Verint Systems, Inc.
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Friday, September 10, 2021 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow 167.00 0.48% 34,920 S&P 500 17.25 0.38% 4,500 Nasdaq 58.50 0.37% 15,608 U.S. futures are looking sharply higher, with the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average looking to snap their respective 4-day losing streaks, the longest for the S&P since the middle of June. There hasn’t been much news for the recent sputtering of stocks on this holiday shortened week, though it is noteworthy that major averages remain roughly 1% off all-time highs in what has been a momentous run the last few months on dovish Fed policy and strong corporate earnings. Wall Street got a sentiment boost overnight after U.S. President Joe Biden and China President Xi Jinping held a surprise 90-minute phone call late Thursday, the first between the two world leaders in seven months. Asia shares got a boost from news of the talks, with the positive sentiment flowing through into a European session that was still navigating yesterday’s tapering decision from the ECB and news showing that the ongoing spread of Delta variant coronavirus infections lead to the slowest monthly economic growth in the UK since the January lockdowns. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index jumped 373 points (1.25%) to 30,331, the Shanghai Index rose 10 points to 3,703 and the Hang Seng Index surged 489 points (1.91%) to 26,205. The German DAX gains 50 points to 15,675, while the FTSE 100 rises 25 points to 7,050. Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index dropped -20.79 points, or 0.46%, to 4,493.28 The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell -151.69 points, or 0.43%, to 34,879.38 The Nasdaq Composite slipped -38.38 points, or 0.25%, to 15,248.25 The Russell 2000 Index declined -0.60 points, or 0.13% to 2,249.13 Events Calendar for Today 8:30 AM ET Producer Price Index (PPI) MoM for Aug…est. 0.6% 8:30 AM ET Producer Price Index (PPI) YoY for Aug…est. 8.2% 8:30 AM ET PPI Core Ex: Food & Energy MoM for Aug …est. 0.5% 8:30 AM ET PPI Core Ex: Food & Energy YoY for Aug…est. 6.6% 10:00 AM ET Wholesale Inventories MoM for July…est. 0.6% 1:00 PM EST Baker Hughes Weekly rig count data Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: KR Other Key Events: Barclay’s Global Consumer Staples Conference (virtual) 2021, 9/8-9/10 Barclay’s CEO Energy-Power Conference 2021 (virtual), 9/8-9/10 Citigroup Annual BioPharma Conference (virtual), 9/8-9/10 Citigroup GEMS Conference 2021 (virtual), 9/8-9/10 Cowen 14th Annual Global Transportation & Sustainable Mobility Conference, 9/8-9/10 Credit Suisse 2021 Global Steel & Mining Conference (virtual), 9/8-9/10 Deutsche Bank 2021 Technology Conference (virtual), 9/9-9/10 JMP Securities Fintech Forum: Artificial Intelligence, Virtual Conference, 9/10 Wells Fargo 2021 Healthcare Conference (virtual), 9/9-9/10 Macro Up/Down Last Nymex 1.12 69.18 Brent 1.04 72.57 Gold -0.40 1,794.20 EUR/USD 0.0006 1.1831 JPY/USD 0.23 109.95 10-Year Note +0.0287 1.3258% World News The Federal Reserve’s Robert Kaplan and Eric Rosengren will sell all their stocks, Wall Street Journal reporter Michael S. Derby said via Twitter. The moves come after the policymakers were criticized for actively trading stocks and bonds last year. UK Jul GDP misses at +0.1% MoM vs. 0.6% consensus; on a YoY basis, +7.5% vs 8.0% consensus; UK July Industrial Production +1.2% MoM vs 0.4% consensus and +3.8% YoY vs 3.0% consensus Germany Aug CPI (final) +3.9% YoY in line; and flat MoM in line Sector News Breakdown Consumer American Outdoor Brands ($AOUT) Q1 Non-GAAP EPS $0.48 vs. est. $0.24; Q1 revs $60.8M vs. est. $57.4M; sees Q2 sales up more than 20%; Gross margin of 47.7% increased 70 basis points over the comparable quarter last year; Adjusted EBITDAS was $9.6 million, or 15.7% of net sales, compared with $8.7 million, or 17.3% of net sales; sees year EEPS $2.02-$2.26 vs. est. $2.21 Dave & Buster’s ($PLAY) Q2 EPS $1.07 vs. est. $0.58; Q2 sales $377.6M vs. est. $358.5M; Q2 comp sales rose 3.6%; expects Q3 comparable store sales to be about in line with qtr-to-date trends compared to Q3 2019; sees Q3 Ebitda to be significantly higher than Q3 2019 Ebitda of $39.8M; sees total of four new store openings during fiscal year 2021 and relocation of one existing location Toyota Motor Corp ($TM) cut its production forecasts for September and October, blaming shortages of chips and other parts as suppliers; said it will produce 70,000 fewer vehicles than previously planned this