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Monday, November 8, 2021 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow 72.00 0.20% 36,287 S&P 500 4.25 0.09% 4,694 Nasdaq 9.00 0.06% 16,360 U.S. futures are looking to open at new record highs (again) after Washington passed a smaller form of its highway, broadband and other infrastructure improvement spending deal this weekend, as the $1 trillion infrastructure bill passed through Congress on Friday. A very important week of economic data coming up with monthly CPI, PPI inflation data mid-week. Crypto assets rising to records ahead of the inflation reports as Bitcoin up 8% nearing $66K, Ethereum record highs up over 6% above $4,700, Litecoin tops $200, up over 5.75% as crypto assets surging again. Tech futures underperform following weakness in Tesla (TSLA) after its CEO Elon Musk on Saturday asked his 62.5 million followers on Twitter in a poll if he should sell 10% of his Tesla stock. The world’s richest person had previously said he could face a “massive” tax bill this year as he has to exercise a large number of stock options coming due next year. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index fell -100 points to 29,507, the Shanghai Index rose 0.2% to just under 3,500, and the Hang Seng Index declined 100 points to 24,763. In Europe, the German DAX is down about -0.1% at 16,035, while the FTSE 100 is flat holding just above 7,300. Last week the S&P 500, Nasdaq and Dow notched their fifth straight weekly advances (longest streak for the S&P since Aug 2020); for the week, the S&P 500 rose 2%, the Dow added 1.42%, the Nasdaq gained 3.05% and the Russell 200o over 6%. The Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) notched its 10th winning session in a row on Friday while the S&P 500 scored another record high on Friday and booked a week of solid gains following a strong U.S. jobs report and positive data for Pfizer’s experimental pill against COVID-19, which helped boost travel and other economic reopen sectors. The news kept the run going for equities after investors earlier in the week digested the Federal Reserve’s decision to start reducing its monthly bond purchases put in place to support the economy. Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index gained 17.47 points, or 0.37%, to 4,697.53 The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 203.72 points, or 0.56%, to 36,327.95 The Nasdaq Composite climbed 31.28 points, or 0.20%, to 15,971.59 The Russell 2000 Index advanced 34.65 points, or 1.44% to 2,437.08 Events Calendar for Today No major U.S. economic data Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: ATRO, AXSM, BKI, COTY, DS, EDIT, EHTH, GATO, GTES, HLIO, KOS, LINC, NERV, NSSC, RDNT, RDUS, RETA, THS, TTD, USFD, VAC, VUZI, WOW, ZIXI Earnings After the Close: ACAD, AEIS, AEL, AMBC, AMC, AMPH, AMRS, APEI, APPF, APTS, ASUR, ATER, AVEO, BAND, BRP, CARA, CBT, CHRS, CLRS, CLOV, CSSE, CSTL, CXW, DDD, DOOR, ENV, FIVN, FLDM, FRPT, FSK, FTK, GOSS, HIL, IEA, IFF, IIN, INST, IPAR, JKHY, KERN, LMND, LOTZ, MRC, MRTX, MWA, NCMI, NEWR, NNI, NVRO, NVTA, OCIUL, OUST, PRA, PRI, PRIM, PYPL, RBLX, REAL, SANM, SCOR, SDC, SNCR, SPCE, SWSP, SWAV, SWX, TCMD, TREX, TRIP, TWO, XNCR, ZIOP, ZNGA Other Key Events: Credit Suisse 30th Annual Healthcare Conference, 11/8-11/11 (virtual) JPMorgan Global Consumer, Retail & Luxury Conference, 11/8-11/21 (virtual) EEI Financial Conference, 11/7-11/9 (virtual) REITWorld 2021 Annual Conference, 11/9-11/12 (virtual) Macro Up/Down Last Nymex 1.22 82.49 Brent 1.09 83.83 Gold -0.50 1,818.50 EUR/USD -0.0002 1.1564 JPY/USD 0.05 113.46 10-Year Note +0.032 1.485% World News China’s export growth moderated slightly to 27.1% yoy in October, above the 22.8% consensus expectation, implying a sequential gain of 2.6% in October (a modest slowdown from +3.0% in September) despite electricity constraints in October. At the same time, imports rose 20.6% yoy in October, missing expectations of a 26.2% surge, but fell 3.2% sequentially in October (vs. -0.7% in September). As a result of the far bigger growth in exports over imports, the monthly trade surplus rose further to a record high of $84.5bn in October, supporting the appreciation of the Chinese yuan in October, even as China’s economy has slowed down sharply in recent months. China’s trade surplus with the United States was $40.75 billion in October based on customs data showed on Sunday, down from $42 billion in September. For the first ten months of the year, the surplus was $320.67 billion – Reuters Highway, broadband and other infrastructure improvement spending deal this weekend, as the $1 trillion infrastructure bill passed through Congress on Friday and among parts of the deal, allows for $7.5 billion spending for building out a network of electric vehicle chargers and another $7.5 billion for low or zero-emission buses and ferries. Sector News Breakdown Consumer Tesla Inc ($TSLA) CEO Elon Musk on Saturday asked his 62.5 million followers on Twitter in a poll if he should sell 10% of his Tesla stock. The world’s richest person had previously said he could face a “massive” tax bill this year as he has to exercise a large number of stock options coming due next year. “Note, I do not take a cash salary or bonus from anywhere. I only have stock, thus the only way for me to pay taxes personally is to sell stock,” Musk said on Twitter on Saturday. Rivian Automotive ($RIVN) raises IPO price range to $72.00-$74.00 from $57.00-$62.00. Separately, Barron’s noted Rivian Automotive (RIVN) is set to go public this coming week at a market value that could exceed that of Honda Motor (HMC) despite having sold just a handful of vehicles, with a market cap around $64 billion Haverty’s (HVT) announces special cash dividend, quarterly cash dividend, and additional authorization under stock repurchase program Peloton ($PTON) has halted hiring across all departments effective immediately, CNBC reported late Friday, a day after it slashed its full-year outlook amid slowing momentum for its fitness products Coty ($COTY) agrees to sell additional partial stake in Wella to KKR in exchange for about 56% of Preferred Coty shares owned by KKR Marriott Vacations ($VAC) Q3 adjusted EPS $1.60 vs. est. $1.42; Q3 revs $1.05B vs est. $1.07B; said occupancies at our resorts this quarter were very strong despite the Delta variant and contract sales were within 3% of 2019 levels, driving 25% sequential growth in Adjusted EBITDA Energy China’s crude oil imports plunged in October to the lowest since September 2018, as large state-owned refiners withheld purchases because of rising prices while independent refiners were restrained by limited quotas to import. The world’s biggest crude oil importer brought in 37.8 million tonnes last month, data from the General Administration of Customs showed on Sunday, equivalent to 8.9 million barrels per day (bpd). – Reuters FirstEnergy ($FE) agrees to sell a 19.9% stake in its three regulated transmission businesses to Brookfield Asset Management (BAM) for $2.4B Financials Berkshire Hathaway Inc ($BRK/A) said that global supply chain disruptions kept a lid on its ability to generate profit; Q3 operating profit rose 18% but missed analyst forecasts amid goods shortages that crimped consumer spending; net income, meanwhile, fell 66%, reflecting lower gains from stock holdings such as Apple Inc and Bank of America Corp. Alleghany ($Y) mentioned positively in Barron’s saying shares should not be overlooked noting under CEO Weston Hicks, Alleghany has used a similar strategy to create an attractive, smaller-scale version of Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway ($BRK.A) R. Berkley ($WRB) announced that its Board of Directors has declared a special cash dividend on its common stock of $1.00 per share to be paid on December 22 to stockholders of record at the close of business on December 7 Healthcare Cannabis stocks rose late Friday after Marijuana Moment reported a fresh Republican-led attempt to legalize marijuana. The States Reform Act led by Rep. Nancy Mace (R-SC) is still in the preliminary stage, and a final version is expected to be filed later this month. As U.S. health authorities expand use of the leading Covid-19 vaccines, researchers investigating heart-related risks linked to the shots are exploring several emerging theories, including one centered on the spike protein made in response to vaccination. Researchers aren’t certain why the messenger RNA vaccines, one from Pfizer Inc. ($PFE) and partner BioNTech SE ($BNTX) and the other from Moderna Inc., are likely causing the inflammatory heart conditions myocarditis and pericarditis in a small number of cases. – WSJ https://on.wsj.com/3mQqCVY Alcon ($ALC) has acquired Ivantis, developer and manufacturer of the novel Hydrus Microstent, a minimally-invasive glaucoma surgery (MIGS) device designed to lower intraocular pressure for open-angle glaucoma patients in connection with cataract surgery for $475M in upfront consideration Genetron Holdings ($GTH) has formed a strategic partnership with oncology laboratory solution provider NeoGenomics (NEO) to drive global oncology drug research and development. Industrials & Materials Boeing ($BA) directors agreed to a $237.5 million settlement of claims that they turned a blind eye to safety issues related to 737 Max jetliners whose crashes have cost the company more than $20 billion, according to court documents Blade Air Mobility ($BLDE) is bringing ride-sharing to helicopters-just don’t call it the Uber ($UBER) of the sky. The stock can take off without that comparison, Barron’s reported. Blade Air Mobility is a less risky way to invest in the eVTOL future, though certainly not risk-free BHP is close to a deal to sell its controlling interest in two Australian coal mines to Stanmore Resources Ltd. ($STMRF) for ~$1.25B, the Wall Street Journal reports. Technology, Media & Telecom New Oriental Education & Technology ($EDU), Gaotu Techedu ($GOTU), and Tal Education ($TAL) shares all rising over 20% after the WSJ reported that China plans to issue more than a dozen licenses that would allow companies to offer after-school tutoring. The report said Gaotu Techedu (GOTU) and Yuanfudao, a unit of Tencent ($TCEHY), have held talks about resuming tutoring to students in the ninth grade and below https://on.mktw.net/3EVcxg5 Trinseo ($TSE) has begun work to explore the divestiture of its Styrenics businesses and plans to launch a formal sales process in Q1 of 2022. The scope of this potential divestiture is expected to include the Feedstocks and Polystyrene reporting segments as well as the company’s 50% ownership of Americas Styrenics AU Optronics ($AUOTY) reports October revenue of NT$30.38B (+18.1% Y/Y, -9.9% M/M); the total panel area shipment reached around 2.08 million square meters in October 2021, down by 4.3% month-over-month. ChipMOS ($IMOS) reports October revenue of $82.3M (-2.3% M/M; +10.7% Y/Y).
