Thursday, July 22, 2021
Futures Up/Down % Last
Dow 83.00 0.24% 34,772
S&P 500 8.25 0.20% 4,359
Nasdaq 20.50 0.14% 14,848
Stock futures pointing higher, looking to make it a third straight day in a row of gains as optimism about earnings and the economic recovery outweighed Wall Street’s concerns about rising inflation and surging coronavirus cases. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury rose early Thursday to 1.287% after touching lows below 1.13% earlier this week. President Joe Biden, at a town hall in Cincinnati hosted by CNN, said Wednesday night “there will be near-term inflation” as the economy recovers but said he has been advised by his economic team that current price increases won’t last as demand returns to normal levels. Stocks advanced Wednesday as strong corporate earnings and renewed optimism about the U.S. economic recovery stoked investor risk appetite. All three major U.S. stock indexes appeared set to build on the previous session’s gains, which delivered the S&P 500’s best day since March, while the Russell 2000 SmallCap outperformed for a second day after trading in correction territory on Monday (defined as 10% down off record highs). With Wednesday’s advance, all three are within 1% of their all-time closing highs. Economically sensitive SmallCaps, semiconductors and financials outperformed the broader market as investors prep for another busy day of earnings. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index rose 159 points to 27,548, the Shanghai Index gained 12 points to 3,574 and the Hang Seng Index jumped nearly 500 points (1.83%) to settle at 27,723. In Europe, the German DAX is jumps 125 points to 15,550, while the FTSE 100 rises about 15 points to move above the 7,000 level.
Market Closing Prices Yesterday
The S&P 500 Index gained 35.63 points, or 0.82%, to 4,358.69
The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 286.01 points, or 0.83%, to 34,798.00
The Nasdaq Composite jumped 133.08 points, or 0.92%, to 14,631.95
The Russell 2000 Index advanced 39.74 points, or 1.81% to 2,234.04
Events Calendar for Today
8:30 AM ET Weekly Jobless Claims
8:30 AM EST Continuing Claims
10:00 AM ET Existing Home Sales MoM for June
10:00 AM ET Leading Index MoM for June
10:30 AM ET Weekly EIA Natural Gas Inventory Data
11:00 AM ET Kansas City Fed Manufacturing for July
Earnings Calendar:
Earnings Before the Open: $AAL, $ABT, $AEP, $ALK, $AUB, $BANC, $BCO, $BIIB, $BKU, $BX, $CADE, $CLF, $CROX, $CSBR, $DGX, $DHI, $DHR, $DOW, $EWBC, $FAF, $FCX, $FITB, $GPC, $GTLS, $HRI, $HZO, $IIIN, $LUV, $MMC, $NEM, $NUE, $POOL, $RS, $SAFE, $SON, $T, $TPH, $TRN, $UNP, $VLY, $WBS, $WSO
Earnings After the Close: $ABCB, $ASB, $BOOM, CBSH, $CE, $COF, $CSL, $CSTR, $GGBC, $INTC, $MMLP, $MSBI, $OZK, $RBNC, $SAM, $SBCF, $SIVB, $SNA, $SNAP, $TACO, $TWTR, $USX, $VRSN, $WRB, $WSFS
Macro Up/Down Last
Nymex 0.63 70.93
Brent 0.62 72.85
Gold -7.50 1,796.10
EUR/USD -0.0007 1.1787
JPY/USD -0.01 110.28
10-Year Note +0.013 1.295%
World News
The U.S. Treasury Department is projected to exhaust its borrowing authority in October or November, the Congressional Budget Office said on Wednesday, as a fight between Democrats and Republicans over raising the nation’s debt ceiling erupted in Congress. A failure to work out differences over whether government spending cuts should accompany an increase in the statutory debt limit, currently set at $28.5 trillion, could lead to a federal government shutdown – as has happened three times in the past decade – or even a debt default.
Sector News Breakdown
Consumer
Las Vegas Sands ($LVS) 2Q EPS loss ($0.25) vs est. ($0.17), adj property EBITDA $244Mm, revs $1.17B vs est. $1.41B, net revs from Macao $855Mm
Whirlpool ($WHR) Q2 adj EPS $6.64 vs. est. $5.93; Q2 revs $5.32B vs. est. $5.05B; raises FY21 adjusted EPS view to $26.00 from $22.50-$23.50 (est. $23.73); boosts FY21 net sales growth to ~16% from ~13%; sees FY21 cash provided by operating activities of $1.95B
Stanley Black & Decker ($SWK) raises quarterly dividend 13% to 79c from 70c per share
R. Horton ($DHI) Q3 EPS $3.06 vs. est. $2.81; Q3 revs $7.3B vs. est. $7.19B; Q3 net sales decreased 17% to 17,952 homes and increased 2% in value to $6.4 billion compared to 21,519 homes and $6.3 billion in the same quarter of the prior year; sees FY21 consolidated revenue $27.6B-$28.1B vs. est. $27.4B
China is weighing an unprecedented penalty for Didi Global (DIDI) following its IPO last month, people familiar with the matter tell Bloomberg
Energy
Kinder Morgan ($KMI) Q2 adj EPS $0.23 vs. est. $0.19; Q2 revs $3.15B vs. est. $2.88B; expects to meet or exceed the top end of the range provided last quarter for DCF and Adjusted EBITDA; anticipates generating 2021 DCF of $5.4 billion and Adjusted EBITDA of $7.9 billion.