month, and 330,000 fewer vehicles next month. National Beverage ($FIZZ) Q1 EPS $0.58 vs. est. $0.51; Q1 revs $311.7M vs. est. $299.19M; Gross margin was 40%; operating income was $70.3 million or 22.6% of sales; and cash was $245.5M Zumiez ($ZUMZ) Q2 EPS $0.94 vs est. $0.79 on revenue $268.7M vs est. $180.5M; Q3 sales through Sept 6th +23.2% YoY vs 1st 37 days in 3Q20; not providing outlook for Q3 or full-year at this time Destination XL ($DXLG)73M share Spot Secondary priced at $6.10 VICI Properties ($VICI) 100M share Secondary priced at $29.50 Energy, Industrials and Materials Fortress Transportation ($FTAI) 12M share Secondary priced at $25.50 Radiant Logistics ($RLGT) Q4 EPS in-line $0.21 on revenue $257.9M vs est. $227.35M Yellow Corp ($YELL) less-than-truckload, percent change for shipments per workday in qtd was down 5.2%; LTL percent change for revenue per shipment in qtd was up 18.5% Financials Affirm ($AFRM) Q4 EPS loss (-$0.48) vs. est. loss (-$0.29); Q4 revs $261.8M vs. est. $226.39M; Q4 GMV $2.5B, up 106%; Active merchants grew by 412% to nearly 29,000 for Q4, including several thousand newly integrated Shopify merchants; Q4 active consumers grew 97% to 7.1M; sees Q1 revenue $240M-$250M vs. est. $233.89M; sees FY22 revenue $1.16B-$1.19B vs. est. $1.17B; sees FY22 GMV $12.45B-$12.75B Ryman Hospitality Properties ($RHP) said it expects positive cash flow in Q3 of $16M-19M despite the recent impact of attrition and cancellations related to the COVID-19 delta variant spread (compares with a negative cash flow of $1M in Q2, and -$32M in Q2 of last year) United Insurance Holdings ($UIHC) estimates current year catastrophe losses of ~$27M for Q3. Farmer Bros. ($FARM) Q4 EPS loss (-$0.24) on revs $102.86M WillScot Mobile Mini ($WSC)41M share Spot Secondary priced at $28.50 Healthcare Apellis ($APLS) announced that while its phase 3 OAKS study evaluating intravitreal pegcetacoplan in patients with geographic atrophy met the primary endpoint for both monthly and every-other-month treatment, the DERBY study did not meet the primary endpoint of GA lesion growth, showing a reduction of 12% and 11% with monthly and every-other-month treatment Cigna ($CI) assumed at Market Perform from Outperform at Cowen with a price target of $235, down from $300 Humana ($HUM) assumed at Outperform from Market Perform at Cowen and raise tgt to $479 from $470 OrthoPediatrics ($KIDS) entered into a distribution agreement with a subsidiary of SeaSpine ($SPNE) to exclusively distribute the 7D Surgical FLASH Navigation platform for pediatric applications. Agilon Health ($AGL) 17M share Secondary priced at $30.00 Impel NeuroPharma ($IMPL) 3M share Secondary priced at $15.00 Ortho Clinical Diagnostics ($OCDX) 22M share Secondary priced at $17.50 Senators may seek to cap the prices that Medicare pays for certain medications so that they’re no higher than what other government programs, like the Department of Veterans Affairs, will pay, STAT reports exclusively Technology, Media & Telecom Sumo Group Plc ($SUMO) Q2 EPS loss (-$0.11) vs. est. loss (-$0.14); Q2 revs $58.8M vs. est. $56.69M; sees revenue $236.8M-$238.8M vs. est. $200.9M; sees adjusted loss per share 51c to 52c vs. est. loss (79c) Verint Systems ($VRNT) Q2 EPS $0.58 vs. est. $0.42; Q2 revs $216M vs. est. $207.74M; sees Q3 revs $215M-$220M vs. est. $220.2M; sees year revs $872M plus/minus 2% vs. est. $863.2M Zscaler ($ZS) Q4 Non-GAAP EPS $0.14 vs. est. $0.09; Q4 revs $197.1M vs. est. $186.8M; sees Q1 EPS about $0.12, in-line with ests on revs $210M-$212M vs. est. $200M; sees year revs $940M-$950M vs. est. $902M; sees year billings $1.23 billion to $1.25 billion above est. $1.14 billion PowerSchool ($PWSC) Q2 revenue $145.4M vs. est. $142.86M; sees Q3 revenue $140M-$143M vs. est. $142.86M; sees Q3 adjusted EBITDA $36M-$39M; sees FY21 revenue $542M-$545M vs. est. $536.85M Bumble ($BMBL) 18M share Secondary priced at $54.00 McAfee ($MCFE) 20M share Secondary priced at $22.50 Sea Limited (SE) 11M share Secondary priced at $318.00 ChipMOS (IMOS) reports August revenue of $86.7M (-0.8% M/M; +26.1% Y/Y). Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co.’s (T$SM) August revenue was up 11.8% Y/Y to NT$137.43B or about $4.98B; sales were up 10.3% compared to July 2021. Take-Two ($TTWO) backs FY22 EPS view $1.95-$2.20 (below est. $4.58) and backs FY22 net bookings view $3.2B-$3.3B; reiterated its outlook for its fiscal year 2022, ending March 31, 2022, which was originally provided on May 18, 2021 and reiterated on August 2, 2021
