through a secondary stock offering. Ulta Beauty dropped 3.2%, following a rating downgrade on the stock to ‘Neutral’ from ‘Buy’. Designer Brands fell 2.1%, as the company’s fourth quarter revenue came in below analysts’ forecast. On the flipside, Fintech Acquisition skyrocketed 42.8%, following news that the special purpose acquisition company would merge with trading platform, eToro in a $10.4 billion deal and take it public. Moderna climbed 8.6%, after the company announced that it started a study of its Covid-19 vaccine involving children aged 6 months to 11 years. Starbucks advanced 2.2%, after a top broker upgraded its rating on the stock to ‘Buy’ from ‘Neutral’. The S&P 500 slipped 0.2%, to settle at 3,962.7. The DJIA fell 0.4%, to settle at 32,826.0, while the NASDAQ added 0.1%, to close at 13,471.6. .
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US Market US bucked the trend by closing higher on Friday, amid expectations of quicker economic recovery. Novavax climbed 8.1%, after the drug maker announced that its coronavirus vaccine was 96% effective against both the original strain of the virus as well as the UK variant. Vail Resorts advanced 3.1%, after issued an upbeat earnings outlook for the nine months ended 30 April 2021. On the flipside, Poshmark declined 19.9%, after the online seller of second-hand clothing issued a weaker than expected sales outlook for the first quarter. Ulta Beauty dropped 8.5%, after reporting disappointing fourth-quarter sales and profit. Netflix fell 1.0%, after the streaming service company announced that it would be testing a crackdown on password sharing. The S&P 500 gained 0.1%, to settle at 3,943.3. The DJIA rose 0.9%, to settle at 32,778.6, while the NASDAQ shed 0.6%, to close at 13,319. .
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oh ULTA er today?
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you wanna play some Ulta with me?
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sure usually a FOX nearby > @HeyShoe said: can you do a little ULTA reconnaissance?
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can you do a little ULTA reconnaissance?
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so ULTA will pop tomorrow?
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can anybody look at ULTA chart and comment
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