TechnipFMC ($FTI) Q2 adj EPS ($0.06) vs est. ($0.01) on revs $1.669B vs est. $1.6B, qtr-end backlog $7.3B, qtrly inbound orders $1.56B; guides FY subsea revs $5.2-5.5B, guides surface tech revs $1.05-1.25B vs total revs est. $6.452
Precision Drilling (PDS) Q2 EPS loss (C$5.71) vs. (C$3.56) a year ago; Q2 revs C$201M vs. C$189.76M a year ago
Chart Industries ($GTLS) Q2 adj EPS 80c vs. est. 79c; Q2 revs $322.0M vs. est. $317.45M; raises FY21 adjusted EPS view to $3.80-$4.25 from $3.65-$4.15 (est. $3.91); raises FY21 revenue guidance to $1.38B-$1.43B from $1.36B-$1.41B
Financials
Cohen & Steers ($CNS) Q2 adj EPS 94c vs. est. 86c; Q2 revs $144.27M vs. est. $131.17M; ending AUM of $96.2B, vs. $87.04B at previous quarter end – increase was driven by net inflows of $2.6B and market appreciation of $7.4B, partially offset by distributions of $769M
Discover Financial ($DFS) 2Q EPS $5.55 vs est. $3.97, qtrly payment services volume $78.4B +22%, total loans ended qtr at $87.7B -1%, credit card loans ended qtr at $68.9B -2%, total net charge-off rt 2.12%; increases qtrly common stock dividend from $0.44-0.50/shr, approves share repurchase up to $2.4B
Equifax ($EFX) 2Q adj EPS $1.98 vs est. $1.71 on revs $1.235B vs est. $1.16B; guides 3Q adj EPS $1.62-1.72 vs est. $1.65, raises FY adj EPS guide to $7.25-7.45 vs est. $7.05, sees FY revs $4.76-4.8B vs est. $4.675B
Globe Life ($GL) 2Q EPS $1.92 vs est. $1.82; guides FY EPS $7.34-7.54 vs est. $7.29; says for FY at mid-point of guidance, estimate covid life claims between $53-55Mm
Moelis ($MC) Q2 adj EPS $1.19 vs. est. $0.80; Q2 revs $360.9M vs. est. $273.8M; raises quarterly dividend by 9% to $0.60 and approves $100M share buyback
OneMain Financial ($OMF) 2Q adj EPS $2.66 vs est. $2.19, NII $708Mm vs est. $769.1Mm; C&I managed receivables $18.3B, net charge-off ratio 4.41%, repurchased $35Mm in 2Q
SEI Investments ($SEIC) 2Q EPS $0.93 vs est. $0.92 on revs $475.7Mm vs est. $464.7Mm
SL Green Realty ($SLG) 2Q FFO/shr $1.60 vs est. $1.62, qtrly consolidated revs $218.1Mm vs est. $189.6Mm, op income $88.7Mm; same-store cash NOI including share of same-store NOI from unconsolidated JVs -3.7% yr/yr
SLM Corp. ($SLM) Q2 core EPS $0.45 vs. est. $0.35; raises FY21 GAAP EPS view to $3.15-$3.25 from $2.95-$3.15; affirms FY21 private education loan origination y/y growth view of 6%-7% and lowers portfolio net charge-off view to $215M-$225M from $260M-$280M
Texas Capital ($TCBI) 2Q EPS $1.31 vs est. $1.21; net interest income was $197.0 mln for q2 of 2021, compared to $200.1 mln for q1 of 2021
Triumph Bancorp. ($TBK) 2Q adj EPS $1.17 vs est. $1.02, NII $90.3Mm vs est. $89.2Mm, net int margin 6.47%
Umpqua Holdings ($UMPQ) Q2 EPS $0.53 vs. est. $0.44; Q2 loan loss provision ($23M) vs. $87.08M a year ago; Q2 net charge-offs ($13.6M) vs. ($16.16M) a year ago; tangible book value per share was $12.49 at quarter end from $12.10 at previous quarter end; board approves to repurchase up to $400M of stock
Ryan Specialty Group ($RYAN) 57M share IPO priced at $23.50
Travelers ($TRV) downgraded to Underperform from Buy at Bank America
Healthcare
Pfizer Inc. ($PFE) said the FDA has notified the company that it will not meet the Prescription Drug User Fee Act (PDUFA) goal dates for the New Drug Application for abrocitinib for the treatment of adults and adolescents with moderate to severe atopic dermatitis and the supplemental New Drug Application for XELJANZ/XELJANZ XR (tofacitinib) for the treatment of adults with active ankylosing spondylitis