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Thursday, September 9, 2021 Following a day of weakness, U.S. stock futures are again looking modestly lower, pulling back along with declines in both Europe and Asia as the spread of the delta strain of Covid-19 continues to weigh on the U.S. economy. This morning, two airlines noted impact to revenues due to a decline in travel. Tech stocks in China fell after regulators again increased pressure on gaming companies for focusing solely on profit. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index declines -173 points to hold just above 30K, the Shanghai Index rose 17 points to 3,693 and the Hang Seng Index dropped over -600 points (2.3%) to settle at 25,716. In Europe, the German DAX is down about -40points to 15,570, while the FTSE 100 tumbles over -80 points (1.2%) to hold around the 7,000 level. Yesterday, Europe’s Stoxx 600 was down 1.0%, marks worst day in nearly 3 weeks as the German Dax down 1.4%, marks worst day since mid-July. Later this morning, we get the European Central Bank (ECB) rate decision at 7:45 AM and press conference at 8:30 AM where investors will look for clues about inflation and or asset tapering. The S&P 500 Index was lower for a third straight session Wednesday amid increasing concerns about economic growth and the ongoing spread of Covid. The Federal Reserve’s Beige Book report showed that economic growth downshifted slightly to a moderate pace from early July through August, largely due to a pullback in dining out, travel and tourism because of consumers’ safety fears. The dollar pared earlier gains, while Treasuries recovered Tuesday’s losses. Market Closing Prices Yesterday · The S&P 500 Index slipped -5.96 points, or 0.13%, to 4,514.07 · The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell -68.93 points, or 0.20%, to 35,031.07 · The Nasdaq Composite dropped -87.69 points, or 0.57%, to 15,286.64 · The Russell 2000 Index declined -25.88 points, or 1.14% to 2,249.73 Events Calendar for Today · 8:30 AM ET Weekly Jobless Claims · 8:30 AM EST Continuing Claims · 10:30 AM ET Weekly EIA Natural Gas Inventory Data · 11:00 AM ET Weekly DOE Inventory Data Earnings Calendar: · Earnings Before the Open: ASO, HOFT, HOV, JILL, LOVE, TUESQ · Earnings After the Close: AFRM, AMRK, AOUT, COOK, CXM, FARM, KLXE, LAKE, PLAY, PWSC, SUMO, VRNT, ZS, ZUMZ Other Key Events: · Barclay’s Global Consumer Staples Conference (virtual) 2021, 9/8-9/10 · Barclay’s CEO Energy-Power Conference 2021 (virtual), 9/8-9/10 · BTIG Cloud Communications and Collaboration Investor Forum (virtual), 9/8 · Citigroup Annual BioPharma Conference (virtual), 9/8-9/10 · Citigroup GEMS Conference 2021 (virtual), 9/8-9/10 · Cowen 14th Annual Global Transportation & Sustainable Mobility Conference, 9/8-9/10 · Credit Suisse 2021 Global Steel & Mining Conference (virtual), 9/8-9/10 · Stephens Building Materials Investor Trip, 9/8-9/9 · Wolfe Inaugural TMT Conference, 9/8-9/9 · Barrington Annual Fall Investment Conference (virtual), 9/9 · DA Davidson Annual Software & Internet Conference (virtual), 9/9 · Deutsche Bank 2021 Technology Conference (virtual), 9/9-9/10 · Goldman Sachs 11th Annual Financial Technology Conference (virtual), 9/9 · Needham 1st Annual Needham Crypto Conference (virtual), 9/9 · Wells Fargo 2021 Healthcare Conference (virtual), 9/9-9/10 Sector News Breakdown Consumer · Lululemon ($LULU) shares rise 10%; 2Q adj EPS $1.65 vs est. $1.19 on revs $1.5B vs est. $1.33B; guides 3Q adj EPS $1.33-1.38 vs est. $1.32, sees 3Q revs $1.4-1.43B vs est. $1.32B; guides FY adj EPS $7.38-7.48 vs est. $6.91; raises year revs to range of $6.19B-$6.26B, compared with its prior range of $5.83B-$5.91B · RH Corp. ($RH) 2Q adj EPS $8.48 vs est. $6.48 on revs $989Mm vs est. $975.5Mm; guides FY revs +31-33% up from prior 25%-30% view and vs est. +29.2% and op margin 24.9-25.5% , sees ROIC 70% vs prior 60%; says currently expecting manufacturing to restart in Vietnam in October with full capacity by end of year · Boston Beer Company Inc ($SAM) shares fell -8%; said since last guidance update market for hard seltzer products has continued to experience decelerating growth trends; believe there will be continuing uncertainty about hard seltzer demand trends for remainder of 2021; said it is withdrawing its 2021 financial guidance issued on July 22, 2021 as EPS will fall below previously-reported estimate of between $18.00-$22.00 · Caesars ($CZR) announced an agreement to sell the non-US assets of William Hill to 888 Holdings for approximately GBP 2.2B · Copart (C$PRT) Q4 non-GAAP EPS $1.03 vs. est. $0.91; Q4 revs $748.6M vs. est. $690.87M · VICI Properties ($VICI) announces offering of 100M shares of common stock · GameStop ($GME) Q2 EPS loss (-$0.76) vs. est. loss (-$0.67); Q2 revs $1.183B vs. est. $1.12B; Ended the period with cash and restricted cash of $1.78B · Calavo Growers ($CVGW) 3Q adj EPS ($0.17) vs est. ($0.05) on revs $285Mm vs est. $281.7Mm · Limoneira ($LMNR) Q3 adj EPS $0.20 vs. est. $0.18; Q3 revs $49.1M vs. est. $48.8M; Agribusiness revenue Q3 includes $24.4M in fresh lemon sales, compared to $35.4M of fresh lemon sales during the same period of fiscal year 2020; approximately 1,144,000 cartons of fresh lemons were sold in aggregate · Torrid ($CURV) 2Q adj EPS $0.36 vs est. $0.16 on sales $332.9Mm vs est. $294.7Mm; guides 3Q sales $305-315Mm vs est. $305.1Mm; guides FY sales $1.29-1.31B vs est. $1.3B Energy, Industrials and Materials · The American Petroleum Institute ($API) reports that crude inventories fell 2.88M barrels last week and gasoline inventories fell 6.41M barrels · United Airlines ($UAL) said it expects third-quarter capacity to fall at least 28% compared with the same period in 2019, as bookings take a hit due to the rise in COVID-19 cases fueled by the Delta variant. · Southwest Airlines ($LUV) said it sees October operating revenue down 20% to 30% vs 2019; expects q4 2021 capacity to increase about 60% YoY and to decrease about 5% vs. Q4 2019 · Sherwin-Williams ($SHW), Axalta Coating (AXTA), and PPG Industries (PPG) all downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Citigroup · ABM Industries ($ABM) Q3 revenue $1.54B vs. est. $1.51B; Q3 EPS from continuing operations $0.90 vs. est. $0.81; sees FY adj eps cont ops $3.45 to $3.55, vs. prior view $3.30 to $3.50 · AeroVironment ($AVAV) Q1 adj EPS loss (-$0.17) vs. est. loss (-$0.24); Q1 revs $101M vs. est. $96.48M; backs FY22 adj EPS view $2.50-$2.70 (est. $2.64) and backs FY22 revenue view $560M-$580M (est. $569.34M) Financials · Digital Realty ($DLR) 6.25M share Spot Secondary priced at $160.50 · Riot Blockchain ($RIOT) produces 441 Bitcoins in August, down from the 444 BTC produced in July; on a Y/Y basis, its production increased 451% from 80 BTC in August 2020. Healthcare · Humanigen ($HGEN) plunges over 50% after U.S. FDA declines emergency use approval for COVID-19 drug; said the FDA declined to grant emergency use authorization for its drug, lenzilumab, to treat patients hospitalized with COVID-19 · ProQR Therapeutics ($PRQR) announces a global licensing and research collaboration with Eli Lilly (LLY) to discover new medicines for genetic disorders in the liver and nervous system, in a deal that could be worth over $1.25B · Avid Biosciences ($CDMO) Q1 EPS $0.10 vs. est. $0.04; Q1 revs $30.8M vs. est. $27.8M; · HealthEquity Corp. ($HQY) 2Q adj EPS $0.40 vs est. $0.36 on revs $189.1Mm vs est. $184.7Mm; guides FY adj EPS $1.45-1.50 vs est. $1.49, sees FY revs $755-765Mm vs est. $762.8Mm; says re: WageWorks have achieved approximately $70 million of the approximately $80 million in annualized ongoing net synergies we expect to achieve by the end of fiscal year 2022. · Cardiff Oncology ($CRDF) updated data from its Phase 1b/2 clinical trial for onvansertib in combination with standard-of-care (SOC) as second-line therapy in patients with KRAS-mutated metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC); said as of data cut off July 2, 2021, eight of 19 (42%) patients who received the recommended Phase 2 dose of onvansertib 15 mg/m2 and were evaluable for disease response achieved a partial response · Turning Point Therapeutics ($TPTX) announces early clinical data for Repotrectinib in NTRK fusion-positive advanced solid tumors selected for late-breaker plenary presentation at 2021 AACR-NCI-EORTC conference · Beauty Health ($SKIN) announces $400M convertible senior notes offering Technology, Media & Telecom · Cisco ($CSCO) downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Morgan Stanley · NetEase ($NTES) and Tencent (TCEHY) tumble again as China’s focus on reining in the power of tech companies hasn’t abated. A report in the South China Morning Post notes that the government will halt approvals for new online games. · Sea Limited ($SE) is looking to sell 11 million ADRs with the option to offer 1.65 million more as part of a so-called green shoe option; it is also raising $2.5 billion in a convertible bond that has a $375 million green shoe attached · SentinelOne ($S) Q2 revenue $45.8M vs. est. $40.4M; Q2 ARR up 127% YoY; total customer count grew more than 75% year-over-year to over 5,400 customers as of July 31; Customers with ARR over $100K grew 140% year-over-year to over 345 as of July 31, 2021; guides year revs $188M-$190M vs. est. $176.4M
