$WTI

WTI ottima interpretazione del prezzo sul tre ore come detto ieri il livello di 111.417 alle ore 20:00 ci ha chiuso al di sopra dando ulteriore linfa ai rialzisti, stasera 16:30 dati sulle scorte ma al momento cerca di mantenere una chiusura delle tre ore che scade alle 14:00 ora italiana al di sopra di 112.730

WTI arrivano segnali contrastanti se prendiamo in considerazione il primo segnale schort sul daily l' entrata sarebbe in area sopra i 112.270 e saremo ancora a guadagno, ma arriva il segnale long a inizio settimana e ci sarebbe stata un entrata long dai minimi di stamane e un altra stassera in pratica adesso con un rischio rendimento utile, cio significa attesa di notizie su un eventuale embargo sul petrolio russo ( ricordo non sono segnali operativi ma solo un amia view di mercato)

i think wti 125 again then 80 ... 60 ???

By Noah Browning LONDON (Reuters) -Oil prices gained on Monday with U.S. fuel demand, tight supply and a slightly weaker U.S. dollar supporting the market, as Shanghai prepares to reopen after a two-month lockdown that fuelled worries about a sharp slowdown in growth. Brent crude futures rose $1.06 or 0.9% to $113.61 a barrel by 1240 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures climbed 97 cents, or 0.9%, to $111.25 a barrel, adding to last week's small gains for both contracts. "Oil prices are supported as gasoline markets remain tight amid solid demand heading into the peak U.S. driving season," said SPI Asset Management Managing Partner Stephen Innes. "Refineries are typically in ramp-up mode to feed U.S. drivers' unquenching thirst at the pump." The U.S. peak driving season traditionally begins on Memorial Day weekend at the end of May and ends on Labor Day in September. Analysts said despite fears about soaring fuel prices potentially denting demand, mobility data from TomTom and Google (NASDAQ:GOOGL) had climbed in recent weeks, showing more people were on the roads in places like the United States. A weaker U.S. dollar also sent oil higher on Monday, as that makes crude cheaper for buyers holding other currencies. Market gains have been capped, however, by concerns about China's efforts to crush COVID-19 with lockdowns, even with Shanghai due to reopen on June 1. Lockdowns in China, the world's top oil importer, have hammered industrial output and construction, prompting moves to prop up the economy, including a bigger-than-expected mortgage rate cut last Friday. "The persistent squeeze in refined petroleum products in the U.S. and ever-present Ukraine/Russia risk underpinned prices, with China slowdown and U.S. recession noise limiting gains," said Jeffrey Halley, a senior market analyst at OANDA. The European Union's inability to reach a final agreement on banning Russian oil following its invasion of Ukraine, which Moscow calls a "special operation", has also stopped oil prices from climbing much higher.

By Noah Browning LONDON (Reuters) -Oil prices steadied on Friday, setting them on course for little change on the week, as a planned European Union ban on Russian oil balanced demand concerns over slowing economic growth. Brent futures for July were down 18 cents, or 0.2%, to $112.22 a barrel by 1235 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude for June fell 2 cents to $112.19 on its last day as the front-month. The more actively traded WTI contract for July was down 14 cents at $109.75 a barrel. The International Monetary Fund urged Asian economies to be mindful of spillover risks from monetary tightening, with IMF Deputy Managing Director Kenji Okamura saying they faced a choice between supporting growth with more stimulus and withdrawing it to stabilise debt and inflation. While Bank of Japan policy runs counter to a global shift towards monetary tightening, central banks in the United States, Britain and Australia raised interest rates recently. Despite higher fuel prices, however, Americans were getting back behind the wheel, according to a report from the Federal Highway Administration on vehicle miles. "There are just so many forces at play at the minute and the increased economic gloom this week and Chinese reopening progress has only added to that," said Craig Erlam, a senior market analyst at OANDA. "The risks remain tilted to the upside though given the Chinese reopening and continued efforts towards a Russian oil embargo by the EU." The EU is hoping to clinch a deal on a proposed ban of Russian crude imports which includes carve-outs for EU states most dependent on Russian oil such as Hungary. "Odds of an EU embargo being declared sooner rather than later increased in the wake of Germany's success in cutting Russian oil imports by more than half in a very short period," consultancy BCA research said in a note. "Further reductions in Germany’s imports of Russian oil will make it easier for the EU's largest economy to walk away from Russian crude and product imports sooner rather than later."

questa la situazione del WTI del SILVER del NAT. GAS che sembrerebbe ripiegare dopo il segnale dato ieri dal tre ore a ribasso

By Rowena Edwards LONDON (Reuters) -Oil prices rose on Wednesday on expectations that easing COVID-19 restrictions in China will boost demand and as supply concerns grew. Brent crude was up $1.92, or 1.7%, at $113.85 a barrel at 1225 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude climbed $2.69, or 2.4%, to $115.09 a barrel, reversing some of the previous session's losses. Hopes of further lockdown easing in China boosted expectations for demand recovery. The country's authorities allowed 864 of Shanghai's financial institutions to resume work, sources said on Wednesday, a day after the Chinese city achieved a milestone of three consecutive days with no new COVID cases outside quarantine zones. And China has relaxed some COVID test rules for U.S. and other travellers. The market also saw support from rising supply concerns. Russian crude output in April fell by nearly 9% from the previous month, an internal OPEC+ report showed on Tuesday, as Western sanctions on Moscow curbed exports. The price rise is being capped by reports that the U.S. is planning to relax sanctions against Venezuela and allow Chevron Corp (NYSE:CVX) to negotiate oil licences with Venezuela's national producer. "Though this will bring little relief to the market in the short term, it would nonetheless be a first step towards ensuring that more oil could reach the market in future from currently sanctioned countries," Commerzbank (ETR:CBKG) analyst Barbara Lambrecht said. The European Union's failure to persuade Hungary to lift its veto on a proposed embargo on Russian oil is adding price pressure, although some diplomats expect agreement on a phased ban at a summit at the end of May. The EU intends to mobilise up to 300 billion euros of investments by 2030 to end its reliance on Russian oil and gas, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said on Wednesday. "In the meantime, the oil market will likely take its cues from today’s EIA update concerning US oil stocks," PVM analyst Stephen Brennock said. U.S. crude and gasoline stocks fell last week, according to market sources citing American Petroleum Institute figures on Tuesday. For the economic outlook, U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on Tuesday said the central bank would ratchet up interest rates as high as needed to stifle inflation that he said threatened the foundation of the economy.