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U.S. stock futures looking mixed on the final day of trading for the week, but a much better picture then what it looked like initially overnight following the first night of disappointing earnings overnight as shares of tech companies Intel (INTC) and Snap (SNAP) led the declines. Asia’s subdued risk sentiment gets a surprise boost following a report of Evergrande $83.5M interest payment on an overdue dollar bond. European stocks also rose on Friday after China Evergrande paid a bond coupon before this weekend’s deadline helping boost those markets and lift sentiment. The Nikkei Index rose nearly 100-points to 28,804, the Shanghai Index slipped -0.3% to 3,582, and the Hang Seng Index climbed 109 points to 26,126. In Europe, the German DAX is up over 100 points to 15,585, while the FTSE 100 gains 0.5% to 7,225. The Dow eased from a record high hit on Wednesday, while the Nasdaq paced market gains and the S&P 500 hit a fresh intraday record high thought breadth was somewhat mixed as six of the 11 major S&P 500 sectors finished lower, with energy stocks falling the most. While the majority of earnings thus far to start quarterly earnings (about 20% in for the S&P 500), the potential impact of supply chain disruptions and labor shortages on profits is starting to take center stage this earnings season. IBM tumbled 8.2% after it missed market estimates for quarterly revenue, while Tesla (TSLA helped lift the Nasdaq. The story of the day was Digital World Acquisition Corp (DWAC), the special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) that will merge with former President Trump’s social media company, shooting up 356% on Thursday, closing at $45.50 a share. Applications for U.S. state unemployment benefits unexpectedly declined to 290,000 last week to pre-pandemic levels, raising expectations the Fed may look to raise rates sooner in 2022 to cool inflation. The CBOE volatility index closed Thursday at 15.01, lowest close since Feb. 19, 2020. Market Closing Prices Yesterday · The S&P 500 Index gained 13.59 points, or 0.30%, to 4,549.78 · The Dow Jones Industrial Average slid -6.26 points, or 0.02%, to 35,603.08 · The Nasdaq Composite surged 94.02 points, or 0.62%, to 15,215.70 · The Russell 2000 Index advanced 6.42 points, or 0.28% to 2,296.18 Events Calendar for Today · 9:45 AM ET Markit Manufacturing PMI-Flash · 9:45 AM ET Markit Services PMI-Flash · 9:45 AM ET Markit Composite PMI-Flash · 1:00 PM EST Baker Hughes Weekly rig count data Earnings Calendar: · Earnings Before the Open: AIMC, AXP, CLFY, CLF, FHB, GNTX, HCA, HON, RF, ROP, SLB, SMPL, STX, VFC World News · The eurozone composite PMI dropped from 56.2 to 54.3 in October, posting its lowest reading in six months; Eurozone Oct Mfg PMI (flash) beat: 58.5 vs 57.0 consensus; EZ Oct Services PMI (flash) missed at 54.7 vs 55.5 consensus · UK Sep Retail Sales missed: -0.2% m/m vs 0.5% cons; -1.3% y/y vs -0.4% consensus; UK Sep Retail Sales ex-autos missed: -0.6% m/m vs 0.5% cons; -2.6% y/y vs -1.7% consensus · German Oct Manufacturing PMI (flash) beat: 58.2 vs 56.5 consensus; German Oct Services PMI (flash) missed: 52.4 vs 55.0 consensus · Bank of England chief economist Pill says that inflation could exceed 5% but likely to fall in 2H of next year, BoE would have a “live” decision on whether to raise interest rates at its November meeting. · GfK consumer confidence dropped 4 points to minus 17 in October as higher inflation and climbing Covid rates weighed on sentiment Sector News Breakdown Consumer · Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. ($CMG) Q3 EPS $7.02 vs. est. $6.32; Q3 revs rise 21.9% to $2.0B vs. est. $1.94B; qtrly comparable restaurant sales increased 15.1%; qtrly digital sales grew 8.6% year over year to $840.4M; Restaurant level operating margin was 23.5% 1, an increase of 400 bps · Boston Beer ($SAM) Q EPS ($4.76) vs est. $4.02 on revs $561.6Mm vs est. $531.5Mm; guides FY depletions and shipments +18-22%, sees national price increase 2-3%, gr margin 40-42%, advertising promo & selling exp increase $80-100Mm · BJ Restaurants ($BJRI) 3Q EPS ($0.09) vs est. $0.11 on revs $282.2Mm vs est. $292.8Mm, comps +41.8% (-0.5% vs 2019); saw rapid food cost inflation hit 3Q restaurant op margins; expects sales to benefit as staffing levels improve; · Mattel Inc. ($MAT) Q3 adj EPS $0.84 vs. est. $0.72; Q3 sales $1.76B vs. est. $1.68B; raises FY21 revenue growth view to up about 15% from 12%-14% and boosts FY21 adj EBITDA view to $900M-$925M from $875M-$900M; qtrly net sales in the N.A. segment increased 12% as reported and gross billings increased 12% as reported; worldwide gross billings for barbie of $555.2 mln, up 4% and for hot wheels of $329.9 mln, up 5% · PriceSmart ($PSMT) 4Q EPS $0.63 vs est. $0.74 on revs $909.6Mm vs est. $879.8Mm; comparable net merchandise sales +10.3% · Whirlpool ($WHR) 3Q adj EPS $6.68 vs est. $6.12 on net sales $5.5B vs est. $5.74B; guides FY net sales +13% vs est. +15.5%, sees FY adj EPS about $26.25 vs est. $26.35 · Robert Half ($RHI) 3Q EPS $1.53 vs est. $1.40 on revs $1.713B vs est. $1.637B; sees Q4 EPS $1.37-$1.47 vs. est. $1.30; sees Q4 revenue $1.655B-$1.735B vs. est. $1.65B · Walmart ($WMT) is offering bitcoin through 200 of its CoinStar kiosks in a tie-up with crypto atm firm CoinMe- CoinDesk reported last night Energy · DMC Global ($BOOM) shares fell -10%; 3Q EPS $0.02 vs est. $0.10 on sales $67.2Mm vs est. $71.5Mm; guides 4Q sales $46-50Mm below est. $73.6Mm · Altus Midstream Company ($ALTM) said it will combine with privately-owned BCP Raptor Holdco LP in an all-stock transaction. BCP is the parent company of EagleClaw Midstream, which includes EagleClaw Midstream Ventures, the Caprock Midstream and Pinnacle Midstream businesses, and a 26.7% interest in the Permian Highway Pipeline. · Southern Co.’s ($SO) Georgia Power adds another three months to the timetable for the Vogtle 3 and 4 nuclear expansion projects; company now projects a Unit 3 in-service date in Q3 2022 and a Unit 4 in-service date in Q2 2023 Financials · Associated Banc-Corp. ($ASB) Q3 EPS $0.56 vs est. $0.44, tangible book value per share $17.58, recovery of credit losses $24M vs est. recovery of $1.68M · Bank Ozk ($OZK) Q3 EPS $1.00 vs. est. $0.97; Q3 total interest income $262.7M versus 268.3M same quarter 2020 · Independent Bank ($INDB) Q3 EPS $1.21 vs. est. $1.02; Total assets of $14.5 billion at September 30, 2021 increased by $339.1 million, or 2.4%, from the prior quarter, and by $1.4 billion, or 10.3%, as compared to the year ago period · SVB Financial ($SIVB) Q3 EPS $6.24 vs. est. $5.04; qtrly net interest income (fully taxable equivalent basis) of $859 million · Western Alliance ($WAL) Q3 EPS $2.28 vs. est. $2.22; Q3 revs $548.5M vs. est. $535.86M; produced highest ever quarterly organic loan growth of $4.8 billion, with deposits also up $3.4 billion (32% annualized), driving a 14.3% increase in PPNR1 during the quarter to $317.1 million · WR Berkley ($WRB) 3Q EPS $1.40 vs est. $0.99 on revs $2.42B vs est. $2.3B; qtrly net premiums written +23.7% Healthcare · Accuray Inc. ($ARAY) preliminary Q1 revs $107.4M vs est. $88.5M, raised FY revenue view to $420M-$427M from $410M-$420M, above est. $415.8M · Metacrine ($MTCR) shares fall -50%; to halt future development of FXR program in NASH; reports interim results for met642 phase 2a trial in patients with NASH and announces a strategic re-prioritization