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/*============================================= = Thursday, June 10, 2021 = =============================================*/ Futures Up/Down % Last Dow 80.00 0.23% 34,410 S&P 500 2.25 0.07% 4,211 Nasdaq -37.50 0.27% 13,766 U.S. stock futures are mixed into key monthly inflation data as the May Consumer Price Index (CPI) is set to be revealed at 8:30 AM, with an expected MoM rise of 0.4% for both headline and core prices and YoY prices to rise 4.7% (which would be the biggest YoY rise since 2008) and 3.4% (would be highest since YoY core spike since 1993) for headline and core respectively. Treasury yields have been sliding over the last week to one-month lows around 1.50% for the benchmark 10-year ahead of the data, as it appears markets have accepted the recent rise in prices as “transitory” which is what the Fed has been echoing for weeks now. While the Fed has pledged not to hike interest rates before 2023, some economists say that is wishful thinking if these levels of inflation keep up. The S&P 500 flirted with a record high Wednesday before retreating in afternoon trading, once again nearly tagging its 4,238.04-record intraday high. The yield on 10-year Treasuries sank to almost 1.47%, while the 30-year bond touched 2.148%, the lowest since March 1. On a weekly basis, the S&P 500 is on track for its smallest range as a percentage of the prior week’s close since mid-October 2017. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index rose 97 points to 28,958, the Shanghai Index rose 19 points to 3,610 and the Hang Seng Index slipped -3 points to 28,738. In Europe, the German DAX is up over 320 points to top 15,600, while the FTSE 100 is up around 25 points to 7,105. Not much going on in individual stock news other than several new IPO’s pricing overnight and open for trading today along with momentum sectors remaining very volatile including Reddit/WSB related “meme” stocks and Bitcoin leveraged stocks. Events Calendar for Today 8:30 AM EST Consumer Prices (CPI) MoM for May…est. 0.4% 8:30 AM EST Consumer Prices (CPI) YoY for May…est. 4.7% 8:30 AM EST CPI Ex: Food & Energy MoM for May…est. 0.4% 8:30 AM EST CPI Ex: Food & Energy YoY for May…est. 3.4% 8:30 AM ET Weekly Jobless Claims…est. 370K 8:30 AM EST Continuing Claims…est. 3.602M 10:30 AM ET Weekly EIA Natural Gas Inventory Data 2:00 PM EST Federal Budget for May Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: A LOT, $FCEL, JW/A, $KSPN, $SIG Earnings After the Close: $AVO, $CGRN, $CHWY, $NVGS, $PLAY, $SEAC, $TPCS, $TYME, $ZDGE Other Key Events: Baird Global Consumer, Technology & Services Conference 2021 (virtual), 6/8-6/10 Deutsche Bank Global Consumer Conference (virtual), 6/7-6/10 FBN Securities Silicon Valley Tech Tour (virtual), 6/10-6/11 Goldman Sachs Healthcare Conference (virtual), 6/8-6/10 Goldman Sachs 25th Annual European Financials Conference (virtual), 6/8-6/10 Jefferies Healthcare Virtual Conference, 6/8-6/10 Oppenheimer Virtual Software & Semiconductor Bus Tour, 6/7-6/11 Piper Global Exchange & FinTech Conference (virtual), 6/9-6/10 REITWeek 2021 Investor Virtual Conference, 6/8-6/10 Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index slipped -7.71 points, or 0.18%, to 4,219.55 The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell -152.68 points, or 0.44%, to 34,447.14 The Nasdaq Composite dipped -13.16 points, or 0.09%, to 13,911.75 The Russell 2000 Index declined -16.63 points, or 0.71% to 2,327.13 Macro Up/Down Last Nymex 0.08 70.04 Brent 0.14 72.36 Gold -9.00 1,879.55 EUR/USD -0.0018 1.2162 JPY/USD -0.12 19.51 10-Year Note +0.012 1.501% World News A bipartisan group of House moderates on Wednesday unveiled an eight-year, $1.25 trillion infrastructure plan designed to help break the months-long impasse over President Biden’s top domestic legislative priority. The framework offered by the 58-member Problem Solvers Caucus calls for more than $959 billion for traditional infrastructure, including highways, bridges, rail, airports and waterways; $25 billion of that money would be set aside for electric vehicle infrastructure, including electric buses. Sector News Breakdown Consumer GameStop ($GME) Q1 adj EPS loss (-$0.45) vs. est. loss (-$0.84); Q1 sales $1.3B vs. est. $1.16B; says may offer and sell up to 5 mln shares of its common stock, from time to time, in “at-the-market” offerings – shares slip on offering; named two Amazon executives as its CEO and CFO – Matt Furlong will succeed George