queste sono due notizie che ieri hanno fatto prima perdere terreno al WTI per poi ripartire a fine sessione

By Alex Lawler LONDON (Reuters) -Oil hit its highest in seven weeks on Tuesday, supported by the European Union's ongoing push for a ban on Russian oil imports that would tighten supply and as investors focused on higher demand from an easing of China's COVID lockdowns. EU foreign ministers failed on Monday in their effort to pressure Hungary to lift its veto on the proposed oil embargo. But some diplomats now point to a May 30-31 summit as the moment for agreement on a phased ban on Russian oil. Brent crude rose as high as $115.69, its highest since March 28, and by 1330 GMT was up 24 cents, or 0.2%, to $114.48. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude, however, slipped 3 cents to $114.17. "Oil prices have remained near multi-week highs this week, supported by surging gasoline and distillate prices in the U.S., and fears around an EU ban on Russian oil imports remaining in play," said Jeffrey Halley, analyst at brokerage OANDA. Crude has surged in 2022, with Brent hitting $139, its highest since 2008, in early March as Russia's invasion of Ukraine exacerbated supply concerns. Oil also gained support from hopes of demand recovery in China as it looks to ease COVID restrictions, analysts said, and from rising geopolitical tension between the EU and Russia following Sweden and Finland's moves to join NATO. Further support came from figures showing OPEC and allied nations, which include Russia, in April produced far below levels required under a deal to gradually ease record output cuts made during the worst of the pandemic in 2020. "Ultimately, this is a supply-side story," said Fawad Razaqzada, analyst at City Index. "Unless the OPEC and its allies ramp up production and fast, it is difficult to see how prices can go down meaningfully." Also in focus are potential further declines in U.S. fuel inventories. Weekly inventory reports are expected to show a rise in crude stocks and declines in inventories of distillates and gasoline. [EIA/S]

By Isabel Kua SINGAPORE (Reuters) - Oil prices inched lower on Tuesday as Hungary resisted a European Union push for a ban on Russian oil imports, a move that would tighten global supply, with investors taking profits on a recent rally. Brent crude futures fell 11 cents, or 0.1%, to $114.13 a barrel by 0602 GMT, and U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures slid 22 cents, or 0.2%, to $113.98 a barrel. Both benchmarks gained more than 2% on Monday, following a 4% jump on Friday. EU foreign ministers failed on Monday in their effort to pressure Budapest to lift its veto of a proposed oil embargo on Russia following the country's invasion of Ukraine. An embargo would require approval from all EU nations. On the supply side, U.S. producers are ramping up in order to replenish inventories that have dwindled in the wake of Russia's war on Ukraine - which Moscow calls "a special military operation" - and recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic. Oil output in the Permian Basin in Texas and New Mexico, the biggest U.S. shale oil producer, is due to rise 88,000 barrels per day (bpd) to a record 5.219 million bpd in June, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) said on Monday. Still, overall sentiment on prices remained bullish amid optimism about demand recovery in China as it looks to ease COVID restrictions that have hurt its economy, analysts said. "All supply data suggest dips will be shallow despite potential demand destruction from China's lockdown but even in that view, we are seeing the light at the end of the lockdown tunnel trade," said Stephen Innes, managing partner at SPI Asset Management, in a note. Shanghai on Tuesday achieved the long-awaited milestone of three consecutive days with no new COVID-19 cases outside quarantine zones and set out on Monday its clearest timetable yet for exiting a lockdown now in its seventh week. Further supporting prices was the "intensifying geopolitical tension" between EU and Russia as Sweden and Finland seek to join NATO, CMC Markets analyst Tina Teng said. "This could cause a retaliation action by Russia to further cut gas supply," she added. Stockpiles in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) fell to 538 million barrels, the lowest since 1987, data from the U.S. Department of Energy showed on Monday, underlining tight supply.

WTI come si nota sul grafico daily è giunto al confronto della resistenza dei 110.69, sul settimanale si vedono nel dettaglio i moviventi fatti in questo mese di maggio si nota anche il piccolo particolare che ha sempre avuto un inizio di settimana in fase di ribasso piazzare la reistenza settimanale per poi essere violata a rialzo si nota questo in base alla formazione delle freccie, ora ha cominciato la settimana piazzando la resistenza a 111.38 e facendo nuovi massimi mensili e settimanali ha violato a rialzo la resistenza dei 110.69 ha fatto nuovi massimi in sessione asiatica e ha ripiegato, ora sarebbe da capire se ci sarà un test del livello violato a rialzo sul 107.73 o continua a ripiegare violando tale livello a ribasso, potrebbe anche fare la prima sessione di ottava in negativo quindi calma e sangue freddo !!