of its clinical development programs; shares downgraded to Hold from Buy at Jefferies, Canaccord and HC Wainwright · Minerva Surgical ($UTRS) 6.25M share IPO priced at $12.00 · Xilio Therapeutics ($XLO) 7.35M share IPO priced at $16.00 · Iveric bio ($ISEE) 9M share Spot Secondary priced at $16.75 · Rite Aid ($RAD) has filed for a mixed securities shelf offering. Industrials & Materials · Honeywell ($HON) Q3 adj EPS $2.02 vs. est. $1.99; Q3 revs $8.47B vs. est. $8.65B; qtrly organic sales grew 8%, led by 38% growth in aerospace commercial aftermarket, 21% growth in safety and productivity solutions; 14% growth in advanced materials within performance materials and technologies; cuts FY21 revenue view to $34.2B-$34.6B from $34.6B-$35.2B (est. $35.1B) and narrows FY21 EPS view to $8.00-$8.10 from $7.95-$8.10 · Carlisle Companies ($CSL) 3Q adj EPS $2.99 vs est. $2.75 on revs $1.3B vs est. $1.27B · Celanese ($CE) Q3 adj EPS $4.82 vs. est. $4.75; Q3 revs $2.3B vs. est. $2.13B; raises full-year outlook; sees Q4 EPS about $4.00 vs. est. $3.97; reported record net sales of $2.3B for the quarter with sequential pricing and volume increases of 3% and 1%, respectively · Lynas Rare Earths ($LYSCF) said Q1 production and sales revenues fell QoQ, citing disruptions from a rise in COVID-19 cases in the area around its Malaysia processing plant; Q1 total rare earths production fell 16% Q/Q to 3,166 metric tons, Q1 revenues fell to A$121.6M from $A$185.9M · Olin Corp. ($OLN) Q3 EPS $2.38 vs. est. $2.02; Q3 revs $2.34B vs. est. $2.36B; qtrly adjusted Ebitda achieved despite production interruptions from hurricanes, raw material cost volatility, & supply-chain disruptions; for FY21, is targeting debt reduction of approximately $1.1 bln using cash generated from operations · U.S. Xpress Enterprises, Inc ($USX) 3Q adj EPS $0.07 vs est. $0.14 on revs $491.1Mm vs est. $479.6Mm · Vicor Corporation ($VICR) 3Q EPS $0.29 vs est. $0.44 on revs $84.9Mm vs est. $98.2Mm; gross margin 50.4% vs est. 52.5%; book/bill 2.0 with backlog $296Mm at qtr end Technology, Media & Telecom · Intel Corp. ($INTC) falls -7%; 3Q EPS $1.71 vs est. $1.11 on revs $19.2B vs est. $18.24B (CCG revs 9.7B -2%, DCG revs $6.5B +10%), gr margin 56% vs est. 54.9%; guides FY adj EPS $5.28 vs est. $4.79; sees 2021 cap-ex spending $18B-$19B; questions about falling gross margins dominated the c/c as the company said it expects to turn back to growth in a few years, and execs kept defending their forecast, comfortable with margins above 50% · Cambium Networks ($CMBM) lowers guidance; sees Q3 revs about $75M, down from prior view of $88-$92M which primarily reflects greater than anticipated global supply constraints impacting shipments of products which we expect to continue into the first half of calendar 2022; said Q3 net income is expected to be below the low-end of the previous GAAP and non-GAAP ranges · Snap Inc. ($SNAP) tumbles -20% overnight on lower guidance; Q3 adj EPS $0.17 vs est. $0.08 on revenue $1.07B vs est. $1.1B, DAUs 306M (+23% YoY); sees Q4 DAUs 316-318M, revenue $1.165B-$1.205B below est. $1.36B, saying it missed the lower end of guidance due to changes to advertising tracking on Apple’s iOS that did not scale as expected, making it more difficult for ad partners to measure and manage campaigns, and macroeconomic factors impacting advertising partners with global supply headwinds expected to impact ad demand Q4 in particular; (shares of FB, ROKU, ETSY, TWTR among names that fell in reaction to SNAP) · Western Digital’s ($WDC) discussions to merge with Japan’s Kioxia in a deal worth over $20B have stalled, the Wall Street Journal reported, citing people familiar with the matter. The companies were seeking to finalize a stock deal that would have established a memory-chip giant worth about $40B
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Thursday, October 21, 2021 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow -101.00 0.28% 35,376 S&P 500 -10.25 0.24% 4,517 Nasdaq -22.50 0.15% 15,355 U.S. futures are down slightly overnight, as the S&P 500 index comes into the day with a 6-day win streak, as the earnings barrage continues today, with shares of TSLA and IBM slipping after quarterly results last night while media giant AT&T (T) rises early following its results. For the moment, China Evergrande debt contagion fears, inflation, Fed tapering, rising commodity prices are having no effect on global stock markets with the CBOE Volatility index (VIX) settling around its lowest levels in about 2-months. As for yesterday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average touched an all-time fresh intraday high while the S&P 500 flirted with its all-time intraday record highs (rising a 6th straight day) after strong earnings results and forecasts from healthcare companies and as banks advanced amid rising Treasury yields. The 10-Year Treasury yield spiked to 1.6730% early, a fresh five-month high sending the S&P 500 Bank Index higher for a fifth-straight day, for its fourth-straight record close. Technology underperformed as the Nasdaq Composite closed slightly lower as inflation fears crept into the market late day following comments from Federal Reserve President Quarles. In Asian markets overnight, The Nikkei Index fell -546 points (1.87%) to settle at 28,708, the Shanghai Index inched higher 7-points to 3,594 and the Hang Seng Index declined -118 points to 26,017. In Europe, the German DAX is down just a few points holding above 15,500, while the FTSE 100 slips -0.3% to just under 7,200. Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index gained 16.56 points, or 0.37%, to 4,536.19 The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 152.03 points, or 0.43%, to 35,609.34 The Nasdaq Composite dropped -7.41 points, or 0.05%, to 15,121.68 The Russell 2000 Index advanced 13.85 points, or 0.61% to 2,289.77 Events Calendar for Today 8:30 AM ET Weekly Jobless Claims…est. 300K 8:30 AM EST Continuing Claims…est. 2.55M 8:30 AM ET Philly Fed Index for October…est. 25.0 10:00 AM ET Existing Home Sales MoM for September…est. 6.09M 10:00 AM ET Leading Index MoM for September…est. +0.4% 10:30 AM ET Weekly EIA Natural Gas Inventory Data Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: AAL, ALK, ALLY, AMTB, AN, BANC, BHLB, BKU, BX, CROX, DHX, DHR, DOW, EEFT, EWBC, FAF, FCX, GATX, GPC, GTLS, HOMB, HRI, IIIN, IPG, IQV, KEY, LNN, MMC, POOL, SASR, SCHN, T, TPH, TRN, TSCO, UNP, VLO, WBS Earnings After the Close: ASB, NJRI, BOOM, CE, CMG, CSL, CSTR, FFBC, GBCI, INTC, MAT, NUE, OZK, PBCT, PINE, PSMT, SAM, SNAP, SIVB, TRST, USX, VICR, WAL, WHR, WRB, WSFS Other Key Events: The European Society of Gene and Cell Therapy (ESGCT) Congress 2021 is taking place virtually this year from October 19-22 Macro Up/Down Last Nymex -0.53 82.89 Brent -0.95 84.87 Gold 1.90 1,788.70 EUR/USD -0.0012 1.1639 JPY/USD -0.27 113.99 10-Year Note +0.013 1.645% Sector News Breakdown Consumer Tesla Inc. ($TSLA) 3Q adj EPS $1.86 vs est. $1.59 on revs $13.76B vs est. $13.63B, auto gr margin 30.5% vs 27.7% year ago, says expect op margin will continue to grow; qtly bitcoin-related impairment of $51Mm; continue to target first model Y production builds in Berlin and Austin before end of year; says challenges including semi shortages, port congestion, rolling blackouts impacting ability to keep factories running full speed; Las Vegas ($LVS) Q3 revs $857M below the $1.34B estimate; on a GAAP basis, qtrly total