Sherman as CEO and Mike Recupero will succeed Jim Bell as CFO; continues to suspend guidance; says Q2 sales trends continue to reflect momentum, with may total sales increasing approximately 27% compared to last year; Oxford Industries ($OXM) Q1 adj EPS $1.89 vs. est. $1.06; Q1 sales $266M vs. est. $233.1M; raises FY21 EPS view to $4.85-$5.15 from $2.80-$3.20 (est. $3.05); raises FY21 revenue view to $1.015B-$1.05B from $940M-$980M (est. $968.86M) RH ($RH) shares rise 6%; Q1 adj EPS $4.89 vs. est. $4.10; Q1 revs $860.8M vs. est. $757.65M; raising our outlook for revenue growth in fy21 to a range of 25% to 30% from prior outlook of 15%-20%; sees 2q adj operating margin in range of 25.9% to 26.1% and Q2 revs growth 35%-37%; Q1 adjusted gross margin of 47.3% of sales vs. 41.8% a year ago and 46.1% consensus Celsius Holdings ($CELH)52M share Spot Secondary priced at $62.50 Leslie’s ($LESL) 24.5M share Secondary priced at $27.64 Energy, Industrials and Materials Blocked by US President Joe Biden, Canada’s TC Energy ($TRP) said Wednesday it had officially terminated the Keystone XL Pipeline project, throwing in the towel on a controversial initiative opposed by environmental activists. Callon Petroleum ($CPE) and Continental Resources ($CLR) downgraded to Sector Perform from Outperform at RBC Capital with a price target of $54 (up from $44) and tgt of $40 (up from $34) respectively, citing strong relative performance and believes that its upside is now in line with its peers Marathon Oil ($MRO) upgraded to Outperform from Sector Perform at RBC Capital with a price target of $18 from $14 saying the stock provides an attractive opportunity to express bullishness on oil prices, while the company’s “ultra-low” break-even point and maintenance capital program support robust free cash flow generation at even depressed commodity prices Greif Inc. ($GEF) Q1 adj EPS $1.13 vs. est. $1.06; Q2 sales $1.34B vs. est. $1.26B; Net cash provided by operating activities increased by $52.5 million to a source of $152.3 million; total debt decreased by $368.9 million Financials AllianceBernstein L.P. ($AB) announced that preliminary assets under management increased to $731 billion during May 2021 from $724 billion at the end of April; firmwide net inflows, coupled with market appreciation, drove the 1% increase Franklin Resources, Inc. ($BEN) reported preliminary month-end assets under management of $1,543.5 billion at May 31, 2021, compared to $1,529.3 billion at April 30, 2021. Virtus Investment partners, Inc. ($VRTS) reported total assets under management (aum) as of May 31, 2021 of $175.5 billion. in addition, the company provided services to $3.7 billion of other fee-earning assets that are not included in assets under management. Bank of Hawaii ($BOH) announces the offering of 7.2M depositary shares for gross proceeds of $180M Clarivate ($CLVT)462M share Secondary priced at $26.00 Healthcare Aclaris Therapeutics ($ACRS)04M share Spot Secondary priced at $17.75 Apria ($APR)5M share Secondary priced at $27.00 Clover Health Investments ($CLOV) downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at Bank America with an unchanged price target of $10 noting the 100% rally in the past week and shares are now trading at a 70% premium to Alignment Healthcare (ALHC), its closest comp LifeStance ($LFST) 40M share IPO priced at $18.00 Technology, Media & Telecom The global semiconductor market will rise from 6.8% in 2020 to 19.7% this year to ~$527B according to World Semiconductor Trade Statistics estimates. For 2022, the global semiconductor market is projected to grow by 8.8% to $573B, driven by double-digit growth of the Memory category ChipMOS ($IMOS) reports May revenue of $84.4M (+2.4% M/M; +30.7% Y/Y) TSMC’s ($TSM) May revenue rose 19.8% Y/Y and 0.9% M/M to NT$112.360B Xilinx ($XLNX) has acquired Silexica, a privately-held provider of C/C++ programming and analysis tools; terms not disclosed Genius Sports ($GENI) 22M share Secondary priced at $19.00 Materialise ($MTLS) 4M share Spot Secondary priced at $24.00 PLBY Group ($PLBY)72M share Secondary priced at $46.00 Zeta Global ($ZETA)5M share IPO priced at $10.00 1stDibs ($DIBS)75M share IPO priced at $20.00 com ($MNDY) 3.7M share IPO priced at $155.00 Jamf Holding ($JAMF)5M share Secondary priced at $33.00 Asana ($ASAN) disclosed that its CEO Dustin Moskovitz bought 500K shares of common stock on June 7th in a total transaction size of $19.7M Latch Inc. ($LTCH) 1Q revs $6.6Mm +143%, booked ARR $38.9Mm +120%, total bookings $71.7Mm +89%; says plans to increase investments in sales and marketing as well as new experiences and products; guides 2Q revs $9-10Mm with total bookings $82-87Mm and adj EBITDA ($17Mm) to ($20Mm); sees FY revs $47-51Mm with total bookings $290-325Mm and adj EBITDA ($75Mm) to ($95Mm) Verint Systems ($VRNT) Q1 adj EPS $0.44 vs. est. $0.35 on revs $202Mm vs. est. $196.5Mm, cloud revs up more than 35% YoY; guides FY adj EPS $2.23 at midpoint vs. est. $2.19, sees FY revs $860Mm +/- 2% vs. est. $861.7Mm (sees cloud revs +30-35%, sees new PLE bookings 10+%)