By Noah Browning LONDON (Reuters) -Oil prices rose on Friday but were headed for their first weekly loss in three weeks as worries about inflation and China's COVID lockdowns slowing global growth offset concerns about dwindling supplies from Russia. Brent crude futures were up $2.32, or 2.2%, at $109.77 a barrel at 1345 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures climbed $2.52, or 2.4%, to $108.65 a barrel. Both benchmark contracts were, however, on track to post slight declines for the week. The market is continuing to be pushed and pulled by the prospect of a European Union ban on Russian oil tightening supply and concerns about faltering global demand. SPI Asset Management managing partner Stephen Innes said in a note that oil traders were looking "for a glimmer of light at the end of China's gloomy lockdown tunnel". "Still, we continuously end up at square one with lower case counts weighted against the authorities doubling down on their zero COVID policy," he added. Inflation and rate rises have driven the U.S. dollar to 20-year highs, capping oil price gains as a stronger dollar makes oil more expensive when purchased in other currencies. Analysts, however, continue to focus on the prospect of a European Union ban on Russian oil, after Moscow imposed sanctions this week on European units of state-owned Gazprom (MCX:GAZP) and after Ukraine halted a key gas transit route. "Oil prices are rebounding today as the world is in wait-and-see mode over a broad economic downturn and the potential implications of a recession on oil demand," said Rystad Energy analyst Louise Dickson. "Extended Covid-19 lockdowns in China, rising cases elsewhere, and fiscal policy decisions to combat soaring inflation are giving the markets reason to be skittish as oil continues its run of over $100/barrel averages." An International Energy Agency report on Thursday said rising oil production in the Middle East and the United States and a slowdown in demand growth were "expected to fend off an acute supply deficit amid a worsening Russian supply disruption".

Buongiorno questa è la HA HEATMAP di oggi su grafici giornalieri, EURUSD è arrivato a testare il supporto di 1.03890 ma ancora nessun cambiamento prevale il colore rosso, GBPUSD, NZDUSD, AUDUSD, USDJPY, CADJPY non riscontrano alcun cambiamento rispetto alla tendenza di ieri, USDCAD l riduce il corpo della candela e testa un vecchio supporto 1.30468 ma rimane ancora la tendenza a rialzo, GOLD non riscontra nessuna reazione giunto su area di livelli interessanti ma rimane con tendenza ribassista, WTI conferma una candela daily verde e adesso tenta la violazione della resistenza 109.50, NASDAQ, SP500, DJIUS si riducono i corpi delle candele ma prevale ancora il colore rosso, DAX che mette due pccole candele verdi che non rispettano i parametri di conferma per considerare un cambio di tendenza oggi potrebbe essere la candela giusta ma deve chiudere la giornata in positivo, ITA40 ha confermato la candela verde HA di ieri rispettando i parametri di conferma con supporto a 23091.25.

HA HEATMAP di oggi a livello giornaliero , euro va verso la violazione del supporto 1.05235 prossimo livello a 1.03865, sterlina ieri ha violato il supporto dei 1.23186 prossimo livello 1.21450, Dax dopo la verde di ieri e gli ALERT !! emessi ieri nella chat di rifferimento si rivede la giornata in rosso, idem ITA 40, NZDUSD AUDUSD rimangono con tendenza a ribasso, DJIUSD SP 500 la tendenza non cambia prossimi livelli 3788.10 e 31052.35 , NASDAQ ieri ha violato il supporto 12351.25 a livello daily il prossimo livello si trova a 11077.65, USDCHF vede la resistenza a 0.99965, USDJPY ha confermato una rossa e tenta un affondo ribassista con la violazione del supporto mensile e settimanale a 129.546, CADJPY ha confermato una tendenza ribassista, GOLD rimane impostato ancora a ribasso, WTI ieri un tentativo di rialzo con scorte in fortissimo aumento movimento contro tendenza ma rimane confermata la candela del 09/05 con tendenza ribassista, USDCAD rimane con una impostazione rialzista sta facendo i conti con la cifra tonda dei 1.3000

By Florence Tan SINGAPORE (Reuters) - Oil prices slipped on Monday, along with stock markets in Asia, sparked by weak China data and fears a global recession could dampen oil demand, with investors eying European Union talks on a Russian oil embargo that could tighten global supplies. Brent crude lost 41 cents, or 0.4%, to $111.98 a barrel by 0603 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude was at $109.24 a barrel, down 53 cents, or 0.5%. Both contracts briefly turned positive after falling more than $1 earlier in the session. "The broader risk-off sentiment sparked by the recession fears, and China's lockdowns are the major factors that pressure the oil price," CMC Markets analyst Tina Teng said. Global financial markets have also been spooked by concerns over interest rate hikes and recession worries as tighter and wider COVID-19 lockdowns in China led to slower export growth in the world's No. 2 economy in April. Crude imports by China, the world's top oil importer, rose nearly 7% in April from a year earlier although imports for the first four months fell 4.8% on year. A price cut by Saudi Arabia also reflected worries over global oil demand, Teng said. Saudi Arabia, world's top oil exporter, lowered crude prices for Asia and Europe for June on Sunday. EU RUSSIA OIL EMBARGO Last week, the European Commission proposed a phased embargo on Russian oil as part of its toughest-yet package of sanctions over the conflict in Ukraine, boosting Brent and WTI prices for the second straight week. However, the proposal requires a unanimous vote among EU members this week. The EU proposal was followed by a pledge by G7 nations on Sunday to ban or phase out Russian oil imports. Washington also imposed new sanctions against Gazprombank executives and other businesses. Japan, part of G7 and one of the world's top five crude importers, will ban Russian crude imports "in principle", Prime Minister Fumio Kishida said on Sunday. "It seems inevitable that both the EU and Japan will be competing for more non-Russia supplies in the future, and this is underpinning prices," said Jeffrey Halley, OANDA's senior analyst, in a note. Bulgaria's Deputy Prime Minister, however, said on Sunday that his country would veto EU oil sanctions on Russia if it does not get a derogation from the proposed ban. "The talks will continue tomorrow, on Tuesday too, a meeting of the leaders may be needed to conclude them. Our position is very clear. If there be a derogation for some of the countries, we want to get a derogation too," Vassilev told national BNT television. Bulgaria had earlier said it would seek an exemption from the proposed Russian oil ban if such opt-outs were allowed, but it was not clear if it was seeking a full exemption or a delay similar to the one proposed on Friday for Hungary, Slovakia and the Czech Republic.