ICON Plc ($ICLR) Q2 adj EPS $2.12 vs. est. $2.09; Q2 revs $871.2M vs. est. $855.9M; sees FY21 EPS $9.10-$9.50 vs. est. $8.71; Record net business wins in the quarter of $1,106 million, an increase of 21.6% year on year; a net book to bill of 1.27; record closing backlog of $10.2 billion, an increase of 12.7% year on year
Tenet Healthcare ($THC) Q2 EPS $1.59 vs. est. $1.07; Q2 revs $4.95B vs. est. $4.79B; Q2 Same-facility system-wide ambulatory surgical cases were up 68.2% from last year; year adj EBITDA Outlook range now $3.15B-$3.25B, up from prior view of $3.0B-$3.2B, which excludes the projected gain on the sale of the Miami-area hospitals; year adjusted diluted EPS $5.23-$5.73 up from $4.12-$5.46 prior – shares fell as Q3 guidance falls below consensus
Absci ($ABSI)5M share IPO priced at $16.00
Natera ($NTRA)5M share Secondary priced at $113.00
Danaher ($DHR) Q2 adj EPS $2.46 vs. est. $2.05; Q2 revs $7.22B vs. est. $6.72B; for q3 2021, anticipates that non-GAAP core revenue growth will be in mid- to high-teens percent range; for full year 2021, now anticipates that non-GAAP core revenue growth rate including Cytiva will be about 20%
Industrials & Materials
CSX Corp. ($CSX) Q2 EPS $0.52 vs. est. $0.37; Q2 revs $2.99B vs. est. $2.93B; Q2 2021 operating ratio was 43.4% compared to 63.3% in prior year period; maintains full year revenue outlook and still sees year cap-ex $1.7B-$1.8B; Q2 expenses fall by 9% year-over-year to $1.30B
Graco ($GGG) Q2 EPS $0.63 vs. est. $0.60; Q2 revs $507.2M vs. est. $475.94M; says initiating an outlook for full-year 2021 of mid-to-high teen sales growth on an organic, constant currency basis
Dow Inc. ($DOW) Q2 EPS $2.72 vs. est. $2.30; Q2 revs $13.89B vs. est. $13.02B; qtrly packaging & specialty plastics segment net sales were $7.1 bln, up 78% versus year-ago period; industrial intermediates & infrastructure segment net sales were $4.2 bln, up 74% versus year-ago period; qtrly performance materials & coatings segment net sales were $2.5 bln, up 33% over year-ago
BHP ($BHP) announced the signing of a nickel supply agreement with Tesla ($TSLA).
Kaiser Aluminum ($KALU) Q2 adj EPS $1.00 vs. est. $1.44; Q2 revs $741M vs. est. $519.18M; qtrly shipments 337 mln lbs vs 119 mln lbs; said automotive business is temporarily dampened as ongoing shortages of semiconductor chips affects N. American light vehicle production
Landstar ($LSTR) Q2 EPS $2.40 vs. est. $2.32; Q2 revs $1.57B vs. est. $1.46B; actual revenue per load on loads hauled via truck in 2021 q2 compared to 2021 q1 increased 7.5%; sees Q3 EPS $2.20-$2.30 and revs $1.55B-$1.6B
UFP Industries ($UFPI) 2Q EPS $2.78 vs est. $1.81 on sales $2.7B vs est. $2.26B, expects all segments to benefit from more stable pricing in 2022
Valmont Industries ($VMI) Q2 adj EPS $3.06 vs. est. $2.50; Q2 revs $894.6M vs. est. $814.85M; sees FY21 adj EPS $10.40-$11.10 above consensus $9.89 and raises FY21 revenue growth view to 16%-19% from 9%-14%; expect meaningful sequential margin improvement in second half of 2021 as pricing becomes more aligned with steel cost inflation
XL Fleet Corp ($XL) announced a battery and power electronics development and supply agreement and an investment in eNow, Inc., a provider of solar and battery power systems that enable fully-electric Transport Refrigeration Units for Class 8 commercial trailers