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/*============================================= = Wednesday, June 9, 2021 = =============================================*/ Futures Up/Down % Last Dow -25.00 0.07% 34,561 S&P 500 2.25 0.05% 4,228 Nasdaq 28.50 0.20% 13,839 U.S. stock futures are mixed with Dow futures slipping, S&P futures flat and Nasdaq futures looking higher as Treasury yields fall to their lowest levels in weeks (1.50% for the 10-year) ahead of key inflation data later this week. Stock averages flirted with record highs on Tuesday, as the S&P neared but could not hold its early gains (ended Tuesday at 4,227, just off its closing high on May 7 of 4,232) while the Russell 2000 neared its all-time best close as investors appear wary ahead of inflation data due on Thursday in the form of consumer prices (CPI). Consumer discretionary and energy were the best performing major S&P 500 sectors on the day, while utilities were the weakest group. A lack of clear market catalysts kept institutional investors on the sidelines, while retail traders fueled the ongoing meme stocks rally with more volatility from the likes of AMC, GME, BBBY, WKHS, BB, with new names such as CLOV and WEN added to the fray. Fear remains non-existent in the market as the CBOE volatility index (VIX) touched its lowest level in over a year. It appears for the time being the “meme stocks” are taking over from crypto as the place to be as Bitcoin prices slid. Oil prices inch higher with WTI crude above $70 per barrel for the first time since October 2018 and Bitcoin rebounds. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index fell -102 points to 28,860, the Shanghai Index rose 11 points to 3,591 and the Hang Seng Index dipped -38 points to 28,742. In Europe, the German DAX is down about -80 points to 15,555, while the FTSE 100 slides about -40 points to 7,050. China data showed May PPI +9.0% y/y vs +8.5% poll, +6.8% in April, May CPI +1.3% y/y vs +1.6% poll, +0.9% in April (CPI highest in eight months). Chinese stocks edge higher despite the fastest factory inflation since 2008 as benign CPI suggests only limited pass-through to consumers Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index inched higher 0.74 points, or 0.02%, to 4,227.26 The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell -30.42 points, or 0.09%, to 34,599.82 The Nasdaq Composite gained 43.19 points, or 0.31%, to 13,924.91 The Russell 2000 Index advanced 24.58 points, or 1.06% to 2,343.76 Events Calendar for Today 7:00 AM ET MBA Mortgage Applications Data 10:00 AM EST Wholesale Inventories for April 10:30 AM ET Weekly DOE Inventory Data Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: BF/B, $CPB, $DAKT, $LOVE, $UNFI, $VRA Earnings After the Close: $ENZ, $GEF, $GME, $KLXE, $LAKE, $OXM, $RH, $TCL, $VRNT Other Key Events: Baird Global Consumer, Technology & Services Conference 2021 (virtual), 6/8-6/10 Deutsche Bank Global Consumer Conference (virtual), 6/7-6/10 Goldman Sachs Healthcare Conference (virtual), 6/8-6/10 Goldman Sachs 25th Annual European Financials Conference (virtual), 6/8-6/10 Jefferies Healthcare Virtual Conference, 6/8-6/10 Oppenheimer Virtual Software & Semiconductor Bus Tour, 6/7-6/11 Piper Global Exchange & FinTech Conference (virtual), 6/9-6/10 REITWeek 2021 Investor Virtual Conference, 6/8-6/10 UBS Global Industrials and Transportation Conference, 6/8-6/9 Macro Up/Down Last Nymex 0.11 70.16 Brent 0.12 72.34 Gold -2.60 1,890.25 EUR/USD 0.0019 1.2192 JPY/USD -0.06 109.44 10-Year Note -0.019 1.509% World News China’s factory gate prices rose at their fastest annual pace in over 12 years in May as the producer price index (PPI) increased 9.0% from a year earlier (est. 8.5%), the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) said driven by significant price increases in crude oil, iron ore and non-ferrous metals. On a monthly basis, the PPI rose 1.6%, up from a 0.9 uptick in April. China’s consumer price index (CPI) rose 1.3% in May in annual terms, the biggest increase in eight months. That was still slower than analysts’ forecast for a 