By Rowena Edwards LONDON (Reuters) -Oil prices climbed for a third straight session on Friday, shrugging off concerns about global economic growth as impending European Union sanctions on Russian oil raised the prospect of tighter supply. Brent futures rose 85 cents, or 0.77%, to $111.75 per barrel by 1346 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude climbed 72 cents, or 0.67%, to $108.98 a barrel. Both contracts were up over $2/bbl earlier in the session, and are on track to rise for a second consecutive week, buoyed by the EU's proposal to phase out supplies of Russian crude oil in six months and refined products by the end of 2022. It would also ban all shipping and insurance services for transporting Russian oil. The EU is tweaking its sanctions plan in a bid to win over reluctant states, three EU sources told Reuters on Friday. "The looming EU embargo on Russian oil has the makings of an acute supply squeeze. In any case, OPEC+ is in no mood to help out, even as rallying energy prices spur harmful levels of inflation," PVM analyst Stephen Brennock said. Ignoring calls from Western nations to hike output more, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, Russia and allied producers, a group known as OPEC+, stuck with its plan to raise its June output target by 432,000 barrels per day. nL2N2WX0IO] However, analysts expect the group's actual production rise to be much smaller as a result of capacity constraints. "There is zero chance of certain members filling that quota as production challenges impact Nigeria and other African members," said Jeffrey Halley, senior market analyst Asia Pacific at OANDA. A U.S. Senate panel has advanced a bill that could expose OPEC+ to lawsuits for collusion on boosting oil prices. Investors are also eyeing higher demand from the United States this fall as Washington unveiled plans to buy 60 million barrels of crude for its emergency stockpiles. Demand concerns on signs of a weakening global economy capped the price rise. The Bank of England on Thursday warned that Britain risks a double-whammy of a recession and inflation above 10% as it raised interest rates to their highest since 2009, hiking by a quarter of a percentage point to 1%. And strict COVID-19 curbs in China are creating headwinds in the second quarter for the world's second-largest economy.

WTI strappa a riialzo sul tre ore ieri ho segnalato una rossa a tre ore ma non ha chiuso rispettando i requisiti richiesti lo si nota sul grafico a 30 minuti e ha appena violato la resistenza settimanale, sul daily ha violato ufficialmente la resistenza 107.357 ora il target potrebbe essere 116.190

ALERT !!! ALERT !!!! ALERT !!!!!! arriva dal WTI candela a tre ore che chiude alle 21.00 ( 20.00 ora italiana ) candela che chiude quasi a fine sessione da valutare e eventualmente vedere anche domani il risultato di questo segnale e se domani sara validato o sono solo chiusure di posizioni long è vero anche che sono stati fatti nuovi max mensili e settimanali e la resistenza 107.35 daily ancora non è stata violata in chiusura giornaliera

**CME group to launch options on micro WTI crude oil futures as futures volume nears 20 million contracts traded.**

By Sonali Paul MELBOURNE (Reuters) - Oil prices fell on Monday in holiday-sapped trade in Asia as concerns about weak economic growth in China, the world's top oil importer, outweighed fears of potential supply stress from a looming European Union ban on Russian crude. Brent crude futures fell $1.13, or 1.1%, to $106.01 a barrel at 0511 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures fell $1, or 1%, to $103.69 a barrel. Markets in Japan, India and across Southeast Asia were closed for public holidays on Monday. Prices fell after China released data on Saturday showing that factory activity in the world's second-largest economy contracted for a second month to its lowest since February 2020 because of COVID lockdowns. "A slowing to that extent, when China is already suffering from a property bust and worries about its (until recently) increased regulation, is potentially a major issue for commodity markets and the world economy," said Tobin Gorey, a Commonwealth Bank commodities analyst, in a note. On the supply side, Libya's National Oil Corp (NOC) said on Sunday it would temporarily resume operations at the Zueitina oil terminal to reduce stockpiles in storage tanks to avert an "imminent environmental disaster" at the port. NOC in late April declared force majeure on some shipments at Zueitina as political protesters forced a number of oil facilities to suspend operations. Limiting the down side for oil prices is a possible dent in supply with the European Union leaning towards banning imports of Russian oil by the end of the year, two EU diplomats said after talks between the European Commission and EU member states on the weekend. Around half of Russia's 4.7 million barrels per day (bpd) of crude exports go to the EU, supplying about one-fourth of the EU's oil imports in 2020. "In the absence of an immediate EU total oil embargo, eliminating mobility restrictions in China is necessary to drive oil out of its current range," said SPI Asset Management Managing Partner Stephen Innes. While Western countries have curbed buying Russian oil as sanctions have hit shipping and insurance for the country's exports, the impact on global supply has been cushioned as India has been picking up heavily discounted Russian cargoes. Royal Bank of Canada analysts estimated India's crude imports from Russia have grown from less than 100,000 bpd in 2021 to 800,000 bpd in April and expect India to continue ramping up imports as long as Washington does not impose secondary sanctions. Reuters reported on Friday that Indian refiners are negotiating a six-month oil deal with Russia to import millions of barrels per month.

Dopo un estenuante attesa questo benedetto WTI sembrerebbe svegliarsi

con quella notizia hanno messo il grafico del WTI ma riguarda il GAS e questa è stata la reazione

Anche il BRENT si allinea alla conferma del 12 ore come il Wti adesso si attendono i dati delle scorte alle 16.30 per confermare questi segnali o assere smentiti !

ieri dati API REPORT sulle giacenze WTI risultate in aumento stesso risultato di due settimane scorse ma il prezzo era salito senza prendere in considerazione i dati delle scorte che saranno oggi alle 16.30