net revenues for SCL increased to $611 mln, compared to $167 mln in q3 of 2020; Q3 adj EPS loss (-$0.45) vs. est. loss (-$0.20) Unilever ($UL) rises on higher-than-expected Q3 sales growth; reports higher-than-expected underlying sales growth for Q3 beating analysts’ expectations; reiterates full-year profit margin forecast, defying some analysts’ fears of a cut; warns inflation is likely to accelerate next year Portillo’s ($PTLO)27M share IPO priced at $20.00 Energy Kinder Morgan ($KMI) Q3 adj EPS $0.22 vs. est. $0.24; Q3 revs $3.82B vs. est. $3.26B; backs FY21 adjusted EBITDA view $7.9B, expects to generate net income attributable to KMI of $1.7 billion and declare dividends of $1.08 per share, a 3% increase TechnipFMC ($FTI) shares fall -6%; 3Q adj EPS ($0.06) vs est. $0.02 on revs $1.58B vs est. $1.7B, qtrly total inbound orders were $1.37B, qtr-end backlog $7.0B; guides FY subsea revs $5.2-5.5B, sees FY surface tech revs $1.05-1.25B, sees FY CAPEX approx $250Mm HighPeak Energy ($HPK)2M share Secondary priced at $10.00 Helix Energy ($HLX) narrows FY21 revenue view to $600M-$645M from $600M-$670M; narrows FY21 adjusted EBITDA view to $85M-$100M from $75M-$100M and boosts FY free cash flow view to $80M-$120M from $45M-$90M; lowers cap-ex view Valero (VLO) Q3 adj EPS $1.22 vs. est. $0.92; Q3 revs $29.52B vs. est. $23.97B Financials Discover Financial ($DFS) Q3 EPS $3.54 vs. est. $3.53; Q3 revs $2.78B vs. est. $2.91B; Total loans ended the quarter at $89.5 billion, up 1% year-over-year, and up 2% sequentially. Credit card loans ended the quarter at $70.3 billion, up 1% year-over-year. Personal loans decreased $321 million, or 4%, and private student loans increased $168 million, or 2%, year-over-year. Banner Corp. ($BANR) 3Q EPS $1.44 vs est. $1.15 on revs $155.5Mm vs est. $122.6Mm Cohen & Steers ($CNS) 3Q adj EPS $1.06 vs est. $0.97 on revs $154.2Mm vs est. $148.3Mm Equifax ($EFX) 3Q adj EPS $1.85 vs est. $1.72 on revs $1.2B vs est. $1.18B; guides 4Q revs $1.23-1.25B vs est. $1.2B and adj EPS $1.72-1.82 vs est. $1.80; sees FY revs $4.9-4.92B vs est. $4.83B and adj EPS $7.52-7.62 vs est. $7.47 First Industrial Realty ($FR) 3Q FFO/share $0.51 vs est. $0.49; raises FY FFO/share guide by $0.02 at midpoint to $1.95 vs est. $1.94 OneMain Holdings ($OMF) 3Q adj EPS $2.37 vs est. $2.30; C&I managed receivables $19.1B, C&I net charge-off ratio 3.52%, repurchased 2.4Mm shares for $141Mm in qtr; proposes minimum qtrly div/share of $0.70; Sterling Bancorp. ($STL) 3Q adj EPS $0.52 vs est. $0.51; NII $213.8Mm vs est. $219.3Mm; proposes 3Q dividend of $0.07 SL Green Realty ($SLG) Q3 FFO $1.78 vs. est. $1.58; Q3 revs $142.7M vs. est. $160.97M; revising its earnings guidance ranges; said same-store cash NOI, including our share of same-store cash NOI from unconsolidated joint ventures, increased by 5.7% for Q3; narrows FY21 FFO view to $6.45-$6.65 from $6.30-$6.70 SLM Corp. ($SLM) 3Q core EPS $0.24 vs est. $0.20; private education loan originations +10% to $2.1B; declares 4Q dividend of $0.11/share vs $0.03/share in 3Q21; qtrly NII $358Mm vs est. $343.6Mm; qtrly education loan provisions for credit losses $138Mm; sees FY net charge-offs $195M to $205M, saw $215M to $225M Texas Capital ($TCBI) Q3 EPS $0.76 vs. est. $1.10; Q3 net interest income of $194.1M declines from $197.0M in Q2 and $207.6M YoY due to a decline in loan fees, partially offset by a decrease in average interest-bearing deposits; non-interest income also fell 30% from Q2 and 65% from Q3 2020, driven by Q2 sale of its mortgage servicing rights portfolio and other non-interest income. Triumph Bancorp ($TBK) Q3 EPS $0.94 vs est. $1.08; Q3 net charge-offs .08%; Q3 CET1 capital ratio 9.45%; Q3 tangible book value per share $19.73; net interest margin was 6.69%. Yield on loans and the average cost of our total deposits were 7.92% and 0.16%, respectively Umpqua Holdings Corporation ($UMPQ) Q3 EPS $0.49 vs. est. $0.44; Net income of $108.1 million, or $0.49 per common share; non-PPP loan balances increased $479.7 million or 2.3%; Deposit balances increased $754.8 million or 2.9%; provision for credit losses recapture of $18.9 million as modeled economic conditions improve Healthcare S. regulators on Wednesday signed off on extending COVID-19 boosters to Americans who got the Moderna (MRNA) or Johnson & Johnson ($JNJ) vaccine and said anyone eligible for an extra dose can get a brand different from the one they received initially. Tenet Healthcare ($THC) Q3 adj EPS $1.99 vs. est. $0.99; Q3 revs $4.89B vs. est. $4.81B; qtrly same-hospital net patient service revenue per adjusted admission up 6.2% versus q3 2020; sees 2021 adj EPS now $6.15-$6.38 (from prior $5.23-$5.73) and adj Ebitda $3.275B-$3.325B (from prior $3.15B-$3.25B) Regeneron ($REGN) and Sanofi ($SNY) said the FDA has approved Dupixent, or dupilumab, as an add-on maintenance treatment of patients aged 6 to 11 years with moderate-to-severe asthma characterized by an eosinophilic phenotype or with oral corticosteroid-dependent asthma Ventyx Biosciences ($VTYX)47M share IPO priced at $16.00 Investment adviser Darwin Global Management became the third shareholder of Acceleron Pharmaceuticals ($XLRN) to publicly oppose the company’s pending acquisition by Merck ($MRK). In a letter, Darwin said it believes Merck’s $11 billion offer price, or $180 per share, is too low. Acceleron is actually worth between $22 billion and $28 billion, according to the firm, or $353 to $451 per share Industrials & Materials CSX Corp. ($CSX) 3Q EPS $0.43 vs est. $0.39 on revs $3.29B vs est. $3.11B; 24% surge in revenue just outpaced a 23% increase in expenses. Activist investor Elliott Management Corp. has a big stake in Canadian National Railway Co. ($CNI), the WSJ reported citing people familiar with the matter said, adding to pressure on the railroad after its CEO resigned following a failed bid for rival Kansas City Southern. Covenant Logistics ($CVLG) 3Q adj EPS $1.02 vs est. $1.02 on revs $274.6Mm vs est. $259.9Mm Dow Inc. ($DOW) Q3 EPS $2.75 vs. est. $2.56; Q3 revs $14.84B vs. est. $14.25 Graco ($GGG) 3Q adj EPS $0.57 vs est. $0.63 on revs $486.7Mm vs est. $490.5Mm; says continue to target mid-high-teen organic sales growth on constant currency basis for FY21 vs est. +19% Kaiser Aluminum ($KALU) Q3 adj EPS $0.57 vs. est. $1.33; Q3 sales $751M misses the $773.2M est.; anticipates cost issues and supply chain disruptions will continue during quarter Landstar ($LSTR) Q3 EPS $2.58 vs. est. $2.49; Q3 revs $1.734B vs. est. $1.66B; Q3 truckload transportation revenue hauled via van equipment inQ3 was up 59% YoY to $918.1M; truckload transportation revenue hauled via unsided/platform equipment in Q3 was up 44% to $423.0M; sees Q4 EPS $2.55-$2.65 vs. est. $2.43 PPG Industries ($PPG) 3Q adj EPS $1.69 vs est. $1.58 on sales about $4.4B vs est. $4.24B; guides FY adj EPS $6.67-6.73 vs est. $7.03; says plan to execute share repurchases in 4Q and continue to evaluate potential bolt-on acquisitions; say increased supply disruptions negatively impacted sales and manufacturing costs Rush Enterprises ($RUSHA) Q3 EPS $1.20 vs. est. $0.96; Q3 revs $1.27B below est. $1.34B; said supply chain issues continue to impact new truck and aftermarket sales Valmont Industries ($VMI) 3Q adj EPS $2.57 vs est. $2.47 on revs $868.8Mm vs est. $862.3Mm; guides FY adj EPS $10.60-11.10 vs est. $10.78; sees FY22 sales +7-12% vs est. +6.2%, sees EPS +13-15% vs est. +13.5%