1.6% increase, after a 0.9% gain in April. S. Senate passed a wide ranging $250b Bill designed to counter China & compete with China Bipartisan group meeting, Republican Senators came out of the meeting saying that they made a lot of progress, there is work to be done to reach an agreement, Manchin says a positive meeting, moving in the right direction. Sector News Breakdown Consumer Casey General ($CASY) Q4 EPS $1.12 vs. est. 88c; Q4 revs $2.38B vs. est. $2.22B Calavo Growers ($CVGW) Q2 adj EPS $0.43 vs. est. $0.44; Q2 revs $276.82M vs. est. $267.07M; sees Q3 revs $280M-$300M vs. est. $295.8M; sees Q3 adjusted EBITDA $11M-$15M; Q2 Fresh segment revenue decreased 5%, due primarily to 9% growth in avocado volume, offset by a 10% decrease in avocado prices and 31% lower tomato revenue Limoneira ($LMNR) Q2 adj EPS 10c vs. est. 6c; Q2 revs $45.1M in-line with ests; believes it is prudent to not provide lemon guidance at this time until covid-19 vaccine is widely distributed; continues to believe avocado revenue in fiscal 2021 will be strong due to market factors and positive initial crop indicators Target Corp. ($TGT) raises its quarterly dividend by 32% to $0.90 Energy, Industrials and Materials The American Petroleum Institute ($API) showed crude oil stockpiles fell -2.1m bbl vs -3.5m expected: Cushing -420k: Gasoline +2.4m: Distillates +3.75m Air Products ($APD) and Baker Hughes (BKR) announced a strategic global collaboration to develop next generation hydrogen compression aimed at lowering the cost of production and accelerating the adoption of hydrogen as a zero-carbon fuel Ahead of its investor and analyst conference today, UPS (UPS) announced 2023 financial targets with FY23 consolidated revenue ranging from approximately $98 billion to approximately $102 billion vs. $99.92B consensus SPX Corporation ($SPXC) signs an agreement to sell 100% of the issued and outstanding stock of its wholly-owned subsidiary, SPX Transformer Solutions, to GE-Prolec Transformers, for $645 million in cash; lowers FY21 adjusted EPS view to $2.17-$2.37 from $3.06-$3.26 and lowers FY21 revenue view to $1.25B from $1.70B (est. $1.69B) ABM Industries ($ABM) Q2 adj EPS $0.82 vs. est. $0.71; Q2 revs $1.5B vs. est. $1.48B; raises year EPS view to $3.30-$3.50 from prior $3.00-$3.25 (est. $3.18); maintaining its guidance for FY 2021 Gaap income from continuing operations Boeing ($BA) seeks increase in $3.9bn Air Force One fixed-price contract; Manufacturer’s supplier problems could delay new jets for White House by a year – Financial Times reported Sherwin-Williams ($SHW) raises Q2 sales guidance and full year 2021 sales and diluted net income per share guidance; raises FY 2021 consolidated net sales guidance to be up a high-single to low-double-digit percentage over full year 2020; raises FY21 EPS view to $9.15-$9.45 from $8.80-$9.07 (est. $9.32) Global Ship Lease ($GSL) agrees to purchase 12 container ships from Borealis Finance LLC for an aggregate purchase price of $233.9M; GSL’s fleet will comprise 62 container ships with a total capacity of 322,770 TEU Vale ($VALE) said it will prepay an outstanding ~$2.5B balance related to project financing for the Nacala logistics corridor that serves the Moatize coal mine in Mozambique. Financials Cohen & Steers ($CNS) reports preliminary AUM $94.2B as of May 31; an increase of $1.4B from assets under management at April 30. The increase was due to net inflows of $760M and market appreciation of $815M, partially offset by distributions of $201M Amazon ($AMZN) is considering replacing JPMorgan (JPM) in its co-brand card deal, Bloomberg reported saying American Express (AXP) and Synchrony Financial (SYF) are being considered as an alternative UP Fintech ($TIGR)5M share Secondary priced at $24.50 Healthcare Karyopharm Therapeutics ($KPTI) announces key management changes to its commercial organization LYRA Therapeutics ($LYRA) announces positive outcome of end-of-phase 2 meeting with the FDA for lyr-210 for the treatment of chronic rhinosinusitis Option Care Health ($OPCH) 15M share Spot Secondary priced at $20.00 Technology, Media & Telecom Comtech ($CMTL) Q3 sales $139.4M vs. est. $140.7M; Q3 adj EPS 26c vs. est. loss of (1c); still sees FY adj Ebitda $74M-$76M vs. est. $74.5M; lowers FY net sales $580M-$590M from prior $610.0M-$620.0M (est. $616.4M) Pegasystems ($PEGA) expands share repurchase program to $60M UiPath ($PATH) Q1 EPS loss ($1.11) vs. (33c) last year; Q1 revs $186.2M vs. $113.1M last year Ondas Holding ($INDS)4M share Spot Secondary priced at $7.00
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