By Mohi Narayan Oil prices bounced on Tuesday, steadying after a sharp fall of 4% in the previous session as worries over China's fuel demand were soothed by the central bank's pledge to support an economy hit by renewed COVID-19 curbs. Brent crude futures were at $103.50, up $1.18, or 1.15%, and U.S. West Texas Intermediate contracts climbed to $99.41, up 87 cents, or 0.88% at 0448 GMT. Both contracts had settled down around 4% on Monday, with Brent falling as much as $7 a barrel in the session and WTI dipping roughly $6 a barrel. China will keep liquidity reasonably ample in financial markets, the People's Bank of China (PBOC) said in a statement on Tuesday, a day after the central bank announced a cut to banks' foreign exchange reserve ratio to support its economy. "Coming on the heels of the central bank cutting the foreign currency reserve requirement ratio for banks, it provided some relief to investors," energy market analysis provider Vanda (NASDAQ:VNDA) Insights said in a note. China's capital Beijing expanded its COVID-19 mass testing from one district this week to most of the city of nearly 22 million, as they braced for an imminent lockdown similar to Shanghai's stringent curbs. "The hit from Chinese lockdowns is over a million barrels a day and the testing of 12 districts over the next five days will determine the next major move for crude prices," wrote Edward Moya, a senior market analyst for OANDA in a note. Separately, in a bearish signal for oil markets, five analysts polled by Reuters estimated on average that U.S. crude inventories increased by 2.2 million barrels in the week to April 22. Stockpiles of gasoline rose by about 500,000 barrels last week, and distillate inventories, which include diesel and heating oil, were expected to have decreased by 600,000 barrels. The poll was conducted ahead of the release of the inventory report from the American Petroleum Institute, an industry group, at 4:30 p.m. EDT (2030 GMT) on Tuesday. The official government Energy Information Administration data will be out on Wednesday. Analysts said that the supply side concerns over phasing out of Russian oil from the market will continue to support prices.

By Alex Lawler LONDON (Reuters) -Oil slipped on Friday, burdened by the prospect of weaker global growth, higher interest rates and COVIDlockdowns in China hurting demand even as the European Union considers a ban on Russian oil that would further tighten supply. The International Monetary Fund this week cut its global economic growth forecast while the U.S. Federal Reserve Chair on Thursday said that a half-point increase to interest rates "will be on the table" at the next Fed policy meeting in May. Brent crude was down $1.69, or 1.6%, at $106.64 a barrel by 1311 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude declined $1.77, or 1.7%, to $102.02. "At this stage, fears over China's growth and overtightening by the Fed, capping U.S. growth, seem to be balancing out concerns that Europe will soon widen sanctions on Russian energy imports," said Jeffrey Halley, analyst at brokerage OANDA. The outlook for demand in China, the world's biggest oil importer, continues to weigh. Shanghai announced a new round of measures including daily coronavirus testing from Friday, adding to strict measures to curb the latest outbreaks. Brent hit $139 a barrel last month, its highest since 2008, but both oil benchmarks were heading for weekly declines of more than 4%. Ongoing support is provided by supply tightness after disruptions in Libya, which is losing 550,000 barrels per day (bpd) of output, and supply could be squeezed further if the European Union imposes an embargo on Russian oil. An EU source told Reuters this week the European Commission is working to speed up availability of alternative energy supplies to try to cut the cost of banning Russian oil and persuade reluctant nations to accept the measure. "An EU boycott of Russian energy would inevitably lead to higher energy prices, at least in the immediate term," said Stephen Brennock of oil broker PVM. "It looks to be a case of if, not when."

By Stella Qiu and Tom Westbrook BEIJING (Reuters) - Asian shares wobbled on Friday and the Chinese yuan slid as investors fretted about an increasingly aggressive rate-hike outlook for the United States, and the fallout for the global economy from lockdowns in China. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan fell 0.7% and touched a five-week low, weighed down by a 1.6% loss for Australia's resource-heavy index and a 0.8% drop in South Korean shares. Japan's Nikkei declined 1.6%. The European open is also looking weak, with EuroSTOXX 50 futures down 1.6% and FTSE futures down 1.2%. S&P 500 futures are down 0.1%. Chinese stocks staged a recovery in volatile trade, with the mainland's bluechips reversing early loses to gain 1% on hopes for policy support, but the currency remains under pressure as lockdowns in Shanghai take a bite out of growth. The yuan hit a seven-month low and is on course for its worst week since 2019. Analysts at HSBC expect a comprehensive easing package on all fronts, both monetary and fiscal, from China is needed, including loosening measures in the property sector, which has been hit hard by restrictions on access to credit. "The next key focus will be the China PMI data next week," said Jingyang Chen, a currency analyst at HSBC in Hong Kong, where a negative surprise could drive the yuan lower still. "High frequency data in April has suggested severe supply chain disruptions caused by the virus containment measures in the Yangtze River Delta region, which accounts for almost a quarter of China's GDP." Tech shares in Hong Kong were supported by signs of progress in resolving audit issues that have called into question the U.S. listings of Chinese firms, but rates worries kept most other asset classes on edge. U.S. RATE HIKES On Thursday, U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said a half-point interest rate increase will be "on the table" when the Fed meets in May, adding it would be appropriate to "be moving a little more quickly." His remarks effectively confirmed market expectations of at least another half-percentage-point rate hike from the Fed next month, and Nomura now expects 75 basis point hikes at its June and July meetings, which would be the biggest of that size since 1994. Selling pressure persisted in bond markets, driving five-year U.S. Treasury yields to 3.04%, the highest late 2018, and two-year yields to a new high of 2.7620%. [US/] Elsewhere, markets were still reeling from comments by European Central Bank officials that the central bank might start hiking euro zone rates as early as July. German two-year yields hit an eight-year high on Thursday. In currency markets the yen steadied on talk of joint Japan-U.S. FX intervention, while the euro has given up Thursday's bounce as nerves about Sunday's French presidential election creep in. The yen last traded at 127.82 per dollar and the euro at $1.0848. Dollar gains drove the Australian and New Zealand dollars to multi-week lows. [FRX/] Oil prices fell on Friday, burdened by the prospect of interest rate hikes, weaker global growth and COVID-19 lockdowns in China hurting demand. Brent crude futures were down $1.30, or 1.2%, at $107.03 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures declined $1.27, or 1.2%, to $102.52. The looming U.S. rate hikes have weighed on gold. Spot gold was last down 0.02% to $1,951.32 per ounce. Wall Street indexes fell on Thursday, with the S&P 500 down 1.5% and the Nasdaq down 2%.