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Friday, July 23, 2021 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow 169.00 0.49% 34,878 S&P 500 21.25 0.49% 4,381 Nasdaq 71.50 0.48% 15,000 Stocks looking to build on weekly gains, boosted overnight from strong results in the social media sector as both Twitter ($TWTR) and Snap ($SNAP) top expectations in what has been a generally strong week for quarterly earnings. After yesterday’s semiconductor weakness behind TXN guidance, Dow component Intel ($INTC) issues a beat and raise for the year last night, though conservative guidance for Q3 weighs on shares early. Major indexes rose for a third straight session on Thursday as investors looked past mixed weaker data showing a rise in first-time claims for unemployment benefits last week. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index rose 159 points to 27,548, the Shanghai Index fell -24 points to 3,550, and the Hang Seng Index drops over 400 points (1.45%) to settle at 27,321. In Europe, the German DAX is up over 150 points (about 1%) to 15,665, while the FTSE 100 gains over 50 to 7,025. While enthusiastic about the economic recovery, investors remained nervous about the spread of the delta variant of COVID-19 which had weighed on sentiment last week. Markets also prepare for the busiest week of quarterly earnings coming up with results from Apple, Alphabet, and Facebook among them,. Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index gained 8.79 points, or 0.20%, to 4,367.48 The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 25.35 points, or 0.07%, to 34,823.35 The Nasdaq Composite gained 52.64 points, or 0.36%, to 14,684.60 The Russell 2000 Index declined -34.57 points, or 1.55% to 2,199.48 Events Calendar for Today 9:45 AM ET Markit Composite Flash PMI 9:45 AM ET Markit Manufacturing PMI for July 9:45 AM ET Markit Services Flash PMI 1:00 PM EST Baker Hughes Weekly rig count data Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: $ACBI, $AIMC, $AXP, $CIVB, $FHN, $GNTX, $HON, $KMB, $NEE, $NEP, $RF, $ROP, $SBSI, $SLB, $SXT Macro Up/Down Last Nymex -0.09 71.82 Brent -0.11 73.68 Gold -7.45 1,799.50 EUR/USD -0.0008 1.1763 JPY/USD 0.31 110.45 10-Year Note +0.026 1.293% World News Eurozone July Markit Mfg. PMI (flash) beat: 62.6 vs 62.5 consensus Eurozone July Markit Services PMI (flash) beat: 60.4 vs 59.5 consensus UK June Retail Sales Inc Auto Fuel YoY, actual 9.7%, est. 9.5%, prior 24.6% UK June Retail Sales Inc Auto Fuel MoM, actual 0.5%, est. -0.1%, prior -1.4%, revised -1.3% German July Markit/BME Germany Composite P, actual 62.5, est. 60.7, prior 60.1 German July Markit Germany Services PMI, actual 62.2, est. 59.5, prior 57.5 UK Markit/CIPS UK Services PMI, actual 57.8, est. 62.0, prior 62.4 UK July Markit UK PMI Manufacturing SA, actual 60.4, est. 62.3, prior 63.9 Sector News Breakdown Consumer Magna International Inc. ($MGA) to acquire Veoneer, Inc. ($VNE) for $ 31.25 per share in cash, representing a total value of $ 3.8 billion, and an enterprise value of $ 3.3 billion, inclusive of Veoneer’s cash, net of debt and other debt-like items as of March 31, 2021 Chinese education names getting crushed down over 40%: New oriental (EDU), TAL Education (TAL), and Gaotu Techedu ($GOTU) getting crushed on Bloomberg report that China is considering asking companies that offering tutoring on the school curriculum to go non-profit, according to people familiar with the matter. In rules currently being mulled, the platforms will likely no longer be allowed to raise capital or go public, the people said Boston Beer ($SAM) shares fall -15%; Q2 EPS $4.75 vs. est. $6.69; Q2 revs $602.8M vs. est. $657.6M; sees year EPS $18.00-$22.00 vs. est. $24.66; in 2021 and going forward, company has chosen not to report covid-19 related direct costs separately Del Taco ($TACO) Q2 adj EPS $0.16 vs. est. $0.11; Q2 revs $125M vs. est. $122.79M; Q2 system-wide comp store sales up 17.8%; Q2 company-operated comp sales up 18.3% and Q2 franchise comp sales up 17.2%; expects system-wide new unit growth to achieve 5% in 2023 led by franchising Skecher’s ($SKX) 2Q EPS $0.88 vs est. $0.52 on revs $1.66B vs es.t $1.49B; guides 3Q EPS $0.70-0.75 vs est. $0.63, sees 3Q revs $1.6-1.65B vs est. $1.52B; guides FY EPS $2.55-2.65 vs est. $2.13, sees FY revs $6.15-6.25B vs est. $5.93B Lamb Weston Holdings ($LW) announces $415 million capital investment in new French fry processing line in American falls, Idaho; declares quarterly dividend Robert Half ($RHI) 2Q EPS $1.33 vs est. $1.05 on revs $1.58B vs est. $1.48B Scholastic ($SCHL) 4Q adj EPS $0.90 on revs $401.4Mm; expects significant growth in FY22 revs yr/yr com ($GAMB) 5.25M share IPO priced at $8.00 Xponential Fitness ($XPOF) 10M share IPO priced at $12.00 Energy DMC Global (BOOM) 2Q EPS $0.10 vs est. $0.13 on sales $65.4Mm vs est. $69.5Mm; guides 3Q sales $46-48Mm vs est. $73.3Mm First Energy (FE) 2Q adj EPS $0.59 vs est. $0.57 on revs $2.6B vs est. $2.65B; guides 3Q adj EPS $0.70-0.80 vs est. $0.82; guides FY adj EPS $2.40-2.60 vs est. $2.50 Financials Capital One ($COF) Q2 adj EPS $7.71 vs. est. $4.61; Q2 revs $7.4B vs. est. $7.09B; NII $5.74B vs est. $5.58B, NIM 5.89% -10bps sequentially, common equity tier 1 capital ratio 14.5%, provision decreased $337Mm to ($1.2B) vs 1Q Bank OZK ($OZK) Q2 EPS $1.16 vs. est. $0.92; return on average assets 2.24% vs. 0.78% y/y; return on average equity 13.7% vs. 4.92% y/y; net interest income $240.7 million, +11% y/y; efficiency ratio 38.4% vs. 42.1% y/y Independent Bank ($INDB) Q2 EPS $1.17 vs. est. $1.08; Q2 revs $118.32M vs. est. $117.92M; total assets of $14.2B at June 30 increased by $420.3M, or 3.1%, from the prior quarter, and by $1.2B, or 9.0%, as compared to the year ago period; Q2 total loans at June 30 decreased by $307.7M, or 3.3%, when compared to the prior quarter RenaissanceRe ($RNR) 2Q adj EPS $5.64 vs est. $4.74 on revs $1.48B vs est. $1.28B, says net claims and claim expenses incurred associated with the covid pandemic were not significant in 2Q SVB Financial ($SIVB) Q2 GAAP EPS of $9.09 vs. est. $6.50; Q2 revs up 69% YoY to $1.49B (+69.0% Y/Y) beats by $350M; Q2 average loans of $49.8 billion, an increase of $3.5 billion; period-end loans of $50.8 billion, an increase of $3.1 billion; average total client funds increased $45.9 billion to $308.1 billion, which includes an increase in average on-balance sheet deposits of $23.2 billion R. Berkley ($WRB) Q2 EPS $1.27 vs. est. $0.94; Q2 revenue $2.30B vs. est. $2.16B; Q2 net premiums written $2.21B vs. $1.74M last year and consolidated combined ratio of 89.7% vs. 98.7% last year Future FinTech ($FTFT) files $200M mixed securities shelf S. Century Bank ($USCB) 4M share IPO priced at $10.00 Healthcare Caribou Biosciences (CRBU) 19M share IPO priced at $16.00 Cytek Biosciences (CTKB)7M share IPO priced at $17.00 Sophia Genetics (SOPH) 13M share IPO priced at $18.00 Industrials & Materials Honeywell ($HON) Q2 EPS $2.02 vs. est. $1.94; Q2 revs $8.81B vs. est. $8.63B; raises FY21 adj EPS view to $7.95-$8.10 from $7.75-$8.00 (est. $8.01) and boosts FY21 revenue view to $34.6B-$35.2B from $34B-$34.8B (est. $34.93B) Carlisle Corp. ($CSL) Q2 adj EPS $2.16 vs. est. $2.12; Q2 revs $1.2B vs. est. $1.15B; now sees full year sales to be up mid-teens Celanese ($CE) 2Q EPS $4.81 vs est. $4.44 on revs $2.2B vs est. $1.96B; guides 3Q adj EPS $4.50-4.75 vs est. $3.39; guides FY adj EPS $16.50-17.00 vs est. $13.98 S. Xpress Enterprises ($USX) Q2 adj EPS $0.08 vs. est. $0.16; Q2 revs $475M vs. est. $463.69M; continues to expect strong freight demand for balance of 2021; says expects total fleet size to begin growing in q3 Vicor ($VICR) reports Q2 EPS 43c vs. est. 33c; Q2 revs $95.4M vs. est. $93.98M Technology, Media & Telecom Intel Corp. ($INTC) 2Q adj EPS $1.28 vs est. $1.05 on revs $18.5B vs est. $17.8B; guides 3Q adj revs $18.2B vs est. $18.1B and adj EPS about $1.10 vs est. $1.08; guides FY adj revs $73.5B vs est. $72.8B, sees FY adj EPS $4.80 vs est. $4.62, sees FY adj gr mgn about 56.5% Twitter ($TWTR) Q2 EPS $0.20 vs. est. $0.07; Q2 revs $1.19B vs. est. $1.07B; Q2 Advertising revenue totaled $1.05 billion, an increase of 87% yoy, or 85% on a constant currency basis; Q2 cost per engagement (CPE) increased 42% yoy; reached 206 million average monetizable DUA in 2q, up 11%; Q2 international revenue $537m; had 11% year-over-year growth in monetizable daily active usage Snap inc. ($SNAP) 2Q adj EPS $0.10 vs est. ($0.01) on revs $982Mm vs est. $845.5Mm, DAU +23% to 293Mm; guides 3Q revs $1.07-1.085B vs est. $1.0B, sees 3Q adj EBITDA $100-120Mm vs est. $116.7Mm, says currently estimate DAU grow about 21% yr/yr to reach about 301Mm in 3Q, continues to invest heavily in video advertising, says the expected iOS platform policy changes did not materialize in 2Q to disrupt ad demand Verisign ($VRSN) Q2 EPS $1.31 vs. est. $1.32; Q2 revs $329M vs. est. $327.95M; ended 2q with cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities of $1.12B; ended Q2 with 170.6 million .com and .net domain name registrations in the domain name base, a 5.2% increase from the end of the second quarter of 2020, and a net increase of 2.59 million during the second quarter of 2021 Clearfield ($CLFD) 3Q EPS $0.44 on sales $38.7Mm; guides FY sales $150-160Mm above est. $122.9Mm Outbrain ($OB) 8M share IPO priced at $20.00
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Thursday, July 22, 2021 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow 83.00 0.24% 34,772 S&P 500 8.25 0.20% 4,359 Nasdaq 20.50 0.14% 14,848 Stock futures pointing higher, looking to make it a third straight day in a row of gains as optimism about earnings and the economic recovery outweighed Wall Street’s concerns about rising inflation and surging coronavirus cases. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury rose early Thursday to 1.287% after touching lows below 1.13% earlier this week. President Joe Biden, at a town hall in Cincinnati hosted by CNN, said Wednesday night “there will be near-term inflation” as the economy recovers but said he has been advised by his economic team that current price increases won’t last as demand returns to normal levels. Stocks advanced Wednesday as strong corporate earnings and renewed optimism about the U.S. economic recovery stoked investor risk appetite. All three major U.S. stock indexes appeared set to build on the previous session’s gains, which delivered the S&P 500’s best day since March, while the Russell 2000 SmallCap outperformed for a second day after trading in correction territory on Monday (defined as 10% down off record highs). With Wednesday’s advance, all three are within 1% of their all-time closing highs. Economically sensitive SmallCaps, semiconductors and financials outperformed the broader market as investors prep for another busy day of earnings. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index rose 159 points to 27,548, the Shanghai Index gained 12 points to 3,574 and the Hang Seng Index jumped nearly 500 points (1.83%) to settle at 27,723. In Europe, the German DAX is jumps 125 points to 15,550, while the FTSE 100 rises about 15 points to move above the 7,000 level. Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index gained 35.63 points, or 0.82%, to 4,358.69 The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 286.01 points, or 0.83%, to 34,798.00 The Nasdaq Composite jumped 133.08 points, or 0.92%, to 14,631.95 The Russell 2000 Index advanced 39.74 points, or 1.81% to 2,234.04 Events Calendar for Today 8:30 AM ET Weekly Jobless Claims 8:30 AM EST Continuing Claims 10:00 AM ET Existing Home Sales MoM for June 10:00 AM ET Leading Index MoM for June 10:30 AM ET Weekly EIA Natural Gas Inventory Data 11:00 AM ET Kansas City Fed Manufacturing for July Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: $AAL, $ABT, $AEP, $ALK, $AUB, $BANC, $BCO, $BIIB, $BKU, $BX, $CADE, $CLF, $CROX, $CSBR, $DGX, $DHI, $DHR, $DOW, $EWBC, $FAF, $FCX, $FITB, $GPC, $GTLS, $HRI, $HZO, $IIIN, $LUV, $MMC, $NEM, $NUE, $POOL, $RS, $SAFE, $SON, $T, $TPH, $TRN, $UNP, $VLY, $WBS, $WSO Earnings After the Close: $ABCB, $ASB, $BOOM, CBSH, $CE, $COF, $CSL, $CSTR, $GGBC, $INTC, $MMLP, $MSBI, $OZK, $RBNC, $SAM, $SBCF, $SIVB, $SNA, $SNAP, $TACO, $TWTR, $USX, $VRSN, $WRB, $WSFS Macro Up/Down Last Nymex 0.63 70.93 Brent 0.62 72.85 Gold -7.50 1,796.10 EUR/USD -0.0007 1.1787 JPY/USD -0.01 110.28 10-Year Note +0.013 1.295% World News The U.S. Treasury Department is projected to exhaust its borrowing authority in October or November, the Congressional Budget Office said on Wednesday, as a fight between Democrats and Republicans over raising the nation’s debt ceiling erupted in Congress. A failure to work out differences over whether government spending cuts should accompany an increase in the statutory debt limit, currently set at $28.5 trillion, could lead to a federal government shutdown – as has happened three times in the past decade – or even a debt default. Sector News Breakdown Consumer Las Vegas Sands ($LVS) 2Q EPS loss ($0.25) vs est. ($0.17), adj property EBITDA $244Mm, revs $1.17B vs est. $1.41B, net revs from Macao $855Mm Whirlpool ($WHR) Q2 adj EPS $6.64 vs. est. $5.93; Q2 revs $5.32B vs. est. $5.05B; raises FY21 adjusted EPS view to $26.00 from $22.50-$23.50 (est. $23.73); boosts FY21 net sales growth to ~16% from ~13%; sees FY21 cash provided by operating activities of $1.95B Stanley Black & Decker ($SWK) raises quarterly dividend 13% to 79c from 70c per share R. Horton ($DHI) Q3 EPS $3.06 vs. est. $2.81; Q3 revs $7.3B vs. est. $7.19B; Q3 net sales decreased 17% to 17,952 homes and increased 2% in value to $6.4 billion compared to 21,519 homes and $6.3 billion in the same quarter of the prior year; sees FY21 consolidated revenue $27.6B-$28.1B vs. est. $27.4B China is weighing an unprecedented penalty for Didi Global (DIDI) following its IPO last month, people familiar with the matter tell Bloomberg Energy Kinder Morgan ($KMI) Q2 adj EPS $0.23 vs. est. $0.19; Q2 revs $3.15B vs. est. $2.88B; expects to meet or exceed the top end of the range provided last quarter for DCF and Adjusted EBITDA; anticipates generating 2021 DCF of $5.4 billion and Adjusted EBITDA of $7.9 billion. TechnipFMC ($FTI) Q2 adj EPS ($0.06) vs est. ($0.01) on revs $1.669B vs est. $1.6B, qtr-end backlog $7.3B, qtrly inbound orders $1.56B; guides FY subsea revs $5.2-5.5B, guides surface tech revs $1.05-1.25B vs total revs est. $6.452 Precision Drilling (PDS) Q2 EPS loss (C$5.71) vs. (C$3.56) a year ago; Q2 revs C$201M vs. C$189.76M a year ago Chart Industries ($GTLS) Q2 adj EPS 80c vs. est. 79c; Q2 revs $322.0M vs. est. $317.45M; raises FY21 adjusted EPS view to $3.80-$4.25 from $3.65-$4.15 (est. $3.91); raises FY21 revenue guidance to $1.38B-$1.43B from $1.36B-$1.41B Financials Cohen & Steers ($CNS) Q2 adj EPS 94c vs. est. 86c; Q2 revs $144.27M vs. est. $131.17M; ending AUM of $96.2B, vs. $87.04B at previous quarter end – increase was driven by net inflows of $2.6B and market appreciation of $7.4B, partially offset by distributions of $769M Discover Financial ($DFS) 2Q EPS $5.55 vs est. $3.97, qtrly payment services volume $78.4B +22%, total loans ended qtr at $87.7B -1%, credit card loans ended qtr at $68.9B -2%, total net charge-off rt 2.12%; increases qtrly common stock dividend from $0.44-0.50/shr, approves share repurchase up to $2.4B Equifax ($EFX) 2Q adj EPS $1.98 vs est. $1.71 on revs $1.235B vs est. $1.16B; guides 3Q adj EPS $1.62-1.72 vs est. $1.65, raises FY adj EPS guide to $7.25-7.45 vs est. $7.05, sees FY revs $4.76-4.8B vs est. $4.675B Globe Life ($GL) 2Q EPS $1.92 vs est. $1.82; guides FY EPS $7.34-7.54 vs est. $7.29; says for FY at mid-point of guidance, estimate covid life claims between $53-55Mm Moelis ($MC) Q2 adj EPS $1.19 vs. est. $0.80; Q2 revs $360.9M vs. est. $273.8M; raises quarterly dividend by 9% to $0.60 and approves $100M share buyback OneMain Financial ($OMF) 2Q adj EPS $2.66 vs est. $2.19, NII $708Mm vs est. $769.1Mm; C&I managed receivables $18.3B, net charge-off ratio 4.41%, repurchased $35Mm in 2Q SEI Investments ($SEIC) 2Q EPS $0.93 vs est. $0.92 on revs $475.7Mm vs est. $464.7Mm SL Green Realty ($SLG) 2Q FFO/shr $1.60 vs est. $1.62, qtrly consolidated revs $218.1Mm vs est. $189.6Mm, op income $88.7Mm; same-store cash NOI including share of same-store NOI from unconsolidated JVs -3.7% yr/yr SLM Corp. ($SLM) Q2 core EPS $0.45 vs. est. $0.35; raises FY21 GAAP EPS view to $3.15-$3.25 from $2.95-$3.15; affirms FY21 private education loan origination y/y growth view of 6%-7% and lowers portfolio net charge-off view to $215M-$225M from $260M-$280M Texas Capital ($TCBI) 2Q EPS $1.31 vs est. $1.21; net interest income was $197.0 mln for q2 of 2021, compared to $200.1 mln for q1 of 2021 Triumph Bancorp. ($TBK) 2Q adj EPS $1.17 vs est. $1.02, NII $90.3Mm vs est. $89.2Mm, net int margin 6.47% Umpqua Holdings ($UMPQ) Q2 EPS $0.53 vs. est. $0.44; Q2 loan loss provision ($23M) vs. $87.08M a year ago; Q2 net charge-offs ($13.6M) vs. ($16.16M) a year ago; tangible book value per share was $12.49 at quarter end from $12.10 at previous quarter end; board approves to repurchase up to $400M of stock Ryan Specialty Group ($RYAN) 57M share IPO priced at $23.50 Travelers ($TRV) downgraded to Underperform from Buy at Bank America Healthcare Pfizer Inc. ($PFE) said the FDA has notified the company that it will not meet the Prescription Drug User Fee Act (PDUFA) goal dates for the New Drug Application for abrocitinib for the treatment of adults and adolescents with moderate to severe atopic dermatitis and the supplemental New Drug Application for XELJANZ/XELJANZ XR (tofacitinib) for the treatment of adults with active ankylosing spondylitis ICON Plc ($ICLR) Q2 adj EPS $2.12 vs. est. $2.09; Q2 revs $871.2M vs. est. $855.9M; sees FY21 EPS $9.10-$9.50 vs. est. $8.71; Record net business wins in the quarter of $1,106 million, an increase of 21.6% year on year; a net book to bill of 1.27; record closing backlog of $10.2 billion, an increase of 12.7% year on year Tenet Healthcare ($THC) Q2 EPS $1.59 vs. est. $1.07; Q2 revs $4.95B vs. est. $4.79B; Q2 Same-facility system-wide ambulatory surgical cases were up 68.2% from last year; year adj EBITDA Outlook range now $3.15B-$3.25B, up from prior view of $3.0B-$3.2B, which excludes the projected gain on the sale of the Miami-area hospitals; year adjusted diluted EPS $5.23-$5.73 up from $4.12-$5.46 prior – shares fell as Q3 guidance falls below consensus Absci ($ABSI)5M share IPO priced at $16.00 Natera ($NTRA)5M share Secondary priced at $113.00 Danaher ($DHR) Q2 adj EPS $2.46 vs. est. $2.05; Q2 revs $7.22B vs. est. $6.72B; for q3 2021, anticipates that non-GAAP core revenue growth will be in mid- to high-teens percent range; for full year 2021, now anticipates that non-GAAP core revenue growth rate including Cytiva will be about 20% Industrials & Materials CSX Corp. ($CSX) Q2 EPS $0.52 vs. est. $0.37; Q2 revs $2.99B vs. est. $2.93B; Q2 2021 operating ratio was 43.4% compared to 63.3% in prior year period; maintains full year revenue outlook and still sees year cap-ex $1.7B-$1.8B; Q2 expenses fall by 9% year-over-year to $1.30B Graco ($GGG) Q2 EPS $0.63 vs. est. $0.60; Q2 revs $507.2M vs. est. $475.94M; says initiating an outlook for full-year 2021 of mid-to-high teen sales growth on an organic, constant currency basis Dow Inc. ($DOW) Q2 EPS $2.72 vs. est. $2.30; Q2 revs $13.89B vs. est. $13.02B; qtrly packaging & specialty plastics segment net sales were $7.1 bln, up 78% versus year-ago period; industrial intermediates & infrastructure segment net sales were $4.2 bln, up 74% versus year-ago period; qtrly performance materials & coatings segment net sales were $2.5 bln, up 33% over year-ago BHP ($BHP) announced the signing of a nickel supply agreement with Tesla ($TSLA). Kaiser Aluminum ($KALU) Q2 adj EPS $1.00 vs. est. $1.44; Q2 revs $741M vs. est. $519.18M; qtrly shipments 337 mln lbs vs 119 mln lbs; said automotive business is temporarily dampened as ongoing shortages of semiconductor chips affects N. American light vehicle production Landstar ($LSTR) Q2 EPS $2.40 vs. est. $2.32; Q2 revs $1.57B vs. est. $1.46B; actual revenue per load on loads hauled via truck in 2021 q2 compared to 2021 q1 increased 7.5%; sees Q3 EPS $2.20-$2.30 and revs $1.55B-$1.6B UFP Industries ($UFPI) 2Q EPS $2.78 vs est. $1.81 on sales $2.7B vs est. $2.26B, expects all segments to benefit from more stable pricing in 2022 Valmont Industries ($VMI) Q2 adj EPS $3.06 vs. est. $2.50; Q2 revs $894.6M vs. est. $814.85M; sees FY21 adj EPS $10.40-$11.10 above consensus $9.89 and raises FY21 revenue growth view to 16%-19% from 9%-14%; expect meaningful sequential margin improvement in second half of 2021 as pricing becomes more aligned with steel cost inflation XL Fleet Corp ($XL) announced a battery and power electronics development and supply agreement and an investment in eNow, Inc., a provider of solar and battery power systems that enable fully-electric Transport Refrigeration Units for Class 8 commercial trailers
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/*============================================= = Wednesday, June 16, 2021 = =============================================*/ Futures Up/Down % Last Dow -14.00 0.04% 34,163 S&P 500 1.25 0.04% 4,238 Nasdaq 20.50 0.14% 14,042 U.S. stock futures are looking flat as the most highly anticipated Federal Reserve policy meeting is upon us, with the FOMC meeting statement at 2:00 PM ET followed by a press conference by Chairman Jerome Powell. While the central bank is widely expected to keep key interest rates near zero, its statement and subsequent Q&A session from Powell is sure to be parsed for clues regarding the timing of taper talks, as well as any indications if rising inflation prices are a concern, or just temporary as the Fed has pleaded over the last three months. Treasury yields remain depressed despite recent higher inflation readings (CPI, PPI) as the benchmark 10-year yield holds under 1.50%. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index fell -150 points to 29,291, the Shanghai Index fell -38 points to 3,518 (3rd straight day of losses) to 28,436, and the Hang Seng Index fell -201 points to 28,436. In Europe, the German DAX is up about 20 points to 15,750, while the FTSE 100 rises about 10 points to 7,185. Wall Street took a rest on Tuesday, as major indexes closed lower and the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq backed down from the previous session’s record closing highs. Big tech pulled back on Tuesday after leading the day prior while Dow Transports finished green. While U.S. stock indexes have been range-bound since the beginning of the month, any changes in nuance from the Fed today, and Friday’s quadruple witching options expiration, could trigger some volatility. Market Closing Prices Yesterday The S&P 500 Index slipped -8.56 points, or 0.20%, to 4,246.59 The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell -94.42 points, or 0.27%, to 34,299.33 The Nasdaq Composite slumped -101.29 points, or 0.71%, to 14,072.86 The Russell 2000 Index declined -6.07 points, or 0.26% to 2,320.07 Events Calendar for Today 7:00 AM ET MBA Mortgage Applications Data 8:30 AM EST Housing Starts MoM for May…est. 1.63M 8:30 AM EST Building Permits MoM for May…est. 1.73M 8:30 AM EST Import Prices MoM for May…est. 0.8% 10:30 AM ET Weekly DOE Inventory Data 2:00 PM EST FOMC June Meeting Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: None Earnings After the Close: $LEN Other Key Events: Citigroup European Healthcare Conference (virtual), 6/14-6/16 Cowen Annual Future Health Conference (virtual), 6/16-6/17 Deutsche Bank Global Auto Industry Conference (virtual), 6/16-6/17 European Hematology Association (EHA) Virtual Meeting, 6/9-6/17 Northland Customer Engagement SaaS Conference (virtual), 6/15-6/16 Oppenheimer 21st Annual Consumer Growth and E-Commerce Conference (virtual), 6/15-6/16 Macro Up/Down Last Nymex 0.09 72.21 Brent 0.16 74.15 Gold -0.85 1,858.20 EUR/USD -0.0004 1.2122 JPY/USD -0.14 109.94 10-Year Note -0.014 1.485% World News S. TIC data report showed foreign accounts purchased $100.7 B in net long term securities in April, after the$262.4 B (was $262.4 B) surge in March. Accounts also bought a total of $101.2 B in assets on the month versus $146.7 B (was $146.4 B) previously China May Retail Sales: y/y 12.4% vs 13.6% consensus; China May Ind Prod: y/y 8.8% vs 9.0% consensus Japan April Core Machinery Orders:6% vs 2.5% consensus; Japan May Trade Balance: -Y187b vs -Y77b consensus Sector News Breakdown Consumer DAVIDsTEA ($DTEA) Q1 EPS C$0.05 vs. (C$0.26) last year Q1; Q1 sales fell -27.9% to $23.2M from $32.2M YoY; said brick and mortar sales for the quarter declined when compared to the prior year quarter by $11.9 million or 78.3% to $3.3 million; sales from e-commerce and wholesale channels increased by $2.9 million or 17.2% to $19.9 million, from $17.0 million in the prior year quarter La-Z-Boy ($LZB) Q4 non-Gaap EPS $0.87 vs. est. $0.74; Q4 sales $519.5M vs. est. $498.5M; anticipates ongoing incremental increases in manufacturing capacity throughout fiscal 2022 that will enable higher delivered sales; incoming order rates and backlog will mitigate usual seasonal slowdown associated with Q1; Q4 written same-store sales up 100% General Motors ($GM) will increase its global spending on electric and autonomous cars to $35B, which is 30% higher than the company’s most recent forecast, Reuters reported Blue Apron ($APRN) announces stock offering Energy, Industrials and Materials The American Petroleum Institute ($API) shows a draw of 8.54M barrels of oil for the week ended June 4, gasoline inventories show a build of 2.85M barrels, distillate inventories show a build of 1.96M barrels and Cushing inventories show a draw of 1.53M barrels A U.S. District Court judge grants a preliminary injunction to Louisiana and 12 other states that sued the Biden administration over the halt on new oil and gas leasing on federal lands Bespoke noted that WTI crude has now had a record 13 straight days with an intraday high higher than the last (WTI crude closed above the $723 per barrel level Tuesday for first time since October 2018) Phoenix Motorcars, a wholly owned subsidiary of SPI Energy ($SPI) has launched a full range of EV charging products for the U.S. market. S. Steel ($X) assumed with Underweight from Neutral at JPMorgan Financials Capital One Financial ($COF) selected as exclusive long-term issuing partner for new Williams Sonoma, Inc. ($WSM) credit cards; new credit cards and loyalty enhancements are expected to launch before end of 2021 H&R Block ($HRB) Q4 adj EPS $5.16 vs. est. $5.13; Q4 revs $2.33B vs. est. $2.35B; raises quarterly dividend 4% to $0.27; announced its fiscal year-end will change to June 30, effective immediately; says substantially exceeded its original FY revs and earnings outlook when including total tax season through extended deadline PennyMac Mortgage ($PMT) files automatic mixed securities shelf R. Berkley Corporation ($WRB) raised quarterly dividend by 8% to $0.52 Healthcare The FDA cleared an additional batch of Johnson & Johnson ($JNJ) Covid-19 vaccine doses from a troubled production plant in Baltimore run by Emergent BioSolutions Inc. ($EBS) as the agency cleared 15 million doses, bringing the total doses authorized for export to 25 million Elanco ($ELAN) will acquire all outstanding stock of Kindred Biosciences (KIN) at a price of $9.25 per share, or approximately $440 million, a premium of 52% based on the 30-day average Molecular Partners ($MOLN) 3M share IPO priced at $21.25 Rapt Therapeutics ($RAPT)79M share Secondary priced at $33.00 Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc. ($REGN) said an antibody it developed has been shown to significantly cut the risk of death among certain hospitalized Covid-19 patients, raising hopes for a valuable new tool for tackling severe cases. Inhibikase Therapeutics ($IKT) 15M share Secondary priced at $3.00 Protagonist Therapeutics ($PGTX)05M share Spot Secondary priced at $37.75 Eton Pharmaceuticals ($ETON) has acquired U.S. and Canadian rights to Crossject’s ZENEO hydrocortisone needleless autoinjector, which is under development as a rescue treatment for adrenal crisis Spero Therapeutics ($SPRO) announces the initiation of two early-stage trials of SPR206, an intravenously (IV)-administered next-generation polymyxin product candidate. Technology, Media & Telecom Oracle Corp. ($ORCL) Q4 adj EPS $1.54 vs. est. $1.31; q1 revs $11.23B vs. est. $11.04B; qtrly cloud services and license support revenues were up 8% to $7.4B; qtrly cloud license and on-premise license revenues were up 9% to $2.1B; Q4 Cloud Application Revenue: Fusion ERP up 46%, Fusion HCM up 35%, NetSuite ERP up 26%; Q4 Short-term deferred revenues were up 10% from last year to $8.8 billion. Operating cash flow was up 21% to a record $15.9 billion during the trailing twelve months Convey Holding ($CNVY)333M share IPO priced at $14.00 Roblox ($RBLX) shares fell -8%; released May key metrics, which showed daily active users hit 43M, which was up 28% from the previous May, but down 1% from 43.3M in April; hours engaged increased, however, to 3.2B (up 9% year-over-year, and up 1% from April) MiTek ($MITK) announces $15 million share repurchase program WalkMe ($WKME)25M share IPO priced at $31.00
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Founded in 1967, W. R. Berkley Corporation is an insurance holding company that is among the largest commercial lines writers in the United States and operates worldwide in two segments of the property casualty insurance business: Insurance and Reinsurance & Monoline Excess.
CEO: W. Robert Berkley
HQ: 475 Steamboat Rd Greenwich, 06830-7144 Connecticut