By Mohi Narayan and Sonali Paul (Reuters) - Oil prices rose on Thursday as concerns about supply due to a potential European Union (EU) ban on Russian oil came to the fore, days after diminished supplies from Libya rocked the market. Brent crude futures rose $1.32, or 1.24%, to $108.12 a barrel at 0636 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures gained $1.26, or 1.23%, to 103.45 a barrel, adding to a 19 cent gain in the previous session. Analysts said market volatility is likely to pick up again soon, with the EU still weighing a ban on Russian oil for its invasion of Ukraine, which Moscow calls a "special military operation". "EU discussions to ban or phase out Russian oil purchases, the biggest influence on crude prices in recent days, are on the back-burner but not settled yet, which may limit crude prices to a relatively narrow range on a daily settlement basis," said Vandana Hari, founder of oil market analysis provider Vanda (NASDAQ:VNDA) Insights. Libya, a member of OPEC, on Wednesday said the country was losing more than 550,000 barrels per day of oil output due to blockades at major fields and export terminals. The demand outlook in China continues to weigh on the market, as the world's biggest oil importer slowly eases strict COVID-19 curbs that have hit manufacturing activity and global supply chains. The International Monetary Fund highlighted risks in China when it cut its forecast for global economic growth by nearly a full percentage point on Tuesday. Meanwhile, the Caspian Pipeline Consortium's Black Sea terminal could return to full capacity this week, Kazakh Energy Minister Bolat Akchulakov said on Wednesday. "The resumption of CPC crude deliveries will be somewhat offset by continuing outages in Libya and the likelihood of more Russian crude getting locked out of market in face of an EU ban," Hari said. The oil market remains tight with the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies led by Russia, together called OPEC+, struggling to meet their production targets and with U.S. crude stockpiles down sharply in the week ended April 15. [EIA/S] "I continue to expect that Brent will remain in a choppy $100.00 to $120.00 range, with WTI in a $95.00 to $115.00 range... A potential European oil embargo on Russia next week after French elections, could see a move towards the top of the range," said Jeffrey Halley, analyst at OANDA.

WTI rimane l' impostazione rialzista dopo la candela verde del 12.04. con supporto 95.60 dollari dove c'è stato un tentativo di violazione a ribasso ma non concluso ora potrebbe vedere i 116.00 dollari stasera dati API REPORT delle scorte alle 22.30 domani dati delle giacenze USA dato che la settimana scorsa visto in forte rialzo ma non preso in considesazione dagli operatori per via delle tensioni tra Ucraina e Russia che non sembrano ancora arrivare a un accordo bellico

WTI parte bene dopo che ha dato segnale la candela daily di ieri con supporto 95.600 dollari

By Sonali Paul and Isabel Kua (Reuters) -Oil prices eased on Wednesday, giving up earlier gains, after China and Japan reported weak economic data, fuelling concerns about growth and oil demand in the world's top consumers. Brent crude futures was down 34 cents, or 0.3%, to $104.30 a barrel at 0501 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures fell by 46 cents, or 0.5%, to $100.14 a barrel. Both contracts had surged more than 6% in the previous session. China's crude oil imports slipped 14% from a year earlier, extending a two-month slide, as strict measures to curb the spread of COVID-19 impacted demand in the world's top crude importer. The world's top crude oil buyer imported 42.71 million tonnes last month, equivalent to 10.06 million barrels per day, data from the General Administration of Customs showed on Wednesday. Oil prices had rebounded on Tuesday as reports of partial easing of some of China's tight COVID-19 lockdowns helped stoke bullish sentiment among market players. However, Asia remains less bullish about China's COVID situation than overseas markets, said OANDA senior market analyst Jeffrey Halley. The Chinese city of Shanghai warned on Wednesday that anyone who violates strict COVID-19 lockdown rules will be dealt with strictly, while also rallying people to defend their city as its tally of new cases rebounded to more than 25,000. On Wednesday, Japan reported its biggest monthly fall in core machinery orders in nearly two years in February, dragged down by a steep drop in demand from IT and other service firms. Still, oil prices are underpinned by falling Russian oil and gas condensate production while OPEC has warned it would be impossible to replace potential supply losses from Russia. Russian President Vladimir Putin on Tuesday blamed Ukraine for derailing peace talks, and said Moscow would not let up on what it calls a "special operation" to disarm its western neighbour. "Statements from Vladimir Putin that negotiations with Ukraine had reached a dead end, and comments from President Biden accusing Russia of genocide are reinforcing that the Ukraine Russia situation will not be deescalating anytime soon - another reason to expect that the downside for oil prices is limited," Halley said. In the United States, crude stocks rose sharply last week while distillate and gasoline inventories dipped, according to market sources citing American Petroleum Institute figures on Tuesday. The 7.8 million barrel rise in crude stocks for the week ended April 8 reported by API is more than the 900,000 barrels increase estimated in a Reuters poll. [API/S] [EIA/S] The Energy Information Administration (EIA) will release weekly data at 10:30 a.m. EDT (1430 GMT) on Wednesday.

ALERT ALERT WTI !!

By Rowena Edwards LONDON (Reuters) -Oil prices were stable on Friday but remained on course for a second weekly fall after countries announced plans to release crude from their strategic stocks. Brent crude futures were down 30 cents, or 0.3%, at $100.28 a barrel by 1333 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures fell 4 cents to $95.99. Both contracts are set to fall for a second consecutive week, with Brent on course for a 3.7% slide and WTI for a 3% decline. Member nations of the International Energy Agency (IEA) will release 60 million barrels over the next six months, with the United States matching that amount as part of its 180 million barrel release announced in March. The release could deter producers, including the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and U.S. shale producers, from accelerating output increases even with oil prices around $100 a barrel, ANZ Research analysts said in a note. PVM analyst Stephen Brennock, meanwhile, questioned the impact of the reserves being released. "Despite these unprecedented volumes, doubts remain whether this incoming flood of supply will address the shortfall in Russian crude," he said. JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM) expects the reserves release to "go a long way in the short term" to offsetting the 1 million barrels per day of Russian oil supply it expects to remain permanently offline. "However, looking forward to 2023 and beyond, global producers will likely need to ramp up investment to both fill the Russia-sized gap in supply and restock IEA strategic reserves," the bank said in a note. While Russia has found Asian buyers, Western buyers are shunning cargoes since the start of the conflict in Ukraine. Russia's production of oil and gas condensate fell to 10.52 million barrels per day (bpd) for April 1-6 from a March average of 11.01 million bpd, two sources familiar with the data told Reuters on Thursday. The U.S. Congress voted to ban Russian oil on Thursday, while the European Union is considering a ban. But demand uncertainties kept a lid on prices Friday after Shanghai extended its lockdown to contend with fast rising COVID-19 infections. Further pressure came from the strengthening U.S. dollar, after signals that the U.S. Federal Reserve could raise the federal funds rate another 3 percentage points by the end of the year.

By Ahmad Ghaddar LONDON (Reuters) -Oil prices rose on Thursday from a three-week low touched in the previous session after consuming nations announced a huge release of oil from emergency reserves, with worries over tight supplies still clouding the market outlook. Brent crude futures were up $1.19, or 1.2%, at $102.26 a barrel at 1306 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures rose $1.34, or 1.4%, to $97.57 a barrel. Both benchmarks plunged more than 5% in the previous session and hit their lowest closing levels since March 16. International Energy Agency member countries on Wednesday agreed to release 60 million barrels on top of a 180 million-barrel release announced by the United States last week to help drive down prices amid supply fears following Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Japan will release 15 million barrels of oil from state and private reserves as part of the move, Kyodo news agency reported on Thursday. "Although this is the biggest release since the stockpile was created in 1980, it will fail to ultimately change the fundamentals in the oil market," ANZ bank said of the U.S. release. ANZ argued that the release is likely to delay further increases in output from key producers and could give OPEC+ more "breathing room amid calls to increase output further". Other analysts however see the stocks release as a big relief to market tightness concerns. "In view of these quantities, the previous concerns about tight supplies are no longer justified, as can also be seen from the price trend," Commerzbank (DE:CBKG) said, noting that Brent prices have plunged by about $12 since the first announcement of a U.S. release came last week. Russia's production of oil and gas condensate fell to 10.52 million bpd on April 1-6 from a March average of 11.01 million bpd, two sources familiar with the data told Reuters on Thursday. China's oil demand is expected to rebound to 14.26 million barrels per day (bpd) in the second quarter, after dropping to 13.9 million bpd in the previous quarter as the country's zero-COVID policy dampened consumption, a senior researcher from China National Petroleum Corp (CNPC) said. China, the world's biggest oil importer, said it will strictly control new capacity in its oil refining industry and will accelerate the elimination of inefficient and outdated production capacity.. Stalled indirect talks between Iran and the United States on reviving a 2015 agreement on Tehran's nuclear program have further delayed the potential for sanctions on Iranian oil to be lifted, keeping the market tight. Political decisions are needed in Tehran and Washington to overcome remaining issues, negotiators say. (Additional Reporting by Sonali Paul in Melbourne and Muyu Xu in Beijing; Editing by Kim Coghill and Jan Harvey)

WTI mette la frecia a rialzo e viola il supporto della settimana scorsa 104.75 che aveva fatto da supporto ora da scambio di ruolo e violato a rialzo se è un trend a rialzo non deve piazzare resistenza cioe' sono i primi massimi del secondo trimestre e potrebbe anche lateralizare ma seguendo le indicazioni del grafico al momento c'è un inizio di trend a rialzo

WTI sta sentendo il livello di 100 dollari che ha fatto da resistenza il 24.02. violato a rialzo il 01.03 ripartito a rialzo dallo stesso livello il 17. 03 rittestato la scorsa settimana ora sembrerebbe fare da supporto, nella strategia a 12 ORE ancora non è arrivato alcun segnale

questa è la situazione del Wti seguendo la strategia a 12 ORE è entrato il limt messo sulla candela che ha aperto alle 12.00 ora la situazione comincia a farsi calda in vista dei NFP ma estraneandoci da evventuali dati e seguendo solo l' andamento del grafico bisogna fare una piccola considerazione perchè siamo al primo del mese e anche venerdi' quindi nel pomeriggio potrebbe accadere di tutto, in ogni caso possiamo prendere profitto della prima posizione o abbassare lo stop della prima posizione nel secondo punto di prezzo di carico o mettere lo stop della seconda posizione a protezione sul prezzo di carico visto e considerato che è gia stato testato ma non vuol dire nulla, tutto questo è a discrezione personale, la tendenza giornaliera non cambia si rimane a ribasso

Qquesta è la situazione del WTI con la strategia a 12 ORE a entrata fissa ora faciamo le valutazioni durante l' arco di tempo che ci porta fino alla scadenza della prima sessione di contrattazione poi sivaluta la situazione e la tendenza, abbiamo lascito entrambi le posizioni aperte ma abbassato lo stop sul prezzo di carico delle due posizioni

Wti accusa il colpo portato avanti dal piu' forte rilascio di riserve petrolifere da parte di BIDEN mai fatto nella storia

questa è la situazione alle ore 20.20 del Wti

WTI strategia a 12 ORE vede un nuovo posizionamento a ribasso, abbiamo sempre le due opzioni da adottare, in questo caso personalmente metto in atto la seconda per due mottivi, primo come si nota ho dimezato la precedente posizione portando il 50% in portafoglio e cerco di cavalcare ulteriori ribassi con due posizioni, secondo se nel caso il trade mi andasse contro ho due possibili piani di pensiero dalla mia parte, ho lascio che il prezzo salga e ritorni alla posizione aperta ieri cosi' annullando il guadagno del 50% chiuso precedentemente o portare gli stop sul prezzo di carico e chiudere entrambi le posizioni rimanendo solo con il guadagno del 50% dell' operazione fatta in precedenza

Wti attualmente è in una situazione che vedono i ribassisti prendere il sopravento sui rialzisti attenzione al meeting di oggi di OPEC + che dovrebbero mantenere invariato il rialzo di produzione a 400 MB

questa è la notizia di questa notte delle 02.10 riguardo il WTI

Buongiorno questa è la situazione del trade aperto ieri sul WTI adottando la strategia a 12 ORE in base al sentiment di mercato giornaliero basato sulle candele HA, ci eravamo lasciati ieri con un pertura di una posizione un po' incerta ma con le aspettative di ribasso se il prezzo avesse chiuso al di sotto di appertura del trade ma ha chiuso sopra e nella notte è arrivata la notizia di Biden su un rilasco importante delle riserve petrolifere che ci ha aiutato a portare in profitto il trade,

WTI sembrerebbe abbia intenione di continuare la discesa è partito il pendente posizionato sempre nello stesso livello' ( chiusura delle 12 ore di ieri ) che questa mattina ha fatto da resistenza poi violato a rialzo ora violato a ribasso, le aspettative al momento sono quelle di vedere una chiusura di sessione al di sotto di quel livello se cosi' non fosse le posizioni potrebbero andare in stop ( ricordo che non sono segnali operativi ma solo una strategia aplicata in tempo reale )

By Noah Browning LONDON (Reuters) - Oil prices jumped by more than 3% on Wednesday on supply tightness and the growing prospect of new Western sanctions against Russia even as Moscow and Kyiv held peace talks. Brent crude futures were up $3.07, or 2.79%, at $113.30 by 1215 GMT, reversing a 2% loss in the previous session. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures rose $3.20, or 3.07%, to $107.44 a barrel, erasing a 1.6% drop on Tuesday. Crude's price recovery "suggests the oil market, at least, has a strong degree of scepticism about any 'progress' (in the peace talks)," Commonwealth Bank analyst Tobin Gorey said in a note. The market saw a sharp sell-off in the previous session after Russia promised to scale down military operations around Kyiv, but reports of attacks continued. "We would see an additional 1 million barrels per day of Russian production at risk if relations with Europe worsen and an oil embargo is put in place, although we still see this as unlikely," consultancy JBC Energy said in a note. The United States and its allies are planning new sanctions on more sectors of Russia's economy that are critical to sustaining its invasion of Ukraine, including military supply chains. Russia's top lawmaker on Wednesday warned the European Union that oil, grain, metals, fertiliser, coal and timber exports could soon be priced in roubles, having previously demanded that "unfriendly" countries pay in roubles for its gas. The oil market's focus has turned to tight supply after the American Petroleum Institute reported crude stocks fell by 3 million barrels in the week ended March 25, triple the decline that 10 analysts polled by Reuters had expected on average. [API/S] Keeping the market tight, major oil producers are likely to stick to their scheduled output target increase of about 432,000 barrels per day when OPEC+ - the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies including Russia - meets on Thursday, several sources close to the group said. [nL2N2VV1LR] However, oil prices face pressure from weakening demand in China owing to tightened mobility restrictions and COVID-19-related lockdowns in multiple cities including the financial hub of Shanghai.

è possibbile che il livello si faccia sentire e faccia da resistenza ma troppo incerta la situazione da premettere che come molti asset si siano acquistati i minimi settimanali considerando pero' che sul wti ancora la tendenza giornaliera si trova in condizione di rosso HA DAILY quindi si puo' considerare di piazzare dei pendenti short sul livello di appertura della candela di oggi HA se dovesse salire e sull' apertura della candela di ieri se dovesse ragiungere il livello

Sul Wti ho chiuso la posizione aperta sull' appertura della candela delle 12 ore di ieri con poco profitto visto che c' è stata una ripresa delle quotazioni di ieri ora preferisco non entrare in posizione per vari motivi ( dati sulle scorte e incertezza sui negoziati

By Bozorgmehr Sharafedin LONDON (Reuters) -Oil prices dropped on Tuesday, extending losses from the previous day after Russia called peace talks with Ukraine constructive and China's new lockdowns to curb the spread of the coronavirus hit fuel demand. Brent crude fell $4.55, or 4%, to $107.93 a barrel by 1210 GMT, and U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude was down $4.64, or 4.4%, at $101.32. Both benchmarks lost about 7% on Monday. Ukrainian and Russian negotiators met in Turkey for the first face-to-face talks in nearly three weeks. The top Russian negotiator said the talks were "constructive". Ukraine proposed adopting neutral status in exchange for security guarantees at the talks, meaning it would not join military alliances or host military bases, Ukrainian negotiators said. "Oil prices are under pressure again on expectations about peace talks between Ukraine and Russia, which could lead to an easing of sanctions ..." said Hiroyuki Kikukawa, general manager of research at Nissan (OTC:NSANY) Securities. Sanctions imposed on Russia over its invasion of Ukraine have disrupted oil supplies, driving prices higher. Prices also came under pressure after new lockdowns in Shanghai to curb rising coronavirus cases hit fuel demand in China, the world's biggest importer. Shanghai accounts for about 4% of China's oil consumption, ANZ Research analysts said. Lockdowns have dampened consumption of transportation fuels in China to a point where some independent refiners are trying to resell crude purchased for delivery over the next two months, traders and analysts said. "China’s zero-COVID policy is bringing some relief to the oil market, albeit involuntarily, which is very tight due to the supply outages from Russia," said Commerzbank (DE:CBKG) analyst Carsten Fritsch. Oil prices rose almost $2 earlier in the day as Kazakhstan's supplies continued to be disrupted and major producers showed no sign of being in a hurry to boost output significantly. Kazakhstan is set to lose at least a fifth of its oil production for a month after storm damage to mooring points used to export crude from the Caspian Pipeline Consortium (CPC), the energy ministry said. The producer group OPEC+ was also expected to stick to its plan for a modest rise in May at this week's meeting, despite a surge in prices due to the Ukraine crisis and calls from the United States and other consumers for more supply. The energy ministers of Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, key members of OPEC+, said the producers' group should not engage in politics as pressure mounted on them to take action against Russia over its invasion of Ukraine.